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e-mail :contactus@gmail.com, degree.office@gmail.com Tel. : 26609320


Website : www.lsraheja.org.in


SADHANA EDUCATION SOCIETYS
L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS AND COMMERCE
RE-ACCREDITED BY NAAC WITH A GRADE



Juhu Road, Santacruz (West), Mumbai 400 054.

DECLARATION BY THE STUDENT
I, Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale, student of M Com Part-II Roll Number 106 hereby declare that
the project for the Paper Research Methodology.
A study on public opinion on upcoming 16
th
lok-sabha elections in 2014 submitted by me
for Semester III during the academic year 2013-14, is based on actual work carried out by
me under the guidance and supervision of Prof. Samikisha J adhav Mam.
I further state that this work is original and not submitted anywhere else for any examination.

Signature of Student
EVALUATION CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the undersigned have assessed and evaluated the project on
A study on public opinion on 16
th
lok-sabha elections in 2014.
submitted by Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale Student of M Com Part-II.
This project is original to the best of our knowledge and has been accepted for Internal
Assessment.



Internal Examiner External Examiner Principal


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L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS & COMMERCE
Internal Assessment: Project 40 Marks

Name of the Student

Class

Division

Roll
Number.
First name : AJAY
Fathers Name: KACHARU
Surname : DHUTAWALE

M COM
PART II

MNGMT

106

Subject: Research Methodology

Topic for the Project: A STUDY ON PUBLI C OPI NI ON ON 16
TH
LOK-
SABHA ELECTI ONS I N 2014.



Marks Awarded Signature
DOCUMENTATION
Internal Examiner
(Out of 10 Marks)

External Examiner
(Out of 10 Marks)


Presentation
(Out of 10 Marks)


Viva and Interaction
(Out of 10 Marks)



TOTAL MARKS (Out of 40)

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ACKNOWLDEMENT

I have taken efforts in this project. However, it would not have been possible without the kind
support and help of many individuals and organizations. I would like to extend my sincere
thanks to all of them.
I am highly indebted to PROF. SAMI KSHA J ADHAV for their guidance and constant
supervision as well as for providing necessary information regarding the project & also for
their support in completing the project.
I would like to express my gratitude towards my parents & L.S. RAHEJ A COLLEGE OF
ARTS & COMMERCE for kind co-operation and encouragement which help me in
completion of this project.
I would like to express my special gratitude and thanks to all the respondents for giving me
such attention and time.
My thanks and appreciations also go to my colleague in developing the project and people
who have willingly helped me out with their abilities.





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INDEX



SR NO.

PARTICULARS

PAGE NO.

CHAPTER
01

INTRODUCION
Introduction Of Lok Sabha
History Of Loksabha
About Opinion Poll


6-13

HAPTER
02

REVIEW OF LITERATURE

14-15

CHAPTER
03

HYPOTHESIS

16-18

CHAPTER
04

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
-Scope Of The Study
-Objectives Of The Study
-Data Collection



19-22

CHAPTER 05

DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
-Table And Pie Chart Interpretations Of Data.
-Co-Relation Analysis Of Data

23-41

CHAPTER
06

FINDINGS AND LIMITATATIONS OF THE STUDY


42-43
CHAPTER
07
QUESTIONNAIRE 44-45

CONCLUSION
46

BIBLIOGRAPHY

47








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TABLE LIST










SR. NOS

PARTICULARS

PAGE
NOS
1 Table 1. Shows the different age groups of the respondents.

24
2 Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications.

25
3 Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents.

26
4 Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents.

27
5 Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards
16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

28
6 Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast
vote and who don't cast vote.

30

7
Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and
reasons for the same

31
8 Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political
alliance that could win the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014.
32
9 Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice
for Best Prime Minster for India in 2014.

34
10 Table 10. Correlation between age group 18-28yrs & voting and
scatter diagrams

38-41
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CHAPTER 01
INTRODUCTION




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INTRODUCTION
Nowadays in India everyone is talking about and worrying about the 16
th
Lok-Sabha
elections 2014 in India. All national news channels like Abp News and Times Now have
published their Public Opinion poll on their news channels.
This project also describes the public opinion on 16
th
Lok-Sabha elections of Mumbai City ,
Maharashtra ,India. The Information in this project is being conducted for the first time to
find out public opinion of the public in the mumbai city to understand the application of such
polls to interpret about upcoming trends in Indian politics.
This project is a small attempt to understand the behavior of the public towards the upcoming
Lok-Sabha Election.
The important of voting in todays politics of India.







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INTRODUCTION TO LOK-SABHA


LokSabha is composed of representatives of the people chosen by direct election on the basis
of the adult suffrage. The maximum strength of house envisaged by the constitution is
552,which made up by election of up to 530 members to represent the states, upto 20
members to represent the union territories, and not more than 2 members of the Anglo Indian
community to be nominated by the Honble President ,if, in his/her opinion , that community
is not adequately represented in the house. The total elective membership is distributed
among the states in such a way that the ratio between the number of seats allotted to each
state and the population of the state is , so far as practicable , the same for all states .



(Source :- http://loksabha.nic.in)




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HISTORY OF LOKSABHA ELECTIONS


The major portion of the Indian subcontinent was under British rule from 1857 to
1947. In the United Kingdom the office of the Secretary of State for India was the authority
through whom Parliament exercised its rule (along with the Council of India), and established
the office of Viceroy of India (along with an Executive Council in India, consisting of high
officials of the British Government). The Indian Councils Act 1861 provided for a Legislative
Council consisting of the members of the Executive council and non-official members.
The Indian Councils Act 1892 established provincial legislatures and increased the
powers of the Legislative Council. Although these Acts increased the representation of
Indians in the government, their power still remained limited. The Indian Councils Act
1909 and the Government of India Act 1919 further expanded participation of Indians in the
government. The Indian Independence Act, passed by the British Parliament on 18 July 1947,
divided British India into two new independent states, India and Pakistan, which were to be
dominions under the Commonwealth of Nations until they had each finished drafting and
enacted a new constitution. The Constituent Assembly was divided into two for the separate
states, with each new Assembly having sovereign powers transferred to it for the respective
dominion.
The Constitution of India was adopted on 26 November 1949 and came into effect on
26 January 1950, proclaiming India to be a sovereign, democratic republic. It contained the
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founding principles of the law of the land which would govern India after its independence
from British rule.
According to Article 79 (Part V-The Union.) of the Constitution of India,
the Parliament of India consists of President of India and the two Houses of Parliament
known as Council of States (Rajya Sabha) and House of the People (Lok Sabha).
The Lok Sabha (House of the People) was duly constituted for the first time on 17
April 1952 after the first General Elections held from 25 October 1951 to 21 February 1952.
The first Session of the First Lok Sabha commenced on 13 May 1952. The Second Lok
Sabha in April-1957, the Third Lok Sabha in April-1962, the Fourth Lok Sabha in March-
1967, the Fifth Lok Sabha in March-1971, the Sixth Lok Sabha in March-1977, the Seventh
Lok Sabha in January-1980, the Eighth Lok Sabha in December, 1984, the Ninth Lok Sabha
in December-1989, the Tenth Lok Sabha in June-1991, the Eleventh Lok Sabha in May-1996,
the Twelfth Lok Sabha in March-1998, the Thirteenth Lok Sabha in October-1999, the
Fourteenth Lok Sabha in May-2004 and the Fifteenth (current) Lok Sabha in May-2009.



















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ABOUT OPINION POLL


An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll, is a survey of public opinion from a
particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a
population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or
within confidence intervals.
A scientific, nonbiased public opinion poll is a type of survey or inquiry designed to measure
the public's views regarding a particular topic or series of topics. Trained interviewers ask
questions of people chosen at random from the population being measured. Responses are
given, and interpretations are made based on the results. It is important in a random sample
that everyone in the population being studied has an equal chance of participating. Otherwise,
the results could be biased and, therefore, not representative of the population. Representative
samples are chosen in order to make generalizations about a particular population being
studied.
Polls tell us what proportion of a population has a specific viewpoint. They do not explain
why respondents believe as they do or how to change their minds. This is the work of social
scientists and scholars. Polls are simply a measurement tool that tells us how a population
thinks and feels about any given topic.
This can be useful in helping different cultures understand one another because it gives the
people a chance to speak for themselves instead of letting only vocal media stars speak on
behalf of all. Opinion polling gives people who do not usually have access to the media an
opportunity to be heard.
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HISTORY OF POLL

The first known example of an opinion poll was a local straw poll conducted by The
Harrisburg Pennsylvanian in 1824, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by
335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States Presidency. Since Jackson won the
popular vote in that state and the whole country, such straw votes gradually became more
popular, but they remained local, usually city-wide phenomena. In 1916, the Literary
Digest embarked on a national survey (partly as a circulation-raising exercise) and correctly
predicted Woodrow Wilson's election as president. Mailing out millions of postcards and
simply counting the returns, the Digest correctly predicted the victories of Warren Harding in
1920, Calvin Coolidge in 1924, Herbert Hoover in 1928, and Franklin Roosevelt in 1932.
Then, in 1936, its 2.3 million "voters" constituted a huge sample; however, they were
generally more affluent Americans who tended to have Republican sympathies. The Literary
Digest was ignorant of this new bias. The week before election day, it reported that Alf
Landon was far more popular than Roosevelt. At the same time, George Gallup conducted a
far smaller, but more scientifically based survey, in which he polled a demographically
representative sample. Gallup correctly predicted Roosevelt's landslide victory. The Literary
Digest soon went out of business, while polling started to take off.
Elmo Roper was another American pioneer in political forecasting using scientific polls.
[1]
He
predicted the reelection of President Franklin D. Roosevelt three times, in 1936, 1940, and
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1944.Louis Harris had been in the field of public opinion since 1947 when he joined the
Elmo Roper firm, then later became partner.
In September 1938 Jean Stoetzel, after having met Gallup, created IFOP, the Institut Franais
d'Opinion Publique, as the first European survey institute in Paris and started political polls in
summer 1939 with the question "Why die for Danzig?", looking for popular support or
dissent with this question asked by appeasement politician and future collaborationist Marcel
Dat.
Gallup launched a subsidiary in the United Kingdom that, almost alone, correctly predicted
Labors victory in the 1945 general election, unlike virtually all other commentators, who
expected a victory for the Conservative Party, led by Winston Churchill.
The Allied occupation powers helped to create survey institutes in all of the Western
occupation zones of Germany in 1947 and 1948 to better steer denazification.
By the 1950s, various types of polling had spread to most democracies.















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CHAPTER 2
REVIEW OF LITERATURE




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REVIEW OF LITERATURE

Lok-Sabha election 2014 prediction survey opinion polls are gaining heat as elections are
coming close. The major reason this time is Baba Ramdev and Anna Hazare Andolan which
has created a big awareness all over country especially among youths.
While working on this project I have got two surveys already being conducted by national
news channel called ABP News channel and Times Now.
Both the channels have surveyed the public opinion on upcoming Lok-Sabha election.
As per the survey conducted by the ABP News, it shows that there is consistent increase in
vote share for NDA, and Gujarat's cm and bjp prime ministerial candidate is getting more
popularity for the 16th Lok-Sabha elections.
As per the survey conducted by the Times Now a national TV news channel, it also shows
that BJP is getting more response all over India as compared to all other parties across it.
Opinion polls predict BJP as the biggest political party in 2014 Lok-Sabha elections.

REFERENCES FOR DATA
http://www.seekersfind.in/loksabha-election-2014-prediction-survey/- ABP NEWS
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014-
polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA
http://www.firstpost.com/india/opinion-polls-predict-bjp-as-biggest-party-in-2014-election-
1356385.html?utm_source=ref_article - WWW.FIRSTPOST.COM
http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/first-time-voters-want-narendra-modi-as-prime-minister-
india-today-cvoter-survey/1/310613.html - INDIA TODAY


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CHAPTER 3
HYPOTHESIS






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HYPOTHESIS

Following hypothesis on different parameters were taken into consideration for testing
to make the study more authentic and reliable.

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are
willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are not
willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of
16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware
of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections.
H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.

H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha
elections in 2014.
H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-
Sabha elections in 2014.



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H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people
in Mumbai City
H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the
people in Mumbai City.













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CHAPTER 04
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY



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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
This chapter describes the research methodology adopted to achieve the objectives of the
study. It includes the scope of the study, research design, collection of data, analysis of data
and limitations of the study.
SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The scope of the study is to get first hand information on public opinion and their awareness
about 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 . This study will help to understand behavior of the
youth towards the due political process of India, and how its representatives are elected.
Extending upon the same study i am also analysing who the youth of the country want to be
their electives and why.
RESEARCH DESIGN
In order to complete or facilitate this project I have used random sampling method and
normal data intpretation methods of statistics. I have done random sampling and covered the
areas in the Mumbai region. Using various analytical tools like pie charts, bars and co-
relations and others. We have come up with unique conclusions which would be revealed
later on the next chapter.

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DATA COLLECTION
Primary Data
Primary data is that data which is collected for the first time. It is original in nature in the
shape of raw material. For the purpose of collection of primary data, a well structured
questionnaire was framed which was filled by the respondents. The questionnaire comprises
of close ended as well as open ended questions. In close ended questions Karl Pearson
Correlation and Testing of Hypothesis are done and multiple choice questions are used.
Secondary Data
Secondary data is the data which is already collected by someone. They are secondary in
nature and are in shape of finished product. Secondary data was collected so as to have
accurate results. Required data was collected from the internet.
Sampling Design
Sampling refers to selecting some of the elements in a population by which one can draw
conclusions about the entire population. 50 people of different age group are taken for this
project by random sampling from Mumbai region.
Universe
Universe is the infinite number of elements which the researcher is targeting in his study.
Since the study is restricted to Mumbai city the universe for the study consists of all the
respondents residing in Mumbai.

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Population
Population is finite number of elements which the researcher is going to target in particular
area. All the respondents are in Mumbai city form the population for the study.
Sampling Unit
Sampling Unit is the single unit of the population. A single individual who is aware of 16th
Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
Extent
Extent refers to the geographical area where there is a scope of population. The extent of the
study is Mumbai City.
Sampling Technique
The selection of the respondents was done on the basis of convenience technique based on
the probability method of sampling.
Sample size
Sample size is the size of sample drawn from the population which is the true representative
of the research. The number of respondents included in the study was 85 for convenience in
evaluating and analyzing the data and because of time constraint.
Data Analysis and Interpretation
For the purpose of analyzing, raw data was summarized in a master table and from this table
the results have been carried out. The questions having multiple/ alternative choices were
analyzed by taking percentages
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CHAPTER 5
DATA ANALYSIS
AND
INTERPRETATION



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Results of the study

Table 1. Shows the
different age groups of the
respondents.




Figure 1. Showing the pie chart of the above table.

Interpretation
The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Age group being
tapped during the survey and data has been taken as Percentage. The age group between 18-
28 had most number of counts 33 with 67 % followed by age group of 28-38 i.e. 11 with 23
% and the age group of 38 yrs to 48 yrs had been tapped at 6 with 10% of the total
respondents.


Age group Counts
18 yrs to 28 yrs 33
28 yrs to 38 yrs 11
38 yrs to 48 yrs 6
Total 50
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Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications.
Educational Qualification Counts
Under Graduate 11
Graduate 30
Post Graduate 5
Total 50


Figure 2. Showing the pie chart of the above table.

Interpretation
The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Educational
Qualifications being tapped during the survey and had been taken as count. The most number
of respondent were Graduate i.e. 71 % with counts of 30, followed by Under Graduate of i.e.
26% with total counts of 11, and the Post Graduate were only 10 with total counts of 5.





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Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents .
Working status Counts
Working 30
Dependant 20
Total 50

Figure 3. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table

Interpretation
Out of 50 respondents 60% respondents were found working i.e.30 and 60%.
20 respondents were found dependent with 40%.









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Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents.
MONTHLY INCOME COUNTS
DEPENDENTS 20
BELOW 10,000/- 1
10,000 to 20,000 16
20,000 to 30,000 9
30,000 to 40,000 4
TOTAL 50

Figure 4. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table

The above table and Diagram suggests 40% of total respondents which is youth are
dependent with total counting of 20 out of 50, The count of respondents are highest and about
16 out of 30, with Monthly income of these respondents ranges from Rs 10,000 to 20,000/-
The monthly income for ranges of Rs.20, 000 to 30,000/- had counts of 9 with 18%. Income
that ranges from 30,000 to 40,000 had only 4 counts with 8 %.



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Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards 16th Lok-Sabha elections in
2014.
Awareness Counts
Aware 49
Not Aware 1
Total 50

Figure 5. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table


Interpretation
Above diagram and table states that out 50 respondents 49 were aware of 16th Lok-Sabha
elections to be held in 2014 and only 1 out of 50 was not aware of it . It clearly shows that
98% of total respondents are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections to be held in 2014.





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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware of
16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are not aware
of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware
of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED.

























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Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast vote and who don't cast vote.

Vote casting Counts
Casting Vote 41
Not Casting Vote 9
Total 50

Figure 6. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.

Interpretation
Above pie chart diagram clearly states that the percentage of casting vote is 82% and
percentage of not casting is 18 % and total respondents who cast their vote are 41 and total
respondents who don't cast their vote are 9.







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Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and reasons for the same

Reasons For Not Casting Vote Counts
No Voter Id 5
No Good Candidates 3
Not Interested In Politics 1
Total 9

Figure7. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.

Interpretation
Above pie diagram states that the major reason for not casting vote is having no voter id and
it is about 56%. 33% respondents think that Lack of Good candidates are the main reason for
not casting vote. Remaining 11 % of respondent are not Interested in Politics due to they
don't vote. Only 18% people do not cast their vote.
Which means most of the people cast their vote hence the most of the people cast their vote
hypothesis of most of the people do not cast their vote is rejected by this data.






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Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political alliance that could win
the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014.

Political Alliance Party Number Of Counts
Congress Party (UPA) 8
Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) 38
Third Front 1
Aam Aadami Party (AAP) 3
Total 50

Figure 8. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.


Interpretation
Above diagram clearly states that the majority of the respondents believe that Bharatiya
Janata Party (NDA) will win the 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. Out of 50 respondents 38
respondents collectively supports BJP (NDA). 70% of respondents say that BJP would be
winning Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. It also shows that BJP is the Biggest Political Party in
India. Above table and pie diagram clearly states that with 70% of total respondents from all
the age groups want BJP(NDA) to win 16
th
General Elections in 2014. It also means that
Bharatiya Janata Party is more popular political party in Mumbai City.
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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people
in Mumbai City
H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the
people in Mumbai City.

H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the
people in Mumbai City is ACCEPTED .

























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Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice for Best Prime Minster
for India in 2014.
Choices Respondents Count
Dr. Manmohan Singh 2
Narendra Modi 32
Rahul Gandhi 7
Arvind Kejariwal 9
Total 50

Figure 8. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.

Interpretation
Above pie diagram clearly shows that 64% of total respondents think that Narendra Modi
could be Best Prime Minister for India in 2014 and they support BJP and Narendra Modi with
count of 32 out of 50.18% of respondents think that Dr. Manmohan singh could be best Prime
minister for India. 14% think about Rahul Gandhi & 4% say that Arvind Kejariwal could be
best Prime Minister for India.

Above pie diagram clearly states that maximum percentages (64%) of respondents from
different age groups are willing to cast their vote to Narendra Modi for Prime Minister of
India.



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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha
elections in 2014.
H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-
Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-
Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED .




















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CORELATION ANALYSIS




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01. CORELATION BETWEEN AGE GROUP 18-28YRS & VOTING
AGE VOTING INCOME QUALIFICATION ELECTION
AWARENESS
22 1 10000 2 2
19 1 0 1 2
19 2 0 1 2
20 2 0 1 2
21 2 0 1 2
24 2 18000 3 2
23 2 0 2 2
22 2 15000 2 2
25 2 25000 3 2
21 2 0 2 2
19 1 0 1 2
27 2 18000 2 2
26 2 17000 2 2
28 2 24000 2 2
19 1 0 1 2
23 1 15000 2 2
21 1 0 1 2
22 2 16000 2 2
24 2 16000 2 2
22 2 17000 2 2
24 2 16000 2 2
25 2 18000 3 2
26 2 23000 2 2
18 1 0 1 1
27 2 20000 2 2
22 2 0 2 2
23 2 0 2 2
24 2 18000 2 2
19 2 0 1 2
20 2 0 1 2
25 2 0 2 2
23 2 16000 2 2
24 2 15500 2 2

CORELATION BETWEEN AGE & VOTING 0.492616552
CORELATION BETWEEN INCOME & VOTING 0.343026939
CORELATION BETWEEN QUALIFICATION &
VOTING
0.441093336
CORELATION BETWEEN ELECTION
AWARENESS & VOTING
0.340692572

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1. INTERPRETATION

The correlation between age and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.4926165. It shows the
moderate uphill co relation.
Figure 1 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation between age and voting of 18
yrs to 28 yrs age group.


RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are
willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are not
willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs )
are willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED




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2. CORLATION BETWEEN INCOME AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28 AGE GROUP
The co relation between Income & Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group is 0.343026939.
Figure 2 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Income and Voting of 18 yrs
to 28 yrs age group.

Number 1 represent No voting , Number 2 represent = Voting
2. INTERPRETATION
Above scatter diagram clearly states that there is weak Positive co relation between income
and Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections
H1:- Most of the working respondent do not cast vote in the elections .

H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections is ACCEPED.

3. INTERPRETATION
The correlation between Qualification and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.441093336. It shows
the moderate uphill co relation.




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Figure 3: Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Qualifications and Voting of
18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.

3. INTERPRETATION
Above diagram shows the moderate upward relation

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections.
H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.

H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections is
ACCEPTED








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4. CORLATION BETWEEN ELECTION AWARENESS AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28
AGE GROUP
The correlation between Election awareness and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.340692572. It
shows a weak positive uphill co relation.


It shows a weak positive uphill co relation.

RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of
16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware
of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.

H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are
aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED






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FINDINGS
After analyzing the data collected on this topic I have found that almost every one whoever
casts vote is aware of 16
th
Lok-Sabha election that are to be held in 2014. It is a good thing
that all the respondents who have been surveyed are getting interested in politics and are
willing to vote in upcoming elections.
Another thing I have found out is most of respondents are want Narendra Modi to become
Next Prime Minister of India. Most of the respondents believe that Narendra Mody could be
Best Prime Minister of India.
Among all the national political parties in India, BJP stays at first in terms for goodwill.
There are some respondent who belongs to 18, 19 age have not registered yet for the voter Id.
Youth is getting involved in politics and this year 12Cr. New voters have been registered by
the Election Commission of India.
So, Youth will be key factor in upcoming elections in India.




















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LIMITATIONS
Limitations of the study
Sincere efforts have been made to collect authentic and reliable information from
respondents, however the report is subject to following limitations:
i. Some respondents were reluctant to give the information, so their responses may be
biased.
ii. Time could be a major limitation as it may have affected the inferences drawn in the
study. Only 50 respondents have been contacted due to time constraint.
iii. Sample may not be the true representative of the universe.
iv. Study was conducted in Mumbai only. So the results of the study may not be
applicable in other areas.








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QUESTIONNAIRE
Public Opinion on Elections 2014
Q.1.What is your age?
18-28
28-38
38-48
48 and above
Q.2.What is your Qualification?
Under Graduate
Graduate
Post Graduate
other
Q.3. Are you working? Yes No
Q.4.What is your monthly income? (If working)
Below 20,000/-
20,001 to 40,000/-
40,001 to 60,000
60,001 & above
Q.5.Do you aware of 16
th
General elections 2014? Yes No
Q.6.Do you cast vote? Yes No
Q.7.According to you who will win 16
th
General elections 2014?
1. Congress party (Congress)
2. Bhartiya janta party (BJP)
3. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)
4. Other
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Q.8. What do you think who will be the best prime minister for India?
1.Dr. Manmohan singh
2. Narendra modi
3.Rahul Gandhi
4.Arvind Kejriwal














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CONCLUSION
As per the Election commission of India, registration of 12Cr. new voters can change the
political situation in India, because they are first time voters. It is true that Narendra Modi is
getting more famous and popular than any other Prime Ministerial Candidates. Many
respondents do believe that he could be the best prime minister for India who can lead the
country and can give good governess with social and economic development.
It is a good sign that youth are coming up and breaking traditional negative behavior towards
politics. It is due to their awareness about politics and everyone should be aware of their
voting rights and everyone should cast their vote to see the power of voting collectively.
Opinion Polls are just raw information about what could be the results of elections. It could
give us a information what public are thinking or their behavior towards elections. Opinion
polls helps to understand thinking pattern of society on a particular topic. Hence we all have
to wait till election take place and results are out







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BIBLIOGHRAPHY
http://www.seekersfind.in/loksabha-election-2014-prediction-survey/- ABP NEWS

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014-
polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA

http://www.firstpost.com/india/opinion-polls-predict-bjp-as-biggest-party-in-2014-election-
1356385.html?utm_source=ref_article - WWW.FIRSTPOST.COM

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/first-time-voters-want-narendra-modi-as-prime-minister-
india-today-cvoter-survey/1/310613.html - INDIA TODAY













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