MODELING UTAH POPULATION

DATA
Math 1010 Intermediate Algebra Group Project
According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, the
population of Utah appears to have increased linearly over the years from 1980
to 2008. The following table shows the population in 1OO,OOO'sliving in Utah
according to year. In this project, you will use the data in the table to find a linear
function f (x) that represents the data, reflecting the change in'population in
Utah.
Estimates of Utah Resident Population, in
10\ C60 100,000's
Year 1981 1989 1993 1999 2005 2008
1 9 13 19 25 28
I) -::.
15. 2 17. 1 19 22 25
27. 4
x
Population,
y =-P-{~) F{
Source: u.s. Census Bureau, Population Division
Using the graph paper on the last page, plot the data given inthe table as ordered
pairs.
Label the x and y axes with words to indicate what the variables represent.
Use astraight edge to draw on your graph what appears to bethe line that "best
fits" the data you plotted. You will only have one line drawn, rather than several
pieces of lines
Estimate the coordinates oftwo points that fall on your best-fitting line. Write
these points below.
( o , \.~-),( is , 25 )
Use the points that you wrote down to find alinear functionf(x) for the line. Show
your work!
10
-
'Z.S
1
1,
fW= __ ~ 5 ~ X _ _t _ \ S _
7-
What is the slope of your line? m=_ - ....l.S'- - _ _
Interpret its meaning. Does it make sense in the context of this situation?
Please use complete sentences to respond to these questions.
(:liSt.. 1, F":I1~~0"\ y - O'I'!- - ,"':> ~ ~V~ f- e> H.. ,I!.- r'jkf-.
S r o,\,,~~.
Find the value ofJ(45) using your function frompart 3. Show your work, then
write your result inthe blank below.
j (L .\ S')::. L\ S' I r s,
troW! Iq 50
J (l\ ~)- =- ~\ 45)tl~
I
X '-=- liS
'f -=- 1"6 {--IS -- ~~
(~5}~5)
I
p~~~a~ ,""' 1 0: .1 .,
Write asentence interpreting the meaning of f (45) inthe context of this project.
J (0) ('~f{6e..t~';) 19110} e..vuy tlJi'1('-\ -lO>1 q~H?"" r~.... ~ fef,,,r ,4V1 r +I.-t..e :!:\ -
o~ y~"'~ ~I~(...e.. ~.
Use your function from part 3 to approximate in what year the residential
population of Utah reached 2,000,000. Show your work.
L ( () - :?=- (lS) } IS (IS) 2 .1 )
J I..) - 5 -, r L - ,
}
">0'/l1- on o-.I ' ,",/ ?
(p I- - I S :.- 2 l . /0<9) O()riJ J
2
1'1"1 S - (;l- ~ h4 1.)I~) ~OO f' eoel .e....
Compare your linear function with that of another student or group.
Comparison function: f(x) = IT - y, tiS
Is the comparison function the same as the function you wrote down for part 3?
1'10
If they are different, explain why.
f"\ ~ p e-e.r VSeJ \ olj..~ b,,<:.--t CJVl ~he..- be-'bf- I.'\ .t- c C?;1 .:}"cPlpV;,
.:L v":le. c{ ,e~..,c-}- ~1c.~"'l~;fOW\ ~ F"/I}s }''I\ 2 .00S ~ 1'\ <& t . r '~
4.:~y 1'~\ -eI('..e-f'1-- CAS '(~'l{O Lt/h Ch L Uau/ of ,' l tol h.Je ~.ir A' ~J 0> ~ +'k....
at.J--. Se .
A
-,
If they arethe same, explain why.
,Je L ;l-~_ ~- - 1.Nl <L
In actuality, using a linear growth model for population is not common.
Most models are exponential models, due to the fact that most
populations experience relative growth, i.e. 2% growth per year. L inear
models for nonlinear relationships like population work only within a small
time frame valid close to the time of the data modeled. Discuss some of
the false conclusions you might reach if you use your linear model for
times far from 1980- 2008.
r r I I I 0 't.. O\ t- (CI'1S~~1-
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