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ThelogicbehindtheChinesedevelopmentstrategywasthattherewasunderproduction
inthecountry.Thecountryhadresourcesthatcouldbeusedtoensurehugeeconomic
development,buttherewasthelackofcertainimportantenvironmentalfactorsrequiredto
facilitateproduction.Thestrategiesaimedatencouragingincreaseinoutputbyfacilitating
competitionandmotivatingpeopletoproducemorethattheywereproducing.Anexampleis
wherethedualpricesmotivatedthefarmerstoincreasetheiroutput(Aksoy,2004).Thesupport
bythegovernmentandthefactthatindividualhouseholdscouldproducetheirowngoods
motivatedthecitizenstoengageineconomicactivitiesandrealizetheirpotential.Trade
strategiesalsoencouragedcompetitionwithothercountries,andthismotivatedtheChineseto
workharder.Thedualpricesandhouseholdresponsibilitystrategiesworkedperfectlyforthe
agriculturalsectorbutfailedingovernmentorganizations.Thisisbecause,thestatecorporations
enjoysomeprotectionandarenotmotivatedtocompete.Manyofthemreceivesubsidiesfrom
thegovernmentwhentheyperformpoorly,andthisiswhytheylackthemotivationtowork
harderandimprovetheirperformance.
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TheChinesegovernmenthadrealizedthattheincreasingpopulationwasnotaresourceto
thecountryanymore.Thetablebelowshowstherateofincreaseinpopulation.
Year
Totalpopulation
Percentageincreasein
population
1975
924.2
1.57
1980
987.0
1.19
1986
1,075.0
1.15
1988
1,110.2
1.58
1990
1,143.3
1.44
1991
1,158.2
1.30
1992
1,171.7
1.16
1993
1,185.1
1.15
1994
1,198.5
1.12
1995
1,211.2
1.05
2000
1,255.1
0.93
2010
1,348.0
0.70
2020
1,434.3
0.60
2030
1,500.6
0.39
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Source
:
Adapted from
Chinese Statistical Yearbook
. World Bank,
World Population Projections
.
Havingrealizedthis,theChinesegovernmentrealizedthatoneofthestrategiesofachieving
economicdevelopmentisthroughcontrolofeverincreasingpopulation.
Thebenefitsofthestrategiesbenefitedthepopulationbecausethestandardsoflivinghad
increasedbytheyear1997.Thetablebelowsummarizestheindicatorsofimprovedliving
standardsinChina.
Indicator
%value
Life
Expectancy
at Birth in years
69
Fertilityrate(1995)
1.9
Adult
Illiteracy Rate (males)
10%
Adult
Illiteracy Rate (females)
27%
709
Annual
8.8
Deforestationb
(1,000km2)
Average
Annual
Deforestation
b
(%, 1980-90)
0.7
Population
with Safe
Access to
Water (%)
83
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17
Malnutrition
(% under age
5)
Source
:
Adapted from
World Development Indicators
, 1997.
TheChinesegovernmenthadadutytoensurethatthegovernmentownedcompaniesalso
performedwell.Toachievethis,therewasaneedtoensurethattheemployeesinthecompanies
areselectedprofessionallywithoutconsideringtheirpoliticalalliances.Theyshouldalsobeable
tobenefitfromthecompanydependingonperformance.Thisensuresthatthereisadirect
benefitbymanagingthecompaniestoensuregoodperformance.Thegovernmentshouldalso
allowcompetitionfromothersimilarcorporations(Schell,2013).Doingthisleavesthemanagers
withnootheroptionotherthanmanagethecompanieswellandensurethattheyperformwellso
thattheycangetrewardsandavoidbeingcompetedbyothersimilarcompanies.Removalof
protectionstrategiesisnecessarytoensurethatthisisachieved.Incaseswherethecorporations
failtoperformwellcompletely,theChinesegovernmentshouldhaveprivatizedthecompanies.
However,companiesprovidingpublicgoodsshouldbesupportedbyallmeansregardlessof
theirpoorperformance.
ThestrategiesthatwereappliedintheChineseeconomyresultedinexcessproductionof
goodsandthiscreatedtheneedtoexportsomeoftheproducts.Theincreaseinexportsinchina
playedagreatroleinthedevelopmentoftheChineseeconomy.Inthefirstplace,thehigh
demandfortheChineseproductsmotivatedtheChinesetradersandcompaniestoengageinthe
productionofmoregoodssothattheycouldmeetthehighdemand.Theeffectsofthiswerethe
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increasedGDPoftheChineseeconomy(Qiao,2000).Thetablebelowshowsanincreasein
exportsfromChinaasthestrategiesworkedinfavorofthelocalcompanies.
Year
Shareofexports
1985
1.1
1986
1.9
1987
3.1
1988
5.2
1989
9.4
1990
12.6
1991
16.8
1992
20.4
1993
25.8
1994
28.7
1995
31.5
1996
40.8
Source
:
Adapted from China, SSB; China, General Administration of Customs,
China Customs Statistics, as reported in Barry Naughton, "China's
Emergence and Prospects as a Trading Nation,"
Brookings Papers
on Economic Activity
2: 1996. p. 299.
The exports from china during the period can also be summarized in the table below
Item
Value$(billions)
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Clothing and Textiles
37.1
35.3
Foodstuffs
11.6
Chemicals
8.9
Footwear
7.1
Mineral Fuels
5.9
Source:AdaptedfromEconomistIntellegenceUnit:CountryReport:China,3rdQuarter
1997
Fromtheincreasedexport,Chinesecompaniesandtradersgottherequiredforeign
exchangethattheyneededinthepurchaseofcapitalgoodsthatwererequiredintheproduction.
Theavailabilityoftherequiredinputsmotivatedthecompaniestoproducemoreandsellitinthe
internationalmarket.Withtheincreasedexports,competitionintheexternalmarketmadethe
localChinesecompanieslearnfromthecompetitorshowtocompetemoreeffectivelyby
producingavarietyofproductsaswellasgoodsofhighquality.
Withtime,theopeningoftheeconomyfacilitatedforeigndirectinvestmentinchina.The
tablebelowsummarizesthechangeinforeigndirectinvestmentinChina.
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Year
1979
-198
3
Amou
14.
ntin
198
198
198
198
198
198
199
199
199
199
199
199
199
3.1
4.7
7.3
8.4
10.
10.
10.
11.
19.
39.
44.
48.
54.
billion
dollars
Source
:
Adapted from
Chinese Statistical Yearbook
.
ForeigndirectinvestmentsinChinahaveagreatimpactintheChineseeconomy.Inthe
firstplace,theChineselaborerssecuredjobsfromthecompaniesthathadestablishedthemselves
inChina(Bergsten,2008).Thisbenefitedtheeconomybecausemanypeoplebecameemployed,
andtheirlivingstandardsimproved.
Theforeigncompaniesinchinareducedimportsforthecountry.Thismeantthatthe
tradeimbalanceinchinawascorrected,andthelocalscouldaccesscheaplocallymadeproducts.
Sincethetransportcostswerelowered,theproductswerecheap,andthisbenefitedthelocals.
TheforeigncompaniesinchinaledtoanincreaseinexportswhichwasgoodfortheChinese
economy.Thisledtoimprovedbalanceofpaymentasindicatedinthetablebelow
Year
Overallbalanceofpaymentbillion($)
1980
900
1982
5,674
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1984
2030
1986
-7,034
1988
-3,802
1990
11,997
1991
13,272
1992
6401
1993
-11,609
1994
6,908
1995
1,618
1996
7,243
Source
:
Adapted from
Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook
and
International Finance Statistics Yearbook
. 1980
information from World Bank,
World Tables
, 1991, as reported in
China: The Great
Awakening
, Harvard Case Study, number 9-794-019.
TheforeigncompaniesinChinaprovidedabasisofcompetitioninChina.Thecompanies
competedwiththelocalcompanies,andthismotivatedtheneedtomanagecostsandresourcesin
thecompanies.Thecompetitionledtoefficienciesintheproductionprocess,andthequalityof
productsimproved(Gertz,2012).Thelocalsbenefitedfromthecompetitionbecausetheprices
oftheproductswerelow,andthequalityremainedhigh.
Theforeigncompaniesbroughtnewtechnologiesinchina.Thenewtechnology
facilitatedinnovationandthisledtoincreaseinavarietyofproductsproducedfromchina.The
technologyalsoloweredthecostsofproduction,andtheexportsincreasedbenefitingthe
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economymore(Bergsten,2008).Technologyalsoincreasedoutputinchinawhichledto
improvedGDP.Generally,theforeigndirectinvestmentsplayedabigroleinchangingthe
Chineseeconomy.
TheChineseeconomyfacedgreatchallengesin1997,andsomeofthemposeagreat
threattothecountry'seconomicgrowth.Thefirstmajorchallengeisinflation.Thehighinflation
meansthatthepricesoftheproductsinthecountryareveryhigh.Thecitizensinchinawould
preferbuyingfromforeignsellerswhoseproductsarecheaper.TheChinesecompanieswould
alsofinditdifficulttoexport.Thismeansthatthecompanieswillhavetoreducetheiroutput,
andthishastheeffectofreducingtherateofeconomicgrowth.Thisisbecausereduced
productionreducestheGDPinthecountry.
ThefailureinthefinancialsystemsisalsoanotherthreattoChineseeconomic
development.Ifthepeopledoubtthestabilityofthebankingsystem,theywillwithdrawtheir
savingsfromthebanksandholditinotherforms(Lloyd,2000).Thiswillreducetheabilityto
lendsavedfundsrequiredforinvestmentpurposes.Reducedinvestmentreduceseconomic
growth.Failureinthefinancialinstitutionshastheeffectofdiscouragingforeigninvestmentsin
china.
Thefactthatchinaisnotamemberofworldtradeorganizationmeansthattheexports
fromthecountryarelimitedunlessthegovernmentengagesinmanybilateraltradeagreements.
Reducedinternationaltradewilldiscourageproductionofproductsinchinabecauseofthe
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reducedmarket(Lloyd,2000).Importoftherawmaterialsalsoprovestobeverydifficult,and
theeffectofthisisreducedproduction.AreductionintheoutputreducestheGDPofacountry
hencetheeconomicdevelopmentofthecountry.
Zhuhastochangethestrategiesitengagesinordertoturnaroundtheeconomyandavoid
thecurrentchallenges.Thefirststepistocontrolthefinancialsectortoensurethatthereis
responsiblelending.Therelevantbodieshaveadutyofmonitoringthefinancialsystemusing
economictheoriestoachievestabilityinthesystems.Theuseofmonetaryandfiscalpolicies
willworkeffectivelytodealwithinflationaswellasregainthetrustthepeoplehaveonthe
financialsystem.Ifthisisachieved,thensavingandfurtherinvestmentswillbeincreasedand
theeconomywillcontinuegrowing.
Theotherchangeinstrategyrequiredismakingtradeallianceswiththedeveloping
countries.Developedcountriesarenotgoodcustomersforchinabecausetheyhavetheirown
companiesproducingtheirowngoods.Partneringwithdevelopingcountrieswillbeofbenefit
becausetheresourcesinthesecountriesareyettobeexploited(Pei,2006).Asthesecountries
benefitfromthetechnologies,expertiseandproductsfromchina,theGDPwillincreasebecause
outputwillhavegrown.Nowthatchinaisnotamemberofworldtradeorganization,thereisa
needtobeclosetodevelopingcountriesthatwillfinditfavorabletotradewithchina.
FromtheChinacasestudy,oneobservesthatchinahasbeensuccessfulinturningaround
itseconomybecauseofthemanyeconomicpoliciesthatitimplemented.Thechangewas
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howeverrealizedwithmanychallengesthatcontinuetobeaddresseduptodate.Forchinato
remainrelevantintheinternationalmarketandsustainitseconomy,thereisaneedtochange
strategiesandpartnerwithdevelopingcountriesthatneedproductsfromthecountry(Pei,2006).
Apartnershipthatwillmutuallybenefitthesecountrieswillbethebeststrategyfornow
consideringthatthesecountriesareafterpartneringwithcountriesthatleadtoamutualbenefit.
TheChinesegovernmentinthatcasehasnoreasontorelaxbecausemuchhastobedoneifthe
Chineseeconomyhastocontinuegrowingasisexpected.Globalizationshouldbetaken
advantageof,andbilateraltradeagreementscanworkinachievingtheobjectivesofthecountry.
References
Aksoy,M.A.,&Beghin,J.C.(2004).
GlobalAgriculturalTradeandDevelopingCountries
.
Washington:WorldBank.
Bergsten,C.F.(2008).
China'sRise:ChallengesandOpportunities
.Washington,D.C:Peterson
InstituteforInternationalEconomics.
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Gertz,B.(2012).
TheChinathreathowthePeople'sRepublictargetsAmerica
.Washington,DC,
RegneryPub.
Lloyd,P.J.,&Zhang,X.(2000).
Chinaintheglobaleconomy
.Cheltenham,UK:EdwardElgar.
Pei,M.(2006).
China'strappedtransition:Thelimitsofdevelopmentalautocracy
.Cambridge,
Mass.[u.a.:HarvardUniv.Press.
Schell,O.,&Delury,J.(2013).
Wealthandpower:China'slongmarchtothetwentyfirst
century
.
Qiao,L.,&Wang,X.(2000).
Unrestrictedwarfare:China'smasterplantodestroyAmerica
.
PanamaCity,Panama:PanAmericanPub.
Vogel,E.F.(2011).
DengXiaopingandthetransformationofChina
.Cambridge,Mass:
Belknap.
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