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breakthroughs, but in addition, pressing issues like Alzheimers are not being addressed adequately. Thiels article is echoed by many, including Steve Denning, on the many obstacles that innovators face in major corporations. Innovation is often perceived as a costly risk and not as a valuable opportunity. Of course, real progress is hard to measure. One is tempted however to add some varied examples of buried hopes. What has become of the Jarvik heart and other artificial organs? What is really new in the fusion technologies? Where are the small lightweight batteries to power future cars? Some fading hopes also take strange turns pointing to strategic insecurities. A few months ago the last flight of the Columbia space shuttle manned space flights for NASA ended, at least for now. Nevertheless, some weeks later NASA started hiring 55 new astronauts. Maybe one of those astronauts will join colleagues from China, the only country with a long term agenda in space currently. Fukuyamas book received wide attention and inspired a heated debate nearly twenty years ago. This can hardly be said for the debate on innovation. As indicated, innovation and progress are difficult to measure; Innovation is also a marketing term and companies assess themselves so that even minor advancements may qualify for this term and enter official statistics. This lack of public discussion is worrying. The reaction of the Western World to Chinas first outpost in space was neither a new Sputnik shock nor a hearty welcome to co-ordinate this program with the ones of the West. The formulation of such an offer to co-operate would have revealed that the West has in fact not much to contribute anymore. Of course, as far as technological details are concerned, Western companies are still in a leading position, however, when it comes to the core of the program, in its vision and most of its hardware, China will lead. The East may realize one day the fading hope of the West to conquer space. Space is not the only area in which China pushes long term programs. A young nation with a growing and ever younger population looks into the future. The much older and shrinking populations, especially of Europe, seem to look back on their glorious history. China wants to advance; the West wants to hold on to what it has. With this background it would not be accidental that many innovations in the West are from the entertainment industries.
Why Are There No Successful Innovation Initiatives? (Steve Denning) www.managing-essentials.com/1bm Fukuyama, F. (1992): The end of history. New York: Free Press. The End of the Future (Peter Thiel) www.managing-essentials.com/1bn