Professional Documents
Culture Documents
College of Law
Prepared For:
Hon. Petronila Taas-Arguelles
Prepared By:
Aguilar-Faytaren, Maricel M.
BSU Law
M2008-03335
Prologue
The Crimean Conflict refers to a geo-political dispute regarding the
autonomous southern Ukrainian Peninsula of the same name. Historically,
post-Cold War political tensions in Ukraine revolved around Ukrainian and
Russian sympathies; these are the two major ethnic groups and are divided
into northern and southern regions respectively. Most recently, anti-Russian
activism in the North led to widespread violent uprisings against Russian
sympathizing politicians. In response to these uprisings, paramilitary forces
bearing a strong resemblance to Russian forces surrounded Ukrainian
military posts of Crimea in the early morning hours of March 1, 2014. The
Ukrainian interim leadership received public support from the United States
the same day. Crimea is bordered on three sides by the Black Sea and by
virtue, presents a economic and military vantage point. It was ceded to
Ukraine by Russia at the end of the Soviet Era as reparations following 300
years of Russian rule, briefly interrupted.
Due to Russias intervention interpreting recent events in Ukraine has
led to real confusion which has far too often enabled propaganda,
inaccuracy and references to the past to prevail over a rational analysis. In
a bid to provide a better understanding of the issues at stake this paper will
restrict itself to the legal aspects only of the question, which is also an
eminently political one. It does not aim to ignore Russian resentment or the
Ukrainians will to free themselves of the tutelage of their powerful
neighbour or the national interests in question, it simply analyses the impact
on international law. Indeed Russian diplomacy has been committed to the
strict and formal respect of the rules of international law, and they have
sometimes clung to it in defiance of claims made by certain populations.
Even in the post-USSR period this constant was adhered to. But Russian
Foreign Minister S. Lavrovs discourse at the Munich Security Conference
its provocative aspects aside, which are of the political domain, mark a deep
break with traditional Russian diplomacy. Since the Second World War the
continent of Europe has not experienced as dramatic a challenge as Russias
questioning of the borders defined post 1945, which were notably confirmed
by the Final Act of the Helsinki Conference in 1975. Neither the collapse of
the Soviet Union, nor the German reunification two events of capital
importance caused a Russian turnaround like the one we are seeing now.
Infringements of international law, the treaties and agreements signed by
Russia, implied by the annexation of Crimea on 21st March 2014, then the
war in the East of Ukraine following the conflict in Georgia in 2008, have
led to a deep change in paradigm for the European Union and its Member
States external policy. For whatever reasons, the recurrence in 2008 and
2014 on the European Unions periphery of the use of armed force and
methods that have been outlawed on the continent was an extremely violent
warning, since the latter has been built according to the law and by the law.
Europe functions, including in times of difficulty, thanks to the law, which is
accepted and respected. And this has enabled it to enjoy exceptional
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
stability in view of its painful past. By annexing Crimea, Vladimir Putin has
violated the fundamental texts of the United Nations, the statutes of the
Council of Europe of which Russia is a member, at least two regional
treaties that established peace in Europe and two bilateral treaties signed
with Ukraine, as well as the Constitutions of Ukraine and Crimea.
Article 2 4 of the Charter of the United Nations founds the principles
of the inviolability of the States territorial integrity and the prohibition of
the use of force. Several acts, declarations and agreements concluded within
the Organizations framework recall the imperative of the peaceful
settlement of disputes, non-interference and the ban on using threats in
international relations. We might notably quote resolution 2625
Declaration on Principles of International Law Concerning Friendly
Relations and Cooperation among States in accordance with the Charter of
the United Nations adopted on 24th October 1970 by the General
Assembly. This text even anticipates the hybrid war in quite precise terms.
On 14th December 1974 by way of a resolution the UN defined the concept
of aggression, including in this several acts which Russia has evidently
committed in Crimea and in the East of Ukraine [4] (military occupation,
invasion, bombardments, the dispatch of armed bands). On reading this
document we also understand why Russia, a member of the Security Council
refuses to admit the presence of several thousand of its troops in Ukraine,
which would inevitably lead to condemnation by the UN in virtue of the
number of texts it has signed. But these precautions were not even enough
for Crimea whose occupation will, in all likelihood, never been recognized
by the UN, nor by most of its members.
Milieu
Crimea became part of the Russian Empire in 1783, when
the Crimean Khanate was annexed. It was incorporated into the Empire
as Taurida Oblast. In 1795, Crimea was merged into Novorossiysk
Governorate, and in 1803, it was again separated from it into Taurida
Governorate. A series of short-lived governments (Crimean People's
Republic, Crimean Regional Government, Crimean SSR) were established
during first stages of the Russian Civil War, but they were followed
by White Russian (General Command of the Armed Forces of South Russia,
later South Russian Government) and, finally, Soviet (Crimean ASSR)
incorporations of Crimea into their own states. After the Second World
War and the subsequent deportation of all of the indigenous Crimean Tatars,
the Crimean ASSR was stripped of its autonomy in 1946 and was
downgraded to the status of an oblast.
In 1954, the Crimean Oblast was transferred from the Russian
SFSR to the Ukrainian SSR by decree of the Presidium of the Supreme
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
Soviet of the Soviet Union. However, it was unclear whether the transfer
affected the peninsula's largest city of Sevastopol, which enjoyed a special
status in the postwar Soviet Union, and in 1993, the Supreme Soviet of
Russia claimed Sevastopol was part of Russia, resulting in a territorial
dispute with Ukraine.
In 1989, under perestroika, the Supreme Soviet declared the
deportation of the Crimean Tatars under Stalin had been illegal, and the
mostly Muslim ethnic group was allowed to return to Crimea.
In 1990, the Crimean Oblast Soviet proposed the restoration of the
Crimean ASSR.[48] The oblast conducted a referendumin 1991, which asked
whether Crimea should be elevated into a signatory of the New Union
Treaty (that is, became a union republic on its own). By that time, though,
the dissolution of the Soviet Union was well underway. The Crimean ASSR
was restored for less than a year as part of Soviet Ukraine before Ukrainian
independence.
Newly
independent Ukraine
maintained
Crimea's autonomous status, while the Supreme Council of Crimea affirmed
the peninsula's "state sovereignty".
On 21 May 1992, the Supreme Soviet of Russia adopted a resolution,
which declared Crimea's 1954 transfer invalid and called for trilateral
negotiations on the peninsula's status. Confrontation between the president
and parliament of Russia, which later erupted into armed conflict in
Moscow, prevented this declaration from having any actual effect in Crimea
or Ukraine.
From 1992 to 1994, various pro-Russian political movements
attempted to separate Crimea from Ukraine. The 1994 regional elections
represented a high point for pro-Russian political factions in Crimea. But the
elections came at a difficult time for Crimeans who wanted to rejoin Russia,
as the Russian government was engaged in a rapprochement with
the Western world and the Ukrainian government was determined to
safeguard its sovereignty. These factors enabled Ukrainian authorities to
abolish the Crimean presidency and constitution by 1995, without any
meaningful interference or protest from Ukraine's eastern neighbour.
Afterwards, pro-Russian movements largely waned, and in 1998, the
separatists lost the Crimean Supreme Council election.
During the 2000s, as tensions between Russia and several of its
neighbours rose, the likelihood of Russian-Ukrainian conflict around Crimea
increased. A Council on Foreign Relations report released in 2009 outlined a
scenario under which Russia could intervene in Crimea to protect "Russian
compatriots", potentially with the backing of Crimean Tatars.
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
president of Ukraine, through whom they were able to ask Russia for
assistance.
The parliament also voted to hold a referendum on greater autonomy
on 25 May. The troops had cut all of the building's communications, and
took MPs' phones as they entered. No independent journalists were allowed
inside the building while the votes were taking place. Some MPs claimed
they were being threatened and that votes were cast for them and other MPs,
even though they were not in the chamber. Interfax-Ukraine reported "it is
impossible to find out whether all the 64 members of the 100-member
legislature who were registered as present at when the two decisions were
voted on or whether someone else used the plastic voting cards of some of
them" because due to the armed occupation of parliament it was unclear how
many MPs were present. The head of parliament's information and analysis
department, Olha Sulnikova, had phoned from inside the parliamentary
building to journalists and had told them 61 of the registered 64 deputies had
voted for the referendum resolution and 55 for the resolution to dismiss the
government.[102] Donetsk People's Republic separatist Igor Girkin said in
January 2015 that Crimean members of parliament were held at gunpoint,
and were forced to support the annexation. These actions were immediately
declared illegal by the Ukrainian interim government.
On the same day, more troops in unmarked uniforms, assisted this
time by Crimean riot police known as Berkut, established security
checkpoints on the Isthmus of Perekop and the Chonhar Peninsula, which
separate Crimea from the Ukrainian mainland. Within hours, Ukraine had
effectively been cut off from Crimea.
On 1 March 2014, Aksyonov declared Crimea's new de
facto authorities would exercise control of all Ukrainian military
installations on the peninsula. He also asked Russian President Vladimir
Putin, who had been Yanukovych's primary international backer and
guarantor, for "assistance in ensuring peace and public order" in
Crimea. Putin promptly received authorisation from theFederation Council
of Russia for a Russian military intervention in Ukraine "until normalization
of a socio-political environment in the country". Putin's swift manoeuvre
prompted protests of intelligentsia and demonstrations in Moscow against a
Russian military campaign in Crimea. By 2 March, Russian troops moving
from the country's naval base in Sevastopol and reinforced by troops,
armour, and helicopters from mainland Russia exercised complete control
over the Crimean Peninsula. Russian troops operated in Crimea without
insignia. Despite numerous media reports and statements by the Ukrainian
and foreign governments describing the unmarked troops as Russian
soldiers, government officials concealed the identity of their forces, claiming
they were local "self-defense" units over whom they had no authority. As
late as 17 April, Russian foreign minister Lavrov claimed that there are no
spare armed forces in the territory of Crimea.
Russian officials eventually admitted to their troops' presence. On 17
April 2014, Putin acknowledged the Russian military backed Crimean
separatist militias, stating that Russia's intervention was necessary "to ensure
proper conditions for the people of Crimea to be able to freely express their
will". Defence Minister Serger Shoygu said the country's military actions in
Crimea were undertaken by forces of the Black Sea Fleet and were justified
by "threat to lives of Crimeancivilians" and danger of "takeover of Russian
military infrastructure by extremists". Ukraine complained that by increasing
its troop presence in Crimea, Russia violated the agreement under which it
headquartered its Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol and violated the
country's sovereignty. The United States and United Kingdom also accused
Russia of breaking the terms of the Budapest Memorandum on Security
Assurances, by which Russia, the US, and the UK had reaffirmed their
obligation to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial
integrity or political independence of Ukraine.[120] The Russian government
said the Budapest Memorandum did not apply due to "complicated internal
processes" in Crimea. In March 2015 retired Russian Admiral Igor
Kasatonov stated that according to his information the Russian troop
deployment in Crimea included six helicopter landings and three landings
of IL-76 with 500 people.
Aftermath
The number of tourists visiting Crimea in the 2014 season is expected
to be lower than in the previous years due to worries about the political
situation. The Crimean government members hope that Russian tourists will
flow in. The Russian government is planning to promote Crimea as a resort
and provide subsidised holidays to the peninsula for children and state
workers.
The Sofia news agency Novinite claims that according to the German
newspaper Die Welt, the annexation of Crimea is economically
disadvantageous for the Russian Federation. Russia will have to spend
billions of euros a year to pay salaries and pensions. Moreover, Russia will
have to undertake costly projects to connect Crimea to the Russian water
supply and power system because Crimea has no land connection to Russia
and at present gets water, gas and electricity from mainland Ukraine. This
will require building a bridge and a pipeline across the Kerch Strait. Also,
Novinite claims that a Ukrainian expert told Die Welt that Crimea "will not
be able to attract tourists".
beginning. For example, the Simferopol postal code 95000 will become
295000.
Regarding Crimea's borders, the head of Russian Federal Agency for
the Development of the State Border Facilities (Rosgranitsa) Konstantin
Busygin, who was speaking at a meeting led by Russian Deputy Prime
Minister Dmitry Rogozin inSimferopol, the capital of Crimea said
the Russian state border in the north of Crimea which, according to his
claims, now forms part of the Russian-Ukrainian border, will be fully
equipped with necessary facilities. In the area that now forms the border
between Crimea and Ukraine mining the salt lake inlets from the sea that
constitute the natural borders, and in the spit of land left over stretches of noman's-land with wire on either side was created. On early June that
year Prime
Minister Dmitry
Medvedev signed
a Government
resolution 961 dated 5 June 2014 establishing air, sea, road and railway
checkpoints. The adopted decisions create a legal basis for the functioning of
a checkpoint system at the Russian state border in the Republic of Crimea
and Sevastopol.
In the year following the annexation, armed men seized various
Crimean businesses, including banks, hotels, shipyards, farms, gas stations,
a bakery, a dairy, and Yalta Film Studio.
Human rights situation
On 9 May 2014 the new "anti-extremist" amendment to the Criminal
Code of Russia, passed in December 2013, came into force. Article 280.1
designated incitement of violation of territorial integrity of the Russian
Federation (incl. calls for secession of Crimea from Russia as a criminal
offence in Russia, punishable by a fine of 300 thousand roubles or
imprisonment up to 3 years. If such statements are made in public media or
the internet, the punishment could be obligatory works up to 480 hours or
imprisonment up to five years.
Following the annexation of Crimea, according to report released on
the Russian government run President of Russia's Council on Civil Society
and Human Rights website, Tatars who were opposed to Russian rule have
been persecuted, Russian law restricting freedom of speech has been
imposed, and the new pro-Russian authorities "liquidated" the Kiev
Patriarchate Orthodox church on the peninsula.
After the annexation, on 16 May the new Russian authorities of
Crimea issued a ban on the annual commemorations of the anniversary of
the Deportation of the Crimean Tatars by Stalin in 1944, citing "possibility
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
subject to Ukrainian law. Among other things, the special law approved by
the Rada restricted foreign citizens' movements to and from the Crimean
Peninsula and forbade certain types of entrepreneurship. The law also
forbade activity of government bodies formed in violation of Ukrainian law
and designated their acts as null and void. The voting rights of Crimea in
national Ukrainian elections were also suspended. The law had little to no
actual effect in Crimea itself due to the mutual non-recognition between
Kiev and Simferopol.
Ukrainian authorities greatly reduced the volume of water flowing
into Crimea via the North Crimean Canal, threatening the viability of the
peninsula's agricultural crops, which are heavily dependent on irrigation.
The Ukrainian National Council for TV and Radio Broadcasting instructed
all cable operators on March 11 to stop transmitting a number of Russian
channels, including the international versions of the main state-controlled
stationsRossiya-1, Channel One and NTV, as well as news channel Rossiya24.
In March 2014, activists began organizing flash mobs in supermarkets
to urge customers not to buy Russian goods and to boycott Russian gas
stations, banks, and concerts. In April 2014, some cinemas in Kiev, Lviv,
and Odessa began shunning Russian films.
In December 2014, Ukraine halted all train and bus services to
Crimea.
Russian Response
In a poll published on 24 February by the state-owned Russian Public
Opinion Research Center, only 15% of those Russians polled said 'yes' to the
question: "Should Russia react to the overthrow of the legally elected
authorities in Ukraine?".
The State Duma Committee on Commonwealth of Independent
States Affairs, headed by Leonid Slutsky, visited Simferopol on 25 February
2014 and said: "If the parliament of the Crimean autonomy or its residents
express the wish to join the Russian Federation, Russia will be prepared to
consider this sort of application. We will be examining the situation and
doing so fast." They also stated that in the event of a referendum for Crimea
region joining Russian Federation they would consider its results "very
fast". Later Slutsky announced that he was misunderstood by Crimean press
and no decision regarding simplifying the process of acquiring Russian
citizenship for people in Crimea has been made yet. And added that if
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
"fellow Russian citizens are in jeopardy you understand that we do not stay
away". On 25 February, in a meeting with Crimean politicians he stated that
Viktor Yanukovych was still the legitimate president of Ukraine. That same
day in the Russian Duma, they announced they were determining measures
so that Russians in Ukraine who "did not want to break from the Russian
World" could acquire Russian citizenship.
On 26 February, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered
the Russian Armed Forces to be "put on alert in the Western Military
District as well as units stationed with the 2nd Army Central Military
District Command involved in aerospace defence, airborne troops and longrange military transport." Despite media speculation it was for in reaction to
the events in Ukraine Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu said it was in
separate consideration from the unrest in Ukraine. On 27 February 2014, the
Russian government dismissed accusations about violation by the Russian
side of the basic agreements in regards of the Black Sea Fleet: "All
movements of armored vehicles are undertaken in full compliance with the
basic agreements and did not require any approvals".
On 27 February, the Russian governing agencies presented the new
law project on granting citizenship.
The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs called on the West and
particularly NATO to "abandon the provocative statements and respect the
neutral status of Ukraine". In its statement the ministry claims that
agreement on settlement of the crisis which was signed on 21 February and
was witnessed by foreign ministries from Germany, Poland and France has
to this date, not been implemented (Vladimir Lukin from Russia had not
signed it).
On 28 February, according to ITAR-TASS, the Russian Ministry of
Transport discontinued its further talks with Ukraine in regards to the Kerch
Strait Bridge project. However, on 3 March Dmitry Medvedev, the Prime
Minister of Russia, signed a decree creating a subsidiary of Russian
Highways (Avtodor) to build a bridge at an unspecified location along the
Kerch strait.
On Russian social networks there is a movement to gather volunteers
who served in the Russian army to go to Ukraine.
On 28 February President Putin stated it was of "extreme importance
of not allowing a further escalation of violence and the necessity of a rapid
normalisation of the situation in Ukraine" in telephone calls with key EU
58 countries abstained from the vote. The resolution was non-binding and
the vote was largely symbolic.
Recognition
The vast majority of the international community has not recognized
the Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol as part of Russia. Most nations
located in North America, Central America, Europe, Oceania, Africa, as well
as non-former-Soviet-Union Asia have openly rejected the referendum and
the accession, and instead consider Crimea and Sevastopol to be
administrative divisions of Ukraine. The remainder have largely remained
neutral. The vote on United Nations General Assembly Resolution
68/262 (supporting the position that Crimea and Sevastopol remain part of
Ukraine) was 100 to 11 in favour, with 58 states abstaining and a further 24
of the 193 member states not voting through being absent when the vote
took place. The 100 states voting in favour represented about 34% of the
world's population, the 11 against represented about 4.5%, the 58 abstentions
represented about 58%, and the 24 absents represented about 3.5%.
Several members of the United Nations have made statements about
their recognition of the Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol as federal
subjects of Russia:
Afghanistan
Cuba
Nicaragua
North Korea
Russia
Syria
Venezuela
After the collapse of the Soviet union both nations retained very close
ties, however conflict began almost immediately. There were several
sticking points, most importantly Ukraines significant nuclear arsenal,
which Ukraines in the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances
agreed to abandon on the ground that Russia (and other signatories) would
issue an insurance against threats or use of force against the territorial
integrity or political independence of Ukraine. This would prove worthless
in 2014, a second point was the division of the black sea Fleet, Ukraine
agreed to lease the Sevastool port so that the Russian Black sea Fleet could
continue to occupy it together with Ukraine. Later through he 1990s and
2000s Ukriane and Russia engaged in several gas disputes, which started as
early as 1993. In 2001 Ukraine along with Gerogia, Azerbaijan and Moldova
formed a group titled GUAM Organization for Democracy and Economic
Development, which by Moscow was seen as a direct challenge to the CIS
and the Russian denominated trade group established after the collapse of
the Soviet Union. Moscow was further irritated by the Orange Revolution of
2004 which saw the Ukranian populist Viktor Yushchenko installed as
president instead of the pro-Russian Viktor Yanukovich. Moreover, Ukraine
also continued to increase its cooperation with NATO, deploying the third
largest contingent of troops to Iraq in 2004, as well as dedicating peace to
NATO missions such as the ISAF force in Afghanistan and KFOR in
Kosovo.
III. Perception
My response to what has been happening in Ukraine and the reactions
of various governments, may depend on how we view the politics of the
region and the moral claims being made. The rule of law is also of direct
relevance, as we believe that preserving law and order in todays complex
and turbulent world is one of the few ways to keep international relations
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
from sliding into chaos. The law is still the law, and we must follow it
whether we like it or not. These words are those of President Putin, written
a few months ago in order to prevent the US, UK and other governments
from intervening in Syria. International law is crucial to the situation in the
Ukraine. It is of particular relevance to the right of self-determination of the
people of Crimea and whether Russia can lawfully intervene on the territory
of Ukraine.
The right of self-determination, as enshrined in the UN Charter and
international human rights treaties, enables the people to determine for
themselves their political, economic, social and cultural status. It has been
applied in recent years in the former Yugoslavia, East Timor and South
Sudan. It is certainly arguable that the people in the Crimea have a distinct
identity and territory, created over centuries and fostered by decisions of the
USSR, Russia and Ukraine. This includes its status as an autonomous region
within the state of Ukraine and by specific agreements about it between
Russia and Ukraine. It is not unlawful for it to have a referendum and
declare itself independent (or that it wishes to merge with Russia), as this
was allowed by the International Court of Justice in its (poorly
reasoned) advisory opinion on the declaration of independence by Kosovo.
However, such a declaration of independence or merging is not
effective in international law by itself. There are two key factors that are
relevant: the actions of the state within whose borders the people live; and
the responses of the international community. In relation to the first factor, if
that state is oppressing the people, discriminating against them, violating
their human rights and not allowing them freely to be involved in the politics
and internal affairs of the state (i.e. to exercise their internal selfdetermination), as was probably the situation in Kosovo, then international
law allows them a range of possible actions, including independence and
merging with another state.
If the people are able freely to participate in governance and are not
being oppressed as a group, then these actions of secession are not lawful.
This was made clear by the Canadian Supreme Court in its advisory opinion
in the secession of Quebec. That Courts view was clear: the people of
Quebec were not denied meaningful access to government to pursue their
political, economic, cultural and social development and so the people of
Quebec do not enjoy a right at international law to effect the secession of
Quebec from Canada unilaterally. They went further to make clear that the
referendum result by itself would have no legal effect on its own without
further negotiation with the people of the rest of Canada (this is also of
relevance to the people of Scotland as they vote in their referendum). The
second factor of the responses of the international community can be
significant in terms of the recognition (or not) of the entity as a state. Indeed,
Russia has not recognized Kosovo as a state.
The center, including Kiev. This large swath is what one thinks of
historically as Ukraine. Influences include Christianity from the Byzantine
Empire and the early Slavic alphabet, which are reference points for
Ukrainian
identity.
Around the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, this area was most affected
by the frontier military society called the Cossacks (eastern Slavs). This area
was briefly under the rule of Poland and Lithuania, and was gradually taken
piecemeal by Russia by the end of the eighteenth century.
2.
3.
The lands natural features, plus the history and the economic development,
all produce these different layers. When you put all this together, you get a
kaleidoscope of experiences.
So why did Russia recently annex Crimea?
This is a complex topic, and I will try to simplify without
oversimplifying. Of course there are variations in beliefs, and Russians dont
all think the same way.
In general, though, Russian understanding is often shaped by
nineteenth-century Russian historiansbefore Ukraine became a modern
nation. These historians created a model that has Russian history beginning
in Kiev. After all, many Ukrainians (except for those in the West) came
under the rule of Russia over the last few centuries.
For many Russians, Kiev is in a foreign country. Its a historical
misunderstanding to have it belong to Ukraine. Its a bizarre notion that the
1991 map shows Ukraine no longer in Russia. So to many Russians,
annexing Crimea is simply repairing a historical wrong.
Its very difficult for many Russians to disentangle their own history
from Ukraines and acknowledge the equality and legitimacy of the
Ukrainian culture alongside their own.
Many Ukrainians have adopted this Russian mentality as their own
too. They want to be urban and sophisticated, learn Russian, and drop their
Ukrainian accent.
There is a whole spectrum of attitudes, identities, and relationships
among Ukrainians. Some are fervent nationalists, and some feel they are
somehow under the wrong influences and would like to be Russians
themselves. And of course there is everything in between.
As always, there is no consensus about what will happen next. The
population in Crimea is mixed, with Tatars (Turkic ethnic groups),
Ukrainians, and Russians all living together. It is unclear how Russia is
going to handle Crimea, given the shifting demographics.
There is concern that Russia will move into eastern Ukraine (where
there still exist confrontations and provocations), though Putin has said he
isnt interested. No one knows.
The competences enjoyed by the Autonomous Republic of Crimea are
already considerable (article 135 and thereafter of its constitution). And no
imminent danger or spontaneous public disorder seems to justify separation
from a weak central State that never oppressed its inhabitants. The
European Union and Russias mutual interests are clear to any observer and
at this stage of globalization, they should be the focus of positive, more
Term Paper: Russians Annexation of Crimea in Ukraine and the Continuation
1
of Cessation of Pro-Russian
Rebels in the East
AGUILAR-FAYTAREN, MARICEL M.
BSU LAW
M2008-03335