Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June 3, 2014
MARKET COMMENTARY
Markets at a Glance
HSX
Close
558.76
74.96
+0.35%
+0.21%
58,635,970
36,992,408
895
345
HNX
Value (VNDbn)
HSX/HNX-30
612.49
149.24
Gainers
102
98
Losers
78
81
Unchanged
96
59
HSX
HNX
215.7(24.1%)*
13.5(3.9%)*
73.9(8.3%)*
2.7(0.8%)*
141.8
10.8
Foreign Activity
Net Buying/Selling
* % Total Value
Table of Contents:
Market Commentary
Page 1-2
Market Activity
Page 3
Technical Analysis
Page 4
HSX Indices
Page 5
Company News
Page 6
Economic News
Page 7
Page 8
Page 9
Page 10
ETF Trading
Page 11
International Markets
Page 12
Neighboring Markets
Page 13
Disclaimer
Page 14
www.VPBS.com.vn
Page | 1
www.VPBS.com.vn
Page | 2
MARKET ACTIVITY
HSX- Intraday
Market Highlights
564
561
HSX
558
555
552
9:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
1:00
2:00
3:00
HNX Intraday
75.5
75,5
75.0
75,0
HNX
74.5
74,5
74.0
74,0
9:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
1:00
2:00
3:00
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Page | 3
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
HSX Daily Chart (3 Month)
VN-Index
The chart showed a no demand candle: The
VN-Index rose slightly today and closed at 558.76,
equivalent to the 5-day moving average. However, the
volume fell sharply with only 58.6 million shares
traded, indicating, once again, the weakness of the
demand. Within the domain of technical chart analysis,
we classify a day like the one we saw in todays market
(with the above characteristics) as no demand.
Outlook: Following this no demand candle, the VNIndex is likely to continue falling tomorrow. The MA10
support level is now at 552.
HNX-Index
The HNX-Index witnessed a modest gain: The
HNX-Index tried to rally in todays session but weak
demand put the brakes on any significant movement.
The market closed with a small white candle and the
volume sharply declining. The HNX-Index is still
pegged below the MA10, indicating further declines
are highly probable in the next few sessions.
Outlook: The HNX-Index is likely to go down
tomorrow to test the support level of the MA20 at 74.
VN30 - Index
The volume fell sharply: Similar to the scenario we
saw with the VN-Index, the VN30 witnessed a small
gain today and then closed below the MA5. The
volume also fell sharply from 24 million shares
yesterday to only 15.2 million this session. This
lackluster activity continues to underscore the
weakening of demand in the high price areas of VN30
stocks.
Outlook: The VN30 is likely to fall tomorrow to test
the support level of the MA10 at 600.
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Page | 4
HSX INDICES
VNSmall
569,57
-0,01%
VNMidcap
559,05
0,17%
VNAllshare
547,95
0,20%
700
720
680
700
660
680
640
660
620
640
600
620
580
600
560
580
560
540
540
520
520
500
VN 100
546,47
0,21%
700
700
680
680
660
660
640
640
620
620
600
600
580
580
560
560
540
540
520
520
500
500
Source: HSX
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Page | 5
COMPANY NEWS
VNM: Vietnam Dairy JSC was granted
investment certificate for a project in
Poland
VHC:
Vinh
Hoan
Corporation
transfers its subsidiary for USD19.6
million
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Page | 6
DOMESTIC NEWS
ECONOMIC NEWS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
Manufacturing
eurozone
in
www.VPBS.com.vn
growth
slows
Page | 7
Code
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
HQC
6,700
300
4.7%
-2.9%
2,541,170
TTF
8,500
300
3.7%
1.2%
TDC
9,400
300
3.3%
AGR
6,500
200
LCG
6,600
200
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
KLF
11,100
600
5.7%
-0.9%
6,628,300
500,250
DCS
5,400
200
3.9%
-6.9%
618,800
-3.1%
501,950
VGS
6,500
200
3.2%
-4.4%
339,100
3.2%
-3.0%
283,530
PVG
10,100
300
3.1%
-6.5%
104,500
3.1%
-2.9%
3,564,680
PVL
3,600
100
2.9%
-2.7%
510,000
Code
Code
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
Code
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
NBB
22,300
(700)
-3.0%
-5.1%
196,850
PFL
3,200
(100)
-3.0%
-11.1%
104,100
CTG
14,600
(200)
-1.4%
-1.4%
127,840
VND
14,200
(200)
-1.4%
-5.3%
892,366
HAR
8,500
(100)
-1.2%
-5.6%
568,660
ACB
15,300
(200)
-1.3%
-2.5%
228,547
CII
18,000
(200)
-1.1%
-3.7%
1,141,230
PVS
26,300
(100)
-0.4%
-2.6%
590,894
FLC
10,500
(100)
-0.9%
-6.3%
10,551,200
HPC
4,600
-4.2%
268,551
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
Price
Net Chg
%+/- T
%+/-T+3
Volume
FLC
10,500
(100)
-0.9%
-6.3%
10,551,200
KLF
11,100
600
5.7%
-0.9%
6,628,300
LCG
6,600
200
3.1%
-2.9%
3,564,680
PVX
5,100
3,240,976
HQC
6,700
300
4.7%
-2.9%
2,541,170
KLS
10,900
100
0.9%
-5.2%
2,842,330
ITA
7,800
100
1.3%
-2.5%
2,016,910
SCR
8,200
100
1.2%
-4.7%
2,759,825
IJC
11,900
200
1.7%
-8.5%
1,862,960
ITQ
8,900
(600)
-6.3%
-23.3%
1,974,510
Code
Code
Price
Buy Vol.
Sell Vol.
Net Vol.
Net Value
Code
Price
Buy Vol.
Sell Vol.
Net Vol.
Net Value
KDH
16,600
3,700,000
3,700,000
61,050
PVS
26,300
213,800
213,800
5,647
MSN
99,500
175,110
5,390
169,720
16,811
VND
14,200
120,000
1,000
119,000
1,713
GAS
98,000
189,140
21,100
168,040
16,364
VCG
12,200
106,200
106,200
1,305
DPM
32,100
328,020
37,440
290,580
9,304
SHB
8,900
140,600
140,600
1,253
STB
20,300
415,890
79,340
336,550
6,753
IVS
7,600
140,000
140,000
1,134
Code
Price
Buy Vol.
Sell Vol.
Net Vol.
Net Value
Code
Price
Buy Vol.
Sell Vol.
Net Vol.
Net Value
HAG
23,900
163,570
397,520
(233,950)
(5,620)
PVC
15,300
75,000
(75,000)
(1,130)
NBB
22,300
88,310
(88,310)
(1,979)
EBS
7,400
47,300
(47,300)
(350)
LAF
10,000
150,000
(150,000)
(1,476)
PLC
21,500
14,000
(14,000)
(302)
KDC
60,000
390
22,250
(21,860)
(1,301)
EFI
6,200
19,500
(19,500)
(120)
EIB
13,300
78,000
(78,000)
(1,031)
VTV
13,200
7,000
(7,000)
(92)
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Page | 8
140
Energy
Technology
Health Care
Utilities
120
% Gain /(Loss)
100
80
60
40
20
0
06/13
-20
08/13
10/13
11/13
01/14
03/14
05/14
Underperforming
HSX (Equal Weighted)
Consumer
Financials
Materials
120
% Gain /(Loss)
100
80
60
40
20
0
06/13
-20
08/13
10/13
11/13
01/14
03/14
05/14
Note: We have chosen to present the sector index graphs on an equal weighting basis, whereas the 1-day and 30-day changes in the table
below are on a market-cap weighted basis. We have done this because a few large-cap companies can often dominate the performance
of a sector when measured on a market cap weighted basis, but this does not give investors an accurate picture of the investment
opportunities available there.
GICS SECTORS
Change 1D (%)
P/E
P/B
24.3%
0.38%
-0.48%
19.8
1.3
3.1%
0.64%
-0.93%
14.4
1.7
35.6%
-0.23%
2.16%
12.0
0.9
Health Care
1.3%
-0.13%
-4.24%
13.5
1.6
Industrials
6.3%
0.66%
-2.45%
14.1
0.9
Information Technology
1.5%
-0.31%
-11.55%
9.8
0.9
Materials
6.2%
0.27%
2.60%
11.0
0.8
21.6%
1.39%
1.10%
8.3
1.2
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financials
Utilities
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Page | 9
Industrials
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Average
9.8
0.9
18.3%
FPT
9.6
2.1
23%
ELC
16.9
1.0
CMG
43.7
SGT
13.6
TIE
2.7
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Change 30D
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Change 30D
-11.5%
Average
14.1
0.9
6.8%
15,544
-17.5%
REE
5.6
1.3
0.2
6,508
-10.6%
6%
649
-2.3%
ITA
89.8
0.7
1%
5,600
-7.1%
0.7
2%
391
-19.2%
GMD
92.7
0.8
1%
3,753
7.2%
0.7
5%
281
11.8%
BMP
7.8
1.9
26%
3,047
-10.7%
0.5
21%
143
-11.8%
PVT
12.2
1.1
9%
3,047
-7.1%
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Change 30D
-2.5%
Financials
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Average
14.4
1.7
30.6%
GAS
15.1
5.6
0.4
185,710
PVD
9.8
2.2
23%
22,984
PGD
10.7
1.9
17%
CNG
8.6
2.5
PGC
6.2
0.9
Change 30D
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Average
12.0
0.9
11.4%
-1.5%
VCB
15.2
1.5
10%
66,973
0.3%
-1.8%
CTG
8.4
1.0
13%
54,362
-7.6%
2,022
1.9%
VIC
7.7
3.9
57%
59,914
3.1%
30%
1,061
-9.2%
BVH
23.1
2.2
9%
27,015
8.2%
14%
583
-6.5%
STB
10.5
1.4
14%
23,193
3.0%
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Change 30D
-4.2%
Average
19.8
1.3
15.8%
-0.9%
Health Care
2.2%
Consumers
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Change 30D
Average
13.5
1.6
16.6%
DHG
14.9
4.2
30%
8,803
-4.5%
VNM
16.2
5.5
36%
103,346
-10.8%
TRA
13.4
2.7
24%
1,826
-7.5%
MSN
219.6
4.9
2%
73,124
3.6%
JVC
17.2
0.8
5%
795
-4.1%
KDC
19.7
2.0
11%
10,358
7.1%
OPC
12.7
2.1
17%
813
-6.6%
VCF
12.6
3.2
28%
3,854
-4.0%
DMC
9.2
1.6
18%
1,036
-8.7%
DRC
9.6
2.5
28%
3,672
0.2%
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Change 30D
1.1%
Average
11.0
0.8
12.2%
Utilities
-0.5%
Materials
Market Cap.
(VNDbn)
Code
P/E
P/B
ROE
Change 30D
Average
8.3
1.2
14.1%
PPC
7.5
1.2
17%
6,777
2.4%
HPG
10.4
2.4
25%
24,577
2.6%
VSH
13.4
1.2
8%
3,341
-1.8%
DPM
6.4
1.4
21%
12,196
-7.2%
TMP
8.1
1.4
18%
1,386
1.0%
HSG
7.6
1.8
26%
4,238
-11.3%
TBC
8.1
1.4
17%
1,289
0.0%
POM
1.0
-8%
2,329
-3.8%
BTP
11.8
0.8
7%
798
-10.8%
DPR
4.9
0.7
15%
1,685
-5.2%
2.6%
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Page | 10
ETF TRADING
Daily
change
NAV
Shares
Outstanding
Daily
Change in
Share
Outstanding
Daily
Premium/
Change
Discount
price
Last
price
Date of
announcements
Ticker
NAV
VNM
$ 20.32
-0.66%
25,800,000
150,000
$ 20.30
0.15%
-0.09%
Price at 02/06/2014,
NAV at 02/06/2014
FTSE Vietnam
$ 27.38
-1.15%
13,446,400
$ 27.36
-1.33%
-0.09%
Price at 02/06/2014,
NAV at 02/06/2014
27
26
25
24
13
23
22
21
12
20
19
18
17
12/13
01/14
01/14
02/14
03/14
04/14
05/14
11
12/13
10%
3%
8%
2%
6%
1%
4%
0%
2%
-1%
0%
-2%
-2%
-3%
01/14
01/14
02/14
03/14
01/14
02/14
03/14
04/14
05/14
12%
-4%
12/13
01/14
04/14
05/14
-4%
12/13
01/14
01/14
02/14
03/14
04/14
05/14
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Page | 11
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Dow Jones
16,743.63
0.16%
Nasdaq
16,800
4,420
16,450
4,250
16,100
4,080
15,750
3,910
15,400
03/14
FTSE
03/14
6,841.25
04/14
05/14
-0.33%
3,740
03/14
DAX
7,000
10,500
6,800
10,000
6,600
9,500
6,400
9,000
6,200
03/14
NIKKEI 225
03/14
15,034.25
04/14
05/14
0.66%
8,500
03/14
SHANGHAI
16,000
2,170
15,200
2,100
14,400
2,030
13,600
1,960
12,800
03/14
03/14
04/14
05/14
1,890
03/14
4,237.20
03/14
04/14
9,923.74
03/14
05/14
-0.27%
04/14
2,038.31
03/14
-0.13%
05/14
-0.04%
04/14
05/14
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Page | 12
NEIGHBORING MARKETS
Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange
Jakarta Stock Exchange
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
06/13
08/13
10/13
12/13
Market
01/14
Bangkok
Stock
Exchange
03/14
Jakarta
Stock
Exchange
05/14
Philippines
Stock
Exchange
Ho Chi
Minh Stock
Exchange
24
P/E
17.1
21.0
21.5
13.2
20
P/B
2.1
2.5
2.8
1.9
ROE
12.7
13.1
13.5
14.5
ROA
2.9
3.3
3.2
2.5
391.5
388.0
171.6
46.3
(1,152.3)
3,671.3
952.8
225.5
(213.4)
59.6
(6.4)
30.4
2.9
5.8
7.2
5.4
16
12
Market Cap.
(USDbn)
Foreign Net Inflow
- YTD (USDmn)
Foreign Net Inflow
- 5D (USDmn)
GDP Growth
(%yoy)
8
4
0
P/E
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P/B
ROE
ROA
Page | 13
Disclaimer
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VPBS. A research report is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities
discussed herein.
Barry David Weisblatt
Head of Research
barryw@vpbs.com.vn
Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh
Director - Macro and Financials
linhntt@vpbs.com.vn
Vu Minh Duc
Director - Technical Analysis
ducvm@vpbs.com.vn
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