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Exhibit 1
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
$77,131
$62,519
81.1%
$14,612
18.9%
$80,953
$68,382
84.5%
$12,571
15.5%
$89,250
$72,424
81.1%
$16,826
18.9%
144000
116784
81.1%
27216
18.9%
70070.4
144000
116784
81.1%
27216
18.9%
70070.4
$4,416
4.95%
$7,458
8.36%
$4,952
120000
97320
81.1%
22680
18.9%
58392
0.189
6000
5.00%
10032
8.36%
$6,648
$3,726
4.83%
Selling, general and administrative $6,594
8.55%
Operating income
$4,292
$4,133
5.11%
$7,536
9.31%
$902
7200
5.00%
12038.4
8.36%
$7,978
7200
5.00%
12038.4
8.36%
$7,978
Interest expense
$480
-$39
$652
9.85%
-$27
$735
8.28%
-$35
937.21
9.25%
-50
1347.6
9.25%
-50
1696.9
9.25%
-50
$3,773
$223
$4,182
$5,661
$6,580
$6,231
$1,509
$2,264
$89
$134
$1,673
$2,509
$2,264.32
$3,396
$2,632.0
$3,948
$1.52
$0.09
$1.68
Net sales
Cost of goods sold
Gross margin
Purchases
Research and development
$2.28
$2.65
$2,492.27
$3,738
$2.51
(a) In years 2007 and after, Flash's effective combined federal and state income tax rate was 40%.
debt/Equity
int Coverage
Notes payable/Acc Receivables
ROE
0.39
8.94
60.25%
13.28%
0.52
1.38
68.98%
0.78%
0.51
6.74
69.06%
12.75%
0.63
7.09
73.85%
14.71%
0.68
5.92
77.50%
14.61%
0.47
4.70
61.70%
12.15%
2007
Cash
Accounts receivable
Inventories
Prepaid expenses
Total current assets
December 31,
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
$2,536
$10,988
$9,592
$309
$23,425
$2,218
$12,864
$11,072
$324
$26,478
$2,934
$14,671
$11,509
$357
$29,471
3960
19726
13865
480
38031
4752
23671
16638
576
45637
4752
23671
16638
576
45637
$6,116
$1,174
$4,942
$7,282
$1,633
$5,649
$8,182
2179.15
$6,003
$9,082
2792.8
$6,289
$9,982
3473.95
$6,508
$27,939
$31,420
$35,120
$44,034
$51,926
$52,145
$3,084
$6,620
$563
$151
$478
$10,896
$4,268
$8,873
$591
$9
$502
$14,243
$3,929
$10,132
$652
$167
$554
$15,434
4799
$14,568
876
226
744
$21,214
5759
$18,345
105
263
893
$25,365
5759
$14,604
105
249
893
$21,610
$15
$7,980
$9,182
$17,177
$15
$7,980
$11,691
$19,686
$15
7980
$15,087
$23,082
$15
7980
$19,035
$27,030
$15
7980
$22,774
$30,769
$31,420
$35,120
Total assets
Accounts payable
Notes payable (a)
Accrued expenses
Income taxes payable (b)
Other current liabilities
Total current liabilities
Line Item
Assumption or Ratio
81.10% of sales
5.0% of sales
8.36% of sales
Beginning of year debt balance interest rate
$50,000 of expense each year
Cash
Accounts receivable
Inventories
Prepaid expenses
Property, plant & equipment at cost
Accumulated depreciation
3.3% of sales
60 days sales outstanding
52 days of cost of good sold
0.4% of sales
Beginning PP&E at cost + capital expenditures
Beginning A/D + 7.5% of beginning PP&E at cost
Accounts payable
Purchases
Accrued expenses
Income taxes payable
Other current liabilities
30 days of purchases
60% of cost of goods sold
0.73% of sales
10% of income taxes expense
0.62% of sales
Selected Financial Information for Flash Memory, Inc., and Selected Competitors, 2007 through 2009
2007
Sales ($ millions)
EPS ($)
Dividend per share ($)
Closing stock price ($)
Shares outstanding (millions)
Book Value per share ($)
ROE
Capitalization (book value)
Debt
Equity
Beta coefficient
77
1.52
-n/a
1.492
11.43
13.28%
81
0.09
-n/a
1.492
11.52
0.78%
89
1.68
-n/a
1.492
13.20
12.75%
5,688
-0.42
-7.25
769.1
10.08
-4.13%
5,841
-2.10
-2.64
772.5
8.00
-26.21%
4,803
-2.29
-10.56
800.7
5.81
-39.43%
28%
72%
34%
66%
34%
66%
n/a
24%
76%
31%
69%
40%
60%
SanDisk Corporation
Sales ($ millions)
EPS ($)
Dividend per share ($)
Closing stock price ($)
Shares outstanding (millions)
Book Value per share ($)
ROE
Capitalization (book value)
Debt
Equity
Beta coefficient
Micron Technology
2008
2009
3,986
0.84
-33.17
227.7
22.64
3.70%
3,351
-8.82
-9.60
225.3
15.27
-57.74%
3,567
1.83
-28.99
227.4
17.18
10.63%
15%
85%
22%
78%
21%
79%
30-Apr-10 (a)
1.46
9.35
847.6
6.61
21.00%
33%
67%
1.25
STEC, Inc.
3.71
39.84
229.3
18.13
17.87%
19%
81%
1.36
189
0.20
-8.74
49.8
3.72
5.40%
227
0.09
-4.26
50.0
3.63
2.36%
354
1.47
-16.34
49.4
5.65
26.06%
0%
100%
0%
100%
0%
100%
1.29
13.90
50.3
5.48
18.90%
0%
100%
1.00
(a) Security analyst estimates for year-end EPS $ and Return on Equity; actual data on April 30, 2010, for all other items.
San disk
STEC
Micro
Unlevered Beta
1.28
1
1.04
1.11
Years
CAPEX
Sales
COGS
depreciation
COGS-depri
SGA
promotion
EBIT
WC
Change in WC
0
2010
-2200
5648
-5648
EBIT
EBIT(1-T)
Free Cashflows
WACC (%)
PV Cash Flow
NPV
-7848
10.21%
-7848
2936
unlevered beta
Levered beta
Ke
Kd
1.11
1.26
11.24
9.25
1
2011
0
21600
17064
79.0%
440
16624
1806
300
2430
7322
-1674
2
2012
0
28000
22120
79.0%
440
21680
2341
3
2013
0
28000
22120
79.0%
440
21680
2341
4
2014
0
11000
8690
79.0%
440
8250
920
5
2015
0
5000
3950
79.0%
440
3510
418
3539
7322
0
3539
2877
4446
1390
1308
1569
632
0
1308
2430
1458
3539
2124
3539
2124
1390
834
632
379
225
2564
7009
2843
2127
204
2110
5235
1927
1308
D/C
E/C
D/E
0.18
0.82
0.22
2200 95.65217