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the two-headed penny or a normal penny? Chance of the two-headed penny: 1/100.
Chance of getting a normal penny and flipping seven heads 99/100 * 1/128. You have
a higher chance of having the two-headed penny.
I am thinking of a number that does not contain the digit 1. The product of the digits is 96.
What is the smallest possible number in my mind? How about the largest? 96 is 2^5 * 3.
Largest is 322222. You can group three 2s together and another 2 and 3 together into
8 and 6, respectively. There is one last 2 left, so you make the smallest number with 8,
6, and 2, which is 268.
Player 1 chooses a number, then player 2 chooses a different one. 2 dice are tossed, and
whoever is closer to the sum wins. Would you be P1 or P2? What number do you choose?
Be player 1, since the best choice is the number 7.
You roll a die, and I give you that number in dollars. You can accept at any time but have a
max of 3 rolls and must accept the third. How do you maximize your return? Expected
value of 3rd roll is 3.5. So pick second die if 4, 5, or 6. Expected value of 2nd and 3rd
rolls is ((4 + 5 + 6)/3 + 3.5)/2 = 4.25, so pick 5 or 6 for 1st roll.
What is the expected value to you of the following game? You and another person have 3
coins each. You both flip all of your coins and if your three coins show the same number of
tails as the other person, you pay the $2, otherwise they pay you $1. Probability that you
lose is (1/8)^2 + (1/8)^2 + (3/8)^2 + (3/8)^2 = 20/64 = 5/16. (-2)*(5/16) + (11/16) = 1/16.
You have 2/3 chance of hitting a target. What is the chance of hitting it if you fire twice? 1
no hits = 1 (1/3)(1/3) = 8/9.
You see that the target has been hit. What is the chance that you hit it twice? Probability
both hit / probability you hit at all = (4/9) / (8/9) = 1/2.
There are 99 lions and 1 sheep on an island. Lions want to eat sheep but also want to stay
alive. When a lion eats a sheep, it turns into a sheep. How many lions and sheep left are left
after a period of time? (Lions can survive on other foods on the island, sheep cannot escape
lions, and all creatures are rational) If there were 2 lions, and 1 sheep, the lions wouldnt
eat because the other lion would eat the transformed lion. However if there were 3
lions, the 3rd lion would eat the sheep knowing the previous fact. Continue and notice
that odd lions eat and even ones dont. So the long-term expected numbers of lions
and sheep are 98 and 1, respectively.
You roll two dice. What is the probability of rolling a 3 total before rolling a 7 total?
Probability of 3 is 1/18. Probability of 7 is 1/6. 1 1/18 1/6 = 7/9. P = (1/18) + (7/9)P, P
= 1/4.
What is the probability that when you arrange 5 people in a round table, they are in
increasing age order (clockwise or anti-clockwise)? 2 possible arrangements (increasing
or decreasing), 5 starting positions, 5! combinations. 2*5/5! = 10/120 = 1/12.
If a 5x5x5 Rubiks cube is sitting on a desk, exactly how many cubes have only one side
touching the air? 9 * 5 = 45.
If you have a deck of cards split into 4 piles and was offered 1:1 odds to draw a face card (J
Q K A) from at least one of the piles, would you take the game? Why or why not? Dont
draw a card from any pile = 1 (36/52)(35/51)(34/50)(33/49) . If its greater than 0.5,
take the game.
If the chance of you seeing a shooting star outside within one hour is 84 percent, what is the
chance of you seeing at least one shooting star outside in 30 minutes? Shooting stars
follow a Poisson distribution with parameter lambda, and not seeing a shooting star
in one hour has probability 16%. 0.16 = exp(-lambda), lambda / 2 (because of half an
hour) = - ln (0.4) = 0.92. So 1 - exp(-0.92) = 60% chance of seeing a shooting star in 30
minutes.
If I roll a dice and pay you the amount showing, how much would you pay to play? EV of
dice = $3.50
If you are given the choice to re-roll after the initial roll, making the initial result null, and you
are paid based on the second roll. How much would you pay to play? First roll is worth
$3.50, so you would only roll second if first roll was not a 4, 5, or 6. So the second roll
is worth $5. 0.5 * 3.5 + 0.5 * 5 = $4.25
Three rolls? First roll is worth $3.50. Second roll is worth $5. First two rolls are worth
$4.25, so you would only keep first roll if you get a 5 or a 6. 1/3 * 5.5 + 1/3 * 5 + 1/3 * 3.5
= $4.67
Given a chart with different poker tournaments with different entry fees, reward pots, and
probabilities to win, explain how you would gauge the risk against potential profits.
Given a bunch of balls of different weights and a scale, and all the balls look identical but
one weighs different, give the minimum number of tries with the scale to find the heavy ball.
Weight half at a time. Answer is the power of 2 that the number of balls is closest to.
A family has 2 kids. If you have seen 1 girl, what is the probability that the other kid is a boy?
After seeing one girl, the possible combinations are girl-boy, boy-girl, and girl-girl.
Therefore the probability that the other kid is a boy is 2/3.
If you flip a coin until you decide to stop and you want to maximize the ratio of heads to total
flips, what is that expected ratio? 50% chance of 1:1 ratio initially (flip heads first),
because then you would stop. If you start with a tail, you would keep flipping until you
have a 1:2 ratio (50% heads). Therefore your expected ratio is 3:4.
Find the heavier ball of the given 12 pool balls using a weight balance that can be used just
3 times. Weight 6 vs. 6, then 3 vs. 3, then 1 vs. 1.
Two people take turns counting to 50. Each person can add from 1 to 10 to the total sum.
The first to count the number 50 wins. What is your strategy? Do you want to go first? You
want to start first and hit checkpoint numbers 6, 17, 28, and 39.
You have five pirates, ranked from 5 to 1 in descending order. The top pirate has the right to
propose how 100 gold coins should be divided among them .But the others get to vote on
his plan, and if fewer than half agree with him, he gets killed. How will the coins end up
being divided, assuming all the pirates are rational and want to end up alive?
You have 8 marbles and they all are identical looking in size, color, and shape. One marble
weighs more than the other 7. You have a balance and can use it twice. How would you find
out which marble is the heavy one? Weight 3 and 3. If the same, then weight the other
two to find heavier one. If different, take 2 out of the heavier 3 and weight them to find
the heavier one.
9: 4/36 = 1/9
10: 3/36 = 1/12
11: 2/36 = 1/18
12: 1/36
Squares
1: 1
2: 4
3: 9
4: 16
5: 25
6: 36
7: 49
8: 64
9: 81
10: 100
11: 121
12: 144
13: 169
14: 196
15: 225
16: 256
17: 289
18: 324
19: 361
20: 400
Bayes theorem
P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A) / P(B)