You are on page 1of 8

RESEARCHES WITH RESPECT TO THE

FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION OF THE


BEHAVIORAL EVENTS ASSOCIATED TO
THE COMPONENT PARTS OF A
TRANSVERSE HYDROTECHNICAL WORK

I.C. PETRIŢAN1 I. CLINCIU1

Abstract: The paper includes the manner of classification of the


behavioural events associated to the component parts of a transverse
hydrotechnical work, as well as the statistic study upon the distribution of
these events. There could be enhanced the existence of a cluster of 7
behavioral events, associated to the 20 component parts of a transverse work,
as well as the flexible character of three theoretical distributions (normal,
Charlier type A and Beta) used in fitting the experimental distribution.

Key words: transverse hydrotechnical work, frequency of the behavioral


events, fitting of the distribution.

1. Introduction lack of a coherent system of scientific


knowledge, that should substantiate the
The promotion of a multifunctional, mentioned actions, insofar as the
sustainable and competitive forest damages/disfunctionalities noted at the
management, in the context of preventing works on the arranged network of the
the environment deterioration through drained hydrographical basins, have, as the
anatropous activities, implies the floods which bring them about, a powerful
monitoring of the organized drained basins probabilistic character [2].
in the forest zone of the country, the Therefore we consider that only a
maintenance of the works carried out substantially organized scientific research
within these basins, the restoration of the deeply anchored in the concepts and in the
works damaged by the torrential floods and methods of the mathematical statistics may
the reassurance of the systems they belong lead to the genuine knowledge upon the
to [6]. damages/disfunctionalities noted during
Unfortunately, there has been persisting – the exploitation period of the torrent
even nowadays – a deficit of preoccupation organization works, only this way the
in this respect, and this situation occurs not future interventions on emergencies may
only because of the lack of interest of the be set as priorities, and only this way there
forest units towards this issue, or because may be opened the path towards the
of the lack of allotment of the necessary conceptual re-thinking, towards the
financial resources, but also because of the
11
Dept. of Forest Management, Transilvania University of Brasov.
2 xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

completion and the perfection of the strike of the of the bank by the water
current technical standards and norms [3]. current, erosion (± land slip ± bank slide)
of the bank in the areas of incaster. In this
2. Material and research method category there were also included some
deficiencies caused by the execution or by
The present work attempts such an the design, such as the accomplishment
approach starting from the experimental only in part of several parts of the works
data accumulated during the period 2002- (especially incaster, wings), unfulfilment
2004, on the occasion of accomplishing the of some earth fills (in the area body-wall
research project “Didactical-experimental guard-spur terminal–bank) or the lack of
valences, the behavior in exploitation and observance of the solutions in the project
the effects of the works of arranging the as regards the nature or the quality of
torrential hydrographical network within certain materials or of certain constructive
the superior basin of Tărlung (upstream dimensions (for instance in the case of the
the accumulation Săcele)” (grant CNCSIS- metallic grid from the unique barrage type
type A; director: prof. dr. eng. Ioan rake on the Tărlungului Valley).
Clinciu). There is to be noted that the mentioned
For every one of the 100 transverse behavioral events, in the ground phase of
works existing on the arranged torrential the researches, were in all cases associated
network in the superior basin of Tărlung, to the component parts of the works. In the
there were recorded on a typeset slip the framework of this association, there were
damages and the disfunctionalities considered as distinct behavioral events,
appeared during the functioning period of both those detected within the same
the works, since their execution up to the component part, but which differ through
unfolding of the terrain phase of the their nature (rifts, breakage etc.), and those
research. (year 2003) [4]. which are of the same nature but which
Within the category „damages” were detected at different component parts
there were included the following (weathering at the body of the barrage,
behavioral events: rifts, breakage, driving, weathering at the guard wall etc.).
deformations, degradations, weathering, With the data referring to these
decaster, infiltrations, undermining of the events, centralized upon torrential valleys,
work body, undermining of the apron, there could be made the frequency
suffusion. distribution of the transverse
Within the category of the hydrotechnical works on the torrential
disfunctionalities, there were included: network from the superior basin of
obstruction of the spillway, obstruction of Tărlung, the study variable being the
the energy dissipation teeth, clogging of number of behavioral events recorded
the apron/alluvial deposit canal ± debris ± during the functioning of the works.
vegetation, uncontrolled installation of the The histogram of the experimental
forest vegetation upstream/downstream the distribution of the number of behavioral
works or even in the execution and events associated to the component parts of
functioning area of the works, the a transverse hydrotechnical work is the one
unfulfilment of the atteration, the washing presented in figure 1.
of the atteration, the exceeding of the From the analysis of this
atteration slope, consequently the burial of histogram, there may be noted that:
certain parts of the works, the deepening of - 5 of the 100 works were affected by no
the bed downstream the work, the frontal behavioural event, whereas other 5 works
Bulletin of the Transilvania University of Braşov • Vol. 13(48) - 2006 3

were affected by a single behavioural ...


event; - for a single work, there could be detected
- for other 4 works, there were noted two 16 and respectively 17 behavioural events.
behavioural events;

12

10

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Fig. 1. Histogram of the experimental distribution of the number of behavioral events


recorded during the works of organization of the torrential hydrographical network from
the superior basin of Tărlung
In the case of all study variants,
3. Results and discussions there were calculated and analyzed the
values of the main statistic indicators and
The data resulting following the there were carried out fittings of the
researches show that, at the works of frequencies of the behavioral events
arrangement of the torrential identified according to three of the most
hydrographical network on Tărlungului known theoretical distributions (normal,
Valley, during their exploitation, there Charlier type A and Beta) (see details in
could be recorded a high variability as [1]).
regards the apparition and the
manifestation of the behavioral events. 3.1. The main statistic indicators of the
There could be noted differences, both distribution of the number of recorded
from one experimental valley to the other, behavioral events
and from one transverse work to another,
within the same torrential valley. There were determined and analyzed, for
In order to detect the laws that rule all 5 study variants, the following statistic
upon the phenomenon, the frequency indicators of the experimental distribution:
distribution that had been found was the arithmetical average, the standard
searched both in the variant of non- deviation, the variation coefficient,
grouping the frequencies upon the classes, the non-homogeneity coefficient, the
and in the 4 variants of grouping the asymmetry index, the excess index.
frequencies upon class intervals.
4 xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

The obtained results are centralized in Table 1


table 1.
The values of the main statistic indicators of the distribution under research

Study variant
N I II III IV V
r.cr Statistic indicator Non- Frequencies grouped on classes
t. grouped
h=2 h=3 h=4 h=5
frequencies
1 Arithmetical average 6.94 7.40 7.03 6.52 6.90
2 Standard deviation 4.289 4.292 4.273 4.320 4.490
3 Variation coefficient 61.8 57.9 60.8 66.3 65.1
4 Homogeneity coefficient 0.21 0.11 0.19 0.29 0.27
Asymmetry A 0.299 0.307 0.350 0.307 0.453
5
index A / sA 1.24 1.28 1.49 1.28 1.88
E - 0.87 - 0.91 - 0.89 - 0.85 - 0.81
6 Excess index
E / sE 1.83 1.89 1.84 1.77 1.69
Note: h signifies the value of the class interval

On the basis of these data, there 3.2. Fitting of the frequency distribution
may be noted the following: of the number of recorded behavioral
- during the exploitation period of the 100 events
works under research, there were recorded,
on average, a cluster of 7 behavioral events Furthermore, there was
associated to the 20 component parts of a investigated the possibility of fitting the
transverse work; frequency distribution of the number of
- the standard deviation is of 4 behavioral behavioral events recorded after 3 of the
events and the variation coefficient is of most known theoretical distributions:
about 60 %, which proves that, for the case normal distribution, Charlier distribution
under study, the distribution of the type A, and beta distribution. Starting from
behavioral events is strongly non- the file of experimental frequencies and
homogeneous [5]; using the software Statistica 7.1 [7], there
- this distribution asserts itself through were determined the frequencies for all 5
positive asymmetry (left-handed) and variants of data grouping upon classes and
negative excess (platicurtic curve); the for all mentioned 3 distributions (fig. 2).
values of these two indicators are however
not significant from the statistic point of
view;
- following the frequency grouping upon
classes, the values of none of the statistic
indicators suffered essential modifications.
Bulletin of the Transilvania University of Braşov • Vol. 13(48) - 2006 5

II.
I.
12 25
10 20
8
15
6

ni
ni

10 c
4
2 5

0 0
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 0 3 6 9 12 15 18

xi xi
I

IV.
III.
35 40
30
25 30
20
ni

20
15
ni

10
10
5
0 0
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 0 3 6 9 12 15 18

xi xi

Legend:

50 V. The experimental distribution is


represented by the thinned continuous
40
line, the normal distribution by the
30
thicked continuous line, the Charlier
ni

20 distribution type A by the thinned


10 interrupted line and the Beta distribution
0 by the thicked interrupted line; xi- the
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 number of recorded behavioral events, ni-
the frequency of the recorded behavioral
xi
events (both experimental and theoretical
values).

Fig. 2. Searched experimental distribution and its fitting according to three theoretical
distributions, both in the variant of non-grouping of the frequencies upon classes (I), and
in the four variants of grouping the frequencies upon classes (II…V).
Starting from the file of determined the frequencies for all 5
experimental frequencies and using the variants of data grouping upon classes and
software Statistica 7.1 [7], there were for all mentioned 3 distributions (fig. 2).
6 xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

For each case in part, there was number of classes, and also the number of
subsequently resorted to the application of parameters of the theoretical distribution (a
2 single one in the case of the normal
the fitting test χ , test on whose basis there
could be decided to what extent there is a distribution and of the Charlier distribution
concordance between the file of type A and two in the case of the Beta
experimental frequencies, on one hand, distribution). Therefore, the value χ2 was
and the file of theoretical frequencies, on separately specified for the normal and
the other hand. Charlier distribution type A and separately
In settling the degrees of liberty, for the Beta distribution.
there was taken into consideration the

Table 2
2
Values of the test χ , for the distributions and variants under study

Variant Experimental value of the test Degrees of liberty Theoretical value of


χ2 for the distribution: for the distribution: the test χ2 for the
distribution:
Normal Charlier- Beta Normal Beta Normal Beta
type A and and
Charlier- Charlier-
type A type A
I 12.95 9.91 8.65 16 15 26.29 24.9
II 9.22 3.49 3.38 7 6 14.06 12.59
III 10.13 5.45 11.01 4 3 9.48 7.8
IV 6.30 0.78 3.21 3 2 7.81 5.99
V 6.72 1.72 2.75 2 1 5.99 3.84
Variant III: the experimental
On the basis of the data in table 2, there distribution is successfully fitted only after
could be formulated the following Charlier.
conclusions: Variant IV: the experimental
Variant I: the experimental distribution is successfully fitted after all 3
distribution is successfully fitted after all 3 theoretical distributions, this time being the
theoretical distributions, the best quality of Charlier distribution –type A the one which
the fitting being offered by the Beta offers the best quality of the fitting,
distribution, followed by the Charlier followed by the Beta distribution and by
distribution- type A and by the normal one. the normal one.
Variant II: the experimental Variant V: the experimental
distribution is successfully fitted after all 3 distribution is successfully fitted only after
theoretical distributions, the best quality of Charlier and Beta, the first ensuring a
the fitting being likewise offered by the better quality of the fitting.
Beta distribution, followed by the Charlier This way, Charlier distribution-
distribution- type A and by the normal one; type A successfully fits the experimental
the quality of the fitting offered by the first frequencies in all 5 cases, Beta distribution
in 4 of 5 cases, and the normal distribution
two theoretical distributions being in 3 of 5 cases. We could say that the
obviously better. normality of the frequency distribution is
Bulletin of the Transilvania University of Braşov • Vol. 13(48) - 2006 7

statistically proved. At the same time, there non-homogeneity, the values of the
was enhanced the fact that through raising asymmetry and excess indices remained
the class interval, the frequency insignificant. Following the frequency
distribution of the number of recorded grouping upon classes, the values of none
behavioral events goes off normality of the statistic indicators suffered essential
(excepting variant 4). modifications.
Comparing, from the point of view At the same time, there was
of fitting quality, the distributions Beta and studied the behavior of the initial
Charlier-type A (recognized through their distribution and of the four variants of
flexibility), we could note that the first grouping upon frequency classes during
occupies the first place for the variants I the action of fitting according to three
and II (which means for the frequencies theoretical distributions (normal, Charlier
which are not grouped upon classes or for type A and Beta). As regards this aspect,
the variant with the smallest class interval), there was proved that the distribution
whereas for higher values of the class Charlier-type A successfully fits the
interval, on the first place there is situated experimental frequencies in all 5 cases,
the distribution Charlier-type A. Beta distribution in 4 of 5 cases, and the
normal distribution in 3 of 5 cases.
4. Conclusions Additionally, there was enhanced the fact
that through raising the class interval, the
The probabilistic character of the frequency distribution of the number of
apparition of the recorded behavioral events goes off
damages/disfunctionalities noted at the normality (excepting the variant 4).
works on the organized network of the Eventually, through carrying out a
drained hydrographical basins allowed us comparative study of the distributions Beta
to use the instruments specific for the and Charlier-type A (recognized through
statistic-mathematical analysis in their flexibility), from the point of view of
constituting and studying the distribution the fitting quality, we noted that the first
of the recorded behavioral events in view occupies the first place for the variant with
of detecting and characterizing the laws frequencies non-grouped upon classes, or
that rule upon the presented phenomenon. for the variant with the smallest class
On the basis of the information interval, while at higher values of the class
offered by the values of the statistic interval, the first place is held by the
indicators used in characterizing the distribution Charlier-type A.
studied distribution, indicators determined
both for the non-grouping variant, and for References
other four variants of grouping the values
upon frequency classes, there could be 1. Chiţea, Gh.: Biostatistică forestieră
enhanced the existence, during the [Forest Biostatistics]. Transilvania
exploitation period of the 100 works under University of Braşov, 2001.
research, of a cluster of 7 behavioral events 2. Clinciu, I., Lazăr, N.: Bazele
associated to the 20 component parts of a amenajării torenţilor [Bases of Torrent
transverse work, as well as the strongly Fitting]. Lux Libris Publishing house,
non-homogeneous character of the Braşov, 1999.
distribution of the behavioral events, a 3. Clinciu, I.: Corectarea torenţilor [Torrent
character grasped by the high values of the Correction]. Transilvania University of
variation coefficients. Despite this strong Braşov, 2001.
8 xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

4. Clinciu, I., Chiţea, Gh., Păcurar V.D., et bazinelor hidrografice torenţiale prin
al.: Didactical-experimental valences, the lucrări silvice şi hidrotehnice (vol.I)
behavior in exploitation and the effects of [Fitting of the Drained Basins through
the works of arranging the torrential Forest and Hydrotechnical Works].
hydrographical network within the Publishing house of the Romanian
superior basin of Tărlung (upstream the Academy, Bucharesti, 1991.
accumulation Săcele). In: Revista de 7. StatSoft, Inc. 2005 STATISTICA für
Politica Ştiinţei şi Scientometrie Windows [Software-System für
[Magazine of Science Policy and Datenanalyse] Version 7.1.
Scientometry] (2005) special number. http://www.statsoft.com.
5. Giurgiu, V.: Metode ale statisticii
matematice aplicate în silvicultură
[Methods of Mathematical Statistics
Applied in Forestry]. Ceres Publishing
house, Bucharest, 1972.
6. Munteanu, S.A., Traci, C., Clinciu, I.,
Lazăr, N., Untaru, E. :Amenajarea
Cercetări privind distribuţia de frecvenţă a evenimentelor
comportamentale asociate părţilor componente ale unei lucrări
hidrotehnice transversale
Rezumat: Lucrarea include modul de clasificare al evenimentelor
comportamentale asociate părţilor componente ale unei lucrări hidrotehnice
transversale, precum şi studiul statistic al distribuţiei acestor evenimente. S-
au putut pune în evidenţă existenţa a câte 7 evenimente comportamentale
asociate celor 20 de părţi alcătuitoare ale unei lucrări transversale, precum
şi caracterul flexibil a trei distribuţii teoretice (normala, Charlier tip A şi
Beta) folosite în ajustarea distribuţiei experimentale.

Cuvinte cheie: lucrare hidrotehnică transversală, frecvenţa evenimentelor


comportamentale, ajustarea distribuţiei.

You might also like