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TRENDS EVALUATION OF ROAD SAFETY IN BANGLADESH

Prepared By

Promothes Saha (0104173)


Supervised by
Dr. Md. Mazharul Hoque
Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering

DEPT. OF CIVIL ENGINEERING


BANGLADESH UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY
DHAKA, BANGLADESH

JUNE, 2007

TRENDS EVALUATION OF ROAD SAFETY


INBANGLADESH: THE SITUATION OF
RURAL ACCIDENTS

SUBMITTED BY
PROMOTHES SAHA
STUDENT NO: 010417

SUPERVISED BY
DR. MD.MAZHARUL HOQUE
PROFESSOR, DEPT. OF CIVIL ENGINEERING

A thesis Submitted to the dept. of civil engineering, Bangladesh University of


Engineering and Technology, Dhaka in the Partial fulfillment of the requirements
for the degree of

Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering

JUNE, 2007

ACKOWLEDGEMENT

The author gratefully acknowledges to his supervisor, Dr Md. Mazharul Hoque, Professor
and Head of the Dept. of Civil Engineering & Director, Accident Research Center
(ARC), Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET). Thanks for
giving him such an important tropics on Bangladesh perspective. Without his supervises
knowledge was not widen and this research has not been properly done.

The author is highly obliged to S.M. Sohel Mahmud and Md. Zakaria Islam of ARC for
transferring Accident data, journals and sufficient books.

Special thanks to Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA) for giving sufficient
necessary data.

ABSTRACT

Accidents are the most undesirable mishaps that are responsible for destruction of
considerable amount of National Resources .According to international statistics, Losses
due to traffic accidents in the developing countries are well over 1% percent of their
gross national product (GNP).In Bangladesh this percentage is nearly 2% and Globally
Bangladesh is in 7th position from dangerous side.

This paper presents a brief overview of current rural road accidents statistics of
Bangladesh especially on National Highways during the last eight years. Bangladesh has
high rate of road traffic accidents presents a clear picture of violation of traffic discipline
and day by day the situation is getting worse, not only in items of the amount of people
killed or injured but also by the high social and economic costs occurring from this
accidents. This scenario is even worse on the rural area (comprising 64.2% of total
accidents occurring in Bangladesh in between 1998 and 2005). Out of 29118 reported
accidents, 18689 accidents occurred during the eight years study period from 1998 to
2005.

In this thesis an attempt has been made to find out traffic accident trends in Bangladesh
and rural area. Also an attempt to find out trends of accident data in rural area presented
herein to either accident profiles or compare proportion of accidents by road class, time,

light, junction, collision, weather, locations, pavement, road surface condition, alignment
can be undertaken.

Road safety initiatives should be taken to manage hazardous condition, locations by


imposing appropriate safety provisions.

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

ABSTRACT

ll

LIST PF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES

Vll
X

CHPATER-1: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background

1.2 Objectives of the thesis

1.3 The Study Area

1.4 Thesis Structure

1.5 Thesis organization

1.6: summary

CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW


2.1 Introduction

2.2 Some important definitions related to accidents and their classifications.


2.2.1 What Is Accident?

2.2.2 Accident Classification.

2.2.3 Definition of some important keywords.

2.3 Accident factors can be grouped under the following headings

2.4 Examples of Nine Classes of Accident Loss Factors

10

2.5 The Accident Report Form

11

2.6 Trends of Global Road Safety Situation


2.6.1 Estimating Global Road Fatalities

12

2.6.2 Current Global Fatality Estimate

14

2.6.3 Estimate of Global Injuries

16

2.6.4 Fatality Forecasts

17

2.7 Trends of Road Safety in Bangladesh


2.7.1 The Road Safety Situation in Bangladesh.

18

2.7.2 The Global Health Burden of Road Traffic Injuries.

19

2.7.3 Burden on Health Infrastructure.

20

2.7.4. Priority Road Safety Options for Bangladesh.

23

2.7.5 Progress in Road Safety Works Research in Bangladesh.

23

2.8 Conclusion

23

CHAPTER 3: DATA COLLECTION AND METHODOLOGY


3.1 Introduction

24

3.2 The Road Traffic Accident Database


3.2.1 Data Collection

25

3.2.2 The MAAP Software

25

3.2.3 Interpretation of Data

26

3.3 Methodology
3.3.1 Safety Research Methodology

27

3.3.2. Road Safety Strategy.

28

3.3.3 Statistical methods for analysis of accident data.

28

3.3.4 Limitations of Accident Data

29

3.4 Conclusion

30

CHAPTER 4: TRENDS OF RURAL ACCIDENTS


4.1 Introduction

31

4.2 Trends of Accident in Rural Area (1998 to 2005)

4.2.1 Trends by Accident


4.2.1.1 Trends by Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents

32

4.2.1.2 Trends by Type of Severity

33

4.2.1.3 Trends by Type of Road Class

34

4.2.1.4 Trends by day

35

4.2.1.5Trends by Month

36

4.2.1.6 Trends by Type of Junction

37

4.2.1.7 Trends by Type of Collision

38

4.2.1.8 Trends for Different Conditions of weather

39

4.2.1.9 Trends for Different Light Condition

40

4.2.1.10 Trends for Different Location

41

4.2.1.11 Trends for Different Type of pavements

42

4.2.1.12 Trends of Accidents by Type of Road Surface Conditions

43

4.2.1.13 Trends of Accidents by Type of Alignment

44

4.2.1.14 Trends in Pedestrian Accidents by time


44.1
4.2.1.15 Trends by Head On, Rear End Collision and Hit Pedestrian
Accidents in Different Light Conditions.

44.2

4.2.2 Trends by Casualties


4.2.2.1 Trends of Urban Casualty Accidents and Rural Casualty Accidents 45
4.2.2.2 Trends by Type of Road Class

46

4.2.2.3 Yearly Change in Pedestrian injury

47

4.2.2.4 Trends by day

49

4.2.2.5 Trends by Month

50

4.2.2.6 Trends by Type of Junction

51

4.2.2.7 Trends by Type of Collision

52

4.2.2.8 Trends for Different Conditions of weather

53

4.2.2.9 Trends for Different Light Condition

54

4.2.2.10 Trends by Type of Alignment

55

4.2.2.11 Trends by Type of Road Surface


Conditions
4.2.2.12 Trends by Type of Pavement
4.2.2.13 Trends by time

56
57
57.1

4.3 Trends of Casualties by Age


4.3.1 Trends by Age in Bangladesh

58

4.3.2 Driver Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh.

60

4.3.3 Passenger Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh.

61

4.3.4 Recorded Pedestrian Casualty Accidents by Age in Rural Area

63

4.4 Trends of Accidents on National Highways


4.4.1 Route by route Fatalities per Fatal Accidents

64

4.4.2 Trends of Fatalities per Fatal Accidents of National Highway

69

4.4.3 Trends of Accidents in National Highway

70

4.4.4 Trends of Fatal Accidents in National Highway

72

4.5 Conclusion

CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

73

5.1 Introduction

74

5.2 Findings of Accident Data Analysis

74

5.3 Recommendations

78

5.4: Recommendations for future study

79

REFERENCES

80

APPENDIX A: LIST OF TABLES & LIST OF FIGURES

81

APPENDIX B: PHOTOGRAPHS

89

List of Tables
2.1 Fatalities and Accidents per 10,000 Registered Vehicles (2003-2005)

18

2.2 World Development Report (2006)

13

4.1 Yearly change in percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents

32

4.2 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Severity

33

4.3 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Road Class

34

4.4 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by day

35

4.5 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Month

36

4.6 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Junction

37

4.7 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Collision

38

4.8 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Conditions of weather

39

4.9 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Light Condition

40

4.10 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Location

41

4.11 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Type of pavements.

42

4.12 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Road


Surface Conditions

43

4.13 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Alignment

44

4.14: Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Casualty Accidents 45
4.14 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Road Class

46

4.16 Yearly Change in Pedestrian injury

48

4.17 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by day

49

4.18 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Month

50

4.19 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Junction

51

4.20 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Collision

52

4.21 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different

53

Conditions of weather
4.22 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Light Condition 54
4.23 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Alignment

55

4.24 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents


By Type of Road Surface Conditions

56

4.25 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Pavement

57

4.26 Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

58

4.27 Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

59

4.28 Driver Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

60

4.29 Percentage of Driver Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

60

4.30 Passenger Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

61

4.31 Percentage of Passenger Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

62

4.38 Pedestrian Casualty Accidents by Age in Rural Area

63

4.26: Route by route Fatalities per Fatal Accidents for National Highway (N1-N9)

64

4.27 Yearly Change in Fatalities per Fatal Accidents of National Highway

69

4.28 Distribution of Accidents by Route Types in National Highways

70

4.29 Distribution of Percentage Accidents by Route Types in National Highways

70

4.30 Distribution of Fatal Accidents by Route Types in National Highways

71

4.31 Distribution of Percentage of Fatal Accidents by Route Types

71

in National Highways
4.32 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents by Time in Rural Area of Bangladesh

44.1

4.33 Yearly Change in Percentage of Pedestrian Accidents by Time in Rural

44.1

Area of Bangladesh
4.34 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents by Type of Collision in time
(19-23) in Rural Area of Bangladesh

44.2

4.35 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (19-23) by

44.2

Collision Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.36 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents in Time (6-18) by Collision

44.3

Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.37 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (6-18) by

44.3

Collision Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.38 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (0-5) by Collision

44.4

Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.39 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (0-5) by Collision

44.4

Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.40 Yearly Change in Accidents by Vehicle Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh

44.5

4.41 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents by Vehicle Type in

44.5

Rural Area of Bangladesh:


4.42 Yearly Change in Casualty Accidents by Time in

57.1

Rural Area of Bangladesh


4.43 Yearly Change in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Time in
Rural Area of Bangladesh:

57.1

LIST OF FIGURES

2.1: Estimated Road Fatality Regional Distribution

12

2.2 Fatalities / 10,000 Licensed Motor Vehicles in Selected Countries

15

2.3 Fatalities / 100,000 Populations in Selected Countries

15

2.4 Road Traffic Death by Different Age

16

4.1 Yearly change in percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents

32

4.2 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Severity

33

4.3 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Road Class

34

4.4 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by day

35

4.5 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Month

36

4.6 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Junction

37

4.7 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Collision

38

4.8 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Conditions of weather

39

4.9 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Light Condition

40

4.10 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Location

41

4.11 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents for Different Type of pavements.

42

4.12 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Road


Surface Conditions

43

4.13 Yearly change in percentage of Accidents by Type of Alignment

44

4.14: Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Casualty Accidents 45
4.14 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Road Class

46

4.16 Yearly Change in Pedestrian injury

48

4.17 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by day

49

4.18 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Month

50

4.19 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Junction

51

4.20 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Collision

52

4.21 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different

53

Conditions of weather
4.22 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Light Condition 54
4.23 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Alignment

55

4.24 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents


By Type of Road Surface Conditions

56

4.25 Yearly change in percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Pavement

57

4.30 Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

59

4.31 Percentage of Driver Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

61

4.32 Percentage of Passenger Casualty Accidents by Age in Bangladesh

62

4.33 Pedestrian Casualty Accidents by Age in Rural Area

63

4.27 Fatalities per Fatal Accidents Trends of National Highway

69

4.28 Distribution of Percentage of Total Accidents by Route Types

71

4.29 Distribution of Percentage of Fatal Accidents by Route Types

73

CHPATER-1
INTRODUCTION

1.1 BACKGROUND

Although traffic safety has improved in the recent years, the number of road
fatalities is still unacceptably high. It is estimated that by 2020, road traffic accident will
have moved from ninth to third in the world disease burden ranking and second in the
developing countries like Bangladesh .In 2005 the number of total accidents is almost
3954 and number of fatalities 3187 in Bangladesh .In the ESCAP region, the rate of road
accidents of Bangladesh is the highest.

In order to develop realistic quantitative safety targets, and then to design


effective strategies and plans and one has to be able to measure safety developments and
to understand the underlying processes and their causes. This, in turn, requires extensive
and reliable and data recorded over a long period of time that is suitable for describing
interpreting and ideally, forecasting safety developments.

In order to develop safety improvements and understanding the situation of road


accidents, trends of road accidents is very essential.

Despite the fact that the total number of police reported accidents decreased the
last few years, safety is one of the challenging issues in the transportation industry. The
safety impacts issues are important because for example in 2004 were approximately
102.9 fatalities per 10,000 vehicles (ARC, 2005). New emerging technologies attempt to
alleviate congestion on the roads and improve safety conditions on them.

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE THESIS


What Trend:

Collection of rural accidents data and their analysis to make trends evaluation of road
safety in Bangladesh

Why do we Trend:

Trends are needed for effective remedial measures of road traffic accidents Analysis of
socio economic losses (National property, income, health).

The objectives of this thesis are mainly the following:

To find out road traffic accident trends in Bangladesh

To find out road traffic accident trends in the rural area of Bangladesh

Also find out trends of accident data in rural area presented herein to either
accident profiles or compare proportion of accidents by road class, time, light,
junction, collision, weather, locations, pavement, road surface condition,
alignment can be undertaken.

1.3 THE STUDY AREA


The study Area of the thesis covers rural roads which consist of several types of road at
to focus on the followings.
National Highway
Regional Highway
Feeder Road
Rural Road
City Road

1.4 THESIS STRUCTURE


The out Line of the Thesis is organized as per the Following Flow Chart

Introduction

Literature Review

Data Collection

Rural Accidents Analysis and Findings

Conclusions and recommendations

1.5 THESIS ORGANIZATION


Apart from this chapter the thesis has been divided into six chapters

Chapter 2 provides a summary of the available literature in the area of accidents,


classifications. It also provides global and regional rates and trends, road safety situation
in Bangladesh.

Chapter 3 & 4 presents the sources of data used for the development of fatalities per
10,000 vehicles, fatalities per fatal accidents. It also presents the extensive analysis of the
accident data to predict the accident scenario. Some graphs are also presented in this
chapter based on data.

Chapter 5 presents the recommendations and conclusion.

1.6: SUMMARY

In this chapter, attempts were made to introduce the background of the research .It also
defines the objective of the study. To attain these objectives a stru8ctured methodology
has also been formulated here. In order to proceed with the steps of this methodology, it
is required to obtain firm knowledge on accidents and d accident related factors. The
information provided in this next chapter lays a foundation of that through reviewing the
principles and background information of all that relevant elements.

Chapter 2
LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 INTRODUCTION
Nearly 0.5 million people die and up to 15 million people are injured in urban road
accidents in developing countries each year, at a direct economic cost of between 1 and 2
percent of worldwide gross domestic product. A majority of victims are poor pedestrians
and bicyclists. Fears for personal safety and security significantly deter the use of non
motorized transport. This burden of physical harm that is borne by the poor can be
reduced by improved road design, traffic management, medical service, and by policy
improvement. This solution requires comprehensive action by a well-trained, committed,
adequately financed, and organizationally integrated public sector.

The literature review however included a general understanding of the types of accident
severity and casualty accidents, occurring factors, global road safety situation, road safety
in Bangladesh, methodology.

2.2 SOME IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS RELATED TO ACCIDENTS


AND THEIR CLASSIFICATIONS.

2.2.1 Definition of Accident.


Accident is a general Phenomenon and expected in a road as vehicle is controlled by
human. There is minimum to do when accident occurred in random nature. Accident may
take place even with high standard road because of random errors (mechanical/human).
When accident occur deterministically-counter measures are need to be taken
accordingly. To take appropriate remedial measures accident study is essential

2.2.2 Accidents Classification


Primary classification:

Road traffic casualty accident

Road traffic non injury accident

1. Road traffic casualty accident:

Fatal accident; when one or more dead Personal injury accident;


Grievous injury; Refers to a person has to admit hospital
Simple injure; Refers to a person who is victim but not has to admit
hospital

2. Road traffic non injury accident :( property damage only)

Secondary classification;
Location; Rural or urban
Collision or non collision event
Single vehicle or multi vehicle accidents

Classification of accidents based on collision type vehicles;

Head on

Rear end

Right angle collision

in the

Sideswipe

Over turning accidents

Hitting objects on the carriage way

Hitting objects outside the carriage way

Collision on the parked vehicle

Hit- pedestrian

Source: CE 451: transportation engineering III: Traffic Planning and Management

2.2.3 Definition of some important keywords.

Crashes and Casualties:


Traffic safety researchers measure crashes (also called collisions, accidents or incidents),
injuries, fatalities and damages. Injuries and fatalities together are called casualties. Many
road safety experts prefer the term crash to accident, because accident implies a
random event, while crash emphasizes that such events have a cause (driver error,
mechanical failure, poor roadway design, etc.) and so are preventable.

Fatal Accident:
Fatal accident is an event in which one or more persons are killed outright on the spot is
called a fatal accident.

Grievous Accident:
Grievous Accident is an event in which a person has received injuries, such as fractures,
concussions, internal lesions, crushing, severe cuts and lacerations and severe general
shock, requiring medical treatment and detention in hospital.

Simple Accident:
Simple Accident is an event in which a person sustained injuries but need not be admitted
to hospital. It can also include an accident victim who sustained injuries and was treated
in hospital but not detained overnight.

Property damage:
A property damage type accident is when motor vehicles hit a pedestrian, another vehicle
in traffic, a parked vehicle, an animal, a fixed object, etc.

Casualty Accidents:
Casualty Accidents are the number of persons whose are dead, injured in an accident.

2.3 ACCIDENT FACTORS CAN BE GROUPED UNDER THE


FOLLOWING HEADINGS;
1. Road users: The actions of vehicle drivers, cyclists, motor cyclists, passengers &
pedestrians.
2. Vehicles: The design, condition & faults of vehicles
3. Road environment: The planning, design & care of roads & road side
environment.

Others:

Road users behavior

Drivers behavior

Pedestrian behavior

Passengers behavior

1. Drivers Behavior

Falling to maintain safe speed

Falling to maintain safe headway

Making decision during lane changing, overtaking, crossing junction, turning,


merging in response of traffic signal interaction with animal crossing overtaking
competition underestimating vehicles loading condition

Interacting with pedestrians

2. Accident Risk Depends on Drivers Physical and Mental Condition

Age of drivers

Sex of drivers

Material status

Alcohol of drugs

Fatigue

Use of crush of helmets

3. Pedestrian Behavior

Pedestrian carelessness & lack of knowledge regarding traffic rules

Use of road instead of footpath

Crossing attempts without looking around

Miscalculation of approaching vehicle speed

4. Passengers Behavior

Causing trouble to the driver

Making noise joking and diverting the of the driver

Projecting their body outside the vehicle

Getting down the vehicle from the wrong side

Factors Related To Roadway Geometry

Road curvature

Vertical alignment

Sight distance

Super elevation

Carriageway width

Width and condition of shoulders

Road signs and markings

Pavement surface condition

Formation delineators and guard rails

Lighting

Median

Junction

Source: CE 451: transportation engineering III: Traffic Planning and Management

2.4 EXAMPLES OF NINE CLASSES OF ACCIDENT LOSS


FACTORS

Designation

Examples

Pre-cash
1) Human.

Driver fell asleep

2) Vehicle. Brake failure


3) Environment.Slippery roadway surface

At-crash
4) Human.. Seat belts improperly worn
5) Vehicle.. .Structural weakness of side of vehicle
6) Environment..Unyielding sign post near pavement

Post-cash
7) Human.

By-standers took improper first aid action

8) Vehicle. vehicle not equipped with a fire extinguisher


9) Environment.Emergency telephone not available

Source: SNPA Foundation Seminar Book by Paul H. Wright

2.5 THE ACCIDENT REPORT FORM


For most purposes the database needs to be able to answer the following questions:

Where accidents occur


When accidents occur
Who was involved?
What was result of collision?
What environmental conditions existed?
Why or how did collision accident Data

2.6 TRENDS OF GLOBAL ROAD SAFETY SITUATION


2.6.1 Estimating Global Road Fatalities
Previous reviews of global fatalities undertaken by TRL, World Bank and others have
produced a wide range of estimates and whilst the problem of data reliability and
underreporting has been regularly acknowledged previous forecasts have been based on
the use of officially published statistics based in turn on police reports. Using these
values to obtain a more accurate estimate of the current global fatality situation (on a
regional basis) required several factors to be taken into account as follows:
1. Updating the fatality figures given for the latest year available (usually
1995/96) to1999.
2. Estimating for those countries where fatality data was not available.

3. Making adjustment for those countries which do not use the definition of a
road death occurring when a person dies within 30 days of the accident taking place. This
ranges from 'on the spot' to 'within a year of the accident occurring'. Furthermore many
developing countries state that they use the '30-day' definition and may do so at the local
level (for prosecution purposes) but at thesame time, official statistics are often based on
preliminary information which is not always updated..
4. Adjusting official figures to take into account the under reporting of fatal
accidents. Figures derived for both developed and developing countries were based on
detailed research undertaken in recent years on this particular topic. Rather than use one
figure for under-reporting in developing countries, upper and lower adjustment factors
were calculated.

There is no standard approach to regional groupings used by the many different


international organizations concerned with road safety. However in order to aid
interpretation of data, a total of 192 countries were assigned to six major regional groups
as follows:

Africa
Asia/Pacific
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
Latin/Central America and the Caribbean (LAC)
Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
Highly motorized countries (HMC), i.e. North America, Australia, New
Zealand, Japan and Western Europe.

Less motorized countries (LMC) is the collective term used to describe the first five
Regions where motorization is typically much lower than in the industrialized HMCs.

Figure 2.1:

Estimated road fatality regional distribution (1999)

45
40

35

30
25

1; Africa
2; HMC
3;East europe
4;Latin America&
caribean
5; Asia & Pacific
6. Middle East

Source: A Review of Global Road Accident Fatalitie

Table 2.2: Key indicators of Development


Data Source: World Development Report (2006)

Bangladesh India Pakistan Thailand Malaysia Netherlands USA UK Norway

Gross National

Gross

Loss of GNI

Loss of GDP

Income(GNI) in

Domestic

US dollar

In present

US dollar

Product(GDP)

(billions)

Nearly 520

(billions)
USA

12150.5

3.4

UK

2016.4

Norway

238.4

2.5

Bangladesh

61.2

3.7

8.50

Fatality 97.6
/10,000
Vehicle

30

27.5

8.4

2.1

1.4

1.2

A brief summary of findings is presented below with this section of the study attempting
to highlight the road safety situation within the various regions.

Fatality rates (i.e. death per 10,000 vehicles) were lowest in developed countries
(in the range 1.1 to 5.0) whilst the highest (frequently in excess of 100) were
found in South Asian Region like Bangladesh, India Pakistan, African countries,
particularly Ethiopia, Lesotho and Tanzania.

According to official statistics, there were at least 3187 fatalities and 3440 injuries
in 3248 reported accidents in 2005 and 3314 fatalities, 3466 injuries in 3938
reported accidents in 1999. Significant fluctuations in the number of fatalities and
injuries as reported by police clearly reflect the problems of reporting and
recording inconsistencies. The number of fatalities from 3314 in 1999 to 3187 in
2005 indicates 0.96 times in 7 years period.

2.6.2 Current Global Fatality Estimate


From Jacobs, G.D. & Thomas, A.A. (2000) A Review of Global Road Accident
Fatalities

Based on the factors described above, a realistic estimate of global road deaths is
between 750,000 and 880,000 for the year 1999.

It should be noted that these estimates are less than those derived by the WHO in the
studies mentioned .However the WHO estimates were based on forecasts from 1990 data
which in turn came from a variety of sources. The WHO forecast was that in 1998 there

would be 1.17 million deaths worldwide. A lack of detailed information on WHO data
sources, forecasting techniques etc. made detailed comparisons difficult.

Results from a number of countries show wide variation between official (i.e. police)
statistics and information from other sources. For example in the Philippines only one out
of five medically reported road deaths are included in police statistics. In Indonesia,
insurance companies report almost 40 per cent more deaths than the police. The
Department of Health in Taiwan reported in 1995 some 130 per cent more deaths than the
police. In Karachi a recent study comparing road casualties reported by the police with
ambulance statistics showed only about half of road accident deaths were reported by the
police.

Under-reporting also appears to be high in China which already has the word's highest
reported number of road deaths. Thus the Beijing Research Institute of Traffic
Engineering estimated that the actual number of people killed in road accidents in 1994
was about 111,000, over 40 per cent greater that the 78,000 reported officially by the
police.

Using results from a number of studies indicated that in developed countries


underreporting of fatalities was minimal (between 2 - 5 per cent), whilst in developing

Figure:2.2

Figure:2.3

countries upper and lower adjustment factors were between 25 to 50 per cent increases of
those numbers reported by the police. It can be seen that the burden of global road
fatalities is on the LMCs where 86 per cent of the worlds road fatalities occur, with
almost half of all fatalities in Asia. Figure 1 shows the regional distribution of 750,000
fatalities, the low end of the range suggested for 1999.
Fig: Road traffic Death by Different age
USA
United Kingdom
Sweden
New Zealand
Netherlands
Korea
Japan
Italy
Germany
France
Canada
Bangladesh
Australia
0%

0-14

20%

40%

15-24

60%

25-64

80%

100%

65+

Source: IRTAD

2.6.3 Estimate of Global Injuries


Whilst the under-reporting of injuries are known to be even worse than with fatalities, a
minimum estimate within a likely range has been derived. Based on the International
Road Traffic and Accident Databases (IRTAD) report and earlier studies that had

estimated approximately 50 per cent of road injuries were reported, it was decided that a
ratio of 100 injuries for every fatality would apply in the HMCs. For LMCs, a ratio of
between 20 to 30 was taken to be a minimum estimate.

These values produce annual road accident injury estimates for 1999 of at least:

Million in HMCs
To 23 million in LMCs
Global estimate of between 23 and 34 million road accident injuries per annum

This estimate is approximately twice the global road injury estimates currently being
suggested. An estimate of the number or percent of injuries that are disabling was beyond
the scope of this review.

2.6.4 Fatality Forecasts


Forecasting future deaths worldwide is fraught with difficulties. For example, past trends
may be thought to give a reasonable picture of what may happen in the future. However
some countries, such as Japan experienced rapid deterioration in road safety in the 1960s
with an 80 per cent growth in road fatalities but then with massive investment reduced
deaths by almost 50 per cent over the next decade. However deaths started to increase
once again in the early 1980s due in part to a continued increase in vehicle ownership but
with a slowing down of investment in life-saving activities. Additionally, trends in many
parts of the world are not consistent and there is evidence that rapid increases of deaths in
Africa and Asia/Pacific show signs of slowing down (that said growth rates in Africa and
Asia are still high and of concern).

Social and political changes also play a part and ideally would be taken into account in
any forecasting actively. However, these changes are difficult to predict. For example, in
the CEE region, changes in road accident reporting methodology took place with the
transition to market economies. Whilst the trend in this region over recent years has been

one of fewer fatalities, it is quite possible that with economic development and rapid
motorization there is potential for growth in the number of accidents and fatalities.

Forecasting future trends should be approached cautiously for the reasons outlined above.
With these caveats in mind, we suggest that for 2010 the likely range of global road
deaths will be between 900,000 and 1.1 million and between 1 million and 1.3 million in
2020.

2.7 TRENDS OF ROAD SAFETY IN BANGLADESH


2.7.1 The Road Safety Situation in Bangladesh:
Transport is an extremely important part of Bangladesh economy. The following table
shows the growth of motor vehicles & road accident casualties in Bangladesh. Major
causes of road accident in Bangladesh due to over speeding , over taking ,overloading in
presence of non motorized vehicle on National highway , reckless driver habit , lack of
awareness , presence of unfit vehicles , lack of enforcement.

Table2.1: Fatalities and Accidents per 10,000 Registered Vehicles (2003-2005)


Data Source: ARC
Statistic of Road Accidents and Injury
Year 1998-2005
Year

No. of Accidents

No. of fatalities

No. of injuries

Total Casualties

Traffic

FIR

FIR

FIR

FIR

fatalities

MAAP

MAAP

MAAP

MAAP

per

10,000
vehicles

on

road vehicle

1998

4769

3533

3085

2358

3997

3297

7082

5655

137.4

1999

4916

3948

3314

2893

3453

3469

6767

6362

143.1

2000

4357

3970

3430

3058

1911

3485

5341

6543

142.6

2001

4091

2925

3109

2388

3127

2565

6236

4953

123.2

2002

4918

3941

3398

3053

3772

3285

7170

6338

126.2

2003

4749

4114

3289

3334

3818

3740

7107

7074

116.1

2004

3917

3566

2968

3150

2752

3026

5720

6176

102.9

2005

4949

3322

3187

2960

2754

2570

5941

5530

97.6

Total

36666

29319

25780

23194

25584

25437

51364

48631

Note: Vehicles on road excluding motorcycle and non-motorized vehicle

According to official statistics, there were at least 3187 fatalities and 3440 injuries in
3248 reported accidents in 2005. Trends of reported road accidents are given in above
table. It is estimated that the actual fatalities could well be 10000-12000 each year.
Significant fluctuations in the no of fatalities and injuries as reported by police clearly
reflect the problems of reporting and recording inconsistencies. The number of fatalities
from 1009 in 1982 to 3334 in 2003, nearly 3.5 times in 22 years period.The statistics
revealed that Bangladesh one of the highest fatality rate in road accidents, over 100
deaths per 10000 motor vehicles.

2.7.2The Global Health Burden of Road Traffic Injuries:


Disease or injury
1990

2020

Respiratory

Ischaemic heart disease

Diarrhoeal diseases

Unipolar major depression

Perinatal

Road traffic accidents

Unipolar major depression

Cerebrovascular disease

Ischaemic heart disease

Pulmonary

Cerebrovascular disease

Respiratory

Tuberculosis

Tuberculosis

Measles

Diarrhoeal diseases

Road traffic accidents

HIV

10

Congenital anomalies

Perinatal

11

Malaria

Congenital anomalies

12

Pulmonary

Measles

2.7.3 Burden on Health Infrastructure


From Khondaker,B.,ROAD SAFETY IN BANGLADESH: Overview of Progress,
Priorities and Options Overview of Progress, Priorities and Options:

25-30% of hospital beds are occupied by injury patients. Most of these injuries occurred
due to road traffic accidents.

Thousands of emergency visits occurred due to road traffic accidents every year which
put an enormous burden on the health care services.

Average working time lost in Bangladesh:

Fatality:

30

years(avg.

age

of

victim,

28.Retirement age, 58)


Serious injury:
looking for
Slight injury:

35 years (20 days recovery,7 days


work And 8 career- days)
5 days (3 days recovery and 2 days looking for work)

Road Traffic Accidents and Injuries Bangladesh Perspective


On an average 4000 death and injury another 5000 a year.

Road accidents alone cost the society in the order of Tk. 5000 crore annually, which is
about 2% of countrys GDP.

Why Road Traffic injuries are higher in Bangladesh:

Substantial number of people makes their trip on foot So Pedestrians are involved in
about 70 % of all accidents.

Buses and trucks are generally overloaded

Substandard Road with mix of motorized and non-motorized traffic

Unsafe vehicles ( shallow engine-driven vehicle, tyre bursting)


Low Enforcement and Poor Practices
Non-skilled Driver

Lack of proper education & training.


Lack of public awareness.

2.7.4. Priority Road Safety Options for Bangladesh:


Engineering road safety: Road environmental improvements
Application of road safety audit
Community based road safety
Intensified enforcement and safety education measures
New innovative high-tech solutions

2.7.5 Progress in Road Safety Works Research in Bangladesh:


1. Road safety organizations and strategic action plan

National Road Safety Council (NRSC) and

Road Safety Cell (RSC).

2. Establishment of Accident Research Center at BUET

Accident Research Center (ARC) has been established at (BUET) in 2002 to carry out
scientific research for clear understanding of the road safety problems and ascertaining
the underlying causative factors.

2.9 CONCLUSION
Most, if not all, of the literatures consulted in this chapter were of foreign researchers.
This chapter also consulted with important definitions related to accidents, global road
safety situation, road safety in Bangladesh and methodology. In the next chapter data
collection will discussed.

Chapter3
Data Collection and Methodology
3.1 INTRODUCTION:

Accident Data Analysis is paramount importance to improve safety. Accident related


information like accident Severity (Fatal Accidents, Grievous Accidents, and Simple
Accidents), casualties, length of particular route, traffic volume, time, working day,
month, type of junction, no of intersections, roadway geometry, traffic condition, drivers
age etc. are needed. All parameters are not taken into consideration because of their
importunacy. If all parameters may take into considerations then this study will be more
correct.

This chapter comprises accident data analysis depending on Accident severity (Fatal
Accidents, Grievous Accidents, and Simple Accidents), casualties, length of particular
route, traffic volume which has greater importance than other parameters. Here discussed
issues are globally position of Bangladesh depending on accident severity & how much
improvement or demotion within last seven years. Also discussed fatalities per 10,000
registered vehicles, fatalities per fatal accident in that particular route of National
Highway.

3.2 The Road Traffic Accident Database


3.2.1 Data Collection

Road accident data is reported by Thana Police in an Accident Reporting Form (ARF)
which was introduced nation-wide in 1997. This form, which is written in Bangla and
published by the Government of Bangladesh, is a mandatory part of the First Information
Report (FIR) completed for each road accident case. Completed ARFs are compiled at
the Accident Data Units (ADUs) in six Range/Metropolitan Police offices (Dhaka Metro,
Dhaka Range, Chittagong Metro, Rajshahi Range, Khulna Metro and Sylhet Range)

where the data is entered into an electronic database. The software used to compile (and
later interrogate) the database is known as MAAP (for Micro-computer Accident
Analysis Package, developed and produced by TRL, UK) and the database is commonly
referred to as the MAAP data. From these regional ADUs, the accident data is transferred
by computer diskette (floppy disk) or by modem (e-mail) to the National ADU at Police
Headquarters, Dhaka. The Road Safety Cell collects this data from the Police
Headquarters and enters it into its own master database.

The best source of accident data collection is police stations. In Bangladesh, development
of accident database has been based on police reported accident form. However accident
database could not get comprehensive and accurate level up to expectation due to under
reporting and under recording. This problem could be addressed by our combined effort.
Training and awareness is urgent need to improve present situation. For this study I
collect data from ARC (Accident Research Center), BRTA (Bangladesh Road Transport
Authority) and R&HD (Roads and Highway Department). ARC collects data from police
stations.

3.2.2 The MAAP Software

The MAAP software, which is used to compile and interrogate the electronic accident
database, resides on the computers in each of the Police Range and Metro ADUs, the
ADU at Police Headquarters and at the RSC Resource Centre. The software is a DOS
based version.
The RSC is planning to upgrade the MAAP software to a Windows-based version with
upgrading of computer hardware at the Police ADUs, plus appropriate training of Police
and other personnel. It is also planned that with this upgrade, the database will reside on
the RHD MIS system so that it can be integrated with other databases (road inventory,
traffic volume, etc). It will also be available through the MOC web site to the wider road
safety community in the transport, development, health, education and related sectors. An

additional and desirable benefit of the upgrading project is that there will be an
opportunity to improve the Accident Report Form by simplifying some of the
components of the form and thus make it easier to be completed. The project to upgrade
the MAAP software to a Windows-based version with upgrading of computer hardware
and training has been scoped and a project proposal prepared. There is an urgent need to
improve road safety in Bangladesh but a funding source for the project has not yet been
identified.

3.2.3 Interpretation of Data


Under-reporting and under-recording of accident data are features of significance to the
accident database. Under-reporting is when an accident is not reported to the authorities.
This feature is present in any accident database and the degree of under-reporting is
normally consistent across the network.

Under-recording is when a reported accident is not recorded in the accident database. The
degree of under-recording varies between different divisions and metropolitan areas. In
the 2001 accident database, on a national basis the under recording ratio is 71% i.e. 71%
of the reported accidents are recorded in the accident database. The lowest ratios are in
the Chittagong Metropolitan Area (27%) and the Chittagong Division, excluding the
metropolitan area, (44%).

For these reasons, caution is advised

When making comparisons of safety performance with that of other countries;

When interpreting the accident data to determine trends by comparison of the 2001
data with data from other years; and

When endeavoring to determine an absolute value of total accident occurrence.


Interpretation of the accident data presented herein to establish accident profiles can
however be undertaken with a measured degree of confidence.

3.3 METHODOLOGY

3.3.1 Safety Research Methodology


Methods of Evaluation:
Controlled Experimentation
Before and after Studies
Comparison using Control Sites
Time Trend Comparisons
Methodology Used In the Study: Time Trend Comparisons
Obtain adequate accident in all the links of rural area with respect to

Severity

Types of accidents based on collision types

Pedestrian casualty

Trends of past years

Determination of accidents rates of fatal accidents of the links of selected


arterials.

Prescribe remedial measures about decreasing accident rates at links having high
accident rates.

3.3.2. Road Safety Strategy:

Source: A Review of Global Road Accident Fatalities.

2.3.3 Statistical methods for analysis of accident data:


Analysis of accident data is required to find out causes of that accident It is also
important to see the effectiveness of accident prevention measures Qualitative methods of
data analysis of the accident can provide inside into the causes that contributed the
accident and often help to identify the black spots on the street System.

Why Statistical Method is required?


Accidents are governed by the laws of chance and the occurrence of accident is a random
event with respect to time and distance. Accident occurrence follows probalistic
distribution.To see whether accident data from a particular site follow random behaviour
and deterministic in nature.statistical Analysis is the only available tool for the purpose

A number of st6stistical methods are currently being applied in accident research. These
includes

Regression methods

Poisson distribution

Use of chi square test comparing accident data

Regression methods
This method is useful to correlate different factors with accident to develop accident
prediction model.
Poisson distribution

2.3.4 Limitations of Accident Data:


Under-reporting of Accidents: In Bangladesh, development of accident database has
been based on police reported accident form. However accident database could not get
comprehensive and accurate level up to expectation due to under reporting and under
recording.Traditionally, only the police department has been collecting data on road
accidents in Bangladesh, and many other developing countries. The widespread underreporting and incomplete data collection regarding specific details of accidents are,
however major problems. This limits the proper analysis of accidents to be carried out
towards improving road safety. Loss of lives, personal injury and property damage as a
result of road traffic crashes are a common daily phenomenon. No efforts have so far
been made to estimate the economic wastage occasioned by traffic crashes in
Bangladesh. This failure often limits the understanding of the concerned officials about
the safety issues involved in various planning and management-related activities.
Institutional Weaknesses: Road safety improvement efforts in Bangladesh seriously
suffer from several serious drawbacks. These are: lack of a strong professional safety
agency with adequate executive powers and responsibilities; fragmentation of
responsibilities between agencies and insufficient inter-agency coordination; low level of
staffing and lack of professional capacity; lack of trained traffic police for effective

enforcement and traffic regulations; absence and inadequate dissemination of road safety
research, and too few resources directed towards tackling the safety problem etc.

The present situation can be improved by taking some actions, which are listed below:

Training of police officers, who are in charge in filling up the ARF.

Include appropriate text into course curriculum of training of sub inspectors in


Sardah Police Academy.

Holding publicity campaign about importance of data

Develop accountability system etc.

Update accident location coding system

Upgrade MAAP5 software from DOS to windows version Establish


dialup network between ADUs , police headquarters and road safety
cell of BRTA

3.4 Conclusion
This chapter discussed about data collection source, The MAAP
software, which is used to compile and interrogate the electronic
accident database, problems related to interpretation of data means
under-reporting and under-recording of accident data is an important
issue. The next chapter will concerned about analysis of accident data.

Chapter 4
TRENDS OF RURAL ACCIDENT

4.1 INTRODUCTION
For targeting rural road safety improvement initiatives, interpretation of accident data
presented herein to either establish accident profiles by severity level, by type of
collision, by type of junction, by type of vehicle involved etc. With the process of rapid
economic growth together with increasing motorization and urbanization, the situation of
road safety problems has been worsening in many developing and so called emerging
countries. The road traffic accidents and injury statistics also revealed a deteriorating
safety situation in Bangladesh. This Chapter deals with interpretation of accident data.

4.2 Trends of Accident in Rural Area


4.2.1 Trends by Accident
4.2.1.1 Trends by Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents
Road Environment=Rural and Urban
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.1: Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents
Year
Urban
Rural
TOTAL
% of Urban % of Rural
Accidents
Accidents
1998
1754
1743
3497
50.1
49.8
1999
1499
2439
3938
38.0
61.9
2000
1504
2451
3955
38.0
61.9
2001
960
1948
2908
33.0
66.9
2002
1366
2557
3923
34.8
65.1
2003
1413
2662
4075
34.6
65.3
2004
1079
2435
3514
30.7
69.2
2005
854
2394
3248
26.2
73.7
Overall
10429
18689
29118
35.8
64.2
80.00
70.00

% of Total Accidents

60.00
50.00
% of Urban Accidents
% of Rural Accidents

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year

Fig 4.1: Graph Showing Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Accidents

Percentage of rural accidents is increasing day by day. In 2005, this


percentage is 73.71% for rural and 26.29% for urban.The number of
accidents in rural area has been increasing from 1743 in1998 to 2394 in
2005,nearly 1.37 times in 8 years.
4.2.1.2 Trends by Type of Severity
Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=AR
Table 4.2 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Fatal, Grievous and Simple Accidents
Year

Fatal

Grievous Simple Collision Total

1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

71.4
71.8
73.6
75.8
73.7
73.9
75.4
77.4
74.1

21.5
20.0
19.2
17.7
19.8
18.9
17.1
16.6
18.8

5.5
6.2
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.3
5.7
4.4
5.4

1.7
2.0
1.8
1.5
1.2
1.9
1.8
1.7
1.7

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

90.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

80.00
70.00
60.00
Fatal
Griev
Simpl
Colln

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.2 Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Fatal, Grievous and Simple
Accidents
Above figure indicates that percentage of accidents of fatal accidents in rural area is the
highest value which is around 74%. Then grievous accidents and simple accidents.
In a particular road class there is no significant change of accident

4.2.1.3 Trends by Type of Road Class


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.3: Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents by Type of Road Class
Year

National Regional Feeder Rural

City

Total

1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

51.6
53.9
50.7
48.0
49.5

0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.6

100
100
100
100
100

19.6
15.7
15.2
17.7
16.1

18.6
22.0
23.9
23.6
25.6

9.6
7.8
9.5
10.1
8.3

2003
2004
2005
Overall

53.4
57.1
56.6
52.6

17.1
16.2
18.4
17.0

19.6
18.5
13.1
20.6

9.0
7.7
11.0
9.1

0.9
0.5
1.0
0.7

100
100
100
100

70.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

60.00
50.00
Natnl
Regnl
Feedr
Rural
City

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.3 Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Type of Road
Class
Above figure indicates that percentage of accidents in national highway in rural
area is the highest value which is around 52%. Then Regional Highway (17%),
Feeder Road (20%), Rural Road (9%), City road (1%) respectively.
Accidents in National highway are increasing from 2001. It is 48% in 2001.
In a particular road class there is no significant change of accidents.

4.2.1.4 Trends by day


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.4: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Daily Variation
Year
1998

Mon
14.2

Tue
13.9

Wed
12.2

Thu
17.3

Fri
13.7

Sat
14.4

Sun
14.4

Total
100

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

14.0
14.4
13.4
13.5
14.8
14.1
13.8
14.0

13.0
13.8
13.5
13.5
14.5
14.6
15.1
14.0

14.6
13.3
14.7
14.6
14.2
13.8
13.0
13.8

15.3
15.4
15.9
15.9
14.5
15.0
14.5
15.5

13.8
13.8
14.8
13.9
15.0
16.7
14.5
14.5

14.9
13.7
13.9
14.4
12.9
13.3
13.7
13.9

14.5
15.5
13.8
14.2
14.1
12.4
15.3
14.3

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

20.00
18.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

16.00
14.00

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun

12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.4 Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Daily Variation

From above figure we can see that in previous years the percentage of accidents
was highest on Thursday upto 2003 in 2004 it became highest on Friday.
In 2005 minimum Accidents occur on Wednesday.

4.2.1.5Trends by Month
Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC

Table 4.5 Yearly Changes in Accidents by Monthly Variation


Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

Jan
9.8
9.3
10.2
11.9
9.4
7.9
10.3
9.0
9.7

Feb
10.0
8.6
8.7
8.0
8.7
8.4
9.8
7.4
8.7

Mar
11.2
9.2
9.1
9.9
10.3
8.7
9.1
8.7
9.5

Apr
8.6
7.6
7.9
8.0
8.6
8.2
7.8
7.7
8.1

May
8.1
9.3
8.8
9.8
9.7
9.4
8.3
10.4
9.2

Jun
10.2
10.0
9.1
8.0
7.1
7.9
8.4
9.9
8.8

Jul
8.7
8.9
8.7
7.6
7.8
9.3
8.5
8.6
8.5

Aug
6.7
8.2
6.5
7.9
7.6
7.9
6.8
8.8
7.6

Sep
6.1
7.7
7.0
6.5
7.3
8.8
7.0
7.9
7.3

Oct
5.8
7.7
8.8
6.8
8.0
9.1
8.3
6.4
7.6

Nov
7.6
6.4
8.1
7.8
6.8
9.3
7.8
8.4
7.8

Dec
7.3
7.0
7.2
8.0
8.8
5.3
7.9
6.9
7.3

14.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

12.00

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.5 Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Monthly


Variation
In a particular month percentage of accidents are changing almost sinusoidal with year.
In January (Winter Season) it is high.

Total
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

4.2.1.6 Trends by Type of Junction


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.6: Yearly Changes in Accidents for Different Types of Junction.
Year
Link
Cross
T
StagX Round Railway Other
Road
Junc
Junction Junction
about
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

86.9
89.9
87.2
86.6
88.9
81.4
79.8
74.1
84.4

1.8
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.7
2.3
2.9
1.9

4.2
4.7
5.0
4.2
3.6
4.8
4.9
5.2
4.6

0.9
0.8
1.5
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.8
1.0
0.9

0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.2

0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.1

6.0
2.9
4.5
6.7
4.8
11.0
11.8
16.2
8.0

Total

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

100.00
90.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

80.00
70.00
Not-J
Cross
T/Jun
StagX
Round
RailW
Other

60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
-10.00
Year

Fig 4.6: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for Different Types
of Junction.

Above figure indicates that percentage of accidents not in junction in rural area is
the highest value in recent years which is about 84 percent.

In a particular junction there is no significant change of accidents.


Percentage of accidents was not so considerable for junctions except not junction.

4.2.1.7 Trends by Type of Collision


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.7: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Types of Collision.
Year

Head
on
1998
16.4
1999
15.5
2000
15.0
2001
14.8
2002
13.9
2003
17.5
2004
18.9
2005
17.6
Overall 16.2

Rear
End
8.9
10.8
11.8
12.6
11.4
11.5
11.8
9.1
11.0

90deg Side
swipe
0.8
6.2
0.4
5.7
0.7
5.1
0.3
4.7
0.2
6.8
0.4
5.8
0.4
6.2
0.7
5.8
0.5
5.8

OverT Obj1 Obj2 ParkV Ped'n Animl Other Total


13.2
13.3
12.6
13.7
14.0
13.5
10.1
9.5
12.5

0.9
0.6
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.5
1.0
1.5
0.8

2.2
4.0
3.2
3.0
3.1
3.1
2.4
3.9
3.1

1.7
2.3
2.4
2.6
2.0
2.9
1.9
1.6
2.2

44.1
42.8
43.8
42.9
44.4
40.8
43.3
46.5
43.6

0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1

5.6
4.6
4.9
4.6
3.4
3.8
4.0
3.9
4.4

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

50.00
45.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

40.00

HeadO
RearE
90deg
Side
OverT
Obj1
Obj2
ParkV
Ped'n
Animl
Other

35.00
30.00
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.7: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Types of


Collision.

Above indicates that percentage of accidents for pedestrian injury in rural area is
the highest value (44%). Then head on (16%).
In a particular type of collision there is no significant change of accidents.
Percentage of accidents was not so considerable for other type of collision except
head on and side swipe.

4.2.1.8 Trends for Different Conditions of weather


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.8: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different conditions of weather
Year
Fair
Rain
Wind
Fog
Total
1998
92.5
5.2
0.1
2.1
100
1999
92.6
5.6
0.3
1.5
100
2000
93.6
4.1
0.3
2.0
100
2001
93.1
4.4
0.2
2.4
100
2002
92.1
5.2
0.2
2.5
100
2003
91.6
5.6
0.2
2.7
100
2004
93.5
4.2
0.0
2.2
100
2005
94.1
4.1
0.2
1.6
100

Overall 92.9

4.8

0.2

2.1

100

100.00
90.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

80.00
70.00
60.00

Fair
Rain
Wind
Fog

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.8: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different
conditions of weather.

Above fig indicates that percentage of accidents for fair in rural area is the highest
value (93%).
In a particular weather there is no significant change of accidents.
Percentage of accidents was not so considerable for rain, wind, fog.

4.2.1.9 Trends for Different Light Condition


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.9: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different conditions of Light
Year
Day
DawnD N Lit
N UnL Total
1998
73.5
12.6
1.4
12.5
100
1999
72.9
12.6
2.1
12.5
100
2000
73.7
12.3
2.6
11.4
100

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall,%

72.1
73.5
69.5
71.5
74.2
72.6

13.3
12.8
15.2
13.8
13.0
13.2

1.4
1.8
2.3
2.5
2.5
2.1

13.3
11.9
12.9
12.2
10.3
12.1

100
100
100
100
100
100

80.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

70.00
60.00
50.00

Day
DawnD
N Lit
N UnL

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.9: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different
conditions of Light
Above fig indicates that percentage of accidents for day in rural area is the highest
value which is about 72 percent.
Percentage of accidents in night unlighted and dawn day has considerable value
which is 13.2 percent for dawn day and 12.12 percent for night unlighted.

4.2.1.10 Trends for Different Location


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.10: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different Locations.

Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

None
95.0
96.0
95.8
95.2
95.5
96.5
96.3
97.6
96.0

Bridge
2.6
1.9
2.0
1.8
1.8
1.5
1.6
0.9
1.8

Culvert
0.6
0.9
0.6
1.3
0.9
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.8

Narrow
1.7
1.2
1.4
1.3
1.6
1.1
1.2
0.9
1.3

SpdBk
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2

Total
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

120.00

% of Total Accidents

100.00

80.00
None
Bridg
Culvt
Narrw
SpdBk

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year

Fig 4.10: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for different
Locations.
From above figure we can see that in previous years the percentage of accidents upto
2005 was highest for none which is about 96 percent.

4.2.1.11 Trends for Different Type of pavements


Road Environment= Rural

Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005


Data Source=ARC
Table 4.11 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for Different Types of Pavement
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001

Seald
96.1
96.7
95.4
96.7

Brick
2.0
1.7
2.1
1.8

Earth
2.0
1.6
2.5
1.6

Total
100
100
100
100

2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

97.0
97.7
97.2
97.9
96.8

1.7
1.0
1.3
1.1
1.6

1.3
1.4
1.5
1.0
1.6

100
100
100
100
100

120.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

100.00

80.00
Seald
Brick
Earth

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.11: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for Different Types
of Pavement

Percentage of rural accidents in sealed road is the highest value which is about 97
percent.
In a particular weather there is no significant change of accidents.

4.2.1.12Number of Accidents by Type of Road Surface Conditions


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.12: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for Different Surface Conditions
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

Good
95.3
94.8
93.7
93.9
93.9
94.0
93.1
96.0
94.3

Rough
3.7
3.9
4.3
4.9
4.4
3.9
3.5
3.1
4.0

Rpair
1.0
1.4
2.0
1.2
1.6
2.2
3.4
0.9
1.7

Total
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

120.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

100.00

80.00
Good
Rough
Rpair

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year

Fig 4.12: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents for Different
Surface Conditions

Percentage of rural accidents in good surface road is the highest (94%), then rough
surface road which is very low comparatively with good surface road.

4.2.1.13Number of Accidents by Type of Alignment


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.13: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Type of Alignment
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

Str't
87.2
88.2
87.6
86.8
90.7
91.2
91.3
90.6
89.2

Curve
8.6
7.1
8.0
8.7
6.7
6.6
6.0
6.3
7.3

Slope
2.1
2.9
2.1
2.1
1.4
0.8
1.3
1.2
1.7

Cv+Sl
1.4
1.3
1.8
1.9
0.9
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.4

Crest
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6
0.5

Total
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

100.00
90.00

% of Total Rural Accidents

80.00
70.00
Str't
Curve
Slope
Cv+Sl
Crest

60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.13: Graph showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Accidents by Type of


Alignment
Percentage of rural accidents in straight road is the highest, then curve road.
In a particular alignment there is no significant change of accidents.

4.2.2 Trends by Casualties


4.2.2.1Trends of Urban Casualty Accidents and Rural Casualty
Accidents Road Environment= Rural and Urban
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.14: Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural Casualty
Accidents
Year

Urban

Rural

TOTAL

1998
1999
2000

2428
2023
1992

3163
4324
4514

5591
6347
6506

% of Urban
Casualty
Accidents
43.4
31.8
30.6

% of Rural
Casualty
Accidents
56.5
68.1
69.3

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

1310
1638
1858
1407
1086
13742

3620
4660
5157
4684
4313
34435

4930
6298
7015
6091
5399
48177

26.5
26.0
26.4
23.1
20.1
28.5

73.4
73.9
73.5
76.9
79.8
71.5

Percentage of rural casualty accidents is increasing day by day. In 2005, this


percentage is 79.8% for rural and 20.1% for urban.
90.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

80.00
70.00
60.00
% of Urban Casualty
Accidents
% of Rural Casualty
Accidents

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year

Fig 4.14: Graph Showing Yearly Change in Percentage of Urban Accidents and Rural
Casualty Accidents

4.2.2.2 Number of Casualty Accidents by Type of Road Class


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.15 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Road Class
Year
Natnl
Regnl Feedr Rural
City
Total
1998
56.1
18.9
17.5
7.1
0.4
100
1999
56.3
15.8
20.3
7.1
0.5
100
2000
53.9
15.5
22.0
8.1
0.5
100

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Average

51.0
53.1
56.2
61.1
60.4
56.0

18.3
16.3
17.0
14.7
17.6
16.8

20.7
23.1
18.9
17.0
11.1
18.8

9.6
7.1
7.3
6.9
10.2
7.9

0.4
0.4
0.6
0.3
0.7
0.5

100
100
100
100
100
100

70.00

% of Rural Casualty Accidents

60.00
50.00
Natnl
Regnl
Feedr
Rural
City

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.15 Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of
Road Class
Above figure indicates that percentage of casualty accidents in national highway
in rural area is the highest value which is around 56%. Then Regional Highway
(17%), Feeder Road (19%), Rural Road (8%), City road (1%) respectively.

In a particular road class there is no significant change of casualty accidents.

4.2.2.3 Yearly Change in Pedestrian injury


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table: 4.16: Yearly Change in Pedestrian Injury
Total
Year Pedestrian
Casualty
Injury

% of
Pedestrian

1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

Year

By Year
961
1270
1267
1019
1354
1295
1295
1414
1234

Accidents
3163
4323
4514
3620
4660
5157
4684
4313
4304

Injury
30.4
29.4
28.1
28.2
29.1
25.1
27.7
32.8
28.8

Total
Pedestrian Percent of
Fatalities Fatalities Pedestrian
Fatalities
1998
1534
731
47.6
1999
2152
958
44.5
2000
2276
971
42.6
2001
1785
820
45.9
2002
2283
1065
46.6
2003
2476
1042
42.0
2004
2416
1055
43.6
2005
2321
1104
47.5
Overall
17243
7746
44.9

35.00

% of Pedestrian Injury

30.00
25.00
20.00
Series1
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
0

10

Year

Fig: 4.16: Graph Showing Yearly Change in Pedestrian Injury

Above figure shows that yearly change of percentage of pedestrian injury is


decreasing upto 2003 and recently it is considerably increasing.
Among these years as shown in figure percentage of pedestrian injury has
maximum value in 2005 which is 32.78% in rural Area.

4.2.2.4 Trends by day


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.17: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Daily Variation
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall

Mon
14.4
14.4
14.0
13.5
13.9
14.2
15.3
13.0
14.1

Tue
14.1
12.8
14.2
12.7
13.7
13.7
13.8
16.0
13.9

Wed
12.4
14.1
12.8
13.6
14.6
14.4
14.1
13.5
13.7

Thu
16.7
14.8
15.4
16.9
14.6
14.7
14.1
15.7
15.4

Fri
12.8
14.4
14.1
14.8
14.3
15.1
17.4
13.9
14.6

Sat
15.2
15.5
14.0
15.1
15.2
13.7
13.6
13.4
14.5

Sun
14.4
13.9
15.4
13.3
13.8
14.3
11.6
14.4
13.9

Total
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

20.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

18.00
16.00
14.00

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun

12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.17: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Daily Variation

From above figure we can see that in previous years the percentage of casualty
accidents was highest on Thursday upto 2003, in 2004 it became highest on
Friday.

4.2.2.5 Trends by Month


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.18 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Monthly Variation
Year
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
1998 9.6 10.2 11.2 8.8 8.2 9.8
1999 8.6 9.1 8.8 8.6 9.8 10.6
2000 9.8 8.3 9.7 9.0 9.5 9.2
2001 12.5 8.0 11.1 8.4 9.6 7.4
2002 8.8 9.0 9.5 7.8 10.3 7.4
2003 7.1 7.6 8.3 7.5 9.2 8.8
2004 10.6 9.9 7.6 7.9 8.8 9.1
2005 9.3 7.6 7.8 7.8 10.3 10.6
Overall 9.5 8.7 9.3 8.2 9.5 9.1

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total


8.7 6.2 7.1 5.9 7.0 7.4 100
8.7 8.3 7.5 7.5 5.8 6.9 100
9.2 5.8 7.2 8.1 7.4 6.7 100
7.0 7.9 6.9 6.2 6.8 8.2 100
8.9 8.0 7.2 7.7 6.6 8.8 100
9.9 7.4 8.9 10.0 9.9 5.5 100
9.1 6.8 7.6 8.4 7.2 7.1 100
8.2 9.1 8.0 6.3 8.7 6.4 100
8.7 7.4 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.1 100

14.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

12.00

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.18: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by


Monthly Variation
In a particular month percentage of casualty accidents are changing almost
sinusoidal with year.
In January (Winter Season) it is high.

4.2.2.6 Trends by Type of Junction


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table: 4.19 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Types of
Junction.
Year
Not-J
Cross T/Jun StagX Round RailW Other Total
1998
86.9
1.6
3.6
1.0
0.1
0.1
6.7
100
1999
90.8
1.3
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.1
2.8
100
2000
87.6
1.5
4.6
1.7
0.1
0.0
4.5
100
2001
87.4
1.4
4.2
0.8
0.1
0.1
6.0
100
2002
89.8
1.8
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3.9
100
2003
83.9
1.3
4.5
0.9
0.3
0.0
9.1
100

2004
2005
Overall

80.6
75.5
85.3

1.8
2.7
1.7

4.6
4.4
4.2

0.8
1.2
1.0

0.3
0.5
0.2

0.2
0.4
0.1

11.7
15.3
7.5

100
100
100

100.00
90.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

80.00
70.00
Not-J
Cross
T/Jun
StagX
Round
RailW
Other

60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
-10.00
Year

fig: 4.19 Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Types of
Junction.

Above indicates that percentage of casualty accidents not in junction in rural area
is the highest value in recent years which is about 85 percent.
In a particular junction there is no significant change of accidents.

4.2.2.7 Trends by Type of Collision


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.20: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Types of Collision.
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001

HeadO RearE 90deg Side OverT Obj1 Obj2 ParkV Ped'n Animl Other Total
24.7
9.0
0.9
5.8
20.2
1.0
4.8
2.4
27.0
0.0
4.2
100
23.0
11.4
0.4
6.1
19.7
0.7
5.4
2.2
27.2
0.2
3.7
100
23.9
11.6
1.0
5.9
18.9
0.5
4.6
2.4
27.1
0.0
4.1
100
22.9
11.5
0.1
6.1
22.7
1.0
4.5
3.2
25.3
0.0
2.8
100

22.0
26.0
28.7
26.4
24.7

10.8
11.4
11.4
9.6
10.8

0.2
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.5

7.4
6.4
6.6
6.1
6.3

23.8
23.8
18.6
16.0
20.5

0.8
0.4
1.3
1.6
0.9

4.2
3.1
2.8
5.6
4.4

2.0
3.2
2.6
1.7
2.5

26.6
22.6
24.3
28.5
26.1

0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1

2.3
2.6
3.3
3.8
3.4

35.00
30.00

No of Casualty Accidents

2002
2003
2004
2005
Overal

HeadO
RearE
90deg
Side
OverT
Obj1
Obj2
ParkV
Ped'n
Animl
Other

25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

-5.00
Year

Fig 4.20: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Types
of Collision.
Above indicates that percentage of casualty accidents for pedestrian injury in rural
area is the highest value (26.2%). Then head on (25%).
In a particular type of collision there is no significant change of casualty
accidents.
Percentage of casualty accidents was not so considerable for other type of
collision except side swipe and rear end.

4.2.2.8 Trends for Different Conditions of weather


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.21: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for different conditions
of weather

100
100
100
100
100

Year
Fair
Rain
Wind
Fog
Total
1998
89.7
6.6
0.5
3.2
100
1999
91.6
6.5
0.2
1.7
100
2000
92.2
5.6
0.2
2.0
100
2001
91.3
5.3
0.3
3.2
100
2002
89.2
7.5
0.2
3.1
100
2003
90.1
7.2
0.1
2.6
100
2004
93.1
4.7
0.0
2.1
100
2005
92.0
5.2
0.4
2.4
100
Overall
91.2
6.1
0.2
2.5
100
100.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00

Fair
Rain
Wind
Fog

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig 4.21: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for
different conditions of weather

Above fig indicates that percentage of casualty accidents for fair in rural area is
the highest value (91%).
In a particular weather there is no significant change of casualty accidents.
Percentage of casualty accidents was not so considerable for rain, wind, fog.

4.2.2.9 Trends for Different Light Condition


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005

Data Source=ARC
Table4.22: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for different conditions
of Light
Year
Day
DawnD N Lit
N UnL Total
1998
72.0
11.9
1.7
14.4
100
1999
72.6
11.9
2.3
13.2
100
2000
72.4
12.2
2.8
12.7
100
2001
68.8
15.1
1.6
14.5
100
2002
71.2
12.6
1.8
14.4
100
2003
69.4
14.9
1.8
14.0
100
2004
69.9
13.5
2.4
14.3
100
2005
71.5
13.0
2.8
12.7
100
Overall
71.0
13.1
2.2
13.8
100

100.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00

Fair
Rain
Wind
Fog

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Fig4.22: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for different conditions of


Light
Above fig indicates that percentage of casualty accidents for day in rural area is
the highest value which is about 71 percent.

Percentage of casualty accidents in night unlighted and dawn day has


considerable value which is 13.11 percent for dawn day and 12.77 percent for
night unlighted.

4.2.2.10 Trends by Type of Alignment


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.23: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of Alignment
Year
Str't
Curve Slope Cv+Sl Crest
Total
1998
85.0
10.6
2.0
1.6
0.8
100
1999
87.0
8.2
2.8
1.3
0.8
100
2000
86.6
8.1
2.1
2.6
0.7
100
2001
82.1
11.1
2.0
4.0
0.8
100
2002
89.2
7.6
1.5
1.4
0.5
100
2003
89.4
7.8
0.8
1.6
0.6
100
2004
89.5
7.1
1.5
1.7
0.2
100
2005
89.1
7.0
1.4
1.8
0.7
100
87.2
8.4
1.8
2.0
0.6
100
Overall

100.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

90.00
80.00
70.00
Str't
Curve
Slope
Cv+Sl
Crest

60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Year

2003

2004

2005

2006

fig4.23: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Type of


Alignment
Percentage of rural casualty accidents in straight road is the highest, then
curve road.
In a particular alignment there is no significant change of casualty
accidents.

4.2.2.11Trends by Type of Road Surfac Conditions


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table 4.24: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Surface
Conditions
Year
Dry
Wet
Muddy Flood Other Total
1998
91.35
8.11
0.35
0
0.19
100
1999
93.13
6.34
0.14
0.12
0.28
100
2000
92.82
6.34
0.29
0.07
0.49
100
2001
93.55
5.75
0.3
0
0.39
100
2002
91.03
8.54
0.15
0
0.28
100
2003
91.98
7.4
0.23
0.08
0.31
100
2004
94.74
4.81
0.11
0
0.34
100
2005
92.63
6.64
0.21
0.07
0.44
100
Overall
92.65
6.74
0.22
0.04
0.34
100

100.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

80.00

60.00
Dry
Wet
Muddy
Flood
Other

40.00

20.00

0.00
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
-20.00
Year

Fig 4.24: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Surface
Conditions
Percentage of rural casualty accidents in dry road(93%) is the highest then wet
road (6.64%

4.2.2.12 Trends by Type of Pavement


Road Environment= Rural
Accident Recorded Year=1998-2005
Data Source=ARC
Table4.25: Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for Different Types of
Pavement
Year
Seald Brick
Earth
Total
1998
96.6
2.2
1.3
100
1999
97.4
1.4
1.3
100
2000
96.8
1.7
1.5
100
2001
97.2
1.8
1.0
100
2002
97.7
1.6
0.7
100
2003
98.1
1.0
0.9
100
2004
98.1
1.0
0.9
100
2005
98.2
1.0
0.8
100

Overall

97.5

1.5

1.1

100

120.00

% of Total Casualty Accidents

100.00

80.00
Seald
Brick
Earth

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Year

Figure4.25: Graph Showing Yearly Changes in Percentage of Casualty Accidents for


Different Types of Pavement

Percentage of rural casualty accidents in sealed road is the highest value


which is about 97 percent.
In a particular weather there is no significant change of casualty accidents.

4.2.1.14 Trends in Pedestrian Accidents by time

4.32 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents by Time in Rural Area of


Bangladesh:
Time
6--17
18-23
0-5
Total

1998
43
676
145
864

1999
67
907
152
1126

2000
51
905
170
1126

2001
44
739
140
923

2002
65
988
173
1226

2003
72
914
201
1187

2004
135
863
171
1169

2005 Total
241
718
869
6861
143
1295
1253

4.33 Yearly Change in Percentage of Pedestrian Accidents by Time in Rural


Area of Bangladesh:
Time
6--17
18-23
0-5
Total

1998
5.6
78.2
16.8
100

1999
6.0
80.6
13.5
100

2000
4.5
80.4
15.1
100

2001
4.8
80.1
15.2
100

2002
5.3
80.6
14.1
100

2003
6.1
77.0
16.9
100

2004
11.5
73.8
14.6
100

2005 Overall
19.2
7.8
69.4
77.5
11.4
14.7
100

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents in day (18-23) is 77.5
percent which is nearly same with year.

44.1
4.2.1.15: Trends by Head On, Rear End Collision and Hit Pedestrian
Accidents in different light conditions.
4.34 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents by Type of Collision in time
(19-23) in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
Collision
Type
HeadO
RearE
90deg
Side
OverT

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

49
18
3
10
33

42
37
0
17
43

48
42
2
13
36

40
30
0
12
45

48
37
1
22
36

61
38
1
21
42

55
32
1
16
48

2005 TOTAL
52
19
3
14
17

395
253
11
125
300

Obj1
Obj2
ParkV
Ped'n
Animl
Other
TOTAL

1
4
9
92
0
11
230

3
12
12
100
0
16
282

1
10
11
122
1
10
296

2
14
13
84
1
10
251

3
17
10
114
0
7
295

4
15
16
128
0
16
342

7
7
5
115
0
16
302

7
3
2
89
0
7
213

28
82
78
844
2
93
2211

4.35 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (19-23) by Collision


Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
Collision
Type
Head On
Rear End
Ped'n
Total

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Overall

21.3
7.8
40.0
69.1

14.9
13.1
35.5
63.5

16.2
14.2
41.2
71.6

15.9
12.0
33.5
61.4

16.3
12.5
38.6
67.5

17.8
11.1
37.4
66.4

18.2
10.6
38.1
66.9

24.4
8.9
41.8
75.1

18.1
11.3
38.3

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to head on
collision in night (18-23) is 18.1 percent which is increasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to rear end
collision in night (18-23) is 11.3 percent which is decreasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to hit
pedestrian collision in night (18-23) is 38.3 percent which is increasing with year.

44.2
4.36 Yearly Change in Pedestrian Accidents in Time (6-18) by Collision
Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
Collision
Type
HeadO
RearE
90deg
Side
OverT
Obj1
Obj2
ParkV
Ped'n

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

222
118
8
93
168
10
23
18
632

287
209
8
107
237
8
67
31
878

284
219
14
102
231
8
57
32
892

220
202
5
75
181
11
30
31
703

267
231
3
143
266
16
51
29
961

343
232
9
122
252
10
51
41
892

345
193
6
107
148
11
42
31
808

2005 TOTAL
284
122
12
100
156
16
55
19
806

2252
1526
65
849
1639
90
376
232
6572

Animl
Other
TOTAL

2
80
1374

1
89
1922

1
100
1940

0
71
1529

1
71
2039

1
69
2022

1
70
1762

1
58
1629

8
608
14217

4.37 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (6-18) by Collision


Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
Collision
Type
Head On
Rear End
Ped'n
Total

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Overall

16.2
8.6
46.0
70.7

14.9
10.9
45.7
71.5

14.6
11.3
46.0
71.9

14.4
13.2
46.0
73.6

13.1
11.3
47.1
71.6

17.0
11.5
44.1
72.6

19.6
11.0
45.9
76.4

17.4
7.5
49.5
74.4

15.9
10.7
46.3

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to head on
collision in night (6-18) is 15.9 percent which is increasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to rear end
collision in night (6-18) is 10.7 percent which is decreasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to hit
pedestrian collision in night (6-18) is 46.3 percent which is increasing with year
44.3
4.38 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (0-5) by Collision
Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
COLLISION
TYPE
HeadO
RearE
90deg
Side
OverT
Obj1
Obj2
ParkV
Ped'n
Animl

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

14
19
2
5
28
4
11
3
43
0

48
18
1
15
43
4
18
13
66
0

36
27
0
11
42
2
11
16
59
0

28
14
0
4
40
3
14
7
49
0

40
24
1
8
57
3
10
12
59
0

61
35
1
12
64
0
17
21
65
1

60
62
2
27
49
5
10
10
129
0

2005 TOTAL
84
76
1
24
53
13
34
16
216
1

371
275
8
106
376
34
125
98
686
2

Other
TOTAL

Time
0--5
6--17
18--23
Total

6
135

7
233

11
215

8
167

9
223

16
293

11
365

28
546

1998
287
1887
553
2727

1999
455
2757
630
3842

2000
455
2822
707
3984

2001
307
2219
639
3165

2002
493
2900
704
4097

2003
636
3084
825
4545

2004
696
2638
755
4089

2005
954
2204
542
3700

96
2177

4.39 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents in Time (0-5) by Collision


Type in Rural Area of Bangladesh:
Collision
Type
Head On
Rear End
Ped'n
Total

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Overall

10.4
14.1
1.1
25.5

20.6
7.7
0.2
28.5

16.7
12.6
0.0
29.3

16.8
8.4
0.0
25.1

17.9
10.8
0.2
28.9

20.8
11.9
0.1
32.9

16.4
17.0
0.2
33.6

15.4
13.9
0.0
29.3

16.9
12.0
0.2

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to head on
collision in night (0-5) is 16.9 percent which is increasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to rear end
collision in night (0-5) is 12 percent which is decreasing with year.

Above table shows that overall percentage of pedestrian accidents due to hit
pedestrian collision in night (0-5) is 0.2 percent which is increasing with year

44.4

4.2.2.13 Trends by time


4.42 Yearly Change in Casualty Accidents by Time in Rural Area of
Bangladesh:
4.43 Yearly Change in Percentage of Casualty Accidents by Time in Rural
Area of Bangladesh:
Time

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005 Overall

0--5
6--17
18--23
Total

10.5
69.2
20.3
100

11.8
71.8
16.4
100

11.4
70.8
17.7
100

9.7
70.1
20.2
100

12.0
70.8
17.2
100

14.0
67.9
18.2
100

17.0
64.5
18.5
100

25.8
59.6
14.6
100

Overall percentage of day time casualty accidents is 68 percent which is


decreasing with year

57.1

4.2.1.16 Trends by Vehicle Type


4.40 Yearly Change in Accidents by Vehicle Type in Rural Area of
Bangladesh:
Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

Mini
MicrB HeavT M/Cyc Tempo Total
Bus+Bus
758
105
583
98
150
2195
1053
165
850
144
199
3181
1120
183
763
157
170
3253
863
103
704
147
112
2561
1170
163
840
175
170
3372
1308
163
852
184
157
3607
1200
133
765
176
152
3293

14.0
68.1
17.9
100.0

2005
Total

1136
8608

140
1155

655
6012

176
1257

93
1203

3071

4.41 Yearly Change in Percentage of Accidents by Vehicle Type in Rural


Area of Bangladesh:

Overall percentage of accidents by vehicle type is 35percent which is decreasing


Year
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Overall
with year

Mini
MicrB HeavT M/Cyc Tempo Total
Bus+Bus
34.5
4.8
26.6
4.5
6.8
77.2
33.1
5.2
26.7
4.5
6.3
75.8
34.4
5.6
23.5
4.8
5.2
73.6
33.7
4.0
27.5
5.7
4.4
75.3
34.7
4.8
24.9
5.2
5.0
74.7
36.3
4.5
23.6
5.1
4.4
73.9
36.4
4.0
23.2
5.3
4.6
73.7
37.0
4.6
21.3
5.7
3.0
71.6
35.0
4.7
24.7
5.1
5.0
74.5

44.5

Chapter 5

CONCLUSIONS:

5.1 Introduction:
A comprehensive database is a basic prerequisite for any effective road safety initiative to
be undertaken. An accident data system should establish systematic procedures for the
collection, storage analysis and dissemination of data for all traffic accidents involving a
personal injury. The system should ensure that all road safety work whether in
engineering, enforcement, education or publicity could be dataled. In Bangladesh,
development of accident database has been based on police reported accident form.
However accident database could not get comprehensive and accurate level up to
expectation due to under reporting and under recording. This problem could be addressed
by our combined effort. Training and awareness is urgent need to improve present
situation.

5.2 Findings of Accident Data Analysis:

Total Accidents Statistics:

According to official statistics, there were at least 3187 fatalities and 3440 injuries
in 3248 reported accidents in 2005 and 3314 fatalities, 3466 injuries in 3938
reported accidents in 1999. Significant fluctuations in the number of fatalities and
injuries as reported by police clearly reflect the problems of reporting and
recording inconsistencies. The number of fatalities from 3314 in 1999 to 3187 in
2005 indicates 0.96 times in 7 years period.

About 65 percent of road accidents occurred in rural areas including rural sections
of national highways.

About 80 percent of casualty accidents occurred in rural areas including rural


sections of national highways.

Pedestrians-The Most Vulnerable Road User Group

Pedestrians accounted for 52 percent of all reported fatalities in the accident


database.

Pedestrians accounted for nearly 48 percent of all reported fatalities occurred in


rural areas in the accident database.

Pedestrians accounted for nearly 29 percent of all reported pedestrian injury


occurred in rural areas in the accident database.

The involvement of Pedestrian in between 20 to 49 years of age in road accidents


is much higher, which is nearly 40 percent in rural area of Bangladesh.

Involvement of Children in Road Accidents:

The National road accidents statistics in Bangladesh revealed as serious threat to


the children. The incidence of overall child involvement in road accident in
Bangladesh is found to be very high, accounting for about 15.3 percent. This
involvement of children less than 15 years of age in road accident.

The incidence of overall child involvement in rural road accident in Bangladesh is


found to be very high, accounting for about 23 percent. This involvement of
children less than 9 years of age in road accident.

Involvement of Middle Age in Road Accidents:

The incidence of overall 25 to 40 years age people involvement in road accident


in Bangladesh is found to be very high, accounting for about 43 percent (see
Table 4.3.1).

The involvement of driver in between 20 to 49 years of age in road accidents is


much higher, which is nearly 90 percent in Bangladesh.

The involvement of Passenger in between 20 to 49 years of age in road accidents


is much higher, which is nearly 75 percent in Bangladesh.

The involvement of Pedestrian in between 20 to 49 years of age in road accidents


is much higher, which is nearly 40 percent in rural area of Bangladesh.

Over involvement of Buses and Trucks:

Studies of rural road casualty accidents revealed that heavy vehicles such as
trucks and buses including minibuses are major contributors to road casualty
accidents (minibus 8.22 %, bus 21.04%, and Heavy truck 9.26%).

Accidents on National Highways:

Of the total reported rural accidents nearly 53 percent occurred on national


highway, Then Regional Highway (17%), Feeder Road (20%), Rural Road (9%),
City road (1%).

In 2004 and 2005 N1, N5, N2 route has become more dangerous. In 2005 of the
total reported rural accidents nearly 57 percent(overall 53 percent) occurred on
national highway in which 31% in N1, 26% in N5, 12% in N2, in which 29% fatal
accidents in N1, 25% in N5, 12% in N2.

In 1999, significant value for fatalities per fatal accident occurred in N4 which is
1.73.

In 2000, 1.62 for N6,2.81 for N9


In 2001, 1.46 for N1, 1.8 for N9
In 2002, 1.46for N4
In 2003, 2.11 for N9
In 2004, 1.5 for N1, 1.92 for N4
In 2005, 1.43 for N1, 1.52 for N6

Predominant Accident Types:

In previous years the percentage of accidents in rural area was highest on


Thursday upto 2003; in 2004 it became highest on Friday. In 2005 minimum
Accidents occur on Wednesday.

In a particular month percentage of accidents in rural area are changing almost


sinusoidal with year. In January (Winter Season) it is high.

Percentage of accidents of link road in rural area is the highest value in recent
years which is about 84 percent.

Percentage of accidents for pedestrian injury in rural area is the highest value
(44%). Then head on (16%).

Percentage of accidents for fair type of weather in rural area is the highest value
(93%).

Percentage of accidents for day in rural area is the highest value which is about 72
percent. Percentage of accidents in night unlighted and dawn day has considerable
value which is 13.2 percent for dawn day and 12.12 percent for night unlighted.

In previous years the percentage of accidents upto 2005 was highest for none
which is about 96 percent.

Percentage of rural accidents in sealed road is the highest value which is about 97
percent.

Percentage of rural accidents in good surface road is the highest (94%), then
rough surface road which is very low comparatively with good surface road.

Percentage of rural accidents in straight road is the highest, then curve road.

Of the total reported rural casualty accidents nearly 56 percent occurred on


national highway, Then Regional Highway (17%), Feeder Road (19%), Rural
Road (8%), City road (1%).

In previous years the percentage of casualty accidents was highest on Thursday


upto 2003; in 2004 it became highest on Friday.

Percentage of casualty accidents not in junction in rural area is the highest value
in recent years which is about 85 percent.

Percentage of casualty accidents for pedestrian injury in rural area is the highest
value (26.2%). Then head on (25%).

Percentage of casualty accidents for fair in rural area is the highest value (91%).

Percentage of casualty accidents for day in rural area is the highest value which is
about 71 percent.

Percentage of rural casualty accidents in straight road is the highest (87%), then
curve road (9%).

Percentage of rural casualty accidents in dry road (93%) is the highest then wet
road (6.64%)

Percentage of rural casualty accidents in sealed road is the highest value which is
about 97 percent.

5.3 Recommendations:
Based on Data Collection
On Accident Recording/ Reporting:
A systematic way of collecting, recording and reporting of accident data is very important
for making accident investigation and counter measures evaluation meaningful and
accurate. In order to ensure quality of accident data as well as to minimize under
reporting of data, the following measures should be addressed immediately:

1. Formation of separate accident data collection unit at each thana level.


2. The unit should be equipt with well trained police personnel along with
dispatch vehicles to reduce response time to the accident spot. At the same
time they should be given camera to take photographs of the accident event
which may be invaluable supplementary information for post-incidence
investigation.
3. They should be proper training on how to describe accident events both by
description as well as graphically by drawing collision diagram and most
importantly they must understands different modes of collections and their
underlying mechanics.

4. Strict monitoring should introduce so that event I responded quickly and it is


recorded on the very same day it happens. Most importantly, it should be
ensured that newly introduced accident report form and FIR are filled up at
the same time and a copy of accident reporting I attached with the FIR.

On accident recorded keeping at hospitals:


1.

Inn the road traffic accident (TRA) related hospital register, the place of
accident should be written for the purposes of relating as well as verifying
police data with hospital data.

2. The register should be preserved permanently and for systematic way of


preserving accident data computer record keeping may be introduced.
3.

There should be a system of exchanging information regarding RTA related


number of persons admitted and death between police and hospital authority.

On maintaining information by RHD


1. RHD should systematically preserve all construction an improvement relate
documents like feasibility study, design report, tender document, as building
etc.
2. They should have their own post improvement monitoring and evaluation
programs in order to make an assessment on the effectiveness of a particular
countermeasure.

5.4: Recommendations for future study

To obtain detailed research to find out fatalities per 10,000 registered vehicles
of every road class, number of registered vehicles (including motorcycle,
NMV and excluding) are very essential.

Accidents per vehicle-km are an important parameter for this analysis.

Separate analysis should be performed for pedestrian accidents.

Regression model can be developed to establish a relationship between


accident and other related factors.

References
Bangladesh Road Transport Authority (BRTA), Road Safety Cell (2004), National Road
Traffic Accident Report.

Baguley,C.,The Importance of a Road Accident Data System and its Utilization. TRL
Ltd, UK.

BRTA (2005), National Road Traffic Accident Report.

Hoque, M.M. (2004), The Road to Road Safety: Issues and Initiatives in Bangladesh.
Regional Health Forum Volume 8, Number 1

Haque, M.S., CE 451: Transportation Engineering III: Traffic Planning and Management.

Jacobs G.D. and Thomas A.A. (2000), Estimating Global Road Fatalities, 65th Road
Safety Congress 6 - 8th March.

Jacobs, G.D. and Thomas, A.A. (2000), A Review of Global Road Accident Fatalities.

Jacobs, G.D. and Thomas ,A.A (TRL) ,Sexton, B. (TRL), Gururaj ,G.(NIMHANS), and
Rahman, F.(ICMH), The Involvement and Impact of Road Crashes on The Poor:
Bangladesh and India Case Studies.

Obe, M.M., Jacobs, G.D. and Thomas, A.A, Safer Transport in Europe: Tools for
Decision-Making.

Wright P.H (2005-2006). SNPA Foundation Seminar Book

3/12/200

APPENDIX-A
TABLES AND FIGURES

Table A 4.1 Accident Severity


Data Source= ARC
Route No. N1
N1
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

Fatal
111
166
132
83
188
95
277
246
1298

Grieve
31
45
38
29
47
13
78
62
343

Simple
5
16
20
10
21
11
38
23
144

Colln
3
6
2
6
6
7
18
12
60

TOTAL
150
233
192
128
262
126
411
343
1845

Table A 4.2 Accident Severity


Route No. N2
N2
1998
1999
2000
2001

Fatal
90
149
129
114

Griev
27
60
37
34

Simple
12
21
12
8

Colln
8
7
4
0

TOTAL
137
237
182
156

2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

91
86
136
107
902

31
26
33
17
265

10
2
7
8
80

1
1
4
2
27

133
115
180
134
1274

Griev
8
20
8
12
17
18
14
7
104

Simple
1
5
3
0
1
0
4
3
17

Colln
2
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
12

TOTAL
36
94
54
56
81
90
83
27
521

Griev
2
17
17
14
39
36
2
11
138

Simple
1
5
1
4
5
4
1
0
21

Colln
1
1
3
0
0
3
1
2
11

TOTAL
16
104
93
80
131
123
54
113
714

Griev
53
48
38
28
60
61

Simple
13
7
7
8
10
14

Colln
6
12
4
4
5
7

TOTAL
285
279
218
138
273
270

Table A 4.3 Accident Severity


Route No. N3
N3
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

Fatal
25
66
41
42
62
72
63
17
388

Table A 4.4 Accident Severity


Data Source= ARC
Route No. N4
N4
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

Fatal
12
81
72
62
87
80
50
100
544

Table A 4.5 Accident Severity


Route No. N5
N5
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003

Fatal
213
212
169
98
198
188

2004
2005
Total

185
216
1479

61
61
410

32
10
101

9
4
51

287
291
2041

Table A 4.6 Accident Severity


Route No. N6
N6
1998

Fatal
64

Griev
20

Simple
9

Colln
4

TOTAL
97

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

73
50
56
57
49
48
37
434

18
11
21
10
12
28
7
127

4
0
3
8
4
4
4
36

1
4
1
2
1
0
3
16

96
65
81
77
66
80
51
613

Table A 4.7 Accident Severity


Data Source= ARC
Route No. N7
N7
Fatal
1998
62
1999
90
2000
131
2001
98
2002
144
2003
113
2004
92
2005
65
Total
795
Table A 4.8 Accident Severity
Route No. N8

Griev
12
21
46
27
36
22
16
15
195

Simple
7
8
8
7
13
1
6
2
52

Colln
1
2
4
1
2
2
2
1
15

TOTAL
82
121
189
133
195
138
116
83
1057

N8
1998

Fatal
26

Griev
10

Simple
2

Colln
0

TOTAL
38

1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

41
41
26
31
47
30
57
299

10
5
9
8
12
5
10
69

5
4
1
2
5
3
3
25

1
0
0
1
2
0
1
5

57
50
36
42
66
38
71
398

Griev

Simple

Colln

TOTAL

0
9
14
3
6
12
0
5
49

0
0
3
2
5
3
0
0
13

0
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
5

0
44
57
21
42
42
6
18
230

Table A 4.9 Accident Severity


Route No. N9
N9
Fatal
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

0
35
37
15
31
27
6
12
163

Table A 4.10 Accident Severity


Road No. N1-N9
Data Source= ARC

N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
N6
N7
N8
N9

fatal
1298
902
388
544
1479
434
795
299
163
6302

Table A 4.11: Casualty Accidents

griev
343
265
104
138
410
127
195
69
49
1700

simple
144
80
17
21
101
36
52
25
13
489

colln
60
27
12
11
51
16
15
5
5
202

Total
1845
1274
521
714
2041
613
1057
398
230
8693

Route No. N1

Table A 4.12: Casualty Accidents


Route No. N2
Year(N2) Fatal
1998
115
Year(N1) Fatal
1998
169
1999
209
2000
173
2001
121
2002
246
2003
123
2004
416
2005
353
Total
1810
1999
190
2000
154
2001
131
2002
108
2003
110
2004
176
2005
136
Total
1120
Table A 4.13: Casualty Accidents
Route No. N3

Year(N3)

Fatal

Griev
53

Simple
54

Total
222

Griev
65
145
128
105
153
62
256
192
1106
118
103
100
98
104
114
68
758

Simple
59
63
105
73
119
46
139
129
733
86
80
63
52
39
61
53
488

Total
293
417
406
299
518
231
811
674
3649
394
337
294
258
253
351
257
2366

Griev

Simple

Total

1998

32

44

79

1999

89

47

16

152

2000
Year(N5)
2001

57
Fatal
50

35
Griev
46

24
Simple
21

116
Total
117

2002

84

58

24

166

2003

86

64

28

178

2004

68

45

39

152

2005

21

37

16

74

Total

487

376

171

1034

Griev
9
61
68
58
115
121
30
88
550

Simple
8
27
28
40
55
68
15
32
273

Table A 4.14 Casualty Accidents


Route No. N4

Year(N4)
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

Fatal
12
140
88
83
127
128
96
117
791

Table A 4.15 Casualty Accidents


Route No. N5

Total
29
228
184
181
297
317
141
237
1614

1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005

298
256
212
111
245
234
263
261
1880

184
129
117
60
173
173
201
216
1253

101
59
56
56
111
119
127
66
695

583
444
385
227
529
526
591
543
3828

Griev
36
47
14
45
32
45
74
32
325

Simple
44
43
7
22
28
28
21
5
198

Total
161
187
102
130
146
137
155
93
1111

Table A 4.16 Casualty Accidents


Route No. N6
Year(N6)
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

Fatal
81
97
81
63
86
64
60
56
588

Table A 4.17 Casualty Accidents

Year(N7)

Fatal

Griev

Simple

Total

Route

No.

1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total

77
121
166
112
173
147
115
76
987

Table A 4.18 Casualty Accidents


Route No. N8
Year(N8) Fatal
1998
35
1999
47
2000
48
2001
34
2002
36
2003
56
2004
42
2005
77
Total
375

29
75
128
84
92
113
107
39
667

43
74
78
50
57
35
54
18
409

149
270
372
246
322
295
276
133
2063

Griev
26
48
26
28
27
53
21
39
268

Simple
15
6
15
9
11
32
29
22
139

Total
76
101
89
71
74
141
92
138
782

Table A 4.14 Casualty Accidents


Route No. N5
Year(N9)
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total
6 www.brainybetty.com 17

Fatal
0
46
104
27
36
57
7
12
289

Griev
0
39
34
8
27
60
4
14
186

Simple
0
9
11
8
35
35
0
1
99

Total
0
94
149
43
98
152
11
27
574

N7

APPENDIX-B
PHOTOGRAPHS AND
ABBREVIATIONS

Figure B 2.1: Curvature at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link No.34)

Figure B 2.2: Heavy Truck at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link No.34)

Figure B 2.3: Straight Road at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link No.34)

Figure B 2.4: Non-motorized Vehicle at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link
No.34)

Figure B 2.5: Side Walk at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link No.34)

Figure B 2.6: Pedestrian Movement at Manikgang-Aricha Route (Road No. N5, Link
No.34)

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