Professional Documents
Culture Documents
( ()
= 9,86
Sw =
( ()
= 0,225
r = (wx - n) / (n Sx Sw)
r = (101183,646 (6 x 8.445 x 1996.66)) / (6 x 9.86 x 0.225)
r = 0.905 = Coeficiente de correlacin
Obtener el valor m
m = r (
) = 0.85 (
)
m = 0,0207 = B
b = - m = 8.445 (0, 0207 x 1996.66) = -32, 80
b = Ln A
A =
= 5,677
P = 5,677
(
) (Poblacin en determinado ao)
P 2014 = 5,677
) = 36270habitantes.
P 2034 = 5,677
) = 55757habitantes.
MTODO DE MNIMOS CUADRADOS
Ao (X) Poblacin (y) w = Ln P W X W*x
1960 16318 9.700 94.090 3841600 19012.05
1970 21210 9.962 99.246 3880900 19625.59
1980 23200 10.052 101.041 3920400 19902.78
1990 36420 10.503 110.310 3960100 20900.72
2010 43860 10.689 114.250 4040100 21484.40
9910 suma = 50.906 518.937 19643100 100925.53