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1 History
Chaos theory and the sensitive dependence on initial conditions were described in the literature in a particular case
of the three-body problem by Henri Poincar in 1890.[1]
He later proposed that such phenomena could be common, for example, in meteorology.[2]
In 1898,[1] Jacques Hadamard noted general divergence
of trajectories in spaces of negative curvature. Pierre
Duhem discussed the possible general signicance of this
in 1908.[1] The idea that one buttery could eventually
have a far-reaching ripple eect on subsequent historic
events rst appears in "A Sound of Thunder", a 1952
short story by Ray Bradbury about time travel (see Literature and print here).
4 EXAMPLES
Some scientists have since argued that the weather system is not as sensitive to initial condition as previously
believed.[9] David Orrell argues that the major contributor to weather forecast error is model error, with sensitivity to initial conditions playing a relatively small
role.[10][11] Stephen Wolfram also notes that the Lorenz
equations are highly simplied and do not contain terms
that represent viscous eects; he believes that these terms
would tend to damp out small perturbations.[12]
xn+1 = 4xn (1 xn ), 0 x0 1,
The buttery eect presents an obvious challenge to prediction, since initial conditions for a system such as the which, unlike most chaotic maps, has a closed-form soweather can never be known to complete accuracy. This lution:
problem motivated the development of ensemble forecasting, in which a number of forecasts are made from
xn = sin2 (2n )
perturbed initial conditions.[8]
Illustration
4 Examples
Other authors suggest that the buttery eect can be observed in quantum systems. Karkuszewski et al. consider the time evolution of quantum systems which have
slightly dierent Hamiltonians. They investigate the level
If M is the state space for the map f t , then f t displays of sensitivity of quantum systems to small changes in their
3
given Hamiltonians.[20] Poulin et al. presented a quantum algorithm to measure delity decay, which measures the rate at which identical initial states diverge
when subjected to slightly dierent dynamics. They
consider delity decay to be the closest quantum analog to the (purely classical) buttery eect.[21] Whereas
the classical buttery eect considers the eect of a
small change in the position and/or velocity of an object in a given Hamiltonian system, the quantum buttery eect considers the eect of a small change in
the Hamiltonian system with a given initial position and
velocity.[22][23] This quantum buttery eect has been
demonstrated experimentally.[24] Quantum and semiclassical treatments of system sensitivity to initial conditions
are known as quantum chaos.[16][22]
See also
Actuality and potentiality
Avalanche eect
Behavioral cusp
Buttery eect in popular culture
Cascading failure
Causality
Chain reaction
Clapotis
Determinism
Domino eect
Dynamical systems
Fractal
Great Stirrup Controversy
Innovation buttery
Kessler syndrome
Law of unintended consequences
Point of divergence
Positive feedback
Representativeness heuristic
Ripple eect
Snowball eect
Trac congestion
Tropical cyclogenesis
6 References
[1] Some Historical Notes: History of Chaos Theory
[2] Steves, Bonnie; Maciejewski, AJ (September 2001). The
Restless Universe Applications of Gravitational N-Body
Dynamics to Planetary Stellar and Galactic Systems. USA:
CRC Press. ISBN 0750308222. Retrieved January 6,
2014.
[3] Mathis, Nancy (2007). Storm Warning: The Story of a
Killer Tornado. Touchstone. p. x. ISBN 978-0-74328053-2.
[4] Lorenz, Edward N. (March 1963). Deterministic
Nonperiodic Flow.
Journal of the Atmospheric
Sciences
20
(2):
130141.
Bibcode:1963JAtS...20..130L.
doi:10.1175/15200469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2.
ISSN 15200469. Retrieved 3 June 2010.
[5] Part19. Cs.ualberta.ca. 1960-11-22. Retrieved 201406-08.
[6] Lorenz, Edward N. (1963). The Predictability of Hydrodynamic Flow. Transactions of the New York Academy of
Sciences 25 (4): 409432. Retrieved 1 September 2014.
[7] The Buttery Eects: Variations on a Meme. AP42
...and everything. Retrieved 3 August 2011.
[8] Woods, Austin (2005). Medium-range weather prediction: The European approach; The story of the European
Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. New York:
Springer. p. 118. ISBN 978-0387269283.
[9] Orrell, David; Smith, Leonard; Barkmeijer, Jan; Palmer,
Tim (2001). Model error in weather forecasting. Nonlinear Proc. Geoph. 9: 357371.
[10] Orrell, David (2002). Role of the metric in forecast error
growth: How chaotic is the weather?". Tellus 54A: 350
362. doi:10.3402/tellusa.v54i4.12159.
[11] Orrell, David (2012). Truth or Beauty: Science and the
Quest for Order. New Haven: Yale University Press. p.
208. ISBN 978-0300186611.
[12] Wolfram, Stephen (2002). A New Kind of Science. Wolfram Media. p. 998. ISBN 978-1579550080.
[13] Chaos and Climate. RealClimate. Retrieved 2014-0608.
[14] Heller, E. J.; Tomsovic, S. (July 1993). Postmodern
Quantum Mechanics. Physics Today.
[15] Gutzwiller, Martin C. (1990). Chaos in Classical and
Quantum Mechanics. New York: Springer-Verlag. ISBN
0-387-97173-4.
[16] Rudnick, Ze'ev (January 2008). What is...Quantum
Chaos (PDF). Notices of the American Mathematical Society.
[17] Berry, Michael (1989).
Quantum chaology, not
quantum chaos.
Physica Scripta 40 (3): 335.
Bibcode:1989PhyS...40..335B.
doi:10.1088/00318949/40/3/013.
[18] Gutzwiller, Martin C. (1971). Periodic Orbits and Classical Quantization Conditions. Journal of Mathematical Physics 12 (3): 343. Bibcode:1971JMP....12..343G.
doi:10.1063/1.1665596.
[19] Gao, J. & Delos, J. B. (1992).
Closed-orbit
theory of oscillations in atomic photoabsorption cross sections in a strong electric eld.
II.
Derivation of formulas. Phys. Rev. A 46 (3):
14551467.
Bibcode:1992PhRvA..46.1455G.
doi:10.1103/PhysRevA.46.1455.
[20] Karkuszewski, Zbyszek P.; Jarzynski, Christopher;
Zurek, Wojciech H. (2002). Quantum Chaotic Environments, the Buttery Eect, and Decoherence.
Physical Review Letters 89 (17): 170405. arXiv:quantph/0111002.
Bibcode:2002PhRvL..89q0405K.
doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.89.170405.
[21] Poulin, David; Blume-Kohout, Robin; Laamme,
Raymond & Ollivier, Harold (2004). Exponential
Speedup with a Single Bit of Quantum Information:
Measuring the Average Fidelity Decay.
Physical
arXiv:quantReview Letters 92 (17): 177906.
ph/0310038.
Bibcode:2004PhRvL..92q7906P.
doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.92.177906. PMID 15169196.
[22] Poulin, David. A Rough Guide to Quantum Chaos
(PDF).
[23] Peres, A. (1995). Quantum Theory: Concepts and Methods. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic.
[24] Lee, Jae-Seung & Khitrin, A. K. (2004).
Quantum amplier:
Measurement with entangled spins.
Journal of Chemical Physics 121
(9):
3949.
Bibcode:2004JChPh.121.3949L.
doi:10.1063/1.1788661.
Further reading
Devaney, Robert L. (2003). Introduction to Chaotic
Dynamical Systems. Westview Press. ISBN 0-81334085-3.
Hilborn, Robert C. (2004). Sea gulls, butteries, and grasshoppers:
A brief history
of the buttery eect in nonlinear dynamAmerican Journal of Physics 72 (4):
ics.
Bibcode:2004AmJPh..72..425H.
425427.
doi:10.1119/1.1636492.
External links
The meaning of the buttery: Why pop culture loves
the 'buttery eect,' and gets it totally wrong, Peter
Dizikes, Boston Globe, June 8, 2008
From buttery wings to single e-mail (Cornell University)
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