Pertemuan 8

Apakah yang dimaksud dengan hipotesis?

Kenapa kita menggunakan pengujian hipotesis?

Definisi

Hipotesis: A statement about a population parameter

Uji hipotesis digunakan karena kita menggunakan

sampel.

Apa tahap2 pengujian hipotesis?

Tahap Pengujian Hipotesis

1
State null &
alt. hypothesis

2
Select sig. level

3
Identify test
statistic

4
Formulate
Decision
Rule

Decision

Apakah hipotesis nol dan alternatif?

Bagaimana menentukan hipotesis nol dan alternatif?

Hipotesis
Null hypothesis (hipotesis nol): hipotesis tentang
populasi

Alternate hypothesis (hipotesis alternatif): hipotesis

yang diterima saat hipotesis nol ditolak

Cara menentukan Ho

Yang ingin dibuktikan = hipotesis alternatif

A company that makes processed cheese is interested in

determining whether some suppliers that provide milk for the
processing operation are adding water to their milk to increase
the amount supplied to the processing operation. It is known
that excess water reduces the freezing point of the milk. The
freezing point of natural milk is normally distributed, with a
mean of -0.545 Celsius. The cheese company is only interested
in determining whether the freezing point of the milk is less
than what would be expected from natural milk.

Cara Menentukan Ho
whether the freezing point of the milk is less than
what would be expected from natural milk

Rata2 susu biasa: -0.545 Celsius

Fokus pengujian = less than natural milk = < -0.545 C.

Ha: rata2 < -0.545 C

H0: rata2 >= -0.545 C

Apakah yang dimaksud dengan tingkat signifikansi?

Berapa tingkat signifikansi yang digunakan di dalam

ilmu sosial?

Tingkat Signifikansi
Adalah: kemungkinan menolak H0, padahal H0 adalah
yang benar

= 1-tingkat keyakinan

5% = consumer research

1% = quality assurance

10% = political polling

Apa hubungan tingkat signifikansi dan type 1 error?

Apa perbedaan type 1 and type 2 error?

Type 1 and Type 2 Error

H0 benar
H0 salah

H0 diterima
Keputusan
benar
Type 2

H0 ditolak
Type 1

Keputusan
benar

Rumus 1 Sample Test

=

Z = nilai normal standar

t = nilai distribusi t
Xbar = rata2 sampel
= rata2 populasi
= stdev populasi
s = stdev sampel
n = jumlah sampel

Kapan menggunakan Z atau t?

Ya

N >= 30?

TIDAK

Ya

diketahui?

TIDAK

Kapan pakai 1 tailed dan 2 tailed test?

1 tailed atau 2 tailed?

an economist wishes to determine whether there is
evidence that mean family income in a community
exceeds $50,000

an economist wishes to determine whether there is

evidence that mean family income in a community
equals $50,000

Latihan
How many tissues should the Kimberly Clark
Corporation package of Kleenex contain? Researchers
determined that 60 tissues is the mean number of
tissues used during a cold. Suppose a random sample
of 100 Kleenex users yielded the following data on the
number of tissues used during a cold: Xbar = 52, S =
22.

Give the null and alternative hypotheses.

Using the sample information provided, calculate the

value of the test statistic.

Latihan
The owner of a local nightclub has recently surveyed a
random sample of n = 250 customers of the club. She
would now like to determine whether or not the mean
age of her customers is over 30. If so, she plans to alter
the entertainment to appeal to an older crowd. If not,
no entertainment changes will be made. Suppose she
found that the sample mean was 30.45 years and the
sample standard deviation was 5 years. If she wants to
be 99% confident in her decision, what decision should
she make?

Latihan
An entrepreneur is considering the purchase of a coinoperated laundry. The current owner claims that over
the past 5 years, the mean daily revenue was $675 with
a standard deviation of $75. A sample of 30 days
reveals a daily mean revenue of $625. If you were to
test the null hypothesis that the daily mean revenue was
$675 and decide not to reject the null hypothesis, what
can you conclude?

Rumus Proporsi
=

Z = nilai normal standar

n = jumlah sampel
p = proporsi sampel
= proporsi populasi

Latihan
To test this claim against the alternative that the actual
proportion of doctors who recommend aspirin is less
than 0.90, a random sample of 100 doctors results in 83
who indicate that they recommend aspirin.