MATH 560, Final Exa !"an#a$% &', &00() Ti*+ Maxi# T,$** H-#$. Instructor: Prof. Hassen A. Muttlak Name: ID# QUESTIONS FU MA!"S MA!"S O#TAINED $ $% & &' % $( ) $& ( $* + $% TOTA ,' $. -( ./0$% 1o2nts3 An e41er2ment 5as run to 6eterm2ne 57et7er four s1ec2f2c f2r2n8 tem1eratures affect t7e 6ens2t9 of a certa2n t91e of :r2ck. T7e e41er2ment le6 to t7e follo52n8 6ata. $ Tem1erature Dens2t9 $'' / , * + * $&( * ) ( ) % $(' , / / + ( $*( , * / ) + ;ou are 82<en t7e follo52n8: SST0 +(= an6 SSE 0)'. a. Does t7e f2r2n8 tem1erature affect t7e 6ens2t9 of :r2cks> :. Use t7e Tuke9 met7o6 to make com1ar2son :et5een t7e 1a2rs of means. ?7at conclus2ons can 9ou 6ra5> &. -(.%.).).)0&' Po2nts3 A 7os12tal a6m2n2strator 52s7es to stu69 t7e relat2on :et5een 1at2ent sat2sfact2on -;3 an6 1at2ent@s a8e -A $ 2n 9ears3= se<er2t9 of 2llness -A & = an 2n6e43= an6 an42et9 le<el -A % = an 2n6e43. T7e a6m2n2strator ran6oml9 selecte6 )+ 1at2ents an6 collecte6 t7e 6ata= 5ere lar8er <alues of ;= A & an6 A % are res1ect2<el9= assoc2ate6 52t7 more sat2sfact2on= & 2ncrease6 se<er2t9= an6 more an42et9. T7e f2tte6 re8ress2on mo6el an6 t7e anal9s2s of t7e <ar2ance ta:le are 82<en :elo5. B % / 05( 1 0203 4 0 1 0233& 4 & 1 0'25 4 ' , Source SS 6f MS F !e8ress2on ,$&'.( Error Total $%%+,.% )( -a3 ?r2te t7e re8ress2on mo6el an6 2ts assum1t2ons. An com1lete t7e ANOCA ta:le. -:3 Dan 2t :e conclu6e6 at t7e (E le<el of s28n2f2cance t7at $ & % ' = = = > -c3 Test t7e 791ot7es2s t7at onl9 & % ' = = -63 Dalculate R & a6Fuste6 an6 comment on 9our results. -e3 Use t7e com1uter out 1ut to c7eck t7e assum1t2ons of t7e mo6el. 16 12 8 4 -0 -4 -8 -12 -16 -20 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Residual F r e q u e n c y Histogram of Residuals 50 40 30 20 10 0 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 !ser"ation #um!er R e s i d u a l $ %&art of Residuals 'ean(-4)2*-14 +%,(32)15 ,%,(-32)15 -0 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 Fit R e s i d u a l Residuals "s) Fits 2 1 0 -1 -2 20 10 0 -10 -20 #ormal .lot of Residuals #ormal /core R e s i d u a l Residual 'odel 0iagnostics % ) %. -( .*0$& Po2nts3 Dom1an9 e4ecut2<es 5ant :e a:le to 1re62ct market s7are of t7e2r 1ro6uct -;3 :ase6 on merc7an62se 1r2ce -A $ 3= t7e 8ross N2elsen rat2n8 1o2nts -A & = an 2n6e4 of t7e amount of a6<ert2s2n8 e41osure t7at t7e 1ro6uct rece2<e63G t7e 1resence or a:sence of a 57olesale 1r2c2n8 62scount -A % 0$ 2f 62scount 1resentG ot7er52se A % 0'3G t7e 1resence or a:sence of a 1acka8e 1romot2on 6ur2n8 t7e 1er2o6 -A ) 0$ 2f 1romot2on 1resentG ot7er52se A ) 0'3G an6 9ear -A ( 3. Use t7e com1uter out1ut 82<en :elo5 to ans5er t7e follo52n8 Huest2ons ?r2te t7e re8ress2on mo6el an6 2ts assum1t2ons. -a3 #9 look2n8 at tItest of eac7 2n6e1en6ent <ar2a:le 572c7 <ar2a:les can :e 6ro1out from t7e mo6el> E41la2n. -:3 Select t7e :est mo6el-s3= Fust2f9 9our select2on. -%.*0$' marks3. Regression Analysis: Y versus X1, X2, X3, X4, X5 The regression equation is Y = 82.6 - 0.267 X1 -0.000067 X2 + 0.411 X3 + 0.118 X4 - 0.0398 X5 Prei!tor "oe# $% "oe# T P "onstant 82.57 68.26 1.21 0.236 X1 -0.2670 0.1877 -1.42 0.165 X2 -0.0000672 0.0001861 -0.36 0.721 X3 0.41135 0.05308 7.75 0.000 X4 0.11813 0.05365 2.20 0.036 X5 -0.03977 0.03418 -1.16 0.254 $ = 0.1513 &-$q = 71.9' &-$q(a)* = 67.3' +na,-sis o# .arian!e $our!e /0 $$ 1$ 0 P &egression 5 1.75959 0.35192 15.38 0.000 &esiua, %rror 30 0.68666 0.02289 Tota, 35 2.44626 Best Subsets Regression: Y versus X1, X2, X3, X4, X5 &es2onse is Y X X X X X .ars &-$q &-$q(a)* "-2 $ 1 2 3 4 5 1 62.5 61.4 8.1 0.16420 X 1 9.3 6.6 64.9 0.25545 X 2 66.4 64.4 5.9 0.15778 X X 2 66.0 64.0 6.3 0.15865 X X 3 70.7 67.9 3.4 0.14979 X X X 3 70.0 67.2 4.0 0.15135 X X X 4 71.8 68.2 4.1 0.14915 X X X X 4 70.7 66.9 5.4 0.15215 X X X X 5 71.9 67.3 6.0 0.15129 X X X X X ( ). -$( 1o2nts 3An e41er2ment 5as con6ucte6 to 6eterm2ne 2f e2t7er tem1erature or furnace 1os2t2on affects t7e :ake6 6ens2t9 of a car:on ano6e. T7e 6ata are s7o5n :elo5. T*5*$a6#$* P-.i6i-n (00 (&5 (50 (*' $'+% (+( 0 (+( $'/' ($' (/% $')% (,' & (&/ ,// (&+ ()* $'&+ (%/ (&$ $'') (%&
Su11ose t7at t7e furnace 1os2t2ons 5ere ran6oml9 selecte6= result2n8 2n a m24e6 mo6el e41er2ment. Anal9s2s t7e e41er2ment an6 est2mate t7e a11ro1r2ate mo6el com1onents. ;ou are 82<en t7e follo52n8: SS Tem1 0 *$+'.'+= SS Pos2t2on 0 ,)(%)&.$$= SS Error 0(%*'.++* an6 SS Total0 ,(/+,'.,). + (. -)./.(0$* Po2nts3 Assem:lers 2n an electron2c f2rm 52ll attac7 $& com1onents to a ne5l9 6e<elo1e6 J:oar6J t7at 52ll :e use6 2n automat2cIcontrol eHu21ment 2n manufactur2n8 1lants. An o1erat2ons anal9st con6ucte6 an e41er2ment to stu69 t7e effects of t7ree factors on t7e mean t2me to assem:le a :oar6. Factor A 5as t7e 8en6er of assem:ler -20$ maleG 20& female3= factor 7 5as t7e seHuence of assem:l2n8 t7e com1onent -F0$= &= %3= an6 factor C 5as t7e mount of t7e e41er2ence :9 t7e assem:ler -k0$ un6er $/ mont7s= k0& $/ mont7s or more3. !an6om2Kat2on 5as use6 to ass28n $( assem:lers of eac7 8en6er 52t7 82<en amount of e41er2ence to eac7 of t7e t7ree assem:l9 seHuences= eac7 seHuence ass28ne6 to f2<e assem:lers. After a learn2n8 1er2o6= t7e total t2me -2n m2nutes3 to assem:le +' :oar6s 5as o:ser<e6. Use t7e follo52n8 ANOCA Ta:le to ans5er t7e follo52n8 Huest2ons a. State t7e mo6el of t7e e41er2ment an6 2ts assum1t2ons. :. Test all 1oss2:le 791ot7eses us2n8 '.$ = c. Su11ose t7at 9ou 7a<e :een tol6 t7at t7ere are no t5o 5a9s an6 t7ree 5a9s 2nteract2on= re5r2te t7e ANOCA ta:le an6 test all 1oss2:le 791ot7eses us2n8 '.'$ = . ANOVA able +na,-sis o# .arian!e #or Ti3e $our!e /0 $$ 1$ + 1 540361 540361 4 2 49320 24660 " 1 382402 382402 +54 2 543 271 +5" 1 91 91 45" 2 911 456 +545" 2 19 10 %rror 48 41186 858 Tota, 59 1014832 *
/ +. -$% Po2nts3 A lar8e com1an9 enl2ste6 t7e 7el1 of a ran6om sam1le of &' 1otent2al consumers 2n a 82<en 8eo8ra172cal locat2on to com1are t7e 179s2cal c7aracter2st2cs -suc7 as f2rmness an6 re:oun63 of n2ne 12llo5s -marke6 A to I3. S2nce 2t 5as assume6 t7at 1eo1le 5oul6 7a<e a 62ff2cult t2me 2n 62st2n8u2s72n8 62fferences amon8 t7e 12llo5s 57en 1resente6 52t7 n2ne at once= 2t 5as 6ec26e6 to em1lo9 t7e :alance6 2ncom1lete :lock 6es28n s7o5n 2n Ta:le I :elo5. T7e &' 1otent2al customers 5ere aske6 to 1rocee6 one at a t2me from $ to $&= sto112n8 at eac7 :lock -ta:le3 to com1are t7e t7ree 12llo5s. All 1ersons 5ere to recor6 a f2rmness score for eac7 12llo5s at eac7 ta:le= :ase6 on $ to ( 1o2nt scale -7287er score 2n62cates more f2rmness3. T7e sum scores for eac7 12llo5 at t7e $& -:locks3 ta:les are recor6e6 2n Ta:le II :elo5. Ta:le I #lock Treatments #lock Treatments -Ta:le3 -Ta:le3 $ A # D * A E I & D E F / # F L % L H I , D D H ) A D L $' A F H ( # E H $$ # D I + D F I $& D E L Ta:le II #lock Treatment #lock Treatment -Ta:le3 -Ta:le3 $ A (, # &+ D %/ * A +% E /( I %' & D /( E ,& F +, / # && F *% L *( % L *) H (& I &* , D )( D *) H ($ ) A +& D *' L +/ $' A (& F *+ H )% ( # &* E ,/ H (, $$ # $/ D *, I )$ + D %$ F +' I %( $& D )$ E /) L /$ Perform t7e anal9s2s of <ar2ance. Use 0 '.'( to test t7e null 791ot7es2s no 62fference amon8 treatment -12llo53 means. Note t7at SST 0 $+=,/).%$ an6 9 0 &='+(.