Professional Documents
Culture Documents
R. Hill
A.E. Baumann
Introduction
It has long been recognised that energy sources are significant contributors to environmental damages. Costs
associated with these damages, however, have been
treated in general as external to the energy economy as
the environment was not regarded as a marketable commodity, but as one freely available to everyone. The costs
for repairing or reversing environmental damages caused
by energy sources were expected to be paid by society at
large, e.g. in form of the taxation or by a reduction in the
quality of life. By ignoring these costs of energy generation the energy sector based its resource acquisition
decisions on information strongly biased against technologies such as renewable sources which impose smaller
environmental and social costs than fossil and nuclear
sources.
Only by defining and calculating the external costs of
all of the different energy technologies is it possible to
identify the real costs (internal plus external) associated
with the generation of energy. To determine these costs a
methodological framework has to be developed within
which the external costs can be quantified. The methodology has to be simple, easily understandable and applicable to all energy technologies to allow for a comparison
of different energy systems and to make sure that all
major environmental impacts are internalised into the
energy prices on an even footing. The methodology proPaper 9233A (Sl), received 19th December 1991
The authors are with the Newcastle Photovoltaics Application Center,
University of Northumbria, Newcastle Upon Tyne, NE1 8ST, United
Kingdom
76
Methodological framework
To quantify external costs of energy technologies a methodological framework has to be developed within which
the principle issues encountered in performing such an
analysis could be addressed. The most significant and
decisive part of any external cost analysis is to define in
as detailed a manner as possible the full set of burdens,
impacts and costs associated with different energy technologies and their fuel cycles. A number of criteria have
to be considered to provide the methodology with
general validity.
The methodology should be
(i) simple and easily understandable, to allow laymen
to make use of the methodological approach
(ii) adjustable/flexible to allow for modifications and
for incorporation of new items
IEE PROCEEDINGS-A, Vol. 140, NO. 1, JANUARY 1993
(iii) applicable to all of the different energy technologies to allow for comparisons of different energy sources
on an even footing and to make sure that utility regulators and decision makers use technologies that are
environmentally benign and thus pose the lowest overall
costs to society
(iv) consistent in its use of evaluation methods of
environmental impacts.
2.I External costs
2.2 Discounting
Another important yet still controversial issue among
economists, regulators and environmentalists is the discount rate, if any, which should be applied to value future
environmental externalities associated with energy fuel
cycles. Impacts on human health environmental assets
resulting from different energy sources are often felt only
after considerable time has passed and environmental
costs associated with these impacts are hence imposed on
future generations. Thus the choice of the appropriate
discount rate is of importance when assessing the value of
environmental externalities today over their benefits and
costs that may occur in the future.
Applying a zero discount rate would take account of
the intertemporal and intergenerational aspects and
assure that the value placed on future lives and environmental assets are weighted the same as the value put on
present ones. In particular, the aspect of irreversibility
would be better accounted for. If the discount rate is
greater than zero, as many experts suggest it should be,
thereby implying a preference for the present over the
future, benefits and costs in the far future will appear
insignificant.
Some experts, in particular Burtraw and Krupnik [SI,
argue that two discount rates should be chosen to value
environmental externalities. first, they suggest that a
uniform discount rate should be used for all types of
externalities. The rate would be market based and thus
well observable. They suggest a 4% discount rate which
is about the long run real rate of return. Secondly, a
multiple discount rate should be applied to different
types of environmental externalities, thereby emphasising
the different weight and importance that needs to be
given to different environmental externalities. They
propose rates between 1 and 10% to estimate the sensitivity of the net present value of the environmental costs
to discount rates.
2.3 Fuel cycles, environmental burdens and impacts
A detailed analysis of the fuel cycles of different energy
systems is needed to determine the external costs
incurred during the various stages of the fuel cycle
process and hence to internalise these externalities into
the full cost analysis of each of the energy technologies.
This in turn facilitates a one to one comparison of different competing technologies on an even footing. Based on
these data informed policy actions/choices either encouraging or limiting particular energy options can be taken.
The analysis of the fuel cycles of energy systems covers
all stages of the energy production process including
extraction, preparation, transport, conversion, operation,
distribution, utilisation, waste processing and disposal.
Each of these stages can impose environmental burdens
such as e.g. acid deposition, and these burdens result in
environmental impacts, e.g. forest damage, which in turn
pose considerable costs to society [7]. The linkages
between a particular energy technology and the associated external costs are shown in Fig. 1.
Some of the environmental burdens and impacts are
well documented and can be identified and measured. In
many other cases, however, such as global warming or
loss of species, the burden/impact relationships are
fraught with considerable uncertainties and nonlinearities. These may result from scientific uncertainties,
nonavailability of accurate data, spatial and temporal
variabilities, or the fact that many impacts are the synergistic action between two or more burdens, e.g. the formation of ozone through the photochemical reactions
77
mining of
quartzite
impacts
of each
each stage of
fuel cvcle
deposition of
semiconductorgrade polysilicon
distribution of
emissions
I
burdens
I
1 I
I
impacts
environmental costs
Fig. 1
growth of ingots
t
social costs
formation of back
contact
formation of
junction
formation of
front contact
fluidised bed
production of
trichlorosilane
t
-
complete solar
panel
disposal and
recycling
operation and
maintenance of
array
Fig. 2
testing
interconnection
encapsulation
Crystalline
silicon
Multicrystal
silicon
Thin film
silicon
Thin-film
polycrystalline
materials
Future (2020)
multijunctions
small
large
small
large
small
large
small
large
12
16
10
15
10
15
10
14
20
30
20
30
20
30
20
30
400
150
400
100
130
50
100
40
large
30
30
24
For comparison: the most efficient coal plants emit 9 million tonnes
of COJGWyr, while a BWR nuclear plant emits 75,000 tonnes of
COJGWry (plus an unknown amount for decommissioning and
waste treatment)
glass substrate
I
substrate cleaning
solvent clean
deposition of
back contact
molybdenum
magnetron sputtering
1) thermal coevaporation
2) electrodeposition
1 ) evaporation, CdZnS
deposition of
window layer
deposition of
top contact
patterning and
encapsulation
edging
Fig. 3
aluminium
selenide used in its manufacture. A report on CIS manufacture by Moskowitz [123 has concluded that hydrogen
selenide can be used safely provided that adequate safety
precautions are adopted. There are proposals for the production of CIS which involve the use of solid selenium
rather than hydrogen selenide [131 which would largely
obviate this hazard.
Both CIS and CdTe cells have a window layer of
cadmium sulphide, so both types of cell could potentially
present a hazard from cadmium. Cadmium hazards arise
in the refining stage, with emissions of cadmium oxide
IEE PROCEEDINGS-A, Vol. 140, NO. I , JANUARY 1993
19
Material
Production
silica dust
silanes
di borane
phosphene
solvents
Copper indium hydrogen selenide
diselenide
cadmium oxide
cadmium dust
selenium
solvents
Cadmium
cadmium oxide
telluride
cadmium dust
tellurium
solvents
Operation
Disposal
cadmium
selenium
(in a fire)
cadmium
selenium
(if not recycled)
cadmium
tellurium
(in a fire)
cadmium
tellurium
(if not recycled)
Silicon
Passive solarenergy
Photovolt ai cs
0
0
Wind power
Conclusions
Photovoltaic systems are almost entirely benign in operation, and potential environmental hazards occur at the
production and disposal stages. Silicon is a very stable
material and its release into the environment poses no
hazards. In the production of silicon cells the hazards are
similar to those encountered in the microelectronics
industry, and monitoring and control procedures are
well established for even the largest production rates
envisages.
For PV modules based on CIS or CdTe cells, there are
potential hazards from the use of hydrogen selenide and
cadmium. It is clear from this review, however, that there
are well established methods of monitoring, control and
alleviation which can reduce these hazards to within
international safety limits for all stages of production,
operation to disposal.
All production processes require an input of energy,
and this energy is derived from the standard fuel mix of
the nation in which production takes place. The production of PV systems has associated with it, therefore,
emissions of greenhouse and acidic gases. In the present
state of the PV industry, with small-scale production and
technologies some way from maturity, these emissions
are much less than those from fossil fuels but exceed
those from the operation and fueling of large nuclear
reactors. As the new thin-film PV technologies come into
production later in this decade, and the scale of production increases, the energy input to PV systems will
decrease considerably, with consequent reduction in
carbon dioxide emissions, to levels below that of other
electicity generating technologies.
Environmental costs arise from many factors, and a
valid comparison of the external costs of different energy
sources must include all of these factors. There has been a
significant effort in Europe and the USA to derive the
external costs of electricity generation [14] and there is a
growing consensus on the methodologies used in these
calculations and on the external costs associated with the
various technologies. Baumann and Hill [151 have briefly
reviewed these methodologies and produced a matrix
which allows a qualitative comparison of the magnitudes
80
[II
Biomass
Geothermal energy
Hydroelectricity
Tidal energy
0
0
Wave power
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
GI
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 El 0 0
ooo0!zloEimom
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 m ~
O t a a O ~ o a E l m ~
[II 0 !zl 0
0
0 0 0 0
0
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ 0 ~
ooooo0omoo
m m m m m m m m m a
m a a ~ a ~ m m o ! z l
m ~ m 0 0 ~ 0 m 0 m
0 !zl 0 0
Nuclear power
key
negligible
sgnificant / large
Fig. 4
negligiblelsignificant
significant
large
References