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SLP4
137
158
Hindalco
Risk free rate or Govt Bond Rate
Spread from CRISIL- AA rating
Cost of debt(Kd)
7.87%
1.00%
8.87%
tax rate
after tax (ki)
34%
5.85%
Cost of equity
Re = Rf + Beta * (Rf - Rm)
Rf
7.87%
Beta
Rm(Market rate)
Cost of equity
1.34
8.30%
18.99%
Capital Proportions
Market Capitalization(in Cr)
Non-current Liabilities(in Cr)
Current Maturities of long-term
borrowing
Total Debt (Cr)
Retained Earnings (Cr)
Proportion of debt
Proportion of equity
Debt / Equity
WACC
29255
24,455.71
652.64
25,108.35
1,956.87
56,320.43
0.445812469
0.519442235
0.858252254
12.48%
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/india/government-bond-yield
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/countrytaxrate.htm
Beta is calculaged in the COE tab taking into account historical data of thr returns
Stock Price
141.7
Outstanding shares
2,064,587,868
BSE 200
Month
Close
Jan-10 2065.21
Feb-10 2071.72
Mar-10
2199.5
Apr-10 2230.17
May-10 2152.21
Jun-10 2248.06
Jul-10 2281.63
Aug-10 2302.88
Sep-10 2530.47
Oct-10 2541.85
Nov-10 2451.45
Dec-10
2533.9
Jan-11 2270.22
Feb-11 2185.86
Mar-11 2378.69
Apr-11 2363.68
May-11 2301.65
Jun-11 2314.65
Jul-11 2256.48
Aug-11 2061.08
Sep-11 2028.27
Oct-11 2155.58
Nov-11 1953.03
Dec-11 1850.89
Jan-12 2097.94
Feb-12 2190.92
Mar-12 2157.89
Apr-12 2136.82
May-12
2003.1
Jun-12
2138.1
Jul-12 2114.47
Aug-12 2124.06
Sep-12 2307.58
Oct-12 2276.15
Nov-12 2389.51
Dec-12 2424.38
Jan-13 2461.12
Feb-13 2307.98
Mar-13 2287.96
Apr-13 2388.98
May-13 2409.22
Jun-13 2323.83
Jul-13 2270.93
Returns
0.003152
0.061678
0.013944
-0.03496
0.044536
0.014933
0.009314
0.098828
0.004497
-0.03556
0.033633
-0.10406
-0.03716
0.088217
-0.00631
-0.02624
0.005648
-0.02513
-0.0866
-0.01592
0.062768
-0.09397
-0.0523
0.133476
0.04432
-0.01508
-0.00976
-0.06258
0.067396
-0.01105
0.004535
0.086401
-0.01362
0.049803
0.014593
0.015154
-0.06222
-0.00867
0.044153
0.008472
-0.03544
-0.02276
HINDALCO
Month
Close
Returns
Jan-10
147.25
Feb-10
161.25 0.095076
Mar-10
181.7 0.126822
Apr-10
177.9 -0.02091
May-10
150.1 -0.15627
Jun-10
144.5 -0.03731
Jul-10
160.3 0.109343
Aug-10
166.4 0.038054
Sep-10
196.75 0.182392
Oct-10
210.5 0.069886
Nov-10
206.05 -0.02114
Dec-10
246 0.193885
Jan-11
229.4 -0.06748
Feb-11
200.8 -0.12467
Mar-11
208.65 0.039094
Apr-11
215.55 0.03307
May-11
197.1 -0.08559
Jun-11
181 -0.08168
Jul-11
168.4 -0.06961
Aug-11
150.35 -0.10719
-0.1267
Sep-11
131.3
Oct-11
136.35 0.038462
Nov-11
122.65 -0.10048
Dec-11
115.75 -0.05626
Jan-12
146.65 0.266955
Feb-12
148.65 0.013638
Mar-12
129.45 -0.12916
Apr-12
120.6 -0.06837
May-12
116.7 -0.03234
Jun-12
119.9 0.027421
0
Jul-12
119.9
-0.1347
Aug-12
103.75
Sep-12
120.5 0.161446
Oct-12
116.45 -0.03361
Nov-12
116.35 -0.00086
Dec-12
130.6 0.122475
Jan-13
115.75 -0.11371
Feb-13
99.35 -0.14168
Mar-13
91.5 -0.07901
Apr-13
97.25 0.062842
May-13
102.25 0.051414
Jun-13
99.75 -0.02445
Jul-13
90.15 -0.09624
BSE Returns
0.003152
0.061678
0.013944
-0.03496
0.044536
0.014933
0.009314
0.098828
0.004497
-0.03556
0.033633
-0.10406
-0.03716
0.088217
-0.00631
-0.02624
0.005648
-0.02513
-0.0866
-0.01592
0.062768
-0.09397
-0.0523
0.133476
0.04432
-0.01508
-0.00976
-0.06258
0.067396
-0.01105
0.004535
0.086401
-0.01362
0.049803
0.014593
0.015154
-0.06222
-0.00867
0.044153
0.008472
-0.03544
-0.02276
-0.04534
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
2167.96
2281.93
2490.49
2463.86
2530.58
2425.46
2494.74
2681.35
2688.05
2951.21
3124.4
3144.77
3233.65
3251.84
3392.39
3510.28
3428.09
3474.24
-0.04534
0.05257
0.091396
-0.01069
0.027079
-0.04154
0.028564
0.074801
0.002499
0.0979
0.058684
0.00652
0.028263
0.005625
0.043222
0.034751
-0.02341
0.013462
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
104.9
111.95
115
122.7
122.5
109.55
105.1
141.7
134.7
147.7
164.1
191.6
170.1
156.8
163.2
173.9
157.7
160.1
0.163616
0.067207
0.027244
0.066957
-0.00163
-0.10571
-0.04062
0.34824
-0.0494
0.096511
0.111036
0.167581
-0.11221
-0.07819
0.040816
0.065564
-0.09316
0.015219
0.05257
0.091396
-0.01069
0.027079
-0.04154
0.028564
0.074801
0.002499
0.0979
0.058684
0.00652
0.028263
0.005625
0.043222
0.034751
-0.02341
0.013462
HINDALCO
Returns
0.095076
0.126822
-0.02091
-0.15627
-0.03731
0.109343
0.038054
0.182392
0.069886
-0.02114
0.193885
-0.06748
-0.12467
0.039094
0.03307
-0.08559
-0.08168
-0.06961
-0.10719
-0.1267
0.038462
-0.10048
-0.05626
0.266955
0.013638
-0.12916
-0.06837
-0.03234
0.027421
0
-0.1347
0.161446
-0.03361
-0.00086
0.122475
-0.11371
-0.14168
-0.07901
0.062842
0.051414
-0.02445
-0.09624
0.163616
Column 1
Column 2
Column 1 Column 2
0.00242247
0.00331435 0.011483
Variance
Covariance
Beta
Risk free premium (Rf)
MRP
0.00246353
0.00331435
1.34536603
7.87
8.3
Cost Of Equity
19.0365381
Cost of Equity = Risk free premium + MRP* Beta
0.067207
0.027244
0.066957
-0.00163
-0.10571
-0.04062
0.34824
-0.0494
0.096511
0.111036
0.167581
-0.11221
-0.07819
0.040816
0.065564
-0.09316
0.015219
Proportion of
debt
Proportion of
equity
Debt / Equity
Cost of Equity
After tax Cost of debt
Taxrate
WACC
0.445
0.519
0.85741811
18.99%
5.85%
34%
12.45906
WACC =wd*rd(1-TC)+we*re
Now Hindalco is now venturing into the infrastrucutire sector by going into the Cement sector
Related companies
ACC Limited
Ambuja Cement Limited
Ultratech Cement Limited
India CEMENT Limited
Average Beta
Beta
Market Cap(Cr)
1
0.92
0.83
1.4
26770.6
35,791.38
75,244.17
2654.024
1.0375
We take company with closest to the Average beta I.e ACC Limited
Discount rate for New project = WACC for new Project+Risk premiums estimates to account for uncertainity
WACC =wd*rd(1-TC)+we*re
where wd=proportion of debt ,we =proportion of equity,rd=cost of debt,re=cost of equity,tc=corporate tax rate
Total Equity
Total Debt
Proportion of Equity for ACC
Proportion of debt for ACC
7824.74
0.00
1
0
20.57674064
22.07674064
0.50%
1%
1.50%
NOTE:All values used are refered from balance sheet and IS of respective companies and Beta value is taken from in.reuters.c
nt for uncertainity
Risk Premium For Hindalco
policies can be changed by the Governemtn as we have seen that the growth OF CEMENT industry till now was stunted due t
1
2,666.64
3851.27
0.0000
34
1.000
25,108.35
31212.08
0.804443344
1.53
7.87
8.3
12.71
Rf+RP
20.58
Cost of Debt*(1-Tax rate for Hindalco)
5.8542
y till now was stunted due to recent issues with coal block allocations