This study aims at understanding the domestic and international implications of Pakistan's Role in the War on Terror. At international level, Pakistan's pro-active counterterrorism strategies have been praised. However, its adverse domestic consequences have amplified the instability within Pakistan.
This study aims at understanding the domestic and international implications of Pakistan's Role in the War on Terror. At international level, Pakistan's pro-active counterterrorism strategies have been praised. However, its adverse domestic consequences have amplified the instability within Pakistan.
This study aims at understanding the domestic and international implications of Pakistan's Role in the War on Terror. At international level, Pakistan's pro-active counterterrorism strategies have been praised. However, its adverse domestic consequences have amplified the instability within Pakistan.
Pakistans Role in the War on Terror: Domestic and International
Implications
This study aims at understanding the domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in the war on terror. Pakistan by virtue of its geopolitical location, and close relations with the Taliban became a natural and key ally in the U.S led War on Terror. However, Pakistans role in this war is a complex phenomenon in terms of its implications. The relationship between the domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in the War on Terror is paradoxical in nature. At international level Pakistans pro-active counter- terrorism strategies have been praised. It has indeed improved Pakistans image as an important player in the international politics. However, its adverse domestic consequences have amplified the instability within Pakistan. The understanding of Pakistans role in the War on Terror therefore, requires a comprehensive approach which involves different factors of the domestic and international politics. The present study seeks to answers one basic question: Why do the domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in the War on Terror is paradoxical in nature? The basic argument of this paper is that the domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in the War on are paradoxical in nature. The explanation of this argument requires addressing to the following questions: What were the reasons and constraints that led Pakistan to join the international coalition against terrorism? What is Pakistans counter- terrorism strategy? How far Pakistan is successful in combating terrorism? Why does Pakistans role in the war on terror lead towards the radicalisation of its society? How far U.S interests in South Asia are in consonance with Pakistans regional interests? Why anti- Americanism is one of the most dominant trends in Pakistani society?
Pakistans decision to join the War on Terror has multiple implications. The happening of 9/11 had left Pakistan with no choice but to extend its unconditional support to the U.S led war against terrorism. Internationally, Pakistan-US renewed relations have positive impacts on Pakistans standing in the international system. However, the domestic backlash has highlighted the conflicting perception of the state and society in Pakistan. This state-societal divergence hence has undermined Pakistans efforts to combat terrorism. It has exposed 2 Pakistan to problems of home grown militancy and extremism. These domestic and international implications are interlinked hence, reinforcing each other. Therefore, a synthesis of the domestic and international politics can comprehensively explain the Pakistans role in the War on Terror.
The present study approaches the issue analytically. The primary and secondary sources of data collection will be relevant for this study. In primary sources the speeches, statements, policy proclamations, and interviews of Pakistani decision makers will be evaluated. The public polls and surveys are also helpful to understand the domestic perspectives on the War on Terror. The direct and most recent publications, books, International Journals; International Security, Foreign Affairs, The Washington Quarterly, National Journals; Islamabad Policy Research Institute , Institute of Regional Studies, and Pakistan Institute of Peace Studies, and foreign policy year books will be helpful to forge an analysis on the subject. The news papers both English; Dawn, The News, and Daily Times, and Urdu; Nawa- i-Waqt, Jang, Khabrain will be quite effective to infer public opinion for this study. Moreover, the intellectual discussions, seminars, conferences, and lectures will also be supportive for an astute understanding of the subject.
This study is divided into four sections. Section one will discuss the theoretical context, by developing a synthesis between the factors of domestic and international politics, to understand the subject. Section two will describe the national and international environment that has shaped Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy. It will also evaluate the prospects of its success or failure. Section three will explain the domestic implications of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. It will address the issue of radicalisation of Pakistani society. Section four will highlight the international dimension of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. It will analyse the impacts of Pak-US strategic partnership on Pakistans standing in world politics.
3 Section One Pakistans Role in the War on Terror: Theoretical Context
This study explains Pakistans role in the War on Terror in the context of international and domestic politics. Pakistans decision to join the international coalition was the outcome of the structural constraints. The terrorist attacks on U.S; the preponderant power in the unipolar international system, resulted into a global war against terrorism. Moreover, Terrorism had been declared as a threat to the stability of international system. This anti-terrorist global trend forced the international community in general and Pakistan in particular to join the War on Terror. However, the domestic backlash in Pakistan renders the domestic political constraint relevant. The considerations of domestic politics, along with the systemic constraint, have to be observed in understanding Pakistans role in war on terror holistically. The role of state and society, as important factors in domestic politics are analysed for explaining Pakistans behaviour in the Post-9/11 period. This section seeks to address the following question: why neo-realism is a dominant school of thought in international relations? What are the constraints of the explanatory value of neo- realism? What is the explanatory value of the theories of domestic politics? Why and how a synthesis of neo-realism and domestic politics best explain Pakistans role in the war on terror? This section is divided into three parts. Part one explains the dominance of neo-realism in the study of international Relations. Part two highlights the constraints on the explanatory value of neo-realism. Part three discusses about a synthesis of neo-realism and domestic politics to understand Pakistans role in the war on terror.
1- Neo-Realism and its Dominance in International Relations Realism has long been used to describe the concepts of anarchy, self help, and the balance of power in international system. However these concepts have been overshadowed by other concepts which explain the international system better. Neo Realism emerged in the 1970s as a response to the challenges posed by the interdependency theory and also a corrective to 4 traditional realisms neglect of many aspects. 1 State behaviour has been interpreted by many theories some of which have been modified with the changing international environment. However, neo-realism is regarded one of the dominant schools of thought to explain the international behaviour.
Kenneth Waltzs theory of international politics remains the most influential revision of realist theory in the discipline of International Relations. The earlier theories of international relations including classical realism have flaws that can be cured by applying a more scientific approach. According to Waltz, the classical realism was restricted to explaining international relations in terms of selfish human nature whereas his theory rested on the understanding of the structure of international system. Waltz explains international behaviour on the basis of systematic constraints rather than the internal composition of the states. He contends that the systemic forces homogenize foreign policy behaviour by interposing themselves between states and their conduct. Conversely, the classical realism was restricted to explaining the behaviourlist tendencies and thus, the idea of interest defined in terms of power, while ignoring systematic constraints. 2 The systemic account of state behaviour, thus suggests the extensive explanatory capabilities of neo-realism.
For Waltz, the international system is invariable and permanent feature of international politics. It is comprised of the ordering principle of the system, the character of the units in the system, and the distribution of capabilities of the units in the system. 3 Changes in the structure of the system are distinct from changes at the unit level. Thus changes in polarity also affect how states provide for their security. However significant changes take place when the number of great powers reduces to two or one. With more than two, states rely for their security both on internal efforts as well as the alliances they make. 4 Nevertheless, the structural changes affect the behaviour of states and the outcomes produced at the unit level interaction, in terms of nature of distribution of power at international level. Summing up Waltzs neo-realism, whenever the international system is characterized by the conditions of
1 ScoLL 8urchlll and Andrew LlnklaLer, !"#$%&#' $) *+,#%+-,&$+-. /#.-,&$+' (new ?ork: SL. MarLln's ress, 1996), p. 83 2 lbld., pp. 83,86 3 lbld., p.87 4 Kenneth Waltz Structural Realism after the Cold War, International Security, Vol. 25, No.1, (2002). 3 self help in an anarchic environment, there will be similar relative power pursuing behaviour among and between the states. This explains why states act similarly despite their ideological and political diversity.
In the neo-realist framework the following factors are basic and fundamental. Firstly, states are the main actors in international relations; secondly, states are unitary and rational in their behaviour and pursue power; defined as rational interest. Kenneth Waltz carries out his analysis of states at a systematic level and claims that the international system is something more than the sum of its constituents. The international structures are defined according to the principal by which a system is ordered. States are centralized and hierarchical and in such an anarchical environment and decentralized system, the units have the same function but different capabilities. 5 Internally, states are disciplined, organised along hierarchic structures and whilst they internationally compete in an anarchic system for survival and advantage in relations to other units. Therefore, structure not units determines the outcome of international politics. The international structure does three things: Firstly, it has the ordering principle which determines the character of the units and distributes capacity among them. The ordering principle for Waltz is anarchy; with no overwhelming authority above the states. Secondly, the units, States must pursue self help to ensure their survival and security with the help of military might and capabilities. The states are compelled by the ordering principle, anarchy, to behave in a similar manner and seek security and power, thus perpetuates the security competition in international system.
2- Neo-Realism: A Critique Neo-realism is being criticised as a stagnant and status-quo oriented theory. It discusses about the perpetuation of international system and thus rules out the possibility of change. It implies that the system is permanent and that the powerful will continue to control the behaviour of states. However, it does not explore how the system emerged in the first place? Moreover, it does not address the international economic cooperation in the presence of anarchy in the international system.
3 K.enneth Waltz, Theory of International Politics (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1979), pp. 88-100 6 John Vasquez in The Power of Power Politics 6 provides multiple critiques on neo-realism. John Ruggie 7 criticises Waltz that he has assumed an unchanging structure and internal regularity in behaviour in International Politics. It uncovers the main lacuna in structural realism the lack of a theory of change. Keohane 8 highlights that neo-realism ignores and drastically underestimates the influence of institutions on behaviour. For him norms really help in shaping the nature of system structure thus must be included in any systemic analysis. Ashleys 9 telling critique on neo-realism is on treating the given order in international system as the natural order. Robert Cox 10 further uncovers the status-quo orientation of neo-realism and its ideological bias. This criticism hence discredits the neo-realists assumption as the most explanatory of states behaviour.
The inability of a system level account of International Politics to provide the accurate explanation of international behaviour is emphasised by Jack Snyder and Robert Jervis. 11
They contend that structuralist approach of international system has certain restrictions to be the most explanatory of international behaviour. They argue that Waltz has produced a theory too incomplete to account for the complexities of the international system. Bueno de Mesquita and Lalman 12 also emphasise to open up the black box of domestic politics for its ability in explaining the onset of war more comprehensively than the other levels of analysis. The emphasis on the explanatory value of domestic politics thus, has generated a new debate in the world politics.
Paul Schroeder in Historical Reality Vs Neo-Realist Theory, 13 highlights the restraints of structural theory to explain the states behaviour. He criticises neo-realism on its two main assertions: Firstly, the conduct of states in international politics has always been basically the
6 !ohn A. vasquez, !"# 0$1#% $) 0$1#% 0$.&,&2'3 4%$5 6.-''&2-. /#-.&'5 ,$ 7#$,%-8&,&$+-.&'5 (Cambrldge unlverslLy ress, 1998 7 lbld., p. 192 8 lbld., p. 193 9 lbld 10 lbld 11 lbld., p. 194 12 8ruce 8ueno de MesqulLa and uavld Lalman, 9-% -+8 /#-'$+3 :$5#',&2 -+8 *+,#%+-,&$+-. *5;#%-,&<# =(?ale unlverslLy ress, 1992) 13 aul Schroeder, PlsLorlcal 8eallLy vs. neo-reallsL 1heory," *+,#%+-,&$+-. >#2?%&,@= vol. 19, no. 1 (Summer 1994) 7 same; all states are guided by structural constraints and imperatives of anarchy, self help, and balance of power and must be if they hope to survive and prosper. Secondly, states are not functionally differentiated within the structure of international politics. Their common primary function, structurally determined, is to survive and remain independent through self help. What differentiates states is instead their position within the system, i.e., their power relative to others. Domestic society, structured hierarchy and heteronomy, enforces upon its units the mandate of specialisation in order to survive. The international society, structured by autonomy and anarchy, imposes on its units the mandate not to specialise but to concentrate their resources first and foremost on security. 14 Schroder refutes these neo-realist assumptions for the following reasons: Firstly, states, most of the times, cannot afford a strategy of self help. Other strategies such as, hiding from threats by ignoring or declaring neutrality in a general crises, transcending that is overcoming the international anarchy to solve problems; end the threat and prevent its recurrence through some institutional arrangement, and bandwagoning which is to join the stronger side for the sake of protections and pay-offs even by sacrificing certain aspects of state sovereignty, are also available and often tried by the states. Waltzs self help; in the form of balancing against an actual and potential hegemon thus, is relatively rare and often fall back policy or last resort. 15 States strategies are based on their threat perceptions, and mostly aimed at balancing the threats not power. Moreover, they do not unconditionally opt for a strategy but with a rational calculation of costs and benefits.
Secondly, states position and status is not determined by its power but its specific function in the international system recognised by the other states. The small and great states, both ensure their survival in international system not only by balancing but also by specializing in performing important international functions which no other state could do. Moreover, the recognition of such functional roles, by other states, brings support or assistance, and even the acceptance of their leadership in the international system. The questions of how functions and roles were assigned to individual actors, whether those roles were necessary or justified, and how well the actors were fulfilling them, became major issues in international politics. 16
14 lbld., p. 114 13 lbld., pp. 117,118 16 lbld., pp. 123,126 8 The successful specialisation therefore ensures the functional states survival while the failure might be punishable and destructive.
It is therefore, observed that the systemic approach of international politics has certain constraints in explaining the complexities of international behaviour. It does not suggest the anachronistic nature of neo-realist school of thought. Conversely, it highlights the need and importance of incorporating the factors of domestic politics also to understand international relations holistically.
3- A Synthesis of International and Domestic Politics The complexities of international politics require a synthesis of neo-realism and domestic politics to understand the international behaviour. It is argued that the system level explanations are inappropriate to give a comprehensive account of world politics. This study therefore, aims at incorporating domestic politics along with the systemic explanations to explain the states behaviour.
Gideon Roses Neo-Classical Realism 17 therefore, bridges up the domains of external and internal politics. Its adherents argue that the scope and ambition of a countrys foreign policy is driven, first and foremost, by its place in the international system and specifically, by its relative material power capabilities. However, the impact of such capabilities on foreign policy is indirect and complex because systemic pressures must be translated through intervening variables at the unit level. 18 A states foreign policy therefore, is elites perception of its relative power in the international system.
17 Cldeon 8ose, neo-Classlcal 8eallsm and 1heorles of lorelgn ollcy," 9$%.8 0$.&,&2'= vol. 31, no. 1 (CcLober 1998). 18 lbld., pp. 146-147 9 Fareed Zakriya, 19 highlights the relevance of the domestic and systemic factors, simultaneously in explaining the expansionist behaviours of states. In reviewing Jack Snyders domestic political model in Myths of Empire, he argues that: The basic flaw in Myths of Empire is that it accords little weight to systemic causes....the attempt at expansion may chiefly linked to a states domestic politics, but the success of its expansionist policies is surely related to the international environment in which it was tried. By failing to separate the domestic and systemic factors, Snyders treatment of his cases remains incomplete.... A good theory of foreign policy should first ask what effect the international system on national behaviour because the most powerful generalizable characteristic of the state in international relations is in its relative position in international system. 20
Zakriya, though recognises the importance of domestic political factors however, contends that an international behaviour cannot be explained without recourse to the system level factors, and the vice versa.
Interestingly, domestic political factors explain the international behaviours of small and major states simultaneously. Miriam Fendius Elman in The Foreign Policy of Small States: Challenging Neo-Realism in its own Backyard, 21 rejects the conventional wisdom in international relations which suggests that the external factors are more likely to influence the foreign policy of weak states. It is examined that even the most vulnerable states may display foreign policies which are explicable only in terms of domestic politics. 22 She also suggests that the explanatory power of neo- realism varies indirectly with the persistence of a given political regime. 23 Therefore, newly independent states may get conscious of their survival however; their behaviour may better be explained from a domestic perspective later on.
The present study seeks to incorporate the external and internal factors of international politics to explain Pakistans role in the War on Terror. In the Post-9/11 unipolar world, Bandwagoning was the strategy of Pakistan to counter threats to its survival. Pakistans
19 lareed Zakrlya, 8eallsm and uomesLlc ollLlcs: A 8evlew Lssay," *+,#%+-,&$+-. >#2?%&,@, vol. 17, no. 1 (Summer 1992) 20 lbld., pp. 184,183,196,197 21 Mlrlam lendlus Llman, 1he lorelgn ollcles of Small SLaLes: Challenglng neo-8eallsm ln lLs Cwn 8ackyard," A%&,&'" B$?%+-. $) 0$.&,&2-. >2&#+2#, vol. 23, no. 2 (Aprll 1993) 22 lbld., p.212 23 lbld. 10 decision to join the U.S led international coalition against terrorism was the by-product of the systemic constraints. Internationally, Pakistan had been declared as a Major Non-NATO Ally in the War on Terror. Moreover, this specialised role had promised Pakistan the economic, political, and diplomatic support from the international community. However, Pakistan had to face many challenges at the domestic front. The state and societal factors of the domestic politics therefore, have been analysed to account for such challenges. These internal pressures have adverse consequences for Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy. This study hence, aims at a holistic understanding of Pakistans role in order to evaluate the prospects of success in the War on Terror.
Section two International Coalition against Terrorism and Pakistans Counter- Terrorism Strategy
This section explores the reasons for which Pakistan has decided to join the international coalition against terrorism. The earth shaping tragedy of twin towers reflected U.S assertion of its preponderant power and position in the international system. This tragedy had been condemned by the international community at large and extended their support to eradicate terrorism. Pakistans geopolitical environment and its close ties with Taliban regime; the alleged hosts of Al-Qaeeda in Afghanistan, shaped its decision to join the U.S led War on Terror. The section therefore, aims at addressing the following questions: Why did Pakistan join International Coalition against Terrorism? Was there any other choice for Pakistan but to join the War on Terror? What is Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy? How far Pakistan is successful in combating terrorism? How do the military and democratic political regimes in Pakistan have crafted its counter terrorism strategy?
This section is divided into three parts. Part one deals with the choices and compulsions to of Pakistans engagement in the War on Terror. Part two describes Pakistans counter terrorism strategy both, under military and democratic political set ups. Part three analyses the success or failure of Pakistans anti-terrorism regime. 11
1- Pakistans Engagement in the War on Terror: The Choices and Constraints There are multiple reasons for Pakistans decision to join the international coalition against terrorism. In the Pre-9/11 period, Pakistan was facing multiple problems at domestic and international levels. Fazal-ur Rehman in his article Pakistan and the War on Terrorism 24
accounted numerous reasons for the negative image of Pakistan. The charge sheet against Pakistan was comprised of the corruption of the political elites, bad economic conditions, nuclear explosions in 1998, alleged support to the Kashmiri Freedom Struggle, the Kargil conflict, and the military coup against a democratically elected regime in 1999; and above all its support to the Taliban since 1994. 25 However, its decision to join the War on Terror had improved its image from a so called a failed state to a responsible player in international politics.
Historically, the regional and international communities have long regarded the Pakistani establishment as principal supporter of the Taliban and a sympathizer of Osama Bin Laden. Pakistan was the second country, after Saudi Arabia, in the world which had recognised the Talibans government as the legitimate government of Afghanistan. Pakistans support to Taliban was the outcome of its military strategy of strategic depth in case of any Indian attack on Pakistan. Moreover, the Pakistani law enforcement agencies recorded that suspected terrorist gangs involved in crimes on Pakistani streets were allowed to operate freely to and from Afghanistan. 26 Oliver Roy in his essay The Taliban: A strategic Tool for Pakistan, 27
identifies two perspectives to understand Pakistans Pro-Taliban Policy: Firstly, the geo- strategic perspective was aimed at asserting the regional influence of Pakistan by establishing a kind of control in Afghanistan, through a fundamentalist Pakhtun-dominated movement. Secondly, an ideological and religious connection provided by extending the informal networks of Madrassas in Pakistan, not only challenged the Islamic credentials of Pakistani Government but also provided a non-governmental tool of influence in the region. 28
24 lazal-ur-8ehman, aklsLan and Lhe War on 1error," >,%-,#C&2 >,?8&#', vol. xxlll, no. 3, (AuLumn 2003) 23 lbld., p.37 26 Syed Farooq Hasnat, and Tahmina Rashid, Implications of the 9/11: A Pakistani Perspective, IPRI Journal Vol. IV, No.1 (Winter 2004), p. 97. 27 Cllver 8oy, 1he 1allban: A SLraLeglc 1ool for aklsLan" ln 0-D&',-+3 7-,&$+-.&'5 1&,"$?, - 7-,&$+, LdlLed by ChrlsLopher !afferloL (new uelhl: Manohar ubllshers and ulsLrlbuLors, 2002) 28 lbld., p. 149. 12 Pakistans Pro-Taliban policy therefore, proved to be a disaster in the Post-9/11 period. Taliban were declared terrorist for giving refuge to Osama bin Laden and the members of Al- Qaeeda; the culprits of the Twin Tower tragedy. This ultimately led Pakistan towards a shift from a policy of pro to anti-Talibanism.
It is significant as well as complex to figure out whether Pakistan had any other options but to join the international coalition against terrorism. On the eve of 9/11, Pakistani government and its people expressed their shock and grief on the happening of 9/11. Syed Farooq Hasnat and Tahmina Rashid in Implications of the 9/11: A Pakistani Perspective, explain that in response to the American demands either you are with us or with the terrorists, Pakistani military regime was left with no choice but to join the international coalition against terrorism. 29 The compulsions of international system left Pakistan with no choice but to join the War on Terror. Moreover, Pakistani state, being conscious of its pro-Taliban policies, offered its unconditional support in this war.
There were some other regional and domestic reasons which determined a key role for Pakistan in the War on Terror. At the foremost, Pakistan was facing threat from religious Islamic militancy. This threat of home grown militancy had been compounded by the spill over efforts of the ongoing war against terrorism in Afghanistan. Moreover, the rising possibility of war with India, on account of Islamabads perceived unwillingness to discourage cross border terrorism in the Indian held Kashmir, was another important concern of Pakistan in the Post-9/11 milieu. Syed Riffat Hussain in War against terrorism: Pakistani Perspective 30 states that General Musharrafs decision to abandon the Taliban was not only a national policy response to cataclysmic event of 9/11 but also a logical outgrowth of his pre 9/11 reformist agenda to rebuild national confidence and morale, strengthening federation, revive economy and ensuring speedy justice, depoliticise state institutions, devolution of power to grass root level and accountability. 31 It manifests that Musharrafs decision to join global War on Terror ensured his regimes perpetuation and stability in return. The adverse impacts of domestic and regional instability on Pakistans
29 PasnaL, and 1ahmlna, Cp.ClL. 30 Syed 8lfaaL Pussaln, War AgalnsL 1errorlsm: aklsLanl erspecLlve," *0/* B$?%+-., Cp.ClL. 31 lbld., p. 33. 13 economy also determined its choices in the War on Terror. However, there were certain dissenting opinions on the level of support offered by Pakistan in the U.S led War on Terror.
Robert Wirsing, 32 explores the dark sides of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. Pakistans President Musharraf in his candid address to the nation stated that wrong decisions in the countrys moment of crises can have threatening consequences for Pakistans critical concerns. What Musharraf did not say, at least in public, was that Pakistans avoidance of wrong decisions was going to be far from easy. 33 It suggests that the Pakistani decision makers could not foresee or might have overlooked the following consequence of Pakistans engagement in the War on Terror: Firstly, Pakistans abandonment of the Taliban meant that Islamabad lost influence not only in Afghanistans potential for providing Pakistan with greater strategic- depth but also vital access to the energy rich states of Central Asia. Moreover, it had to worry about the Post-Taliban Afghanistans political alignment in particular, where it might stand in relation to New Delhi, which indeed became a reality later on.
Secondly, the War on Terror had a negative impact on the public opinion in Pakistan. It ultimately pressurised Islamabad to break its ties from Washington. Thirdly, Islamic extremist forces, which were well entrenched in Pakistani society, posed a great challenge to the Pakistani state. The Islamic parties, which were the by product of state policies and got out of control thus, constituted a major threat not only to the domestic stability of Pakistan but also to its International reputation. 34 Fourthly, such an engagement had adverse impacts on Pakistans Kashmir Policy, whereby India tried its level best to declare Pakistan a terrorist state which harboured terrorism in Indian-held Kashmir. Fifthly, the pressures have also been mounted on the security of Pakistans nuclear program. Anatol Lieven in The Pressures on Pakistan: Allah, the Army, and America 35 has highlighted the possibilities of an Islamic revolution in Pakistan. In such a situation, the international community in general and U.S in
32 8oberL Wlrslng, aklsLan's SLraLeglc opLlon: lrom Lhe Cold War Lo Lhe War on 1errorlsm," ln 7#1 0#%';#2,&<#' $+ 0-D&',-+3 E&'&$+' )$% ,"# 4?,?%#, edlLed by Saeed ShafqaL (Cxford unlverslLy ress, 2007) 33 lbld., p. 336. 34 lbld., p.339 33 Anatol Lieven, The Pressures on Pakistan: Allah, The Army, and America, 4$%#&C+ F))-&%', vol. 81, no. 1 (!anuary/leburary 2002) 14 particular were apprehensive of the Islamists control of the Pakistani nuclear weapons. Pakistans decision to join international coalition was a consequence of the domestic and international compulsions. However, a cautious approach towards deciding the terms of Pakistans engagement could ensure a relatively more secure and stable Pakistan.
2- Pakistans Counter-Terrorism Strategy: A Continuity or Change? Understanding Pakistans role in the War on Terror requires description and evaluation of its counter-terrorism strategy. It is significant to an extent to unleash different myths and realities about Pakistans performance in this war. It will also highlight the context in which the present study seeks to explain the domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in this war. For this study addresses the following questions: What is Pakistans counter- terrorism strategy? Was Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy is a personal choice of Musharraf? Is there continuity or change in Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy in the Post- Musharraf democratic set-up? Is Pakistans strategy to combat terrorism a success or failure? This part is further divided into the following three sub-parts. The first one discusses the imperatives and choices of Musharraf while crafting Pakistans counter-terrorism policy. The second evaluates the performance of Pakistans democratic regime in the war on terror, and the third critically evaluates the prospects of success or failure of Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy.
a) Musharrafs Regime and the Anti-Terrorism Strategy President Musharraf himself was strongly committed to purging both Al-Qaeeda and the Taliban. The imperatives of eliminating Al-Qaeeda were obvious: Pakistan was never directly a sponsor of this group in Afghanistan, and destroying its network has been the prerequisite the Pakistani counterterrorism partnership with U.S. Personally, Musharraf vehemently opposed the political philosophy of Taliban. He had repeatedly declared that the Talibanisation as the most pressing threat to Pakistan. He regarded Talibanisation as a state of mind that require more comprehensive and long term strategy where military action must be combined with the political approach and socio-economic development. Whether such perceptions have translated into an effective strategy to eradicate terrorism, need to be evaluated. 13
Ashelly Tellis in Pakistan and the War on Terror: Conflicted Goals, Compromised Performance 36 gives four categories to understand terrorism within Pakistan. Firstly, the domestic sectarian groups in Pakistan such as: Sipah Sahaba, Laskkare Jhangvi, Tehrik-i- Nifaz-i-Jafriya which have killed or injured hundreds of people each year. Confronting the sectarian challenges to the writ of the state, Musharraf was content to exploit the opportunities offered by the War on terror, to crackdown on these groups and suppress them once and for all. He did so, however selectively. 37 He however, targeted only those groups whose objectives were in contradiction with the militarys perception of the national interest of Pakistan.
Secondly, the terrorist outfits operating with Pakistans army and intelligences support against India and Kashmir are treated in a different way. These groups, Hizbul-Mujahideen, harkatul Mujahideen, Lashkar-e-Taiba, and Jaish-e-Muhammad, were financed, trained, armed and launched and then exempted from this crackdown on the strategic rationale that Pakistans participation in War on Terror was intended to protect its freedom of action in Kashmir. These groups personified the legitimate Kashmiri struggle for self determination against India. 38 Nevertheless, regional, and international factors forced Musharraf to isolate these groups both physically and financially.
Thirdly, the Pashtun remnants of the Taliban regime which were ejected from power in Kabul. Since Pakistani government was engaged in the creation of the Taliban before their fall, Taliban cadres hastily returned to the regions of their origin after the defeat. Fourthly, it was Al-Qaeeda which had taken up sanctuary in South Waziristan. The Pakistani army and state had a consensus on destroying such Al-Qaeeda elements from Pakistan. 39 Therefore, a number of foreign elements have been arrested and handed over to the United States.
36 Ashley !. Tellis, Pakistan and the War on Terror: Conflicted Goals, Compromised Performance, (Washington:Carnegie Endowment, 2008) 37 lbld., p.4 38 lbld., p.3 39 lbld., p.9 16 Operationalizing Musharrafs strategy to combat terrorism, Charles Kennedy in Pakistans Anti-Terrorism Regime, 1997-2003 40 unleashes that Pakistans anti-terrorism strategy had been crafted by Nawaz Sharif in 1997. It was aimed at targeting the political opponents or to address the ethno-national conflicts in Pakistan. In wake of the September tragedy, Musharraf just had to amend this regime to apply against the terrorists. This regime defined terrorism as doing of anything that causes death or endangers a persons life. 41 This definition empowered Musharraf to proscribe an organisation if it has reason to believe that it a) commits or participates in acts of terrorism; b) prepares for terrorism; c) promotes or encourages terrorism; d) supports or assists any organistaion concerned with terrorism; e) patronises and assists in the incitement of hatred and contempt on religion, sectarian or ethnic lines that stir-up disorder; f) fails to expel from its ranks or ostracize those who commit acts of terrorism and present them as heroic persons; or g) is otherwise concerned with terrorism. 42 Such an amendment facilitated in proscribing the Lashkar-i-Jhangwi, Sipah-e- Sahaba, Lashkar-e-Taiba, Jaish-e-Muhammad, Harkat-ul Mujahideen, and tehrik-e-Nifaz-e- Jafriya Pakistan. Moreover, it led to the arresting of their leadership and freezing of their bank accounts.
Musharraf also turned his attention towards reforming the Madrassa system in Pakistan. There was an emerging worldwide consensus that Madrassa in Pakistan were directly responsible for the creation of the Taliban. Responding to such pressures, Musharrafs had placed Madrassas under the federal, provincial or district controls. The Madrassa curriculum reforms were introduced to make it more modern and scientific. Moreover, additional conditions on visa requirements and related matters concerning foreigners were implemented. 43 In nutshell, Musharrafs counter terrorism strategy was holistic in nature. It addressed the political, religious, and socio-cultural causes of terrorism in Pakistan.
40 Charles Kennedy, Pakistans Anti-Terrorism Regime, 1997-2003, New Perspectives on Pakistan, Op.Cit. 41 lbld., p. 340 42 lbld., p. 341 43 lbld., p.343 17 b) Democratic Regime in Pakistan and the War on Terror: A Continuity or Change? In the Post-Musharraf democratic set-up, Pakistan continues its support in the U.S led War on Terror. Ashley Tellis 44 argues that though Pakistans strategy to combat terrorism was shaped and implemented by General Musharraf, it would be erroneous to conclude that this prevailing strategy is owed simply to the whim of one man. Musharrafs counter-terrorism strategy was publically perceived as personal dicta but reflected the perception of the army in the military dominated state of Pakistan. In other words, even if Musharraf were to suddenly exit from Islamabads political scene, the counter-terrorism strategy of Pakistan would survive as long as the men on horseback continue to be the principle guardians of Islamabads national security policy. Ian Talbot 45 takes up the same argument for the reasons of geopolitics and the self interest of military as an institution in Pakistan. Therefore, one may predict the continuity in Pakistans counter-terrorism strategy even in the democratic political set-up.
Pakistans democratic regime shares militarys perceptions on the War on Terror. Shabana Fayyaz 46 argues that the government in Islamabad whether led by Musharraf or by Pakistans Peoples Party led Coalition, has remained committed to ensuring success in the war on terror. 47 Since 2001, Pakistan has been pro-actively pursuing a policy of eliminating the extremist elements either by force or political dialogue. In 2008 alone, Pakistan arrested 4,113 militants, launched 12 major military operations against Taliban, killing over 3,000 and arresting more than 2000 militants including Afghan Taliban. 48 The Swats military operation and the U.S Drone attacks within Pakistan, which has killed the supreme commander of Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan Baitullah Mehsud 49 therefore, manifest continuity in Pakistans anti-terrorism strategy. However, by owning this war, the PPP government reflects an anomaly in the Pakistani perception of this war since 2001. Such an ownership will help at winning the support of people which is a sine qua non for success in the War on Terror.
44 1ellls. Cp.ClL. p. 12 43 lan 1alboL, uoes Army Shape aklsLan's lorelgn ollcy," 0-D&',-+3 7-,&$+-.&'5 1&,"$?, - 7-,&$+, (new uelhl: Manohar ubllshers, 2002) 46 Shabana layyaz, osL-9/11 eace narraLlve ln aklsLan," 0*0> B$?%+-., vol.2, no.1 (!an-March, 2009) 47 lbld., p.68 48 lbld. 49 Peadllne news ln :-1+, AugusL 18, 2009 18 c) Is Pakistans Counter-Terrorism Strategy a Success? Evaluating Pakistans success or failure in the war on terror is a relative and complex phenomenon. According to Charles Kennedy, 50 success in the War on Terror depends on a) how one defines success; b) whether one is approaching this question from the perspective of domestic or International factors; or c) the motivations of the actors involved. 51 Philip H. Gordon in Can the War on Terror Be Won? 52 contends that: It is impossible to win a war without knowing its goal...Victory will come ...when the ideology of terrorists espouse is discredited, when their tactics are seen to have failed, and when they come to find more promising paths to the dignity respect, opportunities they crave....Terrorism has been a tactic used by the weak in an effort to produce political change...The goal of ending terrorism entirely is not only unrealistic but also counterproductive-just as is the pursuit of other utopian goals. 53
Therefore, failure to define clear goals in the War on Terror will be counter-productive. Moreover, the lack of consensus on the definition of terrorism may suggest the continuity of this war for an indefinite period.
Interestingly, there was hardly any external pressure on the restoration of democracy in Pakistan during Musharrafs regime. Pakistan has also resumed its security relationship with U.S and has been promised the international economic assistance by the West. However, Pakistan has become a victim of its own rhetoric with respect to Kashmir. In case Pakistan continues to fight in the War on Terror, it will be hard to justify its continued support for non- state actors in their struggle against India. 54 There have been negative societal, political and legal consequences for Pakistans role in the War on Terror. Nevertheless, it has hardly influenced the commitments of Pakistani state to continue its role as a key ally in the War on Terror.
30 kennedy. Cp.ClL., p.347 31 lbld 32 hlllp P. Cordon, Can Lhe war on 1error 8e Won? Pow Lo llghL Lhe rlghL War," 4$%#&C+ F))-&%', vol.86, no.6 (november/uecember 2007) 33 lbld., pp. 34, 38, 39. 34 kennedy, Cp.ClL., p. 337 19 Section Three Domestic Implications of Pakistans Role in the War on Terror
This section deals with the adverse domestic consequences of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. This study explores the domestic resentment by analysing the nature and attitudes of Pakistani society. The Pakistani society does not share states perceptions on the War on Terror. Pakistans decision to join the international coalition against terrorism challenged different social norms and values of a larger Pan-Islamic identity interpreted in terms of Pakistans support for Kashmiris right of self determination and recognition of the Taliban as the legitimate regime in Afghanistan. The Pakistans U-turn to its pro-Taliban policy had domestic backlash specifically, from the so called Islamic factions in Pakistan. This study explain the domestic consequences of Pakistans role in the War on Terror by addressing the following question: Why does Pakistans role in the War on Terror lead towards the radicalisation of its society? Why do the state and society in Pakistan have divergent perspective on the War on Terror? Does Madrassa Culture denote radicalisation of Pakistani society?
The public in Pakistan has suspicions on Pakistans role in the War on Terror. According to the Pew Global Attitudes Opinion Survey of over 38,000 people in 44 nations, conducted roughly a year after 9/11, the majority in Pakistan showed their resentment against the Governments decision to fight U.S led war on terror, and disliked the U.S ideas and customs. 55 However, according to the Gallup Opinion Survey 2002, when asked whether terrorist attacks on the WTC were morally justified, 61% of Pakistanis said no. This clearly shows that while expressing their opposition to the U.S led War on terror, most Pakistanis strongly opposed the killings of innocent civilians by terrorist groups such as Al-Qaeeda in the name of Islam. 56 The public sentiment, therefore predominantly reflect the perceptions about U.S in the Pakistani society.
33 kennedy. Cp.ClL., p.338 36 Pussaln. Cp.ClL., p. 33 20 Anti-Americanism has emerged as a dominant trend in Pakistani society. It has been explained under the following three models: Firstly, the Friendship-Betrayal Model based on the historical experiences of engagement and estrangement in Pak-U.S relations, secondly, Anti-Imperialism which reflects the capitalist, resource oriented U.S policies in the developing countries, thirdly, Anti-Islamism based on the pro-Israeli and pro-Indian U.S policies in the world. The election results 2002 also manifest the anti-Americanism a decisive factor in Mutahida Majlis-i-Amals success in NWFP and Baluchistan. However, MMAs success had other reasons of economic dislocation, and the absence of mainstream political parties from the elections. 57 Paradoxically, these Islamic parties lend their support to protect Musharrafs actions and policies by facilitating a constitutional amendment in Pakistan.
Pakistans counter terrorism strategy is another instance of diverging state-societal relationship. The U.S drone attacks in the tribal belt of Pakistan have been regarded as a violation of sovereignty of Pakistan. Moreover, the killings of innocent people in such incidents have resulted in a collateral damage in terms of rising extremism and suicide attacks within Pakistan. However, the majority in Pakistan have expressed reservations about religious extremism and have condemned the suicide bombings. Moreover, they have shunned the extremist interpretations of Islam to be identified as moderate and progressive Muslims. Phlilip Gordon 58 maintains that there are signs of Muslim backlash against al- Qaeedas use of wanton violence as a political tool. Muslims reaction has followed Al- Qaeeda attacks in Egypt, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Saud-i-Arabia....Militants will keep pushing the envelope and committing more atrocities to the point that the dream will no longer be attractive to young people. 59 Stephen Philip Cohen in The Jihadist Threat to Pakistan 60 holds that with little mass support in this deeply Islamic, yet still moderate country, radical Islamists have not been able to successfully conduct an Islamic coup to seize the levers of government. 61 Therefore, the emerging consensus within Pakistani society to reject fundamentalist and extremist ideologies is a good omen in Pakistans struggle to against terrorism.
37 lbld 38 Cordon. Cp.ClL. 39 lbld., p. 62 60 SLephen hlllp Cohen, 1he [lhadlsL 1hreaL Lo aklsLan," !"# 9-'"&+C,$+ G?-%,#%.@, vol.26, no.3 (Summer 2003) 61 lbld., p.7 21 In order to comprehend the radicalisation of Pakistani society, one must understand the phenomenon of radicalisation. There is a consensus between the Pakistani intellectuals that radicalisation is not necessarily a religious phenomenon but depends on the political contexts. 62 According to Dr. Tariq Rehman, 63 radicalism is not necessarily a religious phenomenon. It can occur in any ideological or secular leaning. Mumtaz Ahmed 64 suggests that the definitions of moderate and radicals continue to change depending on the political context or ones ideological perspective. Form the above definitions one can infer that radicalism in Pakistan is not a primordial but an instrumentalist attitude which is determined by the external regional and global environments. Its origins in Pakistan can be traced in the states policies in Afghan Jihad, the establishment of the Taliban, and the Pakistans Kashmir policy during the 1980s and the 1990s.
In the context of militarisation of Pakistani society, the role of army is dubious in character. Hasan Abbas in Pakistans Drift into Extremism 65 highlighted the Pakistani militarys historical practice of courting the Mullahs. Hussain Haqqanis Pakistan: Between Mosque and Military 66 emphasises the historical alliance between Islamists and Pakistan military which has the potential of frustrating anti-terrorist operations, radicalising the key segments of the Islamic world, and bringing India and Pakistan yet again to the brink of war. Therefore, However, Hussain Haqqani in his article The Role of Islam in Pakistans Future 67 holds that Pakistans all powerful military can be persuaded to cede the power gradually to secular civilians and allow the secular politics of competing economic and regional interests to prevail over religious sentiments, the countrys vulnerability to radical Islamic politics will not wane. 68 It suggests that the lack of democracy and communication may perpetuate the extremist attitudes in Pakistan.
62 ueflnlng Lhe henomenon of 8adlcallsaLlon ln aklsLan: A 8eporL," 0*0> B$?%+-.H Cp.ClL., p.3 63 lbld., p.7 64 lbld., p.9 63 Passan Abbas, 0-D&',-+I' :%&), &+,$ JK,%#5&'53 F..-"= ,"# F%5@= -+8 F5#%&2-I' 9-% $+ !#%%$% (new uelhl: enLagon ress, 2oo3) 66 Pussaln Paqqanl, 0-D&',-+3 A#,1##+ L$'M?# -+8 L&.&,-%@ (vanguard, 2003) 67 Pussaln Paqqanl, 1he 8ole of lslam ln aklsLan's luLure," !"# 9-'"&+C,$+ G?-%,#%.@, vol.28, no.1 (WlnLer 2004-03) 68 lbld., pp. 83-86 22 The above discussion fosters the interest in exploring whether the Madrassa culture is a factor in the radicalisation of Pakistani society? Muhammad Amir Rana takes up this argument in his article Mapping the Madrassa Minset: Political attitudes of Pakistani Seminaries, 69 and identifies different perspectives on Madrassas role in the radicalisation of Pakistani society. However, most of the Madrassas surveyed, condemn terrorism as an evil. They hold that Pakistan should support the anti-terror campaign only when it is not directed against Muslims or Islamic Countries. 70 Moreover, the majority of Madrassas have rejected the possibility of offering any political support to the Taliban movement. There was almost a consensus on the pseudo-Islamic justifications for committing suicide attacks. Moreover, it is suggested that the Madrassas are not confined to religious issues only and their views are in line with the general public perceptions. 71 This is an insightful study about the prevailing Madrassa attitudes in Pakistan. However, the survey findings reflect an oversimplification of the matter. Madrassas, as boarding schools, depict the philanthropist attitude of Pakistani society. However, one has to be mindful of the controlling and then training capabilities of these religious seminaries. Moreover, they provide an opportunity to the external financers to intervene into the internal politics of Pakistan.
The Madrassas however, do not directly pose any threat to world peace and security. Peter Bergan and Sawati Pandey in The Madrass Scapegoat 72 explores that Madrassas should not be a national security concern for Western countries because they do not provide potential terrorists with the language and technical skills necessary to attack western targets. This is not to say that Madrassas do not pose problem to the extent they hinder development by failing properly to educate students in Asia, Arab, and African countries and that they create sectarian violence, particularly in Pakistan, Madrassa should remain on Policy makers mind as a regional concern. A national security policy focused on Madrassas as a principle source of terrorism, however, is misguided. 73
It suggests that combating terrorism requires more than the eradication of Madrassa culture. Under the state control, these religious seminaries can be best utilised for the welfare of the poor in society. A religious ideology may breed terrorism but terrorism is not all about
69 Muhammad Amlr 8ana, Mapplng Lhe Madrasa MlndseL: ollLlcal aLLlLudes of aklsLanl Madarls," 0*0> B$?%+-.H Cp.ClL. 70 lbld., p.32 71 lbld., p.39 72 eLer 8ergen, and SwaLl andey, 1he Madrassa ScapegoaL," !"# 9-'"&+C,$+ G?-,#%.@= vol.29, no.2 (Sprlng 2006) 73 lbld., pp.118-119 23 religion. One must be mindful of the root causes of terrorism that lie in the social, economic and political exploitations and injustices worldwide.
In nut shell, Pakistans role in the War on Terror has exposed it to numerous domestic challenges however, they are not exclusively the by product of it. Pakistan had been facing the problems of militancy, sectarianism, and fundamentalist ideologies since the 1980s. In the presence of hostile regional environment, such issues have been ignored by the Pakistani state. Nevertheless, Pakistan must learn to address these problems by ensuring continuity in its democratic set up. Moreover, the ideologies of social, economic, religious and political exploitations must be eliminated.
Section Four International Implications of Pakistans Role in the War on Terror
This section deals with Pakistan-U.S relations to explain the international dimension of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. Pakistans pro-active counter terrorism strategy has positive implications for its image at international level. The U.S has also promised its assistance and support to ensure socio-economic and political stability in Pakistan. However, there are certain adverse dimensions of this renewed US-Pak alliance which has negative consequences for Pakistan. The present study therefore, explains the multifaceted Pak-US relations by responding to the following questions: What is the nature of Pakistan-US relations in the Post-9/11? What are the U.S interests in forging partnership with Pakistan? How does U.S perceive Pakistans role in combating terrorism? How far U.S interests in South Asia are in consonance with Pakistans regional interests? Why anti-Americanism is a dominant emerging trend in Pakistani society? 24
There are multiple perspectives to understand Pak-US relations. Noor-ul Haq in his article Unipolarism and Pak-US Relations 74 views at the imperialistic aspect of Pak-US relations. He argues that: The US imperialistic behaviour denotes specific forms of aggressive behaviour on the part of certain states against others.it is also often equated with the exercise of any form of political control or influence by one political community over another. Pressure and political control can be exercised through peaceful practices such as financial and economic transactions, cultural activities, diplomatic arrangements or through outright violence such as economic sanctions, military intimidation or through outright violence such as show of arms or actual use of force, conquest and repression. The US has already gone in for some of these options and if and when deemed appropriate, seems capable of using all. 75
The U.S response to Twin Tower tragedy manifests its preponderant position in the international system. U.S declared terrorists as a menace to the world civilization hence, a threat to the international peace and security. It presented before the world a stark choice either to be with U.S or with terrorists. Therefore, U.S dominated international politics left the world community, in general and Pakistan in particular with no choice but to combat terrorism.
The Pakistan-U.S engagement has changed much for Pakistan domestically and internationally. Robert Wirsing 76 has viewed the renewed Pak-US relation as shaped by many factors. These factors include Pakistans confrontational relationship with India, the implementation of the principles of free market and democracy, the role of Islam, and the nuclear program of Pakistan. Above all, what always impacted most heavily on Pakistans standing in Washington was its strategic utility or fit- whether and to what extent, its leaders seemed able and willing to meld Pakistans national interests to US policy imperatives. In this transparency dependant relationship, it was always Washingtons perception of strategic necessity, in company with Pakistans capacity for adapting to it that drove the US-Pakistan relationship. 77 Therefore, Pak-US relations can best be explained as marriage of convenience. Both have forged the alliance for the fulfilment of their short term strategic interests.
74 ur. noor ul Paq, unlpolarlsm and ak-u.S 8elaLlons, *0/* B$?%+-., vol. vl, no.1 (WlnLer 2006) 73 lbld.,p. 94. 76 Wlrslng. Cp.ClL. pp. 334,333 77 lbld., pp. 334-333 23 The U.S interests in South Asia are national as well as global in nature. Hasan Askari Rizvi 78
suggests that Pakistan-US have reinvigorated their relations thrice. The first bilateral cooperation begins in the mid-1950s, primarily as a security arrangement based on U.S policy of Soviet containment and Pakistans security problems with India. The second phase of revived Pak-US relations covers the decade of the 1980s, against the backdrop of the Soviet military intervention in Afghanistan. He infers that on both occasions, the relationship ran into trouble with the change of regional and international political and security environments. 79 Therefore, the third revival in US-Pak relations raises questions about its credibility and endurance in the context of the War on Terror. Musharraf in an interview with Larry King on CNN in October 2001 stated: Whether Pakistanis, once the moment of their countrys immediate strategic utility has passed, would experience once again the sense of betrayal and abandonment that had been there in past encounters with the United States of America. 80
It suggests that the periods of friendship and betrayal best explain the history of Pak-US relations. However, this lack of trust may have adverse impacts on their efforts in combating terrorism.
Pakistans role in the War on terror has multiple dimensions. Pakistans choice to join the US led War on Terror required to offer immediate tangible aid-including military bases, over- flight privileges, and intelligence cooperation-in Washingtons impending war on Afghanistan. Pakistans support in this war was an attempt to safeguard its strategic interests in a context of growing Washingtons intimacy with New Delhi, suspicions on Pakistans nuclear program, lurching economic conditions and diplomatic isolation for the military coup of 1999 and the persistent support to Taliban in Afghanistan were perceived imminent threats to Pakistan. Bob Woodward in Bush At War 81 gives a credible narrative of the exchanges between Washington and Islamabad. He explained in detail what followed the September 12 meeting between General Mehmood and Richard Armitage where the later handed over a non-negotiable list of U.S demands to Pakistan. Therefore, Pakistan, in this partnership has to say less and do more.
78 Pasan Askarl 8lzvl, aklsLan, Lhe unlLed SLaLes and SouLh Asla," L-N$% 0$1#%' -+8 >$?," F'&-, (lslamabad: lnLernaLlonal lnsLlLuLe of SLraLeglc SLudles, 2004) 79 lbld., pp. 67-68. 80 Larry klng of Cnn on CcLober 23, 2001 lslamabad: MlnlsLry of lorelgn Affalrs, CcLober 23, 2001), aL www.forlsb.org/ce-017.hLml 81 8ob woodward, A?'" F, 9-% (London: Slmon and SchusLer, 2003), p. 47 26 Exploring convergence or divergence in renewed Pakistan-US relations requires the understanding of their perceptions. Stephen P. Cohen in his article The United States and South Asia: Core Interests and Policies and their Impact on Regional Countries 82 articulates important US interests which are to counter Al-Qaeeda, and not to allow Pakistani territory to be used for terrorist activities, the security of Pakistans nuclear program, democratization, the need for improved Indo-Pak relations, and the de-radicalization of Pakistani society. 83 On the other hand, Pakistani interests in this renewed partnership are by Musharraf in his address to the nation on September13, 2001 as: We, in Pakistan facing a very critical situation, perhaps as critical as in 1971.If we make the wrong decisions, our vital interests will be harmed.Our critical concerns, are our sovereignty, second our economy, third our strategic assets (nuclear and missiles), and fourth our Kashmir cause. All four will be harmed, if we take a wrong decision. Pakistan comes first, everything else is secondary. 84
It signifies that the Pak-US strategic partnership is the outcome of the regional, and international compulsions however, is in the national interest of Pakistan.
The trust and personal dimensions are another interesting factor in Pak-U.S renewed friendship. Craig Cohen, and Derek Chollet in their essay on When $10 Billion Is Not Enough: Rethinking U.S strategy towards Pakistan 85 describes: What is truly unique about this arrangement is that no formal agreement or user fees were negotiated, nor was a repayment mechanism created.The reality is that U.S assistance since September 11 attacks is not money intended to transform the nature of the Pakistani state or society or to strengthen Pakistans internal stability but a thank you to Musharrafs regime for the critical role Pakistan has played in Operation Enduring Freedom. 86
Musharraf earned great respect and praises during his visits to the United States in 2002 and 2005 respectively. When President George Bush met with Musharraf at the White House in September 2006, he stated: When (Musharraf) looks me in the eye and says...there wont be
82 SLephen hlllp Cohen, 1he unlLed SLaLes and SouLh Asla: Core lnLeresLs and ollcles and Lhelr lmpacLs on 8eglonal CounLrles," ln L-N$% 0$1#%' -+8 >$?," F'&-. Cp.ClL. 83 lbld., pp. 31-32 84 hLLp://www.lnfopak.gov.pk/resldenL_Addresses/presldenLlal_addresses_lndex.hLm 83 Cralg Cohen, and uerek CholleL, When $10 8llllon ls noL Lnough: 8eLhlnklng u.S. SLraLegy 1oward aklsLan," !"# 9-'"&+C,$+ G?-%,#%.@ vol. 30, no. 2, (Sprlng 2007) 86 lbld., pp. 10-11 27 a Taliban and wont be Al-Qaeeda, I believe him. 87 This personality factor also rendered a democratic set-up in Pakistan at lowest in U.S policy agenda. However, the change of regime in Pakistan does not suggest a compromise on U.S interests. The Pakistans role in the War on Terror reflects a continuity which is a linchpin in Pak-U.S relations.
The U.S stance on India and Kashmir reflects a divergence in Pak-US interests. Teresita C. Schaffer in her article U.S Influences in Pakistan: Can Partners have Divergent Priorities 88 highlights the divergence of interest between the U.S and Pakistan in case of dealing with India. In the wake of attacks on the Indian Parliament in December, 2001, India was trying to highlight Pakistans role in Kashmir as the supporter of terrorism. Pakistan, on the other hand, hoped that its support for U.S policy in Afghanistan would lead the U.S to turn a blind eye to Pakistans support for militancy in Kashmir. Moreover, U.S will provide support to settle the Kashmir issue but all hopes went in vain. Instead Musharraf promised to end the infiltration. 89 Moreover, the Indo-U.S nuclear deal has dashed down the Pakistani hopes to forge a long term strategic partnership with the U.S.
Domestically, the alliance between Washington and Islamabad has negative consequences for Pakistan. Anti-Americanism has emerged as one of the dominanat trends in Pakistani society. Touqir Hussain, in U.S-Pakistan Engagement: The War on Terrorism and Beyond 90 suggests four concentric circles as reasons to anti- Americanism in Pakistan which are general reaction to U.S might and power, Americas current International conduct, relations between Islam and the West, and the history of U.S-Pakistan relations. 91 Such problems have a negative impact on the ongoing partnership between Washington and Islamabad. However, the glue that makes such a partnership effective comes from joint commitment to prevail in the War on Terror.
87 lbld, p. 8 88 1ereslLa C. Schaffer, u.S lnfluence on aklsLan: Can arLners have ulvergenL rlorlLles?" !"# 9-'"&+C,$+ G?-%,#%.@, vol. 26, no. 1, (WlnLer 2002-03) 89 lbld.,pp. 173-176 90 1ouqlr Pussaln, u.S-aklsLan LngagemenL: 1he War on 1errorlsm and 8eyond," aL www.uslp.org/pubs/speclalreporLs/sr143.hLml. (accessed on May26, 2007) 91 lbld., p.9. 28 Conclusion
The domestic and international implications of Pakistans role in the war on Terror are paradoxical but at the same time reinforcing each other. Pakistans unconditional support in the War on Terror is significant. Internationally, it has improved Pakistans image from an alleged failed state to a responsible and key member in the U.S led War on Terror. Pakistan- US renewed partnership has positive impacts on the socio-economic and political stability of Pakistan. However, Pak-US convergence of interests in the War on Terror has failed to promise an improved regional position to Pakistan, in the context of its relations with India, its influence in future Afghan political set up, and the resolution of Kashmir dispute. Moreover, there are suspicions and lack of trust in the Pak-US partnership. In nut shell, Pak- US need based and short term relationship is losing its charm in the context of US-India long term strategic partnership.
Domestically, Pakistans role in the War on Terror has widened the gap between its state and society. The state-societal perceptions on the War on Terror are contradictory in nature. Therefore, the radical extremist and militant forces have been identified as primary threat to Pakistans survival and stability. The Pakistani society at-large is moderate and progressive. The emerging consensus between state and society is observed where the later has rejected the fundamental interpretations of Islam to improve Pakistans image internationally. However, the anti-Americanism has been established as an emerging trend in Pakistans domestic politics.
Most of the literature on the subject deals with the systemic compulsions in understanding Pakistans role in the War on Terror. The factors of domestic politics as an explanation of Pakistans domestic and international implications have therefore, been ignored. The systemic explanations may highlight Pakistans significance in the War on Terror. However, they cannot explain the consequences of such a decision on the polity of Pakistan. The present study has developed a fusion of international and domestic political factors to give a comprehensive account of the impacts of Pakistans role in the War on Terror. Moreover, it 29 describes the domestic and international paradoxes and explains how they reinforce each other. The present study therefore, is an original contribution to the knowledge.