Professional Documents
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This is the model that accompanies the DCF powerpoint presentation, which can be found on the Brown Investment Group web
I suggest you use the two in tandem to follow the process the best.
Steps:
1) For a different company, fill in the data in the "Balance Sheet", "Income Statement", "Cash Flow Statement", "Ratios", and
~This is a lot of data and you might not be able to get all of it but the most important data to get are the data for the first th
2) Determine the best way to project the company's topline and earnings growth.
~For FDX, I felt that modeling the relationship between the company's segments was the best way to project.
~The reason for this is the segments are very different in terms of growth drivers and profitability.
3) Now that you have projections for some line items, insert them into the forecast section (gray) of the "Profitability" tab.
~For me, the line items I projected were sales growth and EBIT margins.
~The important part of this section is to respect the historical margins by minding the 10-year averages posted in the Ave
~If what you're projecting differs greatly from the historical margins you'd better have a good reason for it (i.e. how is t
4) Once you've gotten all the way down to free cash flow, it's time to find the company's dicount rate on the "WACC" tab
~Again, the blue cells are the inputs, everything else will sort itself out on its own.
~Read the comments for the cells. They give information on where the data was found.
~After all the information is filled out the cell at the bottom right corner will be your company's Weight-Adjusted Cost of Ca
5) Moving on to the "Sensitivity Analysis" tab and you'll see the WACC you found on the previous slide already in place.
~What you need to do is determine your Terminal Growth Rate and Exit Multiple.
~The associated powerpoint walks you through this process as well as the concept behind the sensitivity analysis.
~The sensitivity analysis is what you show during a presentation and a precursor to walking us through your projection pr
You're done. You've modeled a company.
way to project.
he sensitivity analysis.
through your projection process.
New York
Country
Industrial Transportation
Market Cap
26,578.29 Scale
CUSIP
31428X106
Sedol
2142784
US31428X1063
Shares Out
314.09
ISIN
1,539.0
4,359.0
435.0
911.0
7,244.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
13,478.0
29,305.0
14,817.0
2,734.0
6,379.0
335.0
15,827.0
-
1,952.0
4,163.0
389.0
780.0
7,284.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
14,385.0
31,302.0
16,653.0
3,153.0
6,935.0
343.0
16,917.0
-
2,328.0
4,581.0
437.0
939.0
8,285.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
15,543.0
33,686.0
18,737.0
3,269.0
6,937.0
335.0
18,143.0
-
2,843.0
4,704.0
440.0
1,069.0
9,056.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
17,248.0
36,164.0
20,100.0
3,638.0
7,445.0
335.0
18,916.0
-
2,743.0
4,780.0
465.0
889.0
8,877.0
0.0
17,866.0
36,962.0
19,096.0
4,911.0
827.0
730.0
3,354.0
25,633.0
3,711.0
311.0
1,053.0
2,347.0
24,244.0
3,233.0
0.0
964.0
2,269.0
24,902.0
3,557.0
0.0
1,193.0
2,364.0
27,385.0
3,599.0
1,178.0
2,421.0
29,903.0
Liabilities
Accounts Payable
ST Debt & Current Portion of LT Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities
Current Liabilities - Total
Long Term Debt
LT Debt Excl Capital Leases
Non-Convertible Debt
Convertible Debt
Capitalized Lease Obligations
Provision for Risks & Charges
Deferred Income
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit
Deferred Tax Liability In Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities
Total Liabilities
2,195.0
502.0
1,118.0
1,553.0
5,368.0
1,506.0
1,288.0
1,288.0
0.0
218.0
989.0
986.0
1,264.0
1,264.0
994.0
11,107.0
1,372.0
653.0
861.0
338.0
1,300.0
4,524.0
1,930.0
1,789.0
1,789.0
0.0
141.0
934.0
1,091.0
1,071.0
1,071.0
0.0
1,068.0
10,618.0
1,522.0
262.0
1,146.0
1,715.0
4,645.0
1,668.0
1,547.0
1,547.0
0.0
121.0
1,705.0
1,071.0
891.0
2,431.0
1,540.0
1,111.0
11,091.0
1,702.0
18.0
1,268.0
357.0
1,537.0
4,882.0
1,667.0
1,521.0
1,521.0
0.0
146.0
2,124.0
1,025.0
1,336.0
2,978.0
1,642.0
1,131.0
12,165.0
1,613.0
417.0
1,635.0
386.0
1,323.0
5,374.0
1,250.0
1,122.0
1,122.0
0.0
128.0
5,582.0
1,035.0
836.0
3,718.0
2,882.0
1,099.0
15,176.0
7,737.0
15,667.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Shareholders' Equity
Non-Equity Reserves
Minority Interest
Preferred Stock
3,948.0
2,734.0
30,691.0
1,643.0
117.0
1,892.0
0.0
3,049.0
4,809.0
2,242.0
2,232.0
10.0
879.0
879.0
-
0.0
0.0
14,526.0
31.0
1,922.0
0.0
(592.0)
13,002.0
0.0
167.0
0.0
4.0
14,526.0
25,633.0
311.0
0.0
0.0
13,626.0
31.0
2,053.0
0.0
(1,317.0)
12,919.0
0.0
(56.0)
0.0
4.0
13,626.0
24,244.0
312.0
0.0
0.0
13,811.0
31.0
2,261.0
0.0
(2,410.0)
13,966.0
0.0
(30.0)
0.0
7.0
13,811.0
24,902.0
314.0
0.0
0.0
15,220.0
32.0
2,484.0
0.0
(2,706.0)
15,266.0
0.0
156.0
0.0
12.0
15,220.0
27,385.0
317.0
0.0
0.0
14,727.0
32.0
2,595.0
0.0
(5,013.0)
17,134.0
0.0
60.0
0.0
81.0
14,727.0
29,903.0
317.0
0.0
0.0
15,024.0
32.0
2,612.0
17,505.0
278.0
15,024.0
30,691.0
314.3
1,000,000
New York
Country
Industrial Transportation
Market Cap
CUSIP
31428X106
Sedol
2142784
US31428X1063
Shares Outstanding
ISIN
Income Statement
Net Sales or Revenues
Growth
Gross Profit
Margins
Operating Income
Margins
2008/05/31
USD
2009/05/31
USD
2010/05/31
USD
2011/05/31
USD
2012/05/31
USD
37,953.0
35,497.0
34,734.0
39,304.0
42,680.0
8.59%
2.20%
-11.63%
-7.91%
#DIV/0!
34,996.0
33,546.0
32,718.0
36,837.0
39,360.0
92.21%
94.50%
94.20%
93.72%
92.22%
13,552.0
12,672.0
11,908.0
14,266.0
15,758.0
35.71%
35.70%
34.28%
36.30%
36.92%
24,401.00
22,825.00
22,826.00
25,038.00
26,922.00
64.29%
64.30%
65.72%
63.70%
63.08%
14,647.0
14,146.0
14,401.0
15,651.0
16,520.0
38.59%
39.85%
41.46%
39.82%
38.71%
1,946.0
1,886.0
60.0
4,851.0
1,975.0
1,902.0
73.0
4,753.0
1,958.0
1,907.0
51.0
4,451.0
1,973.0
1,941.0
32.0
4,947.0
2,113.0
2,095.0
18.0
4,969.0
12.78%
13.39%
12.81%
12.59%
11.64%
2,957.0
1,951.0
2,016.0
2,467.0
3,320.0
7.79%
5.50%
5.80%
6.28%
7.78%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
882.0
1,204.0
18.0
89.0
134.0
44.0
26.0
8.0
9.0
13.0
148.0
156.0
159.0
157.0
137.0
0.39%
0.44%
0.46%
0.40%
0.32%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Margins
Reserves- Increase(Decrease)
(5.0)
50.0
(11.0)
71.0
(33.0)
80.0
(36.0)
71.0
(6.0)
85.0
2,016.0
677.0
1,894.0
2,265.0
3,141.0
5.31%
1.91%
5.45%
5.76%
7.36%
891.0
588.0
242.0
29.0
32.0
0.0
579.0
(17.0)
214.0
375.0
7.0
0.0
710.0
90.0
207.0
423.0
(10.0)
0.0
813.0
127.0
198.0
497.0
(9.0)
0.0
1,109.0
(40.0)
181.0
968.0
0.0
0.0
44.20%
85.52%
37.49%
35.89%
35.31%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,125.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
98.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,184.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,452.0
0.0
0.0
(3.0)
0.0
2,029.0
2.96%
0.28%
3.41%
3.69%
4.75%
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,125.0
98.0
1,184.0
1,452.0
2,029.0
2.96%
0.28%
3.41%
3.69%
4.75%
0.0
1,125.0
0.0
98.0
0.0
1,184.0
0.0
1,449.0
0.0
2,029.0
2.96%
0.28%
3.41%
3.69%
4.75%
3.6
0.3
3.8
4.6
6.4
40.04%
-91.39%
1116.13%
21.22%
40.04%
Margins
Pretax Income
Margins
Income Taxes
Current Domestic Income Tax
Current Foreign Income Tax
Deferred Domestic Income Tax
Deferred Foreign Income Tax
Income Tax Credits
Tax Rate
Minority Interest
Equity In Earnings
After Tax Other Income/Expense
Discontinued Operations
Net Income Before Extra Items/Preferred Div
Margins
3.6
0.3
3.8
4.6
6.4
40.04%
-91.39%
1116.13%
21.22%
40.04%
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.5
4.76%
6.82%
6.38%
8.00%
26,578.29
314.09
Scale
1,000,000
New York
Country
Industrial Transportation
Market Cap
26,578.29
CUSIP
31428X106
Sedol
2142784
US31428X1063
Shares Outstanding
314.09
ISIN
Operations
Net Income / Starting Line
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
Depreciation & Depletion
Amortization of Intangible Assets
Deferred Income Taxes & Investment Tax Credit
Deferred Income Taxes
Investment Tax Credits
Other Cash Flow
Funds From Operations
Extraordinary Items
Funds From/For Other Operating Activities
Dec(Inc) In Receivables
Dec(Inc) In Inventories
Inc(Dec) In Accounts Payable
Inc(Dec) In Income Taxes Payable
Inc(Dec) In Other Accruals
Dec(Inc) In Other Assets/Liabilities
Net Cash Flow - Operating Activities
Investing
Capital Expenditures (Addition to Fixed Assets)
Additions To Other Assets
Net Assets From Acquisitions
Increase In Investments
Decrease In Investments
Disposal of Fixed Assets
Other Use/(Source) - Investing
Other Uses - Investing
1,125.0
1,946.0
1,886.0
60.0
124.0
124.0
1,117.0
4,312.0
0.0
(828.0)
(447.0)
190.0
(571.0)
3,484.0
(2,947.0)
0.0
(4.0)
0.0
0.0
54.0
0.0
0.0
98.0
1,975.0
1,902.0
73.0
299.0
299.0
1,383.0
3,755.0
0.0
(1,002.0)
762.0
(628.0)
(1,136.0)
2,753.0
1,184.0
1,958.0
1,907.0
51.0
331.0
331.0
243.0
3,716.0
0.0
(578.0)
(906.0)
710.0
(382.0)
3,138.0
1,452.0
1,973.0
1,941.0
32.0
669.0
669.0
279.0
4,373.0
0.0
(332.0)
(400.0)
370.0
(302.0)
4,041.0
2,032.0
2,113.0
2,095.0
18.0
1,126.0
1,126.0
399.0
5,670.0
0.0
(835.0)
(254.0)
144.0
(725.0)
4,835.0
0.0
(2,897.0)
108.0
0.0
108.0
0.0
108.0
0
(639.0)
(639.0)
0.0
(124.0)
124.0
0.0
38.0
38.0
(617.0)
(30.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
(2,383.0) (2,781.0) (3,419.0) (4,049.0)
41.0
0.0
41.0
0.0
41.0
1,000.0
(501.0)
499.0
0.0
(137.0)
137.0
0.0
(3.0)
4.0
(7.0)
400.0
(17.0)
753.0
94.0
0.0
94.0
0.0
94.0
0.0
(653.0)
(653.0)
0.0
(138.0)
138.0
0.0
5.0
25.0
(20.0)
(692.0)
(5.0)
(340.0)
108.0
0.0
108.0
0.0
108.0
0.0
(262.0)
(262.0)
0.0
(151.0)
151.0
0.0
18.0
23.0
(5.0)
(287.0)
41.0
376.0
128.0
0.0
128.0
(197.0)
325.0
0.0
(29.0)
(29.0)
0.0
(164.0)
164.0
0.0
18.0
18.0
0.0
(244.0)
(27.0)
515.0
Scale
1,000,000
New York
Country
Industrial Transportation
Market Cap
26,578.29
CUSIP
31428X106
Sedol
2142784
US31428X1063
Shares Out
314.09
ISIN
Annual Ratios
2008/05/31
USD
2009/05/31
USD
19,950.7
37,953.0
2,008.0
25,633.0
28,990.8
4,060.0
2,114.0
2,947.0
26,036.4
35,497.0
2,583.0
24,244.0
17,585.2
2,737.0
762.0
2,459.0
29,205.1
34,734.0
1,930.0
24,902.0
26,193.9
3,931.0
1,973.0
2,816.0
Valuation
Price/Earnings
Price/Sales
Price/Cash Flow
Price/Book Value
Price/Tangible BV
25.5
0.8
6.6
2.0
2.6
178.8
0.5
4.6
1.3
1.5
22.1
0.8
7.1
1.9
2.3
20.5
0.8
6.8
2.0
2.3
13.9
0.7
5.0
1.9
2.3
60.1
0.7
6.0
1.8
2.2
Enterprise Value
Enterprise Value / Sales
Enterprise Value/ EBITDA
Enterprise Value / EBIT
Enterprise Value / Cash Flow
Enterprise Value / Free Cash Flow
0.8
7.1
13.7
6.7
70.2
0.5
6.4
23.1
4.7
112.0
0.8
6.7
13.3
7.0
142.4
0.7
6.7
12.4
6.6
63.7
0.6
5.1
8.5
4.8
40.8
0.7
6.4
14.2
6.0
85.8
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.3
0.08
0.02
0.53
Valuation Measures
Market Cap
Net Sales or Revenues
Total Debt
Net Assets
Enterprise Value
EBITDA
EBIT
Capital Expenditure
Credit Statistics
Total Debt/ Enterprise Value
Net Debt / Enterprise Value
Total Debt / EBITDA
26,472.7
39,304.0 42,680.0
1,685.0
1,667.0
27,385.0 29,903.0
29,040.9 27,081.4
4,324.0
5,306.0
2,351.0
3,193.0
3,434.0
4,007.0
Averages
25,416.22
38,033.60
1,974.60
26,413.40
25,778.42
4,071.60
2,078.60
3,132.60
Scale
0.1
27.4
7.5
14.3
0.1
17.5
1.8
4.9
NEG
24.7
7.0
12.4
NEG
27.5
5.7
15.0
NEG
38.7
9.5
23.3
0.11
27.19
6.29
13.97
Liquidity Leverage
Quick Ratio
Current Ratio
Cash Flow/Current Liabilities
Long Term Debt / Equity
Total Debt / Equity
Long Term Debt / Total Capital
Total Debt / Total Capital
Working Capital / Total Capital
1.1
1.3
0.6
10.4
13.8
9.4
12.1
11.7
1.3
1.6
0.6
14.2
19.0
12.4
15.9
16.7
1.3
1.6
0.7
12.1
14.0
10.8
12.3
17.0
1.4
1.7
0.8
11.0
11.1
9.9
10.0
20.2
1.4
1.7
0.9
8.5
11.3
7.8
10.2
23.0
1.3
1.6
0.7
11.2
13.8
10.1
12.1
17.7
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin
Gross Margin - 5 Yr Average
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA Margin - 5 Yr Average
EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin - 5 Yr Average
Pre-Tax Margin
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr Average
Net Margin
Net Margin - 5 Yr Average
59.17%
10.70%
12.86%
5.57%
7.79%
5.31%
7.33%
2.96%
4.52%
58.74%
7.71%
11.99%
2.15%
6.89%
1.91%
6.64%
0.28%
3.90%
60.08%
60.39%
11.32%
11.62%
5.68%
6.40%
5.45%
6.16%
3.41%
3.59%
58.68%
59.70%
11.00%
11.03%
5.98%
5.77%
5.76%
5.51%
3.69%
3.21%
58.13%
58.96%
12.43%
10.71%
7.48%
5.47%
7.36%
5.16%
4.75%
3.02%
58.96%
59.68%
10.63%
11.64%
5.37%
6.47%
5.16%
6.16%
3.02%
3.65%
Efficiency Ratios
Sales Per Employee
Operating Profit Per Employee
Net Income Per Employee
Assets Per Employee
Total Asset Turnover
Inventory Turnover
Receivable Turnover
Payable Turnover
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.5
35.1
9.1
6.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.5
31.6
9.2
7.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.4
31.5
9.2
8.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.4
34.5
9.0
8.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.4
35.9
9.2
9.5
0.14
0.01
0.00
0.10
1.44
33.73
9.14
8.03
Management Effectiveness
Return on Equity
8.28%
Return on Equity - 5 Yr Average
13.89%
Return On Assets
4.79%
Return On Assets - 5 Yr Average
7.17%
Return On Invested Capital
7.47%
Return On Invested Capital - 5 Yr Average 11.61%
Dividend Ratios
Dividend Per Share
Dividend Yield
Dividend Payout Ratio
0.4
0.44%
11.11%
0.70%
11.84%
0.61%
6.22%
0.94%
10.03%
8.63%
10.28%
5.03%
5.65%
7.73%
8.99%
10.00%
8.86%
5.77%
5.04%
9.24%
7.95%
13.55%
8.23%
7.20%
4.68%
12.39%
7.55%
7.79%
10.62%
4.41%
5.75%
7.13%
9.23%
0.4
0.79%
141.94%
0.5
0.54%
11.94%
0.5
0.51%
10.50%
0.5
0.58%
8.13%
0.46
0.57%
36.72%
Growth Rates
Sales
Sales - 5 Yr
EBITDA
EBITDA - 5 Yr
Net Income
Net Income - 5 Yr
EPS
EPS - 5 Yr
Capital Expenditure
Capital Expenditure - 5 Yr
Research & Development
Research & Development - 5 Yr
7.78%
11.04%
(20.28%)
7.61%
(44.20%)
6.27%
(48.68%)
9.15%
2.26%
14.29%
-
(6.47%)
(2.15%)
7.51%
3.42%
(32.59%)
43.62%
(0.67%)
(0.02%)
(91.29%) 1,108.16%
(34.90%)
(3.96%)
(3.98%)
(16.56%)
14.52%
14.11%
4.72%
-
13.16%
4.01%
10.00%
(1.19%)
22.64%
(4.27%)
31.34%
(2.93%)
21.95%
6.40%
-
8.59%
3.92%
22.71%
0.82%
39.74%
0.13%
16.69%
6.81%
-
4.18%
5.98%
4.69%
1.31%
207.01%
-7.35%
-8.67%
0.75%
7.77%
9.27%
Stock Performance
Price Close
% Change
Total Return
91.7
(17.84%)
(17.48%)
55.4
(39.56%)
(39.08%)
93.6
12.16%
12.73%
89.1
(4.81%)
(4.25%)
82.7
0.12%
0.67%
83.5
50.62%
51.43%
1,000,000
New York
Country
Industrial Transportation
Market Cap
CUSIP
31428X106
Sedol
2142784
US31428X1063
Shares Outstanding
ISIN
2009/05/31
USD
37,953.0
7.78%
13,552.0
35.71%
22,455.0
59.17%
14,647.0
38.59%
4,060.0
10.70%
4,903.0
12.92%
2,114.0
5.57%
2,957.0
7.79%
2,016.0
5.31%
1,125.0
2.96%
3.6
(44.44%)
0.4
35,497.0
34,734.0
(6.47%)
(2.15%)
12,672.0
11,908.0
35.70%
34.28%
20,850.0
20,868.0
58.74%
60.08%
14,146.0
14,401.0
39.85%
41.46%
2,737.0
3,931.0
7.71%
11.32%
3,926.0
3,974.0
11.06%
11.44%
762.0
1,973.0
2.15%
5.68%
1,951.0
2,016.0
5.50%
5.80%
677.0
1,894.0
1.91%
5.45%
98.0
1,184.0
0.28%
3.41%
0.3
3.8
(91.39%) 1,116.13%
0.4
0.5
25,633.0
1,539.0
6.00%
24,244.0
2,292.0
9.45%
39,304.0
13.16%
14,266.0
36.30%
23,065.0
58.68%
15,651.0
39.82%
4,324.0
11.00%
4,440.0
11.30%
2,351.0
5.98%
2,467.0
6.28%
2,265.0
5.76%
1,449.0
3.69%
4.6
21.22%
0.5
42,680.0
8.59%
15,758.0
36.92%
24,809.0
58.13%
16,520.0
38.71%
5,306.0
12.43%
5,433.0
12.73%
3,193.0
7.48%
3,320.0
7.78%
3,141.0
7.36%
2,029.0
4.75%
6.4
40.04%
0.5
Receivables (Net)
% of Assets
Inventories - Total
% of Assets
Current Assets - Total
% of Assets
Property Plant & Equipment - Net
% of Assets
Other Assets
% of Assets
Accounts Payable
% of Assets
ST Debt & Current Portion of LT Debt
% of Assets
Other Current Liabilities
% of Assets
Current Liabilities - Total
% of Assets
Long Term Debt
% of Assets
Other Liabilities
% of Assets
Total Liabilities
% of Assets
Total Shareholders Equity
% of Assets
Total Liabilities & Shareholders Equity
Common Shares Outstanding
Cash Flow Statement Key Items
Net Income / Starting Line
Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization
Deferred Income Taxes & Investment Tax Credit
Funds From Operations
Net Cash Flow - Operating Activities
Capital Expenditures (Addition to Fixed Assets)
Increase In Investments
4,359.0
17.01%
435.0
1.70%
7,244.0
28.26%
13,478.0
52.58%
4,911.0
19.16%
2,195.0
8.56%
502.0
1.96%
1,553.0
6.06%
5,368.0
20.94%
1,506.0
5.88%
994.0
3.88%
11,107.0
43.33%
14,526.0
56.67%
25,633.0
311.0
3,391.0
13.99%
367.0
1.51%
7,116.0
29.35%
13,417.0
55.34%
3,711.0
15.31%
1,372.0
5.66%
653.0
2.69%
1,300.0
5.36%
4,524.0
18.66%
1,930.0
7.96%
1,068.0
4.41%
10,618.0
43.80%
13,626.0
56.20%
24,244.0
312.0
4,163.0
16.72%
389.0
1.56%
7,284.0
29.25%
14,385.0
57.77%
3,233.0
12.98%
1,522.0
6.11%
262.0
1.05%
1,715.0
6.89%
4,645.0
18.65%
1,668.0
6.70%
1,111.0
4.46%
11,091.0
44.54%
13,811.0
55.46%
24,902.0
314.0
4,581.0
16.73%
437.0
1.60%
8,285.0
30.25%
15,543.0
56.76%
3,557.0
12.99%
1,702.0
6.22%
18.0
0.07%
1,537.0
5.61%
4,882.0
17.83%
1,667.0
6.09%
1,131.0
4.13%
12,165.0
44.42%
15,220.0
55.58%
27,385.0
317.0
4,704.0
15.73%
440.0
1.47%
9,056.0
30.28%
17,248.0
57.68%
3,599.0
12.04%
1,613.0
5.39%
417.0
1.39%
1,323.0
4.42%
5,374.0
17.97%
1,250.0
4.18%
1,099.0
3.68%
15,176.0
50.75%
14,727.0
49.25%
29,903.0
317.0
1,125.0
1,946.0
124.0
4,312.0
3,484.0
2,947.0
0.0
98.0
1,975.0
299.0
3,755.0
2,753.0
2,459.0
0.0
1,184.0
1,958.0
331.0
3,716.0
3,138.0
2,816.0
0.0
1,452.0
1,973.0
669.0
4,373.0
4,041.0
3,434.0
0.0
2,032.0
2,113.0
1,126.0
5,670.0
4,835.0
4,007.0
0.0
Decrease In Investments
Disposal of Fixed Assets
Net Cash Flow - Investing
Net Proceeds From Sale/Issue of Com & Pref
Com/Pfd Purchased
Long Term Borrowings
Reduction In Long Term Debt
Cash Dividends Paid - Total
Net Cash Flow - Financing
Free Cash Flow Per Share
0.0
54.0
2,897.0
108.0
0.0
639.0
124.0
(617.0)
0.0
0.0
79.0
2,383.0
41.0
0.0
1,000.0
501.0
137.0
400.0
0.0
0.0
35.0
2,781.0
94.0
0.0
0.0
653.0
138.0
(692.0)
0.0
0.0
111.0
3,419.0
108.0
0.0
0.0
262.0
151.0
(287.0)
0.0
0.0
74.0
4,049.0
128.0
197.0
0.0
29.0
164.0
(244.0)
0.0
26,578.29
314.09
Scale
1,000,000
FDX
FedEx Corp
2008
Revenues by Segment
Express
Growth
% Revs
Ground
Growth
% Revs
Freight
Growth
% Revs
Ground
Margins
% Op Income
Freight
Margins
% Op Income
Total Revenue
Margins
2010
2011
2012
24,421.00
22,364.00
21,555.00
24,581.00
26,515.00
67.64%
-8.42%
66.11%
-3.62%
65.65%
14.04%
65.82%
7.87%
65.33%
6,751.00
7,047.00
6,958.00
7,855.00
8,791.00
18.70%
4.38%
20.83%
-1.26%
21.19%
12.89%
21.03%
11.92%
21.66%
4,934.00
4,415.00
4,321.00
4,911.00
5,280.00
13.67%
-10.52%
13.05%
-2.13%
13.16%
13.65%
13.15%
7.51%
13.01%
1,901.00
794.00
1,127.00
1,228.00
1,260.00
7.78%
64.09%
3.55%
51.00%
5.23%
56.41%
5.00%
51.64%
4.75%
39.55%
736.00
807.00
1,024.00
1,325.00
1,764.00
10.90%
24.81%
11.45%
51.83%
14.72%
51.25%
16.87%
55.72%
20.07%
55.37%
329.00
(44.00)
(153.00)
(175.00)
162.00
6.67%
11.09%
-1.00%
-2.83%
-3.54%
-7.66%
-3.56%
-7.36%
3.07%
5.08%
36,106.00
33,826.00
32,834.00
37,347.00
40,586.00
-6.31%
-2.93%
13.74%
8.67%
2,966.00
1,557.00
1,998.00
2,378.00
3,186.00
8.21%
4.60%
6.09%
6.37%
7.85%
Growth
Operating Income
2009
Average
2.47%
66.11%
6.98%
20.68%
2.13%
13.21%
5.26%
52.54%
14.80%
47.80%
0.33%
-0.33%
3.29%
6.62%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
28,395.94
30,190.52
31,864.85
33,385.40
34,720.10
7.09%
65.74%
6.32%
65.98%
5.55%
66.04%
4.77%
65.92%
4.00%
65.63%
9,404.81
10,061.49
10,764.01
11,515.58
12,319.64
6.98%
21.77%
6.98%
21.99%
6.98%
22.31%
6.98%
22.74%
6.98%
23.29%
5,392.46
5,507.32
5,624.63
5,744.44
5,866.79
6.81%
12.48%
6.11%
12.04%
5.41%
11.66%
4.70%
11.34%
4.00%
11.09%
1,378.35
1,496.27
1,611.76
1,722.73
1,827.03
4.85%
39.30%
4.96%
38.93%
5.06%
38.42%
5.16%
37.78%
5.26%
37.01%
1,924.79
2,099.43
2,289.07
2,494.96
2,718.45
20.47%
54.88%
20.87%
54.62%
21.27%
54.57%
21.67%
54.72%
22.07%
55.07%
204.27
248.28
294.06
341.68
391.20
3.79%
5.82%
4.51%
6.46%
5.23%
7.01%
5.95%
7.49%
6.67%
7.92%
43,193.22
45,759.33
48,253.49
50,645.42
52,906.53
6.42%
5.94%
5.45%
4.96%
4.46%
3,507.42
3,843.97
4,194.89
4,559.38
4,936.68
8.12%
8.40%
8.69%
9.00%
9.33%
1/3/2015
$84.62
2008
37,953.00
Growth
Gross Profit
Margin
SG&A
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
D&A
Margin
EBIT
Margin
Restructuring Charges
Impairment of Goodwill
Asset Writedown
Other Unusual Items
Total Unusuals
Margin
Tax Expenses
Tax Rate
Net Income
Margins
13,552.00
2009
2010
2011
35,497.00
34,734.00
-6.47%
-2.15%
39,304.00
13.16%
12,672.00
11,908.00
14,266.00
35.71%
35.70%
34.28%
36.30%
24,401.00
22,825.00
22,826.00
25,038.00
64.29%
64.30%
65.72%
63.70%
14,647.00
14,146.00
14,401.00
15,651.00
38.59%
39.85%
41.46%
39.82%
9,754.00
8,679.00
8,425.00
9,387.00
25.70%
24.45%
24.26%
23.88%
1,946.00
1,975.00
1,958.00
1,973.00
5.13%
5.56%
5.64%
5.02%
4,851.00
4,753.00
4,451.00
4,947.00
12.78%
13.39%
12.81%
12.59%
2,957.00
1,951.00
2,016.00
2,467.00
7.79%
5.50%
5.80%
6.28%
148.00
156.00
159.00
157.00
0.39%
0.44%
0.46%
0.40%
2,809.00
1,795.00
1,857.00
2,310.00
7.40%
5.06%
5.35%
5.88%
891.00
891.00
910.00
260.00
1,170.00
18.00
18.00
89.00
89.00
2.35%
3.30%
0.05%
0.23%
1,918.00
625.00
1,839.00
2,221.00
5.05%
1.76%
5.29%
5.65%
891.00
579.00
710.00
813.00
31.72%
32.26%
38.23%
35.19%
1,125.00
98.00
1,184.00
1,449.00
2.96%
0.28%
3.41%
3.69%
2,016.00
1,268.00
1,202.00
1,538.00
5.31%
3.57%
3.46%
3.91%
3.60
0.31
3.77
4.57
Growth
6.48
4.06
3.83
4.85
Growth
1,539.00
4.95
7,244.00
2,292.00
7.35
7,116.00
1,952.00
6.22
7,284.00
2,328.00
7.34
8,285.00
0.19
0.20
0.21
0.21
502.00
5,368.00
653.00
4,524.00
262.00
4,645.00
18.00
4,882.00
14.14%
12.74%
13.37%
12.42%
1,506.00
2,008.00
1,930.00
2,583.00
575.00
1,668.00
1,930.00
(653.00)
1,667.00
1,685.00
(245.00)
14,526.00
13,626.00
13,811.00
15,220.00
Shares Outstanding
Change
Working Capital
Change
Net Cash (Debt)
Change
Cash Flow Items
Net Income + Charges
D&A
% Revs
Acquisitions
Net Issuance (Retirement) of Debt
Net Issuance (Retirement) of Stock
Dividends
Other Financing Activities
Total
Free Cash Flow
Change
FCF/Share
311.00
839.00
(469.00)
2,016.00
1,946.00
312.00
1.00
953.00
114.00
(291.00)
178.00
1,268.00
1,975.00
314.00
2.00
949.00
(4.00)
22.00
313.00
1,202.00
1,958.00
317.00
3.00
1,093.00
144.00
643.00
621.00
1,538.00
1,973.00
5.13%
5.56%
5.64%
5.02%
3,962.00
3,243.00
3,160.00
3,511.00
(2,947.00)
114.00
(2,459.00)
(4.00)
(2,816.00)
144.00
(3,434.00)
7.76%
6.93%
8.11%
8.74%
(4.00)
(639.00)
108.00
(124.00)
38.00
(3,567.92)
(3.00)
499.00
41.00
(137.00)
(3.00)
(1,947.93)
(653.00)
94.00
(138.00)
5.00
(3,511.92)
(96.00)
(262.00)
108.00
(151.00)
18.00
(3,672.91)
670.00
(345.00)
2.15
348.00
(322.00)
1.11
(67.00)
(415.00)
(0.21)
1,015.00
3.26
2012 Average
42,680.00
8.59%
2.38%
15,758.00
36.92%
35.78%
26,922.00
63.08%
64.22%
16,520.00
38.71%
39.69%
10,402.00
24.37%
24.53%
2,113.00
4.95%
5.26%
4,969.00
11.64%
12.64%
3,320.00
7.78%
6.63%
137.00
0.32%
0.40%
3,183.00
7.46%
6.23%
134.00
134.00
0.31%
4.98%
34.45%
2,029.00
4.75%
3.02%
2,163.00
5.07%
2015
2016
2017
45,421.73
48,120.25
50,743.09
53,258.43
6.42%
5.94%
5.45%
4.96%
4.46%
16,666.74
17,547.22
18,387.97
19,178.06
19,907.45
55,636.20
36.69%
36.47%
36.24%
36.01%
35.78%
28,754.99
30,573.03
32,355.12
34,080.37
35,728.75
63.31%
63.53%
63.76%
63.99%
64.22%
17,501.60
18,005.08
19,429.78
19,783.92
21,133.59
38.53%
37.42%
38.29%
37.15%
37.99%
11,253.39
12,567.95
12,925.33
14,296.45
14,595.16
24.78%
26.12%
25.47%
26.84%
26.23%
2,276.81
2,441.81
2,606.27
2,768.37
2,926.35
5.01%
5.07%
5.14%
5.20%
5.26%
5,288.21
6,083.84
5,907.74
6,733.46
6,477.42
11.64%
12.64%
11.64%
12.64%
11.64%
3,688.38
4,042.30
4,411.32
4,794.62
5,191.38
8.12%
8.40%
8.69%
9.00%
9.33%
137
137
137
137
137
0.30%
0.28%
0.27%
0.26%
0.25%
3,551.38
3,905.30
4,274.32
4,657.62
5,054.38
7.82%
8.12%
8.42%
8.75%
9.08%
1,109.00
34.84%
2014
1.25%
3,049.00
7.14%
2013
4.27%
6.40
6.82
MRQ
2,843.00
2,743.00
8.97
8.73
9,056.00
8,877.00
3,551.38
3,905.30
4,274.32
4,657.62
7.82%
8.12%
8.42%
8.75%
5,054.38
9.08%
1,242.98
1,366.85
1,496.01
1,630.17
1,769.03
35.00%
35.00%
35.00%
35.00%
35.00%
2,308.40
2,538.44
2,778.31
3,027.45
3,285.35
5.08%
5.28%
5.48%
5.68%
5.91%
2,308.40
2,538.44
2,778.31
3,027.45
3,285.35
5.08%
5.28%
5.48%
5.68%
5.91%
7.25
7.93
8.64
9.37
10.12
7.25
7.93
8.64
9.37
10.12
3,020.35
3,325.74
3,325.74
3,325.74
3,325.74
9,538.56
10,105.25
10,656.05
11,184.27
11,683.60
0.21
0.21
21.00%
21.00%
21.00%
21.00%
21.00%
417.00
5,374.00
117.00
4,809.00
117.00
4,996.39
117.00
5,774.43
117.00
6,596.60
117.00
6,923.60
117.00
7,232.71
12.59%
11.20%
11.00%
12.00%
13.00%
13.00%
13.00%
1,250.00
1,667.00
(18.00)
2,242.00
2,359.00
692.00
2,242.00
2,359.00
-
2,242.00
2,359.00
-
2,242.00
2,359.00
-
2,242.00
2,359.00
-
2,242.00
2,359.00
-
14,727.00
15,024.00
317.00
1,256.00
163.00
1,176.00
533.00
314.30
1,442.00
186.00
384.00
(792.00)
2,163.00
2,113.00
318.50
1.50
1,638.83
196.83
661.35
277.35
320.00
5.70
1,122.08
(516.74)
966.74
305.39
2,308.40
2,276.81
2,538.44
2,441.81
321.50
3.00
850.71
(271.38)
966.74
-
2,778.31
2,606.27
323.00
3.00
1,051.93
201.23
966.74
-
324.50
3.00
1,242.16
190.22
966.74
-
3,027.45
2,768.37
3,285.35
2,926.35
4.95%
5.01%
5.07%
5.14%
5.20%
5.26%
4,276.00
4,585.21
4,980.26
5,384.58
5,795.83
6,211.70
163.00
(4,007.00)
196.83
(3,717.77)
(516.74)
(3,938.65)
(271.38)
(4,153.33)
201.23
(4,359.21)
190.22
(4,553.83)
8.19%
8.19%
8.19%
8.19%
8.19%
670.61
1,558.35
1,502.63
1,235.39
1,467.65
2.11
4.87
4.67
3.82
4.52
9.39%
8.19%
(116.00)
(29.00)
325.00
(164.00)
18.00
(3,809.91)
106.00
173.00
0.33
1.61%
5.75%
7.36%
1.42
9.78%
2,359.00
38.00
35.00%
1.05%
0
0
0.00%
15,024.00
2,359.00
0
17,383.00
Cost of Equity
% of Capital
Weighted-Cost of Equity
9.78%
86.43%
8.45%
Cost of Debt
% of Capital
Weighted-Cost of Debt
1.05%
13.57%
0.14%
WACC
8.59%
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
8.09%
20,905.71
22,603.10
24,579.17
26,908.71
29,695.87
WACC
8.59%
19,528.63
21,009.21
22,714.44
24,699.65
27,039.97
9.09%
18,321.75
19,625.30
21,112.70
22,825.79
24,820.14
8.09%
25,949.46
27,646.84
29,622.91
31,952.45
34,739.61
WACC
8.59%
24,501.66
25,982.24
27,687.47
29,672.69
32,013.00
9.09%
23,225.55
24,529.11
26,016.51
27,729.59
29,723.94
8.09%
23,590.46
25,287.84
27,263.91
29,593.45
32,380.61
WACC
8.59%
22,142.66
23,623.24
25,328.47
27,313.69
29,654.00
9.09%
20,866.55
22,170.11
23,657.51
25,370.59
27,364.94
8.09%
75.06
80.46
86.74
94.16
103.02
WACC
8.59%
70.45
75.16
80.59
86.90
94.35
9.09%
66.39
70.54
75.27
80.72
87.07
7.59%
-5.07%
2.33%
11.05%
21.48%
34.18%
8.09%
-11.30%
-4.92%
2.51%
11.27%
21.75%
WACC
8.59%
-16.74%
-11.18%
-4.77%
2.70%
11.50%
9.09%
-21.54%
-16.64%
-11.05%
-4.61%
2.89%
7.59%
1.54
1.68
1.83
2.02
2.26
8.09%
1.43
1.55
1.68
1.84
2.03
WACC
8.59%
1.34
1.44
1.56
1.69
1.85
9.09%
1.26
1.34
1.45
1.56
1.70
7.59%
22,491.75
24,458.68
26,777.44
29,551.71
32,930.32
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
7.59%
27,607.74
29,574.67
31,893.43
34,667.70
38,046.31
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
7.59%
25,248.74
27,215.67
29,534.43
32,308.70
35,687.31
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
7.59%
80.33
86.59
93.97
102.80
113.55
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
TGR
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
EBTIDA
14,595.16
29,190.31
36,487.89
43,785.47
51,083.05
58,380.63
8.09%
30,234.06
36,531.64
42,829.22
49,126.80
55,424.37
WACC
8.59%
34,163.35
41,460.92
48,758.50
56,056.08
63,353.66
8.09%
27,875.06
34,172.64
40,470.22
46,767.80
53,065.37
WACC
8.59%
31,804.35
39,101.92
46,399.50
53,697.08
60,994.66
8.09%
88.69
108.73
128.76
148.80
168.84
WACC
8.59%
101.19
124.41
147.63
170.85
194.07
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
7.59%
-9.96%
9.96%
29.88%
49.80%
69.72%
8.09%
4.81%
28.49%
52.17%
75.84%
99.52%
WACC
8.59%
19.58%
47.02%
74.46%
101.90%
129.34%
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
7.59%
0.62%
1.94%
2.84%
3.49%
3.99%
8.09%
1.67%
2.80%
3.57%
4.12%
4.55%
8.59%
2.44%
3.43%
4.10%
4.59%
4.95%
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Exit Multiple
9.59%
17,255.36
18,412.45
19,721.98
21,216.20
22,937.13
10,595.16
21,190.31
26,487.89
31,785.47
37,083.05
42,380.63
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Exit Multiple
9.59%
22,091.38
23,248.48
24,558.00
26,052.22
27,773.16
7.59%
26,306.30
31,603.88
36,901.46
42,199.04
47,496.62
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Exit Multiple
9.59%
19,732.38
20,889.48
22,199.00
23,693.22
25,414.16
7.59%
23,947.30
29,244.88
34,542.46
39,840.04
45,137.62
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Exit Multiple
9.59%
62.78
66.46
70.63
75.38
80.86
7.59%
76.19
93.05
109.90
126.76
143.61
9.59%
-25.81%
-21.46%
-16.53%
-10.91%
-4.44%
Exit Multiple
9.59%
1.18
1.26
1.35
1.45
1.57
Exit Multiple
Implied TGR
EBTIDA
16,595.16
33,190.31
41,487.89
49,785.47
58,083.05
66,380.63
18,595.16
37,190.31
46,487.89
55,785.47
65,083.05
74,380.63
9.09%
38,163.35
46,460.92
54,758.50
63,056.08
71,353.66
9.59%
42,026.34
51,323.92
60,621.50
69,919.08
79,216.65
9.09%
35,804.35
44,101.92
52,399.50
60,697.08
68,994.66
9.59%
39,667.34
48,964.92
58,262.50
67,560.08
76,857.65
9.09%
113.92
140.32
166.72
193.12
219.52
9.59%
126.21
155.79
185.37
214.95
244.54
9.09%
34.62%
65.82%
97.02%
128.22%
159.42%
9.59%
49.15%
84.11%
119.06%
154.02%
188.98%
9.09%
3.03%
3.91%
4.51%
4.94%
5.26%
9.59%
3.51%
4.30%
4.83%
5.22%
5.51%
WACC
WACC
WACC
WACC