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Recap of notations
- Beta of assets
- Beta of equity
- Beta of debt
- Value of subsidy
09/03/2013
Learned how to calculate WACC and what different values of mean. These have been
briefly explained below.
is the risk associated with the operations of the business. This is related to the
industry the firm is in.
When a firm is unlevered, right side has only equity and hence assets = equity and so are
the risks associated with them.
In addition, =
rem I)
WACC is only meaningful if D/V is constant, otherwise WACC changes every year.
09/03/2013
= +
When D is constant:
= DT
(1)
(1)
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Coming to valuation
Companies are valued for their assets as well as their future cash flows.
As we already know, = + = +
But, if the firm is levered, then the value increases by the amount interest provides a tax
shelter. Let us see how this translates into an equation like below in case of constant
D/E ratio
1
2
= (1+)
+ (1+)
2 +
How?
,0 - Value of the levered firm at t=0, ,1 - Value of the levered firm at t=1
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Valuation contd
Capital cash flow to the firm = Free cash flow + Interest tax shelter
1 = 1 + 0
When the Capital cash flow is known which combines all the effects of the capital
structure (Capital structure only means how much debt you are taking), then the risk of
this cash flow is only reflective of how the business is.
,0 =
Let = and =
When
Then ,0 =
1 +,1
(1+ )
1 + 0 +,1
(1+ )
is constant, 0 = ,0
1 + ,0 +,1
(1+ )
1 +,1
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Valuation contd
For constant , =
Substituting, we get ,0 =
1 +,1
1+ + (1)
WACC
Hence, it can be clearly seen that WACC can be used to discount the
free cash flows directly to arrive at the firm value.
Simply put, =
1
2
+
(1+)
(1+)2
+ + ,
The simple procedure for the valuation of the company levered with
constant is discussed in the next slide
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1
2
+
(1+)
(1+)2
The growth rates and numbers are given only till first N years and
after that a constant growth rate is given for FCF?
Then we need to use =
1
2
+
(1+)
(1+)2
+ + ,
Where , is the value of the firm at time N after which firm will have
constant growth rate. This is also called the continuing value of the firm.
, =
+1
+2
+
(1+)
(1+)2
+ =
(1+)
Note: Make sure that cash flows are growing from Nth year. It means
that the cash flow in the N+1th year is (1 + ).
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How to find ?
is nothing but the value of the firm if it is run by full equity. Then
= =
So, discount the cash flows by .
1
2
+
(1+ )
(1+ )2
+ + ,
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10
1 1
1
= 1 and 2 =
2 2
2
= 2
11
1 1
2
and 2 =
2 2
2
= 2
This is because here we are ignoring the value of subsidy itself that
requires us to actually pay lesser amounts than if we had got it from the
market for the same risk level
The difference comes in the actual interest and principal payments made
in the case of two loans.
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12
Interest
Principal
1
2
+ 2 2 + + +
+
(1+2 )
(1+2 )
(1+2 )
(1+2 )
(1+2 )2
This 1 is effectively how much we are repaying.
1 =
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+ +
(1+2 )
13
Value from distortions will include value from interest tax shelter plus
subsidies if any.
These are called the adjustments and the final value obtained ( ) is
called the Adjusted Present Value (APV).
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14
Illustrations
To start with, let us say a firm has the following properties (perpetual CF)
Tax
PBIT
12%
50%
360
Hence, =
180
12%
= 1500
Now, let us assume that instead of funding this firm fully by equity, there
is a constant debt funding of 1000 @ 10%.
The only distortion added for the firms value is the interest tax shelter.
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15
Illustrations
In case of constant perpetual debt, interest tax shelter = DT
Hence, = = 1000 50% = 500
= + = 1000 + 500 = 1500
But, let us say in the debt of 1000, 500 actually came at a subsidized
interest rate of 8%.
In this case there would be both interest tax shelter distortion and the
Subsidy distortion.
=
500@10% 10% +
500@8% 10%
=
50010%50%
5008%50%
+
10%
10%
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= 450
16
Illustrations
= D D where D = 500 is the subsidized loan and is the effective
value paid to the subsidizer.
=
500@8% 10% =
5008%
= 400
10%
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17
Illustrations
= D D where D = 500 is the subsidized loan and is the effective
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18
Illustrations
We have seen this problem already once last time. So, it will be short now
If the value is calculated by completely ignoring the financial distortions,
it is nothing but which is -90 in this problem
The distortions for the two debts is for loan A and for loan B(as
it does not have interest)
For loan A:
1
ITS
20
.12 9.12
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19
Illustrations
For loan B: = D D where D = 55 is the subsidized loan and is
the effective value paid to the subsidizer.
2
10
Interest
Principal
55
=
=
+ 2 2
(1+2 )
(1+2 )
55
1.09510
+ +
(1+2 )
1
2
+
(1+2 )
(1+2 )2
+ +
(1+2 )
= 22.19328
20
09/03/2013
21
Notations
- Gains to the acquirer
- Gains to the target = Acquisition premium
- Number of shares of Target outstanding
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22
Cash acquisition
An acquisition opportunity has the following properties
A
Value
40 10
20 10
100
Shares
40
20
Price
10
10
Let us say, if the acquirer decides to pay 250 to the target for the
acquisition.
23
Cash acquisition
What will happen to the share prices of the acquirer and target shares
once the announcement of acquisition is made?
Acquirer pays + for the acquisition. This value goes to the
outstanding shares of the target. So, the price becomes
=
200+50
20
= 12.5
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400+50
40
= 11.25
24
25
65
40
65
700 = 430.76
700 = 269.23
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25
40
65
40
65
25
65
25
400
65
, =
200
40
65
100
Similarly, = +
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26
Stock Acquisition
So, to generalize if r acquirer shares are issued for every target share
outstanding, then total number of shares in the combined firm =
+ , where acquirer has shares and target has shares
Hence, =
and =
What will happen to the prices of the stocks soon after the announcement
is made. Everyone knows combined value of the firm is A+T+S and the
total number of shares would be + . So, the combined share
++
price should be
+
As the acquirers shares are the same as combined firm shares, price of
++
share of acquirer would become this value. =
+
For the target, every one of its current shares represent shares in the
combined firm.
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27
Stock Acquisition
Hence, its share price should reflect the same thing. So, its price moves to
=
++
+
So, we know that the prices depend on the value of . How to decide the
value of ?
In addition to the sharing of synergy, another important criterion
generally used would be not to dilute the EPS as this is considered
important from shareholders point of view.
Let us say is the EPS of acquirer and is the EPS of target.
Let = 1 and = 2. Then the total earnings of A = 1 and
total earnings of T = 2 . Earnings of combined firm = + 2
Total number of shares of combined firm = + .
Hence the total EPS of the combined firm =
09/03/2013
+2
+
28
Stock Acquisition
If the acquirer does not want the EPS to get diluted, then
+2
+
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29
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30
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31
Illustrations
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32
Illustrations
12%
10%
PBIT
40%
150
500
FCFF:
1 = 90
CCF:
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33
Illustrations
FCFE:
PAT = (150-50) .6 = 60
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12%
= 500
34
Thank You