Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Dr. Muh Aris Marfai M.Sc and Dr. Danang Sri Hadmoko, M.Sc
Input paper
Indonesian archipelago, as a country with 1,904,569 km2 extent area and about 230
million inhabitants, is very vulnerable to natural hazard. The threatening event of natural hazard
is the main source of damages to human environment. Although various natural hazards are
continuously emerging in worldwide scale, the impact is higher in developing countries, such as
Indonesia (Marfai et al. 2008a). In addition to high magnitude and intensity of natural hazards
occurred in Indonesia, socio-economic aspects often produce higher risk. The hazards occurrence
in Indonesia is continuously increasing. This condition is not only caused by physical process,
but also combined by unsustainable human activities, especially due to inappropriate land use
management (Marfai and King 2008a).
Various natural hazards occur in Indonesia each year. This condition mainly related to the
geographic position of Indonesia, which located in very active tectonic plates. Tectonic setting of
Indonesia in general is located on the collision of three major tectonic plates, namely Eurasian,
Indian-Australian, and Pacific Plates. The movement of each plate makes the location to be very
susceptible to volcanic eruption, earthquake, and tsunami (GFDRR 2009; Sutikno 2007).
Detailed tectonic setting of Indonesia, as explained by Hall (2009), is shown in Figure 1.1.
Figure 1.1. Tectonic setting of Indonesian Archipelago. Red arrows indicate the movement
relative to each other: IND-EUR (Indian to Eurasian plate), PSP-EUR (Philippine Sea Plate to
Eurasian plate), and AUS-PAC (Australian to Pacific Plate). Source: Hall 2009
2
Besides the hazards generated by active tectonic movement, hazards due to other naturalenvironmental condition also exist. Worse disaster events are currently increasing due to
environmental degradation, as produced by unsustainable development. As summarized by
Marfai et al (2008a), Marfai and King (2008a), Marfai (2011a), Sartohadi et al (2009), and Ward
et al (2011), coastal erosion and inundation, river flooding, land subsidence, and landslide also
have been identified in many places. The hazards of coastal erosion, coastal inundation, river
flooding, and land subsidence are now threatening major urban coastal cities in Indonesia,
especially Jakarta and Semarang (Marfai and King 2007; Marfai and King 2008a; Marfai and
King 2008b; Marfai et al. 2008b; Ward et al. 2011). Indonesia also becomes highly prone area to
climatic hazards, such as drought and cyclone. Increasing extreme climatic condition, as driven
by climate change phenomena (IPCC 2007), is predicted cause higher magnitude and intensity of
drought and flood (Naylor 2007). Various natural hazards affecting Indonesian archipelago is
summarized in Figure 1.2. These hazards led Indonesia suffered many losses. One of the
important impacts of disaster is health sector. This chapter is intended to provide basic
understanding of Health Impact Assessment (HIA) in disaster management in Indonesia,
particularly in flood management.
Figure 1.2. Various natural hazards affecting Indonesian archipelago (adopted from Marfai
2011a)
3
Location
Nanggroe Aceh
Darussalam
Yogyakarta and
Central Java
Earthquake and Pangandaran
tsunami
Flooding
Jakarta
Date
Impact
Property Losses
Dec 2004
May 2006
July 2006
Feb 2007
145,774 houses
inundated
eruptions throughout the country. Since mid of 1500s, 61 reported eruption of Merapi volcano
killed about 7,000 people (Thouret et al. 2000)
Figure 1.3. Tsunami vulnerability map of Indonesia (Bakosurtanal 2006, with modification from
Marfai 2008a)
Although highest disaster victims are produced from earthquake and tsunami, the
occurrence is infrequent. In fact, 40% of disaster events in Indonesia are generated from flooding
(EM-DAT 2004; Dewi 2007). In addition to flooding due to overflowing water from the river,
flooding due to high tides is also common in the coastal area (Marfai et al 2008b). The flood
hazard is higher in west part of Indonesia, especially in Java Island (National Board of Disaster
Management/BNPB 2010). The map of flood hazard intensity in Indonesia is shown in Figure
1.4.
Flood occurrence
Figure 1.4. Flood hazard occurrence of Indonesia during 1979-2009 (Source: BNPB 2010)
5
Figure 1.5. Indonesian position on implementing HFA (UNISDR 2011 with modification from
Djalante 2012)
Various organization, including local government, international agency, and nongovernment organization (NGO), are involved in present disaster management in Indonesia. In
2008, more than 600 stakeholders working on disaster risk reduction in Indonesia (including
government, NGO, and agencies) were listed in UN Office of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)
database (UNTWG-DRR 2008). In order to manage various stakeholders involved, national
coordination is taken by National Board of Disaster Management (BNPB). New structural
organization of BNPB on national level and BPBD in local/provincial level has been introduced
in 2008 (BNPB 2011). National coordination disaster management is now refers on this
structure, which is divided from local, provincial, and national level.
National regulation on disaster risk reduction is ruled through Law Number 27/2007 on
disaster risk reduction program. Following this regulation and HFA framework, several action
plans have been developed. The most recent is National Action Plan on Disaster Risk Reduction
(NAD-DRR) 2010-2012. NAP-DRR is the elaboration of Disaster Management Plan (RPB)
within the framework of national development plan. The plan is including Long Term National
Development Plan (RPJPN) and Medium Term National Development Plan (RPJMN) (Bappenas
2010). This framework can be separated into three different level, including regency/municipal
level, provincial level, and national level. Development plan on each level (RPJP/RPJPN) must
refer to Spatial Development Planning document (RTRW), in which the hazards has been
identified and mapped. Detailed structure of this framework is shown in Figure 1.6.
Figure 1.7. Asian countries with highest flood occurrence (Dewi 2007)
As summarized by BNPB (2010), there were 2509 large flood hazard during period of
1979-2009. The number is even bigger if minor flood hazard is included, in which the annual
average of flood hazards in Indonesia is about 297 cases per year. Although the number of people
death due to flooding is lower, but the number of total casualties (including people moved and
evacuated) is the highest. Almost 94% of total casualties generated by natural hazards in
Indonesia are caused by flooding. During single year of 2009, 311 inhabitants were death and
5,232,081 inhabitants were evacuated due to flooding (BNPB 2009). Sorted by province, Jawa
Tengah (Central Java Province), Jawa Timur (East Java Province), and Jawa Barat (West Java
Province) are the province with highest flood hazard occurrence (Figure 1.8). In these provinces,
more than 200 large flood hazards occurred during 1979-2009.
8
Figure 1.8. Number of large flood hazard occurred in Indonesian Province during 1979-2009
(Modified from BNPB 2010)
Because the flood occurrence is highest in Java Island, in which more than 60%
Indonesian population live, flood hazard is considered to be very problematic. In Java, flooding
not only becomes major threat to the area alongside the riverbank, but also on lowland delta and
coastal area. Due to the dynamic of geomorphological processes on low and flat topography,
coastal area and lowland delta in the north part of Java Island is the most affected by flooding
(Bird and Ongkosongo 1980; Sunarto 2004).
In the term of urban coastal cities and megacities, Jakarta and Semarang, as located in
north part of Java, are the most affected by flooding. In addition to the threat of river flooding,
coastal flooding due to high tide also exists. In Jakarta, increasing coastal inundation due to sea
level rise is predicted to cause 14,900 - 15,100 ha losses of land and corresponding damage
between 20.8 to 21 billion USD (Ward et al. 2011). In Semarang, the scenario of increasing
coastal flooding of 120 cm and 180 cm high tide developed by Marfai and King (2008a), is
predicted to cause 4,567 5594 ha losses of land. Moreover, the economic losses due to
increasing coastal flooding in Semarang are predicted to range between 2.2 to 2.9 billion USD.
In reducing the impact of flooding, several adaptive response and mitigation actions have
been implemented by local government. As explained by The US Army Corps of
9
10
The term of impact assessment is more general than risk assessment. Impact assessment
is intended to identify potential damages and/or losses due to interaction of hazard with natural
and human made environment. Impact assessment defines the number of exposed people,
property, services, or everything related to the damages generated by hazard event. In order to
access the impact of flooding, Jha et al (2012), has classified the impact into two classes; consists
of direct and indirect impact of flooding. The direct impact is including impact towards people,
building and contents, animal and crops, etc. The indirect damage is including natural, Health,
environment, human and social impact, economic and financial impact, etc (Figure 1.10).
Figure 1.10. Example of direct and indirect impact of flooding (modified from Jha et al. 2012)
Health is one example of the indirect impact that is often emerging due to flooding
(Reacher et al. 2004; Jacubicka et al. 2010). In addition to immediate health impact of flooding
(e.g. drowning, injury, acute asthma, skin infection, gastroenteritis, and respiratory infection), the
health impact in the longer term (e.g. diarrhea, dysentery, and dengue fever) also exists (Noji
1991; Baxter et al. 2001; Howard et al. 1996). Regarding to the board range of health impact of
flooding, health impact assessment due to flooding is considered to be very important, especially
in developing countries. The low environmental quality that often found in developing countries,
such as Indonesia, might trigger higher health impact due to flooding. Therefore health impact
assessment towards Indonesian flood prone area provides significant value in the disaster risk
management cycle, in which become the basis for prevention action.
12
14
Natural disasters have been a main factor of mortality. By the year of 2008, 321 disasters
killed over 235.000 people, affected the lives of more than 211 million victims and cost over
US$ 181 billion (UNISDR 2009). Disaster Management could be included to actions such as
adaptation and mitigation. In this case, Health impact assessment is additional to increase the
quality of disaster management. For additional, climate change seems to increase the number of
disadvantages of natural disasters. Climate change causes the increasing of natural disaster such
as flood due to sea level rise, drought, fire wild due to the warmer temperature, typhoon, and etc.
This makes health impact assessment as one of mitigation act is necessary needed. The
determinants of health and well-being are the condition of the surrounding live, such as political
factors, community, public services, livelihood, housing, health behavior and environment.
Furthermore, environment which affects health are air quality, soil contamination, noise, disease
vectors, water resources, food resources, and disasters. Figure 2.1 explains factors affected to
health, and natural disasters (such as flood and landslide hazard) are counted to be one of the
factors.
In addition, climate change as the hot global issues has already makes numerous
damaging on human lives. It is not only affection to ecosystems changes but also species live in
it. Increasing of temperatures averages and changing of climatic pattern caused impact on human
health. These causes spread infectious diseases, longer and hotter heat waves, and extreme
weather and take thousands of victims.
15
The health impacts of climate changes in Indonesia (Haryanto 2009) are as follows:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
systems, etc
Starvation, malnutrition and diarrhea and respiratory diseases
Mosquito, tick-borne diseases and rodent-borne diseases because of warmer temperature
Malnutrition and undernutrition because of food supply decreasing.
Waterborne and foodborne diseases
An evaluation of the impact of climate variability and change in a range of areas and
populations, especially among vulnerable populations and, when possible, to determine
the attributable burden of weather and climate, including extreme events, to climate-
sensitive diseases
An evaluation of possible threshold effects
An evaluation of the effects of multiple stresses, including changes in socioeconomic
systems
An evaluation of uncertainty and its implications for risk management
An evaluation of the effects of reducing emissions, such as by comparing the impact
Jakarta is capital city of Indonesia which has become a centre of politics and economics
in Indonesia. As a centre of economic, Jakarta contributed more than 17% to the national GDP. It
has high economic growth and high number of population. Geomorphologically, Jakarta is
susceptible to flooding. Jakarta is located in the northern part of Java which is directly bordered
to Java Sea and intersected by thirteen rivers (Figure 3.1). Most of area in Jakarta is located in a
flat-low lying areas and some of them is located below sea level. Jakarta has a complex history
of flood. Flood history of Jakarta was started since the 17 th century. However, flooding became
16
great problems for people in the end of 19th century. Historical data of river flood event in
Jakarta is shown in Table 3.1. There is no recorded data of flood events in year 1621, 1654 and
1876. Flood event in January 1932 inundated several houses in Dabang and Thamrin Streets.
Then, in 1st January 1932 flooding caused 200.000 people evacuated. During 1977 until 2008
have occurred 8 times big flood event. Flood event in 2007 is being the worst event in its
recorded data (Texier, 2008). It caused 150.000 people evacuated and approximately 60 % area
of Jakarta was inundated. Heavy rainfall occurred during in the beginning of February, detailed
rainfall data in 3 February 2007 is shown in Figure 3.2.
Fig
ure 3.1. Rivers intersected in Jakarta
17
Figure 3.2. Rainfall data from Ciliwung river recording stations (3 February 2007)
Source: BMKG in ADPC, 2010
Table 3.1 Historical River Flood Hazard in Jakarta
Date
No recorded data
9 January 1932
1 February 1976
19 January 1977
8 January 1984
13 February 1989
13 January 1997
26 January 1999
29 January 2002
18
February 2008
Source: Balai Besar Wilayah Sungai Ciliwung dan Cisadane, Department of Public Work (DPU)
in Frenkel (2011) and Marfai et.al. (2012)
Flood event in Jakarta caused damages and losses in every aspects of human life, include
human health. Environmental problem due to flooding caused health problems. Waste disposal
and garbage along the river become serious problems in some area (Figure 3.3). Several diseases
can be transmitted by water inundation such as skin infections, respiratory infections, and
gastrointestinal infections. Flood inundation indirectly can be used as breeding places for
mosquitoes which can spread other diseases such as dengue fever and malaria. Harmful disease
arisen due to flooding is leptosirosis. It is caused by bacteria found in rats urine. During flood,
flood water mixed with various waste include rats urine. Figure 3.4 explains one condition of
inundations area in Jakarta City.
19
Figure 3.5. Proportion of patients due to flooding in 2002 (Jakarta Public Health Department,
2002)
Other diseases occurred are leptosirosis and dengue haemorrhagic fever. These diseases
appeared later and caused serious impact. Leptosirosis is more harmful than other because some
20
patients were died. Numbers of leptosirosis patients after flooding in 2002 are 70 patients and 17
of them were died (Department of Health, 2002). Leptosirosis found in 38 subdistricts in Jakarta
and the biggest case occurred in West Jakarta. Main cause of this disease is rats urine which
mixed in flood water. Flood water is contaminated by various wastes which can disrupt human
health.
Problems in public health didnt reduce in line with receding of flood. Data indicated that
number of patients was increasing when flood started to recede (Figure 3.6). Flood always leave
trash and waste surrounding the settlement. It brings negative impact for human health. So many
bacteria and viruses transmitted from trash and waste. So, it is potential for spreading the
diseases after flooding.
21
Figure 3.7. Percentage of People suffered diarrhea (Jakarta Public Health Department, 2002))
22
process, most of the rivers are responsible to the threat of flooding in Semarang (Marfai and
King 2007).
the sea level due to land subsidence is now common. Sinking area is predicted to gradually
increase from 365 ha to 1,377.5 ha during 2010-2015 (Marfai and King 2007). The land
subsidence is mostly affecting the Northeast part of Semarang coastal area. Several villages are
now under the threat of higher coastal inundation due to subsidence (Table 3.2).
Table 3.2. Villages affected by higher coastal inundation due to land subsidence
Villages
Area Inundated (Ha)
Tanjung-mas
6.28
Bandar-Harjo
41.52
Dadapsari
2.77
Kuningan
26.65
Total
77.22
Source: North Semarang Government (2002)
Massive damages and losses towards the property and infrastructure due to coastal inundation
has occurred in Semarang (Soedarsono1996; Yusup 1999; Kobayashi 2003; Marfai 2003; Marfai
2004; Dewi 2007; Marfai and King 2007). The efforts in reducing the impact of coastal inundation
have been taken. Although dike, pumping station, and polder system as physical measures has built
and installed, the flooding is continuously inundating the coastal area (Marfai and King 2008a;
Marfai et al. 2008b). The inundated settlements were increasing during period of 1996-2010.
Detailed changes on the area inundated are shown in Table 3.3.
Table 3.3. Changes of inundated area during 1996-2010
Villages
Changes
4.53
-15.3
17.21
23.18
29.62
24
Figure 3.9. Inundation on the coastal area; inundation on the road (a) and in the residential areas
(b,c) (Marfai and King 2007)
The serious impact of coastal inundation becomes higher because most of the inundated
areas are dense populated settlements (see Figure 3.9). The inundation on these areas is
potentially causing the damages on building. Non-permanent building, which is one of the
products of unmanaged development, is the most suffered from the inundation. Those buildings
were constructed from low quality material and formed un-uniform pattern between each other.
Poor environmental condition is also found in this area. Unstructured drainage channel with high
sediment load, combined with the complex environmental sanitation problems, is predicted to
higher health impact to the local community live in this area.
Severe impact of the inundation is not solely related to magnitude of the coastal
inundation itself. Regarding to this, Soedarsono (2011) has identified several factors that
generate higher impact. In addition to flat topographical condition in which resists the water to
back to the sea, the soil also saturated because it is often inundated. This condition makes the
water cannot well infiltrated to the ground. Shallow groundwater table also becomes the main
reason of this problem. The site location on the river outlets, in which has high magnitude of land
subsidence, produce higher inundation from year to year. Dense un-uniform settlement and poor
drainage makes longer flooding duration, as it requires several hours to the water level to be
decreased.
Water that inundates the settlement in Semarang is the main source for the diseases.
Worse condition found due to the poor environmental condition, in which solid waste pollution
and water pollution taken place. Solid waste pollution is common due to lack of solid waste
management. The source of water pollution mainly comes from household, including pollution
from detergent, feces, and urine. Although some of them can access clean water from the water
company pipe system, about 40% of them still use groundwater as the main source for daily
requirements. Therefore, diseases spreading in this area possibly come from two major sources.
In addition to the diseases that come from the water that inundates for long duration, the diseases
are also emerging from the water polluted by household waste. Several diseases that often found
in this area are shown in Table 3.4.
Table 3.4. Diseases related to environmental health and number of people suffered
25
Diseases
2007 2008
16111 22597
1647
2538
2117
289
2209
294
184
196
Sanitation is the major problem on this area, in which not all of the inhabitants have
private toilet and septic tank on their house. Therefore, part of the inhabitants flow liquid
household waste directly to the open channel around the settlement. Due to flood inundation, the
household waste is often mixed with the water. Improper household waste management, which is
generated from low environmental health, is one of the main sources for the diseases.
Based on how the diseases are transmitted, the source can be classified to water borne
diseases and vector borne diseases. Water borne diseases is especially emerging due to poor
sanitation condition. Water borne diseases not only spread when the water is high, but also when
it gets lower. When the water elevation decreases, it left mud and residual on the ground surface.
The most disease emerging due to the combination of the inundation and poor sanitation is
Diarrhea (Table 3.5), in which it is mostly emerging due to unavailability of clean water and
exposed feces (Ahmad 2003). In addition to diarrhea, dysentery also emerging due to
contaminated groundwater.
Table 3.5. Water borne diseases in the inundated villages
Villages
Typhoid
Kuningan
0
Bandar-Harjo
0
Dadapsari
1
Tanjung-Mas
0
Total
1
Source: Soedarsono 2011
Dysentery
5
2
5
9
21
Diarrhea
18
8
25
46
97
Others
3
1
7
4
15
Total
26
11
38
59
134
26
Malaria
Kuningan
Bandar-Harjo
Dadapsari
Tanjung-Mas
Total
Source: Soedarsono 2011
10
4
12
22
48
Dengue
fever
8
5
10
19
42
Leptospirosis
Others
Total
0
0
0
1
1
8
2
16
17
43
26
11
38
59
134
IV. REMARK
Health Impact Assessment in Indonesia is rarely implemented especially for disaster
management. Nevertheless, in matter of fact Indonesia experiences natural disasters for the
geographic condition. Natural disaster could bring primary effect such as death and secondary
effect of diseases caused by the natural disaster. Health Impact Assessment could help to reduce
the risk of natural disaster impact in Indonesia. It is necessary to made socialization,
dissemination, and policies as an implementation of Health Impact Assessment in Indonesia for
future. As a mitigation act of natural disaster, Health Impact Assessment can be implemented to
reduce the health impact of the disaster occurs in Indonesia.
The primary reason of why the Health Impact Assessment is necessary needed in
Indonesia is because natural disaster frequently happens in this country. Flood, earthquake,
landslide, volcano eruption, and tsunami occur as the short period disaster and to be worst
climate change has added as the long period disaster. Health Impact Assessment will be as a tool
27
to help community to reduce the health impact of the natural disaster damaged such as injury,
respiratory infection, infectious disease, and even death. Health Impact Assessment will arrange
regulation to reduce the risk because policies can have a considerable influence on health and the
production or prevention of illness, disability or death. A high level of human health protection is
necessary to be ensured in the definition and implementation of all community policies and
activities. HIA will also can measure the possibility of disease happens in a natural disaster
events.
Health Impact Assessment should also be able to comprehensively reflect the real
conditions and real environmental problems, so it is necessary discussion of cross-sectoral
coordination. Organization partnerships take key action to develop Health Impact Assessment in
one community. In this case, Indonesia Government including the regional government could
work together with private sector and local community to be participated together in develop the
policies and to make sure the health impact assessment is implemented.
28
References:
ADPC (2010) Flood preparedness initiatives of high-risk communities of Jakarta. Safer Cities
27. June 2010.
Ahmad UF (2003) Guidelines for reducing leptospirosis in Indonesia. Public Health Department
of Indonesia. Jakarta.
Bakosurtanal (2006) Tsunami vulnerability map of Indonesia. Indonesia: National Agency for
Survey and Mapping(Bakosurtanal), available at <http://www.bakornaspbp.go.id/
html/tsunami.htm.>, last accessed 22 September 2012.
Bappenas (2010) National Action Plan for Disaster Risk Reduction 2010-2012. Indonesia:
National Agency of Development and Planning (Bappenas).
Baxter PJ, Moller I, Spencer T (2001) Coastal flooding and climate change. Chapter 4.6. In:
Health Effects of Climate Change in the UK: an expert review for comment. London:
Department of Health; 2001. p. 177-87, available at <http://www.doh.gov.uk/hef/airpol/
climatechange/ 177-187.pdf>, last accessed 22 September 2012.
Bhatia R (2011) Health Impact Assessment: A Guide for Practice. Oakland, CA: Human Impact
Partners.
Bieri S (2003) Disaster Risk Management and the Systems Approach. World Institute for
Disaster Risk Management (DRM).
Bird ECF and Ongkosongo OSR (1980) Environmental changes on The Coast of Indonesia. The
United Nations University: United Nations university press.
BNPB (2009) Flood hazard map of Indonesia during 1979-2009. Indonesia: National Agency for
Disaster Management (BNPB)
BNPB (2010) Analysis of Disaster Data: Data on Disaster in Indonesia 2009. Indonesia: National
Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB)
29
BNPB (2011) History of BNPB. Indonesia: National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB),
available at <http:// www.bnpb.go.id / website/asp/ content.asp?id=2>, last accessed 22
September 2012.
BPS Semarang (2002) Semarang in Figures 2002, Bureau of Statistics (BPS) Semarang,
Indonesia.
Caljouw M, Nas PJM, Pratiwo (2005) Flooding in Jakarta. Towards a blue city with improved
water management. Bijdragen tot de Taal-, Land- en Volkenkunde (BKI) 161:454484.
Dewi A (2007) Community-based analysis of coping with urban flooding: A case study in
Semarang, Indonesia. M.Sc. thesis, International Institute for Geo-Information and Earth
Observation, ITC, Enschede, The Netherlands.
Development Planning Board (DPB). (2000). Profile of Semarang Coastal Area (In Indonesian).
Indonesia: Government of Semarang.
Djalante R, Thomalla F, Sinapoy MS, Carnegie M (2012) Building resilience to natural hazards
in Indonesia: progress and challenges in implementing the Hyogo Framework for Action.
Nat Hazards 62:779803
EM-DAT (2004) EM-DAT Historical Disaster Information 1979-2004.
Fewtrell L, and Kay D. (2011) Carlisle Flooding: Health Impact Assessment, Health and
Flooding-Source and Receptor Factors. Aberystwyth University: FRMRC Research
Report SMP 3.1 April 2011. Project website: www.floodrisk.org.uk
Gertisser R, Charbonnier SJ, Keller J, Quidelleur X (2012) The geological evolution of Merapi
volcano, Central Java, Indonesia. Bull Volcanol 74:12131233
GFDRR (2009) Disaster risk management programs for priority countries East Asia and Pacific:
Indonesia. Global fund for disaster risk reduction.
Hall R (2009) Encyclopedia of Islands. In: Gillespie R & Clague D (eds). Berkeley California:
University of California Press p. 454-460.
Haryanto B (2009) Climate Change and Public Health in Indonesia Impacts and Adaptation.
Nautilus Institute Australia: Austral Policy Forum 09-05S.3 December 2009.
Howard MJ, Brillman JC, Burkle FM (1996) Infectious disease emergencies in disasters.
Emergency Medicine Clinics of North America 14: 413-28.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change/IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts,
adaptation, and vulnerability. In: McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ,
30
White KS (eds) Contribution of working group II to the third assessment report of the
intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, UK.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change/IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: impacts,
adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment
report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press,
UK.
Indonesia Public Health Department (DEPKES RI). (2002). Menanggulangi Masalah Kesehatan
Akibat Banjir: Pengalaman Menghadapi Bencana Banjir DKI Jakarta Tahun 2002.
Jakarta: Depkes.
Jakubicka T, Vos F, Phalkey R, Marx M (2010) Health impacts of floods in Europe: Data gaps
and information needs from a spatial perspective. Microdis.
Jha AK, Bloch R, Lamond J (2012) Cities and Flooding: A Guide to Integrated Urban Flood Risk
Management for the 21st Century. The World Bank. Washington DC.
Kobayashi H (2003) Vulnerability assessment and adaptation strategy to sea-level rise in
Indonesian coastal urban areas. National Institute for Land and Infrastructure
Management, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Asahi-1, Tsukuba-city,
Japan.
Lavigne F (2000) Lahar hazard micro-zonation and risk assessment in Yogyakarta city,
Indonesia. GeoJournal 49: 173183
Marfai MA and King L (2007) Monitoring land subsidence in Semarang, Indonesia. Env Geol
53:651659.
Marfai MA and King L (2008a) Potential vulnerability implications of coastal inundation due to
sea level rise for the coastal zone of Semarang city, Indonesia. Environ Geo 54:1235
1245.
Marfai MA and King L (2008b) Tidal inundation mapping under enhanced land subsidence in
Semarang, Central Java Indonesia. Nat Hazards 44:93109.
Marfai MA, Almohammad H, Dey S, Susanto B, King L (2008a) Coastal dynamic and shoreline
mapping: multi-sources spatial data analysis in Semarang Indonesia. Environ Monit
Assess 142:297308
Marfai MA, King, Sartohadi J, Sudrajat, Budiani SR, Yulianto F (2008b) The impact of tidal
flooding on a coastal community in Semarang, Indonesia. Environmentalist 28:237248.
31
Marfai MA (2011a) The hazards of coastal erosion in Central Java, Indonesia: An overview.
Geografia Online Malaysian Journal of Society and Space 7:1-9.
Naylor RL (2007) Assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for Indonesian rice
agriculture, PNAS journal 104:7752-7757.
Nicholls RJ (2004) Coastal flooding and wetland loss in the 21st century: changes under the
SRES climate and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environ Chang 14:6989.
Nicholls RJ, Hanson S, Herweijer C, Patmore N, Hallegatte S, Corfee-Morlot J, Chateau J,
Muir-Wood R (2008) Ranking port cities with high exposure and vulnerability to climate
extremes: exposure estimates. Paris-France: OECD environment working papers No. 1,
ENV/WKP(2007).
Noji E (1991) Natural disasters. Critical Care Clinics 7: 271-92
North Semarang Government (2002) North Semarang monographic data. Government of
Semarang.
Public Works Department of Semarang (PWD). (2000). Semarang urban drainage master plan
project. Semarang, Indonesia: Public Works Department.
Quigley R, den Broeder L, Furu P, Bond A, Cave B, and Bos R (2006) Health Impact
Assessment. International Association for Impact Assessment. International Best Practice
Principles. Special publication series No. 5 2006, available at
<http;//www.iaia.org/publicdocuments/special-publications/SP5.pdf>, last accessed 22
September 2012.
Reacher M, McKenzie K, Lane C, Nichols T, Kedge I, Iversen A, Hepple P, Walter T, Laxton C,
Simpson J. 2004. Health impacts of flooding in Lewes: a comparison of reported
gastrointestinal and other illness and mental health in flooded and non-flooded
households. Commun Dis Public Health 7(1):1-8
Sartohadi J, Marfai MA, Mardiatno D (2009) Coastal zone management due to abrasion along
the Coastal Area of Tegal, Central Java, Indonesia. International conference on coastal
environment and management-for the future of human lives on the coastal regions. 23rd
24th February. Shima, Southern Mie Prefecture, Central Japan.
Sivakumar MVK (2005) Impacts of natural disasters in agriculture, rangeland and forestry: an
overview. In: Sivakumar MVK, Motha RP, Das HP (eds) Natural disasters and extreme
32
losses
jump
in
2008.22
January
2009,
available
at:
33
last
accessed
22
September 2012.
US Army Corps of Engineering/USACE (2002) Coastal engineering manual. Engineer manual
1110-2-1100 (in 6 vols). Washington DC: US Army Corps of Engineers
Ward PJ, Marfai MA, Yulianto D, Hizbaron DR, Aerts JCJH (2011) Coastal inundation and
damage exposure estimation: a case study for Jakarta. Nat Hazards 56:899916.
Ward PJ, Pauw WP, van-Buurend MW, Marfai MA (2012) Governance of flood risk management
in a time of climate change: the cases of Jakarta and Rotterdam. Environmental Politics
2012:119
World Health Organization/WHO (1999) Health Impact Assessment: Main Concepts and
Suggested Approach: Gothenburg consensus paper. Brussels: European Center for Health
Policy.
34