ICICI Securities Ltd. Retail Equity Research Weekly Calls Weekly Technical Picks Exhibit 1: DCB Bank (DCB) Code DCB CMP 77. Comment Holding Green rising channel. Action Buy in the range of 78-75 Reco. Date June 23, 2014 Stop-loss 69. Targets 87 / higher.
ICICI Securities Ltd. Retail Equity Research Weekly Calls Weekly Technical Picks Exhibit 1: DCB Bank (DCB) Code DCB CMP 77. Comment Holding Green rising channel. Action Buy in the range of 78-75 Reco. Date June 23, 2014 Stop-loss 69. Targets 87 / higher.
ICICI Securities Ltd. Retail Equity Research Weekly Calls Weekly Technical Picks Exhibit 1: DCB Bank (DCB) Code DCB CMP 77. Comment Holding Green rising channel. Action Buy in the range of 78-75 Reco. Date June 23, 2014 Stop-loss 69. Targets 87 / higher.
Source: ASA, ICICIdirect.com Research June 23, 2014 DCB Bank (DCB) Code DCB CMP | 77.65 Comment Holding Green rising channel. Action Buy in the range of 78-75 Reco. Date June 23, 2014 Stop-loss | 69.50 Targets | 87 / higher
Source: ASA, ICICIdirect.com Research Dishman Pharma & Chem. (DISPHA) Code DISPHA CMP | 129.30 Comment Breaks previous resistances with higher volume. Action Buy above 131 Reco. Date June 23, 2014 Stop-loss | 118 Targets | 149 / higher
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 4 Trend Scanner
Positive Trends
Scrip Name Close 50 days SMA 20-day SMA 5-day SMA Delivery % 5 days Averge Berger Paints 272.55 248.30 257.20 269.50 52.20 Cadila Healthcare 1,021.10 965.00 958.30 1,002.30 67.00 Prime Focus 41.55 34.60 39.00 39.20 49.30 Titan 333.85 300.90 322.20 322.70 41.20 TCS 2,292.40 2,163.00 2,168.00 2,269.00 61.00
Negative Trends Scrip Name Close 50 days SMA 20-day SMA 5-day SMA Delivery % 5 days Averge UBL 684.25 764.90 742.80 708.50 48.40
Note: Positive / Negative Trend stocks are scanned on the basis of mechanical signal. Stocks which are trading above their 50 day SMA (Simple moving average) and where 50 day SMA is rising for at least three sessions are considered in positive trend and further filtered for a momentum signal of a cross over between 5 and 20 period moving average. Opposite is true for Negative trending stocks.
Weekly Candlestick Patterns Bullish Reversal Pattern Bearish Reversal Pattern Scrip Name Close Scrip Name Close Bullish Engulfing Bearish Engulfing Titan 333.85 Ballarpur Industries 18.30 Zee Entertainment 284.45 Bullish Candle Bearish Candle Asian Paints 568.45 M&M 1143.95 GAIL 439.10 Canara Bank 422.5 Cadila Healthcare 1021.10 UBL 684.25 Indusind Bank 555.50 LIC Housing Finance 319.95 TCS 2292.40 Bullish Piercing Line Prime Focus 41.55
Note: For Candlestick pattern description please refer towards the end of the report.
Institutional Activity FII DII Previous Week -421 -411 MTD 5354 -260 April to June quarter 27962 -2852 YTD 53114 -10603 *Previous week figure are povisional figure *MTD- Month till date *YTD- Year till date
Sectoral Indices Performance INDICES Current 1Wk 1M 3M Sensex 25105.51 -0.5 4.1 15.4 Nifty 7511.45 -0.4 4.3 15.6 Auto 14878.31 -2.1 3.6 17.5 Banking 17196.78 -0.7 1.8 24.1 Capital goods 15602.69 -1.6 6.9 35.4 Cons durables 8488.98 4.4 6.4 32.5 FMCG 6841.79 -0.4 -0.3 -0.9 Healthcare 10817.48 0.5 5.9 6.4 IT 9148.53 2.8 6.2 1.2 Metal 12982.32 -0.7 6.3 42.9 Oil & gas 11113.81 -2.2 6.2 24.0 Power 2199.48 -1.0 2.3 35.2 Realty 2006.62 0.6 5.4 45.1 BSE 500 9582.66 -0.2 5.2 20.1 BSE midcap 8961.96 0.3 11.2 33.5 BSE small cap 9761.22 0.9 18.0 46.4
Domestic Indices Index Current Previous Change% CNX Nifty 7511.45 7542.10 -0.41 S&P BSE Sensex 25105.51 25228.17 -0.49 Nifty Future 7525.35 7560.00 -0.46 S&P BSE 500 9582.66 9606.41 -0.25 S&P BSE Midcap 8961.96 8935.93 0.29 S&P BSE Small cap 9761.22 9674.58 0.90
Global Indices Weekly Performance Japan 9,987.2 15,349.1 1.7% Germany 0.8% US 6,825.2 UK 1,962.9 China 0.7% 1.4% France 54,638.2 -0.3% Brazil 4,541.3 0.0% Hong Kong -0.5% 23,194.1 2,026.7 -2.1%
Commodities in US $
Close Prev. Close %Chg Gold 1311.70 1281.49 2.36 Copper 20.7826 19.803 4.95 Brent Crude 115.09 112.98 1.87
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 6 Strategy Follow up Previous Week Date Scrip Product Strategy RP Target SL Gain/Loss % Comment 13-Jun Aurobindo Pharma Cash Buy 680.00 725.00 672.00 - Not Initiated 13-Jun Wipro Cash Buy 519.00 542.00 514.00 - Not Initiated
Forthcoming Economic Events Calendar Date Event US 23-Jun Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index 23-Jun Markit US Manufacturing PMI 23-Jun Existing Home Sales MoM 24-Jun Richmond Fed Manufact. Index 24-Jun New Home Sales MoM 25-Jun GDP Annualized QoQ 25-Jun Markit US Composite PMI 26-Jun Initial Jobless Claims 26-Jun PCE Deflator MoM 26-Jun Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 26-Jun Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity India 25-Jun Eight Infrastructure Industries 30-Jun Fiscal Deficit INR Crore 30-Jun BoP Current Account Balance China 23-Jun HSBC China Manufacturing PMI 24-Jun Conference Board China May Leading Economic Index 27-Jun Industrial Profits YTD YoY UK 23-Jun Hometrack Housing Survey MoM 24-Jun BBA Loans for House Purchase 24-Jun CBI Reported Sales 27-Jun Current Account Balance 27-Jun GDP QoQ 27-Jun Index of Services MoM
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 7
NOTES:
Please execute the recommendation within the prescribed range provided in the report
Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report on closing basis
We adapt a trading strategy of booking 50% profit when the position is in profit by 4-6% and trail stoploss on remaining position to the entry point
In recommendations where it is advised to buy on declines, if the target price is hit before activation of the call in prescribed range then the recommendation is considered not initiated
The recommendations are valid only for the week and are to be squared off by the end of the week. In case we intend to carry forward the position, it will be communicated through separate mail
. Trading Portfolio allocation
It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical research products
Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment
Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation
For example: The Daily Calls product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation
Techno Funda 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 6 Months
Technical Breakout 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 3-6 Months
Cash in Hand 10% - - - - -
100%
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 9 Candlesticks Glossary: Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within larger trend
Morning Star: Potential bottom reversal pattern made of three candle lines. The first sizeable black candle reflects a market in which the bears are in complete charge. The next candle line--the small real body--shows a slight diminution of the bearish force. The white candle that makes up the last part of the morning star visually displays the bulls are gaining the upper hand. Lowest low amongst three candles becomes technical support
Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the prior sessions black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices
Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on the next sessions open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at the top end of the sessions range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session
Evening Star: Potential Top reversal pattern made of three candle lines. Comparable with a traffic signal. First white candle reflects a market in bullish trend. The next candle line--the small real bodywarns waning momentum. The black candle that completes the evening star visually exhibits that prior up trend has stopped or reversed
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The second sessions price opens over the prior sessions high (or above the prior sessions close). By the end of the second session, it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior sessions white body. Pattern suggests that market has a poor chance of rising immediately
Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of the session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest the trouble for prices overhead
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 10
Pankaj Pandey Head Research pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No 7, MIDC Andheri (East) Mumbai 400 093 research@icicidirect.com
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