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Wednesday 11.04.2009
The indices managed to finish flat with the Dow words, “extended period” which the Street is
9772(-17.17) and S&P 1045. The magic number expecting to remain the same. The financial
of 1036 was defended which facilitated a move sector is betting its life on it. Any change might
toward the daily pivot laying the foundation for trigger the market to sell off. An up move
a push at 2:00 PM. Nothing else matters, but the towards 9838 is an opportunity to sell.
FOMC. The focus will be on the change of two
PRISM CALL
Futures are looking up about six handles, indicating a fairly strong open. The FOMC is coming out today
and we need to look at the comments to determine if bias is changing. The odds are the fed won’t raise
interest rates nor change bias yet. Until the number, the market will probably trade in a range, so take
quick profits when you have them. After the meeting, I expect the market to march up, trying to shake
out shorts and renew the confidence of the bulls. Insurance and gold are very strong this morning, so look
to those sectors for increased volatility.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR INDU & SPUZ TECHNICALS
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FOREIGN MARKETS NEWS
STRONG WEAK
COMMODITY PRICE Republicans take governor's
CAT BA races in N.J., Virginia;
OIL 80.37 0.77 Bloomberg re-elected as mayor -
UTX XOM Globe and Mail
PG MRK
GOLD 1091.3 6.40
CVX GE ECONX MBA Mortgage
Applications +8.2% vs -12.3%
Prior
UPGRADES & DOWNGRADES
White House Tally Appears to
Overstate Stimulus Jobs -
STOCKS UPGRADED WSJ.com
BROKERAGE
COMPANY RATINGS CHANGE PRICE TARGET Deutsche Bank upgrades EOG
FIRM
Resources (EOG 81.97) to Buy
France Telecom (FTE) Goldman Neutral>>Buy 25.28
from Hold and rases their tgt to
Viacom (VIA.B) Oppenheimer Perform>>Outperform $110 from $78 saying the co's
28.68 32>>36
ING Group (ING) RBS Hold>>Buy
uniquely non-consensus focus on
13.10 horizontal oil drilling will spur
Emerson Electric (EMR) Societe Generale Sell>>Hold growth rates and garner wider
38.97
investor interest moving into
General Dynamics (GD) Credit Suisse Neutral>>Outperform 2010
62.55
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EARNINGS
CKP Checkpoint Systems misses by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs above consensus
(14.01 )
ADP Automatic Data beats by $0.06, beats on revs; guides FY10 EPS in-line (40.65 )
AGU Agrium reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; guides Q4 EPS (48.01 )
BPI Bridgepoint Education beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides FY09 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus
(14.59 )
TRW TRW Automotive beats by $0.52, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs above consensus (16.98 )
WCG WellCare Group beats by $0.15, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line (26.32 )
Vanguard Natural Resources reports Q3 EPS of $0.58 vs $0.57 First Call consensus
PWR Quanta Services beats by $0.11, misses on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs in-line (21.66 )
TEL Tyco Electronics beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus
(21.71 )
TWX Time Warner beats by $0.08, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS above consensus (30.16 )
TOT Total 3Q net profit -37% as refining, oil prices down - DJ (60.80 )
FBR Capital notes HIG last night reported 3Q09 operating EPS of $1.56, vs. the consensus of $1.11
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Symbol S7 S6 S5 S4 S3 S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7
Sectors
SPX 1017.06 1021.81 1024.74 1029.48 1034.23 1035.69 1037.15 1041.90 1046.65 1048.11 1049.58 1054.32 1059.07 1062.00 1066.74
INDU 9587.26 9619.19 9638.92 9670.84 9702.77 9712.63 9722.45 9754.42 9786.39 9796.21 9806.08 9838.00 9869.93 9889.66 9921.58
NDX 1634.27 1641.65 1646.21 1653.59 1660.97 1663.25 1665.52 1672.91 1680.30 1682.57 1684.85 1692.23 1699.61 1704.17 1711.55
XBD 107.27 108.16 108.72 109.61 110.50 110.78 111.05 111.95 112.85 113.12 113.40 114.29 115.18 115.74 116.63
BKX 40.15 40.57 40.84 41.26 41.68 41.82 41.95 42.37 42.79 42.93 43.06 43.48 43.90 44.17 44.59
TRAN 3326.08 3402.28 3449.35 3525.55 3601.75 3625.29 3648.72 3725.02 3801.32 3824.76 3848.29 3924.49 4000.69 4047.76 4123.96
OIX 630.90 639.05 644.09 652.24 660.39 662.91 665.42 673.58 681.74 684.25 686.77 694.92 703.07 708.11 716.26
OSX 170.11 174.14 176.63 180.67 184.70 185.95 187.19 191.23 195.27 196.51 197.75 201.79 205.82 208.31 212.35
XNG 460.44 467.08 471.19 477.83 484.47 486.53 488.57 495.22 501.87 503.92 505.97 512.61 519.25 523.36 530.00
CYC 676.26 685.80 691.69 701.23 710.77 713.71 716.65 726.20 735.75 738.68 741.63 751.17 760.71 766.60 776.14
UTY 374.18 375.48 376.28 377.59 378.89 379.29 379.69 381.00 382.30 382.70 383.10 384.41 385.71 386.51 387.82
DRG 277.97 279.38 280.26 281.67 283.08 283.52 283.95 285.37 286.79 287.22 287.66 289.07 290.48 291.36 292.77
RLX 363.94 367.41 369.55 373.02 376.49 377.56 378.63 382.10 385.58 386.64 387.71 391.18 394.65 396.79 400.26
Tradeables
SPY 101.81 102.29 102.59 103.07 103.55 103.70 103.85 104.33 104.81 104.96 105.11 105.59 106.07 106.37 106.85
DIA 95.89 96.21 96.42 96.74 97.07 97.17 97.27 97.60 97.93 98.03 98.13 98.45 98.78 98.98 99.31
QQQQ 40.19 40.37 40.48 40.67 40.85 40.91 40.96 41.15 41.33 41.39 41.44 41.63 41.81 41.92 42.11
QLD 45.88 46.31 46.58 47.00 47.43 47.56 47.69 48.12 48.55 48.68 48.82 49.24 49.67 49.94 50.36
IWM 53.82 54.35 54.68 55.22 55.75 55.92 56.08 56.62 57.15 57.32 57.48 58.02 58.55 58.88 59.42
OIH 106.33 108.80 110.32 112.79 115.26 116.02 116.78 119.25 121.72 122.48 123.24 125.71 128.18 129.70 132.17
XLE 51.92 52.68 53.15 53.91 54.67 54.90 55.14 55.90 56.66 56.89 57.13 57.89 58.65 59.12 59.88
FAZ 19.55 20.12 20.47 21.05 21.62 21.80 21.97 22.55 23.12 23.30 23.47 24.05 24.62 24.97 25.55
FAS 59.37 61.12 62.20 63.94 65.69 66.23 66.77 68.51 70.26 70.80 71.34 73.08 74.83 75.91 77.65
SRS 8.84 9.10 9.25 9.50 9.76 9.83 9.91 10.16 10.42 10.49 10.57 10.82 11.08 11.23 11.48
SDS 38.95 39.32 39.55 39.92 40.29 40.40 40.52 40.89 41.26 41.37 41.49 41.86 42.23 42.46 42.83
USO 37.27 37.83 38.18 38.75 39.31 39.49 39.66 40.23 40.79 40.97 41.14 41.71 42.27 42.62 43.19
SKF 24.39 24.84 25.12 25.58 26.03 26.17 26.31 26.77 27.22 27.36 27.50 27.96 28.41 28.69 29.15
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