ED KELLER Keller Fay Group ekeller@kellerfay.conn The evidence is abundantly clear: word of mouth (WOM) is the most important and effective communications channel. Now, the search is on for strong, quantifiable research to help marketers navigate this new terrain, where control rests with the consumer and not the marketer. This article lays out important insights drawn from Keller Fay's continuous monitoring of America's offline and online WOM conversations. WoRD-OF-MOUTH CONVERSATION is r et aki ng t he throne in the social order. As a result of societal changes, such as declining trust of those in au- thority, to the explosion of the internet and other forms of digital media, the communications land- scape that companies face today is being funda- mentally restructured. The evidence is becoming abvmdantly clear: word of mouth (WOM) has now become the most important and effective communications channel. McKinsey says WOM drives two-thirds of in- dustries (Dye, 2000), while Bain & Company (Reich- held, 2003) and the London School of Economics (Marsden, Samson, and Upton, 2005) have pub- lished research that finds that strong customer advocacy on behalf of a brand or company is one of the best predictors of top-line growth. This phenomenon is not a fad, it is a long-term trend, and advertisers such as P& G, Coca-Cola, Apple, Harley-Davidson, and Starbucks, to name just a few, increasingly recognize the important linkage between WOM advocacy and the growth and vibrancy of their brands. As just one example, among many, A. G. Lafley, P& G's CEO, spoke at the October 2006 Confer- ence of the Association of National Advertisers and exhorted his fellow marketers to "let go" of their brands and bow to consumer needs and wants: "Marketers need to stop trying to control what their brands stand for, and listen to their 4 4 8 J OU enilL OF flDOERTI S I flG RESEIIBC H December 2 0 0 7 customers. We are operating in what is very much a 'let go' world," he said (Wasserman and Ed- wards, 2006). At the 2006 Advertising Research Foundation (ARF) Annual Conference, Jean-Louis Laborie of Integration gave a plenary session paper about engagementa hot topic for many marketers and one that has been championed by the ARF since 2005 and whose official unveiling was at that conference. The ARF defines engagement as "turn- ing on a prospect to a brand idea enhanced by the surrounding context" (Plummer, 2006). But which form of contact with a consumer produces the strongest levels of engagement? That was the ques- tion Laborie addressed. Integration's Market Con- tactAudit (MCA) measures the impact of many different forms of contact that a consumer can have with a brand. After reviewing data from hundreds of MCA studies across multiple con- sumer category areas, Leborie pronounced "word of mouth" to be the form of consumer contact with the highest capacity to create consumer en- gagement (Laborie, 2006). No wonder, then, that for a growing number of marketers, WOM advocacy is becoming an increas- ingly important pursuit. This rising interest brings with it a search for strong, quantifiable research to help guide marketers' efforts to increase both the quantity and quality of WOM, and to help eval- uate the success of marketing efforts that seek to DOl: 10.2501/S0021849907070468 POWER OF WORD-OF-MOUTH increase and improve the WOM advocacy for the product or the brand. It is for that reason that this issue of the fournal of Advertising Research is so timely and is certain to make an important con- tribution to this growing area of market- ing practice. WORD OF MOUTH: NOT A NEW PHENOMENON The importance of WOM in the consumer marketplace is not a new phenomenon. In fact, in 1967 Professor Johan Arndt, of the Columbia Graduate School of Business, authored a detailed monograph for the ARF entitled, "Word of Mouth Advertis- ing." In it, he reviews and comments on 147 studies from the literature of sociol- ogy, psychology, and marketing. It was, according to the editor of the ARF's Ad- vertising Research Monographs, "the first comprehensive analysis of research in an important area." The author concludes, "[W]ord of mouth emerges as one of the most important, if not the [emphasis in original text] most important source of information for the consumer" (Arndt, 1967). Confirming the long-standing impor- tance of WOM, research by The Roper Organization in the early 1970s found that across multiple category areas WOM was the most important factor in consumer decision making, with a small advantage over advertising as well as editorial con- tent from the various mass media. This pattern continued largely intaJ:t through the mid 1990s. Beginning in the 1995-1998 time pe- riod, however, WOM began to grow dra- matically in importance, while the relative importance of advertising and editorial matter began a slow decline. WOM grew in importance by about l\ times, and by the start of this decade was twice as im- portant in the consumer's eyes as the other alternatives (Keller and Berry, 2003). If WOM and brand advocacy is becoming an increasingiy important marketing objective and the new metric of success, tiien iiow do we measure tiie conversation worthiness of both brands and communications surround- ing them? And how do we itnow if our efforts are, in fact, ieading to greater WOM and more brand advocacy? So while WOM has always been impor- tant, its importance today is higher than ever. As the credibility of "official" mar- keting messages is waning, the power of one consumer recommending a product to anotheror to manyis waxing. The imperative is for marketers and commu- nicators to understand the dynamics of how their brands are being discussed by consumers in consumer-to-consumer com- munications, and to use insights from this understanding to find ways to engage in a true two-way and meaningful dialogue with consumers, rather than pushing mes- sages out to them in a one-way flow. THE WOM MEASUREMENT IMPERATIVE If WOM and brand advocacy is becoming an increasingly important marketing ob- jective and the new metric of success, then how do we measure the conversa- tion worthiness of both brands and com- munications surrounding them? And how do we know if our efforts are, in fact, leading to greater WOM and more brand advocacy? Can there become a standard "currency of conversation," as there are "currencies" that allow us to measure the audience for other types of media? The Keller Fay Group's TalkTrack^M re- search program seeks to provide such a currency, as well as to provide strategic and tactical insights for marketers about the dynamics of WOM and how their brands fit into the WOM landscape. By continuously and consistently measuring consumer conversations about brands, TalkTrack helps marketers (a) to under- stand how WOM truly works (separating myth from reality), (b) to plan marketing activities in a manner is most likely to produce positive WOM, and (c) to track the effectiveness of marketing activity to see whether the desired WOM and brand advocacy is being achieve. TalkTrack is an ongoing survey of Amer- ican consumers ages 13-69, who report to us about the WOM conversations about products, services, and brands that they talked about "yesterday." TalkTrack''" uses a single-day diary methodology to aid recall of conversational brand mentions, and data are collected via the internet. (The weekly samples are demographi- cally balanced for age, sex, educational attainment, and race/ethnicity to match the U.S. Census Bureau for Americans aged 13 to 69. Respondents were re- cruited from a large, national panel of individuals who have agreed to partici- pate in occasional survey research projects and are rewarded with redeemable points.) Every day, a fresh sample of 100 respon- dents participates in the study relating their conversations over the last 24 hours, and findings are reported on a weekly basis. December 2 0 0 7 J OORIIIIL DF IIOUERTISIIIG B ESEHB C H 4 4 9 POWER OF WORD-OF-MOUTH collects data related to the medium (mode of conversation, venue, and "sender" demographics), to the message (positive/negative polarity, perceived cred- ibility), and to the audience (demograph- ics of "receivers" and relationship to "sender"). It also identifies the drivers of brand mentions, including customer expe- rience and marketing communications, and the outcomes of those mentions, such as intention to purchase, to get more informa- tion ("inquiries"), and to pass along to other consumers what was learned ("relays"). By using this methodology, TalkTrack provides a nationally representative per- spective on the extent and nature of WOM; it studies both the people who are leading WOM conversation as well as investigat- ing the impact of WOM on people who are on the receiving end of advice and recommendations; and it measures (and helps to size) the extent and nature of both offline WOM (face to face and phone-based conversations) as well as online WOM (emails, texting or instant messaging, blogs and chatrooms, etc). The results are comparable over time, and be- cause the study investigates WOM across multiple categories and thousands of brands, it provides benchmarks against which brand marketers can evaluate themselves. WOM BASICS: FIVE IMPORTANT INSIGHTS ON HOW WOM "REALLY" WORKS Findings from this ongoing tracking of WOM conversations (which was launched in April 2006) help answer some of the most profound questions relating to WOM: How much occurs, what drives it, and what are the market outcomes? To help set the framework for articles that follow in this issue, it is instructive to lay out five key findings from TalkTrack that pro- vide perspective on how consumer WOM works in today's marketplace. Over the course of a typical week, the average American consumer participates in 121 WOM conversations, in which specific brand names are mentioned 92 times. In other words, Americans participate in 3.5 billion WOM conversations every single day. 1 . "Billions and biiiions" of WOM conversations each day The most basic finding from concems the sheer volume of WOM among consumers. Over the course of a typical week, the average American consumer par- ticipates in 121 WOM conversations, in which specific brand names are men- tioned 92 times. In other words, Ameri- cans participate in 3.5 billion WOM conversations every single day! Brands are discussed 2.3 billion times per day. Brands, it is fair to say, are a major cur- rency of conversation in America. The leading categories for WOM are food and dining, media and entertain- ment, sports and hobbies, beverages, and shopping and retail, with about half (or more) of the American public talking about these categories each day. Telecom, tech- nology, health and healthcare, and auto- motive all generate conversation by about 40-50 percent of Americans per day. The categories that generate the lowest vol- ume of WOM are financial services, home products, personal care/beauty, travel, and household products. Even for these, be- tween one-quarter and one-third of Amer- ican have at least one conversation per day. So virtually every consumer category finds itself a part of America's conversa- tion and should be interested in tapping into the power of WOM. (The reason these categories fall as low on the list as they do is because they tend to be focused among narrower market segments such as adult women or parents of young chil- dren. When one looks at results for women and parents, the number of conversa- tional brand mentions is about twice as high as the national average.) 2 . Face to face is the predominant mode of WOM conversation How and where do these WOM conver- sations occur? Fully 76 percent of them occur "face to face," while another 17 percent happen by phone and 10 percent are online. Among these online "conver- sations," 3 percent occur via email, 2 per- cent via instant text, and 1 percent occur via blogs/chat rooms. These findings are significant and surpris- ing to many, because for many marketers, their thinking about WOM is dominated by the consideration of how to use new, digital media to create conversation, or par- ticipate in consumer conversation. These new technologies are certainly growing quickly and becoming increasingly impor- tant as tools in the marketers arsenal, but these data point to the need for marketers to consider both offline channels as they seek to drive WOM and brand advocacy, as well as digital media approaches. 3. WOM is generaiiy positive toward brands Perhaps the most unexpected finding in our research concerns the "polarity" of 4 5 0 J OU BOBL OF flD OERTISlOG BESEHRCII D ecember 2 0 0 7 POWER OF WORD-OF-MOUTH WOM. Overwhelmingly, consumers have positive things to say about brands, by a margin of more than 6 to 1. Across all brands in all categories, 63 percent were mentioned in a mostly positive light, and just 9 percent in a negative one. Another 16 percent of conversational mentions of brands mixed both positive and negative comments, while 12 percent of the time the conversation" had neither a positive nor negative tone. Our research does find important dif- ferences in the polarity of WOM by in- dustry. In general, WOM is most positive for consumer packaged goods of various kinds, and least positive for telecommu- nications. But for all categories, the "mostly positive" comments outweigh the "mostly negative" by a healthy margin. The overwhelmingly positive nature of WOM is extremely important for market- ers, for several reasons. First, it means that we should think of consumers as primarily supportive of brands and com- panies, in the sense that they want to help connect good brands with good friends. While it is true that stopping a friend from making a bad choice is a helpful act, the most helpful recommendation also of- fers a replacement choice, and perhaps several. Second, these findings suggest that the oft-cited "risk" of participating in WOM is likely overblown. The greater risk for marketers likely resides in not engaging in a conversation that is happening with or without the marketer's participation. 4 . WOM brings with it high impact: Credibiiity, pass aiong, purchase intent Word of mouth is not only mostly posi- tive toward brands and companies; it is also extraordinarily believable, according to the "receivers" of WOM advice. Its power comes from the personal trust re- lationship that exists between most con- versational partners. This is particularly Among media channels, television is the most powerful WOM medium, with references during 16 percent of ail branded conversations, and TV advertising more often referenced than programming. The internet is the next most often cited media source at 12 percent. Point of saie (8 percent) and newspapers (7 percent) follow. Interestingly, for some particularly strong WOM brands, the reference to media and marketing rises to as much as 65 percentindicating just how powerful media can be in creating great and powerful WOM. the case in face-to-face conversations among family, personal friends, co-workers, and other trusted acquaintances. Asked to evaluate the believability of WOM about specific brands, using a scale from 0 to 10, a 55 percent majority of consumers who were the "receivers" of advice and opinions from another person assign a credibility score of 9 or 10. An- other 25 percent of the "receivers" assign a credibility score of 7 or 8, for a grand total of 80 percent of consumers ranking WOM advice as credible at a level of 7 or higher on the 0 to 10 scale. It is hard to imagine these kinds of credibility scores being assigned to advertising or other tra- ditional marketing communications. That is the power of a personal relationship. Beyond having credibility to the person who receives information or recommen- dations via WOM, these consumers are also moved to share that information with others. Forty-nine percent of all "receiv- ers" of WOM say they are highly likely (9 or 10 on a 10-point scale) to relay the advice they have received to someone else. Word-of-mouth marketing is valuable only to the extent that it drives the ulti- mate behavioral outputs that marketers seekbrand purchases. Here too, we see the power of WOM. On a scale of 0 to 10, nearly half of all "receivers" of WOM advice say they will likely make a pur- chase based on the conversation (50 per- cent give a 9 or 10 rating). So not only is there a very large volume of WOM, we see that the impact it has is quite strong as well. 5. iViarketing communications drive WOiVi Amid the recent growth in popularity of WOM marketing, the field is often de- scribed as an alternative to "traditional" media and marketing channels. While WOM does represent a philosophical breakaway from a one-way, top-down com- munication model, it does not necessarily mean the abandonment of traditional me- dia and marketing channels. Rather, it suggests the opportunity for all forms of December 2 0 0 7 J DOIinilL OF B DOEB TIS IHG B ES EB RCH 4 5 1 POWER OF WORD-OF-MOUTH consumer contact to contribute to or stim- ulate WOM, which brings with it (as we just saw) high levels of credibility and purchase intent. In fact, 50 percent of branded conver- sations include a reference to some kind of media or marketing that was seen or heard by at least one conversation conver- sational partner. These media and marketing references run a wide gamut: advertising, editorial, and programming from various types of media, company websites, marketing ma- terials at the point of purchase, coupons, and other promotions, etc. Indeed, as mar- keters become more skillful at developing targeting and messaging-to stimulate WOM, the percentage of conversations referencing media or marketing could grow substantially. Among media channels, television is the most powerful WOM medium, with references during 16 percent of all branded conversations, and TV advertising more often referenced than programming. The internet is the next most often cited me- dia source at 12 percent. Point of sale (8 percent) and newspapers (7 percent) fol- low. Interestingly, for some particularly strong WOM brands, the reference to me- dia and marketing rises to as much as 65 percentindicating just how powerful me- dia can be in creating great and powerful WOM. Hence "traditional" media and market- ing channels must be counted among the important "input" tools available to mar- keters interested in driving WOM on be- half of their brands. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION Taken together, these (and other) findings from the Keller Fay Group's research help marketers to understand the true scope and power of word of mouth. They show that positive WOM is a powerful force in driving recommendations and purchase intent. Also, that media and marketing communications have a significant role to play in influencing conversations, with significant differences evident from cat- egory to category, and even from brand to brand. From a research perspective, we also see how important it is to focus both on the "senders" of brand advocacy, as well as on the audience in WOMthe ulti- mate receivers of marketing-relevant mes- sages from other consumers. At various times, everyone plays the role of "sender" and "receiver" in conversations about. brands. But in studying any one particu- lar conversational brand mention, it is critical to identify who is the "receiver" on that occasion, because only he or she can reliably tell us what they have heard, who told them and with what degree of credibility, and how that shared informa- tion irrtpacts their purchases and conver- sations in the future. From a communications planning per- spective, we can now bring fact-based insights to help marketers move beyond the traditional model of impressions, eye- balls and efficiency, and instead to incor- porate strategies that will generate true advocacy for their brands and, with it, brand growth, E D KE LLE R is the CEO of the Keller Fay Group (www. kellerfay.com), a market research firm that specializes in word-of-mouth marketing. He is the co-author of The Influentials: One American in Ten Tells the Other Nihe How to Vote, Where to Eat, and What to Buy (Free Press, 2003). Mr. Keller is also the president of the board of the Word of Mouth Marketing Association (www.womma.org). REFERENCES AR N D T, J OHAN. "Word of Mouth Advertising." ARF Monograph. New York: Advertising Re- search Foundation, 1967. DYE, RENEE. "The Buzz on Buzz." Harvard Busi- ness Review, November 2000. KELLER, E D , and J ON BERRY. The Influentials: One American in Ten Tells the Other Nine How to Vote, Where to Eat, and What to Buy. New York: Free Press, 2003. LABORIE, JEAN-LOUIS. "The Theory Behind En- gagement and Integration's Early Experience Across Media." Paper presented at ReThink: 52nd Annual Advertising Research Foundation Annual Conference and Expo, March 20-22, 2006: [URL: http://mail.thearf.org/roymorgan/ Engagement/2006.rethink.ARRThe%20Theory. pres.Laborie.pdf]. MARSDEN, PAUL, ALAIN SAMSON, and NEVILLE UPTON. "Advocacy Drives Growth." Brand Strat- egy, December 2005. PLUMMER, JOSEPH. "Engagement: 21st Century Marketing." Paper presented at ReThink: 52nd Annual Advertising Research Foundation Conference and Expo, March 20-22, 2006: [URL: http: //mail.thearf.org/roymorgan/ Engagement/2006.rethink. ARF.Engagement. pres.Plummer.pdf]. REICHHELD, FREDERICK R "The One Number You Need to Grow." Harvard Business Review, December 2003. WASSHRMAN, TODD, and J IM EDWARDS. "Mar- keters' New World Order: Letting Go." Brand- week, October 6, 2006. 452 DF IDUE RT ISIIIG RE SE flRCH De c e m b e r 2 0 0 7