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Controlling interest
BEFORE the financial crisis life was simple for central bankers. They had a clear mission: temper booms and busts to
maintain low and stable inflation. And they had a seemingly effective means to achieve that: nudge a key short-term
interest rate up to discourage borrowing (and thus check inflation), or down to foster looser credit (and thus spur
growth and employment). Deft use of this technique had kept the world humming along so smoothly in the decades
before the crash that economists had declared a Great Moderation in the economic cycle. As it turned out, however,
the moderation was transitoryand the crash that ended it undermined not only the central bankers record but also
the method they relied on to prop up growth. Monetary policy has been in a state of upheaval ever since.The
recession that accompanied the credit crunch in the autumn of 2008 delivered a massive blow to demand. In
response central banks in the rich world slashed their benchmark interest rates. By early 2009 many were close to
zero, approaching what economists call the zero lower bound. Even so, growth remained elusive. Pushing rates
below zero, though technically possible, would not have helped. Negative rates would merely have encouraged
depositors to withdraw their money from banks and hold it as cash, on which the rate of return, at zero, would have
been higher. Central banks in the developed economies faced a frightening collapse in output and soaring
unemployment without recourse to the tool that had been the mainstay of monetary policy-making for a
generation.Central banks were not entirely unprepared for this challenge. In the 1990s the Japanese economy had
slumped following an asset-price crash. Facing weak growth and deflation the Bank of Japan had slashed rates to
near-zero before embarking on a series of experiments with unconventional monetary tools. Although the Bank of
Japans performance was widely considered disappointing, if not an outright failure, the rich worlds central banks
began by drawing upon its playbook. Unconventional policy falls into two broad categories: asset purchases and
forward guidance. Asset purchases are a natural extension of central banks more typical activities. Americas
Federal Reserve, for instance, has long bought Treasury bills and other bonds with short maturities to increase the
money supply and reduce short-term interest rates. After its benchmark rate fell close to zero the Fed began buying
longer-term securities, including ten-year Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities, to bring down long-run
borrowing costs. Printing money to buy assets is known as quantitative easing because central banks often
announce purchase plans in terms of a desired increase in the quantity of bank reserves. The Bank of Japan first
attempted QE in 2001 when it promised to buy {Yen}400 billion-worth of government bonds a month in order to
raise the level of reserves to {Yen}5 trillion. The central banks of America, Britain and Japan have all engaged in QE
since the crisis struck, buying up a vast stock of financial assets.Economists reckon QE works in a few ways. Central
bankers emphasise the portfolio-balance effect. When a central bank buys bonds from investors with newly created
money, they use the proceeds to rebalance their portfolio by buying assets of different risk and maturity. In doing so
they boost asset prices and depress interest rates (increased demand for bonds allows them to be sold at lower rates).
Cheaper borrowing, in turn, prods businesses and households to invest.QE can stimulate the economy via a fiscal
effect, too: lower interest rates reduce government borrowing costs and so lower expected future taxation. And QE
also helps shape expectations of inflation. A central bank announcing a new, higher inflation target might use QE to
convince markets it will meet it, since, other things being equal, an increase in the amount of money in circulation
leads to higher prices. If people think their money will be worth less in the future, they have an incentive to spend
more of it now.Forward guidance, the other main unconventional tool, is an attempt to boost the economy by
signalling central banks future policies more clearly. The Bank of Japan first attempted to talk the economy back to
health in 1999, when it promised to keep its main interest rate near zero until deflationary concerns subside. The
Fed and the Bank of England have since mimicked this approach. In early 2009 the Fed said its interest rate was
likely to remain low for an extended period. In August 2011 it sought to improve this formulation by adding a date,
specifying that low rates would stick around until at least mid-2013.In December 2012 the Fed adjusted its
communications again. It announced that rates would stay low until the unemployment rate had fallen to at least
6.5%, as long as short-run expectations of inflation were no more than 2.5%. In August 2013 the Bank of England
followed suit, stating that it would not raise rates until unemployment had fallen to 7%, provided financial markets
behaved themselves and inflation remained subdued.Like QE, forward guidance works in several ways. A promise to
tolerate higher inflation in the future, if believed, can stimulate economic activity in the present, just as the threat of
higher prices due to an expanded money supply does. By the same token, a promise to hold short-term rates low for a
long time should reduce long-term rates too, since long-term rates are typically compounded short-term rates along
with a premium to allow for rising inflation and other risks.In addition, investors respond to the real or inflationadjusted interest rate, which equals the nominal or advertised interest rate minus expected inflation. When
inflation is expected to be negative, meaning that prices are falling, the real interest rate may actually rise. Deflation,
by raising the value of a unit of money in terms of other goods, in effect increases the cost of borrowing. If a central
bank credibly promises more future inflation, by contrast, the real interest rate can fall and even dip below zero. A
negative real interest rate works where a negative nominal interest rate does not: holding cash does no good, since
inflation reduces the purchasing power of hard currency as well as deposits. It is therefore in everyones interest to
save less, and to borrow and invest more.Studies of quantitative easing generally find that it has indeed reduced longterm interest rates. One rule of thumb has it that $600 billion in purchases brings down long-run rates by 0.15-0.2
percentage points, equivalent in impact to a cut of 0.75 percentage points in the Feds benchmark short-term interest
rate. Lower rates are estimated to have raised real output in Britain and America 2-3% higher than it would have
been without QE, even though borrowing costs remained stubbornly high for British banks.Recent research also
suggests that QE plays a strong role in reinforcing a central banks forward guidance. The Feds signalling, for
example, seems to be responsible for much of the movement in the prices even of assets it is not buying itself. And
market bets on future interest rates reveal that investors find central banks promises to keep rates low more credible
when accompanied by QE purchases.Whether forward guidance is effective at boosting output is harder to say. There
is some agreement that communication about future policy reduces long-term interest rates. But it is unclear why
rates fall. They could drop because markets believe the central banks promise to keep short-term rates low, which
should encourage more investment and growth. But they could drop because markets read the central banks
guidance as a signal that the economy is weaker than expected, implying less demand for loans. That could actually
prove counterproductive if it discouraged new investment.Some recent Fed research suggests the first effectthe
credibility of the promiseis more important. Other work indicates that guidance may be more powerful when it
clearly represents a commitment to a particular policy rather than a forecast of future economic conditions and
the policy that is likely to flow from them.What is certain is that for all the experimentation, the rich worlds big
economies are still struggling. Output in Britain remains below its pre-crisis peak. Some 10m fewer Americans are
now working than might reasonably have been expected in 2007. The euro area is only just escaping the second
trough of a double-dip recession, and its unemployment rate remains in double digits. Unconventional monetary
policy, in short, does not seem to be working as well as the conventional sort used tobut there is no agreement
why.Some economists maintain that monetary policy, conventional or otherwise, loses much of its power at the zero
lower bound. Simon Wren-Lewis of Oxford University argues that monetary policy cannot stabilise the economy
without fiscal easing, meaning more government spending or lower taxes, to transmit newly created money and low
rates into the real economy. Others, such as Richard Koo of Nomura Research Institute, reckon that highly indebted
firms and households are simply unable to respond to lower long-term interest rates by borrowing more.Some
believe that unconventional policy would work better if central banks only pursued it more vigorously. Soon after
Japan ran into its own zero lower bound, Ben Bernanke, who was then an economist at Princeton University but is
now chairman of the Fed, argued that the Bank of Japan needed to set a higher inflation target, buy more assets and
devalue the yen by purchasing foreign currencies. Robert Hall of Stanford University suspects that pushing the real
federal-funds rate down to -4% would be sufficient to get the American economy moving faster. As long as the Fed
keeps inflation around 2%, however, the real interest rate can go no lower than -2% (a zero federal-funds rate minus
the 2% rate of inflation).Christina Romer of the University of California, Berkeley is one of the many economists who
see a need for a psychological jolt to rouse the economy. She argues for regime change, meaning not just a change
in leadership, but also a dramatic shift in policy. She wants central banks to stop targeting inflation and to focus
instead on total spending in the economy, or nominal GDP. Although in most circumstances the two approaches
would deliver similar results, a nominal-GDP target gives a central bank more leeway to fight unemployment during
steep downturns. Just as important, in her view, the policy change would signal to markets that the Fed meant to
restore rapid growth once and for all.Yet for every critic who believes that central banks have done too little, there is
one who fears they have done far too much. By propping up asset prices artificially, some complain, central bankers
are stoking inequality, rewarding financial firms despite their past misdeeds and sowing the seeds of the next crisis.
Many, especially on the right in America, give warning that the massive increase in the money supply QE entails can
lead only to a debasement of the currency and hyperinflation. Others gripe that low interest rates in the rich world
have sent a flood of hot money towards emerging markets, generating financial instability.It is likely to take years to
discern which of these criticisms are warranted. Not until 1963 did Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz publish A
Monetary History of the United States, definitively establishing that misguided monetary policy had helped
entrench the Great Depression. Unfortunately for the many countries still enduring sub-par growth, a similarly
decisive resolution to todays monetary-policy debates is still far off.
oversight of financial institutions.The regulators most dramatic error was to let Lehman Brothers go bankrupt. This
multiplied the panic in markets. Suddenly, nobody trusted anybody, so nobody would lend. Non-financial
companies, unable to rely on being able to borrow to pay suppliers or workers, froze spending in order to hoard cash,
causing a seizure in the real economy. Ironically, the decision to stand back and allow Lehman to go bankrupt
resulted in more government intervention, not less. To stem the consequent panic, regulators had to rescue scores of
other companies.But the regulators made mistakes long before the Lehman bankruptcy, most notably by tolerating
global current-account imbalances and the housing bubbles that they helped to inflate. Central bankers had long
expressed concerns about Americas big deficit and the offsetting capital inflows from Asias excess savings. Ben
Bernanke highlighted the savings glut in early 2005, a year before he took over as chairman of the Fed from Alan
Greenspan. But the focus on net capital flows from Asia left a blind spot for the much bigger gross capital flows from
European banks. They bought lots of dodgy American securities, financing their purchases in large part by borrowing
from American money-market funds.In other words, although Europeans claimed to be innocent victims of AngloSaxon excess, their banks were actually in the thick of things. The creation of the euro prompted an extraordinary
expansion of the financial sector both within the euro area and in nearby banking hubs such as London and
Switzerland. Recent research by Hyun Song Shin, an economist at Princeton University, has focused on the European
role in fomenting the crisis. The glut that caused Americas loose credit conditions before the crisis, he argues, was in
global banking rather than in world savings.Moreover, Europe had its own internal imbalances that proved just as
significant as those between America and China. Southern European economies racked up huge current-account
deficits in the first decade of the euro while countries in northern Europe ran offsetting surpluses. The imbalances
were financed by credit flows from the euro-zone core to the overheated housing markets of countries like Spain and
Ireland. The euro crisis has in this respect been a continuation of the financial crisis by other means, as markets have
agonised over the weaknesses of European banks loaded with bad debts following property busts.Central banks could
have done more to address all this. The Fed made no attempt to stem the housing bubble. The European Central
Bank did nothing to restrain the credit surge on the periphery, believing (wrongly) that current-account imbalances
did not matter in a monetary union. The Bank of England, having lost control over banking supervision when it was
made independent in 1997, took a mistakenly narrow view of its responsibility to maintain financial stability.Central
bankers insist that it would have been difficult to temper the housing and credit boom through higher interest rates.
Perhaps so, but they had other regulatory tools at their disposal, such as lowering maximum loan-to-value ratios for
mortgages, or demanding that banks should set aside more capital.Lax capital ratios proved the biggest shortcoming.
Since 1988 a committee of central bankers and supervisors meeting in Basel has negotiated international rules for
the minimum amount of capital banks must hold relative to their assets. But these rules did not define capital strictly
enough, which let banks smuggle in forms of debt that did not have the same loss-absorbing capacity as equity.Under
pressure from shareholders to increase returns, banks operated with minimal equity, leaving them vulnerable if
things went wrong. And from the mid-1990s they were allowed more and more to use their own internal models to
assess riskin effect setting their own capital requirements. Predictably, they judged their assets to be ever safer,
allowing balance-sheets to balloon without a commensurate rise in capital.The Basel committee also did not make
any rules regarding the share of a banks assets that should be liquid. And it failed to set up a mechanism to allow a
big international bank to go bust without causing the rest of the system to seize up.The regulatory reforms that have
since been pushed through at Basel read as an extended mea culpa by central bankers for getting things so grievously
wrong before the financial crisis. But regulators and bankers were not alone in making misjudgments. When
economies are doing well there are powerful political pressures not to rock the boat. With inflation at bay central
bankers could not appeal to their usual rationale for spoiling the party. The long period of economic and price
stability over which they presided encouraged risk-taking. And as so often in the history of financial crashes, humble
consumers also joined in the collective delusion that lasting prosperity could be built on ever-bigger piles of debt.
the same energy content as one tonne of fuel oil," says the director of the waste-to-energy agency in Oslo, Pal
Mikkelsen."That means a lot of energy, and we use very little energy to transport it."One tonne of fuel oil, Mr
Mikkelsen says, could heat a house for half a year. In other words, take just part of an English bin lorry's maximum
load picked up on the streets of Leeds or Bristol, turn it into energy here - and you can heat a home in Oslo for half a
year.The process is simple. The waste, tonne by tonne of it, is dropped into an incinerator. It soars to 850 degrees.
Peeking through a small porthole of toughened glass, the fire burns bright orange with a fierce roar of flames. Most of
the waste is burned, but some can be recycled Not everything is burned. Old tin cans and some mattress springs are
left. At the end of the process they are left with ash, metal -which is recycled - and a lot of heat. The heat boils water.
The steam drives a turbine, which produces electricity. And the scalding water is piped off from the plant, to houses
and public schools across Oslo. Which means at Bjoernholt School the technical manager, Agnar Andersen, does not
have to worry about fuel deliveries during the harsh Norwegian winter any more. "We don't have to think about fuel
oils or fossil fuels. They are phasing out the last school this year with fossil fuels." At full capacity the plant will
provide all the heat and electricity for Oslo's schools and heat for 56,000 homes. An environmentalist's dream, you
might have thought. Not necessarily, cautions the chair of Friends of the Earth Norway, Lars Haltbrekken. "The
overall goal from an environmental perspective should be to reduce the amount of waste, reuse what we can reuse,
recycle, and then the fourth option is to burn it and use the energy."We have created such an overcapacity in these
power plants in Norway and Sweden. We have made ourselves dependent on producing more and more garbage."
Send us your rubbish
Norway burns rubbish to get energy - and avoids resorting to landfill Supporters disagree, and point out that, used
together, all of Europe's current waste-to-energy plants could only consume about 5% of the continent's total annual
landfill. Norway - they say - is actually helping to dispose of some of that waste in the best way possible. That is
certainly true in the case of the English cities Leeds and Bristol. Both export waste to Oslo. Rather than pay for it to
go into landfill after the recyclable bits have been removed, they actually pay Oslo to take it off their hands. So, Oslo
is paid to dispose of the rubbish, and gets energy out of it as well. The waste-to-energy revolution can also be heard
on the streets of the Norwegian capital, as the number 144 bus rumbles past. It is powered by biogas, created from
the city's decaying organic matter. One kilogramme of food waste produces half a litre of fuel. Use all of the organic
waste they have and they will be able to power 135 buses year-round in Oslo. If this whole project were repeated
across Europe, Pal Mikkelsen believes it would make a huge difference."I think it would mean we get a lot better level
of self-sustainability when it comes to energy. If it's done properly it would also mean a lot more materials recovery.
And a sharp decrease in the landfill."With tight controls to clean up the gases from the burning, Oslo believes
converting waste into energy will help it to halve its carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions within 20 years - making a city,
whose wealth was built on oil, one of the greenest on the planet.
6.Cyprus deal
Cyprus has agreed a 10bn euros bailout with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in an
attempt to stave off the collapse of its banking sector and the wider economy.
What has been agreed?
Cyprus has agreed to a significant restructuring of its banking sector, along with other measures such as tax rises and
privatisations. The measures are designed to raise billions towards the bailout, but protect bank customers with
deposits of 100,000 euros or less.Cyprus's second largest bank - Laiki Bank - will be closed down and deposits above
100,000 euros moved into a "bad bank". Deposits below 100,000 euros will be moved into Bank of Cyprus, the
country's biggest bank, which is being significantly restructured.Deposits at Bank of Cyprus of more than 100,000
euros are being frozen. At both banks, deposits above 100,000 euros will be used by the government to contribute
billions towards the bailout. It is not clear how much of the money will be taken, but a government spokesman has
suggested customers should expect about 40% of the balance to be converted into bank shares.
What about the bank levy?
In the original EU-IMF deal, all customers of Cypriot banks were to face a one-off tax on their deposits, starting at
6.75% for the smallest deposits.That was designed to raise 5.8bn euros towards the cost of the bailout. But it proved
hugely unpopular with the Cypriot public and was voted down by Cyprus's parliament.There is no bank levy in the
new deal, but the bank restructuring measures mean deposits over 100,000 euros will effectively be used to pay the
bulk of the 5.8bn euro bill. The measures cannot be voted down by Cyprus's parliament, as new bank restructuring
laws have already been agreed and voted through by MPs.
Why are there capital controls?
After being closed for almost two weeks, Cyprus' banks have reopened - but with strict controls on how much money
can be withdrawn. This is to prevent a bank run, where customers try to withdraw all their money at once due to a
lack of confidence in the banking sector. In the past, bank runs have caused banks to collapse.In Cyprus, customers
are limited to withdrawing 300 euros a day, taking no more than 1,000 euros in cash on trips out of the country, and
transferring no more than 5,000 euros a month on debit or credit cards. Bigger transactions need the approval of
Cypriot authorities.The measures were due to stay in place for just a few days, but Cypriot authorities are already
indicating that they are likely to keep them in place for longer. Iceland introduced temporary capital controls in
2008, which are still in place today.
Are the UK operations of Cypriot banks affected?
Bank of Cyprus UK has 50,000 UK customers. Although it is a subsidiary of Bank of Cyprus, it is a separately
incorporated UK bank and depositors are protected by the UK's Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS),
which covers savings up to 85,000. It said the crisis in Cyprus would have no effect on its deposits.Laiki Bank has
four branches in Britain and serves 13,000 customers. Unlike Bank of Cyprus UK, its UK operations are directly
controlled from Cyprus, and so are not covered by the FSCS. It says deposits up to 100,000 euros are guaranteed and
customers are free to make withdraws if they wish. However, the UK Finance Minister, George Osborne, says the UK
government is in talks with Cypriot authorities to find "a British solution" to Laiki's UK branches.
So is the crisis over?
Not necessarily. In the short term, the risk of the Cypriot banking sector collapsing has receded, and the bailout
funds will allow the government to pay its own debts and undertake the restructuring of the banks without facing
economic collapse or exiting the euro.But in other respects the outlook is less certain. Cyprus must enact tough
austerity measures to rebuild its economy, and regain trust among investors in its banking sector and government. It
is unclear whether the Cypriot public, angered by how the crisis has been handled so far, will support that.It is also
unclear how much trust is left in Cyprus's banks, and so when fears over a bank run will recede.Finally, the whole
episode has damaged confidence in European authorities' ability to handle economic crises.
What went wrong in Cyprus?
Before the financial crisis struck in 2008, Cyprus was seen to have a healthy economy, with high growth, low
unemployment and sound public finances. But during the good years, the island's banking sector grew rapidly. By
2011, the IMF reported that their assets - which include all the loans they have made - were equivalent to 835% of
annual national income, or GDP. A chunk of that is down to foreign-owned banks, but those that are Cypriot had
made loans to Greek borrowers worth 160% of Cypriot GDP. When Greece became engulfed in crisis in 2010, Cypriot
banks were hit hard, and the government did not have the money to bail them out itself. Government finances have
been further weakened by slow economic growth and international lenders have stopped offering loans.Negotiations
on a bailout with the EU were delayed by the previous socialist government. President Nicos Anastasiades, a
conservative who favoured a swift agreement with Europe, assumed office in late February.
Why was a bank levy considered?
When countries get an international bailout, they are often expected to contribute to the solution by raising funds
themselves, usually by increasing taxes or selling state-owned assets. The levy on bank deposits was designed to play
the same role. It was intended to reduce the size of the bailout and therefore the amount of new debt Cyprus had to
take on.But there is almost certainly a political aspect, too. In the eurozone, there are concerns about moneylaundering in Cyprus and the presence of large amounts of Russian-owned money in the banks. Germany is reputed
to be especially unhappy about the idea of using European taxpayers' money to rescue them. Experts say the decision
to target ordinary savers came about because Cypriot banks have fewer private bondholders than banks in other
eurozone countries. In the Greek bailout, it was private bondholders who had to take a "haircut" - a slice out of their
investment.However, the deal provoked outrage in Cyprus, parliament promptly voted against it, and it is
increasingly seen as a blunder by European and Cypriot authorities.
drop in employment since the start of 2010 and job losses also increased in France. However, elsewhere in the
eurozone, the drop in employment was the smallest since October 2011."At this rate, the region could stabilise in the
third quarter and return to growth in the fourth quarter," added Mr Williamson
European Central Bank cuts growth forecast
The European Central Bank (ECB) has revised down its eurozone growth forecast as it voted to hold rates at historic
lows.The ECB now expects the euro area to contract by 0.6% this year, having earlier predicted a GDP fall of
0.5%.ECB President Mario Draghi said the Bank still saw "downside risks" for the eurozone economy, but insisted a
gradual recovery would begin in 2014.The ECB's benchmark rate was kept at 0.5%, after being cut last month. May's
cut from 0.75% was the first in 10 months.The decision not to cut rates further came despite an ongoing recession
across the 17 countries that use the euro.
'Recovery in 2014'
Mr Draghi told a press conference the bank had also marginally revised up its 2014 forecast to 1.1% growth."The
governing council continues to see downside risks surrounding the economic outlook for the euro area," he told
journalists."They include the possibility of weaker than expected domestic and global demand and slow or
insufficient implementation of structural reforms in euro area countries."Draghi kept all options open but also
tempered expectations about a quick ECB fix. However, he stuck with previous predictions that a gradual recovery
would begin in the second half of the year."Export growth should benefit from a recovery in global demand, while
domestic demand should be supported by the accommodative stance of our monetary policy and by the recent real
income gains due to lower oil prices and generally lower inflation," the president said.Draghi ducked questions about
precisely how many members of the ECB's Governing Council voted to cut interest rates.Instead he said "the vastly
prevailing consensus" was there had not been any events deemed significant enough to merit a cut.European shares
took a hit after the press conference, with investors disappointed that the president seemed unwilling to dig deeper
into the ECB's tool box to stimulate the economy."As regards any future policy measures, ECB president Draghi kept
all options open but also tempered expectations about a quick ECB fix for the real economy," noted ING economist
Carsten Brzeski.The eurozone's GDP shrank 0.2% in the first quarter - the sixth quarter of decline in a row. The rate
announcement came shortly after figures showed unemployment in France rose to 10.8% in the first quarter of the
year - its highest level since 1998. The jobless rate grew from 10.5% in the last quarter of 2012, the official Insee
statistics agency said. The French economy went into a recession after seeing GDP fall by 0.2% in the first quarter.
pipeline is limited."Mr Schleicher says the landscape of higher education will have to be reinvented, moving beyond
the traditional university to a variety of smaller, specialist, advanced institutions, accessible in a much more flexible
way.
Danger at the margins
Once the education system is reconfigured, he says, policymakers will have to encourage businesses to shift to a
better-qualified workforce and "to create disincentives for low skills".In Hong Kong there has been a policy of moving
out low-skilled production and replacing it with more high-value industries."They are focused on moving up the
value chain. In Europe we do the opposite. We are trying to cling on to low-skill jobs."The costs of drifting
downwards into a low-skilled economy are dangerously high, he argues.Research by the OECD shows that those with
the lowest skills are pushed to the political margins, disengaged and distrustful of society. It's a combustible
mix.Nemat Shafik, deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, says governments need to "think
outside the box" about harnessing education in the cause of economic recovery.In particular, she has concerns about
the high level of youth unemployment, at its most acute in southern Europe, North Africa and the Middle
East.Europe cannot afford to have success at school so strongly depending on social background"It's the most
worrying phenomenon. Not just because of the wasted potential and frustrated young people. It's also politically and
socially very dangerous. We know that high rates of youth unemployment have a huge fiscal cost for countries,
consequences for crime, higher rates of mortality, higher rates of suicide, higher rates of social instability," says the
IMF's deputy head.Even with the most optimistic view of a recovery, she says it will take years to tackle the levels of
unemployment."Which is what brings us to the role of education. It does seem to us that some creative thinking
about the future of education could start to make a dent in these unemployment rates," says Ms Shafik, the Egyptianborn former vice president of the World Bank.It's not just a case of churning out more graduates, she argues, but
about providing the "survival skills" for an unpredictable jobs market. Not least, because the relationship between
education and labour markets can be complex.In Europe and North America, having a degree makes someone much
less likely to be unemployed. But in North Africa, it is the opposite, with graduates more likely to be unemployed
than non-graduates, because the job opportunities are not there for them.In sub-Saharan Africa, the problem is even
more fundamental, with a lack of access to basic education erecting a barrier to employment.
Ms Shafik also wants the education system to act as an advance guard on preparing for big social and economic
changes.In developed countries, people are going to have to work longer, but many jobs are going to disappear long
before their occupants can afford to retire. "We have to think about what they're going to do," she says.Many whitecollar jobs in the middle layers of the labour market are going to be lost to outsourcing or technological change, she
says. Universities should have a role in retraining these mid-career people.
INVESTMENT IN RESEARCH
Finland 3.8%
S. Korea 3.7%
Japan 3.2%
Germany 2.8%
Austria 2.8%
France 2.3%
UK 1.8%
Italy 1.3%
Source: OECD, May 2013. Expenditure on research and development as % of GDP. 2011 data, S. Korea and Japan
from 2010"Universities will have to be places that people go in and out of all their lives. The idea that you get trained
for three or four years and that's it for life is unrealistic."But during a downturn, the tide can be running in the
opposite direction. At the point at which educational opportunities are most needed, there is pressure to spend less.
It's a cash-strapped Catch-22 situation.In England, the raising of tuition fees has seen a plunge in part-time
undergraduate students, down by 40% in two years. And these are exactly the type of people who are wanted for
retraining."We are strong supporters of higher investment in education and infrastructure. "But part of the problem
of this crisis has been that many countries have cut back on investment in education, infrastructure, research and
development and innovation, which are all the things that are going to create growth in the future."
Digital industries
Another way in which education is being seen as part of the economic crash recovery team is through its links to
innovative technology. Universities have been the golden goose for digital industries. Google was a PhD project,
Facebook was invented for university students. Hi-tech industries cluster around universities, with Silicon Valley the
blueprint other countries try to copy.The link between universities and industrial growth is going to become even
more important, says Andy Haldane, the Bank of England's executive director for financial stability.They provide the
stable environment needed for long-term investment, he told the Global University Summit, an annual event that
shadows the G8."What does it take to make investment and innovation flourish? It takes patience, a willingness to
defer gratification a willingness to experiment, to fail as often as you succeed."But modern capital markets were
hooked on "instant gratification", he told international business and university leaders at the summit, hosted by the
University of Warwick."Modern capital markets, like modern football teams, are intolerant of experimentation and
failure. They are short-termist and such short time horizons are inimical to research and development, counterproductive to investment and innovation."In contrast, he said universities operated on longer timescales needed for
research. "They can afford to be patient."Mr Haldane said that the stakes were high for the need to
invest."Economists only know one thing," he said. "If you ever meet an economist and they say they know two things,
they're exaggerating."The one thing is this: Today's investment is tomorrow's growth."Should there be a greater
emphasis on education and training in the push for economic recovery?It's all well and good having R&D, but if
people on the ground don't have the capital either personal or borrowed, then ideas can't fly. Far too much wealth is
in the hands of people who couldn't change wheel, let alone develop new technologies. How on earth are they the
right people to decide what should get funding and what shouldn't. Go to Germany.. engineers are in the board
rooms.. THAT is why Germany is doing well and will continue to do well, research funding is the result of the right
people at the top.
contamination.There have been many other reports of a similar impact on drinking water from people living near
fracking operations across the US.Prof Davies says that when water has been contaminated in the US it has not been
the fault of fracking. It has been as a result of cracks in the wells or surface spillages. "We have been distracted by
hydraulic fracturing," he told BBC News. "It is really at the bottom of the list when it comes to contaminating water
supplies. Drilling wells properly and cementing them are the critical things."In a report published in the journal
Marine and Petroleum Geology, Prof Davies found that in the UK the possibility of fracking causing rogue fractures
that would allow methane gas to contaminate water was a fraction of 1%. The study recommended a minimum
vertical separation distance between fracking wells and water supplies of 600m (2,000ft).Some scientists have
proposed adding chemical tracers to fracking fluids as a way of confirming that any contamination of drinking water
comes from the drilling process.
Environmental disruption
Horizontal drilling can offer many advantages to the gas extraction process, allowing wells to be drilled in several
directions from one pad. But there are downsides as well. Horizontal drilling means companies can extract oil and
gas from locations that were once inaccessible, and these may be under built-up areas as they are in several cities in
the US. The disruption that this can cause is considerable. Road traffic, drilling noise, and the danger of accidental
fuel spillages are all associated with the process. Mark Boling, executive vice president with Southwestern Energy, a
US oil and gas exploration company that uses fracking technology, says the fracking industry needs to be more
honest about the real impacts."We need to think more innovatively above the ground," he told BBC News. "We need
to figure how to do better on surface impacts, water supply, water transfer and disposal, drilling locations - we really
didn't come out and say, 'yes, these are risks, and there are obstacles'." Mr Boling says that in many parts of the US,
people have accepted the technology because they have seen a direct financial benefit from selling mineral rights.
That's not something that pertains in the UK. "You are going to have even more difficulty where the minerals are
owned by the Crown - if you don't have something that is going to put money in the pockets of people that are
suffering through all the trucks, road damage the compressor noise all these sorts of things."
forced to overexploit, even if it is against your better knowledge. "But if you do not go out and take what you can then
others will and you will lose even more - this is the tragedy of the commons," said Prof Arnason, referring to the
famous article by Garrett Hardin, published in Science magazine in December 1968.The inefficiencies in the common
property model of fisheries management regimes came to light in a 2008 UN and World Bank report, which
calculated that the world's fishing fleet was operating at a US $50bn (31bn) annual loss.The authors said the loss
was a result of depleted fish stocks and overcapacity in the fleet (too many vessels harvesting the available fish).
Individual responsibility
Prof Arnason, who addressed the annual science conference of the International Council for the Exploration of the
Sea (ICES) in Reykjavik, said attempts to reform and improve fisheries were not anything new.Many of the world's
fisheries consist of small-scale low-tech fishing boats "The only system that empirically has been found to function
have been based on private property rights," he recalled. "In fisheries, this is usually done by saying that an area of
the ocean belongs to a group - this is called territorial rights. It works pretty well if you have sedentary species, such
as shellfish."When you are dealing with fish stocks that are moving about then you usually have quantitative catch
rights. So out of the total allowable catch for that particular stock, you would get a fixed [allocation], for example 1%.
"You then do not have to race or compete against your fellow fishermen. If this right is a long-term right, you also
have a greater interest in the welfare of the fish stock and ecosystem because the amount you are allowed to catch
increases as the state of the fish stocks/ecosystem improves. "So you become a little bit like a shareholder in a
company, you want the company to succeed."
Cutting costs
But he explained that these measures have to be enforced and monitored. While, he argued, this was not
prohibitively expensive in fleets of industrialised nations (about 3% of the value of the landed catch), it became
problematic in many developing nations, where fisheries were made up from thousands of small-scale low-tech
fishing vessels.This gave rise to the idea of collective fishing rights to small communities, Prof Arnason said."These
rights are for all the people in that community but the hope is that communities that are reasonably homogenous so
they may be able to overcome the common property problem and install, enforce and maintain their own fisheries
management system."He added that fishermen, on the whole, were recognising the benefits of this shift in the
management regimes but a potential hurdle remained."The problem they are facing is that before you get the gains,
you have to rebuild the fish stocks," he told BBC News. "You have to cut back on fishing and allow the fish stocks to
rebuild. During this interval, there will be fewer catches and less profit - the benefits appear later."The global
community - in the guise of the UN, World Bank etc - is keen to move the world in this direction, so I am optimistic
and I think things are moving in the right direction."
European market's needs. Fish imported from non-EU countries now accounts for two-thirds of the fish sold in the
EU.
What was the current policy designed to do?
The idea of agreed quotas was to make Europe's fishing stable and sustainable and prevent conflicts arising where
foreign trawlers fish in a country's waters.The quota system - called Total Allowable Catches (TACs) for each fish
stock - is at the heart of the CFP, launched in 1983. The TACs are based on a country's previous catches.Over time
Europe's fishing fleets have grown too large for the dwindling fish stocks, but fisheries ministers are often reluctant
to see their national TACs reduced. The Commission says the CFP has been plagued by short-term decision-making.
How does the EU plan to protect fish stocks now?
The practice of discards must be phased out, the Commission says. In future trawlers will have to land their entire
catch - and that means member states will have to ensure that better technology is installed to monitor
compliance.The Commission says fisheries should be managed on an "ecosystem" basis - there needs to be more
flexibility in the system and more scientific data needs to be collected on a larger number of fish species.The
parliament's lead negotiator, German Social Democrat Ulrike Rodust, says the EU should scrap the annual
bargaining over quotas, replacing that with an eco-friendly system based on "maximum sustainable yield" (MSY).
Under MSY, there would be a limit to the catch for each species based on its reproduction rate - in other words, the
rate at which the stock is replenished. Ms Rodust accepts that for MSY to become the benchmark in 2015, as outlined
in her legislative report, more scientific data will be needed.A new funding mechanism will be set up for 2014-2020
called the European Maritime and Fisheries Fund (EMFF), with a budget of 6.7bn euros (6bn).Part of that fund will
help support small-scale coastal fleets. Member states will be able to restrict fishing in a zone within 12 nautical miles
of the coast, up to the year 2022. But Ms Rodust's report objects to some Commission proposals to make fishing
more market-driven. The Commission said large fleets should be allocated transferable catch shares, called
"concessions", which they would be able to trade, in response to local conditions. Ms Rodust argues that such choices
should remain in the hands of national authorities, not the EU.She does not want "an allocation system being
imposed at European level", and instead "member states will remain free to establish - or not to establish - a system
of transferable fishing concessions".
What is the time frame for the changes?
Originally the Commission wanted the new CFP to be in place by 1 January this year, but the timetable has
slipped.MEPs now hope to reach a final deal on the reforms with the Council (EU governments) in June. The plan is
to start adopting the MSY approach to fisheries management in 2015, and from 2014 discards are to be phased out.
What has been the response so far to the plan?
The UK government is enthusiastic. UK Fisheries Minister Richard Benyon said more work must be done to
encourage consumers to buy a wider range of fish. That message was echoed by Sainsbury's, which said "it is
imperative that supermarkets such as Sainsbury's help create the consumer demand for lesser known species by
promoting them to our customers".Scottish Fisheries Secretary Richard Lochhead said the EU reforms "need to be a
lot more radical".He praised the Commission's emphasis on conservation of stocks, but said more carefully targeted
measures would be needed to stop discards.The environmental group Oceana called for proper management plans
for a much larger number of fish stocks.It voiced concern that the Commission plan "doesn't establish any
mechanisms to deal with landed by-catch". There is a risk that the surplus fish landed - instead of being discarded at
sea - will simply be sold and that could incentivise overfishing, Oceana says.
grilled or even fried. Halloumi has made a classic British culinary journey from ethnic speciality to commonplace
item. Its charms have long been recognised in its homeland of Cyprus, where the average resident gets through an
average of 8kg (17lbs) of it each year.But now Britons are said to consume more halloumi than any other European
country outside Cyprus, with Sweden coming in behind.
Recipes ideas for halloumi
It's a far cry from just a decade ago, when a request for the cheese in a mainstream supermarket would probably have
been met with blank looks. Now every chain stocks the stuff. Tesco is a useful barometer - it sells six varieties. Its
halloumi sales rose 35% for the year 2011-2012, with its Tesco Finest line increasing by 132% over the same period.
Similarly, a spokesman for Waitrose reported that their sales were up 104%.So why is halloumi having a moment?
Daily Telegraph food columnist Rose Prince believes it's "a reflection of three things - our love for Mediterranean
cuisine, our eagerness to try whatever is new and the effect of TV chefs".She adds: "It only has to be used by Jamie
Oliver in a recipe and it goes stratospheric." Indeed, it seems halloumi is no longer exclusively enjoyed as an
ingredient in Mediterranean or Middle Eastern cooking but has been incorporated into a variety of British and
European dishes.It has become a very popular choice in many restaurants such as Nando's, which serve slices of
halloumi as a side order. Its sales have risen 138% since 2010.Halloumi also features on the menu of Pret a Manger
in the form of a falafel and halloumi hot wrap, and a halloumi and red pepper toastie, as well as on the Leon menu,
served at lunch time in a grilled halloumi wrap or halloumi burger, but also at dinner time in a grilled halloumi
dinner pot.Greek cheese companies such as Yamas have also capitalised on its status as a barbecue favourite, selling
prepared halloumi burger slices. Key to its success has been its convenience and its versatility.What constitutes
halloumi is a matter of dispute . The fact that it is kept in brine allows it to be stored unopened in the fridge for up to
a year whilst giving it a satisfying salty taste."You can do so many things with it," says Antonis Evangelou, owner of
London's Lemonia restaurant.
Buying, storing and using halloumi
Buying: Best halloumi is made from sheeps' milk, and often comes from Cyprus
Storage: Halloumi can be refrigerated for many months if left in original packaging; once opened, submerge
in salt water and refrigerate
Preparation: In Middle East halloumi is usually fried or grilled but can be eaten straight from packet; some
chefs recommend soaking it in buttermilk for a day or two before preparing, for richer, less salty flavour
Evangelou recalls selling it in the delicatessen he opened when he moved to the UK in 1958, but says the dish wasn't
nearly as popular as it is today. Evangelou's Lemonia restaurant sells 60kg (132lbs) of halloumi per week. "More
people are requesting it now," he says."It's not just growing in Britain but everywhere - in the US, in Europe. I was in
Dubai recently and they served it in the breakfast lounge, it was very popular, they ate all of it."It's a unique taste.
You can't compare it with any other cheese. It's just unique."Harry Nicola, proprietor of London's Kolossi Grill
Cypriot restaurant, says halloumi is one of his most popular starters, with "about a third" of their customers now
ordering it. Anecdotal evidence for this growing taste among Britons for halloumi comes from a story told by Nicola
where he oversaw the catering for an annual Church of England event at a local church. "We supplied them with
plates of taramasalata, hummus, olives, halloumi and watermelon. By the end there was no halloumi left on the trays
at all, it had all been eaten."It is also, as Nicola tells, a hugely popular breakfast option in Cyprus, served with olives,
bread and fresh watermelon, with a sizeable part of Cypriot culture based around the cheese."In a quarter of a
century hummus has gone from fringe food to a staple in British supermarkets, so is its adoption a sign of changing
tastes?"Keen to capitalise on the halloumi boom, producers in Cyprus are fighting to gain a protected designation of
origin (PDO) status from the European Union. This would lay down criteria which a cheese would have to meet in
order to be labelled as "halloumi" and protect the Cypriot industry from foreign competitors.Efforts thus far to secure
a PDO for halloumi have been unsuccessful, meaning the correct way to prepare the dish is subject to
dispute.Traditionally it is made with milk from a sheep or goat, but with no PDO to ensure that any cheese labelled as
halloumi adheres to this, many variants are made with a mixture of cow's and sheep's milk. Some UK companies
such as Milky's have even started producing the cheese exclusively from British cow's milk. A further complication is
the presence of Turkish producers in northern Cyprus. Turkey, and indeed Turkish dairy farmers in Cyprus, produce
an identical cheese called hellim. This means that if Cyprus were granted a PDO for the production of halloumi it
wouldn't necessarily apply to the hellim, and thus would protect half the nation's dairy farmers and not the
other's.Whatever its legal status, the dish looks certain to remain a permanent fixture on British dinner tables.
interes public ale subsolului [] fac obiectul exclusiv al proprietii publice (art. 136 al. 3), iar bunurile proprietate
public sunt inalienabile (art. 136 al. 4). Prin urmare, conform prezentei Constituii, fiecare cetean se poate
considera ndreptit s aib o opinie cu privire la utilizarea resurselor subsolului i la protecia mediului, dar trebuie
s accepte c decizia va fi luat de stat, adic de politicieni. Acetia din urm, lsnd la o parte interesul lor
individual, vor ti cum s exploateze resursele, s refac mediul i s asigure creterea calitii vieii, totul n ordinea,
la termenele i n proporiile potrivite interesului naional... Mitologie i contradicii, cum spuneam. Oponenii
exploatrii aurului la Roia Montan, prin protestele lor, recunosc implicit c democraia reprezentativ este
nepotrivit pentru a decide n cazul proprietii publice. Dar dac am face un referendum? Cine ar trebui s
participe? Cetenii Romniei? Cei din Roia Montan? Cei din bazinul hidrografic al Roiei, Someului, Tisei,
Dunrii? Voturile lor ar trebui s fie egale, chiar dac nu ar fi afectai egal de proiect? Blocajele instituionale i
conflictele rmn. De fapt, chiar s-a vehiculat ideea derulrii unui referendum care s indice ce vrea majoritatea
naiunii i astfel s ajute statul n luarea unei decizii. Pe lng slbiciunile teoretice enumerate anterior, ideea are
cteva neajunsuri practice, precum riscul unui absenteism masiv (ceea ce ar devaloriza referendumul), riscul unui
rezultat incert (un raport sensibil egal ntre cei care spun Da i cei care spun Nu), dar i interminabilele controverse
cu privire la manipularea opiniei publice i chiar a eventualelor fraude. O abordare alternativ ar fi n termeni de
proprietate privat, de natur s rspund mai bine provocrilor economice i etice asociate problemei de la Roia
Montan. n opinia noastr, soluia optim ar consta n implementarea unui amplu program de reform, al crui
prim pas s fie revizuirea Constituiei i desfiinarea regimului proprietii de stat asupra resurselor subsolului, adic
extinderea dreptului de proprietate al deintorilor de terenuri asupra resurselor de sub pmnt. Aceast soluie
poate prea prea puin pragmatic i chiar mpotriva curentului opiniei publice care pare a se situa mai degrab pe
poziia Nu vrem ca statul s renune la avuia naional. O soluie mai pragmatic poate fi urmtoarea: constituirea
unei companii naionale a exploatrii aurului sau a resurselor subsolului la Roia Montan avnd ca acionariat
ntreaga populaie adult a Romniei. Fiecare cetean cu vrsta peste 18 ani ar urma s primeasc o aciune cu
valoarea nominal stabilit simbolic la 1 leu. Practic, ar trebui derulat o cuponiad asemntoare cu cea gndit i
implementat la nceputul procesului de privatizare a economiei, n anii 1990. Ar trebui evitate erorile de atunci, iar
detaliile pot fi dezbtute. Din punct de vedere al eficienei, ideal ar fi ca dup distribuirea titlurilor nominative,
tranzacionarea s poat fi fcut ct mai repede. Pentru reducerea costurilor de tranzacionare, aciunile ar putea fi
dematerializate. Dac exist temerea c unii oameni ar putea fi pclii, netiind valoarea aciunii primite, s-ar putea
stabili ca distribuirea gratuit s priveasc doar 90% din capitalul viitoarei societi, iar restul aciunilor s fie
vndute liber pe burs. Astfel, beneficiarii mproprietririi i-ar putea face o idee despre valoarea titlului primit.
Pentru protecia mediului, s-ar putea prevedea ca decizia exploatrii s se fac numai cu o majoritate calificat (dou
treimi din acionari? Trei sferturi?) i cu protejarea drepturilor acionarilor minoritari. Indiferent de aceste detalii
care sunt extrem de importante, pasul urmtor care ar trebui ntreprins este deci asigurarea cadrului instituional
pentru tranzacionarea acestor aciuni. Scopul final al procesului de pia trebuie s fie constituirea unui acionariat
stabil, eventual a unei majoriti care s poat decide asupra managementului companiei. n esen, propunerea ar
realiza privatizarea Roiei Montane prin mproprietrirea tuturor romnilor. Aa cum spuneam, aceasta abordeaz
frontal problemele etice i economice avnd, spre deosebire de referendum, urmtoarele avantaje: Reprezint
un proces mai democratic de gestionare a situaiei, deoarece responsabilizeaz i cointereseaz cetenii prin faptul
c valoarea de pia a titlului de proprietate va crete semnificativ; - Contribuie la internalizarea externalitilor de
mediu asociate exploatrii miniere, prin definirea i tranzacionarea drepturilor de proprietate (aciunilor); cei care
preuiesc mai mult exploatarea i i asum riscul de mediu trebuie s plteasc pentru aceasta, cumprnd aciunile
celorlali; Reprezint un proces de cretere a avuiei colective i de stopare a risipei; practic, statul, care i-a
dovedit n repetate rnduri capacitatea de prost administrator, este scos din joc, iar valoarea zcmntului de aur se
va transfera direct n buzunarele i conturile romnilor; Elimin corupia i asaneaz spaiul public de
acuzaiile de trdare naional sau de subminare a economiei; Creeaz cadrul favorabil att pentru luarea unei
decizii n prezent n ceea ce privete exploatarea, ct i pentru revizuirea acesteia n viitor deoarece vnzareacumprarea aciunilor las permanent deschis posibilitatea redefinirii acionariatului majoritar al companiei. Cu
alte cuvinte, scpm de problema (ar trebui s fie deja familiar) organizrii unui nou referendum dac preferinele
sociale se schimb n anii urmtori; Rspunde sentimentului cvasi-mrturisit de majoritatea celor ieii s
protesteze, care nu mai vor s asiste impasibili la nc o afacere dintre stat i bieii detepi. Logica respectrii
drepturilor de proprietate nu se oprete aici. n caz c se decide exploatarea minier, firma respectiv va trebui s
repecte drepturile de proprietate ale tuturor locuitorilor din zon afectai de aceast decizie, fr niciun fel de
exproprieri de interes public. De asemenea, compania va fi obligat la subscrierea unei polie de asigurare n
conformitate cu pagubele poteniale n aval. n mod paradoxal, ntr-un astfel de cadru instituional, oponenii
proiectului ar avea mai mari anse pentru blocarea acestuia, prin pstrarea aciunilor primite i prin cumprarea
altora de pe pia, prin convingerea altor deintori s voteze mpotriva exploatrii pn la descoperirea de tehnologii
acceptabile din punct de vedere ecologic, sau prin cumprarea de terenuri chiar pe locul potenielei exploataii.
Respectul absolut al dreptului de proprietate este, n ultim nstan, adevrata i singura protecie a celor slabi din
punct de vedere politic i economic. Cei care au puterea economic i politic n-au nevoie de drept pentru a se apra.
De fapt, adesea, dreptul i chiar ncurc.
regenerare, n cursul unei generaii-maxim dou, ntotdeauna dup o prbuire aparent apocaliptic.Instaurarea
dominaiei germane asupra Uniunii Europene are loc, de aceast dat, graie unei fore economice fr rival pe
continent. Ascensiunea provoac ngrijorare i revolt nu numai din cauza efectelor sociale dureroase ale austeritii
impuse de Berlin rilor din sudul UE, ci i prin prisma ecourilor istorice pe care le trezete o Germanie revenit n
postura de a dicta ntregii Europe.Poate tocmai pentru a menaja astfel de temeri fa de ideea renaterii prusace,
aniversarea a trei secole de la urcarea pe tron a regelui Frederic Wilhelm a fost mult mai modest dect cea de anul
trecut, cnd s-au mplinit 300 de ani de la naterea fiului su, Frederic cel Mare. i totui, ridicarea Prusiei ca for
relevant la nivel european a nceput odat cu nscunarea regelui-soldat, n 1713.Una din primele msuri ale lui
Frederic Wilhelm, cnd, n 1713, la numai 25 de ani, a devenit rege, a fost vinderea trsurilor, a obiectelor de lux i a
vinurilor scumpe, rmase de la printele su, Frederic I. Acesta trecuse la cele venice dup 12 ani de domnie
domnie semnificativ prin acordul primit de la mpratul austriac Leopold I ca Prusia s devin regat. n schimbul
acordului, acest prim Frederic l-a susinut pe Leopold mpotriva Franei lui Ludovic al XIV-lea, n rzboiul de
succesiune pentru tronul spaniol.Argumentul folosit a fost c Prusia nu fcea parte din Sfntul Imperiu Roman de
Origine German, precum Brandenburg, cealalt posesiune a Hohenzollernilor. Doar Bavaria putea avea rang de
regat n imperiul fondat la 962 i alctuit dintr-o puzderie de sttulee. Dar deplina recunoatere a regalitii prusace
mai are de ateptat. Abia Frederic cel Mare se va putea intitula, n 1772, rege al Prusiei, tatl i bunicul su fiind
regi n Prusia.Austerul i grosierul Frederic Wilhelm I s-a lipsit i de castelul tatlui su i a eliminat cheltuielile
vestimentare, prefernd uniforma militar. Proiectul su de rigoare bugetar a inclus i concedierea artitilor Curii
i reducerea personalului acesteia la o treime. Pasionat doar de armat, vntoare i abundena mncrii simple,
acest al doilea Frederic al seriei fondatoare prusace a fost un despot violent i coleric. A dublat efectivele armatei,
care a devenit una dintre cele mai puternice din Europa vremii. A impus rigoarea bugetar i o disciplin drastic
statului militarizat pe l-a creat. Prudent ns, nu l-a angajat n conflicte externe. Regele Prusiei nu e un lup dect la
stna sa, se spunea despre el, n batjocur.A murit n 1740, dezamgit c fidelitatea sa fa de Habsburgi nu fusese
rspltit de mpratul Carol al VI-lea cu cele dou ducate promise. Iat-l pe cel care m va rzbuna, a artat
profetic de pe patul de moarte spre fiul pe care-l terorizase pn atunci, n strdania de a-l pregti pentru tron.Cel
care va intra n istorie drept Frederic cel Mare fusese un copil efeminat i un adolescent boem. Sunt mrturii c ar fi
fost homosexual. A vrut s fug cu un prieten n Anglia nrudit dinastic, dar au fost prini. A fost nchis i obligat s
asiste la decapitarea tovarului de nesbuin. Fiu al unui obsedat de inspecii militare, care-i numea pitori de
cerneal pe scriitori, Frederic al II-lea s-a format sub influena culturii franceze i antice (a nvat franceza de la
bona sa i latina n secret). Va fi protectorul lui Voltaire i se va impune n epoc drept prototipul despotului
luminat. Pasionat de muzic i literatur, el nsui cu reuite creatoare, supranumit regele-filosof, colecionar de
art, Frederic a fost, ns, nainte de toate, ceea ce i-a dorit tatl su: un comandant militar strlucit, de un curaj
mpins la nesbuin i o ambiie fr limite.n plan intern, a acionat convins c e un servitor al statului, nu un
monarh de drept divin. A reformat justiia, administraia i finanele. i, mai ales, a dus armata ntemeiat de tatl
su la rzboi, nc din primele luni de domnie. Legalist n plan intern, a devenit celebru n exterior pentru lipsa de
respect fa de tratate i pentru viclenia imprevizibil. Diplomaia fr arme e ca muzica fr instrumente aceasta
a fost filosofia lui geopolitic.n 1740, Prusia era un mic regat, fragmentat, dar care avea a treia armat din Europa. E
semnificativ raportul ntre numrul militarilor i populaia total, de 30 de ori mai mare dect n statul polonolituanian nvecinat. Cinilor, vrei s trii venic?, le-a urlat Frederic, intrat n istorie drept cel Mare, soldailor
epuizai, cnd au ovit n cursul unei btlii. Avea atuul celor ase cai mori sub el n lupte. A smuls, dup trei
rzboaie distrugtoare pentru ambele beligerante, bogata regiune minier a Sileziei, care furniza o cincime din
veniturile Austriei. A mprit, n 1772, Polonia, cu Rusia i Austria.Cnd a murit la masa de lucru, la 74 de ani, n
1786, nconjurat doar de cini n mizantropia n care czuse, era alintat btrnul Fritz de poporul recunosctor.
Prusia era, alturi de Frana, Anglia, Rusia i Austria, una dintre cele cinci mari puteri europene. Iar n lumea
germanic, ntietatea Austriei era pus sub semnul ntrebrii. Frederic a ubrezit coroana Habsburgilor iremediabil,
mpiedicnd-o s realizeze unificarea german. Domnilor, dac mai tria acest om, noi n-am fi fost azi aici, a fost
omagiul adus de Napoleon la mormntul su de la Potsdam, n 1807.Un Potsdam care, la 1713, era doar un oragarnizoan i care ajunsese, n doar cteva decenii, una dintre marile capitale europene. i chiar dac Sfntul
Imperiu Roman de Origine German a pierit, dup opt secole de existen, sub tvlugul francez, proiectul
Confederaiei Rinului s-a dovedit la fel de efemer ca visul napoleonian. Confederaia German a continuat, nc o
jumtate de secol, marul prusac culminnd cu victoria decisiv asupra Austriei, n 1866, la Sadowa. Rivalitatea din
centrul Europei a fost, atunci, tranat definitiv n favoarea Germaniei unite sub sceptrul Hohenzollernilor. A fost
nevoie, apoi, de dou cataclisme mondiale pentru a ngenunchea o for dezlnuit dincolo de puterile
raiunii.Devastat de rzboi, divizat decenii la rnd, Germania reunificat domin iar Europa; creia-i impune
modelul unei austeriti nscute acum exact trei secole, cnd un conductor prusac, abia urcat pe tron, s-a grbit s
se descotoroseasc de luxul regalitii, impunnd statului su rigoarea unui mar care nu s-a oprit nc.
despre suprafaa minim pentru care se pot primi subvenii, acel hectar minim nu va crete n mod obligatoriu.
Dac ai auzit cumva c de la Bruxelles a pornit aceast decizie, precizez c nu este aa, ci doar Guvernul poate
decide s creasc suprafaa minim, a spus Dacian Ciolo. Subvenii doar pentru agricultorii activi Deintorii de
terenuri nu vor mai primi subvenii pe suprafa dect dac vor face dovada c au desfurat o activitate minim
agricol pe acele terenuri. Spre exemplu, acum pot primi subvenii la cerere i proprietarii de aeroporturi, ci ferate
sau terenuri de golf; din 2014 se va ntocmi o list negativ cu astfel de proprietari, care nu vor mai primi subvenii
dect dac fac dovada c au activitate agricol. Guvernul fiecrei ri n parte va ntocmi aceste liste negative, a
precizat comisarul european. Grupurile vor ctiga cu 10% mai mult Spre finalul interviului nostru, Dacian Ciolo a
artat care vor fi avantajele agricultorilor organizai ca grupuri i dezavantajele celor care vor continua s acioneze
individual. Ca s ncurajm asocierea, i prin Programul de Dezvoltare Rural 2014-2020, cofinanarea din fonduri
publice va fi cu 10% mai mare pentru investiiile fcute de ctre grupuri dect dac sunt fcute de individuali, a
conchis comisarul european. Prima ar vizitat de comisarul european pentru Agricultur, Dacian Ciolo, dup
recenta ncheiere a unui pact politic la vrf n UE privind viitoarea Politic Agricol Comun (PAC) este Romnia. i
nu ntmpltor: ara noastr se numr printre cele care vor avea de ctigat ceva mai mult n tronsonul bugetar
comunitar 2014-2020 dect n cel prezent. Comisarul a explicat, ntr-o conferin, ce oportuniti se deschid pentru
Romnia. UE a aprobat Reforma Ciolo n agricultura european UE negociaz la snge reforma Ciolo din
agricultur Bncile nu v ajut s luai bani de la UE? Soluia ar putea fi desemn... n noua Politic Agricol Comun
se regsesc o serie de elemente care in cont i de specificul Romniei, a afirmat Dacian Ciolo. Subvenii mai mari i
mai verzi Potrivit comisarului european, n noua PAC apar elemente n premier, cum ar fi condiionarea plilor
de practicile agricole ecologice, sustenabile (verzi, ntr-o terminologie specific), dar i apariia unei subvenii
complementare acordat tinerilor fermieri, n primii cinci ani de instalare. Un alt element discutat a fost cel de
nverzire a plilor directe, respectiv condiionarea plilor de practicile agricole sustenabile (30% din total), iar
aceast idee a fost acceptat, a spus oficialul. Plile directe se menin, apare i o variant simplificat Pentru plile
directe, am dat posibilitatea ca statele membre s-i menin sistemul de plat direct la hectar pn n 2020. Apar i
alte elemente: o plat fix, simplificat, pentru fermele mici care se va acorda, iar agricultorii nu vor mai trebui s
completeze n fiecare an cereri de plat. Plata va fi fix i aceeai n fiecare an. Apoi, subvenia complementar pentru
tinerii fermieri care se instaleaz, n primii cinci ani de instalare, care dein suprafee cuprinse ntre 25 i 90 de
hectare. Subvenia nu va depi 25%, a spus oficialul european. De asemenea, Dacian Ciolo a menionat c
Romnia va avea posibilitatea s acorde o parte dintre subveniile directe, cuplate cu producia, dar i creterea
subveniei la hectar pentru agricultorii din zonele defavorizate. Favoruri pentru zonele defavorizate Romnia va
putea acorda o parte din subveniile directe cuplate cu producia pentru a susine anumite tipuri de producie, pn
la 13% din total. Alte 2% au fost introduse pentru stimularea proteinelor vegetale. S-a stabilit, de asemenea, creterea
subveniei la hectar pentru agricultorii din zonele defavorizate. Statul va interveni din ce n ce mai puin n gestiunea
pieei. Prima condiie pentru a beneficia de faciliti de intervenie pe pia este ca acetia s se organizeze, a
subliniat Ciolo. El a mai adugat c, n urma negocierilor, a fost aplicat o corecie bugetar (nu v speriai, corecia
e n sus, nu n jos) pentru programul viticol din Romnia, ncepnd din 2014 i pn n 2020. Totalul pentru
programul viticol va fi de 47 de milioane de euro pe an, fa de cele 42 de milioane anual din execuia bugetar
actual. Romniei i revin aproape 20 de miliarde de euro n data de 26 iunie, negociatorii Uniunii Europene au
ajuns la un acord asupra unor modificri substaniale ale Politicii Agricole Comune, fixnd regulile care guverneaz
repartizarea unor subvenii anuale n valoare de 50 de miliarde de euro pentru perioada 2014-2020. Comisarul a
afirmat, dup acest acord, c noua PAC va aduce mai muli bani agricultorilor din Romnia n urmtoarea perioad,
ceea ce nu se ntmpl pentru toate statele membre. Agricultura rmne principalul capitol de cheltuieli al UE cu
aproximativ 38% din bugetul global, n pofida unei reduceri de 12% a anvelopei pentru urmtorii apte ani (20142020) pn la 373,2 miliarde de euro. Romniei i sunt alocate peste 19 miliarde de euro prin PAC 2014-2020,
respectiv 11,7 miliarde de euro pentru plile directe i 8,1 miliarde de euro pentru dezvoltare rural, a mai spus
Dacian Ciolo. Nu ratai duminic varianta video a unui interviu n exclusivitate pentru "Adevrul" acordat de
comisarul european pentru Agricultur, Dacian Ciolo, n care oficialul detaliaz mai explicit ce oportuniti li se
deschid
fermierilor
din
Romnia
odat
cu
aplicarea
viitoarei
Politici
Agricole
Comune.
Parlamentul European, Consiliul de Minitri al UE i Comisia European au ajuns n urm cu scurt timp, la un acord
privind o reform a politicii agricole comune (PAC) pentru perioada de dup 2013. UE negociaz la snge reforma
Ciolo din agricultur Fermierii care arendeaz terenurile vor primi subvenii cu 20% mai mar... Sunt foarte
mulumit de acest acord, care d o nou orientare politicii agricole comune. El ine cont ntr-o mai mare msur de
ateptrile societii, exprimate cu ocazia dezbaterii publice din primvara anului 2010. Acest acord va conduce la
schimbri profunde: pli directe mai echitabile i mai verzi, consolidarea poziiei agricultorilor n cadrul lanului
alimentar i asigurarea unei mai mari eficaciti i transparene a PAC. Aceste decizii constituie un rspuns ferm al
UE n faa provocrilor legate de securitatea alimentar, schimbrile climatice, creterea economic i crearea de
locuri de munc n zonele rurale. Politica agricol comun va aduce o contribuie important la realizarea
obiectivului global de promovare a unei creteri durabile, inteligente i incluzive a declarat Dacian Ciolo, Comisarul
european pentru agricultur i dezvoltare rural. Comunicatul oficial citeaz c instrumentele PAC vor permite
fiecrui stat membru al UE s rspund obiectivelor comune n mod eficace i flexibil, pentru a ine cont de
diversitatea celor 27, n curnd 28 de state membre. Mijloacele de sprijinire a cercetrii, inovrii i schimbului de
cunotine vor fi dublate. Programele de dezvoltare rural vor fi mai bine coordonate cu celelalte fonduri europene,
iar abordarea pe axe va fi nlocuit cu o abordare strategic naional sau regional. O schem de ajutoare
simplificat pentru micii agricultori va fi pus la dispoziia statelor membre care doresc acest lucru. Toate ajutoarele
din cadrul PAC vor fi fcute publice, cu excepia sumelor foarte reduse, alocate micilor agricultori. Toate elementele
reformei se vor aplica de la 1 ianuarie 2014, cu excepia noii structuri a plilor directe (pli verzi, sprijin
suplimentar pentru tineri etc.), care va intra n vigoare ncepnd din 2015, pentru a da timp statelor membre s-i
informeze pe agricultori n legtur cu noua PAC i s-i adapteze sistemele informatice de gestionare a PAC.