Consequences in the Post-Imperial Middle East and Central Asia SALLY CUMMINGS AND RAYMOND HINNEBUSCH* Abstract This article compares and contrasts the variations in paths from empire to sovereignty in the Middle East and Central Asia. We identify differences in empires and their impact; examine the drivers of transition from empire to sovereignty, the international system and nationalist mobilization; assess the consequences of impe- rial transmissions for state formation and nation-building; and link these factors to the degree of rupture with empire in the post-imperial period. ***** The end of empire marked one of the main twentieth-century transformations in international politics. In the conventional nar- rative, it completed the universalization of the Westphalian state system. In the West, the most competitive form of political organi- zation, the national state, had driven out smaller and larger forms city-states and empires (Colas 2007: 1922). In parallel, Western empires had exported states systems to the periphery, which, with decolonization, became sovereign (Bull and Watson 1984). As sov- ereign, in principle, the new states enjoyed a monopoly of legal jurisdiction and actual control over their territories, independent decision-making and recognition by other states. In the parlance of neo-realism, imperial hierarchy gave way to an anarchy of juridically equal sovereign states. This narrative of a sharp break between empire and sovereignty is an increasingly criticized caricature. In the real world the dis- tinction is blurred, with many cases combining features of both empire and state and one able to evolve into the other (Buzan 2004: 626; Colas 2007: 1821). In the age of globalization larger empire- like entities and smaller unitse.g. world citieshave become more viable while the sovereignty of nation-states is under siege (Colomer 2007). Old empires have survived by transforming themselves into multi-national states (India, China) and new forms of informal * Sally Cummings is Professor of International Relations at the University of St Andrews and may be contacted at snc@st-andrews.ac.uk; Raymond Hinnebusch is Professor of International Relations at the University of St. Andrews and may be contacted at rh10@st-andrews.ac.uk. Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 DOI: 10.1111/johs.12022 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd empire or hegemony, particularly that of the US over the post- colonial world, have emerged (Colas 2007: 15891). Moreover, rather than states possessing sovereignty or not, there are degrees of sovereignty; the sovereignty of weak states is often violated by great powers (Krasner (1999) and state-builders in the periphery struggle to such an extent to actualize sovereignty (Ayoob 1995) that, for Jackson (1993), many enjoy only quasi-sovereignty. This article follows this critical tradition in rejecting both a sharp break between empire and sovereignty and a sharp dichotomy between hierarchy and anarchy in the international system which, rather, has elements of both (Hobson and Sharman, 2005, 6398). But what explains the considerable variations in the interna- tional system, ranging from empires that survive in new forms to post-imperial states enjoying only semi-sovereignty? This paper argues that differences in empires and the transition to post-imperial statehood are crucial starting points for explaining this variation. To grasp this dynamic, we adopt historical sociologys approach that the domestic and international are historically mutually co-constitutive (Hobden and Hobson 2002: 359). In concrete terms, we extend Tillys (1990) argument that in the European core, war made the state (and the state made war) by showing that in the periphery, the core states made empires and these empires (and the collaboration or resistance of local agents) made the post- colonial states. As such, variations in empires and resistance to them should have major consequences for variation in post- imperial states and state systems. It is this relationship between empire and post-imperial statehood that we seek to explore. Approach There is, however, very little literature about and no existing theo- retical framework for systematically comparing the impact of empire on post-imperial statehood. This article proposes such a framework, building from a comparison of the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) with Central Asia (CA). 1 We draw on the limited literature on comparative empire and on the histories of empire in our two regions to identify some of the main features of empire in the regions. There is very little work comparing post-imperial state- hood in our two regions, except for the pioneering work by Cole and Kandiyoti (2002) and, as such, we bring together separate litera- tures on them. We build on the very limited literature that attempts to comparatively study the post-imperial consequences of empires, particularly trying to carry forward the problematic raised in Barkey and Hagen (1997); however, there is no previously attempted systematic comparison of the effects of differences in 104 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 empires on post-imperial sovereignty in two regions; we aim to start lling that gap as regards our two regions. Toward this end, we start by systematically extracting and summarizing empirical generali- ties from the separate literatures on empires and post-imperial statehood in the two regions; we also draw on a set of specially commissioned case studies that explicitly problematize the effect of empire on statehood in the two regions. 2 Crucially, the article comes with several important qualications. First, although we seek to identify key relations between empire and sovereignty we do not seek to prove or test them, something that must be left to later work. Nor do we try to isolate the weight of empire compared to other factors that may also affect post-imperial realities; we do, however, take especial account of one such factor, namely that differences in the aftermath of empires in 1918 and 1991 could be attributed to the changed nature of the global order rather than the features of the ex-empires (Lieven 2003: 344). Second, although we believe our ndings will have relevance for a more general comparative study of the impact of empire on post- imperial sovereignty, our focus is on specic empires and, far from assuming that any of themare typical of empires we even acknowl- edge, for example, that the Soviet Union was an empire with a difference. Third, we are not examining the total impacts of the empires studied, which vary signicantly in different parts of the same empire, but rather their impacts in the two regions selected; had we studied the impact of the British empire in India or the Russian empire in the Caucasus or Balkans the assessment of their comparative impact would necessarily have been different. Such an enormous undertaking is beyond the scope of this study, although the framework we propose could in principle be used to facilitate it and we still expect that overall differences in kind of empire will likely matter for such experiences. Fourth, because empire ended in MENA more than a half century ago and the ve stans came into being only in 1991, we recognize that some of the developments experienced in MENA could yet be replicated in CA. Fifth, our macro-level cross-regional comparison of a long historical time frame will necessarily be fairly broad-brush in nature, with much contestable interpretation of historic specicity; the article is there- fore only intended as a rst cut that would hopefully be useful as a guide or foil for further comparative research on empires impact, especially in our two regions. Toward the construction of our framework we rstly identify the features and varieties of empire in the regions. Next we identify the drivers propelling the transition from empire to sovereignty, inter- vening variables between the former and the latter. Finally, we compare empires impacts on post-imperial orders both imperial Empire and After 105 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 transmissions and reactive ruptures with empire. Our main aim is to identify how far and how similarities in empire in the two regions explain similarities in statehood and imperial differences explain variations in the states systems. The rationale for the comparison of MENA and CA is that they share enough key similarities to enable us to more effectively compare and explain differences: a) in both cases, earlier empires forged an continuous civilizational area shaped by Islamic culture, but an intervening period of Westernizing successor empires, albeit of a quite different character (Britain and France in the Middle East case; Tsarist Russia and USSR in the Central Asian case), gave way to Westphalian-like systems of successor states; hence the problematic between Islam and Western modernity is faced in both regions; b) in both cases the empire was fragmented by the imposition of the Westphalian successor states, hence trans-state identity/ies inherited from earlier imperial experiences, albeit weaker in the Central Asian case, cut across the successor state system; c) in both cases, elites fostered under empire inher- ited power under sovereign statehood and in both they faced similar imperial legacies that had to be overcome to actualize sovereignty, such as generating identities that match borders and diluting dependencies on the ex-empire; and, d) in both cases, thus, the individual states were formed from a mix of outside forces, namely the impact of empire, and of internal actors, either by their co-optation into empire or through the impact of their resistance to it. The outcome, however, has proved to be both similar and differ- ent. Similar patterns of imperial-sponsored state creation seem associated with similar kinds of authoritarian patrimonial states after empire. Yet these similarities in statehood appear not to have resulted in similar post-imperial states systems: while the Middle East emerged from a peace to end all peace (Fromkin 1989) and was born ghting (Buzan and Waever 2003: 188) emerging amidst the 1948 Arab-Israeli war its CA counterpart was born peaceful, with subsequently much lesser levels of war, irredentism, and anti-imperialism. In this article we make a rst start at explor- ing to what extent and via what mechanisms, the apparent simi- larities in post-imperial statehood and differences in regional stability in MENA and CA are an outcome of similarities and differences in the impacts of the empires that shaped them. Conceptualizing Empire and its Varieties The most widely acknowledged features of empire include: 1) a polity whose raison dtre being expansion, has no xed boundaries 106 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 until it is checked by countervailing power and is hence of very large size (by contrast, a sovereign state has recognized xed boundaries); 2) absorbing pre-existing polities, an empire is a multi-communal polity composed of diverse groups and territorial units; 3) a dominant core, a ruling class or ethnic group, governs through a combination of authoritarian coercion, co-optation of local intermediaries, to whom considerable power is often del- egated, techniques of divide and rule, and provision of collective goods such as a common law, a lingua franca, a common currency, and communications links; 4) empires exhibit quite varying degrees of inclusion of the periphery in terms of elite recruitment or assimi- lation into a universal religion or higher civilization; as such, the extent to which the empire is seen as alien in the periphery is likely to similarly vary and should not be part of the denition of empire (Colomer 2007; Doyle 1986; Lieven 2003: 38; Colas 2007: 111; Motyl 2001). Variations in empire: Empires vary widely, but the two most important types in modern times are the land-based bureaucratic empires and the maritime commercial empires, with the former but not the latter constituting a territorial unity. Eisenstadt (1969), captured the typical features of bureaucratic empires: traditional in that most people were passive subjects and rule was legitimized by a universalistic religion; but pre-guring modern states inthat rulers pursued ambitious goals through centralized differentiated bureau- cracies, recruited partly on the basis of political loyalty and merit (rather than ascription) which were able to extract resources and subordinate such powerful forces as tribal elites and landed nobili- ties. These empires varied in the degree to which they were assimi- lative, with some pre-guring modern nations, like the Han Chinese on the one hand which created a relatively homogeneous cultural space in which coercion receded, and on the other the Roman which eventually accorded citizenship to subject peoples. These empires were pre- or non-capitalist in that, while their large size often facilitated trade and economic growth and they sought to control trade routes, the economy was subordinated to socio-political goals including the extraction of taxes to support the ruling class and imperial expansion (Colas 2007: 1922, 71, 11617). The maritime commercial empires, and particularly the capitalist empires of Britain and France, through which the West incorpo- rated most of the non-Western world were artefacts, as Wallerstein (1979) showed, of the emergence and expansion of a global market differentiated, to an extent, from political rule. Their initial ratio- nale was trade and plunder, with prot and war-making combined by chartered companies seeking trading monopolies. In its early stage Britains maritime empire was essential to the capital accu- Empire and After 107 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 mulation that drove its industrialization. Empire often started as an informal empire of free trade in which the metropole was content to let indigenous governments bear the burdens of protect- ing investment and political control was typically only assumed when it was required to establish the conditions of capitalism in the periphery (order, property rights, contract enforcement, commer- cialization of agriculture). In their most mature stage of nance capitalism, rival European empires incorporated the non-Western world into a global division of labour in which the latter provided lower value-added primary products and markets for the industries of the imperial core and absorbed its excess capital accumulation. Also in this stage, commercial competition morphed into geo- political rivalry over prestige and the strategic advantage needed for the protection of previously acquired assets or the competition for new ones, with imperial possessions often proving their strategic value in wartime. However, given their substantially commercial rationale and lack of territorial contiguity with the metropole, mari- time empires lacked an impulse to territorially incorporate con- quered areas into a single polity comparable to that of land empires. While the difference is one of degree, the priority in mari- time capitalist empires was commerce and territorial expansion was the means and outcome while in the pre-capitalist land empires territory was one principal (though not the only) objective and economic resources a means and result (Lieven 2003: 89127; Colas, 226, 71115; Callinicos, 2009; Amin, 1978; Rosenberg, 1994, 91122, 15973; Halliday, 1994: 4773; Brewer, 1990, 124, 4256, 5872, 161224. Modernization of empire: To survive in the age of nationalism empires have to modernize (Lieven 2003: 4050) or risk breaking up or becoming the victims of those that do. Imperial rivalry was identied by Lenin and Hobson as a main driver of war in which empires were made and broken; indeed the main victims of the two World Wars and the Cold war were empires either destroyed in war or fatally weakened by the costs of war and war preparation. But if empires modernize, their large size may give them the competitive advantage of greater power/security and large resources/markets, and, if they break up, as Barkey (1997) observes, the imperial cores, where modernization was normally more advanced, were better equipped for modern sovereignty than their less modernized peripheries. An empire can modernize in one sense but fail or lag in another: land empires have an advantage in political modernization and maritime ones in economic modernization. Political modernization means increased inclusion, that is, transformation into a multina- tional state in which a supra-national identity embraces smaller 108 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 national (and sub-national) identities through a common citizen- ship and the periphery is accorded representation at the centre and some autonomy, typically under federal arrangements, with assimi- lative impulses in the pre-modern period making it easier to devolve power from the centre without risking breakup. Modernization in land empires is typically sparked by military reverses at the hands of nation-state-led empires which convince the formers elites that military competitiveness requires the accoutrements of the latter, such as efcient bureaucratic and taxation capacities, mass edu- cation and nationalism, industrialization and the capitalist market, thus driving their evolution toward a multi-national state. In mari- time empires, political modernization is obstructed by the lack of territorial contiguity and an assimilative impulse, and, while they may, under pressure of imperial competition and war, concede some self-government in order to retain the loyalty of the colonies, they typically do not develop inclusive institutions or common citizenship (Dawisha and Parrott 1997: 1011). Economic modernization means substituting accumulation and investment within for plunder through territorial expansion, requiring, at a minimum, a sufcient differentiation of the economy from the polity to allow capital accumulation. Obstacles to this in bureaucratic empires are that property ownership may be precari- ous, the capitalist classes stied and accumulation diverted to political ends such as military competition and consumption. Land empires may therefore economically stagnate (particularly once territorial expansion ends), making them vulnerable to outside conquest or internal disintegration; indeed, arguably this was the case in the Soviet Union, a bureaucratic empire that actually destroyed the capitalist class (Weber 1947; Lieven 2003:2740; Colas 2007: 24). As for maritime empires, since they originate in the main global centres of nance capital and spread the market and private property, incorporation into such empires stimulates some economic modernization in the imperial periphery, if often in a dependent form. While maritime empires do not typically become multi-national states, they can survive informally if nominally inde- pendent states remain as economic peripheries of the ex-imperial core. In this case, formal empire is replaced by modern forms of hierarchy that, in conceding formal sovereignty, are more compat- ible with the age of nationalism and dominate largely through the economic instruments typical of the deepening age of globalization. Imperial Formations in MENA and CA The experience of the ME and CA is not one of simple transition from empire to sovereignty since there were several empires in each Empire and After 109 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 area and it is their cumulative impact and relation to each other that matters. The early modern period (14001800) saw the rise of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East, which by 1800 was engaged in defensive modernization, threatened by the similar Russian empire that gradually wrested the Caucasus and the Balkans from it. At the beginning of the 20 th century, World War I ushered in the fall of the Ottoman Empire, allowing the completion of the British and French empires in the Middle East, while the fall of the Russian empire opened the door to its revolutionary- modernizing Soviet successor. We compare the combined imperial experience of Ottoman followed by British-French imperial rule in MENA with the Soviet (and prior Russian) experience in CA. What follows is a brief comparison of the empires as experienced in our two regions. MENA: From Ottoman to Western Commercial Empires Because Western empires imposed themselves at the expense of the existing Islamic empire of the Ottomans, populations would have seen the former in the light of the legitimacy or lack thereof of the latter. The Ottoman Empire was ruled by a multinational elite through a partly-merit bureaucracy, with no aristocracy, hence a protected peasantry, considerable state-owned property and, in Islam, a relatively egalitarian religious legitimation (Gerber 1987; Barkey 2008). According to Lieven (2003: 12838), the empire neither exploited its periphery, nor privileged an imperial race (Turks) although co-optation into the elite did require assimilation into the Ottoman Turkish language and culture and at its height provided a high standard of governance fostering a high civilization. Once the West captured the trade routes from it and opportunities for plunder through expansion were exhausted, however, patrimo- nialization undermined bureaucratic efciency, disorder set in, privilege started to become hereditary, and tax farming led to the exploitation of the peasantry and starving of the treasury (Lieven 2003: 13448; Colas 2007: 4853). However, under early 19 th century defensive modernization, subjects became, in principle, equal citizens embraced by a common Ottoman identity, a stronger more centralized state with representative bodies emerged and it seemed the empire might be transformed into a multi-national state (Keydar 1997: 3044). In World War I it proved remarkably robust, the vast majority of its Muslim citizens remaining loyal, with the Arab revolt actually a British-manipulated sideshow. Many scholars agree that the empires end was not the result of any inexorable internal disease but an outcome of being on the losing side in the war (Yapp 1987: 349; Barkey 2008: 26496). What is 110 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 crucial for the aftermath is that the Ottomans transmitted the political culture and civilizational remnants of centuries of previous Islamic empires, including universalistic identities that retained the loyalty of people long after the empire had vanished. Western penetration of MENA followed a typical pattern: treaties forcing open markets and encouraging commercialization of agri- culture were followed by export of nance capital in the form of loans to rulers, then default on loans and a European takeover of local nances, with resulting capital drain. Indigenous resistance to this precipitated military intervention or occupation of outlying areas like Egypt and North Africa. The process was crowned by the breakup of the Ottoman Empire and Western occupation of the remaining Arab provinces in WWI. Britain and France, in dividing up nearly the whole of the Arabic speaking world between them- selves, violated regional identity. Where the areas conquered had been centres of high civilizations and extensive empires (Cairo, Damascus, Baghdad) of which the mass of the population had historical memories, resistance, reinforced by the emerging ideol- ogy of Arab nationalism, was signicant and enduring. This was especially so since arbitrary imperial boundary drawing fragmented this former civilizational area into a multitude of mini-states, a deformation seen as part of a divide-and-rule strategy. Western Empires in MENA were established and maintained through some combination of coercion and co-optation (Khalidi 2004: 136; Clancy-Smith 2004: 12529). In Algeria and the mashreq, it took the defeat of indigenous armies and civilian insur- gencies using artillery and aerial bombardment of cities, villages and tribes, to impose Western rule. To give local elites a stake in the imperial order, the metropoles encouraged their private appropria- tion of the collective patrimonyland, oil thus, turning tribal elites into great landlords or rich rentiers and tribesman and peasants into agricultural proletariats. There was little large-scale non- indigenous settlement in the region but where it did take place, in Palestine and Algeria, the indigenous population was dispossessed. The incorporation of the MENA into a global division of labour was completed with the breakup of the large emergent Ottoman market that had been developing under the tanzimat, snapping regional interdependencies and reorienting economic links west- ward. The colonies supplied raw materials to Western industries and served as markets for Western manufactures. De-industri- alization was only reversed during wartime rupture with the core or after colonies acquired authority to put up tariff protection. The colonies were all expected to pay their own way, taxed to support the occupying armies and to pay off debts incurred before Western conquest; as such, there was limited investment in education or Empire and After 111 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 development, except for the modernization of agriculture and the infrastructure that tied the region to global markets, which pro- duced mono-crop export economies. In reinforcing established elites, imperialism froze the social structure at the top; while educated salaried classes employed at the lower levels of the colonial state and new mercantile elements were fostered, the dominance of property by imperial-aligned oli- garchs and the frequent control of import-export commerce by European or minority elements limited the economic opportunities of the new indigenous strata. They therefore provided the natural cadres of nationalist movements but the more prolonged the nationalist struggle, the more property-less lower strata were also mobilized and the more social revolutionary the content of nation- alism. Simmering resistance, never denitively subdued, developed into mass independence movements and attempted revolt when Western control seemed to falter, e.g. in WWII when France and Britain faced defeat by Germany. The Western empires accorded some measure of self-governance to the colonies, but imperial governors always had, at a minimum, veto power. Europeans, believing colonial peoples unt for self- governance, afrmed by the international jurisprudence of the time (Burgis 2010), refused to apply to the colonies the egalitarian values increasingly applied at home. Since the colonies were not contiguous with the metropole and because metropolitan popula- tions would never accept to be swamped by according citizenship to vast numbers of colonial subjects (as in Rome), almost no political integration took place. Rather, basic distinctions between core and periphery were institutionalized in constitutional law and an ide- ology of racial or civilizational superiority that largely obstructed elite recruitment from and inclusion of the indigenous periphery in central institutions. The rst generation of moderate indigenous modernizers who had wanted inclusion was succeeded by nation- alists demanding complete independence. Because co-opted elites were not accorded a say in the running of the empire, if they had ever identied with it, they ceased to do so. Thus, the break-up of Western empires does appear inevitable (Colas 2007: 6270, 116 37; Lieven 2003: 123, 31314). 3 Central Asia: From Russian Territorial Empire to Soviet Multinational State? The Russian empire, based on an alliance of autocrat and aristoc- racy, was an efcient apparatus for territorial expansion and soon incorporated non-Russian Muslim peoples. However, according to Lieven, while it enjoyed aspects of proto-nationhood, it lacked a 112 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 clear distinction between an imperial core/people and the non- Russian periphery and in the early modern period even incorpo- rated Tatar elites into its landed aristocracy while restricting Russian settlement in order to protect indigenous communities in the periphery. Nevertheless, the notion that Russia was an inclu- sive empire has to be qualied. The Central Asian territories were never regarded as being truly possible to assimilate. Nor were the Russians innocent of the colonizing mentality. Imperial myth held that Russia actually liberated small holding peasant communities in Central Asia from tenancies in what Fieldhouse (1966: 33441) called a social revolution, but others argue that their property rights were already well protected under Islamic law (Morrison 2008). The Russians had always viewed nomadism as backward and in the 19 th century began to actively encourage settlement of Russian agriculturalists in a bid to increase their access to land and modernize agriculture. This led to a Kazakh uprising in which 200,000 were killed, a tragedy in this nations history. Yet the Kazakhs herds thereafter increased and by contrast to the con- temporaneous French empire in Algeria (Lieven 2003: 20130), the Kazakhs were not marginalized in their own country. According to Khalid (2009: 35), Russian conquest continued to bring Central Asia into the modern world, although the process had already begun in the early modern period through contacts with South Asia or the Ottoman Empire. The Bukharan ulama, after their failed declared jihad against Russia in 1866, became largely reconciled to Russian rule (Babajanov 2004) and Russia, even if largely for fear of further revolt, tolerated Islam. While the Soviet Union carried on Russias tradition of centralized autocracy, its project was born in Marxist-Leninist revolution and its practice highly interventionist, with a high human price. On the one hand, its elimination of the aristocracy, its state ownership of property and the professed egalitarian ideology of communism bore some similarities to the Ottoman Empire; on the other, it differed in its mobilizational party and industrializing thrust. While Western empires in the Middle East, ruling through traditional leaders, aimed to keep people un-mobilized, Soviet power was spread by a revolutionary overthrowing of old hierarchies and the mobilization of workers, peasants and women. By contrast to the Tsarist tolera- tion of Islam, the Soviets sought to marginalize it and their inter- vention in realms of law and family were perceived as alien and resisted by Muslim movements, bringing severe repression at the height of Stalinism. Still, the communists, conceiving of the USSR as a single country, tried to create a common identity and equal citizenship and under the 1918 federal Constitution the larger non-Russian Empire and After 113 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 nationalities were accorded union republics with considerable cultural and administrative autonomy, with a (until 1991 only theoretical) right of secession, and central representative bodies incorporated all nationalities. As in the Ottoman case, the top elite was multi-national, and while the majority Russians dominated, political mobility into elite positions, including the supreme polit- buro, even if atypical, was possible for non-Russians. Although the Russian language was prioritized as a lingua franca and in World War II Stalin came to rely on Russian nationalism, Lieven (2003: 31819) still judged that a Russian nation was not fostered and Russians did not, as an ethnic group, dominate the empire as the British did theirs. Indeed, this is one reason that Russian nation- alists (e.g. Yeltsin) did little to preserve the empire. The effect on Central Asia was ambiguous. The early Bolsheviks actually encouraged indigenous languages and allied with the emerging intelligentsia around an egalitarian modernization project. However, in order to centralize control for industrialization and collectivization, Stalin purged Central Asian indigenous elites and collectivization killed at a minimum a third of the Kazakh population. Persecution of Islam was intensied. Khrushchevs Virgin Lands scheme sponsored the settlement by 1.5 million Slavs in Kazakhstan, requiring another purge of the local elite and making the Kazakhs by 1991 a minority in their own country. Under Brezhnev, however, indigenous elites again dominated their regions and political leadership in the union republics and although Russians often commanded the army and secret police, many of these went native and indigenous regional leaders achieved autonomy by building clientele networks controlling the ow of information to Moscow and buying off gures in the central elite (Lieven 2003: 290). The economy was still centrally run, the plan and budgets controlled from Moscow, with key industries controlled by all-union ministries that gave little care to the local environment. For example, the cotton mono-crop exported to Russian factories and sold back to the periphery resembled Egypt under Britain (Atkins 2010), even if local leader Sharaf Rashidov managed to successfully cream off more prots than his Egyptian counterpart. Yet there was less straightforward exploitation of the region and by some calculations, the centre may have subsidized the CA periphery, the reverse of the normal Western imperial prac- tice in MENA; Bunce (1999), for example, argues that the social contract instituted, notably under Brezhnev, between Moscow and the populace and regions, turned the USSR, inadvertently, into a redistributive empire in which the centre ceased to extract from the periphery. Industrial investment in the region was signicant and if Russians provided the majority of skilled workers, engineers 114 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 and managers, natives had priority for local government jobs, although if they wanted social mobility they had to be Russian- uent. The core-periphery education gap was narrower than in Western empires. However the direction of the subsidy ow is viewed, economically CA under the Soviet Union nonetheless bore many of the hallmarks of a traditional type of empire: as breadbas- ket and raw materials supplier to the core and as economically dependent to it. The unusual features of economic modernization and citizenship accompanying the Soviet Union have led some to dispute the label of empire altogether, calling it instead a modernizing multinational state or something between the two (Suny 1995; Beissinger 2006). Terry Martin (2001: 19) describes the USSR as a new form of empire that used concessions to national self-determination to appease culturally distinct populations, thereby blurring the line between state and empire. Certainly, the USSR was an empire with a difference that should make for differences in post-imperial outcomes. Comparing Historical Experiences of Empire While differences in empire matter, it is the particular experience of specic areas of the periphery, which may differ in different parts of the same empire, which shapes the effect of empire on post- imperial sovereignty. Traditionally the legitimacy of empires rested chiey on their ability to establish order but in the modern period, much more came to be expected of them. The sparse literature that has addressed the issue suggests that empire was differentially experienced depending on whether it frustrated or accommodated pre-existing identity, accorded some political incorporation and fostered economic modernization and social mobility (Parrott 1997; Tsygankov 2000). MENA and CA do appear to have experienced empire quite differently. 1) In MENA there was a strong prior identity that was violated by imperial incorporation, with forced fragmentation, coming after centuries of unity under Islamic empires, bound to be experienced as a deep mutilation of the polity; by contrast in CA a shared supra-national Soviet identity was paralleled by the creation of the union republics which constituted proto-national identities, overshadowing rather than frustrating previous Islamic and Pan-Turkic identities. 2) In the Western empires, the sharp metropole-colony distinction meant political inclusion was never on the agenda; by contrast in the Soviet Union, like the Ottoman Empire, the elite was multinational, with regional elites assimilated into the Soviet political culture and represented in central bodies that governed the empire, albeit via authoritarian Empire and After 115 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 practices. Thus, non-Russians were offered the possibility of becoming Soviet but the Middle Easts indigenous people could never be British or French (and the French experiment of granting Algeria representation in parliament failed precisely because it incorporated settlers, not the indigenous population). 3) In socio- economic terms, the Ottoman, Soviet and even Russian empires were relatively egalitarian in their impacts, with the Soviet radically demolishing old social hierarchies, compared to the fostering of class inequalities under Western capitalist empires. Settler colo- nialism also was somewhat less damaging in CA where settler Slavs either left or were accorded citizenship with indigenous peoples under post-imperial rule; by contrast, settler colonialism in Algeria was only reversed with massive violence and in Palestine it resulted in permanent displacement of the indigenous people. 4) Economi- cally, the incorporation of the Middle East into a colonial division of labour fostered some modernization but was perceived in MENA as designed to foster the development of underdevelopment. Despite similar practices in the Soviet empire, the Soviets invested more in the non-Russian periphery than Western empires did in their colo- nies, and spread mass literacy, urbanization and industrialization which eroded rather than accentuated core-periphery differences. Transition from Empire: Drivers of Sovereignty De-colonization was driven by both external forces (the interna- tional system) and internal forces (nationalist mobilization), which together shaped the particular direction it took. International System: Power Balance, Hegemonic Norms The international system, argues Doyle (1986:23256), is an inter- vening variable in the creation of empires; equally so, pathways out of empire were shaped both by the international power balance and the hegemonic norms at the time of the transition to sovereignty. There were both similarities and differences in these at the time MENA and CA were making their transitions. In the international power struggles of the early twentieth century, when MENA was making its transition, rival great powers used egalitarian norms to appeal for wider support. Thus, during WWI, the Western allies used the norm of national self-determination to legitimize their ght against multi-ethnic empires (Austrian, Ottoman), in the process undermining the legitimacy of their own empires; as a result, the Versailles settlement that imposed Western empires on MENA peoples was widely seen, as it was in Europe, as a victors dictat by its victims, at odds with self-determination. The 116 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 mandate system was an effort to make empire more acceptable but ultimately it legitimated the demand for independence if peoples could show that they were prepared for it (Louis 1984). Still, it took the emergence of bi-polarity to fully empower the new norm of self-determination: the anti-imperialist policy of the two post WWII superpowers, combined with the economic exhaustion of the old imperial powers, which nevertheless still fought tenaciously (Suez, Algeria) to keep their empires. Also important, at the time of transition to sovereignty in MENA, socialism, promoted by the Soviet counter-empire, was mounting a strong challenge to capitalism and, in promising a more egalitarian road to development free of dependence on the West, was widely embraced in MENA, in various mixtures with nationalism. Eco- nomic nationalism viewed global market integration as reproducing dependency and advocated a diversication of economic relations and a turn from primary product exportation to import substitute industrialization, both of which were facilitated by Communist bloc aid and markets. Socialism also de-legitimized the appropriation of land and oil by Western-fostered oligarchies and once their imperial protectors departed, they were widely overthrown and their assets redistributed in revolutions. In CA, in the period preceding the fall of the Soviet Union, the discourse on sovereignty denoted decentralization and confedera- tion, short of full independence. The 1991 New Union Treaty nego- tiated with the leaders of the union republics carved out a middle ground between full sovereignty and full subordination to Moscow, with republics allowed to opt in, and, had it been actualized, sovereignty within the Soviet Union might have taken on a new and unique meaning in the international system of states (McFaul 2006). But the Moscow coup of 19 August 1991 pre-empted its adoption, with the emerging Russian leader, Boris Yeltsin, declaring Russia to be a sovereign state, with considerable popular support; this precipitated the break-up of the union, with the right to seces- sion enshrined in the Soviet constitution legitimizing the transition to sovereignty in CA. Traditional understandings of sovereignty in the international system endowed the union republics with it but not smaller units or larger constructions, such as the Common- wealth of Independent States (CIS), whose function was reduced to presiding over a civilised divorce (Suyarkulova 2010). Being congruent with shared understandings of sovereignty, the 1991 settlement enjoyed legitimation that Versailles never had, a factor in the greater immediate stability of CA. The market-centric norms of globalization dominant at the time of CAs transition to sovereignty were very different from the egali- tarianism at the time of MENAs independence. This was reective Empire and After 117 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 of the triumph of Western neo-liberalism accompanying Soviet collapse, itself attributed by Lieven to a loss of faith in the socialist ideology that cemented the empire owing to economic failure under the stress of military competition with the US. Neo-liberal norms legitimized CA elites private appropriation of public assets, gener- ating enormous new inequalities, in contrast to MENA where a revolutionary wave had reversed appropriations under Western imperialism in many states. In both cases, international society conrmed the sovereignty of the new states by extending recognition, with its assumptions of non-interference, membership in international organizations, the right to exploit their own natural resources and, in principle, to adopt their own development paths. The norm of sovereignty was embraced by the state elites that inherited power after empire as a protection against stronger neighbours and interference by the ex-empire, although initially with reluctance in CA and with ambivalence in MENA insofar as sovereignty sanctied articial boundaries at the expense of Pan-Arab identity in the latter. Both MENA and CA elites used their new sovereignty to diversify their economic relations in order to reduce dependence on the ex-empire. Nationalist Mobilization The pathway to sovereignty was also shaped by nationalist mobi- lization against the imperial power; the more damaging the imperial experience and the more extended the nationalist struggle, the greater the social depth of popular mobilization and the more radical the variant of nationalism. National mobilization also aimed at creation of a national identity among the often-diverse peoples inherited by new states from empire (Doyle 1986: 36972). Levels of nationalist mobilization were much higher in the Middle East than CA, although it was by no means uniform: it was most intense and radical in countries such as Algeria and Palestine where colonial settlement drove indigenous people off the land; in Iraq and Syria which suffered from the forced fragmentation of the Mashreq and the imperial consolidation of big landed classes at the expense of peasants and tribesmen; and in Egypt and Iran which endured long periods of foreign control, direct and indirect. British sponsored Zionist settlement in Palestine intensied region-wide nationalist mobilization from the 1930s. Nationalist mobilization in MENA was also shaped by the par- ticular context of imperial rule in different states. In the more nationally mobilized states Western empires promised or conceded greater, if still limited, self-government, typically to avoid the costs of higher repression in periods of weakness; this temporarily 118 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 absorbed discontent but also widened space for nationalist elites to develop organized mass followings. Yet, because foreign and secu- rity affairs remained under imperial high commissioners and the empire could intervene forcefully from military bases inside the country if its sway was challenged, this tended to discredit elites that chose to accept co-optation under the terms of such limited self-government and hence empowered more radical lower-middle class nationalists (Louis 1984; Yapp 1987: 30151). By contrast, in less developed tribal societies of the Gulf emirates, where a lighter-touch imperialism imposed political advisors but not occupation, per se, and client elites acquired a share of the growing oil wealth, independence was accorded for British eco- nomic reasons and without a struggle, indeed, accepted with reluc- tance in view of the threats these weak but super-rich mini-states faced from their neighbours. The consequent lack of nationalist mobilization in the Gulf meant minimal rupture after empire and, indeed, economic ties the recycling of petrodollars to the core deepened after independence. Similarly, mobilization in CA was limited because sovereignty was devolved without a struggle once the core no longer found it prot- able to maintain the empire. Grievances against the centre had certainly existed inCAand these largely took the formof demands for cultural or environmental rights within the union, sometimes acquiring national resonance as was the case with the Nevada- Semipalatinsk movement under its leader Olzhas Sulemeinov; but even if Central Asian cultural and social movements wanted to wrest greater autonomy from the centre they did not demand full-blown independence. Even though embracing ideas of greater autonomy CA publics did not support full independence. They voted to main- tain the union just before its break-up and the Central Asian republics were excluded from the dissolution negotiations and their leaders disappointed by the outcome (Lieven 2003: 289). Sovereignty largely preceded the development of nationalism which was elite- driven and pragmatic; e.g. in Uzbekistan, it was stimulated by Gorbachevs crackdown on corruption in the regional party appara- tus and in Kazakhstan by the ex-communist Kazakh elites deter- mination to appropriate the countrys energy resources and not let themfall to Russians or Russia. Far fromhaving fought for it, Central Asian leaders viewed the prospect of independence with consider- able unease, not least because of their economic dependence on Russia, the strong Russian presence, and their lack of any experi- ence in foreign policy-making. The weakness of nationalist indepen- dence mobilization in CA means that the legitimacy bestowed to leaders who come to power on the back of a struggle for indepen- dence was lacking there. Empire and After 119 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 Imperial Transmissions The imperial transmissions most important for sovereignty are: 1) the extent of state formation; 2) whether post-imperial states ter- ritories are congruent with national identity or not. State Formation inheritances: The successive empires in both regions provided key requisites of statehood (boundaries, state apparatuses) that have endured almost without exception. Empires also transmitted political legacies used in post-imperial state- building, notably the overdevelopment of autocratic, bureaucratic and patrimonial practices at the expense of political institutions. Although there were similarities in outcome, it was not uniform. According to Barkey, the ex-imperial core inherits the strongest institutions while the periphery turns to anti-imperialist national- ism as a substitute for institutions (Barkey 1997: 99114: Fortna 2010). The emergence of MENAs strongest post-Ottoman state in Turkey and its ability to move beyond patrimonialism is plausibly traced to its inheritance of the core institutions of the empire (Fortna 2010). In the Arab lands (Fawcett 2010, McDougal 2010), the main Ottoman inheritance was the notable clientelist style of politics that was combined with the power apparatuses transmitted by Western empires. Elites gained some preparation for governing in periods of semi-sovereignty under which representative institu- tions had been conceded by the Western colonizers. However, the latter could not be consolidated because of their domination by imperial-fostered landlords and tribal chiefs, whose clientele net- works kept the middle classes excluded and the masses unmobi- lized. Under European rule, the Arab militaries had been recruited from pre-nationalist Turkic, tribal or minority elements and shunned by the dominant Sunni Arab notables, but as emerging new states gained greater control over their militaries, the ofcer corps came increasingly to be recruited from the nationalist- minded rural lower-middle classes; as a result, the new ofcer corps and the old politicians of the urban oligarchy came to repre- sent difference social classes, and their conict unleashed insta- bility after independence until a new generation of elites found a formula for constructing durable regimes. Initially, in reaction against the inegalitarian heritage of Western rule, a wave of revolutions gave birth to populist authoritarian republics in the more developed Arab lands. Populism, a restora- tion of egalitarian Islamic norms, was combined with the authori- tarian inclinations of the military elites trained under Western imperialism that almost everywhere assumed power. Their rule was modernized via diluted versions of bureaucratic centralization, single party systems and etatism borrowed from the Soviet Union. 120 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 These states could not, however, be consolidated until the new elites learned to draw on the patrimonial practices of past nomadic- constructed Islamic empires, notably elite cohesion through pri- mordial asabiyya (solidarity) and clientelism, thereby producing neo-patrimonial republics. The exception was the Arab Gulf where British imperialism engineered an anomaly in the modern world, ruling monarchy: tribalism, combined with growing oil resources, energized an effective clientelism deterring revolution. In CA, the transition to sovereign statehood was smoother than in MENA because the Soviet union republics were sovereign states in embryo with more accepted borders and higher levels of institu- tionalization. Also, because there were no inherited colonial armies or independence wars to generate indigenous ones, the military was weak and subordinate to civilian leadership, allowing CA to avoid the revolutionary coups typical of early Middle Eastern statehood. In late Soviet times, corruption and clientelism mediated the relation with Moscow; with the collapse of the communist party ideology and organization that had been the motor of the state, such patrimonial practices lled the post-Soviet vacuum. Neo- patrimonial regimes mixing bureaucratic structures with rent- lubricated clientelism emerged, very similar to those in the Middle East. Under such regimes, state capacity contracted after indepen- dence, resulting in falls in education and health levels; rentierism loomed larger, associated with de-diversication of economies and de-mobilization of a population dependent on patron-states (even if, for example, the Kazakhstani leadership, itself neo-patrimonial, has simultaneously tried to state- and capacity-build with substan- tial investments in the education sector). The exception to the peaceful transfer to sovereignty was Tajikistan where a civil war of anti-communist, Islamic and regional forces against the ex-communist elite ended in a stalemate and power-sharing. State- hood in oil-poor Kyrgyzstan has also proved less robust (Ostrowski 2010, Lewis 2010; Lieven 2003: 39095; Olcott, 2010). Economically, both regions remained largely primary product exporters locked into various economic dependencies on their ex-imperial core/s and still magnets for Western energy companies or great power intervention. The main liability of both post-imperial regimes was that the inherited insufcient differentiation between political and economic realms typical of their shared state-led modernization made their economies vulnerable to exploitation for distributional, patrimonial and military ends which retarded capital accumulation and buttressed authoritarian rule. Addition- ally, military over-investment in the Soviet Union prior to CA inde- pendence, spurred by Cold War competition, had retarded growth; this was paralleled in the Middle East by capital-dissipating mili- Empire and After 121 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 tarization spurred by intense regional conicts (Arab-Israel, Iran- Iraq). Post-colonial regimes in both regions had soon to nd ways of re-stimulating capitalist development. Where regimes enjoyed hydrocarbon resources, rentier states emerged more responsive to their global protectors and markets than their own populations, but still often able to provide patronage and some welfare; where such resources were absent, regimes tried to stimulate capital accumu- lation through inegalitarian neo-liberal practices, with resulting legitimacy decits necessitating increased repression. Identity: frustration or satisfaction: By contrast to the cosmopolitan mixing of unpoliticized ethnicities under empires, the modern counter-normof nation-state congruence legitimates the creation of homogeneous nations, resulting in post-imperial ethnic un-mixing, sometimes through violent conict (Brubaker 1997). In Turkey, Ataturk fought off imperialismand was able to establish boundaries congruent with an emerging Turkish nation, but this was accompa- nied by population transfers (paralleled by a longer history of in-migration of Turkic peoples from the Balkans and Caucasus); in the process, he acquired the legitimacy to reconstruct the core of the empire as a Turkish nation-state and to eschewirredentismover the loss of former Ottoman possessions. Nationalist legitimacy also allowed Turkey to democratize, hence further strengthen the legiti- macy of the post-imperial state. Elsewhere in the region, it was different. It is no accident that the two peoples denied statehood in the Versailles settlement, the Kurds and Palestinians, would become centres of enduring conict. Assimilationist nation-building projects in Turkey, Iraq and Iran denied demands for Kurdish self-determination. In Palestine, empire-sponsored settler colonialism ended in the expulsion of Palestinians from their land, with fraught consequences for regional stability. Also, where imperialism had created articial communally-divided states, as in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, there was a strong tendency, once the mediating imperial power departed, for one communal group to seize the state, retarding nation-building (Lieven 2003: 369). What made the Arab worlds experience unique, however, was the poor t between territory and supra-state (Pan-Arab, Islamic) iden- tity resulting from the imposition of a Western style states system on the cultural space of ex-Islamic empire. Post-colonial Arab states have had to compete for the loyalties of their populations against supra-state identities that may be used by opposition movements to contest their legitimacy. Legitimacy depends, to an extent not seen elsewhere, on regimes being seen to act in the interest of the larger supra-state (Arab-Islamic) community against what are widely seen as threats from Israel and the West. Unlike in 122 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 the West, where the rise of nationalism was combined with the consolidation of territorial sovereignty (notably in republican France), endowing the resultant nation-states with a legitimacy bonus, in the Arab world, the incongruence of territorial sover- eignty and national identity produced legitimacy decits (Hudson 1977; Valbjrn 2010; Lawson 2006). In CA the story was different. The Soviet Union was the largest multi-ethnic polity to systematically base its political units on ethnicity (Suny 1993). Between 1924 and 1936 a process known as the Soviet Territorial National Delimitation (natsionalno- gosudarstvennoe razmezhevanie) was brought to its completion and the ve Soviet Socialist Republics (SSRs) bearing the name of the titular nationality were formed. The internationally-minded Bol- sheviks (Haugen 2003), whose ideological platform was predicated on the withering away of the nation-state in the march to a socialist future, thereby built into the system a fundamental tension between national and Soviet-wide identities that Adrienne Lynn Edgar (2004) rightly observes changed over time but never disap- peared. The Soviet state, furthermore, made nationality a decisive criterion in the distribution of goods and resources such as jobs, education and positions in bureaucracy and used ethnicity as the cornerstone of socio-political transformation, becoming something of an afrmative action empire (Martin 2001). The Western empires drew MENA borders for strategic conve- nience, and a similar explanation of divide-and-rule motives behind border drawing was a main one held by Sovietologists before Soviet collapse. Unlike the MENA project, however, Soviet ethnographers were actively involved in border drawing, and the resultant empha- sis on nationhood led to chronic ethnophilia (Slezkine 1994). This approach partly reected a belief in the necessity of creating nations to hurry up their eventual demise and the march to social- ism, with authors such as Haugen (2003) also suggesting that the territorial borders do reect territorialized national identities. The granting of nations was also a tactical concession to win round dissenters and oppressed colonial peoples from abroad by framing the new state as an anti-colonial regime; an active, prophylactic strategy of promoting non-Russian nation-building to prevent the growth of nationalism (Martin 2001: 8). Borders were also the outcome of participation from local elites, with some compelling evidence on this line of argument also provided by Edgar (2004) in her study of the Turkmen elite. The titular majorities were thus themselves partly Soviet con- structions, especially in the case of the Uzbeks and Tajiks, as were ethnic ssures from the existence of minorities, with tensions among, say, Ferghanis, Khwarazmis and Samarqandis in the Uzbek Empire and After 123 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 case, or mountain and lowland Tajiks remaining to this day. These constructions have proven impressively hardy. First, an instrumen- tality of identity resulted whereby many came to realize the advan- tages of calling themselves Uzbek over, say, Sart or Tajik (Bergne 2007). Second, irredentist claims have been the exception rather than the rule. This may be partly because of the above-explained attempted congruity of titular majority and republican borders. But even in the case where this was spectacularly not achieved, e.g. in the Tajik case, elites have chosen to honour present borders rather than contest them. The mismatch of ethnic and political bound- aries in the Ferghana Valley, as a further example, has not led to interventionist behaviour with the Uzbel leadership priding itself on its non-interference, e.g. over the violence between the Kyrgyz and Uzbeks in Kyrgyz Republics Osh in June 2010, eschewing any irredentist ambition to create a Greater Uzbekistan (Fumagalli 2010). Degrees of Rupture Empire leaves behind durable legacies but can also provoke reac- tions leading to rupture with the imperial past, both internally and in external relations where anti-imperialism can poison relations with the ex-empire. The main difference between the two regions is the greater attempted rupture in MENA, largely owing to the more damaging experience of empire and the consequently higher levels of nationalist mobilization. While the Arab provinces only reluc- tantly accepted the break-up of the Ottoman Empire and the CA republics only reluctantly separated from the Soviet Union, many Arabs fought to end the Western empires and after independence sought to efface their remnants, notably in the waves of revolutions against the inequalities established under Western imperialism. Post-independence association with the ex-imperial core never enjoyed legitimacy, from the time of the failed Baghdad Pact. Repeatedly, counter-hegemonic movements and revisionist states sought, in the name of supra-state identities, Pan-Arabism (Nass- ers Egypt, Saddams Iraq) or Pan-Islam (Khomeinis Iran), to break links to the ex-imperial core but were frustrated by external inter- vention and imperial residues such as borders and client elites. As a result, the Middle East, as Brown (1984) argues, remains the most penetrated Third world region and as Buzan (1991) notes, the one classical civilization that has not recovered its historical great- ness after (Western) empire. To be sure, the exceptional continued durability of anti- imperialism in MENA is owing to the way a unique combination of factors oil and Israel acts as magnets of continuing post- 124 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 imperial external intervention. But these are themselves conse- quences of empire: without the British imperial takeover of the region, Israel would not have been established and this is widely understood in the region. It is also widely understood that oil was a motive for Western empire in the region and explained the tenac- ity with which the West has sought to sustain its penetration of the region after empire. Of course, Britain and France have shed their formal empires but the US, having assumed protection of the status quo they left behind, became their informal imperial suc- cessor and was so perceived in the region. Indeed, especially after two US wars against Iraq, in which the factors of oil and Israel were intimately implicated (Hinnebusch 2007), US hegemony appeared rmly established over the region, a new level of hierarchy that qualies the sovereignty of regional states. This explains why anti- imperialism, obsolete in much of the post-colonial world, remained alive in MENA, keeping resistance to external penetration costly and the region unstable. The exception is Turkey, which, having successfully fought off imperialism, could engage with the West on a more self-condent basis. This can be compared to CA where nationhood was a product of imperial rule and modernization suffered reversals after imperial break-up, resulting in more benign perceptions of the imperial era. In striking contrast to MENA, CA leaders Soviet identity initially give them legitimacy and the idea of a Commonwealth (CIS) joining the ex-empire and ex-colonies was accepted even if of only symbolic importance. As in MENA, there is a gap between the more state- centric identities of elites and popular attachment to supra-state identities; yet the anti-imperial thrust of Pan-Arab and Islamic identities in MENA contrasts with the pro-imperial (pro-Russian) thrust in CA, manifest in nostalgia for the Soviet era, emigration to Russia, and a backlash against the inequalities fostered by Western-promoted neo-liberalism (Adams 2010; Lewis 2010). The geographic proximity of the ex-imperial (Russian) core might have been seen as a threat to post-colonial autonomy in CA, but the interdependencies of population, energy pipelines, security etc. made too much rupture between Russia and CA states too mutu- ally damaging. Yet, Russias lack of surplus capital to export to the CA periphery made it harder for it to reconstruct a post-imperial informal hegemony. Moreover, the geographical contiguity of Russian and Chinese power, balanced by the recently arrived US presence, meant Central Asian states were able to negotiate between multiple competing hegemons, easing dependency on any one of them (Deyermond 2009), with consequently less experience of Russian neo-imperialism that would de-legitimize continued association with the ex-empire. Empire and After 125 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 Conclusions The evidence here presented supports the hypothesis with which the study began: that empire matters for what comes after and although other factors, not least the agency of post-imperial state- builders, also matter, even these actors cannot escape the impact of the imperial legacy. The similarity in the imperial creation of the new states in MENA and CA that achieved independence during de-colonization does seem to explain similarities in the kinds of states that resulted. In both regions, the imperial powers consti- tuted the boundaries of what would become the new states, passed on bureaucratic governing apparatuses, and conceded them sov- ereignty in the de-colonization process, but it was up to indigenous state builders to make their states work; in some places where there were pre-existing state traditions, as in Egypt and Morocco or as in Turkey and CA where indigenous forces had a greater hand in the state creation process, the outcome had more legitimacy than in the Levant where states were seen as articial imperial creations. But, indicative of the difculty of the task everywhere, was the widespread resort in both regions to neo-patrimonial practices inherited from earlier layers of empire. Such practices were most tenacious and successful when clienteles could be modernized and lubricated by hydrocarbon rent, itself passed on by empire; indeed, variations in both regions in states access to rent explains differ- ences in the stability of post-imperial neo-patrimonialism, evident, for example, in the greater instability of the Kyrgyz Republic and of republics such as Egypt and Syria compared to the hydrocarbon rich Gulf monarchies and in CA notably Turkmenistan. The result- ing states typically combined personalistic leadership (monarchies and presidential monarchies) and clientelism with limited institu- tional development and partly incorporated oppositions. They have limited infrastructural power and few mechanisms of public accountability, hence insufcient legitimacy to relieve them of domestic insecurity. But in both regions enough post-imperial state building took place to endow states with something more than quasi-sovereignty. Differences in imperial heritages also help explain the greater instability of the MENA states system and the lesser legitimacy of informal ex-imperial hegemony over that region compared to CA. In MENA, Western imperialism, born amidst a peace to end all peace, was much more damaging, leaving behind intractable regional conicts and driving radical but failed attempts at rupture, thereby sustaining the de-legitimation of association with the Western ex-empire and making the region the epicentre of contem- porary global struggles. By contrast, empire in CA left behind no 126 Sally Cummings and Raymond Hinnebusch 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Journal of Historical Sociology Vol. 27 No. 1 March 2014 intractable conict and inspired no comparable revolutionary or anti-imperial movements or civilizational clash. However, what both regions share is that despite sovereignty and in MENA half a century of it neither have managed to move up in the global hierarchy and remain under persistent, if informal, residues of empires. This continuation of hierarchy is another part of how the narrative of movement from empire to sovereignty has to be qualied in our regions. How far this is due to the immediate effects of empire, such as the fragmentation, at least in MENA, of the large territorial space that had once made MENA Islamic empires global powers (and in contrast to China and India, which escaped fragmentation and have improved their global status) and to what extent it is due to patrimonial governance in post-imperial states is debatable but both factors are arguably in good part a consequence of empire. In conclusion, and keeping in mind the purposes and qualica- tions noted at the outset, we set out to provoke further thinking on how the different ways in which empire-builders made empire also inuenced the making of the post-imperial successor states. In doing so, we have qualied conventional narratives about a sharp break between the ages of empire and of the sovereign nation-state, with our more complex story in line with the traditions of historical sociology. Finally, while as comparativists we have sought to iden- tify commonalities and regularities, as area specialists we also embrace the many exceptions to the broad generalizations we have put forward since the heritages of empire are, as Catherine Lutz (2006) put it, in the details. Notes 1 We take Central Asia (CA) to mean the ve post-Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. 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