san, darwin calibrator untuk deteksi kebocoran dan pengaturan katup dengan menghubungkan permintaan data secara real time Pedro Pina, Water Industry Solution Architect, Bentley Systems 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Rangkuman
Pandangan atas masalah Alat seadanya Features Update Examples 2 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Masalah
Data
Report
Persiapan Input
Simulation/ Analysis
Verification 3 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Features
Input/Integrasi Data - Pengembangan Model - SCADA Connect - Water Objects
Simulation/Analsys - Model Calibration - Leakage Detection - Close Valve Detection - Pump Optimization - Data Logger Placement 4 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Input - Model Builder
.NET Development Environment Means of extending capability of model Can do - Pre-processing - Post-processing - Add engines 9 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Real Time modelling
Current Time 10 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Water Objects Examples 11 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Available Tools
Commercially Available - Model Calibration - Leakage Detection - Closed Valve Detection - Pump Optimization - Pipe Renewal Planning and Optimization
Prototypes (also available under conditions) - Fire Hydrant/Flushing optimization - Data logger optimization - Improved Pump Optimization 12 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Darwin Calibrator - Calibration Module Including in WaterGEMS - Addition in WaterCAD
Theory of natural selection developed in the 70s Applied to water systems in the 90s Optimization through genetic algorithms Uses multiple field data sets to calibrate: Roughness, Demands and States It generates tests of successive populations Comparison of Field data: The strong will survive -Pressures or gradients at nodes -Flows in pipes, pumps, and valves 13 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Leak Detection Model Overview
Data-driven models - Apply data-driven modeling methods, e.g. statistics/ regression methods, artificial neural network, support vector machine etc. - Purely based on data analysis (pressures and flows) to uncover new abnormalities as possible new pipe bursts - Unable to detect the leaks that have already existed in the system Physics-based models - Simulate leakage through network hydraulic model - Model leakage as pressure dependent demand for known leakages - Key is to predict the whereabouts and size of leaks throughout a distribution system 14 | WWW.BENTLEY.COM 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated T o t a l
H e a d
( m )
T o t a l
H e a d
( m )
T o t a l
H e a d
( m )
T o t a l
H e a d
( m )
Perfect Hydraulic Modeling 120.00
120.00 100.00
100.00 80.00
80.00 60.00 00:00 08:00 Model 16:00 Field Test 00:00
60.00 00:00 08:00 16:00 00:00 KALL2 Source
120.00 120.00
100.00 100.00
80.00 80.00
60.00 00:00 08:00 16:00 00:00 60.00 Model Field Test 00:00 08:00 16:00 00:00 Model Field Test 15 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Model Calibration
Demand Leakage Actual HGL
100 gpm Calibration Time
Pre Calibration
Post Calibration
80 gpm Modelled HGL
HGL
80 gpm
A B
C 16 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Leakage Hydraulics
HGL
Leakage is allocated to the node in a model Q1 =k1 (p1)^n
Leakage Q i is pressure dependent, given as emitter flow as above K i is the emitter coefficient to be optimized as leakage indicator
K i > 0 indicates a leakage at node i, while K i = 0 indicate no leakage at node i. 17 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Parameter Identification Genetic Algorithm based network calibration/optimization tool Made up of a GA (Darwin Calibrator) and hydraulic engine Has three functionalities - Demand based calibration - Pressure Dependent based calibration Leakage Hotspot Detection The GA optimizes any combination of: - Nodal outflow (Consumption and/or Leakage) - Links roughness - Links operational status Attempts to generate nodal heads and flow rates that best matches recorded field data 18 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated 19
Enable Active Water Loss Control
Predict the location and size of water losses (both real and apparent) Guide field engineer to quickly locate leaky pipes and/or apparent water losses
Field personnel can focus on area(s) detected by Darwin Calibrator 19 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Integrated Framework Darwin Calibrator for Leakage Detection & Model Calibration 20 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Real DMA Leakage Detection
Darwin Calibrator for leakage detection 28 observed pressure points and total inflow into the system
Apply it to water systems in UK Optimize emitter flow Predict leakage hotspots
Minimize leak detection uncertainty
Facilitate a better detection rate
Narrow down leakage spots 21 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated
Case I Leak repaired, 10 l/s saving Posi-Tect & field survey Forest Farm
Leakage spots identified with Darwin Calibrator 22 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Case I (cont) Historical leak Predicted leak 23 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Case I (cont)
Historical leak Predicted leak 24 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Case I (cont) Historical leak Predicted leak 25 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Case I (cont)
Pump Station 28 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated CSP Case Study (Wu, Woodward & Allen 2009) DMZ system 57 Ml/day 11 pump stations and 9 tanks Energy cost: 330K/year Recorded daily energy cost: 912 Modeled daily energy cost: 923 29 | WWW.BENTLEY.COM 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Energy Cost comparison Pump Existing controls Optimized controls Pump utilization ID (%) Daily cost () Pump utilization (%) Daily cost () X2420052_ 100 181.99 100 181.73 X2420014_ 40 142.11 41 120.51 X2420075_ 42 201.95 37 141.19 X2410361_ 50 31.99 42 22.65 X2419963_ 50 31.99 42 22.65 X241998C_ 26 7.92 31 5.18 X2450024_ 40 37.35 21 13.87 PILWTH 82 236.19 40 98.33 NEWMRKT 23 111.63 22 88.98 Total cost() 983.12 695.10 Overall saving is 29% of original energy cost By shifting pumping hours and increasing supply of 3.5 Ml/d from gravity source 30 | WWW.BENTLEY.COM 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Pipe Renewal Planning and Design Optimization
Condition assessment tool Tool to rank pipe links based on several aspects Calculate a score for each aspect Combine scores for overall ranking Part of WaterGEMS, or WaterCAD add-on Results display tools 31 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Workflow Pipe Score
Pipe Break History
Break Analysis
Normalized Break Score
System Inventory
Model
Fire Flow Criticality Analysis Analysis
Normalized Normalized Fire Score Criticality Score
Other Property Of Interest
Analysis
Normalized Score
Weighting
Overall Score 32 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Color Coding by Score 33 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Rehabilitation Optimization 34 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Available Tools
Comercially Available - Model Calibration - Leakage Detection - Closed Valve Detection - Pump Optimization - Pipe Renewal Planning and Optimization
Prototypes (also available under conditions) - Fire Hydrant/Flushing optimization - Data logguer optimization - Improved Pump Optimization 35 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated G P U
A d v a n c e m e n t
A New Paradigm
Heterogeneous CPU Advancement Computing Single-core Many-core
0 14K Pipes CPU 3 2 1 0 81K Pipes GPU SpeedUp Linear (SpeedUp) S p e e d U p
S e c o n d s
S p e e d U p
S e c o n d s
37 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated C o m p u t a t i o n
T i m e
( m i n )
Data-Driven Model
Big data, big opportunity Data information Capture data relationships Fast ANN model training/calibration
765 Host CPU Neural Computing on GPU
Upload data to GPU 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 On CPU Read from GPU
14
On GPU 38 Pump Scheduling Optimize pump operation Minimize energy cost
Fitness
Solutio n
Respon se 39 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Accelerated Pump Scheduling
Fitness
Solutio n
Trained A
Respon se 40 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Flushing Problem
Opening hydrant changes head loss and flow velocity of pipes, which is useful - Greater the change, more helpful for the model calibration - Changing velocity helps remove bad accumulations in the pipe 41 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Very common operation in practice Hydrant Selection - Find Best Hydrants To Open
We dont want to open all hydrants <- Limited number of hydrants should be opened Which one to open? -> Affect as much as possible pipes [Efficiency] How many to open? -> Require as few as possible [Cost] How much hydrant flow should be used? -> Smaller the better 42 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Case study Use Hydrant Selection Tool to find optimal combination of hydrants - A water system with 429 pipes - Currently 8 hydrants are selected for flow testing, selected by experience - Head loss change threshold: 0.1 m H2O (0.14psi) - Hydrant Flow Range: 32 - 126, Interval: 4 43 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Sum of Pipe Lengths Comparison Current 8 Hydrants Optimum 8 Hydrants 44 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated A f f e c t e d
P e r c e n t a g e
Sum of Pipe Lengths / Total Pipe Lengths Comparison Optimal VS Existing 8 90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00% 40.00% Optimal Existing 8 30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 12 20 Number of open hydrants Optimal solution outperforms existing 8 hydrant setting with even 2 hydrants 45 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Logguer Placement 46 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Logguer Placement 47 2008 Bentley Systems, Incorporated Aknowlegments
http://inside/bsw/AppliedResearch/Watertown/S itePages/Home.aspx Zheng Wu et al. 2011,2012,2114