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SELECTED WEEKLY
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
28 February 2014
(1) Central Bank indicative rate (2) Weekly average based on actual transactions.
Interest Rates (%) Week Ending Week Ago Year Ago
February 28 INTEREST RATES- Call
Money
Commercial Bank Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) 9.37 9.29 14.42 (Minimum and Maximum)
Treasury Bill Yield - 91 days 6.72 6.75 9.09
(Excluding 10% withholding tax) - 182 days 6.89 6.90 10.08
- 364 days 7.07 7.08 11.10 Monthly Daily
12
Standing Deposit Facility 6.50 6.50 7.50 Max
9.10
Max
Standing Lending Facility 8.00 8.00 9.50 11 8.90
8.50
Sri Lanka Inter Bank Offer Rate ( SLIBOR )
9 8.30
1 day 7.01 7.03 9.51
8.10
7 days 7.61 7.61 10.14 8
7.90 Min Ave
1 Month 8.04 8.03 12.30 Ave
Min
7 7.70
3 Months 8.49 8.50 13.16
7.50
6 Months 8.94 8.94 13.66 6
J M S J M S
1 5 9 13 17
1
Government Securities Market
Weekly Summary of Primary & Secondary Market Transactions
and Weighted Average Yield Rates
Item/ Week Ended WeekEnding WeekEnding Item / Week Ended WeekEnding WeekEnding
Feb 26 Feb 19 Feb 26 Feb 19
2014 2014 Secondary Market 2014 2014
Rs.Mn Rs.Mn Weighted Average After Tax After Tax
Outstanding Stock of Government Securities Yield Rates
T-bills Treasury Bills
Outstanding 801,443 808,898 Purchased
o/w, amounts held by PDs 123,378 124,100 <= 91 days 6.80% 6.70%
T-bonds Outstanding 3,016,312 3,015,791 <= 182 days 6.95% 6.90%
o/w, amounts held by PDs 28,379 26,404 <= 364 days 7.10% 7.10%
Government Securities held by Foregin Investors 493,780 493,071 Sold
Primary Issues <= 91 days 6.70% 6.60%
<= 182 days 6.85% 6.80%
Amount Offered 12,000 10,000 <= 364 days 7.00% 7.00%
Total Bids Received 40,946 40,612
Total Bids Accepted 22,656 18,897 Treasury Bonds
T-bonds Purchased
Amount Offered 3,000 0 <= 1 year 0.00% 0.00%
Total Bids Received 10,025 0 <= 2 year 7.60% 7.50%
Total Bids Accepted 3,050 0 <= 3 year 7.85% 8.00%
<= 4 year 8.90% 9.10%
Latest Primary Issues Yield Rates <= 5 year 9.00% 9.20%
T- bills <= 91 days 6.72% 6.75% <= 10 year 0.00% 0.00%
< 182 days 6.89% 6.90% <= 15 year 0.00% 0.00%
< 364 days 7.07% 7.08% >15 year 0.00% 0.00%
T- bonds Sold
<2year Last Issue 0.00% 0.00% <= 1 year 0.00% 0.00%
2year Last Issue 02/08/2012 13.62% 13.62% <= 2 year 7.50% 7.40%
3year Last Issue 12/08/2013 10.87% 10.87% <= 3 year 7.75% 7.85%
4year Last Issue 02/08/2012 14.10% 14.10% <= 4 year 8.80% 9.00%
5year Last Issue 16/01/2014 8.65% 8.65% <= 5 year 8.90% 9.05%
6year Last Issue 01/03/2013 10.97% 10.97% <= 10 year 0.00% 0.00%
10 year Last Issue 03/03/2014 10.00% 11.80% <= 15 year 0.00% 0.00%
15 year Last Issue 03/03/2014 10.76% 10.61% >15 year 0.00% 0.00%
20 year Last Issue 01/11/2013 12.13% 12.13% Secondary Market Yield
Yield (%)
Secondary Market Activities Rs.Mn Rs.Mn 11.0%
Month ago
T- bills 10.5%
10.0% week ago
Outright Transactions 26/02/2014
9.5%
Purchased 10,633 1,597
9.0%
Sold 18,780 12,405 8.5%
Repo Transactions 8.0%
Repurchase 28,991 15,280 7.5%
Reverse Repurchase 2,707 4,368 7.0%
T- bonds 6.5%
2
Buying and Selling prices of Treasury Bonds
Quoted by Primary Dealers on 26/02/2014
Treasury Bonds - Yield
Maturity Maturity Date to Average Average Curves
Bond Series Period D/M/Y Maturity Buying Yield ** Selling Yield **
(Years) Price * Price * 26/02/2014
07.00%2014A 4 01/03/2014 3 100.00 6.75 100.00 6.60
11.75%2014B 6 01/04/2014 34 100.43 6.78 100.45 6.60 Yield
06.60%2014B 4 01/06/2014 95 99.89 6.93 99.93 6.78
13.00
11.25%2014A 5 15/07/2014 139 101.57 6.97 101.62 6.82 Yield on Ave. Buying
12.00
09.00%2014A 2 01/10/2014 217 101.22 6.85 101.29 6.73
11.00
06.20%2015A 4 15/01/2015 323 99.22 7.11 99.32 7.00
11.75%2015A 6 15/03/2015 382 104.56 7.14 104.69 7.02 10.00
11.00%2015A 6 01/08/2015 521 104.78 7.41 104.97 7.27 7.00 Yield on Ave.
Selling Price
11.00%2015B 6 01/09/2015 552 104.98 7.45 105.24 7.27 6.00
1204
1555
1783
2286
3046
4081
5238
2
216
503
612
917
12.50%2015A 2 20/09/2015 571 107.45 7.35 107.62 7.24
No: of days to Maturity
08.50%2015A 3 01/11/2015 613 101.46 7.55 101.79 7.34
07.25%2016A 6 01/04/2016 765 99.45 7.53 99.64 7.44
08.00%2016B 4 01/06/2016 826 100.76 7.62 100.97 7.52
Month ago
06.40%2016A 6 01/08/2016 887 97.18 7.69 97.42 7.58 Yield
08.00%2016A 5 01/09/2016 918 100.22 7.90 100.48 7.78 11.50
11.00 Yield on Ave.
06.40%2016B 6 01/10/2016 948 96.20 8.05 96.42 7.95 Buying Price
10.50
08.00%2017A 5 01/01/2017 1040 100.01 7.99 100.25 7.89 10.00
05.80%2017A 6 15/01/2017 1054 93.98 8.18 94.34 8.03 9.50
9.00
08.00%2017B 5 15/06/2017 1205 98.48 8.53 98.93 8.37
8.50
05.80%2017B 6 15/07/2017 1235 92.11 8.53 92.42 8.42 8.00
08.50%2018A 15 01/02/2018 1436 98.74 8.88 99.04 8.79 7.50
Yield on Ave.
7.00
08.50%2018C 5 01/04/2018 1495 98.89 8.83 99.50 8.64 Selling Price
6.50
1095
1536
1764
2115
2907
4399
16
515
928
180
612
08.50%2018D 5 01/06/2018 1556 98.78 8.84 99.08 8.76
08.50%2018B 15 15/07/2018 1600 98.45 8.93 98.81 8.83 No of days to Maturity
07.50%2018A 15 15/08/2018 1631 94.85 8.92 95.14 8.84
08.00%2018A 6 15/11/2018 1723 96.27 8.98 96.76 8.85 Year ago
05.65%2019A 8 15/01/2019 1784 86.86 9.03 87.25 8.93
Yield
08.50%2019A 10 01/05/2019 1890 97.46 9.12 98.19 8.94 12
Yield on Ave. Buying
10.60%2019A 6 01/07/2019 1951 106.53 9.03 106.89 8.94 Price
11.5
08.00%2019A 8 01/11/2019 2074 94.41 9.28 95.04 9.13
08.00%2020A 8 01/06/2020 2287 92.94 9.52 93.69 9.35 11
983
39
192
345
509
844
1288
1575
1926
2154
09.00%2023A 10 01/09/2023 3474 80.69 10.20 81.40 10.07
No. of Days to Maturity
07.00%2023A 20 01/10/2023 3504 80.24 10.29 81.35 10.08
11.40%2024A 10 01/01/2024 3596 105.88 10.43 106.76 10.29
09.00%2025A 12 01/05/2025 4082 91.31 10.33 91.92 10.23
09.00%2026A 13 01/02/2026 4358 90.54 10.40 91.33 10.28
05.35%2026A 15 01/03/2026 4386 65.49 10.46 66.33 10.30
09.00%2028B 15 01/05/2028 5178 89.04 10.50 89.71 10.40
09.00%2028A 15 01/07/2028 5239 87.21 10.77 88.20 10.62
13.00%2029A 15 01/01/2029 5423 115.45 10.88 116.47 10.75
08.00%2032A 20 01/01/2032 6518 76.58 11.03 77.81 10.83
09.00%2032A 20 01/10/2032 6792 83.60 11.10 85.50 10.83
09.00%2033A 20 01/06/2033 7035 82.40 11.25 84.68 10.92
13.25%2033A 20 01/07/2033 7065 115.38 11.28 117.61 11.03
09.00%2033B 20 01/11/2033 7188 82.13 11.28 83.83 11.03
13.25%2034A 20 01/01/2034 7249 114.39 11.40 117.29 11.08
09.00%2043A 30 01/06/2043 10687 78.89 11.53 81.49 11.15
13.50%2044A 30 01/01/2044 10901 112.07 12.00 118.20 11.35
3
Money Market Activity - Volumes Week Ending Week Ago Year Ago
( Rs. Mn ) 26 Feb 2014
Inter - bank Call Money Turnover (a) 8,225 12,005 8,012
Central Bank Holdings (a)
Treasury bills 879 3,429 114,496
Repo Auction
Amount Offered (Rs. Bn) 52.00 - - -
Bids received (Rs. Bn) 45.19 - - -
Amount accepted (Rs. Bn) 45.19 - - -
Weighted Average Yield (% p.a.) 6.69 - - -
Standing Facilities (Volumes)
Standing Deposit Facility at 6.50% (Rs.Bn.) 11.02 16.30 11.76 12.36
Standing Lending Facility at 8.00% (Rs.Bn) - - - -
10
Outstanding (as at end of the period ) ( Rs.bn. ) 9.3 9.4 10.6 5
0
* provisional J M M Jy S N
(1) Based on the information provided by Licensed Commercial Banks and Licensed Specialised Banks Month
Share Market Week Ending Week Ago Year Ago Month end Daily
28 Feb 2014
6500
7000
All Share Price Index (1985 = 100) (ASPI) 5,940 5,937 5,636 6000 ASPI
5500 6000
ASPI L
5000
S & P Sri Lanka 20 Index (S&P SL20) 3,224 3,238 3,194 4500 5000
4000
4000 S&P
3500
S&P
Average Daily Turnover (Rs. Mn) 556 771 767 3000
3000
2500
2000
Market Capitalisation (Rs.Bn.) 2,481 2,479 2,165 2000
J' 12A O DF'13A J A O 1 5 9 13 17 21
Month
The All Share Price Index increased by 3 index points and the S & P Sri Lanka 20 Price index decreased by 14
index points.The Average Daily Turnover has decreased by Rs.215 mn.
4
2013 (a)
Money Supply Month Ago Year Ago
December MONEY SUPPLY M1
Annual Changes
M1 (Rs. bn.) 484.6 454.4 450.0
%
M2 (Rs. bn.) 3,058.8 2,997.7 2,593.2
2012
M2b (Rs. bn.) 3,417.9 3,363.1 2,929.1 13.5
Net Foreign Assets of the Banking System (Rs. bn.) (b) -76.3 -63.6 -25.8 8.5
Domestic Banking Units (DBUs) (Rs. bn.) -231.2 -197.4 -121.9 -1.5
2013
Foreign currency Banking Units (FCBUs) (Rs. bn.) -374.3 -346.1 -300.4
-6.5
J F M A M J Jy A S O N D
Net Domestic Assets of the Banking System (Rs. bn) (b) 3,494.2 3,426.7 2,954.9
DBUs (Rs. bn.) 2,996.5 2,947.5 2,541.5
FCBUs (Rs. bn.) 497.7 479.2 413.4 Month
16
M1 7.7 5.7 2.6 J F M A M J Jy A S O N D
550
2013 2012
500
450
Weekly change in Reserve Money 26 Feb 2014 Week ago Change 400
F/2
O/4
D/1
A/3
Jy/1
A/2
J/1
M/3
M/4
S/3
5
Pettah Market RRs/Kg Rice - Kekulu
82
Week Ending Week Ago Month Year Ago 72 2013 2012
Average Wholesale Prices 62
26/02/2014 Ago Annual Ave. 52
Rice (Rs/Kg) 42
32
Samba 71.50 70.50 70.20 66.57 J/1 F/2 M/3 A/4 J/1 Jy/2 A/3 S/4 N/1 D/2
F/2
S/4
J/1
M/3
A/3
N/1
A/4
J/1
Jy/2
D/2
Potatoes (N'Eliya) 90.00 110.00 110.00 117.31 Week
Dried Chilies (Imported) 220.00 220.00 220.00 219.71
Dhal (Indian) 160.00 160.00 144.00 148.85 Rs/Kg Potatoes
170.00
Eggs (Red) (Each) 14.00 13.00 14.00 13.89 150.00 2013 2012
130.00
Coconut (Each) 50.00 50.00 50.00 43.98 110.00
Fish (Rs/Kg) * 90.00
70.00
Kelawalla 430.00 490.00 602.00 477.31 50.00 2009
F/2
S/4
J/1
M/3
A/4
J/1
N/1
Jy/2
A/3
D/2
Balaya 270.00 300.00 302.00 341.76
Week
Salaya 110.00 100.00 138.00 179.04
Paraw (Small) 420.00 420.00 524.00 505.60 Rs/Kg Kelawalla
650
* Prices collected from the Fisheries Trade Centre, Peliyagoda. 550
450
350
Marandagahamula 250
2013 2012
Average Wholesale Price of Rice M/3
A/4
A/3
N/1
J/1
D/2
F/2
J/1
Jy/2
S/4
Rs/Kg Week
Week Ending Week Ago Month Ago Year Ago
Item
28/02/2014 Avg Narahenpita Economic Centre (Rs/Kg.)
Samba 63.50 65.78 69.05 62.64 Retail Prices
Sudu Kekulu 60.50 61.25 59.29 52.03 Average
Item
Raw Red 56.65 55.50 52.37 49.55 26/02/2014 Week Ago
Nadu 62.28 62.00 60.70 53.71 Rice
Samba 75.33 75.67
Dambulla Market Kekulu (Red) 58.00 60.00
Week Ending - 27/02/2014 (Rs/Kg) Beans 80.00 90.00
Wholesale Retail Cabbage 80.00 73.33
Food Item
(Average) (Average) Carrots 106.67 120.00
Rice Tomatoes 80.00 93.33
Samba 73.00 75.80 Pumpkins 80.00 60.00
Kekulu (Red) 58.10 61.70 Snake Gourd 113.33 86.67
Vegetables Brinjals 93.33 83.33
Pumpkins 25.70 43.50 Ash-Plantains 100.00 100.00
Snake Gourd 22.30 42.50 Red-Onions (Imported) 113.33 106.67
Ash-Plantains 37.00 58.50 Big-Onions (Imported) 60.00 60.00
Beans 43.50 69.00 Potatoes (Imported) 70.00 70.00
Carrots 50.50 78.50 Dried Chilies (Imported) 220.00 220.00
Tomatoes 30.00 57.00 Dhal (Indian) 163.33 163.33
Other Foods Eggs (Red)(Each) 13.50 12.50
Potatoes (N'Eliya) 72.30 90.00 Coconut (Each) 48.33 48.33
Dried Chilies(Imported) 194.00 240.00 Fish
Big-Onions (Local) n.a n.a Kelawalla 570.00 560.00
Red-Onions (Local) 46.00 66.00 Balaya 370.00 n.a.
Coconut (Each) 32.80 40.90 Salaya 93.33 90.00
Paraw (Small) 560.00 680.00
6
Price Indices February Month Ago Year Ago
2014 PRICE CHANGES (CCPI )
Colombo Consumers' Price Index (CCPI ) Annual Average
12.0
(2006 / 07 = 100) 177.8 177.5 170.7
2013
Annual Average Change % 6.0 6.5 8.6 10.0
Year - on - Year Change % 4.2 4.4 9.8
8.0
* Provisional
Jy
Jy
Jy
10/J
11/J
12/J
13/J
(a) Provisional (b) Non-executive officers and minor employees Months
7
Agriculture Production 2013* 2012 % Change
Jan - Dec Jan - Dec AGRICULTURAL
Mn.Kg. PRODUCTION-Tea
Tea (Mn Kg) 338.3 328.4 3.0
350
300
Rubber (Mn Kg) 130.4 151.8 -14.1 250
200 2013
* Provisional
(a) IPI based on ISIC Revision 4 Classification
Total revenue & Grants increased by 1.2 per cent compared to the period of Jan - Sep 2012.
Total expenditure increased by 1.4 per cent compared to the period of Jan - Sep 2012.
2013 * Month Year Rs. bn GOVERNMENT DEBT
Government Debt 4000
End Sep ago ago 3600
Total domestic debt Rs bn 3,828.8 3,835.6 3,280.4 3200
of which 2800
Treasury bills 719.0 771.4 626.8 2400
1200
800
Total foreign debt Rs bn 2,971.6 2,948.4 2,887.9
400
0
Total outstanding govt. debt Rs bn 6,800.4 6,784.0 6,168.4
* Provisional
Total outstanding government debt increased by 13.3 per cent compared to end December 2012.
8
Rs.bn
External Finance 2013 (a) 2012 % Change EXTERNAL ASSETS
1300
End Nov End Dec
1200 Total
External Assets 1100
Total Reserves (b) US$ Bn 8.3 8.4 -0.9 1000
Rs Bn 1,086.7 1,062.8 2.2 900
800
Gross Official Reserves (b) US$ Bn 6.9 6.9 0.0 700
Rs Bn 902.6 874.6 3.2 Gross Official
600
2013 (a) 2012 % Change 500
Workers' Remittances (c) December December
Month
Inflows US$ Bn 0.6 0.6 15.0
Rs Bn 83.2 71.0 17.3
2013 (a) 2012 % Change PRIVATE REMITTANCES -Inflows
Workers' Remittances Jan - Sep Jan - Sep US$.mn
9
Industrial Exports 2013 2012 % Change
Jan - Dec Jan - Dec
Total Industrial Exports Rs.Bn 1,000.72 938.76 6.6
Food, Beverages and Tobacco 30.43 36.33 -16.2 INDUSTRIAL EXPORTS
US$ Mn.
Textiles and Apparel 583.05 508.61 14.6 (Cumulative)
8,000
Petroleum Products 55.13 58.90 -6.4
7,000
Leather, Rubber etc 124.75 116.54 7.0 6,000
2012
Total Imports
Value 140.5 124.7 171.7 88
Quantity 131.9 116.1 124.2
Unit Value 106.5 107.4 138.2 2012
68
Terms of Trade 111.0 82.1 78.0 J F M A M J Jy A S O N D
* In US$ Terms Month
** Provisional
Tourism 2013* 2012 % Change '000 TOURIST ARRIVALS
Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Cumulative
1000
Tourist Arrivals 1,274,593 1,005,605 26.7 800 2013
600
400
2012
200
Earnings from Tourism US$ Bn 1.4 1.0 35.0 0
J F M A M J Jy A S O N D
Rs.Bn. 181.2 132.4 36.8 M
* Provisional Month
12,000 2012
2013
9,000
J F M A M J Jy A S O N D
M
Month
10
Average Crude Oil Prices
Month 2013 2014
Spot Prices Spot Prices
Brent CPC Import Brent WTI CPC Import
WTI (Benchmark
(Benchmark Prices (C&F) (Benchmark (Benchmark Prices (C&F)
price)
price) (US$/bbl)(*) price) price) (US$/bbl)(*)
(US $/bbl) (US $/bbl) (US $/bbl) (US $/bbl)
January 113.95 94.76 111.22 109.21 94.71 112.75 Crude Oil Prices
February 117.39 95.32 111.16
March 109.63 92.94 106.57 Brent
130
April 103.40 92.02 111.17
110
May 103.04 94.51 108.91
90
June 103.16 95.77 103.69
July 108.62 104.51 - 70
Sep-12
Sep-11
Sep-13
Jan-11
Mar-11
Jul-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
May-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
Jul-13
Nov-13
May-11
Mar-12
Jul-12
Nov-12
May-13
October 109.88 100.54 -
November 108.10 93.77 110.39
December 111.37 97.62 112.13 Month/Date
(*) CPC import prices are not directly comparable with spot prices of WTI and Brent as, CPC is import prices
include freight charges and the price is weighted for average prices of different types of crude oil.Also, Part of
the imports of CPC are on a term contract basis.
1Q 10
2Q 10
2Q 11
3Q 11
1Q 13
2Q 13
3Q 09
4Q 09
3Q 10
4Q 10
1Q 11
2Q 12
3Q 12
4Q 12
11