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Why relations between New Delhi and Tokyo have warmed and stand to prosper
in the future?
SECURITY ASPECTS
1. Geopolitically China has dominated the south-Pacific region and globally
also. So Japan and India have strategically converged to expand relative
power and to avoid security dilemma with China.
2. Alignment between India & Japan forms a formidable geostrategic bulwark
that give pause to Chinese assertiveness in the South China Sea and Indian
Ocean.
9. With its growing military and economic capabilities, the continued rise of
China is now politically overshadowing established powers like Japan and
rising states like India in equal measure. This disparity of relative power
growth has created a perception of a slow but certain shift in the balance of
power in Asia towards Chinese hegemony. As these asymmetries grow,
smaller states have started hedging against China. In the India-Japan
partnership, one can observe similar strategic maneuvers with shades of
power politics.
10.Despite strong assertions from Washington and the promise of a
rebalancing to the Asia-Pacific, at the recent Shangri La Dialogue, most
states in East Asia understand that they can no longer rely entirely on the
United States for their security, given U.S. defense spending cuts over the
next decade.
recipient of Japanese aid, which has helped the South Asian giant to take
massive strides in infrastructure development.
8. Economic cooperation between India and Japan, originating in the 1950s,
does offer a reciprocal win-win opportunity to both the nations. As per
Indias Planning Commission assessment, the country is in desperate need of
around $1 trillion of investment for upgrading infrastructure, so essential to
ease supply-side constraints in national growth.
9. Japanese development assistance eases the burden of borrowing from the
market. Japan too reaps benefit by way of earning extra income through
loan interests as the Japanese economy struggles to stimulate growth.
10.Japanese businesses get India as lucrative platform for an alternative market
in Asia in the backdrop of an increasing volatility in Sino-Japanese
relationship.
11.India has seized the opportunity presented by Prime Minister Abe with both
hands by inviting Japanese financial and technological investment especially
in the development of the countrys politically sensitive northeastern
fringes.
12.By asking Japanese companies to share their expertise in building road
infrastructure, aiding agricultural value-chain development, collaborate in
forestry to promote sustainable management in the sector plus preserving
the regions unique flora and enhancing water supply and sewerage
infrastructure, the Indian government has effectively killed two birds with
one stone.
13.Beijing has often used the trade asymmetry with Japan to its own
advantage, stopping the supply of commodities such as rare earth metals on
which Japan depended.
14.Japan has a large industrial capacity, and is home to some of the largest and
most technologically advanced producers of motor vehicles, electronics,
machine tools, steel and nonferrous metals, ships, chemical substances,
textiles, and processed foods. Some of the largest enterprises in Japan
include Toyota, Nintendo, NTT, DoCoMo, Canon, Honda, Takeda
Pharmaceutical, Sony, Panasonic, Toshiba, Sharp, Nippon Steel, Nippon Oil.
15.It has some of the world's largest banks, and the Tokyo Stock Exchange
(known for its Nikkei 225 and TOPIX indices) stands as the second largest in
the world by market capitalization.
HISTORICAL RELATIONS
1. Cultural exchanges between India and Japan began early in the 6th century
with the introduction of Buddhism to Japan from India.
2. Buddhism and the intrinsically linked Indian culture had a great impact on
Japanese culture,
3. famous Japanese traveller to the Indian subcontinent was Tenjiku Tokubei
(16121692), named after Tenjiku ("Heavenly Abode"), the Japanese name
for India.
4. Cultural exchange occurred during the mid-late 20th century through Asian
cinema, with Indian cinema and Japanese cinema both experiencing a
"golden age" during the 1950s and 1960s. Indian films by Satyajit Ray, Guru
Dutt and Rajinikanth were influential in Japan.
5. During the Second World War, Subhas Chandra Bose's Indian National Army
and the Japanese Imperial Army fought together in battles against the
British forces.
MODERN RELATIONS
1. Japan and India signed a peace treaty, establishing official diplomatic
relations on 28 April 1952, in which India waived all reparation claims
against Japan. This treaty was one of the first treaties Japan signed after
World War II.
2. India's iron ore helped Japan's recovery from World War II devastation, and
following Japanese Prime Minister Nobusuke Kishi's visit to India in 1957,
Japan started providing yen loans to India in 1958, as the first yen loan aid
extended by Japanese government.
3. Indias Look East policy posited Japan as a key partner. Since 1986, Japan
has become India's largest aid donor, and remains so.
4. 1998 Pokhran-II, Japan imposed suspension of all political exchanges and
the cutting off of economic assistance which were lifted three years later.
Relations improved exponentially following this period, as bilateral ties
between the two nations improved once again, to the point where the
Japanese prime minister, Shinzo Abe was to be the chief guest at India's
2014 Republic Day parade.
HURDLES IN RELATION
1. despite the rapid growth of economic ties in recent years, Japanese
investors are not completely sold on Indias business climate.
2. Not only do they find it difficult to work through the labyrinthine Indian
bureaucracy,
3. Indias poor infrastructure,
4. Opaque legal and taxation systems
5. Official corruption.
6. Civilian nuclear cooperation remains stalled due to Indias refusal to join
the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) as a non-nuclear weapon state.
7. China is the most important economic partner for each state, and will
remain in future.
8. The consequences of security cooperation between Japan and India may
carry economic consequences between these two nations and China.
On January1 ,1948 India brought the matter to the notice of the United
Nations Security Council under Article35 of the Charter .India sought UN
assistance to have Pakistan-supported aggression vacated.
Pakistan had installed a so-called Azad Kashmir Government in the territory
occupied by the invaders .
Even today Pakistan insists that the area under its control is independent or
Azad Kashmir.
During the pendency of the dispute in the Security Council,Liaquat Ali
Khan,the Prime Minister of Pakistan ,announced that his government was
willing to accept the proposal of plebiscite ,
but stipulated certain conditions on which Azad Kashmir Government could
be persuaded to accept ceasefire.
Liaquat Ali wanted withdrawal of Indian troops and immobilization of
State's security forces, substitution of Sheikh Abdullah's government by a
coalition including representatives of Azad Kashmir ,and then holding of
plebiscite under international supervision .
These conditions were totally unacceptable to India.
Taking the issue to UN turned out to be one of gravest of mistakes by
Nehru govt.
After careful consideration, the Security Council appointed a three-member
Commission on January20,1948
The Commission had one nominee each of India and Pakistan and the third
member was to be chosen by the two nominees.
India nominated Czechoslovakia & Pakistan nominated Argentina as both
could not agree on common member, USA was appointed for the post
The Security Council added two more members ,Belgium and Colombia,
The Commission was now called the United Nations Commission for India
and Pakistan(UNCIP)
The UNCIP submitted report which said
i) Pakistan should withdraw its troops from Jammu &Kashmir as soon as
possible after the ceasefire
ii) Pakistan should also try for withdrawal of Tribes men and Pakistan
nationals who are not ordinary residents of Kashmir.
iii) The territory thus vacated by Pakistani troops should be administered By
local officials under the supervision of the Commission
iv) India should also withdraw substantial strength of its troops
v) Finally, pending a final agreement India should maintain only such
limited troops as should be essential for law and order.
After initial reluctance ,Pakistan accepted these proposals and a ceasefire
agreement was signed which was implemented by the two commanders on
the Midnight of January1,1949.The war ended and a ceasefire became
effective
The ceasefire line now called the Line of Control was drawn where the fight
ended
The region with Pakistan is called as Azad Kashmir
The UNCIP recommended that the disagreements between the countries
be brought before the Plebiscite Administrator which India refused the
issue fell apart, the Administrator resigned
Was decided that the issue be placed before a three member tribunal of
arbitrators
The award came in 1968 which was 10% for Pakistan and 90% for India
This order was criticized back in India but as the commitment was made in
1965 she decided to keep her promise
Indo Pak war 1965
The Gamble that Pakistan took in Kutch was followed by the infiltration bid
by Pakistan in Kashmir
Pakistani army men in civilian were sent to infiltrate into Kashmir
Earlier Pakistan had been sending feelers to Soviet Union of friendship
between the two nations which Soviet union responded positively which
disturbed India
Indian PM Lal bahadur Shastri went to Soviet union to strengthen Indias
ties more towards India with little success
The infiltration bid was announced in Radio Pakistan as a fit by the
Kashmiris against the State machinery while the infiltrators were inciting
violence
Radio Pakistan claimed the kashmiris revolted, the airport had fallen and
Srinagar was about to fall whereas the reality was otherwise
The armed forces took up the matter foiled all the bids to destroy peace in
Kashmir followed it with attacking infiltration camps capturing and sealing
pass Hajipir pass which was used to enter India by infiltrators
India requested UN general secretary U.Thant to ensure withdraw of
infiltrators but Pakistan claimed innocence
The disastrous failure of infiltrators lead to war on India, Pakistani Army
crossed borders and attacked India, forcing her into war
Pakistan again started demanding demilitarization and Plebiscite
The war began with Bombing by Pakistan on Indian territories, India
started pushing back Pakistani armed forces. At this juncture China
supported Pakistan making an ultimatum that India close her military base
in Tibet Sikkim border
ofnon-
4.Bothsideswoulddiscouragepropagandadirectedagainsteachother,
andencouragepropagandaforpromotionoffriendlyrelationsbetween thetwo .
5.NormaldiplomaticactivitywastoberestoredandtheHighCommissioners
ofIndiaandPakistanweretoresumetheirduties.
6.Economicandtraderelations,communicationaswellasculturalexchanges
wouldberestoredbetweenIndiaandPakistan.
The kidnap of Rubina Sayeed, the daughter of the then Union Minister
Mufti Muhammad Sayeed lead to prolonged bargaining
For about 7 years there was no elections, there was prolonged battle
between the militants and the security forces
Since 1991 J&K was unrepresented in Lok sabha,only after 1996 was
election held in which Dr.Farooq Abdullahs National conference emerged
victorious
Steps taken by successive governments in India bore no fruit as both Zia led
government and Bhuto led government had an approach of All or nothing
which led to a diplomatic standstill
On the other had Indias relation with China and USA improved greatly,
thus adding more advantage on the Indian side
The Gujaral Doctrine
The Gujaral doctrine was based on the PMs approach larger neighbor
giving more"
Acccording to this various confidence building measures were takenof
which the notable ones being easing up of Passport norms free visas for
journalists,students,Seniors citizens
But the overtures from the Indian side were not reciprocated by the
Pakistani side as they clung to Kashmir as the core issue and the tug of war
continued
Post Nuclear Tests
As India followed by Pakistan conducted nuclear tests,both countries
were put under sanctions which lead to reduction tensions between two
sides
Under the leadership of then PM Atal Bihari Vajpayee,confidence
building measures were taken under which bus between Delhi and
Lahore was proposed
The Bus diplomacy was seen as a new milestone, Vajpayee himself took
the first trip but the same was reciprocated by the Pakistani side
India Pakistan relation reached its worst phase when a group of Pakistan
trained militants attacked the Parliament when in session
An attempt was made to bomb the Kashmir secretariat all this snowballed
into a state of war
India recalled her high commissioner from Hyderabadand sent back Deputy
high commissioner of Pakistan as it was found him involved in funding
money to terrorists
India mobilized troops in her borders(Operation Parakarm) which was
responded by Pakistan
Elections were held in J& K despite infiltration bids by Pakistan
Shahryar Khan, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif's special envoy for improving
relations with India, said Dawood was in Pakistan but has been "chased
out" and could be in the United Arab Emirates. This after repeatedly
claiming that Dawood was not in Pakistan later Pakistan went back on its
word making a U turn
In 2010 PMs of both nations at the SAARC meet decided to improve Indo
Pak relations
Follow up meetings were held by the two Foreign Ministers (Islamabad,
July 2010), and the two Foreign Secretaries (Thimphu, February 2011).
During the latter meeting it was formally agreed to resume dialogue on
all issues
(i) Counterterrorism & Humanitarian issues at Home Secretary level,
(ii) Economic issues at Commerce Secretary-level,
(iii) Tulbul Navigation Project at Water Resources Secretary-level,
(iv) Sir Creek at Surveyor General-level,
(v) Siachen at Defence Secretary-level, and
(vi) Peace & Security including Confidence Building Measures (CBMs),
(vii) Jammu & Kashmir and
(viii) Promotion of Friendly Exchanges at the level of the Foreign
Secretaries.
The main outcomes of the two rounds of resumed dialogue held
between March 2011 and Sept 2012, were liberalization introduced in
visa regime via a newVisa Agreement (finalized in Sep 2012 and
operationalised in Dec 2012
After two rounds of talks Pakistan chose new PM Nawaz Sharif
Talking at Pakistan Journalist forum Nawaz Sharif said India and Pakistan
should spend less defence budgets and focus to join hands and fight
poverty
source: http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/nia-fake-indian-currency-notespakistan/1/321768.html
Conclusion
The only future ahead for Indo-Pak relations is Pakistan giving up terror funding
and making earnest efforts to improve relation with India through trade and other
options