Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SX110141BQS11
CONTENT
1. 0
1.2
Socioeconomic Profile
1.2.1
1.2.2
Households Income
1.2.3
Employment
1.2.4
Economic Overview
1.2.4.1 Malaysia
1.2.4.2 Sabah
1.2.4.3 Tawau
1.2.5
1.3
Housing Profile
1.3.1
1.3.2
1.3.3
1.3.4
1.3.5
1.3.6
Market Competitor
1.1.
The purpose of this study is to identify the existing and future housing needs of
residents in Tawau. This study focus on the needs of three residents groups which is
middle income residents, families and workforce. To complete this property market study,
we use the most recent data and information on resident demographic, housing price and
future growth trends. This study will be devided into two categories which comprise the
socioeconomic profile and housing profile of the study area.
1.2
Socioeconomic Profile
This chapter will explain about the socioeconomic for the local community at this
time. In addition, the analysis will be conducted on the population density, the
relationship between the total population and current economic conditions that determine
household income and the financial ability of the population, especially in the study area.
Data from this study were collected from government agencies and through critical
observations to obtain information relevent to this study.
1.2.1
Selangor according to the latest estimate in 2013. Sabah indeed has one of the highest
population growth rates in the country.
The 2010 official statistics from Department of Statistic Malaysia stated that the
population of Tawau is nearly 400,000 making it the second highest populated district in
Sabah after Kota Kinabalu with 108 sex ratio. In terms of ethnic breakdown, Malay
comprise 59%, Chinese 10%, Indian 0.2% and others 1.5%. Non-Malaysian citizen also
have a high percentage where it covers almost 30% of the total population in Tawau.
Table 1.1 : Total Population and Average Growth of Malaysia, Sabah and Tawau
No.
Malaysia
Area
Population
(KM2)
Average Growth
(%)
1.
Malaysia
132,364
28,334,135
1.8
2.
Sabah
73,902
3,120,040
2.1
3.
Tawau
6,125
397,673
Ethnic Breakdown
59.0%
Malay
10.0%
Chinese
0.2%
Indian
1.5%
Others
29.3%
Non-Citizen
Figure 1.1 : Ethnic Breakdown for Tawau District (Source : Cencus, 2010).
Figure 1.2 shows the population density of Tawau district. Tawau town and
neighboring area are the most dense area within the city with average densities around
1001-100,000 person per square kilometres. Population density for the proposed site is
about 101-1000 person per kilometres, which allows for more residential and mix
development.
1.2.2
Household Income
Generally, the findings of the Household Income Survey (HIS) 2012 revealed that
the mean monthly income for Malaysians increased to RM 5,000.0 in year of 2012. It was
an increase of 7.2% per annum. According to Statistic Department Malaysia, household
income for Sabah in 2012 was RM 4,013 with an average annual growth rate for 2009 2012 period was 8.6% (Figure 1.3). The income growth rate for Sabah was above the
national average growth rate of 7.2%. Meanwhile the overal poverty rate has also
continued to decline from 19.7% in year 2009 to 8.1% in year 2012.
Figure 1.3 : Mean Montly Household Income and Annual Growth Rate 2012
1.2.3
Employment
Agriculture is the major economic activity of the area which is planted mainly
with oil palm, rubber trees, cocoa and fruit orchads. In recent years, agriculture has
replaced timber as Tawaus main source of income. However, among the people who live
in the surrounding areas, there are also other occupational groups such as government
servants, drivers, clerical workers and people doing own business. Non-working groups
comprising housewifes, unemployed individuals and pensioners and small number in
various other jobs.
New vacancies reported by state and industry 2012 released by the Ministy of
Human Resources shows that 190,307 vacancies available for the state of Sabah in which
143,657 vacancies are for the agriculture, foresty and fishery. According to the Sabah
Development Corridor (SDC) planning, Tawau District was designated as agro-marine
belt that focused on marine integrated cluster and palm oil industrial cluster (POIC) which
opens to the high employment to people of Tawau. Job growth in the exterior portions of
the city will be associated with population growth as retail and service opportunities
follow residential development.
Type of Occupation
Managers
9.4
Professionals
7.5
6.0
9.9
10.4
27.9
9.1
8.5
Elementary occupations
13.5
1.2.4
Economic Overview
1.2.4.1 Malaysia
The Malaysian economy has been making commendable progress with strong
growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which rose to 6.4% in the second quarter of
2014. Manufacturing and Services continued to drive the supply side coupled with a
sturdy pace in Agriculture as shown in Figure 1.7. The GDP growth this year will
probably exceeds the central banks forecast range of 4.5% to 5.5%. Malaysian economy
grew supprisingly because it was supported by continued robust aggregate domestic
demand and strong external demand with low unemployment and managable inflation.
The acceleration of Net Exports has increased to 8.8% while steady growth in
Private Final Consumption Expenditure to 6.5%. Export and imports for third quarter of
2014 increased by 2.0% to reach RM64.5 billion. Export grew 8.6% for the period of
January to September from RM524.5 billion previously. The trade surplus also increased
to RM 61.6 billion compared to RM 43.0 billion last year. Overall, the Malaysian
economy is expected to remain healthy and strong in 2015 as its growth will continue to
be driven by domestic and external sources.
1.2.4.2 Sabah
Sabah economic agenda focus on three thrust sectors namely Agriculture, Tourism
and Manufacturing. According to Statistic Deparment, Sabah has been recording strong
economic growth which grew from 1.3% in year 2011 to 4.1% in year 2012. The biggest
contributor sub-sector was the services, agriculture, mining and quarrying, manufacturing
and construction. A growth was supported by mega projects such as entry point project
(EPP) which generate increament of gross national income and new jobs.
Malaysia
Sabah
(%)
(%)
2008
4.8
10.7
2009
-1.5
4.8
2010
7.4
2.7
2011
5.1
1.3
2012
5.6
4.1
2013
4.7
n.a
2014
6.4 (Q2/2014)
n.a
1.2.4.3 Tawau
Tawau community has greatly been enhanced with the development and
introduction of other infrastructural amenities in the region. The rapid development in the
diverse economy of Tawau from agriculture, timber, shipping, agro-industry and
commercial developments have attracted many people in this region. In addition, the
manufacturing sector has also grown rapidly in the area which saw the development of
some major industrial areas in Tawau such as Tanjung Batu Industrial Area and Pasir
Putih Industrial Area.
Malaysias 2015 budget was presented by the Prime Minister Dato Sri Mohd
Najib Razak in the Dewan Rakyat. This budget shows a responsive government to rising
cost of living and ensuring 2014 economic momentum is sustained. The 2015 budget will
allocates a total of RM273.9 billion to two types of expenditure, namely Operating
Expenditure and Development Expenditure. Of the amount, RM223.4 billion will be used
for Operating Expenses while the remaining RM50.5 billion will be used for
Development Expenditure. Malaysia 2015 budget breakdown is shown as follows.
Development
Expenditure,
50.5
Operating
Expenditure,
223.4
Development Expenditure
(RM) Billion
(RM) Billion
116.4
Economic Sector
29.3
Emoluments
65.6
Social Sector
12.6
38.1
Security Sector
4.9
Purchase of Assets
1.5
Contigencies
Others
1.8
General Administration
Total
223.4
Total
2
1.7
50.5
Chief Minister (CM) of Sabah has tabling the budget of the state for year 2015 at
the State Assembly. Sabah will receive RM4.07 billion from the 2015 Federal budget as
announced by the Prime Minister to implement various projects in Sabah. The state
government will only spend 3,812.79 million for 2015 which create a surplus amounting
to RM49.23 million.
Administration,
56.84
Social,
229.61
Contigency, 5
Economics,
455.39
National Housing
Department (JPN). The private sectors also expected to built 90,000 units affordable
house this year.
In 2014, Pr1ma focus on providing affordable house to the middle income groups
nationwide. Pri1ma has planning to build 80,000 units of affordable house with an
allocation of RM 1.0 billion. 30,000 units will be built in collaboration with private
developers and each unit will be sold at a price of RM100,000 to RM 400,000. JPN will
built 17,473 residential units with an allocation of RM724 million. However, the numbers
of residential units to be build by JPN increased to 26,000 units in the 2015 budget with
an allocation of RM 644 million.
Civil servants will benefit through 1Malaysia Civil Servant Scheme in which the
government will add housing units to be built throughout the country including the
addition of 1290 units in Papar. In addition, the minimum eligibility limit will be
increased up to RM600,000 compared to RM80,000 to RM120,000 previously.
Developers who participate in the providing of affordable housing schemes eligible for
facilitation fund up to 25% of project cost.
The government also launch a housing incentives starting from 2013 to encourage
private developers to build more affordable housing through MyHome Scheme. My First
Home Scheme was launched to asist young adults to own their first house. The conditions
of this scheme has further eased by the government which improvement was made to the
limit of monthly income from RM 3,000 and below previously to RM 5,000 or joint
income of up to RM 10,000. The 50% reduction of stamp-duty exempt will also be extend
until the end of 2016.
MyHome1
MyHome1
Sabah & Sarawak
Selling Price
Actual Price
Minimum
Household
(RM)
(RM)
Built-up Area
Monthly
(Sq feet)
Income (RM)
3,000 4,000
80,000-120,000
50,000-90,000
800
90,000-120,000
60,000-90,000
800
90,001
MyHome2
120,001 - 200,000
MyHome2
120,001
90,001
250,000
220,000
170,000
3,000 4,000
850
4,001 6,000
850
4,001 6,000
1.3
This chapter will explain about the property market in our country and
subsequently focus on the location of the study. Analysis will be carried out on the
property market in detail to see supply and demand for this market. Analysis was
conducted on the type of property that has good sales performance so that investment
returns can be maximized. Next, the market competitors are also included to ensure that
the proposed development has the advantage to the company in terms of sales. In
addition, the information stated is with reference to the latest issue of government
publications.
Altough GDP in 2013 was at a moderate level, growing only by 4.7% in 2013 but
in the third quarter of 2014 economic growth reached 6.4%, the highest GDP since 2011.
Overall economic growth was led by the services and manufacturing sectors each
contributed 55.2% and 24.5% of GDP. Domestic demand remains positive with 7.6%
compared with 10.6% in 2012 driven by continued growth in household spending and
business and public sector expenditure.
number of transactions. However, the value of transactions for all sub-sectors rose but in a
lower rate.
In order to ensure economy continues to grow, Budget 2014 has been drafted to
implement various programs and projects to boost economy as a whole. Private
investment expected to grow supported by the implementation of Economic
Transformation Programme (ETP) worth of RM1.4 trillion such as investment in oil and
gas, agriculture, tourism, and construction sector is expected to increase private
investment activity. Other infrastructure work including allocation of RM980 million for
the rehabilitation and upgrading of 437KM rural roads and RM 500 million for the PanBorneo Highway project.
60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0.000
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Completions
19.439
23.843
13.917
25.061
16.480
35.680
45.019
33.859
44.743
51.372
Starts
33.542
39.318
31.279
31.759
38.587
Figure 1.13 : Completion, New Planned Supply and Start of Residential Property
From Q2 2013 to Q2 2014 in Malaysia
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
512
1078
55
898
899
1706
Starts
24
1746
3594
82
3525
Completions
Figure 1.14 : Completion, New Planned Supply and Start of Residential Property
From Q2 2013 Q2 2014 in Sabah
Sabah has existing stock of 157, 421 as at Q2 2014, a slight increase compared to
earlier quarter with an average of 1,586 units per quarter. However, the number of unit
completed within a period of one year only 1,590 units were completed during Q2 2013
and Q2 2014 respectively, with 512 and 1,078 units. Incoming supply slightly increased
by 45,879 units to date compared to the same quarter last year was only 39,447 units. But
the incoming supply is expected to increase due to the residential units under construction
in Q2 2014 stood at 42,354 units, while the new planned supply was 1,706 units and starts
3,525 units.
A summary of the existing stock, completion, incoming supply, starts and planned
supply for the study area as of second quarter 2014 are listed in Table 1.6.
Existing
Completion Incoming
Stock
Under
Supply
Construction
Starts
Planned
Supply
Q2 2013
19,366
4,070
4,046
24
702
Q3 2013
19,366
4,070
4,070
757
Q4 2013
19,366
4,070
4,070
757
Q1 2014
19,437
4,060
4,060
793
Q2 2014
19,437
4,060
4,060
793
1.3.4
Statistics show that as of the end of Q1 2014, a total of 65,758 new resident units
have been launched throughout the country since Q1 2013 to Q1 2014. In Q1 2014, the
developer has provided a total of 6,339 units compared to 17,836 units in the same quarter
last year. This amount is very low, a decrease of 49.7% compared to units launched in the
last three months. Units sold showed that Q1 2013 is the highest number of 5,087 units,
followed by Q2 2013 (3,322 units), Q3 2013 (1,959 units), Q4 2013 (2,007 units) and Q1
2014 (1,891 units). However sales performance during Q1 2014 was the highest
compared to the past four quarters.
Figure 1.16 : Summary of Launched and Sold Units and Sales Performance by
Types
The number and value of completed units which remained unsold after nine
months launching in Q1 2014 increased from 17,848 units to 18,682 units (4.45%) and
from RM 6,073.40 million to RM 6,446.91 (5.69%) compared to previous quarter. These
overhang units comprised of residential property (13,503 units & RM 4,803.62 million),
shops property (4,785 units & RM 1,471.77 million) and industrial property (394 units
and RM 171.52 million). Residential property represent the highest number of property
overhang in Q1 2014 with 13,503 units, followed by shops property (4,785 units) and
industrial property (394 units). Although the number of property overhang in Q1 2013
was higher than other quarters, but the values is lower than Q1 2014.
Numbers of units unsold not constructed decreased by 6.3% from 15,690 (Q4
2013) to 14,700 (Q1 2014). Performance for residential and shops property are also good
compared to previous quarter with a decreased in numbers of unsold units by 4.7% (640
units) and 20.7% (372 units) respectively. Industrial sub-sectors showed an increase of
8.5% unsold units to 292 units. Analysis of year-on-year from Q1 2013 to Q1 2014
showed a slight decrease for all sub-sectors. The residential sub-sector declining 1.02%
from 13,129 units, shops 4.04% from 1,483 and industrial 18.26% from 345 units.
Sabah, Sarawak and Selangor had the most number of new housing units launched
in Q1 2014 period. Developer has launched 863 units of residential property with unit
sold of 372 units within three month after launched. Sabah recorded the third highest sales
performance of new housing in Q2 2014 with 43.1% were taken up.
Figure 1.20 : Sales Performance of Selected Newly Launched Houses from Q3/2013Q1/2014
Supply refers to a developers who create new product in the industry while the end
user such as owner or renter will form a demand. The demand on the residential property
always increases every year. The main determinants of demand of residential property are
the population and households income because the more people in the economy, the
greater the demand in this industry.
According
to
Sabah
Housing
and
Residential
Developers
Association
billion). Figure 1.21 shows that landed and condominium/apartment property led the
housing development in Sabah. However, according to NAPIC Tawau division not
producing any apartment/condominium development in 2013.
Table 1.7 : Total Unit of Residential Unit Built by SHAREDA Members in 2013
No
Regions
Condominium and
Landed
Apartment
Property
GDV (RM)
GDV(RM)
Unit
000000
Total GDV
RM
Unit
000000
000000
West Coast
1,651
4692
830.878
1,555
2,481.878
Lahad Datu
85
320
173
336
258
Interior Region
267.9
1,087
267.9
Tawau
412.4
1,037
412.4
Sandakan
250
1440
141
406
391
Kudat
70
352
70
2,056
6,804
1,825.178
4,421
3,881.178
TOTAL
Single Storey
Terrace
2-3 Storey
Terrace
Single Storey
Semi-D
2-3 Storey
Semi-D
Supply
New Planned
Supply
Planned
Starts
Construction
Under
Supply
perty Stock
Stock
Property/Pro
Incoming
Type of
Existing
No
Completion
2,975
1,337
1,337
622
5,023
850
850
87
382
12
12
2,862
372
372
26
Detach
2,046
41
41
58
Cluester
572
2,730
528
528
Low Cost
House
2,577
Flat
48
900
900
222
20
20
19,437
4,060
4,060
793
10
11
Service
Apartment
Condominium/
Apartment
Total
There are several estimates of the number of residential units in Tawau. According
to the Property Stock Report published by NAPIC, Tawau have existing stock amounted
to 19,437 units of residential property available as of Q2 2014. Landed properties
represent 16,590 or 85% of the exisiting stock in the residential market while the
remainder was comprised of 2,799 units (15%) of high-rise property. Besides that, only
4,060 residential units is under construction and new units launched as shown in table 1.8.
Project Name
Property Type
Project Status
No. of Units
Terrace
DP approved by
91
local authority
2
Terrace
DP submitted to
469
Central Board
3
Ria Heights
Terrace
(Phase 2)
4
161
Development Stage
Terrace
Jalan Apas
5
Design
DP sumbitted to
194
Central Board
4-Storey
Design
Housing (Phase 1)
Apartment
Development Stage
4-Storey
Design
Housing (Phase 2)
Apartment
Development Stage
Ria Heights
Apartment
Design
256
816
1024
Development Stage
8
4-Storey
DP approved by
Apartment
local authority
Total
256
3,267
Reference
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Mohd Najib Abdul Razak (2014), The 2015 Budget Speech. Introducing the
Supply Bill (2015)
6.
Musa Aman
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.