Copyright 2014

New Hampshire

April 24 - 30, 2014

HAI3235

400 Interviews
Margin of Error: +/- 4.9%

Hello, my name is __________ from HAI, a national research firm.

[IF LANDLINE] We're conducting a survey in New Hampshire to get people's opinions on important issues. This number was selected at
random and according to the research procedure, I would like to speak to the [ALTERNATE: YOUNGEST/OLDEST] [ALTERNATE: MAN/WOMAN]
at this address who is registered to vote.
[IF CELL PHONE] We're conducting a survey of cell phone users in New Hampshire to get people's opinions on important issues.

Since
you are on a cell phone, I can call you back if you are driving or doing anything else that requires your full attention. Can you talk safely
and privately now? [IF YES, CONTINUE. IF NO, SCHEDULE CALLBACK]

RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS

QB. At the present time, are you officially registered to vote in that county in New
Hampshire? [IF YES] Regardless of how you might feel about the parties, or how

YES: Democrat ................................

28%
YES: Republican ................................
30
YES: Independent ................................
38
YES: Other ................................ 4
No/(Dont know) --------> TERMINATE

you intend to vote this year, are you officially registered as a Democrat, a
Republican, an Independent, or in some other way?

Definitely vote ................................85%

Probably vote ................................15
All other responses----> TERMINATE

QC. In November, elections will be held for Governor, U.S. Senate, Congress, and

other offices. But there is no election for President. Although it is a while away, how
likely are you to vote in that election: will you definitely vote; probably but not
certainly vote in it; are the chances about 50-50 that you will vote, or is it likely that
you will not vote in November?
Q1. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, an

Independent or a Republican?
ASK IF DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN

Would you call yourself a strong [DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN] or a not very strong

[DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN]?

VOL:
VOL:

Strong Democrat ................................

19%
Weak Democrat ................................
6
Independent ................................ 46
Weak Republican ................................
6
Strong Republican ................................
17
(Green Party) ................................ (Other/Don't know) ................................
5
TOTAL DEMOCRAT ................................
25%
TOTAL INDEPENDENT................................
46
TOTAL REPUBLICAN ................................
23

RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS

Q2. Now I'd like to ask your impressions of some people in public life. As I read each name, tell me whether your impression of that

person is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you don't recognize a name, just say so.
Here's the first one: [READ ITEM] Have you heard of that person? [IF YES] Is your impression of that person very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable?
FAVORABLE
Very Some
Jeanne Shaheen................................................................
29%
25
ROTATE

(Mixed)
3

UNFAVORABLE
Some
Very
17
21

(Cant
rate)
3

Never
heard
2

RECOGNITION
Effective Total
94%
98%

TOTAL
Fav
Unfav
53%
38

Barack Obama ................................................................

25%

20

14

39

99%

100%

45%

53

Scott Brown ................................................................

12%

27

18

23

10

84%

93%

39%

42

Q3. In

the election for Governor later this year, if the candidates are [ROTATE:]
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat, AND
Andrew Hemingway, the Republican,
for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED, ASK] Who would you lean toward
supporting if the election were held today?

VOL:

Likely Definite
Hassan ................................................................
47%
46%
(Lean Hassan) ................................3
4
Hemingway ................................ 24
26
(Lean Hemingway) ................................
4
4
(Don't know)................................ 22
21
TOTAL HASSAN ................................
50%
50%
TOTAL HEMINGWAY ................................
28
29

Q4. As you may know, Jeanne Shaheen is running for another term in the U.S.

Senate this year. At this point, would you most likely vote for Shaheen to serve
another term in the U.S. Senate, or would you most likely vote to replace her with a
Republican? [IF CHOICE] Do you strongly or only somewhat support [RE-ELECTING
SHAHEEN/REPLACING SHAHEEN WITH A REPUBLICAN]?

VOL:
VOL:

Likely Definite
SHAHEEN: Strongly ................................
34%
36%
SHAHEEN: Somewhat ................................
13
12
REPUBLICAN: Somewhat ................................
9
9
REPUBLICAN: Strongly ................................
32
35
(Depends) ................................
5
5
(Dont know) ................................ 6
4
TOTAL SHAHEEN................................
47%
47%
TOTAL REPUBLICAN ................................
42
44

Hickman Analytics, Inc.

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Q5. In particular, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the candidates
are [ROTATE:]
Jeanne Shaheen, the Democrat, AND

Likely Definite
Shaheen ................................................................
47%
47%
(Lean Shaheen) ................................1
1
Brown ................................................................
40
41
(Lean Brown) ................................ 3
3
(Don't know)................................ 8
7

Scott Brown, the Republican,

for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED, ASK] Who would you lean toward
supporting if the election were held today?

Now for a few questions on other issues.

Q6. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly
oppose expanding existing natural gas pipelines and building new natural gas
infrastructure to increase the natural gas supply for electricity generation and home
heating in the Northeast?

VOL:

TOTAL SHAHEEN................................
49%
TOTAL BROWN ................................
43

VOL:

48%
44

SUPPORT: Strongly ................................

43%
SUPPORT: Somewhat................................
29
OPPOSE: Somewhat ................................
8
OPPOSE: Strongly ................................
9
(Don't know) ................................ 11
TOTAL SUPPORT ................................
72%
TOTAL OPPOSE ................................
17

Q7. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly

oppose the construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline across Montana, South
Dakota, and Nebraska to bring oil from Canada and the northern U.S. to refineries in
Texas?

VOL:

SUPPORT: Strongly ................................

35%
SUPPORT: Somewhat................................
23
OPPOSE: Somewhat ................................
11
OPPOSE: Strongly ................................
15
(Don't know) ................................ 16
TOTAL SUPPORT ................................
58%
TOTAL OPPOSE ................................
26

As you may have heard, after five years of studying the Keystone XL pipeline, the Obama administration recently announced that it will
delay a final decision, possibly until after the elections this fall.
Q8. The administration says it needs more time to gather information about the legal status and environmental impact of the
pipeline. Pipeline supporters in both parties say the delay is a political favor to Obamas liberal allies that will cost the country jobs and
energy independence. How about you, [ROTATE]
Do you think the delay is necessary to gather more information, OR ................................................................
23%
Do you think the delay is mostly about politics?................................................................................................
66
VOL:

(Don't know) ................................................................................................................................................................

11

Q9. For this question, assume that President Obama delays making a decision on

the Keystone XL pipeline until after the election. Would Obama delaying a decision
on the Keystone XL pipeline make you much more likely, somewhat more likely,
somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for Jeanne Shaheen for U.S.
Senate?

VOL:
VOL:

MORE LIKELY: Much ................................

8%
MORE LIKELY: Somewhat ................................
8
LESS LIKELY: Somewhat................................
10
LESS LIKELY: Much ................................
24
(No difference) ................................
43
(Don't know) ................................ 7
TOTAL MORE LIKELY ................................
17%
TOTAL LESS LIKELY ................................
34

ASK IF SUPPORT KEYSTONE [N = 232, MoE = 6.4%]

Q9. And, assume that President Obama denies the permit to

construct the Keystone

XL pipeline. Would Obama denying the permit to construct the Keystone XL pipeline
make you much more likely, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much
less likely to vote for Jeanne Shaheen for U.S. Senate?

VOL:
VOL:

MORE LIKELY: Much ................................

4%
MORE LIKELY: Somewhat ................................
9
LESS LIKELY: Somewhat................................
12
LESS LIKELY: Much ................................
35
(No difference) ................................
32
(Don't know) ................................ 8
TOTAL MORE LIKELY ................................
13%
TOTAL LESS LIKELY ................................
47

RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS

Q10. Looking ahead, how important are energy issues, including the Keystone XL

pipeline, in terms of how you will vote in this years election? Are they very
important, somewhat important, not very important, or not important at all in
determining how you will vote?

VOL:
VOL:

Very important................................
30%
Somewhat important ................................
46
Not very important................................
16
Not important at all ................................
5
(Depends) ................................ *
(Don't know) ................................ 2
TOTAL IMPORTANT ................................
76%
TOTAL NOT IMPORTANT................................
21

Now I would like to ask you a few final questions for statistical purposes only.
D100. Sex.

Male ................................................................
48%
Female ................................................................
52

Hickman Analytics, Inc.

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VOL:

18-24 ................................................................
5%
25-29 ................................................................
3
30-34 ................................................................
4
35-39 ................................................................
3
40-44 ................................................................
9
45-49 ................................................................
7
50-54 ................................................................
12
55-59 ................................................................
12
60-64 ................................................................
12
65+ ................................................................
32
(Refused) ................................................................
1

VOL:

Liberal ................................................................
14%
Somewhat liberal ................................ 11
Moderate ................................................................
26
Somewhat conservative ................................
24
Conservative ................................................................
22
(Dont know) ................................................................
4

D101. What is your age?

D105. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as liberal, somewhat

liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or conservative?

TOTAL LIBERAL................................ 25%

TOTAL CONSERVATIVE ................................
45

VOL:

Yes ................................................................
83%
No................................................................
17
(Don't know/Not sure) ................................*

VOL:

Yes ................................................................
89%
No................................................................
11
(Don't know/Not sure) ................................-

VOL:

Landline only ................................................................

11%
Landline mostly ................................................................
21
Both ................................................................
27
Cell mostly................................................................
22
Cell only ................................................................
17
(Don't know) ................................................................
1

D510. Do you have a landline telephone?

D511. Do you have a mobile telephone?

D512. Would you say you mainly use your landline telephone, mainly use your mobile

phone, or do you use both equally?

TOTAL LANDLINE ................................ 32%

TOTAL CELL................................................................
40
D300. And just to make sure we have a representative sample of voters, could you please
tell me your race? [IF NECESSARY] Well, most people consider themselves black or white?

VOL:
VOL:

Black ................................................................
*
White ................................................................
92
(Other) ................................................................
4
(Dont know/Refused) ................................4

VOL:

Yes ................................................................
3%
No................................................................
94
(Don't know/Refused) ................................3

D301. Do you consider yourself a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking American?

Thank you for taking the time to complete this interview.

Personal popularity of U.S. Senate candidates

Total

Jeanne Shaheen
Total Total CR/ Net
Fav
Unfav NH
Fav

Total
Fav

Scott Brown
Total CR/
Unfav NH

Net
Fav

Total recognition
Jeanne Scott
Shaheen Brown

Effective recognition
Jeanne
Scott
Shaheen Brown

TOTAL

400

53%

38

15

39%

42

16

-3

98%

93%

94%

84%

Definite voters

339

53%

41

12

38%

44

15

-6

99%

95%

97%

85%

REGION
North
Central
Southwest
Southeast

72
57
141
130

51%
64%
52%
52%

34
30
42
40

12
1
3
7

17
34
10
12

26%
35%
44%
42%

37
42
40
45

32
22
12
10

-11
-8
4
-2

96%
100%
99%
97%

80%
97%
96%
96%

88%
99%
97%
93%

68%
78%
88%
90%

PARTY REGISTRATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

113
119
169

84%
26%
53%

12
63
38

2
8
6

72
-37
15

17%
59%
39%

73
23
34

10
15
22

-55
36
5

99%
96%
98%

95%
97%
90%

98%
92%
94%

90%
85%
78%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

101
93
206

85%
22%
52%

10
67
39

4
7
6

75
-46
13

16%
65%
38%

76
15
37

7
14
22

-60
50
1

98%
97%
98%

95%
95%
92%

96%
93%
94%

93%
86%
78%

SEX
Male
Female

192
208

44%
62%

48
29

5
6

-4
33

42%
35%

43
40

11
22

-1
-4

99%
97%

96%
91%

95%
94%

89%
78%

AGE
18-39
40-59
60+

59
162
179

53%
50%
57%

28
43
37

12
3
6

24
7
20

28%
43%
39%

42
36
46

27
16
13

-14
7
-8

95%
99%
98%

83%
92%
97%

88%
97%
94%

73%
84%
87%

IDEOLOGY
Liberal
Conservative
Other

98
181
121

81%
29%
68%

14
61
23

3
5
7

66
-32
45

17%
55%
33%

67
23
48

15
16
18

-51
32
-15

98%
98%
99%

93%
94%
93%

97%
95%
93%

85%
84%
82%

POPULARITY/RATE
SHAHEEN: Rate favorably
SHAHEEN: Rate not favorably
BROWN: Rate favorably
BROWN: Rate not favorably
Can rate both

213
164
155
179
324

100%
0%
35%
72%
56%

0
93
58
24
41

0
0
6
1
0

100
-93
-23
48
15

25%
56%
100%
0%
45%

59
24
0
93
51

14
14
0
0
0

-34
33
100
-93
-6

100%
100%
97%
99%
100%

93%
96%
100%
100%
100%

100%
100%
94%
99%
100%

86%
86%
100%
100%
100%

RE-ELECT
Shaheen
Republican
Depends/Don't know

189
167
44

90%
17%
34%

5
76
35

3
4
22

85
-59
-1

17%
64%
34%

66
16
33

15
15
28

-48
48
1

98%
98%
96%

92%
95%
90%

97%
96%
78%

85%
85%
72%

SENATE VOTE
Shaheen
Brown

194
173

89%
20%

7
70

3
6

82
-50

14%
71%

69
9

16
14

-55
61

98%
98%

92%
96%

97%
94%

84%
86%

EXISTING PIPELINES
Support
Oppose
Don't know

289
68
43

48%
68%
63%

42
26
28

6
3
7

6
42
35

44%
24%
30%

37
60
43

15
13
28

7
-36
-13

98%
100%
96%

94%
93%
90%

94%
97%
93%

85%
87%
72%

KEYSTONE
Support
Oppose
Don't know

232
105
63

38%
82%
63%

53
14
25

7
0
10

-15
67
38

50%
15%
38%

31
69
37

16
15
19

19
-54
1

98%
100%
95%

94%
92%
92%

93%
100%
90%

84%
85%
81%

REASON FOR DELAY

Need more time
Politics
Don't know

93
263
44

83%
39%
75%

12
52
10

4
5
14

71
-13
66

19%
47%
30%

63
33
45

15
15
24

-44
14
-15

99%
98%
94%

94%
94%
88%

96%
95%
86%

85%
85%
76%

EFFECT ON VOTE FOR SHAHEEN

DELAY: More likely
DELAY: Less likely
DELAY: No difference/DK
DENY: Less likely
DENY: No difference/DK

67
135
198
110
92

92%
21%
62%
26%
38%

7
70
27
69
46

0
7
6
4
12

86
-49
35
-42
-8

23%
60%
30%
55%
45%

67
22
46
29
30

9
15
19
11
21

-44
38
-17
26
16

100%
97%
97%
98%
96%

95%
93%
93%
97%
91%

100%
93%
94%
96%
88%

91%
85%
81%
89%
79%

ENERGY ISSUES
Very important
Not very important

121
279

38%
60%

55
31

6
5

-16
29

48%
35%

35
44

12
18

13
-9

97%
98%

96%
92%

94%
95%

88%
82%

U.S. Senate vote preference

Total

Q4. Re-elect Shaheen

Dep
Net
Re-elect Republican /DK Re-elect

Q5. Current vote

Shaheen

Brown

DK

Net
Shaheen

TOTAL

400

47%

42

11

49%

43

Definite voters

339

47%

44

48%

44

REGION
North
Central
Southwest
Southeast

72
57
141
130

50%
54%
43%
47%

43
33
47
40

8
14
10
13

7
21
-4
8

54%
57%
44%
47%

38
34
47
46

8
9
9
7

16
22
-3
1

PARTY REGISTRATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

113
119
169

87%
15%
44%

7
79
39

6
6
18

79
-64
5

90%
17%
43%

6
78
44

4
5
13

83
-61
0

PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

101
93
206

91%
11%
43%

5
84
41

5
6
17

86
-73
2

91%
8%
46%

5
88
42

4
4
12

87
-81
4

SEX
Male
Female

192
208

36%
57%

52
33

12
10

-15
25

38%
59%

53
34

9
7

-15
24

AGE
18-39
40-59
60+

59
162
179

44%
44%
51%

36
45
41

20
10
8

8
-1
10

46%
46%
52%

42
50
38

12
4
11

4
-4
14

IDEOLOGY
Liberal
Conservative
Other

98
181
121

84%
20%
58%

8
70
27

8
10
16

75
-49
31

82%
22%
62%

13
71
27

5
8
12

69
-49
35

POPULARITY/RATE
SHAHEEN: Rate favorably
SHAHEEN: Rate not favorably
BROWN: Rate favorably
BROWN: Rate not favorably
Can rate both

213
164
155
179
324

80%
8%
21%
71%
49%

13
80
69
20
43

7
12
10
9
8

67
-73
-48
51
6

81%
9%
18%
75%
50%

16
78
79
14
44

2
13
3
10
6

65
-69
-61
61
5

RE-ELECT
Shaheen
Republican
Depends/Don't know

189
167
44

100%
0%
0%

0
100
0

0
0
100

100
-100
0

94%
3%
25%

5
87
42

1
10
33

90
-84
-18

SENATE VOTE
Shaheen
Brown

194
173

92%
5%

2
84

6
11

89
-79

100%
0%

0
100

0
0

100
-100

EXISTING PIPELINES
Support
Oppose
Don't know

289
68
43

42%
60%
64%

48
25
22

10
14
14

-7
35
41

43%
64%
64%

50
27
25

7
9
11

-7
37
39

KEYSTONE
Support
Oppose
Don't know

232
105
63

30%
79%
58%

59
13
26

11
8
17

-29
66
32

30%
82%
61%

58
17
32

12
1
7

-28
65
29

REASON FOR DELAY

Need more time
Politics
Don't know

93
263
44

81%
31%
73%

11
57
15

8
12
12

71
-26
58

82%
32%
75%

13
59
17

5
9
8

69
-26
58

EFFECT ON VOTE FOR SHAHEEN

DELAY: More likely
DELAY: Less likely
DELAY: No difference/DK
DENY: Less likely
DENY: No difference/DK

67
135
198
110
92

81%
15%
58%
15%
35%

12
76
28
75
50

6
9
14
10
14

69
-60
29
-60
-15

83%
16%
59%
15%
36%

12
74
33
74
49

5
10
8
11
15

70
-58
27
-59
-14

ENERGY ISSUES
Very important
Not very important

121
279

32%
54%

57
35

10
11

-25
19

31%
56%

61
36

8
8

-29
20

Keystone pipeline and expanding existing pipelines

Total

Q6. Expand natural gas infrastructure

Net
Support Oppose
DK
Support

Q7. Keystone pipeline

Support Oppose

DK

Net
Support

TOTAL

400

72%

17

11

55

58%

26

16

32

Definite voters

339

71%

17

11

54

57%

29

14

29

REGION
North
Central
Southwest
Southeast

72
57
141
130

69%
79%
66%
78%

21
14
18
16

11
8
16
6

48
65
49
63

60%
60%
54%
60%

27
22
31
23

13
19
15
16

33
38
23
37

PARTY REGISTRATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

113
119
169

62%
83%
71%

21
7
21

16
9
8

41
76
51

35%
79%
59%

47
7
26

18
14
16

-12
72
33

PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

101
93
206

59%
84%
74%

24
6
18

17
10
8

35
77
55

34%
81%
59%

45
7
26

21
11
15

-11
74
33

SEX
Male
Female

192
208

79%
66%

14
19

6
15

65
46

67%
50%

25
27

8
23

42
23

AGE
18-39
40-59
60+

59
162
179

64%
73%
75%

22
18
14

14
9
12

41
55
61

49%
60%
59%

28
26
26

23
14
15

21
34
34

IDEOLOGY
Liberal
Conservative
Other

98
181
121

52%
82%
75%

34
8
16

14
10
9

17
74
59

29%
73%
59%

55
14
22

16
13
19

-26
60
37

POPULARITY/RATE
SHAHEEN: Rate favorably
SHAHEEN: Rate not favorably
BROWN: Rate favorably
BROWN: Rate not favorably
Can rate both

213
164
155
179
324

66%
80%
81%
66%
73%

22
12
10
24
18

13
8
8
10
10

44
68
71
42
55

41%
78%
74%
44%
58%

40
12
10
41
27

19
10
15
15
15

1
66
64
4
30

RE-ELECT
Shaheen
Republican
Depends/Don't know

189
167
44

64%
84%
65%

22
10
22

15
6
13

42
74
43

37%
82%
57%

44
8
19

19
10
24

-7
74
38

SENATE VOTE
Shaheen
Brown

194
173

64%
83%

22
10

14
6

41
73

36%
78%

44
10

20
12

-8
68

EXISTING PIPELINES
Support
Oppose
Don't know

289
68
43

100%
0%
0%

0
100
0

0
0
100

100
-100
0

72%
18%
27%

15
73
30

13
9
44

57
-55
-3

KEYSTONE
Support
Oppose
Don't know

232
105
63

90%
41%
61%

5
47
9

5
12
30

85
-7
52

100%
0%
0%

0
100
0

0
0
100

100
-100
0

REASON FOR DELAY

Need more time
Politics
Don't know

93
263
44

55%
80%
65%

31
13
10

14
7
25

24
67
55

26%
71%
44%

50
17
28

23
11
28

-24
54
17

EFFECT ON VOTE FOR SHAHEEN

DELAY: More likely
DELAY: Less likely
DELAY: No difference/DK
DENY: Less likely
DENY: No difference/DK

67
135
198
110
92

66%
83%
67%
90%
90%

25
11
18
6
3

10
6
14
4
7

41
72
49
85
87

50%
85%
43%
100%
100%

40
9
33
0
0

10
6
24
0
0

9
75
10
100
100

ENERGY ISSUES
Very important
Not very important

121
279

79%
70%

18
17

3
14

61
53

72%
52%

24
27

4
21

49
25

Reason for delay and effect on Shaheen Senate vote

Q8. Reason for delay
Gather
Mostly
Net
Total information politics DK information

Q9. Effect on vote if delayed

More
Less
None
Net
likely
likely
/DK
More

Q10. Effect on vote if denied

More
Less
None
Net
Total
likely
likely
/DK
More

TOTAL

400

23%

66

11

-42

17%

34

50

-17

232

13%

47

40

-34

Definite voters

339

23%

67

10

-44

17%

34

49

-18

194

12%

50

38

-38

REGION
North
Central
Southwest
Southeast

72
57
141
130

24%
22%
24%
23%

66
65
64
68

11
14
11
9

-42
-43
-40
-45

18%
18%
15%
17%

31
28
34
37

51
54
51
46

-14
-10
-19
-20

43
34
76
79

25%
15%
7%
13%

29
40
57
51

47
45
36
36

-4
-25
-51
-38

PARTY REGISTRATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

113
119
169

40%
12%
20%

41
83
70

19
6
10

-1
-71
-50

32%
10%
11%

10
57
33

58
33
56

22
-47
-22

39
94
99

31%
7%
12%

25
57
47

43
36
41

6
-50
-35

PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Democrat
Republican
Others

101
93
206

46%
7%
20%

39
86
69

15
6
11

7
-79
-50

36%
9%
11%

10
58
35

54
34
55

26
-49
-24

35
76
121

35%
9%
10%

32
54
47

33
37
43

3
-46
-37

SEX
Male
Female

192
208

12%
34%

79
54

9
13

-67
-20

16%
17%

40
28

44
55

-24
-11

129
103

10%
17%

53
40

37
43

-42
-23

AGE
18-39
40-59
60+

59
162
179

39%
18%
23%

49
73
64

12
9
13

-10
-55
-42

16%
16%
17%

27
36
34

57
48
49

-11
-20
-17

29
97
106

18%
12%
13%

42
51
46

40
37
41

-24
-38
-33

IDEOLOGY
Liberal
Conservative
Other

98
181
121

42%
10%
27%

37
83
63

21
7
10

5
-73
-36

25%
11%
18%

15
51
23

60
38
58

10
-40
-5

28
132
71

22%
11%
15%

45
53
36

33
36
49

-23
-43
-22

POPULARITY/RATE
SHAHEEN: Rate favorably
SHAHEEN: Rate not favorably
BROWN: Rate favorably
BROWN: Rate not favorably
Can rate both

213
164
155
179
324

36%
7%
11%
34%
24%

48
89
80
54
67

16
3
8
11
10

-12
-82
-69
-20
-43

29%
3%
10%
25%
19%

14
58
52
19
34

58
38
38
56
47

15
-55
-42
6
-15

88
128
115
80
187

28%
5%
11%
16%
14%

32
59
53
46
50

40
36
36
38
36

-5
-54
-41
-30
-37

RE-ELECT
Shaheen
Republican
Depends/Don't know

189
167
44

40%
6%
18%

43
90
70

17
4
12

-3
-84
-53

29%
5%
9%

11
61
28

60
34
63

18
-56
-19

70
137
25

31%
6%
3%

23
60
44

46
34
52

7
-54
-41

SENATE VOTE
Shaheen
Brown

194
173

39%
7%

43
89

17
4

-4
-82

28%
5%

11
58

61
38

17
-53

70
136

29%
7%

24
60

47
33

6
-53

EXISTING PIPELINES
Support
Oppose
Don't know

289
68
43

18%
43%
29%

72
51
45

10
6
26

-55
-7
-15

15%
24%
15%

39
22
19

46
54
66

-24
2
-4

208
12
12

13%
24%
7%

48
54
34

39
22
59

-35
-30
-26

KEYSTONE
Support
Oppose
Don't know

232
105
63

11%
45%
34%

81
44
46

8
12
20

-70
1
-12

14%
26%
10%

49
12
13

36
62
77

-35
14
-3

232
0
0

13%
0%
0%

47
0
0

40
0
0

-34
0
0

REASON FOR DELAY

Need more time
Politics
Don't know

93
263
44

100%
0%
0%

0
100
0

0
0
100

100
-100
0

28%
12%
17%

6
46
19

66
42
63

23
-34
-2

25
188
20

17%
12%
16%

15
54
21

68
33
62

2
-42
-5

EFFECT ON VOTE FOR SHAHEEN

DELAY: More likely
DELAY: Less likely
DELAY: No difference/DK
DENY: Less likely
DENY: No difference/DK

67
135
198
110
92

40%
4%
31%
3%
18%

49
90
55
93
68

11
6
14
4
13

-9
-85
-24
-89
-50

100%
0%
0%
7%
6%

0
100
0
84
19

0
0
100
9
75

100
-100
0
-77
-13

33
114
85
110
92

60%
4%
7%
0%
0%

23
80
12
100
0

16
16
81
0
100

37
-76
-4
-100
0

ENERGY ISSUES
Very important
Not very important

121
279

16%
27%

83
58

1
15

-68
-31

12%
19%

49
27

39
54

-37
-9

87
145

6%
18%

62
38

33
44

-56
-21