A small research being conducted for this educational research project . The main objective behind this project was to find out the public opinion in mumbai on 16th Lok-sabha elections 2014 in India.
Original Title
A Study on Public Opnion on 16th Lok-sabha Elections
A small research being conducted for this educational research project . The main objective behind this project was to find out the public opinion in mumbai on 16th Lok-sabha elections 2014 in India.
A small research being conducted for this educational research project . The main objective behind this project was to find out the public opinion in mumbai on 16th Lok-sabha elections 2014 in India.
SADHANA EDUCATION SOCIETYS L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS AND COMMERCE RE-ACCREDITED BY NAAC WITH A GRADE
Juhu Road, Santacruz (West), Mumbai 400 054.
DECLARATION BY THE STUDENT I, Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale, student of M Com Part-II Roll Number 106 hereby declare that the project for the Paper Research Methodology. A study on public opinion on upcoming 16 th lok-sabha elections in 2014 submitted by me for Semester III during the academic year 2013-14, is based on actual work carried out by me under the guidance and supervision of Prof. Samikisha J adhav Mam. I further state that this work is original and not submitted anywhere else for any examination.
Signature of Student EVALUATION CERTIFICATE This is to certify that the undersigned have assessed and evaluated the project on A study on public opinion on 16 th lok-sabha elections in 2014. submitted by Ajay Kacharu Dhutawale Student of M Com Part-II. This project is original to the best of our knowledge and has been accepted for Internal Assessment.
Internal Examiner External Examiner Principal
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L. S. RAHEJA COLLEGE OF ARTS & COMMERCE Internal Assessment: Project 40 Marks
Name of the Student
Class
Division
Roll Number. First name : AJAY Fathers Name: KACHARU Surname : DHUTAWALE
M COM PART II
MNGMT
106
Subject: Research Methodology
Topic for the Project: A STUDY ON PUBLI C OPI NI ON ON 16 TH LOK- SABHA ELECTI ONS I N 2014.
Marks Awarded Signature DOCUMENTATION Internal Examiner (Out of 10 Marks)
External Examiner (Out of 10 Marks)
Presentation (Out of 10 Marks)
Viva and Interaction (Out of 10 Marks)
TOTAL MARKS (Out of 40)
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ACKNOWLDEMENT
I have taken efforts in this project. However, it would not have been possible without the kind support and help of many individuals and organizations. I would like to extend my sincere thanks to all of them. I am highly indebted to PROF. SAMI KSHA J ADHAV for their guidance and constant supervision as well as for providing necessary information regarding the project & also for their support in completing the project. I would like to express my gratitude towards my parents & L.S. RAHEJ A COLLEGE OF ARTS & COMMERCE for kind co-operation and encouragement which help me in completion of this project. I would like to express my special gratitude and thanks to all the respondents for giving me such attention and time. My thanks and appreciations also go to my colleague in developing the project and people who have willingly helped me out with their abilities.
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INDEX
SR NO.
PARTICULARS
PAGE NO.
CHAPTER 01
INTRODUCION Introduction Of Lok Sabha History Of Loksabha About Opinion Poll
6-13
HAPTER 02
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
14-15
CHAPTER 03
HYPOTHESIS
16-18
CHAPTER 04
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY -Scope Of The Study -Objectives Of The Study -Data Collection
19-22
CHAPTER 05
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION -Table And Pie Chart Interpretations Of Data. -Co-Relation Analysis Of Data
23-41
CHAPTER 06
FINDINGS AND LIMITATATIONS OF THE STUDY
42-43 CHAPTER 07 QUESTIONNAIRE 44-45
CONCLUSION 46
BIBLIOGRAPHY
47
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TABLE LIST
SR. NOS
PARTICULARS
PAGE NOS 1 Table 1. Shows the different age groups of the respondents.
24 2 Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications.
25 3 Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents.
26 4 Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents.
27 5 Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
28 6 Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast vote and who don't cast vote.
30
7 Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and reasons for the same
31 8 Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political alliance that could win the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014. 32 9 Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice for Best Prime Minster for India in 2014.
34 10 Table 10. Correlation between age group 18-28yrs & voting and scatter diagrams
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CHAPTER 01 INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION Nowadays in India everyone is talking about and worrying about the 16 th Lok-Sabha elections 2014 in India. All national news channels like Abp News and Times Now have published their Public Opinion poll on their news channels. This project also describes the public opinion on 16 th Lok-Sabha elections of Mumbai City , Maharashtra ,India. The Information in this project is being conducted for the first time to find out public opinion of the public in the mumbai city to understand the application of such polls to interpret about upcoming trends in Indian politics. This project is a small attempt to understand the behavior of the public towards the upcoming Lok-Sabha Election. The important of voting in todays politics of India.
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INTRODUCTION TO LOK-SABHA
LokSabha is composed of representatives of the people chosen by direct election on the basis of the adult suffrage. The maximum strength of house envisaged by the constitution is 552,which made up by election of up to 530 members to represent the states, upto 20 members to represent the union territories, and not more than 2 members of the Anglo Indian community to be nominated by the Honble President ,if, in his/her opinion , that community is not adequately represented in the house. The total elective membership is distributed among the states in such a way that the ratio between the number of seats allotted to each state and the population of the state is , so far as practicable , the same for all states .
(Source :- http://loksabha.nic.in)
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HISTORY OF LOKSABHA ELECTIONS
The major portion of the Indian subcontinent was under British rule from 1857 to 1947. In the United Kingdom the office of the Secretary of State for India was the authority through whom Parliament exercised its rule (along with the Council of India), and established the office of Viceroy of India (along with an Executive Council in India, consisting of high officials of the British Government). The Indian Councils Act 1861 provided for a Legislative Council consisting of the members of the Executive council and non-official members. The Indian Councils Act 1892 established provincial legislatures and increased the powers of the Legislative Council. Although these Acts increased the representation of Indians in the government, their power still remained limited. The Indian Councils Act 1909 and the Government of India Act 1919 further expanded participation of Indians in the government. The Indian Independence Act, passed by the British Parliament on 18 July 1947, divided British India into two new independent states, India and Pakistan, which were to be dominions under the Commonwealth of Nations until they had each finished drafting and enacted a new constitution. The Constituent Assembly was divided into two for the separate states, with each new Assembly having sovereign powers transferred to it for the respective dominion. The Constitution of India was adopted on 26 November 1949 and came into effect on 26 January 1950, proclaiming India to be a sovereign, democratic republic. It contained the 10 | P a g e
founding principles of the law of the land which would govern India after its independence from British rule. According to Article 79 (Part V-The Union.) of the Constitution of India, the Parliament of India consists of President of India and the two Houses of Parliament known as Council of States (Rajya Sabha) and House of the People (Lok Sabha). The Lok Sabha (House of the People) was duly constituted for the first time on 17 April 1952 after the first General Elections held from 25 October 1951 to 21 February 1952. The first Session of the First Lok Sabha commenced on 13 May 1952. The Second Lok Sabha in April-1957, the Third Lok Sabha in April-1962, the Fourth Lok Sabha in March- 1967, the Fifth Lok Sabha in March-1971, the Sixth Lok Sabha in March-1977, the Seventh Lok Sabha in January-1980, the Eighth Lok Sabha in December, 1984, the Ninth Lok Sabha in December-1989, the Tenth Lok Sabha in June-1991, the Eleventh Lok Sabha in May-1996, the Twelfth Lok Sabha in March-1998, the Thirteenth Lok Sabha in October-1999, the Fourteenth Lok Sabha in May-2004 and the Fifteenth (current) Lok Sabha in May-2009.
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ABOUT OPINION POLL
An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll, is a survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A scientific, nonbiased public opinion poll is a type of survey or inquiry designed to measure the public's views regarding a particular topic or series of topics. Trained interviewers ask questions of people chosen at random from the population being measured. Responses are given, and interpretations are made based on the results. It is important in a random sample that everyone in the population being studied has an equal chance of participating. Otherwise, the results could be biased and, therefore, not representative of the population. Representative samples are chosen in order to make generalizations about a particular population being studied. Polls tell us what proportion of a population has a specific viewpoint. They do not explain why respondents believe as they do or how to change their minds. This is the work of social scientists and scholars. Polls are simply a measurement tool that tells us how a population thinks and feels about any given topic. This can be useful in helping different cultures understand one another because it gives the people a chance to speak for themselves instead of letting only vocal media stars speak on behalf of all. Opinion polling gives people who do not usually have access to the media an opportunity to be heard. 12 | P a g e
HISTORY OF POLL
The first known example of an opinion poll was a local straw poll conducted by The Harrisburg Pennsylvanian in 1824, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by 335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States Presidency. Since Jackson won the popular vote in that state and the whole country, such straw votes gradually became more popular, but they remained local, usually city-wide phenomena. In 1916, the Literary Digest embarked on a national survey (partly as a circulation-raising exercise) and correctly predicted Woodrow Wilson's election as president. Mailing out millions of postcards and simply counting the returns, the Digest correctly predicted the victories of Warren Harding in 1920, Calvin Coolidge in 1924, Herbert Hoover in 1928, and Franklin Roosevelt in 1932. Then, in 1936, its 2.3 million "voters" constituted a huge sample; however, they were generally more affluent Americans who tended to have Republican sympathies. The Literary Digest was ignorant of this new bias. The week before election day, it reported that Alf Landon was far more popular than Roosevelt. At the same time, George Gallup conducted a far smaller, but more scientifically based survey, in which he polled a demographically representative sample. Gallup correctly predicted Roosevelt's landslide victory. The Literary Digest soon went out of business, while polling started to take off. Elmo Roper was another American pioneer in political forecasting using scientific polls. [1] He predicted the reelection of President Franklin D. Roosevelt three times, in 1936, 1940, and 13 | P a g e
1944.Louis Harris had been in the field of public opinion since 1947 when he joined the Elmo Roper firm, then later became partner. In September 1938 Jean Stoetzel, after having met Gallup, created IFOP, the Institut Franais d'Opinion Publique, as the first European survey institute in Paris and started political polls in summer 1939 with the question "Why die for Danzig?", looking for popular support or dissent with this question asked by appeasement politician and future collaborationist Marcel Dat. Gallup launched a subsidiary in the United Kingdom that, almost alone, correctly predicted Labors victory in the 1945 general election, unlike virtually all other commentators, who expected a victory for the Conservative Party, led by Winston Churchill. The Allied occupation powers helped to create survey institutes in all of the Western occupation zones of Germany in 1947 and 1948 to better steer denazification. By the 1950s, various types of polling had spread to most democracies.
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CHAPTER 2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
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REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Lok-Sabha election 2014 prediction survey opinion polls are gaining heat as elections are coming close. The major reason this time is Baba Ramdev and Anna Hazare Andolan which has created a big awareness all over country especially among youths. While working on this project I have got two surveys already being conducted by national news channel called ABP News channel and Times Now. Both the channels have surveyed the public opinion on upcoming Lok-Sabha election. As per the survey conducted by the ABP News, it shows that there is consistent increase in vote share for NDA, and Gujarat's cm and bjp prime ministerial candidate is getting more popularity for the 16th Lok-Sabha elections. As per the survey conducted by the Times Now a national TV news channel, it also shows that BJP is getting more response all over India as compared to all other parties across it. Opinion polls predict BJP as the biggest political party in 2014 Lok-Sabha elections.
REFERENCES FOR DATA http://www.seekersfind.in/loksabha-election-2014-prediction-survey/- ABP NEWS http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014- polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA http://www.firstpost.com/india/opinion-polls-predict-bjp-as-biggest-party-in-2014-election- 1356385.html?utm_source=ref_article - WWW.FIRSTPOST.COM http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/first-time-voters-want-narendra-modi-as-prime-minister- india-today-cvoter-survey/1/310613.html - INDIA TODAY
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CHAPTER 3 HYPOTHESIS
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HYPOTHESIS
Following hypothesis on different parameters were taken into consideration for testing to make the study more authentic and reliable.
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs) are not willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections. H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.
H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok- Sabha elections in 2014.
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H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people in Mumbai City H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the people in Mumbai City.
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CHAPTER 04 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY This chapter describes the research methodology adopted to achieve the objectives of the study. It includes the scope of the study, research design, collection of data, analysis of data and limitations of the study. SCOPE OF THE STUDY The scope of the study is to get first hand information on public opinion and their awareness about 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 . This study will help to understand behavior of the youth towards the due political process of India, and how its representatives are elected. Extending upon the same study i am also analysing who the youth of the country want to be their electives and why. RESEARCH DESIGN In order to complete or facilitate this project I have used random sampling method and normal data intpretation methods of statistics. I have done random sampling and covered the areas in the Mumbai region. Using various analytical tools like pie charts, bars and co- relations and others. We have come up with unique conclusions which would be revealed later on the next chapter.
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DATA COLLECTION Primary Data Primary data is that data which is collected for the first time. It is original in nature in the shape of raw material. For the purpose of collection of primary data, a well structured questionnaire was framed which was filled by the respondents. The questionnaire comprises of close ended as well as open ended questions. In close ended questions Karl Pearson Correlation and Testing of Hypothesis are done and multiple choice questions are used. Secondary Data Secondary data is the data which is already collected by someone. They are secondary in nature and are in shape of finished product. Secondary data was collected so as to have accurate results. Required data was collected from the internet. Sampling Design Sampling refers to selecting some of the elements in a population by which one can draw conclusions about the entire population. 50 people of different age group are taken for this project by random sampling from Mumbai region. Universe Universe is the infinite number of elements which the researcher is targeting in his study. Since the study is restricted to Mumbai city the universe for the study consists of all the respondents residing in Mumbai.
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Population Population is finite number of elements which the researcher is going to target in particular area. All the respondents are in Mumbai city form the population for the study. Sampling Unit Sampling Unit is the single unit of the population. A single individual who is aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. Extent Extent refers to the geographical area where there is a scope of population. The extent of the study is Mumbai City. Sampling Technique The selection of the respondents was done on the basis of convenience technique based on the probability method of sampling. Sample size Sample size is the size of sample drawn from the population which is the true representative of the research. The number of respondents included in the study was 85 for convenience in evaluating and analyzing the data and because of time constraint. Data Analysis and Interpretation For the purpose of analyzing, raw data was summarized in a master table and from this table the results have been carried out. The questions having multiple/ alternative choices were analyzed by taking percentages 23 | P a g e
CHAPTER 5 DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
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Results of the study
Table 1. Shows the different age groups of the respondents.
Figure 1. Showing the pie chart of the above table.
Interpretation The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Age group being tapped during the survey and data has been taken as Percentage. The age group between 18- 28 had most number of counts 33 with 67 % followed by age group of 28-38 i.e. 11 with 23 % and the age group of 38 yrs to 48 yrs had been tapped at 6 with 10% of the total respondents.
Age group Counts 18 yrs to 28 yrs 33 28 yrs to 38 yrs 11 38 yrs to 48 yrs 6 Total 50 25 | P a g e
Table 2. Showing the different Educational Qualifications. Educational Qualification Counts Under Graduate 11 Graduate 30 Post Graduate 5 Total 50
Figure 2. Showing the pie chart of the above table.
Interpretation The above table and Diagram suggests or explains about the different Educational Qualifications being tapped during the survey and had been taken as count. The most number of respondent were Graduate i.e. 71 % with counts of 30, followed by Under Graduate of i.e. 26% with total counts of 11, and the Post Graduate were only 10 with total counts of 5.
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Table 3 showing the Working status of the respondents . Working status Counts Working 30 Dependant 20 Total 50
Figure 3. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table
Interpretation Out of 50 respondents 60% respondents were found working i.e.30 and 60%. 20 respondents were found dependent with 40%.
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Table. 4. Showing the monthly income of the respondents. MONTHLY INCOME COUNTS DEPENDENTS 20 BELOW 10,000/- 1 10,000 to 20,000 16 20,000 to 30,000 9 30,000 to 40,000 4 TOTAL 50
Figure 4. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table
The above table and Diagram suggests 40% of total respondents which is youth are dependent with total counting of 20 out of 50, The count of respondents are highest and about 16 out of 30, with Monthly income of these respondents ranges from Rs 10,000 to 20,000/- The monthly income for ranges of Rs.20, 000 to 30,000/- had counts of 9 with 18%. Income that ranges from 30,000 to 40,000 had only 4 counts with 8 %.
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Table 5. Showing the awareness among the respondents towards 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. Awareness Counts Aware 49 Not Aware 1 Total 50
Figure 5. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table
Interpretation Above diagram and table states that out 50 respondents 49 were aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections to be held in 2014 and only 1 out of 50 was not aware of it . It clearly shows that 98% of total respondents are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections to be held in 2014.
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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are not aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age group are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED.
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Table 6. Showing the number of respondents out of 50 who cast vote and who don't cast vote.
Vote casting Counts Casting Vote 41 Not Casting Vote 9 Total 50
Figure 6. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.
Interpretation Above pie chart diagram clearly states that the percentage of casting vote is 82% and percentage of not casting is 18 % and total respondents who cast their vote are 41 and total respondents who don't cast their vote are 9.
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Table 7. Showing the 9 respondents who do not cast vote and reasons for the same
Reasons For Not Casting Vote Counts No Voter Id 5 No Good Candidates 3 Not Interested In Politics 1 Total 9
Figure7. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.
Interpretation Above pie diagram states that the major reason for not casting vote is having no voter id and it is about 56%. 33% respondents think that Lack of Good candidates are the main reason for not casting vote. Remaining 11 % of respondent are not Interested in Politics due to they don't vote. Only 18% people do not cast their vote. Which means most of the people cast their vote hence the most of the people cast their vote hypothesis of most of the people do not cast their vote is rejected by this data.
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Table 8. Showing that respondent's assumption about the Political alliance that could win the 16th Lok-Sabha Elections in 2014.
Political Alliance Party Number Of Counts Congress Party (UPA) 8 Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) 38 Third Front 1 Aam Aadami Party (AAP) 3 Total 50
Figure 8. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.
Interpretation Above diagram clearly states that the majority of the respondents believe that Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) will win the 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. Out of 50 respondents 38 respondents collectively supports BJP (NDA). 70% of respondents say that BJP would be winning Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. It also shows that BJP is the Biggest Political Party in India. Above table and pie diagram clearly states that with 70% of total respondents from all the age groups want BJP(NDA) to win 16 th General Elections in 2014. It also means that Bharatiya Janata Party is more popular political party in Mumbai City. 33 | P a g e
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people in Mumbai City H1:- :- Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA) is not more popular political party among most of the people in Mumbai City.
H0:- Bharatiya Janata Party(NDA) is more popular political party among most of the people in Mumbai City is ACCEPTED .
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Table 9. Showing that total number of respondents and their choice for Best Prime Minster for India in 2014. Choices Respondents Count Dr. Manmohan Singh 2 Narendra Modi 32 Rahul Gandhi 7 Arvind Kejariwal 9 Total 50
Figure 8. Showing the Pie chart of the Above Table.
Interpretation Above pie diagram clearly shows that 64% of total respondents think that Narendra Modi could be Best Prime Minister for India in 2014 and they support BJP and Narendra Modi with count of 32 out of 50.18% of respondents think that Dr. Manmohan singh could be best Prime minister for India. 14% think about Rahul Gandhi & 4% say that Arvind Kejariwal could be best Prime Minister for India.
Above pie diagram clearly states that maximum percentages (64%) of respondents from different age groups are willing to cast their vote to Narendra Modi for Prime Minister of India.
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RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:- Most of the people are not willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok- Sabha elections in 2014. H0:- Most of the people are willing to cast their vote for Narendra Modi in 16th Lok- Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED .
CORELATION BETWEEN AGE & VOTING 0.492616552 CORELATION BETWEEN INCOME & VOTING 0.343026939 CORELATION BETWEEN QUALIFICATION & VOTING 0.441093336 CORELATION BETWEEN ELECTION AWARENESS & VOTING 0.340692572
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1. INTERPRETATION
The correlation between age and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.4926165. It shows the moderate uphill co relation. Figure 1 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation between age and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:-Most the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are not willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under "Youth" (18 yrs to 28 yrs ) are willing to cast their vote in 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED
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2. CORLATION BETWEEN INCOME AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28 AGE GROUP The co relation between Income & Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group is 0.343026939. Figure 2 : Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Income and Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.
Number 1 represent No voting , Number 2 represent = Voting 2. INTERPRETATION Above scatter diagram clearly states that there is weak Positive co relation between income and Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group. RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections H1:- Most of the working respondent do not cast vote in the elections .
H0:- Most of the working respondents cast vote in the elections is ACCEPED.
3. INTERPRETATION The correlation between Qualification and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.441093336. It shows the moderate uphill co relation.
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Figure 3: Showing the scatter diagram of the correlation Qualifications and Voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs age group.
3. INTERPRETATION Above diagram shows the moderate upward relation
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections. H1:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are not casting vote in the elections.
H0:- Most of the respondents who are qualified are casting their vote in the elections is ACCEPTED
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4. CORLATION BETWEEN ELECTION AWARENESS AND VOTING OF 18 TO 28 AGE GROUP The correlation between Election awareness and voting of 18 yrs to 28 yrs is 0.340692572. It shows a weak positive uphill co relation.
It shows a weak positive uphill co relation.
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014. H1:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are not aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014.
H0:- Most of the people who have been categorized under different age groups are aware of 16th Lok-Sabha elections in 2014 is ACCEPTED
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FINDINGS After analyzing the data collected on this topic I have found that almost every one whoever casts vote is aware of 16 th Lok-Sabha election that are to be held in 2014. It is a good thing that all the respondents who have been surveyed are getting interested in politics and are willing to vote in upcoming elections. Another thing I have found out is most of respondents are want Narendra Modi to become Next Prime Minister of India. Most of the respondents believe that Narendra Mody could be Best Prime Minister of India. Among all the national political parties in India, BJP stays at first in terms for goodwill. There are some respondent who belongs to 18, 19 age have not registered yet for the voter Id. Youth is getting involved in politics and this year 12Cr. New voters have been registered by the Election Commission of India. So, Youth will be key factor in upcoming elections in India.
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LIMITATIONS Limitations of the study Sincere efforts have been made to collect authentic and reliable information from respondents, however the report is subject to following limitations: i. Some respondents were reluctant to give the information, so their responses may be biased. ii. Time could be a major limitation as it may have affected the inferences drawn in the study. Only 50 respondents have been contacted due to time constraint. iii. Sample may not be the true representative of the universe. iv. Study was conducted in Mumbai only. So the results of the study may not be applicable in other areas.
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QUESTIONNAIRE Public Opinion on Elections 2014 Q.1.What is your age? 18-28 28-38 38-48 48 and above Q.2.What is your Qualification? Under Graduate Graduate Post Graduate other Q.3. Are you working? Yes No Q.4.What is your monthly income? (If working) Below 20,000/- 20,001 to 40,000/- 40,001 to 60,000 60,001 & above Q.5.Do you aware of 16 th General elections 2014? Yes No Q.6.Do you cast vote? Yes No Q.7.According to you who will win 16 th General elections 2014? 1. Congress party (Congress) 2. Bhartiya janta party (BJP) 3. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) 4. Other 45 | P a g e
Q.8. What do you think who will be the best prime minister for India? 1.Dr. Manmohan singh 2. Narendra modi 3.Rahul Gandhi 4.Arvind Kejriwal
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CONCLUSION As per the Election commission of India, registration of 12Cr. new voters can change the political situation in India, because they are first time voters. It is true that Narendra Modi is getting more famous and popular than any other Prime Ministerial Candidates. Many respondents do believe that he could be the best prime minister for India who can lead the country and can give good governess with social and economic development. It is a good sign that youth are coming up and breaking traditional negative behavior towards politics. It is due to their awareness about politics and everyone should be aware of their voting rights and everyone should cast their vote to see the power of voting collectively. Opinion Polls are just raw information about what could be the results of elections. It could give us a information what public are thinking or their behavior towards elections. Opinion polls helps to understand thinking pattern of society on a particular topic. Hence we all have to wait till election take place and results are out
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/opinion/edit-page/Youth-vote-can-reshape-2014- polls-and-Indias-polity-for-the-prettier/articleshow/25999546.cms- TIMES OF INDIA