Professional Documents
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PERIODONTOLOGY 2000
ISSN 0906-6713
Periodontitis is a multi-factorial disease with microbial dental plaque as the initiator of periodontal disease (50). However, the manifestation and progression
of periodontitis is inuenced by a wide variety of
determinants and factors, including subject characteristics, social and behavioral factors, systemic factors, genetic factors, tooth-level factors, microbial
composition of dental plaque, and other emerging risk
factors. With the large array of factors that inuence
the development and progression of periodontitis,
understanding what the relationships of these various
factors and determinants are to the initiation and
progression of periodontal disease can be daunting.
The purpose of this paper is to explain some basic
concepts related to understanding periodontal risk
factors and the strength of the association of those
risk factors to the initiation and progression of periodontal disease and to present a brief overview of risk
factors for chronic periodontitis. Terminology, study
design, outcome measures, and measures of association are presented as basic concepts necessary for
understanding periodontal risk factors. The overview
of risk factors is then systematically divided into subject determinants, social and behavioral factors, systemic factors, genetic factors, tooth-level factors,
microbial factors, and emerging risk factors.
Terminology
In most epidemiological studies, the researcher seeks
to establish some sort of causal relationship between
a characteristic, behavior, or exposure and the manifestation of a particular disease. Three types of causation are generally identied: 1) a sufcient cause,
2) a necessary cause, and 3) a risk factor. A sufcient
cause refers to any condition, characteristic, or exposure in the presence of which, the disease will always
occur. This is the strongest type of causal relationship and is relatively rare. Examples of this include
genetic anomalies or conditions. A necessary cause is
any condition, characteristic, or exposure that must
be present for a disease to manifest itself. It differs
from a sufcient cause because its presence does not
necessarily result in manifestation of the disease. A
good example of this is the organism Mycobacterium
tuberculosis, which is a prerequisite for a person to
develop tuberculosis. However, many people can
carry this organism in their bodies without any
symptoms of disease whatsoever. A risk factor is
any characteristic, behavior, or exposure with an
association to a particular disease. The relationship
is not necessarily causal in nature (16). Risk indicator
is a term used to describe a potential risk factor
identied to be associated with disease from casecontrol or cross-sectional studies. Risk factor is more
appropriately reserved for those factors that have
been veried to be associated with disease through
longitudinal studies. A risk factor that can be used to
predict the future course of disease, such as an
increased probability of disease, is known as a risk
marker. Some risk factors can be modied to reduce
one's risk of initiation or progression of disease, such
as smoking cessation or improved oral hygiene to
reduce the risk of periodontal destruction, while
other factors cannot be modied, such as genetic
factors. A risk factor that cannot be modied is often
referred to as a determinant (30).
The terminology associated with risk indicators is
indicative of the level of evidence for its association
to periodontal disease. The distinctions among these
terms are not always clear from the literature, nor is it
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clear how the clinician makes use of such information. Whatever terms are used to designate factors
associated with the initiation and progression of periodontal disease, it is the hierarchy of study design
and the relevance of the outcome measure that govern the strength of the evidence for each risk indicator and its use in clinical decision-making.
In addition to the concept of risk indicators, there
are also terms that refer to the proportion of disease
noted in a particular population. Prevalence is dened
as the number of cases of a disease or condition per
population at risk at a particular point in time. Crosssectional studies are used to assess the prevalence of
a particular disease at some point in time for a specied population. Another measure of disease frequency is incidence. Incidence is dened as the
number of new cases of a disease or condition over
a specied period of time. Longitudinal studies are
used to assess the incidence of a particular disease for
a specied population over a given time period (16).
Study design
The strength of evidence of an association of a risk
factor to any particular disease is based in large part
on the study design utilized. The hierarchy of study
design forms a basis for the relative strength of evidence for any risk factor. The weakest evidence for an
association between a particular factor and the disease under investigation is the case report or case
history. Although such information may form the
basis for future hypotheses and further study, information gained from a case report without further
verication should be given the least weight when
formulating a treatment plan for a patient. The next
type of study in the hierarchy of design is the case
series. This type of study provides only slightly stronger evidence for an association between a risk factor
and a disease than a case report. How much value
one should place upon a case series is related to the
way in which the cases were ascertained and the
number of cases involved. For instance, information
obtained from a series of 10 cases that were handpicked by the investigator out of a much larger available group is far less reliable than a series of 100
cases chosen at random or constituting a convenience sample. Even in the latter example of a large
case series, the strength of the evidence for an association between a risk factor to a particular disease is
considered quite weak.
The next strongest evidence is provided by casecontrol studies. These studies may be retrospective
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Outcome measures
The relevance of the outcome measure is also a factor
in assessing the strength of evidence for an association between a risk factor and disease. With respect
to periodontal disease, the goal of prevention and
treatment is to maintain teeth in a state of comfort
and function. Hence, the most accurate measure of
the inuence of a risk factor in the progression of
periodontal disease is tooth loss as a direct or indirect result of periodontal disease. Unfortunately, the
number of subjects and the time involved to accurately assess the relationship of potential risk factors
to actual tooth loss from periodontal disease makes it
extremely difcult, if not impossible, to dene all risk
factors for periodontal disease in terms of tooth loss.
In addition, in large longitudinal studies where tooth
loss is known, such as the VA Dental Longitudinal
Study, the actual reason for tooth loss is often not
known. Because of this problem, other clinical measures are often used to assess the periodontal status
of a tooth at any given point in time.
Two outcome measures that are often used in
place of tooth loss from periodontal disease are
alveolar bone level and clinical attachment level.
Both of these measures are strongly associated with
tooth loss from periodontal disease. Both alveolar
bone level and clinical attachment level are quantitative measures, although these outcome measures
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Measures of association
The strongest association for identifying a parameter
as a risk factor for disease is relative risk. Relative risk
is generally dened as the ratio of the risk of disease
in the ``exposed'' group to the risk of disease in the
``unexposed'' group (16). Relative risk is a measure of
association that is only obtained from a longitudinal
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destruction. Further quantication of the relationship between a risk factor and a continuous outcome
measure can be obtained from linear regression
modeling. An increase of one unit of exposure in a
linear model would have the effect of changing the
outcome measure by the value of the coefcient for
the risk factor under investigation. For instance, a
coefcient of 2 for age in years to describe the percent of teeth with signicant periodontal destruction
would mean that for each additional year of age, the
percent of teeth with signicant periodontal destruction will increase by 2%. A statistically signicant
association between a risk factor and a continuous
outcome measure in a regression model will be
reected by a 95% condence interval for the corresponding coefcient that does not include zero.
Subject determinants
Aging is commonly associated with periodontal disease, although this relationship is thought to be more
related to the cumulative periodontal breakdown
over time than to an age-related, intrinsic deciency
that contributes to susceptibility to periodontal disease (30). Epidemiological studies have shown more
periodontal disease, both in terms of attachment loss
as well as bone loss, among older age groups compared to younger age groups (36, 37, 104). In addition, research has shown that certain physiological
changes in the periodontium occur with age (48,
113), although these changes alone are not responsible for periodontal breakdown. In fact, in a study of
the rst National Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey, the effect of aging on periodontal destruction
appears to be negligible compared to the role of
plaque as represented by oral hygiene practices (1).
These results appear to also hold for the old elderly
(85 years old) as well. In a 5-year follow-up of
elderly patients in Finland, very little change in the
periodontal status was noted, with the authors concluding that periodontal disease in the elderly who
are relatively healthy is not caused by the aging process alone (3).
The role of race as a risk factor for periodontal
disease is a more complicated issue. For instance,
in a study of older community-dwelling blacks and
whites (65 years of age and above) , blacks were three
times more likely to exhibit advanced periodontal
destruction compared to whites in the same age
cohort. In addition, Prevotella intermedia was found
to be a risk factor for blacks but not for whites (8).
However, in this study, blacks had more indicators
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16
Systemic factors
One of the strongest systemic risk factors for periodontal disease is diabetes mellitus. There is strong
evidence of a direct relationship between diabetes
mellitus and periodontitis (51, 92). In addition, diabetes mellitus has been shown to be positively associated with clinical attachment loss (30). However,
there are also studies that do not support this association of diabetes mellitus with periodontal disease
(102). Insulin and non-insulin dependent diabetics
appear to be at equal risk for periodontal disease. The
severity and extent of periodontitis in the diabetic
patient appears to be related to control of the diabetes (109). In addition to the risk progression of
periodontal disease posed by poorly controlled diabetes, it has also been suggested that effective periodontal therapy can have a positive effect on the
control of diabetes (111). In a longitudinal study of
non-insulin dependent diabetics, severe periodontal
disease at baseline was found to be a signicant risk
factor for poor glycemic control (107). Similarly, poor
glycemic control in non-insulin dependent diabetics
has been shown to be associated with signicantly
greater alveolar bone loss over time compared to
well-controlled non-insulin-dependent diabetics
(108). A substantial body of evidence has begun to
emerge suggesting a bidirectional relationship
between both types of diabetes and periodontal disease (106).
Certain systemic conditions require the use of
drugs that may pose a risk for periodontitis from
plaque accumulation as a result of gingival overgrowth. Calcium channel blockers have been associated with gingival overgrowth, although the risk for
gingival overgrowth varies according to the specic
drug. Gingival overgrowth is signicantly more prevalent among patients taking nifedipine compared to
patients taking either amlodipine or diltiazem,
although the overall prevalence among all patients
taking calcium channel blockers is still fairly low. The
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Genetic factors
In studies of both monozygotic and dizygotic twins
reared together and apart, a signicant genetic component for gingivitis, probing depth, attachment loss,
and plaque was found (76, 77). In a recent study
involving both monozygotic and dizygotic twins, it
has been estimated that genetic inuences account
for as much half of the variance in disease in the
population (78).
Specic genotypes have been identied and linked
to periodontal destruction. Polymorphisms of IL-1,
IL-1b, and IL-1RN genotypes have been identied as
potential risk factors for periodontal destruction. In a
recent study that evaluated these polymorphisms
and smoking, it was found that being positive for
the composite IL-1a/IL-1b polymorphism in smokers
resulted in four times the risk of signicant attachment loss (as measured by the percentage of sites
>4 mm attachment loss) compared to genotypenegative smokers (73). Patients positive for the composite IL-1a/IL-1b polymorphism have also been
shown to have a 2.7 times increased risk of tooth loss
from periodontal disease compared to genotypenegative patients (71). In addition, interactions between a positive IL-1 genotype and age, smoking, and
P. gingivalis have been identied, indicating that the
composite IL-1a/IL-1b polymorphism is a contributory but non-essential risk factor for periodontal disease progression (22).
Polymorphism of the tumor necrosis factor- (TNFa) gene has been suggested as a possible risk factor
for periodontitis. However, studies have failed to link
polymorphism of the TNF-a gene to either earlyonset periodontitis (98) or adult periodontitis (19).
Recently, a study of a group of middle-aged men
enrolled the VA Dental Longitudinal Study demonstrated a signicant association between a polymorphism of the Vitamin D receptor genotype and
alveolar bone loss, clinical attachment loss, and tooth
loss (43). Studies have also identied an association
between polymorphisms of the Vitamin D receptor
genotype and early-onset periodontitis (40, 122).
Functional polymorphisms of immunoglobulin G
(IgG) Fc receptors (Fc g R) have been shown to be
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Tooth factors
Various aspects of tooth anatomy have been shown
to be associated with clinical manifestations of periodontal disease. For instance, some studies have
shown an association between enamel projections
and furcation involvement among molars (11, 41,
68). Similarly, enamel pearls have been implicated
in molar furcation involvement (20, 32, 99, 114). It
has been hypothesized that the enamel in these locations prevents the attachment of connective tissue,
thus making the area more susceptible to periodontal
breakdown.
Tooth position can also present a risk for periodontal disease. Malalignment, crowding, and migration or tipping of a tooth distal to an edentulous area
have all been implicated in loss of periodontal support (2, 26, 28, 45, 46). In addition, extreme labial or
lingual positioning of a tooth has been correlated
with gingival recession (34, 63). Tooth malposition
poses an even stronger risk among individuals with
suboptimal oral hygiene. Areas with thin or absent
cortical alveolar bone and prominent teeth in the
dental arch are particularly prone to periodontal
breakdown.
Related to tooth position is the issue of occlusion.
A recent cross-sectional study evaluated the relationship of occlusal discrepancies on a tooth level to
periodontal probing depth. Occlusal discrepancies
were found to be an even stronger predictor of periodontal probing depth than smoking (86). In a longitudinal study to investigate occlusal treatment of
these occlusal discrepancies, it was shown that teeth
with treated occlusal discrepancies had signicantly
less of an increase in periodontal probing depth than
teeth with untreated occlusal discrepancies, indicating that occlusal discrepancies constitute a modiable risk factor for periodontal disease (39).
Root proximity has been hypothesized to be a risk
factor for periodontal disease because bone and connective tissue are reduced in these areas so that
inammation and periodontal destruction may be
enhanced. However, there is no scientic evidence
to support root proximity as a risk factor for initiation
and progression of periodontal disease. A long-term
follow-up of subjects treated orthodontically showed
no association between root proximity and periodontal breakdown (7). In another study of periodontal
patients in maintenance therapy following active
treatment, root proximity was not signicantly associated with either a worsening in clinical condition as
measured by prognosis (69) or an increased risk of
tooth loss from periodontal disease (70).
Open contacts have been shown to be associated
with increased probing depths and loss of clinical
attachment (47). These results were found in a study
of 104 subjects with unilateral open contacts and
contralateral closed contacts.
Root abnormalities have been shown to be associated with periodontal breakdown. In particular,
palato-gingival grooves in maxillary incisors have
been found to be associated with loss of clinical
attachment and bone loss (121). In addition to the
risk posed by palato-gingival grooves among maxillary incisors, proximal root grooves among incisors
and maxillary premolars have also been associated
with attachment loss and bone loss (58). One reason
that these grooves pose such a risk for periodontal
breakdown may be that they impede the removal of
plaque and provide a reservoir for plaque microorganisms in the subgingival area. Cemental tears have
also been associated with attachment loss in an in
vitro study of root surfaces (59). Unsatisfactory root
form has also been linked to the progression of periodontal disease (69) as well as an increased likelihood of tooth loss from periodontal disease (70).
Tooth restorations can also be a risk factor for
periodontal breakdown. This can be the result of
marginal discrepancies of restorations (12, 13, 57,
101) or xed orthodontic appliances (24). Amalgam
overhangs have been linked to signicant alveolar
bone loss (88). Subgingival crown margins as
opposed to supragingival margins have been implicated in increased inammation and greater gingival
recession (81, 87). In addition to the anatomical considerations of restorations, there is also the issue of
tissue response to particular restorative materials.
Allergic reactions to metals used in cast restorations,
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pathogens as risk factors for identication of attachment loss over time has resulted in conicting evidence. Three studies indicated that none of these
pathogens were useful in predicting periodontal disease progression (61, 64, 117). In another study,
B. forsythus was predictive of tooth loss among subjects with little or no periodontitis at baseline (66). In
a recent prospective londitudinal study, B. forsythus
was identied as a risk marker for attachment loss in
a population with low prevalence and severity of
chronic periodontitis (112). B. forsythus and P. gingivalis were found to be associated with disease progression in established periodontal patients (65) and were
also found to be associated with alveolar bone loss (36).
Although several studies have evaluated the relationship of A. actinomycetemcomitans to periodontal disease progression, studies have failed to produce
convincing evidence that A. actinomycetemcomitans
can be used to predict future periodontal destruction.
Conclusions
Numerous studies have shown associations between
a myriad of factors and progression of periodontal
disease. In addition, studies of other factors hypothesized to be related to periodontal disease progression
have failed to provide compelling evidence. Understanding and evaluation of these risk factors and
determinants demands that the evidence for each
association be weighed according to the study
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