Maurice Carroll, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll

(203) 582-5334
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 22, 2015

CLINTON, CHRISTIE LEAD PRIMARY PACKS IN NEW JERSEY,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
BUT VOTERS SOUR ON GOV AS 2016 CANDIDATE
New Jersey voters are staying local in the 2016 White House race, as Gov. Christopher Christie
and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton from neighboring New York both lead their
respective presidential primary fields, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
But the prospect of a Gov. Christie presidential bid is unpopular with Garden State
voters, who give Secretary Clinton a 52 39 percent lead over Christie in the main event, the
independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
Christie leads the Republican primary pack with 24 percent, followed by 2012 standardbearer Mitt Romney with 18 percent and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 13 percent. No
other candidate tops 6 percent and 14 percent are undecided.
Clinton owns the Democratic primary with 65 percent of voters, followed by
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren with 11 percent and Vice President Joseph Biden with 7
percent. No other candidate tops 3 percent and 11 percent are undecided.
A year from now, well be focused on the first presidential primary in New Hampshire.
If New Jersey primary voters were to decide, it would be the Native Son, Gov. Christopher
Christie, vs. the Girl Next Door, Hillary Clinton, said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant
Director Maurice Carroll. His home-state Republicans give the Gov a primary-election lead
over two-time loser Mitt Romney and the other brother, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.
But the lady from across the Hudson River in Chappaqua continues to dominate
presidential predictions in New Jersey. She rules the Democratic roost and leads all the
Republicans easily.
She has more than 50 percent against every one of the Republicans, including Christie.
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/January 22, 2015 page 2

Hillary Clinton leads top Republican 2016 White House contenders in New Jersey:

52 39 percent over Christie;

53 37 percent over Jeb Bush;
54 35 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
56 33 percent over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee;
53 38 percent over Romney.
In the Clinton-Christie matchup, the Democrat leads 60 33 percent among women,

while the Republican gets 46 percent of men to Clintons 42 percent.

In the other matchups, Clintons leads among women range from 30 to 37 percentage
points. She leads Huckabee 47 40 percent among men, while men are more evenly divided in
the other matchups.
New Jersey voters give Clinton a 58 37 percent favorability rating, while all the
Republicans, especially Christie, get negative or split scores;

42 52 percent for Christie;

30 31 percent for Bush;
25 30 percent for Paul;
25 31 percent for Huckabee;
40 45 percent for Romney.
Even on that standard poll question favorability Christie is down 10 percentage

points. His fellow Republicans dont do much better, Carroll said. Clinton meanwhile, has a
21-point plus.
A Christie Presidential Bid
Garden State voters have nothing good to say about a Christie run for president, and say
52 41 that the 2016 campaign is distracting him from his duties as governor.
He should not run for president, voters say 56 40 percent, and he would not make a
good president, voters say 57 36 percent.
If Christie does run, he should resign, voters say 66 31 percent.
From January 15 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,211 New Jersey voters, with a
margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held
today, and the candidates were, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz,
Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney,
Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
Tot
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Romney
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

13%
6
24
6
4
2
5
1
18
3
4
1
1
14

17%
7
26
8
4
2
6
1
13
2
6
1
1
7

9%
4
22
3
4
1
1
3
23
4
3
1
22

1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Who is your second choice?

REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
Tot
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Romney
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

12%
5
13
4
5
5
6
2
19
8
5
6
9

11%
7
12
3
4
7
8
3
19
6
5
8
1
6

13%
3
14
5
6
1
3
2
20
10
5
4
13

2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today,
and the candidates were, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley,
Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
Tot
Men
Wom
Biden
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Warren
Webb
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

7%
65
3
11
1
1
3
11

11%
58
4
11
1
2
4
10

5%
68
2
11
1
2
11

2a. (If candidate chosen q2) Who is your second choice?

REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2
Tot
Men
Wom
Biden
Clinton
O'Malley
Sanders
Warren
Webb
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

37%
14
2
4
23
1
19

34%
15
5
5
21
2
18

38%
14
3
24
1
19

3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Christie
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

52%
39
2
4
4

11%
82
1
5
1

90%
6
1
2

49%
37
3
5
5

42%
46
2
7
4

60%
33
1
2
4

54%
37
1
7
1

50%
44
2
2
3

53%
36
2
5
4

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Christie
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Oct 01
2014

Aug 06
2014

Feb 20
2013

52
39
2
4
4

50
39
2
3
6

50
40
2
2
6

50
42
1
3
4

49
45
1
1
5

4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Bush
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

53%
37
2
3
5

9%
86
1
3
2

93%
3
1
1
2

51%
33
4
4
8

43%
43
3
5
6

61%
31
1
2
5

62%
29
2
5
2

50%
39
2
3
6

53%
38
2
2
5

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Bush
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Oct 01
2014

Aug 06
2014

53
37
2
3
5

53
31
3
4
9

53
32
2
4
9

54
34
2
3
6

5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Paul
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

54%
35
2
3
6

10%
80
3
3
5

93%
2
1
4

53%
33
3
4
7

44%
43
3
3
7

63%
28
1
2
5

52%
38
3
2
5

53%
37
2
2
7

56%
33
2
3
5

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Paul
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Oct 01
2014

Aug 06
2014

54
35
2
3
6

55
31
2
4
9

55
31
2
3
9

55
35
1
2
6

6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Huckabee
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

56%
33
2
3
5

13%
79
3
3
3

94%
2
1
2

57%
27
4
5
7

47%
40
3
4
6

64%
27
2
2
5

62%
26
3
5
4

56%
35
1
3
4

55%
34
3
2
6

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Huckabee
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Aug 06
2014

56
33
2
3
5

57
34
2
3
4

7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Romney
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

53%
38
1
3
4

6%
88
1
2
2

95%
2
2
1

51%
35
3
5
7

43%
45
2
5
5

62%
32
1
2
4

58%
33
2
5
1

52%
40
1
2
5

53%
39
1
3
4

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Clinton
Romney
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Sep 26
2007

Apr 19
2007

Jan 25
2007

53
38
1
3
4

52
35
3
3
6

52
33
3
5
7

50
31
3
3
12

53
29
2
3
13

8. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

58%
37
4
1

18%
78
3
1

92%
6
1
1

58%
35
6
2

49%
45
5
1

65%
30
3
1

64%
31
5
1

57%
38
4
1

55%
39
4
2

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about her?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

Feb 20
2013

Jun 12
2008

FAVORABLE.....
High
Low
Feb 20 Dec 13
2013
2007

58
37
4
1

58
35
5
2

60
38
1
1

67
29
3
1

51
45
2
2

67
29
3
1

43
42
11
4

9. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

42%
52
4
2

71%
25
3
1

21%
73
4
2

39%
53
5
3

42%
53
3
2

42%
51
5
2

37%
58
4
1

50%
45
3
1

38%
54
5
3

TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him? (*High also 69% Jan 2013, Feb 2013)

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

Jul 10
2013

Jun 10
2013

FAVORABLE.....
High
Low
Mar 26 Aug 12
2013*
2008

42
52
4
2

45
47
5
3

47
47
2
3

66
27
3
4

63
27
4
6

69
22
6
4

21
7
69
2

10. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

30%
31
37
1

53%
12
35
-

12%
50
35
2

30%
29
40
1

37%
29
33
1

25%
33
41
1

15%
24
59
2

34%
30
36
1

34%
35
29
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

30
31
37
1

25
35
37
2

32
33
33
2

11. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

25%
30
43
2

44%
16
39
1

7%
46
45
1

26%
31
41
2

34%
27
37
2

17%
33
48
2

31%
22
46
1

28%
26
45
1

21%
36
42
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

25
30
43
2

25
32
41
2

31
33
34
2

12. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

25%
31
43
1

55%
11
34
1

6%
51
42
1

21%
30
47
1

32%
32
35
1

19%
30
50
1

13%
26
59
2

26%
25
48
1

30%
36
34
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Aug 06
2014

25
31
43
1

34
31
35
1

13. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

40%
45
13
2

81%
10
8
1

12%
74
12
2

36%
46
17
1

46%
44
8
2

35%
46
17
2

33%
52
13
1

42%
42
15
1

41%
45
12
2

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Jul 18
2012

May 16
2012

Apr 12
2012

FAVORABLE.....
High
Low
Jan 22 Jan 25
2015
2007

40
45
13
2

36
48
13
3

35
43
19
2

35
41
21
3

39
37
21
3

40
45
13
2

11
12
76
1

19. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

36%
57
7

61%
32
7

19%
78
2

32%
59
9

39%
53
8

34%
61
5

31%
58
11

44%
51
4

33%
61
6

TREND: Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

Apr 09
2014

Mar 26
2013

Dec 21
2010

Nov 09
2010

36
57
7

40
53
7

39
55
6

35
57
8

41
44
15

25
63
13

24
61
15

20. Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

40%
56
4

54%
42
5

29%
66
5

40%
57
3

43%
53
4

37%
58
5

37%
61
1

47%
49
4

36%
59
5

TREND: Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?

Yes
No
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

Aug 06
2014

Apr 09
2014

Mar 26
2013

40
56
4

44
50
6

46
49
5

43
52
5

46
47
8

21. If Chris Christie runs for President, which comes closer to your point of view; he
should stay in office as Governor because he can still serve effectively while running for
President, or he should resign from his job as Governor because he cannot serve
effectively while running for president?

Stay in office
Resign
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

31%
66
3

54%
45
2

17%
80
2

27%
70
3

37%
60
3

26%
71
3

25%
74
2

36%
61
3

31%
67
2

TREND: If Chris Christie runs for President, which comes closer to your point of view; he
should stay in office as Governor because he can still serve effectively while running for
President, or he should resign from his job as Governor because he cannot serve
effectively while running for president?

Stay in office
Resign
DK/NA

Jan 22
2015

Dec 11
2014

31
66
3

32
62
5

10

29. Do you think the 2016 presidential campaign is or is not distracting Chris Christie
from his duties as governor?

Distracting
Not distracting
DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

AGE IN YRS.......
18-34 35-54 55+

52%
41
7

37%
59
3

60%
28
12

55%
38
7

53%
41
5

51%
40
9

60%
31
8

42%
52
6

56%
37
7

11