Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Definitions
A. Option Contract- Obtain rights in exchange for
monetary transfer
a. Call- right to purchase underlying security at a
specific price
b. Put- right to sell
c. American vs. European Option
d. Writer- seller of option contracts.
B. Futures Contract
a. Delivery of a specified good by the seller for
payment of an agreed amount at some fixed future
date.
b. Both sides of an obligation
c. Cash does not change hands between buyer and
seller until delivery.
C. Option on futures Contract- Option to buy or sell a
futures contract. Allows for standardization of underlying
asset.
D. Swaps- Exchange of cash flows between two parties.
Generally fixed for flexible.
E. Arbitrage-Simultaneously purchase and sell the same
good at different prices. Forces prices to converge.
Why these markets are valuable
a. Modification of risk-return opportunity set.
a. Hedging- reduces risk of holding the underlying
asset
b. Speculation- highly levered portfolio that is
easily obtainable.
Open Interest
Market Mechanics
1. Exchange Floor participants
a. Floor brokers- Commission traders who cannot
trade for own acct.
b. Market makers- Trades only for own account
c. Order Book Official- Keeps track of all limit orders
2. Clearing house
a. Matches buyers and sellers each day.
b. Assigns writer in delivery process.
c. Serves regulatory function (sets position limits,
guarantees writer performance etc.)
3. Exercise procedure
a. Buyer has right to exercise.
b. Writer is assigned obligation from clearing house
c. Options expire on 3rd Friday of delivery month.
All outstanding options with value are exercised
at that time.
d. Opening rotation - starts earliest month low
strike to high. May take as long as 10 minutes to
establish prices.
Introduction to Valuation
Terminology
1. Intrinsic value
a. Call = Security Price minus Exercise Price
if positive otherwise 0.
b. Put = Exercise Price Security Price if
positive otherwise zero.
2. Time value = Observed option price minus its
intrinsic value.
3. In-the-money = option with positive intrinsic
value
a. Stock price > exercise price for calls
b. Stock price < exercise price for puts.
4. Out-of the money = intrinsic value is zero.
5. At expiration an Option is always worth its
intrinsic value.
Graphical depiction.
1. Maximum value for put but not for call
2. Minimum value zero for both given limited
liability of option.
3. See graph
Notation to be used
1. S = Stock price
2. E = Exercise or Strike Price
3. T = Time till Expiration
4. i = Risk Free interest rate.
5. C = Call Price
6. P = Put Price
7. PV( ) = Present Value of whats in Parenthesis
Proposition 3.
C(E1) > C(E2) given E1 < E2. Lower exercise
price worth at least as much as higher exercise
price all else equal.
Proof:
Consider a portfolio of buying E1 option and
selling E2 option.
Look at all possible portfolio values at
expiration.
1
S* < E1 < E2 E1
C(E1) = 0
= S* - E1
C(E2) = 0
= S* - E2
Port = 0
2
3
< S* < E2 E1 < E2 < S*
C(E1) = S*- E1
C(E1)
C(E2) = 0
Port = S*- E1
C(E2)
Port =
E2 E1
Therefore since portfolio will never have
negative value at expiration it cant have
negative value today which it would if C(E1) <
C(E2). If it did you could buy the portfolio today
collect the cash flow and never have to pay it
back.
Also since the maximum value of the port at
expiration is E2-E1, the maximum difference is
price has to be the present value of E2 E1. If
Proposition 4.
C(T2) > C(T1) given T2 >T1. Options with a
longer time to expiration cannot have less value.
Proof:
At expiration time T1, C(T1) = max S*- E or 0
and from Prop 2. C(T2) must be worth at least
the same so it has to be worth at least the same
today.
Proposition 5.
C<S
Proof:
Stock can be considered an option with infinite
time to expiration and zero expiration price.
From Prop 3 and 4 its must be worth at least as
much as any option.
Proposition 6.
Proposition 7:
Given on Dividends, never exercise an American Call early.
Proof:
If exercised buyer receives intrinsic value i.e. Max(0, S-E)
However before expiration from Prop 6
C > Max (0, S PV(E)) which is greater than intrinsic
value. Therefore never exercise early.
Hence American Call price = European Call Price
Put Propositions
Proposition 1:
P>0
Proof: Do to limited liability cannot be worth less than zero
at expiration.
Proposition 2:
P > Max (E-S, 0) Put must be worth its intrinsic value.
Proof:
If worth less buy option and exercise.
Example
S = 22 E = 25 P =2
Buy Put
-2
Buy Stock
-22
Exercise
+25 buy delivering stock
Profit
+1
Graph boundary
Proposition 3:
P(E1) < P(E2) given E1 < E2
Same as call example by forming portfolio of buying P(E2)
and Selling P(E1).
Look at all possible portfolio values at
expiration.
1
2
3
S* < E1 < E2 E1 < S* < E2
E1 < E2
< S*
P(E1) = -(E1- S*) P(E1) = 0
P(E1) =
0
P(E2) = E2 - S*
P(E2) = E2- S*
P(E2)
=0
Port = E2 - E1
Port = E2- S*
Port =
Therefore since portfolio will never have
negative value at expiration it cant have
negative value today which it would if P(E1) >
P(E2). If it did you could buy the portfolio today
collect the cash flow and never have to pay it
back.
Also since the maximum value of the port at
expiration is E2-E1, the maximum difference is
price has to be the present value of E2 E1. If
not sell P(E2) buy P(E1) and put proceeds in
bank. Bank value at expiration will be greater
than E2 E1, which is the most you will have to
pay at expiration.
Show on Graph.
Proposition 4:
P(T2) > P(T1) given T2 >T1. Options with a
longer time to expiration cannot have less value.
(American options only.)
Proof:
At expiration time T1, P(T1) = max E - S* or 0 and from
Prop 2. P(T2) must be worth at least the same so it has to be
worth at least the same today.
Proposition 5:
P < (E) Put cannot be worth more than its exercise price.
Proof:
Since stock minimum is zero maximum put intrinsic value is
E. Therefore it cannot be worth than E at expiration or worth
more than the Present value of E today. (American Option).
Graph.
Proposition 6:
P > Max ((PV(E) S) , 0)
Proof:
Consider Two portfolios
Portfolio A : Own a put
Time Value
3. Interest rate
Negatively related to Put price
Think of owning a call as not having the proceeds from
selling the stock until some future date. Therefore
higher interest rate implies larger foregone income.
4. Volatility
Positively related to Put Price
Profit on gain but limited liability on loss.
5. Time to maturity
S* < E
Port A:
Port B
P = E S*
C= 0
S = -S*
Get E back
Port B value E - S*
Both Ports same value
same value
S*>E
P=0
C = S* -E
S = -S*
Get back E
Port B = 0
Both Ports have
Index Options
Underlying Asset
1. Consists of a portfolio of securities
2. Gives purchaser to right to purchase an
amount of dollars equal to the index value
multiplied by some multiplier.
3. Example
a. S &P 500
b. Nasdaq 100
f.
g.
4. Example
a.
S0 = $50, E = $50 Prices will rise or fall
50% next period. Risk free rate = 25%.
b.
Delta = (25 0)/ (75- 25) =
c.
Own one stock and sell 2 calls.
d.
Portfolio values at expiration are
i. 75 2(25) =25 or
ii. 25 2(0) = 25
iii. worth $25 no matter what state occur
e.
Value today is $25/(1 + .25) = $20
f.
$20 = S 2C =$50 2C or C =$15
g.
show one period tree
5. A pure arbitrage exists today if call does not
equal $15
a.
Say C=$10 then buy two calls sell stock
and lend $20.
b.
To
T1- T1+
i. Buy 2 calls -20
0
+50
ii. Sell stock +50 -25 -75
iii. Lend $20 -20 +25
+25
iv. Value
+10 0
0
v. Keep $10 for all states
c.
Do Opposite if C > $15
6. Observations
a.
Two assets can be combined to make a
third, therefore arbitrage forces
deterministic price.
b.
No investor risk preferences needed.
c.
Stock price is the only random variable
market risk does not matter.
d.
Probability of up and down movement not
used.
e.
Hedge ratio always between 0 and 1.
f.
Show graph from example.
7. Call price depends on the following variables
a.
Size of stock price movement (Vol ) S+
=80 and S- = 20 implies C = 17
b.
E = 60 implies C = 7
c.
Int rate = 20% implies C = 14.58
d.
Longer time to expiration (must look at
two period model)
8. Two- Period Model.
a.
Must start at expiration and work
backwards for each state of nature
b.
Show two period tree and example.
c.
Hedge ratio must be adjusted each period
9. One Period Put
a.
Combo is for purchase of stock and put
b.
From example S+ + P+ = (Delta) S- + Pc.
Delta = (P+ - P-)/ (S+ - S-)
d.
Delta = -25/50 = -1/2. Buy 1 stock and 2
puts
e.
Value at expiration is $75 in both states
f.
$75/(1.25) = $60 = S + (2)P = 50 =2(P)
g.
P = $5
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Interpretation of Equation
1. As variance goes to zero, N(d1), and N(d2)
approach one since Z score up.
C = S E e-rt
No volatility premium only time value of
money
Show on graph
2. N(d1) = hedge ratio or delta of position =
C/S
This is the slope of the line on graph.
Changes in S, T, or will change delta
i. S up implies delta up since N (.) up.
Strategies
Background
1. Types of positions
a. Naked Purchase or sale of a single type
of option
b. Hedged- Portfolio of both underlying asset
and option
c. Spread- Purchase of one option and sale
of another
d. Combination- Portfolio containing both put
and call options
2. Profit graphs
a. Look at profits at expiration for various
potential stock prices
b. Profit on vertical axis Stock price on
horizontal.
c. Example Stock ownership
3. Analyze components before expiration (delta,
gamma, theta, kappa)
Naked Positions
1. Call Buying
a. Show expiration graph
b. Example S =49, E = 50 C = 3 Delta =.45
Gamma = .04
i. Max loss = 3
ii. Breakeven at expiration is S* = 53
c. Positive Delta, gamma, Kappa
i.
i. Maximum loss is 2
ii. Breakeven is S = 52
d. Delta of Position = stock Delta + put
Delta
i. Always positive between zero and
one
ii. .55 from example
e. Gamma is Positive (As stock price rises
put delta falls therefore position delta
rises).
f. Graph with todays position
g. Theta is negative
i. Position loses money over time
ii. Bought option so lose value over
time.
h. I-t-m vs. o-t-m same as for calls
3. Comparing Covered Calls and Protective
puts
a. Graphical comparison
b. From example can determine under what
various stock price each strategy
dominates
i. Calls max profit is 3 and Put max loss
is 2
ii. Therefore Calls will dominate
between S =44 and and S = 55
Puts otherwise
iii. Calls better for small movements
Puts better for large movement
iv. What happens as volatility of Stock
rises? Does it change your opinion?
Complex Hedges
a.
b.
iii.
2.
3.
Bear Spreads
a. Sell low strikes and buy high strikes
b. Profits if stock price fall
c. Cash inflow for calls outflow for puts
d. Graph
e. Delta negative, all others similar as bull
spreads.
4.
Butterfly Spreads
a. Uses three exercise prices
b. Combines a bull and bear spread
around the middle price
c. Buy low strike, sell 2 middle strikes and
buy high strike
d. Show basic graph
e. Example of call butterfly S =49 , C45 = 6
C50 = 3 C55 = 1
i.
Max loss at S = 45 is 6
6 + 1 =1
ii.
Max profit at S= 50 is 1
+ 6 1 =4
iii.
Graph example
f.
Delta is relatively flat. Goes from
slightly positive to slightly negative.
g. Gamma is also relatively flat
h. Theta depends on location
i.
Risk is low with limited profits. May
have high commission
j.
Reverse ratio buy middle E sell outsides
b. Graph position
c. Similar characteristics to Ratio Call spread
8. Reverse Ratio spreads (Backspreads)
a. Sell low E buy more high E
b. Maximum loss is at high E
c. Can flip example above
d. Graph
e. Characteristics are opposite to ratio
spreads.
f. Watch out for early exercise on in the
money options that are sold especially
with puts.
9. Time Spread
a. Sell Nearby option and buy Option with
longer time to maturity.
b. Cash outflow since longer term has higher
price.
c. Example E = 50 S=48 C(t1) = 2 C(t2) = 5
i. Max loss at T1 is equal to initial
investment since worst case is all
options have zero value
ii. Max Profit is uncertain because price
of C(T2) is not certain at T1.
d. Graph at expiration of nearby option
i. Max profit takes place at S* = E.
1. Since at prices below E keep
premium on nearby while
deferred increases in value as S
increases.
2. While at prices above E the
position loses dollar for dollar on
1. Straddle
a. Buy a Put and a Call with the same
characteristics.
b. One will be in-the-money and one will be o-tm.
c. Max loss is S* = E since neither option will
have any value.
d. Example E = 45 S = 44 P =2 C = 2
i. Max loss is 4 at 45
ii. Show graph
e. Delta could be positive or negative. From
example?
f. Gamma Positive, Theta Negative, Kappa
Positive
2. Strangle
a. Different Exercise Prices of Put and Call
b. Less initial investment if both o-t-m but
max loss is greater.
c. Example of o-t-m strangle S= 37 C40 = 2,
P35 = 2
P40 = 4
A.
Intrinsic value of B = Min (Bd , V*) Either the
bond gets paid off or the debt holders get the
firm.
B.
Graph at expiration
C.Bond purchase could be considered as buying
the firm and writing a covered call to sell it back
at the face value of the debt.
D.
Can find Bo from total value and B/S
equation.
Bo = Vo - So
a.
= Vo - (Vo * N(d1) - Bd e-rt
b.
* N(d2))
= Vo * N(-d1) + Bd e-rt *
c.
N(d2)
E.Delta is Positive, Gamma negative Theta
Positive, Kappa Negative.
F. Show todays graph
IV. Implications
A. V* up implies B up and S up.
B. Vol up implies B down and S up.
i.
Especially around the exercise price
ii. Limited liability for stockholder, Max Profit
for bond holder.
iii. Shifts value from bondholder to stockholder
C. T down implies B up and S down
D.i up implies B down and S up.
V. Convertible Bonds
Definitions
A.
B.
c. Eurodollars
d. Stock Indexes
4. Raw materials (Heating Oil)
II. Mechanics
A. Participants
1. Hedgers Have or will have a spot
market position and wish to reduce the
uncertainty about futures prices.
2. Speculators No spot position
a. Scalpers (in and out of positions in a
few minutes)
b. Day traders (hold position
throughout the day)
c. Position traders
B. CFTC (Regulatory Body)
1. Evaluates new and existing contracts
2. Protect against market manipulation
Buy futures contract
a.
b. Own the deliverable supply
C. Clearinghouse
1. Matches buyers and sellers each night
2. Marks positions to market each night
3. Guarantees no defaults
4. Inspects and certifies the deliverable
supply
D. Primary markets
1. CME
2. CBT
Tr = 1% on bid-ask spread, 1%
commission and storage costs
b. No-arb becomes
400(1.04)(.98) < f0,t < 400(1.05)(1.02)
407.68 < f0,t < 428.40
c. Different costs for different traders
III. Breakdowns in Carry Model
A. Convenience Yield: Futures trade at less than
full carry.
1. Buy futures and sell spot is not done
2. Return for holding physical product.
3. Physical Asset in Short Supply
a. Not enough traders willing to sell spot
and buy back later
b. Need commodity (seasonal
supply/demand conditions) with limited
storage) or short selling restriction
B. Backwardation: Cash price exceeds futures
price or nearby exceeds deferred futures
prices
IV. Futures Prices and Risk Premia
A. With no premium futures price = E[S]
B. Risk premium may exist if all speculators are
on one side of market.
C. Keynes Theory of Normal backwardation
1. Assumes speculators are net long and
hedgers net short
T-Bill Contract
1. Spot Commodity Characteristics
A. Pure Discount instrument
B. Issued in $10,000 Face Value
Demoninations
C. Maturities of 91 and 182 days issued every
Tuesday
D. Price quotes
i. P = ( 1 dt(n/360))(Face Value)
ii. n = days to Maturity
iii. Example dt = 5% N= 90 days FV =
$10,000
1. P = (1- .05(.25))(10,000) = 9,875
2. Futures Contract Specs
A. $1 Mil Face Value for 90,91 or 92 day T-Bills
B. March, June, Sept December delivery
months
C. Expiration date is the third Wed of the
delivery month.
i. Deliverable only exists for three months
prior to expiration
ii. Is created by the six month T-bill auction
3 months before expiration
102-05
Spot Market
A. Auctions with maturities in Feb, May, Aug.
and Sept.
B. Pays principle at maturity, interest Semiannually
C. Quoted in 32nds of a % of par example
interest.
Dec.
month
price
10% y-t-m.
formula
2. example
a. 20 years to maturity 10% and
b. Price if 6% yield = 146. 23 Show
E. Uses
1. Adjust portfolio exposure for little cost
2. Short term substitute for an equity
position
3. Highly leveraged way the speculate on
market.
Hedging
I. Definitions
A. Short Hedge Holder of position worried about
falling prices.
B. Long hedge- Holder of position worried about
rising prices.
C. Direct Hedge Hedger offsetting deliverable
asset
D. Cross Hedge- Hedger not offsetting
deliverable asset
1. Many more cash assets than futures
contracts
2. Limited number of expiration dates on
futures contract
3. Limited size of each contract.
1=0
may not be
optimal
applicable in future
7. If Beta =1 is optimal nave hedge is
C. Problems
1. Assumes yield curve constant over hedging
period.
Otherwise durations change.
2. Must estimate relative changes in yields if
there are any
Hedging Examples
I. Corporate borrower- Borrows a variable rate loan
A. Borrows $2 million at prime rate + 1%
Payable quarterly for next three quarters
B. Borrower is worried about rates rising
C. Sells futures contracts over life of loan
D. If rates rise losses offset by futures gains
E. Want to hedge using Eurodollar contract Sell
2 contracts
F. Currents conditions
1. Prime rate = 7%
2. Spot Eurodollar = 5%
3. June Eurodollar futures contract = 95.00 or
5%
Sept Eurodollar futures contract = 94.5 or
5.5%
Dec. Eurodollar futures contract = 94 or
6%
4. If prime rate is stable at Eurodollar = 2%
expected
$42,500
Payments are:
June = 8% or (2mil)(8%)(1/4) = $40,000
Sept = 8.5% (2mil)(8.5%)(1/4) =
Dec = 9%
(2mil)(9%)(1/4) = $45,000
Total expected interest expense =
$127,500
G. Assume in June Prime rate goes up to 8% but
basis
remains the same.
1. Spot Euro = 6% loan payment is 9%
2. June payment = (2mil)(9%)(1/4) =
$45,000
June Futures Contract = 94 since euros at
6%
Profits are (100)($25)(2) = $5,000
3. The hedge was successful since the basis
didnt move.
H. Have to go through it two more times to
complete hedge.
Strategies
options
Port B
0 (S* -f) + (E-f) = E S*
Port B
1
(S* -E) +(E-S*) = 0
Spreading Strategies
I. Types of spreads
A. Intermarket- Same Commodity, Different
Exchange
Pure arbitrage doesnt happen very often
B. Intercommodity
rate.
it.