Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TripratesusedfortheAAPsitetripgeneration.
AM PM SA SAE
Landuseclass Arr Dep Total Arr Dep Total Arr Dep Total Arr Dep Total
Employment
(per100m2)
1.796 0.246 2.042 0.206 1.265 1.471 0 0 0 0 0 0
Residential
(perunit)
0.034 0.16 0.194 0.133 0.064 0.197 0.067 0.056 0.123 0.14 0.082 0.222
Hotel
(perroom)
0.067 0.083 0.15 0.149 0.064 0.213 0.154 0.231 0.385 0.077 0.038 0.115
Museum
(per100m2)
0.077 0.005 0.082 0.007 0.098 0.105 0.239 0.335 0.574 0 0 0
Bowling
(per100m2)
0 0 0 1.113 1.298 2.411 0.766 0.989 1.755 0.791 0.989 1.78
SwimmingPool
(per100m2)
0.569 0.547 1.116 1.757 1.861 3.618 2.821 2.469 5.29 0.98 2.351 3.331
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Appendix D
Background Traffic Growth
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Methodology for calculation of background growth in the future year assessments
TEMPRO 6.2 was used to find the estimated background traffic growth for the modelled area
between the base year of 2008 and the three assessment years, 2016, 2021 and 2026. Table 1
shows the TEMRPO derived growth rates for the Bournemouth and Dorset zones.
AM PM SA
Bournemouth Dorset Bournemouth Dorset Bournemouth Dorset
2008-2016 1.0223 1.0322 1.0231 1.0382 1.022 1.0429
2008-2021 1.0796 1.0962 1.083 1.1078 1.0824 1.1164
2008-2026 1.1417 1.1599 1.1497 1.1785 1.1508 1.1921
Table 1: TEMPRO derived background traffic growth factors
The TEMPRO growth factors have been applied to the base matrix to determine the future traffic
volumes expected in the assessment years.
The matrix consists of: through traffic, that which enters and leaves the network via the zones on
the edge of the model; and town centre traffic, that which has an origin or a destination within the
internal zones of the matrix. It can be reasonably assumed that the only vehicles which can be
though to form part of the growth associated with the Dorset TEMPRO zone would be the through
traffic that enters and leaves the network travelling from east to west, or west to east on Wessex
Way. Therefore the vehicles from those VISSIM zones in the base matrix (401 and 412) have been
growthed using the Dorset TEMPRO calculation. These flows can be considered true external to
external trips. For all other VISSIM zones, the Bournemouth TEMRPO zone growth factor has
been applied.
Tables 2 to 5 compares the AAP trip generation for the future years against the project TEMPRO
growth for each time period.
TEMPRO predicted growth
AM peak External to External Internal related trips Total
Predicted
AAP growth
2008 - 2016 60 256 316 698
2008 - 2021 180 914 1094 864
2008 - 2026 299 1627 1926 1289
Table 2: Comparison of TEMRPO derived growth and AAP growth for the AM peak
TEMPRO predicted growth
PM peak External to External Internal related trips Total
Predicted
AAP growth
2008 - 2016 77 273 350 875
2008 - 2021 219 978 1197 1152
2008 - 2026 363 1763 2126 1540
Table 3: Comparison of TEMRPO derived growth and AAP growth for the PM peak
TEMPRO predicted growth
SA peak External to External Internal related trips Total
Predicted
AAP growth
2008 - 2016 55 242 297 826
2008 - 2021 150 906 1056 1155
2008 - 2026 248 1658 1906 1403
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Table 4: Comparison of TEMRPO derived growth and AAP growth for the Saturday peak
TEMPRO predicted growth
SAE peak External to External Internal related trips Total
Predicted
AAP growth
2008 - 2016 42 181 223 569
2008 - 2021 112 680 792 835
2008 - 2026 137 1292 1429 1012
Table 5: Comparison of TEMRPO derived growth and AAP growth for the Saturday evening peak
In each peak period, the predicted traffic growth for the AAP developments in 2016 is greater than
that predicted by TEMPRO for Bournemouth. In 2021, the AAP trip generation is roughly
equivalent to that predicted by TEMPRO. However in 2026, TEMPRO derived background growth
for Bournemouth exceeds that predicted by the AAP in each of the peak periods.
In order to present a robust assessment of the Bournemouth Town centre highway network in the
future year periods the base matrices have been adjusted to include predicted background traffic
growth which is over and above that of the AAP trip generation.
The external to external trips which enter and leave the network via Wessex Way have been
uplifted to account for what is considered true external growth.
In instances where the internal predicted TEMRPO traffic growth is greater than that predicted by
the AAP site trip generation exercise, the difference between the AAP growth plus external to
external trips and the total TEMPRO growth has been established. This difference can be
considered growth which is occurring in the remainder of the Bournemouth TEMPRO zone (outside
of the town centre) and has therefore been applied to the remaining external VISSIM zones within
the matrix.
Using the above methodology, Table 6 compares the traffic volumes within the base matrices
against the growth factored future year matrices.
2008 2016 2021 2026
Peak Base
Base +
TEMPRO
Base+
TEMRPO
+AAP
Base +
TEMPRO
Base+
TEMRPO
+AAP
Base +
TEMPRO
Base+
TEMRPO
+AAP
AM
13359 13419 14117 13539 14402 13996 15290
PM
13815 13892 14768 14034 15187 14391 15936
SA
12288 12344 13170 12439 13593 12645 14064
SAE
9215 9257 9826 9328 10163 9682 10696
Table 6: Summary of vehicle flows by assessment year and peak period.
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Appendix E
VISSIM Modelling Network Statistics
.
Bournemouth Town Centre AAP Appraisal
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Do Minimum model network statistics
To quantify the impact of the AAP developments on the Bournemouth town centre highway network, key statistics have been taken from
the VISSIM outputs.
Table 1 below compares the key statistics for each peak period and each assessment year.
AMPeak PMPeak SAPeak SAEPeak
NetworkStatistics
2016 2021 2026 2016 2021 2026 2016 2021 2026 2016 2021 2026
AverageSpeed(km/h) 34.1 33.4 27.1 31.8 28.4 20.6 35.0 27.6 13.6 37.9 37.2 36.6
Averagedelaypervehicle(s) 81.2 86.1 136.3 90.3 115.5 204.8 65.8 120.6 325.1 48.3 51.9 56.6
Totaldelaytime(h) 348.6 376.1 608.1 401.8 521.2 933.5 260.8 482.1 1,124.6 146.8 161.7 183.8
Totaltraveltime(h) 981.8 1,016.9 1,252.1 1,034.2 1,149.5 1,541.5 824.6 1,037.5 1,524.1 573.6 600.4 642.4
Table 1: Key network statistics for the Do Minimum modelling
As described in Section 6 of the main report, the addition of the AAP development traffic results in additional delay throughout the network
in each period in the 2021 assessment year. In the AM and Saturday evening peak hours the effect is limited and this is shown in Table 1
where the average speed and average delay per vehicle are broadly comparable to those recorded in the 2016 assessment year. However,
in the PM and Saturday peak hours the effect of the additional vehicle trips is significantly more prominent.
By 2026 the effect of the estimated development traffic causes a grid-lock scenario in the PM and Saturday peaks owing to a lack of
capacity on the network. The results in table 1 highlight this with average delay per vehicle more than doubling.
Figures 1 (PM peak) and 2 (Saturday peak) provide a diagrammatical representation of the effect of the development trip growth on the
network by showing the increase in journey times (between 2016 and 2026) on key sections of highway.
Large increases in journey time are noted on Wessex Way and Cambridge Road at the Bournemouth West roundabout and throughout the
Lansdowne and Station roundabouts area. Results on other links are distorted when the network becomes grid-locked; as vehicles are
trapped in the eastern section of the model there is less conflict in other areas and journey times are shortened.
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Figure 1 Percentage change in link journey times between 2016 and 2026 for the Do Minimum PM peak
Bournemouth West
BIC
Wessex Way
Station
Lansdowne
Bath Road
St Swithuns
Cambridge Road
Westcliff Road
-2%
+61%
+105%
+217%
+15%
+70%
-6%
+8%
+8%
-21%
+15%
+313%
+3%
+30%
+63%
-2%
-7%
-17%
+57%
+8%
-8%
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Figure 2 Percentage change in link journey times between 2016 and 2026 for the Do Minimum Saturday peak
Bournemouth West
BIC
Station
Lansdowne
Bath Road
St Swithuns
Cambridge Road
Westcliff Road
26%
-17%
+1%
+2%
+0%
-15%
-2%
+23%
-1%
-18%
+419%
+39%
+391%
+28%
+1457%
+60%
+20%
-13%
+932%
-4%
-25%
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Do Something model network statistics
With the recommendations for mitigation entered into the Do Something models, the network
statistics for the 2021 and 2026 PM and Saturday peaks were again recorded for comparison to
the 2016 Do Minimum.
Table 2 below compares the key statistics for the PM peak Do Minimum and Do Something
models.
PMPeakDoMinimum PMPeakDoSomething
NetworkStatistics
2016 2021 2026 2016 2021 2026
AverageSpeed(km/h) 31.8 28.4 20.6 33.3 28.8
Totaldelaytime(h) 401.8 521.2 933.5 361.4 530.6
Totaldistancetravelled(km) 32,840.9 32,696.6 31,828.8 33,623.2 34,248.6
Totaltraveltime(h) 1,034.2 1,149.5 1,541.5 1,190.6 1,190.6
Averagedelaypervehicle(s) 90.3 115.5 204.8 79.5 113.3
Table 2: Key network statistics for the PM peak Do Something modelling compared to the Do Minimum
The Do Something mitigation measures are shown to have a positive effect on the network by
reducing overall and average delay in 2021 and 2026 however congestion is still noted in the
Lansdowne and Station area due to the large increase in trips generated by the AAP
developments.
Table 3 compares the key statistics for the Saturday peak Do Minimum and Do Something models.
SAPeakDoMinimum SAPeakSomething
NetworkStatistics
2016 2021 2026 2016 2021 2026
AverageSpeed(km/h) 35.0 27.6 13.6 33.6 31.9
Totaldelaytime(h) 260.8 482.1 1,124.6 299.8 358.5
Totaldistancetravelled(km) 28,834.1 28,656.4 20,760.7 29,472.3 30,441.2
Totaltraveltime(h) 824.6 1,037.5 1,524.1 876.4 953.4
Averagedelaypervehicle(s) 65.8 120.6 325.1 74.1 85.4
Table 2: Key network statistics for the Saturday peak Do Something modelling compared to the Do Minimum
In the Saturday peak, the mitigation measures in the Do Something model result in a significant
reduction in delays on the network when compared to the Do Minimum and the grid-lock situation
is prevented. However, congestion above that expected in 2016 remains in the town centre owing
to the increased traffic volumes from the AAP.
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Bournemouth Town Centre mitigation schemes
The Bournemouth Town Centre VISSIM model was used to assess the impact of
predicted traffic growth generated by the developments specified in the Area Action
Plan.
The assessments were conducted using a Do Minimum model network for the three
development phases: 2016; 2021; and 2026. The model incorporated committed
schemes which have been incorporated into recent planning applications and the
Exeter Road Traffic Study produced by Waterman Civils for Bournemouth Borough
Council in 2007.
Throughout the modelling of the peak periods and assessment years, several
junctions in the town centre network were repeatedly identified as having limited
spare capacity to cope with the additional traffic generated by the AAP sites.
A set of potential mitigation schemes were then identified and incorporated into a Do
Something model and the assessments were re-run. Whilst these measures
resolved most of the issues, possible further potential mitigation measures have
been identified which may resolve the remaining issues.
Both sets of potential mitigation measures are described below. These are purely
intended to represent opportunities for increasing capacity at key bottlenecks in the
highway network. No design has been undertaken for these schemes and there may
be potential constraints to the schemes which have not been identified. Alternative
schemes may be more suitable and cost-effective and any mitigation measure
should only be implemented after full preliminary and detailed design procedures
including safety auditing and the allocation of a CDM coordinator.
Indicative cost estimates are based on infrastructure costs for previous examples of
similar works and have factored up, using the appropriate indices, any previously
approved schemes that have been incorporated into the VISSIM model. Costs also
include estimates for design and staffing. However, they do not include the cost of
land take or the relocation of utility company plants or equipment.
The results of the modelling exercise and the recommendations made thereafter are
valid for the assumptions made within the current Area Action Plan as outlined in the
Bournemouth Town Centre AAP Appraisal - VISSIM Assessment Final Report. It is
possible that the type, scale and implementation date of developments within
Bournemouth Town Centre may change and that planning applications for future
schemes may propose alternative solutions for highway mitigation. Any such
changes to the highway network or the AAP development strategy would need to be
incorporated into the VISSIM model for future assessment.
The indicative scheme designs (where applicable) and location photos are included
in the drawings appendix.
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1. Bournemouth West roundabout
Potential for improvement
Re-assign lane movements on westbound arm of Wessex Way to allow straight-
ahead movements on both lanes. The additional development traffic generated by
the AAP will intensify the queuing already noted at the junction.
The scheme will increase capacity on Wessex Way and therefore reduce delay along
the A35 corridor.
Scheme extent
It is assumed that the scheme would be provided within the existing highway land.
Issues
The suggested scheme would be a reversal of an earlier lane reassignment which
was intended to limit issues with merging vehicles on the western side of the
roundabout. Any future design of the scheme will require a full safety audit.
Indicative cost
6,800 - 11,000.
Phasing
The scheme will help to resolve existing low level issues of queuing on the
westbound arm of Wessex Way which will be intensified with the additional
development traffic and background growth. The scheme should be implemented in
2016.
2. Exeter Road/ Cranborne Road/ Exeter Crescent
Potential for improvement
The scheme to signalise the priority junction on Exeter Road and was submitted
within the mitigation measures for the Licet development. The signals would be
linked to those at the junction of Exeter Road/ Terrace Road/ Gervis Place.
The scheme is intended to mitigate for the large volume of additional trips turning
entering and exiting from Exeter Crescent.
Scheme extent
The scheme is provided within the existing highway boundary and no land take is
required.
Issues
Potential issues are unknown at this stage.
Indicative cost
Outline costs provided for the scheme are identified by Bournemouth Borough
Council as being 525,125.
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Phasing
The phasing of the scheme is dependent on the redevelopment of the NCP car park
in line with the consented planning application. At present, that is scheduled for
implementation by 2016.
3. BIC Roundabout
Potential for improvement
The scheme will convert the existing junction of Bath Road/ Exeter Road/ Priory road
from a priority roundabout to a signalised crossroads. Bath Road is widened to
provide two lane carriageway in each direction between the junction and South Cliff
Road. The scheme was identified in the Exeter Road Traffic Study.
The recent modelling has attempted to improve capacity within the junction through
the rationalisation of signalised pedestrian crossings. Revised designs should seek to
incorporate staggered crossings at the junction.
Scheme extent
The scheme will require land take on Bath Road between the junction and South Cliff
Road. This is only likely to be feasible along the southern kerb line.
Issues
Potential issues are unknown at this stage.
Indicative cost
Outline costs provided for the scheme are identified by Bournemouth Borough
Council as being 233,400.
Phasing
The implementation of the scheme was considered within the Exeter Road Traffic
Study to be necessary for mitigating the cumulative effect of the potential
development schemes at Licet, Bath Road and Winter Gardens. These schemes are
currently scheduled to be implemented by 2016.
4. Bath Road
Potential for improvement
The redevelopment of Pavilion Gardens will result in the closure of the existing car
parks on Bath Road. A new, larger public car park will be provided within the
development with access and egress on the northern kerb of Bath Road.
The redevelopment on the site plus the amalgamated car park will result in a higher
level of turning movements into and out of the access than that seen in the existing
situation. The planning application for the development produced a design for the
addition of a fully signalised four-arm junction in mitigation for the developments
effect on the volume of traffic. The Exeter Road Traffic Study amended this design to
incorporate an additional lane on the westbound arm of Bath Road which required
carriageway widening and land take on both sides of Bath Road. The design
removed the existing pelican crossing to the north of the proposed junction. The
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assessment of the Do Minimum scenario saw extensive queuing in both directions on
Bath Road as a result of the proposed junction.
In order to increase the junction capacity, the Do Something modelling included a
recommendation that the existing Bath Road pelican crossing is reinstated and that
the pedestrian facilities at the junction are removed. The assessment using the Do
Something model showed that this recommendation would significantly increase
capacity on Bath Road and prevent the queuing from blocking back to upstream
junctions.
Scheme extent
The extent of the scheme is dependent on the proposed redevelopment of Pavilion
Gardens. To provide the scheme identified within the Exeter Road Traffic Study
would require some land take on either side of Bath Road.
Issues
The proposed site access is located in the vicinity of the existing Council owned car
parks. However, any scheme design should seek to negate any requirement to widen
the carriageway on the Bath Road flyover located to the east of the development site.
Indicative cost
Outline costs provided for this scheme (and inclusive of the mitigation Schemes 5
and 6) are identified by Bournemouth Borough Council as being 291,750.
Phasing
It will be necessary to implement the scheme to mitigate the effect of the Pavilion
Garden development which is scheduled by 2016.
5. Bath Road/ Westover Road/ Hinton Road
Potential for improvement
The scheme, proposed within the Exeter Road Traffic study, removes the Bath Road
roundabout and realigns Hinton Road to create a priority junction with Bath Road.
This is the scheme retained in both the Do Minimum and Do Something model
assessments.
Scheme extent
The scheme would require some land take for the re-alignment of Hinton Road.
Issues
Potential issues are unknown at this stage.
Indicative cost
Costs are included in that identified for Scheme 4 above.
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Phasing
The scheme is identified in the Exeter Road Traffic Study as being necessary for the
mitigation of impacts associated with the committed developments schemes
scheduled for 2016.
6. Bath Road/ Upper Hinton Road/ Russell Cotes Road
Potential for improvement
The scheme, proposed within the Exeter Road Traffic study, provides full
signalisation to the junction of Bath Road/ Upper Hinton Road and Russell Cotes
Road including controlled pedestrian crossings.
The Do Minimum modelling suggests that the scheme will reduce capacity on Bath
Road through restricting continual traffic flow by allowing an all round pedestrian
stage. Queuing back in both directions on Bath Road affected upstream junctions in
the 2021 Saturday peak.
The pedestrian stages were removed from the Do Something modelling assessments
to reduce the delays and queuing.
Scheme extent
The scheme is provided within the existing highway boundary and no land take is
required.
Issues
Potential issues are unknown at this stage.
Indicative cost
Costs are included in that identified for Scheme 4 above.
Phasing
The scheme is identified in the Exeter Road Traffic Study as being necessary for the
mitigation of impacts associated with the committed developments schemes
scheduled for 2016.
7. Lansdowne Roundabout
Potential for improvement
The modelling predicts that the additional traffic generated by the AAP developments
and background growth in 2026 will result in queuing on the northbound Bath Road
approach to the Lansdowne roundabout. Bath Road currently has a one lane entry
onto the roundabout which limits the stop line capacity. Therefore left-turning vehicles
to Lansdowne Road and Old Christchurch Road queue in the same lane as the
ahead movement.
The capacity is further hampered by the downstream bottlenecks on Holdenhurst
Road (Scheme 8) and at Station roundabout (Scheme 9).
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There may also be a requirement to increase carriageway width on the Holdenhurst
Road exit to allow for vehicles from the two lanes to merge.
Circulatory carriageway markings would need to be considered.
Scheme extent
Land take will be required on Bath Road to allow for the carriageway widening.
Building lines on both sides are sufficiently far from the highway.
Issues
The scheme may result in the narrowing of footway on both Bath Road. The gradient
of Old Christchurch Road would have to be considered when designing a widened
entry on Bath Road.
Indicative cost
22,000 - 33,000
Phasing
The scheme should be considered alongside works at Station roundabout and
Holdenhurst Road for implementation in 2026 when the modelling indicated the
additional demand generated by the AAP developments will result in significant
congestion along the corridor.
8. Holdenhurst Road
Potential for improvement
The modelling predicts by 2026 the cumulative traffic growth generated by the AAP
developments and background growth will create substantial queuing at Station
roundabout. Much of the traffic generated in the PM peak will be attempting to leave
the town centre via Station roundabout and will be routed though Holdenhurst Road.
Holdenhurst Road provides three lanes for approximately 60m on the approach to
Station roundabout. However, for the preceding 200m it is limited to one lane due to
on-street parking and taxi ranks.
It is suggested that to increase the link capacity on the eastbound arm of Holdenhurst
Road, parking and loading restrictions are introduced to prevent use in peak times.
Any scheme would also require the widening of the existing pelican crossing to the
north of the Coltlands Road junction.
Scheme extent
Any future design should seek to restrict the scheme within the highway boundary.
Footway widths appear to be sufficiently wide for the potential to include half-inset
taxi bays.
Issues
Potential issues are unknown at this stage.
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Indicative cost
20,000 - 31,000
Phasing
The scheme should be identified for implementation in 2026 along with the
improvements at the Lansdowne and Station roundabout.
9. Station Roundabout
Potential for improvement
The modelling predicts that the additional traffic generated by the AAP developments
and background growth in 2026 will result in substantial delays at Station
roundabout.
The size of the roundabout would lend itself to signalisation which can regulate the
traffic flows on all arms rather than the existing situation where certain movements
are dominant.
Scheme extent
The scheme should be designed to fit within the confines of the highway land and
land take should not be necessary.
Issues
The roundabout is constructed on a structure which provided underpass pedestrian
crossing facilities. This constraint means that carriageway widening is not feasible.
Indicative cost
200,000 - 300,000
Phasing
The modelling shows that the network will experience significant congestion at
Station roundabout in 2026 once the full cumulative impact of the AAP sites is
observed. The congestion will result in substantial additional delays throughout the
eastern section of the town centre.
It is therefore considered necessary that the scheme is phased for implementation by
2026.
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Mitigation Measure Location Drawings
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Mitigation Measure overview
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1. Bournemouth West roundabout
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2. Exeter Road/ Cranborne Road/ Exeter Crescent
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3. BIC Roundabout
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4. Bath Road
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5. Bath Road/ Westover Road/ Hinton Road and 6. Bath Road/ Upper Hinton Road/ Russell Cotes Road
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7. Lansdowne Roundabout
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8. Holdenhurst Road
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9. Station Roundabout
As the South East Dorset Multi-Modal Transport
Study (SEDMMTS) Final Report has yet to be
formally agreed by all the parties the document is
not available to the public.
It is anticipated that the document will be made
available to the public in early October.