to channel funds to fund deficits to offer opportunites for savers to offer gambling opportunities to offer improved asset prices Struture of Financial Markets * What is NOT a way we can subdivide a financial market? by asset by location by maturity by participants by philosophy Debt Markets * Interest payable on debt must cover the possiblity of extreme weather the cost of funds LIBOR Fed Funds a guaranteed profit for the bank or lending insitution Ratings agencies * The phrase "information asymmetry" means information wants to be free information has a price different market participants have different information sets market participants need to make a profit different ratings agencies will differ in their ratings Stress Testing * Why do we engage in stress testing? banking is a stressful business and staff must be prepared the stress of modelling justifies high salaries we know the Profit and loss and must find the VaR the impact of extreme events must be considered big losses will lead to even bigger profits Value at Risk * What does "risk tolerance" measure? how much money will be made how tolerant a market paricipant is to profits how tolerant a market participant is to volatility how tolerant a market participant is to expected returns how much money will be lost Value at Risk * Why do regulators care about VaR? they care about profits as well as losses the banking system underwent extreme stress in 2007 it is a standardised model that all institutions use because 99.9% VaR is more accurate than 99% VaR your mama. Value at Risk * The assumption of a normal distribution ... is fundamentally wrong is fundamentally wrong for financial data is fundamentally right is fundamentally right for the right reasons makes things more complicated Value at Risk * a 99% confidence interval implies 99% of the time you are making money in the markets 99% of the time you are losing money in the markets 99% of the time your estimates of losses in the markets are correct 99% of the time your estimates of losses in the markets are wrong 99% of the time you lose money in the markets Value at Risk * the phrase "excessive kurtosis" implies small changes in value are most likely large changes in value are most likely small & large changes in value are more likely small changes in value are least likely large changes in value are least likely Credit Risk * What is NOT a type of credit risk downgrade risk interest rate risk inflation risk exchange rate risk default risk Credit Risk * Netting allows a bank or financial institution to protect against losses by netting trades net off positions between two institutions add only winning trades and ignore losing add only losing trades and ignore winning net credit risk to protect against default Credit Risk * Why might a bank insist upon collateral? it provides security against default up front fees are an important source of profits some is better than none their counterparty always does their rules and regulations can't be changed Credit Risk * Investment grade bonds are better than junk bonds are rated CCC and above are rated BBB and above are higher yielding than junk bonds provide high yield at low risk Credit Risk * Why are credit managment practices necessary? to keep lending books as small as possible to keep a control on credit risk to keep profits as high as posible to keep the regulators at bay to keep volatility at a minimum Operational Risk * Which Basel II compliant measurement of Operational Risk will have the lowest ch arge? Basic Indicator Approach Standardised Approach Advanced Measurement Approach Impossible to answer VaR Operational Risk * What is NOT an advantage of the BIA? easy to understand can be used without loss data data is already available minimises capital charge easy to implement Operational Risk * Business lines help us undertand the regulatory framework help us define VaR hep us to categorise a bank's operations help to us calculate VaR help us to expand our results Operational Risk * What is NOT a disadvantage of the TSA? may overestimate the capital charge model correlations are perfect positive assumes risk is the same for all business lines and all banks doesn't explicity incorporate FX rates is difficult to implement Operational Risk * Sarbanes Oxley is an international law is a waste of time and resources holds CXO staff accountable holds managers at risk requires excessive calculations Basel II * Before 1988 banks lacked any agreed global regulation were bigger than they are now after the 2007 crash made money by borrowing and lending at fixed rates yes there were banks back then kept leverage down to low, sensible levels Basel II * Tier 1 capitla is permanent capital allows banks to raise short term funds is the best capital to hold, hence the name "Tier 1" is fleeting is raised by written agreements Basel II * the purpose of risk weights is to adjust capital according to the risk of an asset class adjust capital according to the whims of reguators adjust capital according to historic losses adjust capital by means of tax agreements adjust capital by means of accounting measures Basel II * the Market Risk Capital charge includes a variable, 'k' which is fixed which is varies according to maturity which is varied by the regulators which is varied by riskyness of the assets which is varied by means of payments Basel II * The Supervisory Review process of Basel II requires traders to justify risk to regulators requires traders to justify risk to supervisors allows supervisors to review trades allows regulators to review trades none of the above The Financial Crisis * What was Goldman Sachs doing even as they sold CDOs to clients? selling CDOs at record high prices selling CDOs to non bank financial institutions shorting the ABX going long the ABX none of the above The Financial Crisis * Describe the ratings agencies actions proactive reactive making things happen watching things happen inactive The Financial Crisis * Credit Default Swaps - CDSs should be outlawed are weapons of mass financial destruction don't work make lots of money regardless of market moves are effective if used correctly The Financial Crisis * Commericall paper can be considered the canary in the financial coalmine is riskless is high yielding paper should be shorted is an asset without peer The Financial Crisis * Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are NOT government sponsored entities guaranteed by the government vehicles with low leverage companies that are government owned companies that have accepted government funds