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04 December 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued ....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Over
Valued ......................................................................6
Automobiles & Parts
Over Valued .........................................................................................6
Banks
Under Valued ...................................................................................6
Beverages
Under Valued ..................................................................................7
Chemicals
Under Valued ......................................7
Construction - Building Materials & Fittings
Construction - Heavy Construction

Over Valued ..................................................7


Under Valued ..................................................7

Construction Home Construction


Under Valued ..................................................8
Electronics & Electrical Equipment
Under Valued ...............................................................8
Engineering & Machinery
Over
Valued .......................................................................8
Food & Drug Stores
Over Valued ........................................................8
Food Producers & Processors
Under Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Health
Under Valued ..........................................................9
Household Goods & Textiles
Over Valued ...............................................9
Information Technology & Hardware
Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Under Valued .................................................................... 10
Life Assurance
Under Valued ................................................................ 11
Media & Entertainment
Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Over Valued .......................................... 12
Personal Care & Household Products
Under Valued ................................................ 12
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
Under
Valued
Real Estate - REIT
...................................................................... 12
Under
Valued
Real Estate REIS
..................................................................... 13
Under
Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Under Valued .......................................................... 13
Speciality & Other Finance
Under
Valued ..................................................................... 14
Support Services
Over Valued ....................................................... 15
Telecommunication Services
Over Valued ................................................................................... 15
Transport
Under
Valued ....................................................................................... 15
Utilities
DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

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04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided
solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares
and other equity investments, you must contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may
not be suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as
rise and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target price


based upon 49
valuation metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVON RUBBER

574.50

351.00

586.50

Neutral

Sell

474

0.62

BAE SYSTEMS

416.30

327.40

468.00

Neutral

Buy

571

0.59

CHEMRING GROUP

205.90

187.00

321.10

Neutral

Buy

300

0.48

COBHAM

259.90

209.60

307.70

Neutral

Neutral

268

0.81

MEGGITT

476.90

382.30

572.50

Neutral

Neutral

466

1.09

QINETIQ GROUP

211.80

179.00

217.50

Neutral

Sell

129

0.53

1200.00

844.17

1247.00

Neutral

Buy

1424

0.98

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS
SENIOR

Target

Beta

283.00

194.20

300.00

Neutral

Sell

251

1.47

SMITHS GROUP

1348.00

1107.00

1455.00

Neutral

Neutral

1372

0.62

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1754.00

1571.00

1981.00

Neutral

Sell

1576

0.41

Over Valued

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

367.00

222.10

383.60

Neutral

Sell

Target
-1160

Beta
1.79

INCHCAPE

580.50

428.80

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2263

1.34

LOOKERS

120.75

73.00

131.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

501

1.09

PENDRAGON

36.00

14.50

39.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

195

0.77

TOROTRAK

20.00

20.00

35.50

Neutral

Sell

0.70

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

266.20

225.21

308.39

Neutral

Sell

-658

1.86

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

668.40

636.20

769.90

Neutral

Buy

813

1.32

78.00

45.96

80.37

Sell

Sell

1.86

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

331.00

266.10

384.90

Neutral

Sell

-120

1.31

STANDARD CHARTERED

1431.00

1395.00

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3262

1.69

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BARR (AG)

544.00

475.10

588.50

Neutral

Sell

435

0.63

BRITVIC

673.00

386.00

679.00

Sell

Buy

881

0.82

DIAGEO

1908.50

1787.00

2136.50

Neutral

Buy

2313

0.58

SABMILLER

3070.50

2780.00

3657.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5175

0.91

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

04 December 2013
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Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

340.80

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3351

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

263.50

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

1.04

CARCLO

280.00

269.25

501.00

Neutral

Sell

103

0.62

2301.00

2251.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3136

1.00

252.90

210.20

275.00

Neutral

Neutral

274

0.98
1.28

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

3114.00

2201.00

3268.00

Neutral

Buy

3511

VICTREX

1559.00

1459.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1269

1.12

SYNTHOMER

229.30

177.40

257.80

Neutral

Buy

330

0.81

ZOTEFOAMS

182.50

180.50

224.00

Neutral

Buy

256

0.94

Under Valued

Construction - Building Materials & Fittings


Stock
ALUMASC GROUP
CRH
LOW & BONAR

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

126.50

82.00

137.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
442

Beta
0.43

1471.00

1143.00

1617.00

Neutral

Sell

1053

1.15

71.25

50.00

80.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

544

0.82

MARSHALLS

171.00

97.50

184.00

Neutral

Neutral

176

1.25

NORCROS

22.13

13.00

22.13

Sell

Strong Buy

217

0.81

206.40

113.20

216.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

964

1.48

49.50

22.00

50.00

Sell

Sell

40

0.92

1723.00

1060.00

1858.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

15012

1.79

SIG
TITON HOLDINGS
TRAVIS PERKINS
TYMAN
WOLSELEY

236.00

143.13

241.00

Neutral

Neutral

225

0.98

3186.00

2794.01

3480.52

Neutral

Strong Buy

10185

1.33

Over Valued

Construction - Heavy Construction


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BALFOUR BEATTY

257.80

207.60

291.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1112

0.62

BOOT (HENRY)

207.00

133.00

213.00

Neutral

Sell

115

0.50

CARILLION

294.30

244.80

331.80

Neutral

Buy

370

0.87

CLARKE (T)

65.00

45.75

72.25

Neutral

Buy

85

0.62

COSTAIN GROUP

Target

Beta

285.00

240.75

306.00

Neutral

Buy

413

0.40

GALLIFORD TRY

1098.00

707.50

1157.00

Neutral

Sell

832

0.82

KELLER

1021.00

635.00

1161.00

Neutral

Sell

534

1.21

KIER GROUP

1730.00

1144.00

1830.00

Neutral

Sell

1590

0.82

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

763.50

510.00

839.50

Neutral

Buy

994

0.70

NORTH MIDLAND CON.

133.00

95.00

149.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

267

0.04

41.00

23.00

41.00

Sell

Sell

-9

0.47

POCHIN'S

Under Valued

Construction Home Construction


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

322.50

195.00

355.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1017

1.55

BELLWAY

1404.00

999.50

1534.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8611

1.05

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2284.00

1634.00

2450.00

Neutral

Sell

-1993

0.54

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

758.00

550.00

851.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

24031

1.08

CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS

346.00

220.00

387.00

Neutral

Sell

-313

#NA
0.26

GLEESON (MJ) GROUP

340.00

167.50

354.75

Neutral

Sell

150

1140.00

731.96

1305.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3863

1.03

REDROW

271.20

158.40

288.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

420

1.08

TAYLOR WIMPEY

104.00

61.50

114.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

803

1.45

PERSIMMON

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04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 7 of 17

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

DIALIGHT

905.00

897.00

1399.00

Neutral

Buy

1123

0.48

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

685.00

560.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

941

0.93

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

153.25

107.00

163.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

307

1.28

INVENSYS

495.00

316.94

509.50

Neutral

Sell

310

1.24

LAIRD

247.00

171.10

261.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

477

1.87

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1500.00

1209.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1227

1.13

RENISHAW

1821.00

1494.00

2081.00

Neutral

Buy

2213

1.15

SPECTRIS

2410.00

1834.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

3019

1.38

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

171.00

65.00

303.67

Neutral

Sell

-462

0.66

TT ELECTRONICS

194.50

140.00

202.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

464

1.44

1025.00

264.00

1025.00

Neutral

Sell

446

0.81

XAAR

Beta

Under Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

148.00

66.63

150.25

Neutral

Buy

166

0.82

BODYCOTE

601.50

411.30

685.00

Neutral

Neutral

623

1.44

CASTINGS

437.00

312.00

455.50

Neutral

Buy

555

0.83

VESUVIUS

472.00

303.13

496.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1741

2.30

FENNER

451.20

305.90

457.10

Neutral

Buy

560

1.25

HALMA

580.00

436.80

594.50

Neutral

Sell

387

0.76

HILL & SMITH

530.00

393.00

547.50

Neutral

Neutral

545

1.14

1438.00

1050.00

1563.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3710

1.23

287.80

240.30

318.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

489

1.66

2688.00

2477.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

2069

0.90

62.75

35.40

65.50

Sell

Sell

-33

0.71

2863.00

2200.02

3090.00

Neutral

Sell

1721

0.65

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN
SPIRAX-SARCO

Target

Beta

VITEC GROUP

632.00

559.00

726.00

Neutral

Sell

497

1.00

WEIR GROUP

2083.00

1787.00

2474.00

Neutral

Neutral

2247

1.03

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

430.70

392.10

523.50

Neutral

Neutral

Target
470

0.46

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

259.80

248.60

302.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

486

0.38

SAINSBURY (J)

395.90

321.90

414.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

719

0.47

TESCO

341.60

326.00

387.75

Buy

Sell

290

0.66

THORNTONS

133.50

34.00

137.00

Neutral

Sell

108

0.79

Over Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

2286.00

1465.00

2351.00

Neutral

Sell

1695

0.63

CRANSWICK

1137.00

782.00

1189.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1802

0.34

DAIRY CREST

511.00

369.60

539.00

Neutral

Sell

433

0.76

DEVRO

290.00

285.50

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

489

0.32

PREMIER FOODS

122.75

59.75

185.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

279

1.17

TATE & LYLE

786.50

736.50

883.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1319

0.61

2418.00

2319.00

2885.00

Neutral

Sell

2070

0.58

UNILEVER (UK)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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04 December 2013
+44 (0)1189 333606

Page 8 of 17

Under Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

27.00

24.00

29.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

49

0.59

535.00

357.50

577.00

Neutral

Neutral

562

0.56

1480.00

1217.00

1667.00

Neutral

Sell

1349

1.13

540.00

540.00

700.00

Neutral

Sell

257

0.70
1.45

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP

Target

Beta

50.75

26.31

51.45

Sell

Sell

44

257.25

108.00

261.50

Neutral

Sell

164

0.77

38.00

24.50

42.50

Sell

Sell

1.01
0.63

469.60

299.00

493.30

Neutral

Buy

639

1339.00

670.00

1380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2232

0.51

87.75

39.00

89.50

Neutral

Buy

131

1.00

KINGFISHER

365.20

268.90

420.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

588

0.97

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

472.30

359.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

807

0.56

73.25

53.50

75.00

Neutral

Buy

90

0.59

JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

381.75

271.00

492.75

Neutral

Sell

127

0.20

NEXT

5515.00

3640.00

5540.00

Sell

Neutral

5772

0.71

TED BAKER

2128.00

1017.00

2128.00

Strong Sell

Sell

1132

0.58

TOPPS TILES

123.25

48.88

125.75

Neutral

Sell

90

1.35

Over Valued

Health
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

135.50

130.00

160.00

Neutral

Sell

106

0.30

CONSORT MEDICAL

878.50

660.50

914.00

Neutral

Sell

668

0.11

OPTOS

176.00

106.75

215.25

Neutral

Neutral

177

0.97

SMITH & NEPHEW

828.50

666.00

828.50

Neutral

Sell

712

0.34

Beta

Under Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

730.00

601.00

823.50

Neutral

Neutral

717

HEADLAM GROUP

402.25

302.50

415.00

Neutral

Buy

446

0.80

85.00

64.00

87.50

Sell

Sell

53

0.63

HORNBY

Target

ARM HOLDINGS
CSR
FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

0.34

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1003.00

743.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
425

Beta
0.68

497.20

332.00

607.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1416

0.97

58.75

33.38

83.25

Neutral

Buy

67

0.90

242.20

235.10

552.00

Neutral

Sell

205

0.95

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

104.50

100.80

169.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

385

0.71

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

146.50

136.00

226.25

Neutral

Sell

-33

0.83

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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04 December 2013
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Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1195.00

1115.00

1416.00

Neutral

Sell

-645

0.59

AMLIN

429.90

373.40

453.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1670

0.51

BEAZLEY

243.70

174.20

247.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1032

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

532.00

457.50

552.50

Neutral

Sell

499

0.31
0.52

ADMIRAL GROUP

HISCOX

655.00

463.32

689.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2064

1016.00

757.50

1028.00

Sell

Buy

1280

0.34

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

102.90

102.20

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

801

0.33

NOVAE GROUP

580.00

366.50

601.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3764

0.35

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2199.00

2030.00

2628.00

Neutral

Buy

3130

0.90

ENTERPRISE INNS

140.00

90.50

157.80

Neutral

Sell

113

1.30

TUI TRAVEL

371.50

274.90

401.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

649

1.00

FULLER SMITH 'A'

967.00

753.25

1010.00

Neutral

Sell

768

0.07

GREENE KING

851.00

615.50

897.50

Neutral

Sell

621

0.69

LADBROKES

168.10

167.40

243.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

315

0.85

1893.00

1644.00

2039.00

Neutral

Buy

2111

1.01

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

584.50

485.00

615.50

Neutral

Sell

542

1.29

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

402.50

296.00

460.00

Neutral

Sell

248

0.77

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

123.40

101.30

156.00

Neutral

Sell

41

1.13

10.50

6.70

15.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

44

1.01

139.00

137.30

177.50

Neutral

Neutral

147

0.92
0.64

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

570.00

364.00

581.00

Neutral

Sell

457

WETHERSPOON (JD)

690.00

493.80

767.00

Neutral

Neutral

729

0.58

WHITBREAD

3523.00

2380.00

3576.00

Neutral

Sell

2423

1.03

WILLIAM HILL

387.10

309.42

494.50

Neutral

Neutral

423

0.68

MARSTON'S

150.10

118.80

165.50

Neutral

Sell

-16

0.83

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

419.50

294.10

449.10

Neutral

Sell

391

1.16

CHESNARA

298.00

188.00

304.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

557

0.55

LEGAL & GENERAL

207.30

144.20

217.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

528

1.77

OLD MUTUAL

189.20

170.80

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

421

1.43

PRUDENTIAL

1256.00

865.00

1307.00

Neutral

Neutral

1254

1.67

627.00

397.90

679.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7270

0.80

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com
17

Target

Beta

04 December 2013
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Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

172.00

102.00

180.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

922

0.47

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

793.50

761.00

950.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1056

0.41

55.25

31.00

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-42

1.00

900.00

534.00

915.50

Sell

Strong Buy

3556

1.11

CENTAUR MEDIA
DAILY MAIL 'A'
EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

Target

Beta

1245.00

797.00

1265.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5566

0.75

INFORMA

544.50

431.70

568.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

327

1.44

ITE GROUP

299.80

210.20

322.30

Neutral

Buy

201

1.23

ITV

185.00

101.20

195.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1369

1.42

14.50

11.75

19.00

Neutral

Buy

720

1.03
0.66

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON

1332.00

1119.00

1365.00

Neutral

Neutral

309

PHOTO-ME INTL.

143.50

54.50

147.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

2283

0.83

PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON

322.50

269.00

322.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

732

#NA

THOMSON REUTERS

39.88

27.52

40.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

346

0.47

STV GROUP

306.50

100.00

330.00

Neutral

Sell

240

0.80

ST.IVES

182.25

100.00

188.00

Neutral

Sell

159

1.26

TRINITY MIRROR

184.00

85.50

185.25

Neutral

Sell

-289

1.52

UBM

672.50

636.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1421

1.28

226.75

141.88

227.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1390

0.72

1317.00

858.00

1371.00

Neutral

Sell

-827

1.23

WILMINGTON GROUP
WPP

Under Valued

Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERICAN
ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
GLENCORE XSTRATA
LONMIN

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1301.00

1207.00

2072.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
1440

Beta
1.72

194.00

161.00

289.00

Neutral

Neutral

202

0.94
1.38

754.00

754.00

1381.00

Neutral

Buy

830

1801.50

1666.50

2236.00

Neutral

Buy

2148

1.44

304.30

256.85

397.85

Neutral

Strong Buy

928

#NA

303.50

253.50

380.10

Neutral

Buy

371

1.67

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

4017.00

3972.00

6480.00

Neutral

Sell

2787

0.46

RIO TINTO

3200.00

2582.00

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2174

1.42

847.50

847.50

1335.00

Buy

Strong Buy

2685

2.22

VEDANTA RESOURCES

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1225.00

1007.50

1283.00

Neutral

Sell

876

0.80

BP

473.60

424.30

493.45

Neutral

Strong Buy

988

1.21

CAIRN ENERGY

271.40

251.80

296.10

Neutral

Sell

-39

1.18

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL

Target

Beta

9.48

5.44

10.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

85

0.69

775.00

726.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

572

1.13

71.75

48.50

79.75

Neutral

Sell

-59

1.01

300.10

300.10

400.20

Buy

Buy

395

1.43

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B

2106.50

2077.50

2365.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8128

0.91

SOCO INTERNATIONAL

392.50

314.63

417.00

Neutral

Neutral

382

0.54

TULLOW OIL

854.00

854.00

1292.00

Neutral

Sell

664

0.97

WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

754.00

720.50

915.50

Neutral

Sell

709

1.22

HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

04 December 2013
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Page 11 of

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

107.75

98.05

140.38

Neutral

Buy

148

1.00

PZ CUSSONS

384.80

338.50

432.50

Neutral

Sell

324

0.57

4865.00

3879.00

4950.00

Neutral

Neutral

5027

0.35

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.34

0.30

3.43

Buy

Sell

-1

0.76

3506.50

2909.50

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

10544

0.55

BTG

551.00

317.50

559.50

Neutral

Sell

285

0.37

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

678.00

575.00

780.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1426

0.10

1598.50

1335.00

1782.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2506

0.55

2.26

1.33

2.83

Buy

Sell

-2

0.40

IXICO

55.00

42.50

568.75

Neutral

Sell

-185

0.67

SHIRE

2680.00

1855.00

2858.00

Neutral

Sell

2131

0.70

110.00

43.50

119.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

182

0.61

33.50

19.38

34.25

Neutral

Sell

13

0.69

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE
OXFORD BIOMEDICA

SKYEPHARMA
VERNALIS

Beta

Under Valued

Real Estate - REIT


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

470.00

337.50

489.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

796

1.19

BRITISH LAND

600.00

540.00

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

915

1.10

2396.00

2088.00

2574.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5405

1.20

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

571.00

472.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1219

1.05

HAMMERSON

500.00

470.50

554.00

Neutral

Buy

621

1.31

DERWENT LONDON

Target

Beta

INTU PROPERTIES

312.80

300.60

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

635

1.12

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

941.50

799.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1964

1.22

32.38

24.25

32.38

Neutral

Sell

-190

0.57

LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY

130.80

103.20

132.90

Neutral

Sell

-9

0.26

MCKAY SECURITIES

192.00

131.50

200.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

314

0.46

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

499.75

350.25

515.00

Neutral

Sell

262

0.33

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

336.00

312.50

363.53

Neutral

Sell

132

0.27

49.50

33.75

50.50

Neutral

Sell

-442

0.42

SEGRO

331.70

239.40

336.70

Neutral

Sell

-356

1.84

SHAFTESBURY

605.00

552.50

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

944

1.03

LOCAL SHOP.REIT (THE)

REDEFINE INTL.REIT

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

241.50

179.00

241.50

Sell

Sell

0.84

WORKSPACE GROUP

493.10

296.00

508.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1501

1.02

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

04 December 2013
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Page 12 of

Under Valued

Real Estate REIS


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

323.00

239.50

365.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

716

43.38

27.50

45.25

Neutral

Sell

-61

0.50

CLS HOLDINGS

1215.00

704.50

1260.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3154

0.66

DAEJAN HOLDINGS

4389.00

2930.00

4389.00

Sell

Strong Buy

15855

0.56

231.25

143.00

244.00

Neutral

Sell

215

1.03

CAPITAL & CNTS.PROPS.


CAPITAL & REGIONAL

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

Target

Beta
0.69

GRAINGER

200.40

113.00

206.10

Neutral

Sell

120

1.67

HELICAL BAR

326.75

226.50

332.50

Neutral

Sell

228

0.89

40.50

21.50

43.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

247

0.56

7075.00

4662.50

7075.00

Sell

Strong Buy

19983

0.57

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

96.00

53.00

100.00

Sell

Sell

-234

1.07

RAVEN RUSSIA

80.00

61.50

80.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

222

1.39

641.00

445.00

664.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1161

0.65

89.50

72.50

91.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

394

0.26

LONDON & ASSOCS.PROPS.


MOUNTVIEW ESTATES

SAVILLS
SMART (J)
ST MODWEN PROPS.

352.10

221.50

361.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

688

1.59

UNITE GROUP

391.00

267.70

408.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1754

1.81

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

89.50

76.75

162.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

144

0.50

2181.00

2032.97

2650.00

Neutral

Sell

1516

1.34

COMPUTACENTER

640.00

387.01

670.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1468

0.85

KOFAX

390.00

260.75

395.75

Neutral

Sell

315

0.97

AVEVA GROUP

INNOVATION GROUP

Target

Beta

34.50

22.75

35.00

Sell

Sell

27

0.80

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

816.50

544.73

848.50

Neutral

Buy

1086

0.79

PHOENIX IT GROUP

132.50

130.00

184.00

Neutral

Sell

-308

0.49

RM

111.50

64.00

124.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

268

0.55

2136.00

1400.00

2190.00

Neutral

Neutral

2176

0.48

347.40

289.36

368.18

Neutral

Buy

444

0.68

FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

483.70

334.30

492.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1198

1.01

BREWIN DOLPHIN

280.60

185.00

287.20

Sell

Strong Buy

623

0.82

8600.00

8000.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

78183

0.76

486.50

298.50

488.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1354

0.98
0.56

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

Target

Beta

235.00

155.00

235.00

Sell

Strong Buy

1573

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

1322.00

860.50

1348.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4580

0.87

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

90.00

90.00

110.40

Neutral

Sell

80

0.53

CHARLES TAYLOR

5.20

1.42

5.70

Neutral

Sell

-115

0.65

HENDERSON GROUP

HELPHIRE GROUP

206.50

120.50

223.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

751

1.15

ICAP

412.60

280.80

422.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

797

0.97

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

427.10

287.20

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2067

1.74

INVESTEC

413.00

384.40

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2458

1.60

1596.00

971.00

1682.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6345

1.11

85.70

73.65

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4465

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1548.00

1208.00

1691.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5191

0.70

SCHRODERS

2391.00

1630.00

2690.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7741

1.37

SCHRODERS NV

1891.00

1303.00

2217.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11074

1.32

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

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17

04 December 2013
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Page 13 of

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ACAL

354.13

170.62

373.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

617

0.76

AGGREKO

1585.00

1442.00

2254.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4252

0.99

AMEC

1097.00

965.50

1207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3179

0.95

673.50

380.90

730.00

Neutral

Buy

947

1.55

1294.00

965.50

1333.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2492

0.22

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.

Target

Beta

725.00

383.00

737.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2241

0.81

1371.00

1009.00

1414.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2650

0.49

UK MAIL GROUP

607.50

292.00

645.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1572

0.45

CAPITA

990.00

754.00

1057.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1826

0.55

56.00

34.54

68.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

423

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

914.50

723.00

938.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1909

0.69

BERENDSEN

902.00

576.00

980.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3278

0.95

DE LA RUE

913.00

823.50

1046.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2224

#NA

DIGNITY

1333.00

1006.79

1567.68

Neutral

Buy

1743

0.08

DIPLOMA

687.00

488.30

734.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1296

0.94

ELECTROCOMP.

280.60

204.30

301.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

856

1.00

ESSENTRA PLC

802.00

543.00

830.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1237

1.05

G4S

261.10

207.50

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

883

0.40

HAYS

119.80

77.25

125.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

376

0.97

HOMESERVE

264.70

185.60

293.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

904

0.88

INTERSERVE

635.00

357.00

657.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3012

0.90

BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

INTERTEK GROUP

3001.00

2922.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4303

0.72

JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP

48.75

33.63

53.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

226

0.93

MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

26.63

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

181

0.45

MENZIES (JOHN)

769.00

597.00

841.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1933

1.17

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

459.90

356.00

502.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

779

1.19

MITIE GROUP

305.30

248.00

317.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

995

0.47

40.00

33.75

126.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

634

0.08

1054.00

814.50

1185.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1809

0.74

PREMIER FARNELL

212.90

174.50

238.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

544

1.35

REGUS

193.90

96.40

214.10

Neutral

Sell

67

1.30

RENTOKIL INITIAL

106.70

87.00

112.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

434

1.13

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

REXAM

487.50

437.98

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1737

0.94

RICARDO

588.00

359.00

661.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1809

0.99

ROBERT WALTERS

316.50

193.00

336.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

921

1.04

RPC GROUP

506.00

378.00

517.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1570

0.71

RPS GROUP

311.20

195.50

313.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

880

1.31

SERCO GROUP

445.20

418.60

683.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2159

0.57

SHANKS GROUP

108.00

73.00

110.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

352

1.43

51.75

34.75

70.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

324

1.01

176.00

97.25

206.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

515

0.45

79.25

47.75

87.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

312

0.78

VP

566.50

313.00

566.50

Sell

Strong Buy

2205

0.42

WYG

108.50

71.00

111.38

Neutral

Strong Buy

192

0.62

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST

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Page 14 of

Over Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

366.90

231.10

382.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
477

0.76

47.40

35.35

48.35

Neutral

Strong Buy

89

0.55

671.00

584.50

749.00

Neutral

Sell

274

0.49

98.50

69.30

105.10

Neutral

Buy

140

0.86

1771.00

861.99

1929.00

Neutral

Sell

971

0.04

225.80

154.45

234.35

Neutral

Sell

148

0.45

Over Valued

Transport
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

326.50

213.40

343.60

Neutral

Sell

215

1.14

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

516.75

350.00

559.00

Neutral

Neutral

544

0.91

CLARKSON

1941.00

1150.00

2370.00

Neutral

Sell

1217

0.30

EASYJET

1386.00

727.00

1448.00

Neutral

Sell

826

0.78

FIRST GROUP

Target

Beta

113.00

92.00

182.47

Sell

Strong Buy

261

0.72

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

1162.00

783.75

1162.00

Sell

Sell

761

0.49

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1600.00

1232.00

1738.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2850

0.85

NATIONAL EXPRESS

256.40

175.20

274.90

Neutral

Sell

236

1.17

NORTHGATE

430.00

254.25

458.75

Neutral

Sell

343

1.07

STAGECOACH GROUP

358.40

286.50

369.80

Neutral

Buy

459

0.75

WINCANTON

120.25

43.75

139.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

286

0.86

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

337.00

331.60

402.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

524

0.51

NATIONAL GRID

764.00

682.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

893

0.52

PENNON GROUP

631.00

601.00

727.50

Neutral

Sell

522

0.63

SSE

1326.00

1320.00

1676.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2398

0.33

SEVERN TRENT

1703.00

1550.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1376

0.42

651.50

649.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

688

0.57

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

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Beta

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