Portfolio management is a process of encompassing many activities of
investment assets and securities. It is a dynamic and flexible concept and involves regular and systematic analysis, judgment, and action. A combination of securities held together will give a beneficial result if they grouped in a manner to secure higher returns after taking into consideration the risk elements. The main objective of the Portfolio management is to help the investors to make wise choice between alternate investments without a post trading shares. Any portfolio management must specify the objectives like aximum returns, !ptimum "eturns, #apital appreciation, $afety etc., in the same prospectus. This service renders optimum returns to the investors by proper selection and continuous shifting of portfolio from one scheme to another scheme of from one plan to another plan within the same scheme. The study gives the returns offered by the companies of various securities are compared and conclusions are brought out which produces large and better portfolio combinations for the investors. Page % of &' CONTENTS Chapter No. Name of the concept Page No. I Introduction (eed of the study !bjectives of the study $cope of the study ethodology of the study )imitations of the study II "eview of )iterature III Industry Profile I* #ompany Profile * +ata analysis and interpretation *I ,indings, $uggestions and #onclusion *II -ibliography Page . of &' CHAPTER I - INTRODUCTION Page / of &' INTRODUCTION Portfolios are combinations of assets held by the investors. These combinations may be of various asset classes like e0uity and debt and of different issuers like 1overnment bond and corporate debt or of various instruments like discount bonds, warrants, debentures and -lue chip e0uity or scrip2s of emerging blue chip companies. The traditional Portfolio Theory aims at the selection of such securities that would fit in well with the asset preferences, need and choice of investor. odern Portfolio Theory postulates that maximi3ation of return and or minimi3ation of risk will yield optimal returns and choice and attitudes of investors are only a starting point for investment decision and that vigorous risk4return analysis is necessary for optimi3ation of returns. The return on portfolio is weighted average of returns of individual stocks and the weights are proportional to each stock2s percentages in the total portfolio. Portfolio analysis includes portfolio construction, and performance of portfolio. All these are part of the subject of portfolio anagement which is a dynamic concept, subject to daily and hourly changes based on information flows, money flows and economic and non4economic forces operating in the country on the markets and securities Page ' of &' NEED OF THE STUDY 5mergence of institutional investing on behalf of individuals. A number of financial institutions, mutual funds and other agencies are undertaking the task of investing money of small investors, on their behalf. 1rowth in the number and si3e of ingestible funds 6 a large part of household savings is being directed towards financial assets. Increased market volatility 6 risk and return parameters of financial assets are continuously changing because of fre0uent changes in government7s industrial and fiscal policies, economic uncertainty and instability. 1reater use of computers for processing mass of data. O!ECTI"ES OF THE STUDY To understand how Portfolio anagement is done. To analy3e the risk return characteristics of sample scripts. To calculate the correlation between different stocks. Ascertain portfolio weights. To compute the portfolio returns and portfolio risks. To construct an effective portfolio which offers maximum return for minimum risks Page 8 of &' SCOPE OF THE STUDY The study covers the calculation of correlations between the different securities in order to find out at what percentage funds should be invested among the companies in the portfolio. Also the study includes the calculation of individual $tandard +eviation of securities and ends at the calculation of weights of individual securities involved in the portfolio. These percentages help in allocating the funds available for investment based on risky portfolios. METHODO#O$Y "esearch design or research methodology is the procedure of collecting, analy3ing and interpreting the data to diagnose the problem and react to the opportunity in such a way where the costs can be minimi3ed and the desired level of accuracy can be achieved to arrive at a particular conclusion. $!9"#5$ !, +ATA #!))5#TI!(: The methodology adopted or employed in this study was ostly on secondary data collection i.e.., #ompanies Annual "eports Information from Internet Publications Information provided by Inter #onnected $tock 5xchange. Page ; of &' Period of study:
,or different companies, financial data has been collected from the year .<<=4.<%.. $election of #ompanies: #ompanies selected for analysis are $AI# HU# CIP#A AIRTE# D#F #IMITATIONS #onstruction of Portfolio is restricted to two companies based on arkowit3 model. *ery few and randomly selected scripts > companies are analy3ed from -$5 )istings. +ata collection was strictly confined to secondary source. (o primary data is associated with the project. +etailed study of the topic was not possible due to limited si3e of the project. Page ? of &' CHAPTER II - RE"IE% OF #ITERATURE Page = of &' PORTFO#IO MANA$EMENT & ITS PHASES
P!"T,!)I! A(A155(T I$ a process encompassing many activities aimed at optimi3ing investment of funds, each phase is an integral part of the whole process and the success of portfolio management depends upon the efficiency in carrying out each phase. ,ive phases can be identified:4 %. $ecurity analysis .. Portfolio analysis /. Portfolio selection '. Portfolio revision 8. Portfolio evaluation SECURITY ANA#YSIS: It refers to the analysis of trading securities from the point of view of their prices, return, and risk. All investment is risky and the expected return is related to risk. The securities available to an investor for investment are numerous and of various types. The shares of over more than ?<<< are listed in stock exchanges of the country. $ecurities classified into ownership securities such as e0uity shares and preference shares and debentures and bonds. "ecently ,a number of new securities such as convertible debentures and deep discount bonds, 3ero coupon bonds, ,lexi bonds, ,loating rate bonds 1+"s 5uro currency bonds etc@, are issued to raise funds for their projects by companies from which investor has to choose those securities the is worthwhile to be included in his investment portfolio. This calls for detailed analysis of the available securities.
$ecurity analysis is the initial phase of the portfolio management process. It examines the risk return characteristics of individual securities. A basic strategy in securities investment is to buy under priced securities and sell over priced securities. -ut the problem is how to identify such securities in other words mispriced securities. This is what security analysis is all about. Page & of &' PORTFO#IO RE"ISION The portfolio which is once selected has to be continuously reviewed over a period of time and then revised depending on the objectives of the investor. The care taken in construction of portfolio should be extended to the review and revision of the portfolio. ,luctuations that occur in the e0uity prices cause substantial gain or loss to the investors. The investor should have competence and skill in the revision of the portfolio. The portfolio management process needs fre0uent changes in the composition of stocks and bonds. In securities, the type of securities to be held should be revised according to the portfolio policy. An investor purchases stock according to his objectives and return risk framework. The prices of stock that he purchases fluctuate, each stock having its own cycle of fluctuations. These price fluctuations may be related to economic activity in a country or due to other changed circumstances in the market.
If an investor is able to forecast these changes by developing a framework for the future through careful analysis of the behaviour and movement of stock prices is in a position to make higher profit than if he was to simply buy securities and hold them through the process of diversification. echanical methods are adopted to earn better profit through proper timing. The investor uses formula plans to help him in making decisions for the. future by exploiting the fluctuations in prices
Page %< of &' E"A#UATION OF PORTFO#IO Portfolio manager evaluates his portfolio performance and identifies the sources of strengths and weakness. The evaluation of the portfolio provides a feed back about the performance to evolve better management strategy. 5ven though evaluation of portfolio performance is considered to be the last stage of investment process, it is a continuous process. There are number of situations in which an evaluation becomes necessary and important. '. Se(f "a()at'on: An individual may want to evaluate how well he has done. This is a part of the process of refining his skills and improving his performance over a period of time. ''. E*a()at'on of Manager+: A mutual fund or similar organi3ation might want to evaluate its managers. A mutual fund may have several managers each running a separate fund or sub4fund. It is often necessary to compare the performance of these managers. '''. E*a()at'on of M)t)a( F)n,+: An investor may want to evaluate the various mutual funds operating in the country to decide which, if any, of these should be chosen for investment. A similar need arises in the case of individuals or organi3ations who engage external agencies for portfolio advisory services. '*. E*a()at'on of $ro)p+: have different skills or access to different information. Academics or researchers may want to evaluate the performance of a whole group of investors and compare it with another group of investors who use different techni0ues . Page %% of &' NEED FOR E"A#UATION OF PORTFO#IO-
Ae can try to evaluate every transaction. Ahenever a security is brought or sold, we can attempt to assess whether the decision was correct and profitable. Ae can try to evaluate the performance of a specific security in the portfolio to determine whether it has been worthwhile to include it in our portfolio. Ae can try to evaluate the performance of portfolio as a whole during the period without examining the performance of individual securities within the portfolio. PORTFO#IO THEORIES MAR.O%IT/ MODE#- arkowit3 model is a theoretical framework for analysis of risk and return and their relationships. Be used statistical analysis for the measurement of risk and mathematical programming for selection of assets in a portfolio in an efficient manner. arkowit3 apporach determines for the investor the efficient set of portfolio through three important variables i.e. "eturn $tandard deviation #o4efficient of correlation arkowit3 model is also called as a C,ull #ovariance odelC. Through this model the investor can find out the efficient set of portfolio by finding out the trade off between risk and return, between the limits of 3ero and infinity. According to this Page %. of &' theory, the effects of one security purchase over the effects of the other security purchase are taken into consideration and then the results are evaluated. ost people agree that holding two stocks is less risky than holding one stock. ,or example, holding stocks from textile, banking and electronic companies is better than investing all the money on the textile company7s stock.
arkowit3 had given up the single stock portfolio and introduced diversification. The single stock portfolio would be preferable if the investor is perfectly certain that his expectation of highest return would turn out to be real. In the world of uncertainty, most of the risk adverse investors would like to join arkowit3 rather than keeping a single stock, because diversification reduces the risk. ASSUMPTIONS- All investors would like to earn the maximum rate of return that they can achieve from their investments. All investors have the same expected single period investment hori3on. All investors before making any investments have a common goal. This is the avoidance of risk because Investors are risk4averse. Investors base their investment decisions on the expected return and standard deviation of returns from a possible investment. Perfect markets are assumed De.g. no taxes and no transaction costsE The investor assumes that greater or larger the return that he achieves on his investments, the higher the risk factor surrounds him. !n the contrary when risks are low the return can also be expected to be low. The investor can reduce his risk if he adds investments to his portfolio. Page %/ of &' An investor should be able to get higher return for each level of risk Cby determining the efficient set of securitiesC. An individual seller or buyer cannot affect the price of a stock. This assumption is the basic assumption of the perfectly competitive market. Investors make their decisions only on the basis of the expected returns, standard deviation and covariance2s of all pairs of securities. Investors are assumed to have homogenous expectations during the decision4 making period. The investor can lend or borrow any amount of funds at the risk less rate of interest. The risk less rate of interest is the rate of interest offered for the treasury bills or 1overnment securities. Investors are risk4averse, so when given a choice between two otherwise identical portfolios, they will choose the one with the lower standard deviation. Individual assets are infinitely divisible, meaning that an investor can buy a fraction of a share if he or she so desires. There is a risk free rate at which an investor may either lend Di.e. investE money or borrow money. There is no transaction cost i.e. no cost involved in buying and selling of stocks. There is no personal income tax. Bence, the investor is indifferent to the form of return either capital gain or dividend. Page %' of &' THE EFFECT OF COMININ$ T%O SECURITIES-
It is believed that holding two securities is less risky than by having only one investment in a person7s portfolio. Ahen two stocks are taken on a portfolio and if they have negative correlation then risk can be completely reduced because the gain on one can offset the loss on the other. This can be shown with the help of following example: INTER- ACTI"E RIS. THROU$H CO"ARIANCE- #ovariance of the securities will help in finding out the inter4active risk. Ahen the covariance will be positive then the rates of return of securities move together either upwards or downwards. Alternatively it can also be said that the inter4active risk is positive. $econdly, covariance will be 3ero on two investments if the rates of return are independent. Bolding two securities may reduce the portfolio risk too. The portfolio risk can be calculated with the help of the following formula: CAPITA# ASSET PRICIN$ MODE# 0CAPM1- arkowit3, Ailliam $harpe, Fohn )intner and Fan ossin provided the basic structure of #apital Asset Pricing odel. It is a model of linear general e0uilibrium return. In the #AP theory, the re0uired rate return of an asset is having a linear relationship with asset7s beta value i.e. undiversifiable or systematic risk Di.e. market related riskE because non market risk can be eliminated by diversification and systematic risk measured by beta. Therefore, the relationship between an assets return and its systematic risk can be expressed by the #AP, which is also called the $ecurity arket )ine. Page %8 of &' "p G "f HfI "mD%4 HfE "p G Portfolio return Hf G The proportion of funds invested in risk free assets %4 Hf G The proportion of funds invested in risky assets "f G "isk free rate of return "m G "eturn on risky assets ,ormula can be used to calculate the expected returns for different situations, like mixing risk less assets with risky assets, investing only in the risky asset and mixing the borrowing with risky assets. THE CONCEPT According to #AP, all investors hold only the market portfolio and risk less securities. The market portfolio is a portfolio comprised of all stocks in the market. 5ach asset is held in proportion to its market value to the total value of all risky assets. THE SHARPE2S INDE3 MODE#- The investor always like to purchase a combination of stock that provides the highest return and has lowest risk. Be wants to maintain a satisfactory reward to risk ratio traditionally analysis paid more attention to the return aspects of the stocks. (ow a day2s risk has received increased attention and analysts are providing estimates of risk as well as return. $harp has developed a simplified model to analy3e the portfolio. Be assumed that the return of a security is linearly related to a single index like to market index. $trictly speaking the market index should consist of all the securities trading on the exchange.In the absence of it, a popular index can be treated as a surrogate for the market index.$harpe has provided a model for the selection of appropriate securities in a portfolio. Page %; of &' The selection of any stock is directly related to its excess return 6 beta ratio "i 6"f>ai Ahere "i G the expected return on stock i "f G the return on a risk less asset Ai G the expected change in the rate of return on stock I associatd with one unit change in the market return
SIN$#E INDE3 MODE#- #ausal observation of the stock prices over a period of time reveals that most of the stock process move with the market index. Ahen sensex increases, stock prices also tend to increase and vice versa. This indicates that some underlying factor affect the market index as well as the stock prices. $tock prices are related to the market index and this relationship could be used to estimate the return on stock. Towards the purpose, the following e0uation can be used: "i G aIa i"mIei Ahere "Gexpected return on security i a G intercept of the straight line or alpha co4efficient ai G slope of straight line or beta co4efficient "m G the rate of return on market index ei G error term with a mean of 3ero J a std.dev. Ahich is a constantK Page %? of &' ARITRA$E PRICIN$ THEORY According to this theory the returns of the securities are influenced by a number of macroeconomic factors such as growth rate of industrial production rate of inflation, spread between low4grade and high grade bonds. The )aw of !ne Price: The foundation for Apt is the law of one price. The law of one price states that two identical goods should sell at the same price. If they sold at different prices anyone could engage in arbitrage by simultaneously buying at low prices and selling at the high prices and make a risk less profit. Arbitrage also applies to financial assets. If two financial assets have the same risk, they should have the same expected return. If they do not have the same expected return, a riskless profit could be earned by simultaneously issuingDor selling shortE at the low return and buying the high4return asset. Arbitrage causes prices to be revised as suggested by the law of one price. The arbitrage pricing line for one risk factor can be written as: rG L<I LIMi Ahere N is the expected return on the security i L< is the return on the 3ero beta portfolio LI is the factor risk premium Mi is the sensitivity of the ith asset to the risk factor Two factor Arbitrage pricing: The Two4factor model describes the return of i th security as follows NG L<I LIM%iI L.Mi. Ahere L. is the risk premium associated with risk factor. Mi. is the factor beta coefficient for factor . and the factor % J. are uncorrelated Page %= of &' RESEARCH D5.g. $ecurity AnalysisE PORTFO#IO MANA$ERS OPERATIONS D5.g. buying and $elling of $ecuritiesE C#IENTS PORTFO#IO MANA$EMENT A portfolio is a collection of assets. The assets may be physical or financial like $hares, -onds, +ebentures, Preference $hares, etc. The individual investor or a fund manager would not like to put all his money in the shares of one company that would amount to great risk. Be would therefore, follow the age old maxim that one should not put all the eggs into one basket. -y doing so, he can achieve objective to maximi3e portfolio return and at the same time minimi3ing the portfolio risk by diversification. Portfolio management is the management of various financial assets which comprise the portfolio. Portfolio management is a decision 6 support system that is designed with a view to meet the multi4faced needs of investors. According to $ecurities and 5xchange -oard of India Portfolio anager is defined as: CPortfolio means the total holdings of securities belonging to any personO. STRUCTURE 4 PROCESS OF TYPICA# PORTFO#IO MANA$EMENT In the small firm, the portfolio manager performs the job of security analyst. In the case of medium and large si3ed organi3ations, job function of portfolio manager and security analyst are separate. Page %& of &' CHARACTERISTICS OF PORTFO#IO MANA$EMENT- Individuals will benefit immensely by taking portfolio management services for the following reasons: Ahatever may be the status of the capital market, over the long period capital markets have given an excellent return when compared to other forms of investment. The return from bank deposits, units, etc., is much less than from the stock market. The Indian $tock arkets are very complicated. Though there are thousands of companies that are listed only a few hundred which have the necessary li0uidity. 5ven among these, only some have the growth prospects which are conducive for investment. It is impossible for any individual wishing to invest and sit down and analy3e all these intricacies of the market unless he does nothing else. 5ven if an investor is able to understand the intricacies of the market and separate from the grain the trading practices in India are so complicated that it is really a difficult task for an investor to trade in all the major exchanges of India, look after his deliveries and payments Page .< of &' Proce++ of Portfo('o Management-
The Portfolio Program and Asset anagement Program both follow a disciplined process to establish and monitor an optimal investment mix. This six4 stage process helps ensure that the investments match investor2s uni0ue needs, both now and in the future.
Page .% of &' 5. IDENTIFY $OA#S AND O!ECTI"ES- Ahen will you need the money from your investmentsK Ahat are you saving your money forK Aith the assistance of financial advisor, the Investment Profile Puestionnaire will guide through a series of 0uestions to help identify the goals and objectives for the investments. 6. DETERMINE OPTIMA# IN"ESTMENT MI3- !nce the Investment Profile Puestionnaire is completed, investor2s optimal investment mix or asset allocation will be determined. An asset allocation represents the mix of investments Dcash, fixed income and e0uitiesE that match individual risk and return needs. This step represents one of the most important decisions in your portfolio construction, as asset allocation has been found to be the major determinant of long4term portfolio performance. 7. CREATE A CUSTOMI/ED IN"ESTMENT PO#ICY STATEMENT- Ahen the optimal investment mix is determined, the next step is to formali3e our goals and objectives in order to utili3e them as a benchmark to monitor progress and future updates. 8. SE#ECT IN"ESTMENTS- The customi3ed portfolio is created using an allocation of select P, ,unds. 5ach P, ,und is designed to satisfy the re0uirements of a specific asset class, and is selected in the necessary proportion to match the optimal investment mix. 9 MONITOR PRO$RESS- -uilding an optimal investment mix is only part of the process. It is e0ually important to maintain the optimal mix when varying market conditions cause investment mix to drift away from its target. To ensure that mix of asset classes stays in line with investor2s uni0ue needs, the portfolio will be monitored and rebalanced back to the optimal investment mix Page .. of &' :. REASSESS NEEDS AND $OA#S- Fust as markets shift, so do the goals and objectives of investors. Aith the flexibility of the Portfolio Program and Asset anagement Program, when the investor2s needs or other life circumstances change, the portfolio has the flexibility to accommodate such changes. F)nct'on+ of Portfo('o Manger+- A,*'+or; ro(e- Advice new investments, review the existing ones, identification of objectives, recommending high yield securities etc. Con,)ct'ng mar<et an, econom'c +er*'ce- This is essential for recommending good yielding securities they have to study the current fiscal policy, budget proposalQ individual policies etc further portfolio manager should take in to account the credit policy, industrial growth, foreign exchange possible change in corporate law2s etc. F'nanc'a( ana(;+'+- Be should evaluate the financial statement of company in order to understand, their net worth future earnings, prospectus and strength. St),; of +toc< mar<et- Be should observe the trends at various stock exchange and analysis scripts so that he is able to identify the right securities for investment. St),; of 'n,)+tr;- Be should study industry to know its future prospects, technical changes etc, re0uired for investment proposal he should also see the problem2s of the industry. Page ./ of &' Dec',e the t;pe of portfo('o- Reeping in mind the objectives of portfolio a portfolio manager has to decide weather the portfolio should comprise e0uity preference shares, debenture, convertibles, non4convertibles or partly convertibles, money market, securities etc or a mix of more than one type of proper mix ensures higher safety, yield and li0uidity coupled with balanced risk techni0ues of portfolio management. A portfolio manager in the Indian context has been -rokers D-ig brokersE who on the basis of their experience, market trends, insider trader, helps the limited knowledge persons. "egistered merchant bankers can acts2 as portfolio managers. Investor2s must look forward, for 0ualification and performance and ability and research base of the portfolio manager2s RIS. Page .' of &' "isk is uncertainty of the income>capital appreciation or loss or both. All investment is risky. The higher the risk taken, the higher is the return. -ut proper management of risk involves the right choice of investment whose risks are compensating. The total risk involves the right choice of investment whose risks are compensating. The total risks of two of two companies may be different and even lower than the risk of a group of two companies if their companies are offset by each other. SOURCE OF IN"ESTMENT RIS.S- )+'ne++ r'+<- As a holder of corporate securities De0uity shares or debenturesE, you are exposed to the risk of poor business performance. This may be caused by a variety of factors like heightened competition. 5mergence of new technologies, development of substitute product, shifts in consumer preferences, inade0uate supply of essential inputs, changes in government al policies, and so on. Intere+t rate r'+<- The changes in interest rate have a bearing on the welfare on investors. As the interest rate goes up, the market price of existing firmed income securities falls, and vice versa. This happens because the buyer of a fixed income security would not buy it at its par values of face values its fixed interest rate is lower than the prevailing interest rate on a similar security. ,or example, a debenture that has face value of "$.%<< and a fixed rate of %.S will sell a discount if the interest rate moves up from, say %. S to %'S .Ahile the chances in interest rate have a direct bearing on the prices of fixed income securities, they affect e0uity prices. Too, albeit some what indirectly. Page .8 of &' F'nanc'a( R'+<- It refers to the variability of the income to the e0uity capital due to the debt capital. ,inancial risk in a company is associated with the capital structure of the company. #apital structure of the company consists of e0uity funds and borrowed funds. The t=o ma>or t;pe+ of r'+<+ are- T $ystematic or market related risk. T 9nsystematic or company related risks. $ystematic risk affected from the entire market is Dthe problems, raw material availability, tax policy or government policy, inflation risk, interest risk and financial riskE.It is managed by the use of -eta of different company shares. 9nsystematic risks are mismanagement, increasing inventory, wrong financial policy, defective marketing etc. this is diversifiable or avoidable because it is possible to eliminate or diversify away this component of risk to considerable extent by investing in large portfolio of securities. The unsystematic risk stems from inefficiency magnitude of those factors different form one company Page .; of &' -ased on the below pyramid diagram the type of risks will be described 5. S;+temat'c R'+<- $ystematic risk is caused by factors external to the particular company and uncontrollable by the company. The systematic risk affects the market as a whole. ,actors affect the systematic risk are economic conditions political conditions sociological changes The systematic risk is unavoidable. $ystematic risk is further sub4divided into three types. They are arket "isk Interest "ate "isk Purchasing Power "isk Page .? of &' a1 Mar<et R'+<- !ne would notice that when the stock market surges up, most stocks post higher price. !n the other hand, when the market falls sharply, most common stocks will drop. It is not uncommon to find stock prices falling from time to time while a company7s earnings are rising and vice4versa. The price of stock may fluctuate widely within a short time even though earnings remain unchanged or relatively stable. b). Intere+t Rate R'+<- Interest rate risk is the risk of loss of principal brought about the changes in the interest rate paid on new securities currently being issued. c). P)rcha+'ng Po=er R'+<- The typical investor seeks an investment which will give him current income and > or capital appreciation in addition to his original investment. 2. Un-+;+temat'c R'+<- 9n4systematic risk is uni0ue and peculiar to a firm or an industry. The nature and mode of raising finance and paying back the loans, involve the risk element. ,inancial leverage of the companies that is debt4e0uity portion of the companies differs from each other. All these factors affect the un4systematic risk and contribute a portion in the total variability of the return. anagerial inefficiently Technological change in the production process Availability of raw materials #hanges in the consumer preference Page .= of &' )abour problems The nature and magnitude of the above mentioned factors differ from industry to industry and company to company. They have to be analy3ed separately for each industry and firm. 9n4systematic risk can be broadly classified into: -usiness "isk ,inancial "isk USINESS RIS.- -usiness risk is that portion of the unsystematic risk caused by the operating environment of the business. -usiness risk arises from the inability of a firm to maintain its competitive edge and growth or stability of the earnings. The volatibility in stock prices due to factors intrinsic to the company itself is known as -usiness risk. -usiness risk is concerned with the difference between revenue and earnings before interest and tax. -usiness risk can be divided into. '1 Interna( )+'ne++ R'+< Internal business risk is associated with the operational efficiency of the firm. The operational efficiency differs from company to company. The efficiency of operation is reflected on the company7s achievement of its pre4set goals and the fulfilment of the promises to its investors. ''1 E?terna( )+'ne++ R'+< 5xternal business risk is the result of operating conditions imposed on the firm by circumstances beyond its control. The external environments in which it operates exert some pressure on the firm. The external factors are social and regulatory factors, monetary and fiscal policies of the government, business cycle and the general economic environment within which a firm or an industry operates. Page .& of &' FINANCIA# RIS.- It refers to the variability of the income to the e0uity capital due to the debt capital. ,inancial risk in a company is associated with the capital structure of the company. #apital structure of the company consists of e0uity funds and borrowed funds. RETURN ON PORTFO#IO-
5ach security in a portfolio contributes return in the proportion of its investment in security. Thus the portfolio expected returns is the weighted average of the expected return, from each of securities, with weights representing the proportions share of the security in the total investment. Ahy does an investor have so many securities in his total investmentK Ahy does an investor have so many securities in this portfolioK If the security A-# gives the maximum return why not he invests in that security all his funds and thus maximi3e returnK The answer to these 0uestions lies in the investor2s perception of risk attached in investments. !bjectives of income, safety, appreciation, li0uidity and hedge against loss of values of money etc. this pattern of investment in different asset categories, types of investment, etc., would all be described under the caption of diversification, which aims at the reduction or even elimination of non4systematic risks and achieve the specific objectives of investors. RIS. ON PORTFO#IO- The expected returns from individual securities carry some degree of risk. "isk on the portfolio is different from the risk on the individual securities. The risk is reflected in the variability of the returns from 3ero to infinity. "isk of the individual assets or a portfolio is measured by the variance of its return. The expected return depends on the probability of the returns and their weighted contribution to the risk of Page /< of &' the portfolio. These are two measures of risk in this context one is the absolute deviation and other standard deviation. ost investors invest in portfolio of assets, because as to spread risk by not putting all eggs in one basket. Bence, what really mater to them are not the risk and return of stocks in isolation, but the risk and return of the portfolio as a whole. "isk is mainly reduced by +iversification. RIS. RETURN ANA#YSIS- All investment has some risk. Investment in shares of companies has its own risk or uncertaintyQ these risks arise out of variability of yields and uncertainty of appreciation or depreciation of shares prices, losses of li0uidity etc. The risk over time can be represented by the variance of the returns. Ahile the returns over time is capital appreciation plus payout, divided by the purchase price of the share. (ormally, the higher the risk that the investor takes, the higher is the return. There is, how ever, a risk less return on capital of about %.S which is the bank, rate charged by the ".-.I or long term, yielded on government securities at round %/S to %'S. This risk less return refers to lack of variability of return and no uncertainty in the repayment or capital. -ut other risks such as loss of li0uidity due to parting with money etc., may however remain, but are rewarded by the total return on the capital, "isk4return is subject to variation and the objectives of the portfolio manager are to reduce that variability and thus reduce the risky by choosing an appropriate portfolio. Traditional approach advocates that one security holds the better, it is according to the modern approach diversification should not be 0uantity that should be related to the 0uality of scripts which leads to 0uality of portfolio. Page /% of &' RIS. AND E3PECTED RETURN- There is a positive relationship between the amount of risk and the amount of expected return i.e., the greater the risk, the larger the expected return and larger the chances of substantial loss. !ne of the most difficult problems for an investor is to estimate the highest level of risk he is able to assume. "isk is measured along the hori3ontal axis and increases from the left to right. 5xpected rate of return is measured on the vertical axis and rises from bottom to top. The line from < to " DfE is called the rate of return or risk less investments commonly associated with the yield on government securities. The diagonal line form " DfE to 5DrE illustrates the concept of expected rate of return increasing as level of risk increases. Page /. of &' 5xperience has shown that beyond the certain securities by adding more securities expensive. S'mp(e ,'*er+'f'cat'on re,)ce+- An asset2s total risk can be divided into systematic plus unsystematic risk, as shown below $ystematic risk Dundiversifiable riskE I unsystematic risk Ddiversified riskE GTotal risk G*arDrE. 9nsystematic risk is that portion of the risk that is uni0ue to the firm Dfor example, risk due to strikes and management errors.E 9nsystematic risk can be reduced to 3ero by simple diversification. $imple diversification is the random selection of securities that are to be added to a portfolio. As the number of randomly selected securities added to a portfolio is increased, the level of unsystematic risk approaches 3ero. Bowever market related systematic risk cannot be reduced by simple diversification. This risk is common to all securities. Page // of &' CHAPTER III - INDUSTRY PROFI#E Page /' of &' FINANCIA# MAR.ETS ,inance is the pre4re0uisite for modern business and financial institutions play a vital role in the economic system. It is through financial markets and institutions that the financial system of an economy works. ,inancial markets refer to the institutional arrangements for dealing in financial assets and credit instruments of different types such as currency, che0ues, bank deposits, bills, bonds, e0uities, etc. ,inancial market is a broad term describing any marketplace where buyers and sellers participate in the trade of assets such as e0uities, bonds, currencies and derivatives. They are typically defined by having transparent pricing, basic regulations on trading, costs and fees and market forces determining the prices of securities that trade. 1enerally, there is no specific place or location to indicate a financial market. Aherever a financial transaction takes place, it is deemed to have taken place in the financial market. Bence financial markets are pervasive in nature since financial transactions are themselves very pervasive throughout the economic system. ,or instance, issue of e0uity shares, granting of loan by term lending institutions, deposit of money into a bank, purchase of debentures, sale of shares and so on. In a nutshell, financial markets are the credit markets catering to the various needs of the individuals, firms and institutions by facilitating buying and selling of financial assets, claims and services. Page /8 of &' C#ASSIFICATION OF FINANCIA# MAR.ETS Page /; of &' F'nanc'a( mar<et+ Organ'@e, mar<et+ Unorgan'@e, mar<et+ Cap'ta( Mar<et+ Mone; Mar<et+ In,)+tr'a( Sec)r't'e+ Mar<et $o*ernment Sec)r't'e+ Mar<et #ong-term (oan mar<et Pr'mar; Mar<et Secon,ar; mar<et Ca(( Mone; Mar<et Commerc'a( '(( Mar<et Trea+)r; '(( Mar<et Mone; #en,er+A In,'gen)o+ an<er+ Cap'ta( Mar<et The capital market is a market for financial assets which have a long or indefinite maturity. 1enerally, it deals with long term securities which have a period of above one year. In the widest sense, it consists of a series of channels through which the savings of the community are made available for industrial and commercial enterprises and public authorities. As a whole, capital market facilitates raising of capital. The major functions performed by a capital market are: %. obili3ation of financial resources on a nation4wide scale. .. $ecuring the foreign capital and know4how to fill up deficit in the re0uired resources for economic growth at a faster rate. /. 5ffective allocation of the mobili3ed financial resources, by directing the same to projects yielding highest yield or to the projects needed to promote balanced economic development.
#apital market consists of primary market and secondary market. Primary market- Primary market is a market for new issues or new financial claims. Bence it is also called as (ew Issue arket. It basically deals with those securities which are issued to the public for the first time. The market, therefore, makes available a new block of securities for public subscription. In other words, it deals with raising of fresh capital by companies either for cash or for consideration other than cash. The best example could be Initial Public !ffering DIP!E where a firm offers shares to the public for the first time. Page /? of &' Secondary market: $econdary market is a market where existing securities are traded. In other words, securities which have already passed through new issue market are traded in this market. 1enerally, such securities are 0uoted in the stock exchange and it provides a continuous and regular market for buying and selling of securities. This market consists of all stock exchanges recogni3ed by the government of India. Mone; Mar<et oney markets are the markets for short4termA highly li0uid debt securities. oney market securities are generally very safe investments which return relatively low interest rate that is most appropriate for temporary cash storage or short term time needs. It consists of a number of sub4markets which collectively constitute the money market namely call money market, commercial bills market, acceptance market, and Treasury bill market. Der'*at'*e+ Mar<et The derivatives market is the financial market for derivatives, financial instruments like futures contracts or options, which are derived from other forms of assets. A derivative is a security whose price is dependent upon or derived from one or more underlying assets. The derivative itself is merely a contract between two or more parties. Its value is determined by fluctuations in the underlying asset. The most common underlying assets include stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, interest rates and market indexes. The important financial derivatives are the following: Page /= of &' Forwards: ,orwards are the oldest of all the derivatives. A forward contract refers to an agreement between two parties to exchange an agreed 0uantity of an asset for cash at a certain date in future at a predetermined price specified in that agreement. The promised asset may be currency, commodity, instrument etc. Futures: ,uture contract is very similar to a forward contract in all respects excepting the fact that it is completely a standardi3ed one. It is nothing but a standardi3ed forward contract which is legally enforceable and always traded on an organi3ed exchange. Options: A financial derivative that represents a contract sold by one party Doption writerE to another party Doption holderE. The contract offers the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy DcallE or sell DputE a security or other financial asset at an agreed4upon price Dthe strike priceE during a certain period of time or on a specific date Dexercise dateE. #all options give the option to buy at certain price, so the buyer would want the stock to go up. Put options give the option to sell at a certain price, so the buyer would want the stock to go down. Swaps: It is yet another exciting trading instrument. Infact, it is the combination of forwards by two counterparties. It is arranged to reap the benefits arising from the fluctuations in the market 6 either currency market or interest rate market or any other market for that matter. Page /& of &' Fore'gn E?change Mar<et It is a market in which participants are able to buy, sell, exchange and speculate on currencies. ,oreign exchange markets are made up of banks, commercial companies, central banks, investment management firms, hedge funds, and retail forex brokers and investors. The forex market is considered to be the largest financial market in the world. It is a worldwide decentrali3ed over4the4counter financial market for the trading of currencies. -ecause the currency markets are large and li0uid, they are believed to be the most efficient financial markets. It is important to reali3e that the foreign exchange market is not a single exchange, but is constructed of a global network of computers that connects participants from all parts of the world. Commo,'t'e+ Mar<et It is a physical or virtual marketplace for buying, selling and trading raw or primary products. ,or investorsU purposes there are currently about 8< major commodity markets worldwide that facilitate investment trade in nearly %<< primary commodities. #ommodities are split into two types: hard and soft commodities. Bard commodities are typically natural resources that must be mined or extracted Dgold, rubber, oil, etc.E, whereas soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock Dcorn, wheat, coffee, sugar, soybeans, pork, etc.E Page '< of &' INDIAN FINANCIA# MAR.ETS India ,inancial market is one of the oldest in the world and is considered to be the fastest growing and best among all the markets of the emerging economies. The history of Indian capital markets dates back .<< years toward the end of the %=th century when India was under the rule of the 5ast India #ompany. The development of the capital market in India concentrated around umbai where no less than .<< to .8< securities brokers were active during the second half of the %&th century. The financial market in India today is more developed than many other sectors because it was organi3ed long before with the securities exchanges of umbai, Ahmadabad and Rolkata were established as early as the %&th century. -y the early %&;<s the total number of securities exchanges in India rose to eight, including umbai, Ahmadabad and Rolkata apart from adras, Ranpur, +elhi, -angalore and Pune. Today there are .% regional securities exchanges in India in addition to the centrali3ed ($5 D(ational $tock 5xchangeE and !T#5I D!ver the #ounter 5xchange of IndiaE. Bowever the stock markets in India remained stagnant due to stringent controls on the market economy that allowed only a handful of monopolies to dominate their Page '% of &' respective sectors. The corporate sector wasnUt allowed into many industry segments, which were dominated by the state controlled public sector resulting in stagnation of the economy right up to the early %&&<s. Thereafter when the Indian economy began liberali3ing and the controls began to be dismantled or eased outQ the securities markets witnessed a flurry of IP!2s that were launched. This resulted in many new companies across different industry segments to come up with newer products and services. A remarkable feature of the growth of the Indian economy in recent years has been the role played by its securities markets in assisting and fuelling that growth with money rose within the economy. This was in marked contrast to the initial phase of growth in many of the fast growing economies of 5ast Asia that witnessed huge doses of ,+I D,oreign +irect InvestmentE spurring growth in their initial days of market decontrol. +uring this phase in India much of the organi3ed sector has been affected by high growth as the financial markets played an all4inclusive role in sustaining financial resource mobili3ation. any P$9s DPublic $ector 9ndertakingsE that decided to offload part of their e0uity were also helped by the well4organi3ed securities market in India. The launch of the ($5 D(ational $tock 5xchangeE and the !T#5I D!ver the #ounter 5xchange of IndiaE during the mid %&&<s by the government of India was meant to usher in an easier and more transparent form of trading in securities. The ($5 was conceived as the market for trading in the securities of companies from the large4scale Page '. of &' sector and the !T#5I for those from the small4scale sector. Ahile the ($5 has not just done well to grow and evolve into the virtual backbone of capital markets in India the !T#5I struggled and is yet to show any sign of growth and development. The integration of IT into the capital market infrastructure has been particularly smooth in India due to the country2s world class IT industry. This has pushed up the operational efficiency of the Indian stock market to global standards and as a result the country has been able to capitali3e on its high growth and attract foreign capital like never before. The regulating authority for capital markets in India is the $5-I D$ecurities and 5xchange -oard of IndiaE. $5-I came into prominence in the %&&<s after the capital markets experienced some turbulence. It had to take drastic measures to plug many loopholes that were exploited by certain market forces to advance their vested interests. After this initial phase of struggle $5-I has grown in strength as the regulator of India2s capital markets and as one of the country2s most important institutions. Page '/ of &' Page '' of &' CHAPTER I" - COMPANY PROFI#E Page '8 of &' IIFL Ltd The II,) DIndia InfolineE group, comprising the holding company, India Infoline )td and its subsidiaries, is one of the leading players in the Indian financial services space. II,) offers advice and execution platform for the entire range of financial services covering products ranging from 50uities and derivatives, #ommodities, Aealth management, Asset management, Insurance, ,ixed deposits, )oans, Investment -anking, 1old bonds and other small savings instruments. II,) recently received an in4principle approval for $ecurities Trading and #learing memberships from $ingapore 5xchange D$1HE paving the way for II,) to become the first Indian brokerage to get a membership of the $1H. II,) also received membership of the #olombo $tock 5xchange becoming the first foreign broker to enter $ri )anka. II,) owns and manages the website, www.indiainfoline.com, which is one of India2s leading online destinations for personal finance, stock markets, economy and business. II,) has been awarded the 7-est -roker, India2 by ,inance Asia and the 7ost improved brokerage, India2 in the Asia oney polls. India Infoline was also adjudged as 7,astest 1rowing 50uity -roking Bouse 4 )arge firms2 by +un J -radstreet. A forerunner in the field of e0uity research, II,)2s research is acknowledged by none other than ,orbes as 7-est of the Aeb2 and 7@a must read for investors in Asia2. Page '; of &' The company2s research is available not just over the Internet but also on international wire services like -loomberg, Thomson ,irst #all and Internet $ecurities where it is amongst one of the most read Indian brokers. A network of over .,8<< business locations spread over more than 8<< cities and towns across India facilitates the smooth ac0uisition and servicing of a large customer base. All our offices are connected with the corporate office in umbai with cutting edge networking technology. The group caters to a customer base of about a million customers, over a variety of mediums vi3. online, over the phone and at our branches. "ISION The company2s vision is to be the most respected company in the financial services space. COMPANY STRUCTURE Page '? of &' In,'a Info('ne #'m'te, India Infoline )imited is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India, vi3. the $tock 5xchange, umbai D-$5E and the (ational $tock 5xchange D($5E and is also a member of both the exchanges. It is engaged in the businesses of 50uities broking, Aealth Advisory $ervices and Portfolio anagement $ervices. It offers broking services in the #ash and +erivatives segments of the ($5 as well as the #ash segment of the -$5. It is registered with ($+) as well as #+$) as a depository participant, providing a one4stop solution for clients trading in the e0uities market. It has recently launched its Investment banking and Institutional -roking business. Page '= of &' A $5-I authori3ed Portfolio anagerQ it offers Portfolio anagement $ervices to clients. These services are offered to clients as different schemes, which are based on differing investment strategies made to reflect the varied risk4return preferences of clients. In,'a Info('ne Me,'a an, Re+earch Ser*'ce+ #'m'te, The services represent a strong support that drives the broking, commodities, mutual fund and portfolio management services businesses. It undertakes e0uities research which is acknowledged by none other than ,orbes as U-est of the AebU and U@a must read for investors in AsiaU. India InfolineUs research is available not just over the internet but also on international wire services like -loomberg D#ode: II))E, Thomson ,irst #all and Internet $ecurities where India Infoline is amongst the most read Indian brokers. In,'a Info('ne Commo,'t'e+ #'m'te,. India Infoline #ommodities Pvt )imited is engaged in the business of commodities broking. Their experience in securities broking empowered them with the re0uisite skills and technologies to allow them to offer commodities broking as a contra4 cyclical alternative to e0uities broking. It enjoys memberships with the #H and (#+5H, two leading Indian commodities exchanges, and recently ac0uired Page '& of &' membership of +1#H. It has a multi4channel delivery model, making it among the select few to offer online as well as offline trading facilities. In,'a Info('ne Mar<et'ng & Ser*'ce+ India Infoline arketing and $ervices )imited is the holding company of India Infoline Insurance $ervices )imited and India Infoline Insurance -rokers )imited. India Infoline Insurance $ervices )imited is a registered #orporate Agent with the Insurance "egulatory and +evelopment Authority DI"+AE. It is the largest #orporate Agent for I#I#I Prudential )ife Insurance #o )imited, which is IndiaUs largest private )ife Insurance #ompany. India Infoline was the first corporate agent to get licensed by I"+A in early .<<%. India Infoline Insurance -rokers )imited India Infoline Insurance -rokers )imited is a newly formed subsidiary which will carry out the business of Insurance broking. In,'a Info('ne In*e+tment Ser*'ce+ #'m'te, #onsolidated shareholdings of all the subsidiary companies engaged in loans and financing activities under one subsidiary. "ecently, !rient 1lobal, a $ingapore4based investment institution invested 9$+ ?;.? million for a ...8S stake in India Infoline Investment $ervices. This will help focused expansion and capital raising in the said Page 8< of &' subsidiaries for various lending businesses like loans against securities, $5 financing, distribution of retail loan products, consumer finance business and housing finance business. India Infoline Investment $ervices Private )imited consists of the following step4down subsidiaries. India Infoline +istribution #ompany )imited Ddistribution of retail loan productsE oneyline #redit )imited Dconsumer financeE India Infoline Bousing ,inance )imited Dhousing financeE IIF# 0A+'a1 Pr'*ate #'m'te, II,) DAsiaE Private )imited is wholly owned subsidiary which has been incorporated in $ingapore to pursue financial sector activities in other Asian markets. ,urther to obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals, the company has been initially capitali3ed at % million $ingapore dollars. Page 8% of &' IIF# MANA$EMENT THE MANA$EMENT TEAM Mr. N'rma( !a'nA Cha'rman & Manag'ng D'rector (irmal Fain, -A DII, AhmadabadE and a #hartered and #ost Accountant, founded India2s leading financial services company India Infoline )td. in %&&8, providing globally acclaimed financial services in e0uities and commodities broking, life insurance and mutual funds distribution, among others. Mr. R "en<ataramanA E?ec)t'*e D'rector " *enkataraman, co4promoter and 5xecutive +irector of India Infoline )td., is a -. Tech D5lectronics and 5lectrical #ommunications 5ngineering, IIT RharagpurE and an -A DII -angaloreE. Be joined the India Infoline board in Fuly %&&&. Page 8. of &' THE OARD OF DIRECTORS Apart from (irmal Fain and " *enkataraman, the -oard of +irectors of India Infoline )td. comprises: Mr. N'(e+h "'<am+e;A In,epen,ent D'rector r. *ikamsey, -oard member since ,ebruary .<<8 4 a practicing #hartered Accountant and partner DRhimji Runverji J #o., #hartered AccountantsE, a member firm of B)- International, headed the audit department till %&&< and thereafter also handles financial services, consultancy, investigations, mergers and ac0uisitions, valuations etc Mr .rant' S'nhaA In,epen,ent D'rector r. Rranti $inha V -oard member since Fanuary .<<8 V completed his masters from the Agra 9niversity and started his career as a #lass I officer with )ife Insurance #orporation of India. Mr Ar)n .. P)r*arA In,epen,ent D'rector r. A.R. Purvar 6 -oard member since arch .<<= 6 completed his asters degree in commerce from Allahabad 9niversity in %&;; and a diploma in -usiness Administration in %&;?. Page 8/ of &' PRODUCTS & SER"ICES EB)'t'e+ India Infoline provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which was hitherto restricted only to the institutions. "esearch for the retail investor did not exist prior to India Infoline. India Infoline leveraged technology to bring the convenience of trading to the investor2s location of preference Dresidence or officeE through computeri3ed access. India Infoline made it possible for clients to view transaction costs and ledger updates in real time. The #ompany is among the few financial intermediaries in India to offer a complement of online and offline broking. The #ompanies network of branches also allows customers to place orders on phone or visit our branches for trading. Commo,'t'e+ India Infoline2s extension into commodities trading reconciles its strategic intent to emerge as a one stop solutions financial intermediary. Its experience in securities broking has empowered it with re0uisite skills and technologies. The #ompanies commodities business provides a contra4cyclical alternative to e0uities broking. The #ompany was among the first to offer the facility of commodities trading in India2s young commodities market Dthe #H commenced operations in .<</E. Average Page 8' of &' monthly turnover on the commodity exchanges increased from "s <./' bn to "s .<.<. bn. In+)rance An entry into this segment helped complete the clientUs product basketQ concurrently, it graduated the #ompany into a one stop retail financial solutions provider. To ensure maximum reach to customers across India, it has employed a multi pronged approach and reaches out to customers via our (etwork, +irect and Affiliate channels. India Infoline was the first corporate in India to get the agency license in early .<<%. In*e+t On('ne India Infoline has made investing in utual funds and primary market so effortless. !nly registration is needed. (o paperwork no 0ueues and (o registration charges. India Infoline offers a host of mutual fund choices under one roof, backed by in4depth research and advice from research house and tools configured as investor friendly. %ea(th Management The key to achieving a successful Investment Portfolio is to have a carefully planned financial strategy based on a thorough understanding of the clientUs investment Page 88 of &' needs and risk appetite. The II,) Private Aealth anagement Team of financial experts will recommend an appropriate financial strategy to effectively meet customer2s investment re0uirements. A++et Management India Infoline is a leading pan4India mutual fund distribution house associated with leading asset management companies. It operates primarily in the retail segment leveraging its existing distribution network to reach prospective clients. It has received the in4principle approval to set up a mutual fund. Portfo('o Management II,) Portfolio anagement $ervice is a product wherein an e0uity investment portfolio is created to suit the investment objectives of a client. India Infoline invests the client2s resources into stocks from different sectors, depending on client2s risk4return profile. This service is particularly advisable for investors who cannot afford to give time or donUt have that expertise for day4to4day management of their e0uity portfolio. Ne=+(etter+ Page 8; of &' As a subscriber to the +aily arket $trategy, client2s get research reports of India Infoline research team on a priority basis. The Indiainfoline Aeekly (ewsletter is the flashback for the week gone by. A weekly outlook coupled with the best of the web stories from Indiainfoline and links to important investment ideas, )eader $peak and features is delivered in the client2s inbox every ,riday evening. H'+tor; & M'(e+tone+ 5CC9 - #ommenced operations as an 50uity "esearch firm 5CCD - )aunched research products of leading Indian companies, key sectors and the economy #lient included leading ,IIs, banks and companies. 5CCC - )aunched www.indiainfoline.com 6EEE - )aunched online trading through www.8paisa.com $tarted distribution of life insurance and mutual fund 6EE7 - )aunched proprietary trading platform Trader Terminal for retail customers 6EE8 - Ac0uired commodities broking license J )aunched Portfolio anagement $ervice 6EE9 - aiden IP! and listed on ($5, -$5 6EE: 4 Ac0uired membership of +1#H J #ommenced the lending business 6EED - #ommenced institutional e0uities business under II,) J ,ormed $ingapore subsidiary, II,) DAsiaE Pte )td 6EEF - )aunched II,) Aealth J Transitioned to insurance broking model 6EEC - Ac0uired registration for Bousing ,inance, got $5-I in4principle approval for utual ,und J !btained *enture #apital license Page 8? of &' 6E5E - "eceived in4principle approval for membership of the $ingapore $tock 5xchange and membership of the #olombo $tock 5xchange CHAPTER " DATA ANA#YSIS & INTERPRETATIONS Page 8= of &' CA#CU#ATION OF A"ERA$E RETURNS: $AI#- Year (P0) (P1) D (P1-P0) D+(P1-P0)/ P0*100 2009 198 415 7 217 113.13 2010 415 524 7.5 109 28.07 2011 524 383 7.5 -141 -25.48 2012 383 363 8.7 -20 -2.95 2013 363 341 9.6 -22 -3.42 AVERAGE RETURN 21.87 Page 8& of &' HU#- Year (P0) (P1) D (P1-P0) D+(P1-P0)/ P0*100 2009 251 264 7.5 13 8.17 2010 264 320 6.5 56 23.67 2011 320 392 6.5 72 24.53 2012 392 521 7.5 129 34.82 2013 521 571 18.5 50 13.15 AVERAGE RETURN 20.87 Page ;< of &' CIP#A- Year (P0) (P1) D (P1-P0) D+(P1-P0)/ P0*100 2009 185 341 2 156 85.41 2010 341 363 2 22 7.04 2011 363 335 2.8 -28 -6.94 2012 335 425 2 90 27.46 2013 425 400 2 -25 -5.41 AVERAGE RETURN 21.51 Page ;% of &' hart' A'rte(- Year (P0) (P1) D (P1-P0) D+(P1-P0)/ P0*100 2009 324 325 1 1 0.62 2010 325 353 1 28 8.92 2011 353 330 1 -23 -6.23 2012 330 328 1 -2 -0.30 2013 328 330 2 2 1.22 AVERAGE RETURN 0.84 Page ;. of &' D#F- Year (P0) (P1) D (P1-P0) D+(P1-P0)/ P0*100 2009 234 390 2 156 67.52 2010 390 268 2 -122 -30.77 2011 268 176 2 -92 -33.58 2012 176 234 2 58 34.09 2013 234 167 2 -67 -27.78 AVERAGE RETURN 1.90 Page ;/ of &' Comparat'*e Ret)rn+ on Se(ecte, Scr'p+- Scrip Rate of Return (%) $AI# 21.87 HU# 20.87 C'p(a 21.51 hart' A'rte( 0.84 D#F 1.90 Page ;' of &' CA#CU#ATION OF STANDARD DE"IATION: Standard Deviation = Variance __ Variance = 1/n (R-R 2
#ovariance D#!* abE G %>n D"A4"AED"-4"-E Page ;= of &' Scrip Risk (%) $AI# 48.71 HU# 9.34 C'p(a 34.23 hart' A'rte( 4.83 D#F 41.35 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b $AI# %ITH OTHER COMPANIES $AI# 0RA1 & HU# 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 91.26 -12.70 -1159.09 2010 6.20 2.81 17.3969 2011 -47.35 3.66 -173.432 2012 -24.82 13.95 -346.348 2013 -25.29 -7.72 195.239 -1466.24 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D4%';;..'E G 4.&/..8 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G '=.?% Q b G &./' G 4.&/..8>D'=.?%ED&./'E G 4<.;'' $AI# 0RA1 & CIP#A 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 91.26 63.89 5831.007 2010 6.20 -14.47 -89.7323 Page ;& of &' 2011 -47.35 -28.45 1347.206 2012 -24.82 5.95 -147.749 2013 -25.29 -26.92 680.8094 7621.54 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D7621.54E G 1524.31
#orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aTb a G '=.?%%Q b G /'../& G %8.'./%> D'=.?%%E D/'../&E G <.&% $AI# 0RA1 & AIRTE# 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 91.26 -0.23 -20.773 2010 6.20 8.08 50.08676 2011 -47.35 -7.08 335.0994 2012 -24.82 -1.15 28.49465 2013 -25.29 0.37 -9.47295 383.4349 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D383.4349E G 76.69 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G'=.?%%Q b G '.=/ G ?;.;&> D'=.?%%E D'.=/E G <./.8; $AI# 0RA1 & D#F 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 91.26 65.62 5988.866 2010 6.20 -32.67 -202.537 Page ?< of &' 2011 -47.35 -35.48 1679.887 2012 -24.82 32.19 -799.14 2013 -25.29 -29.67 750.4067 7417.483
#ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D7417.48E G 1483.5 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G '=.?%Q b G '%./8 G %'=/.8> D'=.?%E D'%./8E G <.?/; HU# %ITH OTHER COMPANIES HU# 0RA1 & CIP#A 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 -12.70 63.89 -811.535 2010 2.81 -14.47 -40.607 Page ?% of &' 2011 3.66 -28.45 -104.217 2012 13.95 5.95 83.05153 2013 -7.72 -26.92 207.8562 -665.451 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D-665.451E G -133.09
#orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aTb a G &./'Q b G /'../& G 4%//.<&> D&./'E D/'../&E G4<.'%8= HU# 0RA1 & AIRTE# 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 -12.70 -0.23 2.891092 2010 2.81 8.08 22.66599 2011 3.66 -7.08 -25.9227 2012 13.95 -1.15 -16.0172 2013 -7.72 0.37 -2.89216 -19.275 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D-19.275E G -3.85 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G &./'Q b G '.=/' G 4/.=8 > D&./'ED'.=/'E G 4<.<=8/ HU# 0RA1 & D#F 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 -12.70 65.62 -833.505 2010 2.81 -32.67 -91.655 2011 3.66 -35.48 -129.953 2012 13.95 32.19 449.2073 Page ?. of &' 2013 -7.72 -29.67 229.1048 -376.801
#ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D4376.801E G 475.36 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G &./'Q b G '%./8 G 4?8./;>D&./'ED'%./8E G 4<.%&'&; CIP#A %ITH OTHER COMPANIES CIP#A 0RA1 & AIRTE# 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 63.89 -0.23 -14.5441 2010 -14.47 8.08 -116.91 2011 -28.45 -7.08 201.3649 2012 5.95 -1.15 -6.8328 2013 -26.92 0.37 -10.0851 52.99 #ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D52.99E G 10.60 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G /'../&Q b G '.=/' G 8..&&> D/'../&ED'.=/'E G <.<;'</ CIP#A 0RA1 & D#F 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 63.89 65.62 4193.089 2010 -14.47 -32.67 472.7514 2011 -28.45 -35.48 1009.462 2012 5.95 32.19 191.6276 Page ?/ of &' 2013 -26.92 -29.67 798.9012 6665.831
#ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D6665.831E G 1333.17 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G /'../Q b G '%./8 G %///.%?> D/'../ED'%./8E G <.&'%; AIRTE# %ITH OTHER COMPANIES AIRTE# 0RA1 & D#F 0R1 YEAR 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 0RA-RA1 0R-R1 2009 -0.23 65.62 -14.9379 2010 8.08 -32.67 -263.88 2011 -7.08 -35.48 251.0902 2012 -1.15 32.19 -36.9571 2013 0.37 -29.67 -11.1161 -75.80
#ovariance D#!* abE G %>8 D-75.80E G 415.16 #orrelation #oefficient G #!* ab>aT b a G '.=/'Q b G '%./8 G 4%8.%;>D'.=/'ED'%./8E G 4<.<?8=' CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO %EI$HTS Aa G b Wb4DnabTaEX a . I b . 4 .nabTaTb Ab G % 6 Aa Page ?' of &' %EI$HTS OF $AI# & OTHER COMPANIES- $AI# & HU# a G '=.?%% b G &./'? nab G 4<.;'' Aa G &./'? W&./'?4D4<.;''T'=.?%%EX ('=.?%%) . I (&./'?) . 6 .D4<.;''ET('=.?%%)T( &./'?) Aa G /=<.;.? /<';.?.& Aa G <.%.' Ab G % 6 Aa Ab G %4 D<.%.'E G <.=?8 $AI# 0a1 & CIP#A 0G1 a G '=.?%% b G /'../& nab G <.&%/& Aa G /'../& W/'../&4 D<.&%/&T'=.?%%EX ('=.?%%) . I (/'../&) . 6 .D<.&%/&ET( '=.?%%)T(/'../&) Aa G 4/8%.&'= '&;.&8= Aa G 4<.?< Ab G % 6 Aa Ab G %4 D4<.?<E G %.?< $AI# 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1 a G '=.?%% b G '.=/' nab G <./.8 Aa G '.=/' W'.=/'4 D<./.8T'=.?%%EX Page ?8 of &' ('=.?%%) . I ('.=/') . 6 .D<./.8ET( '=.?%)T('.=/') Aa G 48/./%; ..'..=8 Aa G 4<.<./ Ab G % 6 Aa Ab G %V<.<../ G%.<./ $AI# 0a1 & D#F 0G1 a G '=.?%% b G '%./8< nab G <.?/;' Aa G '%./8 W'%./84D<.?/;'T'=.?%%EX ('=.?%%) . I ('%./8<) . 6 .D<.?/;'ET('=.?%)T('%./8) Aa G ..;./&. %%%8.?% Aa G <..<. Ab G % 6 Aa G %4<..<. G <.?&? CA#CU#ATION OF %EI$HTS OF HU# & OTHER COMPANIES- HU# 0a1 & CIP#A 0G1 Page ?; of &' a G &./'? b G /'../& nab G 4<.'%8 Aa G /'../& W/'../&4D4<.'%8T&./'?EX (&./'?) . I (/'../&) . 6 .D4<.'%8ET( &./'?)T(/'../&) Aa G %/<8.'8 %8.8.&. Aa G <.=88 Ab G % 6 Aa G %4 <.=88G <.%'' HU# 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1 a G &./'? b G '.=/' nab G 4<.<=8 Aa G '.=/' W'.=/'4 D4<.<=8T&./'?EX (&./'?) . I ('.=/') . 6 .D<.<=8ET( &./'?)T('.=/') Aa G .?...8 %%=.';< Aa G<...& Ab G % 6 Aa G %4 <...&G<.??< HU# 0a1 & D#F 0G1 a G &./'? Page ?? of &' b G '%./8 nab G 4<.%&' Aa G '%./8 W'%./84D4<.%&'T&./'?EX (&./'?) . I ('%./8) . 6 .D4<.%&'ET( &./'?)T('%./8) Aa G %?=8..'& %&'?.&=& Aa G <.&%; Ab G % 6 Aa G %4 <.&%; G <.<=/ %EI$HTS OF CIP#A & OTHER COMPANIES- CIP#A 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1 a G /'../& b G '.=/' nab G <.<;' Aa G '.=/' W'.=/'4D<.<;'T/'../&EX (/'../&) . I ('.=/') . 6 .D<.<;'ET( /'../& )T('.=/') Aa G %..??. %%?'.8// Aa G <.<%< Ab G % 6 Aa G %4 D<.<%<E G 0.989 CIP#A 0a1 & D#F 0G1 a G /'../& b G '%./8 Page ?= of &' nab G <.&'% Aa G '%./8W'%./84D<.&'%T/'../&EX (/'../&) . I ('%./8) . 6 .D<.&'%ET( /'../)T('%./8) Aa G /?;.?./ .%8.&%; Aa G %.?'' Ab G % 6 Aa G %4%.?''G 4<.?'' %EI$HTS OF AIRTE# & OTHER COMPANIES AIRTE# 0a1 & D#F 0G1 a G '.=/' b G '%./8 nab G 4<.<?8 Aa G '%./8 W'%./84D4<.<?8T'.=/'EX ('.=/') . I ('%./8) . 6 .D4<.<?8ET( '.=/')T('%./8) Aa G %?.8.<'&8 %?;/.8=< Aa G <.&?= Ab G % 6 Aa G %4 <.&?= G <.<.% CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RIS.- R P G DaTAaE . I DbTAbE . I .TaTbTAaTAbTnab Page ?& of &' $AI# & OTHER COMPANIES- $AI# 0a1 & HU# 0G1- a G '=.?% b G &./' Aa G <.%.' Ab G <.=?8 nab G 4<.;'' "P G D'=.?%T<.%.'EE . I D9.340.875E . I.(48.71)TD&./'ETD<.%.'ETD<.=?8ETD4<.;''E H :.75 $AI# 0a1 & CIP#A 0G1- a G '=.?%% b G /'../& Aa G 4<.?<= Ab G %.?<= nab G <.&%/ "P G D'=.?%T4<.?<=E . ID/'../T%.?<E . I.D'=.?%E(34.23)T(0.70)TD%.?<ETD<.&%/E G /<./?& $AI# 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1- a G '=.?% b G &./' Page =< of &' Aa G 4<.<./ Ab G %.<./ nab G <./.8 "P G D'=.?%T4<.<./E . ID&./'T%.<./E . I.D'=.?%E( &./')T(4<.<./)TD%.<./ETD<./.8E G '.?< $AI# 0a1 & D#F 0G1- a G '=.?% b G '%./8 Aa G <..< Ab G <.?& nab G <.?/; "P G D'=.?%T<..E . ID'%./8<.?&E . I.D'=.?%ET( '%./8)T(<..<)TD<.?&ETD<.?/;E G '<.?&S HU# & OTHER COMPANIES HU# 0a1 & CIP#A 0G1- a G &./' Page =% of &' b G /'../ Aa G <.=8 Ab G <.%' nab G 4<.'%8 "P G D&./'T<.=8E . I D/'../T<.%'E . I.D&./'E(/'../)(<.=8)TD<.%'ETD4<.'%8E
G ?.'8 HU# 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1- a G &./' b G '.=/ AaG <... AbG <.?? nab G 4<.<=8 "P G D&./'T<...E . ID'.=/T<.??E . I.D&./')('.=/)T(<...)TD<.??ETD 4<.<=8E = '.%/ HU# 0a1 & D#F 0G1- a G &./' b G '%./8 AaG <.&% AbG <.<= nab G 4<.%&' "P G D&./'T<.&%E . ID'%./8T<.<=E . I.D&./'E(41.35)T(0.91)TD<.<=ETD4<.%&'E = =.8= CIP#A & OTHER COMPANIES CIP#A 0a1 & AIRTE# 0G1- Page =. of &' a G /'../ b G '.=/ Aa G <.<% Ab G <.&= nab G <.<;' "P G D/'../T<.<%E . ID'.=/T<.&=E . I.D/'../E(4.83)T(0.01 )TD<.&=ETD<.<;'E G '.=% CIP#A 0a1 & D#F 0G1- a G /'../ b G '%./8 Aa G %.?' Ab G 4<.?' nab G <.&' "P G D/'../T%.?'E . I D'%./8T4<.?'E . I .D/'../E ('%./8) TD %.?') TD 4<.?'ETD<.&'E G /..''S AIRTE# & OTHER COMPANIES Page =/ of &' AIRTE# 0a1 & D#F 0G1- a G '.=/ b G '%./8 Aa G <.&? Ab G <.<. nab G 4<.<?8 "P G D'.=/T<.&?E . ID'%./8T <.<.E . I.D'.=/E(41.35)T(0.97)TD <.<.ETD4<.<?8E G '.?' CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RETURNS Page =' of &' "pGD"ATAAE I D"-TA-E Ahere "p G portfolio return "AG return of A AAG weight of A "-G return of - A-G weight of - CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RETURN OF $AI# & OTHER COMPANIES- $AI# 0A1 & HU# 01- "AG .%.=? AAG<.%. "-G .<.=? A-G<.=? "p G D.%.=?T<.%.E I D.<.=?T<.=?E "p G .<.&&S $AI# 0A1 & CIP#A 01- "AG .%.=? AAG44<.?< "-G .%.8% A-G%.?< "p G D.%.=?T4<.?<E I D.%.8%T%.?<E "p G .%..8S $AI# 0A1 & AIRTE# 01- Page =8 of &' "AG .%.=? AAG4<.<./ "-G <.=' A-G%.<./ "p G D.%.=?T4<.<./E I D<.='T%.<./E "p G <.8< $AI# 0A1 & D#F 01- "AG .%.=? AAG<..< "-G %.&< A-G <.?& "p G D.%.=?T<..<E I D%.&<T<.?&E "p G 8.&' CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RETURN OF HU# & OTHER COMPANIES HU# 0A1 & CIP#A 01- "AG .<.=? AAG<.=8 "-G .%.8% A-G <.%' "p G D.<.=?T<.=8E I D.%.8%T<.%'E "p G .<.&; HU# 0A1 & AIRTE# 01- "AG .<.=? AAG<... "-G <.=' A-G<.?? "p G D.<.=?T<...E I D<.='T<.??E "p G 8.'' HU# 0A1 & D#F 01- Page =; of &' "AG .<.=? AAG<.&% "-G %.&< A-G <.<= "p G D.<.=?T<.&%E I D%.&<T<.<=E "p G %&..= CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RETURN OF CIP#A & OTHER COMPANIES CIP#A 0A1 & AIRTE# 01- "AG .%.8% AAG4<.<% "-G<.=' A-G<.&= "p G D.%.8%T<.<%E I D<.='T<.&=E "p G %.<; CIP#A 0A1 & D#F 01- "AG .%.8% AAG%.?' "-G4%.&< A-G 4<.?' "p G D.%.8%T%.?'E I D%.&<T4<.?'E "p G /;.%% CA#CU#ATION OF PORTFO#IO RETURN OF AIRTE# & OTHER COMPANIES AIRTE# 0A1 & D#F 01- "AG <.=' AAG<.&? "-G4%.&< A-G4<.<. "p G D<.='T<.&?E I D%.&T<.<.E "p G <.=; Page =? of &' PORTFOLIO RETURNS & RISKS OF THE SELECTED STOCKS Scrip A Scrip !ortfo"io Return !ortfo"io Ri#$ 1AI) B9) .<.&& ;./% 1AI) #IP)A .%..8 /<./? 1AI) AI"T5) <.8< '.?< 1AI) +), 8.&' '<.?& B9) #IP)A .<.&; ?.'8 B9) AI"T5) 8.'' '.%/ B9) +), %&..= =.8= #IP)A AI"T5) %.<; '.=% #IP)A +), /;.%% /..'' AI"T5) +), <.=; '.?' Page == of &' CHAPTER "I FINDIN$SA SU$$ESTIONS & CONC#USION Page =& of &' FINDIN$S Investors would be able to achieve when the returns of shares and debentures "esultant would be known as diversified portfolio. Thus portfolio construction would address itself to three major via, selectivity, timing and diversification. In case of portfolio management, negatively correlated assets are most profitable. A rational investor would constantly examine his chosen portfolio both for average return and risk. Individual returns on the selected stocks including 1AI), B9), #ipla, -harati Airtel J +), are .%.=?S, .<.=?S, .%.8%S, <.='S and %.&<S respectively. Individual risks on the selected stocks including 1AI), B9), #ipla, -harati Airtel J +), are '=.?%S, &./'S, /'../S, '.=/S and '%./8S respectively. #orrelation between all the companies is positive except B9) J All !ther $tocks and Airtel J +), which means most of the combinations of portfolios are at good position to gain in future. Portfolios "eturns of +), J #ipla D/;.%%SE followed by 1ail J #ipla D.%..8SE and 1AI) J B9) D20.99SE stood on the top while Portfolio "eturns of 1AI) J Airtel D<.8<SE, +), J Airtel D<.=;SE and Airtel J #ipla D%.<;SE stood at the bottom with minimum profits. Portfolios "isk of 1AI) J +), D'<.?&SE and +), J #ipla D/..''SE are very high while Portfolio "isks of Airtel with !ther #ompanies Daround 'SE and stood at the bottom.
Page &< of &' SUGGESTIOS !f the five stocks selected, all the stocks have given positive returns. ,#1 #ompany B9), Bealthcare #ompany #ipla and 9tilities #ompany 1AI) have been giving good profits while Telecom #ompany Airtel and "eal 5state #ompany +), have given profits between %4.S. Investors should put caution while investing in Telecom and "eal 5state #ompanies. #omparing the individual risks, 1AI), +), and #ipla are high risky compared to the other securities like B9) and Airtel and it is suggested that the investors should be careful while investing in high risk securities. The investors who re0uire average returns with low risk can invest in B9). All the investors who invest in the securities are ultimately benefited by investing in selected scripts of Industries. Investors are advised to invest in Portfolios of +), J #ipla D/;.%%SE followed by 1AI) J#ipla D.%..8SE, 1AI) J B9) D.<.&&SE and #ipla J B9) D.<.&;SE which have given the maximum returns.
)ow "isk investors are advised to keep away from 1AI) J +), Drisk of '<. ?&SE, 1AI) J #ipla D/<./?SE and prefer the Portfolios of #ipla J B9) D&.<%;SE, Airtel J B9) D&.=..SE which have the least risk. Page &% of &' $ome general rules to follow while investing in securities include: (ever invest on the basis of an insider trader tip in a company which is not sound Dinsider trader is person who gives tip for trading in securities based on prices sensitive up price sensitive un published information relating to such securityE. (ever invest in the so called promoter 0uota of lesser known company. (ever invest in a company about which you do not have appropriate knowledge. (ever at all invest in a company which doesn2t have a stringer financial record your portfolio should not stagnate. $huffle the portfolio and replace the slow moving sector with active ones, investors were shatter when the technology, media, software, stops, have taken a down slight. (ever fall to magic of the scripts don2t confine to the blue chip company2s look out for other portfolio that ensure regular dividends. In the same way never react to sudden raise or fall in stock market index such fluctuations in movement minor correction2s in stock market held in consolidation of market their by reading out a weak player often taste on wait for the dust and dim to settle to make your moveO. Page &. of &' !O!"USIOS Portfolio management is a process of encompassing many activities of investment assets and securities. It is a dynamic and flexible concept and involves regular and systematic analysis, judgment, and action. A combination of securities held together will give a beneficial result if they grouped in a manner to secure higher returns after taking into consideration the risk elements. The main objective of the Portfolio management is to help the investors to make wise choice between alternate investments without a post trading shares. Any portfolio management must specify the objectives like aximum returns, !ptimum "eturns, #apital appreciation, $afety etc., in the same prospectus. This service renders optimum returns to the investors by proper selection and continuous shifting of portfolio from one scheme to another scheme of from one plan to another plan within the same scheme. &Greater P'rt(')*' Retr! +*t, )e-- R*-. *- a)+a/- *- a! attra0t*"e 0'12*!at*'!3 !or t"e #nve$tor$. Page &/ of &' I#IO$RAPHY oo<+ referre, : Investment Analysis and Portfolio anagement, written by ."anganathan, ".adhumathi published by +orling Rindersley DIndiaE Pvt.)td., / rd 5dititon. Investment Analysis and Portfolio anagement, written by Prasanna #handra Published by Tata c.1raw4Bill, / rd 5dition. $ecurity Analysis and Portfolio anagement, written by *.A.Avadhani, Published by Bimayala Publishing house Pvt.)td.& th "evised 5diton. $ecurity Analysis and Portfolio anagement, Published by c1raw4Bill, Aritten by Punithavathi Pandian, =th 5dition. %eG-+'te- www.nseindia.com,http:>>www.answers.com>topics>nationalYstockYexchangeYofYi ndia. www.bseindia.com,httpQ>>www.answers.com>topics>bombay YstockYexchangeYofYindia. www.money control.com>nifty>nse www.moneycontrol.com>sensex>bse www.indiainfoline.com Page &' of &'