Context / Issues Scarcity seems to be the new norm climatic changes, peak demand for grain consumption, lack of arable land Steadily rising food prices eclipsing previous global highs in 2011 mass starvation, political conflict and prices beyond the reach of many communities The Millennium Development Goals of 2015 to halve the rate of extreme hunger nowhere near being met. 1 billion people remain hungry.
Question Analysis FOOD CONSUMPTION: QUANTITY of food consumed, TYPE/NATURE of food consumption NO LONGER: Assumption that it was once sustainable, students should express some of the key changes over time NO LONGER SUSTAINABLE: Food is being consumed at a rate where demand for food sources far exceeds supply resulting in a lack of long term security Possible arguments While population growth may have slowed the RISE IN AFFLUENCE and the RECORD PACE OF DEMAND/AMOUNT CONSUMED PER CAPITA has skyrocketed Sustainability issues are worsened by the unprecedented rise in demand in newly developing economies for GREATER QUANTITIES OF LAND/GRAIN-INTENSIVE LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY PRODUCTS. 3 billion people are entering the middle class and opting for meat, milk, and egg products which is land intensive China will double the USAs meat consumption by the end of 2011 (Foreign Policy) Failure to match growing demand is also caused by the CONVERSION OF CROPLAND INTO NON- FARM USES with the rise of newly industrialising economies MANY OF WHICH ARE PRIMARILY GLOBAL CROP PRODUCERS
www.thegptutor.com Suburban sprawl, industrial construction, and the paving of land for roads in California USA, Brazil, Egypt. In 2011, Chinas new car sales are projected to reach 20 million for every 5m cars, 1m acres must be paved to accommodate them. Alternate views / Counter-arguments Critics claim that advancing technology has underpinned steady harvests to meet demand previously. Indeed, world grain yield/acre has tripled since 1950. Yet, we have come to take agricultural progress for granted. The backlog of untapped technologies is no more. ALL AVAILABLE TECHNOLOGIES TO RAISE YIELDS ARE CURRENTLY EXHAUSTED IN THE MOST ADVANCED NATIONS WITH NO NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN SIGHT SINCE THE LATE1980S. - Furthermore, even if technology existed to increase yields, CLIMATE CHANGE AND ERRATIC WEATHER PATTERNS afflicting food supply is likely to continue Dust storms, severe soil erosion and water deficits have hit many parts of the world. Production in some areas have dropped by as much as two thirds. Western Russia 2010: all crop yield decimated by a rise in temperature above the norm. Research is required into food sources that are not mainstream but indiginous. Scientists have identified almost 2000 plants which can be fit for human consumption. We currently only eat 50+ vegetables. Research into creating high calorific food products which can be easily distributed is needed. Significant amount of crops are often eaten by rodents. www.thegptutor.com