World Harvested Area

Oilseeds 1979/80 - 1999/00 Grains

180 740
Million hectares
170 720

160 700

150 680
grains

140 660
oilseeds

130 640

120 620
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

World Production
Oilseeds 1979/80 - 1999/00 Grains
400 1,900

Million tons grains

350 1,800

300 1,700

250 1,600

200 1,500
oilseeds

150 1,400

100 1,300
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 United States' Grains Area Down, Oilseeds Up
Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains
Area breaks record set 50 80
in 1979/80 due to
favorable soybean Million hectares
45 75
loan rate
Area trending higher
for soybeans, 40 70
sunflowerseed and
rapeseed
35 65
Grains
Total-grain area down
for third year due to 30 60
continued weak prices grains
oilseeds
Wheat lowest level
25 55
since 1988/89; barley
lowest on record
Corn at 5-year average 20 50
level 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

United States' Grains and Oilseeds Output Lower

Oilseeds
Oilseeds Grains
Output down slightly 90 450
because of lower Million tons
average yield
80 400
Soybean yield hurt by oilseeds
regional weather
problems in the east 70 350
and south
grains
Grains 60 300
Total-grain output
slightly lower
50 250
Wheat output lower as
reduced area offsets
near-record yield 40 200
Corn output down,
third largest 30 150
production and 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
second highest yield

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 EU's Oilseeds Area Grow, Grains Decrease

Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains

Rapeseed area 10 44
continues trend higher Million hectares
on strong demand
Third consecutive 8 42
overshoot of
Maximum Guaranteed
Area expected for 6 40
1999/2000, though
final data not yet
grains
available 4 38
Grains
Area falls for second oilseeds
year 2 36
Weather difficulties,
weaker prices, and
increased set-aside 0 34
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
pressure area

EU's Grains Output Decline, Oilseeds at Record

Oilseeds
Grains
20 225
Oilseeds
Production trends Million tons
higher, record level
Rapeseed yield 15 200
pushes to new lofty
record
Grains grains
Total-grain upward 10 175
trend output trimmed
Wheat yield down from
last season's record oilseeds
5 150
level
Decrease in barley
more than offsets an
increase in corn 0 125
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 Argentina's Oilseeds Area Drop, Grains Rise
Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains

Area forecast to be 14 14
near last year's record Million hectares
Soybean area helped 12 12
by recent improvement
in soybean/corn price
ratio 10 10
Sunflowerseed area
grains
down 8 8
Grains
Area expands as
producers attempt to 6 6
maximize income oilseeds
Wheat area increase 4 4
13 percent
Corn up, taking some
2 2
sunflowerseed area 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

Argentina's Oilseeds Output Down, Grains Higher

Oilseeds Grains
Oilseeds 30 45
Production down
slightly following Million tons
record last year 25 40
Soybean yield below
1997/98 record 20 35
Sunflowerseed output oilseeds
down following record
area last year 15 30
grains
Grains
Output up due to 10 25
higher area
Wheat output higher,
5 20
second highest yield
Corn yield off 1997/98
spike, but still strong 0 15
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
and above last season

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 Brazil's Oilseeds Area Stable, Grains Decrease
Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains
Area forecast down 18 26
marginally Million hectares
Recent increase in
soybean/corn price 16 24
ratio could result in
area being near last
year's level 14 22
Grains
Long-term area
decline 12 20
Wheat continues to
grains
decline, while corn oilseeds
increases 10 18
Devaluation of Real,
access to credit, and
rural debt major 8 16
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
concerns

Brazil's Oilseeds Output Decline, Grains Rise

Oilseeds Grains
Oilseeds 35 49
Production down after
record yield in 1997/98 Million tons
Soybean production
down on lower area 28 42
Cottonseed yield rises
as production shifts to grains
Center-West
21 35
Grains
Output expands due to
higher corn yield oilseeds
Wheat down, yield at 14 28
average level
Rice retreats from
record level
7 21
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 China's Grains Area Stable, Oilseeds Increase
Oilseeds Grains
Oilseeds
Area trending upward 26 96
again after drop in Million hectares
1996/97
Soybean area declines 24 93
as imports increase
Rapeseed and peanut
areas at record levels 22 90
grains
Grains
Area declines
marginally 20 87
Corn at record level
due to demand and oilseeds
support prices 18 84
Wheat declines due to
dry weather
16 81
Rice nearly unchanged 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

China's Grains and Oilseeds Output at Record

Oilseeds Grains
Oilseeds
Production sets a new 50 450
record Million tons
Peanut and rapeseed
output higher 40 400
Soybean area and
yield decline grains
Grains
30 350
oilseeds
Total-grain output at
record level
20 300
Corn down from last
year's record, but
second highest
10 250
Wheat at second
highest output
Rice at record level 0 200
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 FSU Grains Area Slide, Oilseeds at Record
Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains
Area jumps on strong 13 130
demand for rapeseed
Million hectares
and sunflowerseed
12 120
Cottonseed steady
after decline earlier in
the decade 11 110
Grains
Area continues to drop 10 100
due to unfavorable
weather and land
diversion 9 90
Feed demand falls as oilseeds
livestock and poultry 8 80
numbers decline grains
Russia's wheat down
due to drought at 7 70
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
planting

FSU Grains Output Up Slightly, Oilseeds Recover

Oilseeds Oilseeds Grains
Production rebounds 16 225
following decline Million tons
earlier in the decade
200
Sunflowerseed higher 14
despite low yield
Grains 175
Total-grain output 12
slightly above last
150
year's poor level oilseeds
Russian and 10
Kazakstan wheat 125
rebound
Russia and Ukraine 8
100
yield still constrained grains
by variable weather
and economic 6 75
dificulties 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 India's Grains Area Climb, Oilseeds Decrease

Oilseeds Grains
Oilseeds
36 112
Area down from the
Million hectares
record set last year
Lower tariff reduces 32
domestic prices and 108
incentive to plant
Soybean area more 28
than triples in 10 years
Grains 104
Area starting to trend 24
grains
higher
Wheat and rice at 100
record level 20
oilseeds
Coarse grains decline
over long-term
16 96
1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

India's Grains Production Record, Oilseeds Lower

Oilseed Oilseeds Grains
Drought in western 30 200
growing areas reduces
Million tons
crops' prospects
Peanut yield forecast 25 175
lowest in 14 years grains
Soybean output down
marginally 20 150
Grain
Production at record
level 15 125

Wheat and rice at oilseeds

record owing to larger
10 100
yield and area
Coarse grains lower as
monsoon is irregular,
5 75
although "normal" 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA
 Canada's Oilseeds Area Record, Grains Lower
Grains
Oilseeds Oilseeds
Area trending higher, 8 24
recent volatility Million hectares
Strong prices relative
to grains induces
6 22
record oilseed area
Soybean sunflower
and rapeseed areas all
at high levels 4 20
Grains
Weak durum wheat
prices pressures area oilseeds
2 18
Wheat and barley also
decreases due to grains
rotation, wet weather
at planting, and
0 16
relatively stronger 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00
rapeseed prices

Canada's Oilseeds Output Record, Grains Higher

Oilseeds
Oilseeds Grains
Output increase 12 70
encouraged by greater
Million tons
crush capacity
Rapeseed benefits 10 60
from favorable
moisture, despite
planting difficulties 8 50
Grains grains

Total-grain output up
due to favorable late 6 40
season weather
Wheat recovers from
late planting, barley 4 30
oilseeds
benefits from
favorable weather
2 20
Oats and corn lower 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USDA