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WEEKLY MARKET TRENDS REPORT

November 1, 2013

Individual Reports on: Beef, Veal and Lamb Oil and Grains Dairy Pork Canned Tomato Poultry Seafood Bean, Rice, Coffee and Sugar Processed Fruits and Vegetables Produce

Beef, Veal and Lamb Report


Beef, Veal & Lamb- - Beef output last week rose .4% but was 3.6% smaller than the same week a year ago.
Beef production is expected to remain below 2012 levels through the end of the year. The beef markets are firming due to the slower beef output. However, beef demand remains relatively light as buyers purchase product mostly for immediate needs. This suggests that any further beef market increases in the coming weeks could be short lived. U.S. beef imports during August were the smallest for the month in the last twenty-three years. If slow imports continue it could influence lean beef trim prices upward.

Live Cattle (Steer) Ground Beef 81/19 Ground Chuck 109 Export Rib (choice) 109 Export Rib (prime) 112a Ribeye (choice) 112a Ribeye (prime) 116 Chuck (choice) 120 Brisket (choice) 121c Outside Skirt (ch/sel.) 167a Knckle, Trimmed (choice) 168 Inside Round (choice) 174 Short Loin (choice 0x1) 174 Short Loin (prime 2x3) 180 1x1 Strip (choice) 180 1x1 Strip (prime) 180 0x1 Strip (choice) 184 Top Butt, boneless (choice) 184 Top Butt, boneless (prime) 185a Sirloin Flap (choice) 185c Loin, Tri-Tip (choice) 189a Tender (select, 5 lb & up) 189a Tender (choice, 5 lb &up) 189a Tender (prime, heavy) 193 Flank Steak (choice) 50% Trimmings 65% Trimmings 75% Trimmings 85% Trimmings 90% Trimmings 90% Imported Beef (frozen) Veal Rack (Hotel 7 rib)

Market Trend Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing


n/a

Decreasing
n/a

Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing n/a Increasing n/a Increasing Increasing n/a Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing n/a Decreasing Increasing Increasing n/a

Increasing
Decreasing Decreasing Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Veal Top Round (cap off)

Steady

Good

Higher

Oil and Grains Report


Oil & Grains-2014-15 winter wheat crop planting will wind down in the coming weeks. Modestly lower wheat prices may be forthcoming in the near term.

Soybeans Crude Soybean Oil Soymeal Corn Crude Corn Oil Distillers Grain, Dry Crude Palm Oil Hard Red Winter Wheat Dark Northern Spring Wheat High Fructose Durum Wheat

Market Trend Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Dairy Report
Dairy- The CME cheese markets continue to firm due in a large part to seasonally strong domestic demand. History suggests that lower cheese prices should be anticipated in the coming weeks as demand fades. Last year, the CME cheese block market declined 13.5% during November. Solid export demand could temper the downside in cheese prices this fall. August U.S. cheese exports were 40% larger than last year and a record. U.S. butter exports during the month were up 211% versus the previous year. Some butter market depreciation is anticipated later this year.

Market Trend Cheese Barrels- CME Cheese 40 lb Blocks- CME American Cheese Cheddar Cheese Mozzarella Cheese Provolone Cheese Parmesan Cheese Butter- One lb Solids Nonfat Dry Milk Whey, Dry Class I Milk Base Class II Cream (Heavy Cream) Class III Milk- CME Class IV Milk- CME Increasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing n/a n/a Steady Decreasing Increasing Increasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Pork Report
Pork- Pork production last week declined 1.2% and was 3.7% less than 2012. Hog supplies have been disappointing but rising hog weights suggest that hog slaughter should build some soon. New cases of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea virus have been reported during the last week which is discouraging news for hog supplies next spring. The pork markets are mostly weakening despite the smaller pork production. If hog slaughter does modestly escalate as anticipated in the coming weeks it could weigh further on pork prices.

Live Hogs Belly (bacon) Spare Rib (4.25 & down) Ham (23-27 lb) Loin (bone-in) Baby Back Rib (1.75 & up) Tenderloin (1.25 lb) Boston Butt, untrimmed 4-8 lb. Picnic, untrimmed SS Picnic, smoker trim boxed 42% Trimmings 72% Trimmings

Market Trend Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Canned Tomato Report


Tomato Products, Canned- The canned tomato markets remain steady to firm. The California tomato for
canning harvest will culminate soon.

Whole Peeled Standard Diced, Fancy Ketchup, 33% Tomato Paste- Ind.

Market Trend Steady Steady Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Same Same Same Same

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Poultry Report
Poultry- Chicken production for the week ending October 19th rose 2.2% from the previous week and was 3.9% larger than the same week a year ago. Strong chicken production gains versus 2012 are projected to persist this fall. The USDA is projecting fourth quarter 2013 chicken output to trend 3.8% above last year. Most of the chicken markets, including wings, are softening in response to the solid chicken production. The ARA chicken wing index has declined 7.6% during October. The five year average price trend for chicken wings during the month is up 1.3%. The seasonal upside price risk in chicken wings through the Super Bowl peak may be very limited this time around. Chicken breast prices could find support soon.

Whole Chicken (2.5-3 lb-GA) Chicken Wings, Whole Chicken Wings, Jumbo Cut Chicken Breast, Bone-In Chicken Breast, Bnless Sknless Chicken Tender (random) Chicken Tender (sized) Chicken Legs (whole) Chicken Leg Quarters Chicken Thighs, bone in Chicken Thighs, boneless Large Eggs Medium Eggs Whole Eggs- Liq Egg Whites- Liq Egg Yolks- Liq Whole Turkey (8-16 lb) Turkey Breast- Bnls/Sknls

Market Trend Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady Steady Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Steady Decreasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year


Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower Lower Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Lower Lower Lower

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Seafood Report
Seafood- Inflated price levels have encouraged better U.S. shrimp imports.
The U.S. imported 3.5% more shrimp in August compared to the prior year. Still, Thailand, the world's largest exporter, continues to have problems with their shrimp farms. Consequently, U.S. shrimp imports from Thailand during August were 56% less than 2012. Relatively elevated shrimp prices are expected to persist during November. U.S. snow crab imports during August were 30% larger than the previous year.

Salmon, Whole (10-12 lb) Catfish, Filets Trout, Drn. (8-14 oz) Shrimp (16-20 count) Shrimp (61-70 count) Shrimp, Tiger (26-30 count) Snow Crab Legs (5-8 oz) Snow Crab Legs (8 oz up) Cod Tails, 3-7 oz. Frz. Cod Loins, 3-12 oz. Frz. Salmon Portions, 4-8 oz. Frz.

Market Trend n/a n/a n/a Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Increasing Increasing

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year n/a n/a n/a Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Bean, Rice, Coffee and Sugar Report


Pinto Beans Black Beans Rice, Long Grain Coffee Beans Sugar Honey Market Trend Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Steady Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher

Paper Product Report


Wood Pulp (paper)

NBSK- Paper napkin 42 lb. Linerboard-corrugated box


Plastic Resins (plastic, foam)

Market Trend Increasing Decreasing Steady Steady

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher

PS-CHH-utensils, cups, to-go cont. PP-HIGP-heavy grade utensils PE-LLD-can liners, film, bags

Steady

Retail Price Change from Prior Month


Beef and Veal Dairy Pork Chicken Fresh Fish and Seafood Fresh Fruits and Vegetables Sep-13 Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Aug-13 Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Jul-13 Increasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Processed Fruits and Vegetables Report


Processed Fruits and Vegetables- The major vegetable for processing harvest has basically culminated. The processed vegetable markets are expected to remain firm this fall.
Canned 6/10 Corn, Fancy Whole Kernel Green Beans, Fancy 4 sv Green Peas, Fancy 4 sv/blend Frozen Corn, Cob 96 count Corn, Kernel 12/2.5 lb. Green Beans, Cut 12/2 lb. Green Peas, 12/2.5 lb. Potatoes, FF Fancy, 6/5 lb. Market Trend Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Price vs. Last Year Same Same Same Same Same Same Same Same

Steady
Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Produce Report
Produce- Lettuce supplies are slowly improving with shipments last week rising 4% from the prior week. As the crop transitions south again to the Yuma- Imperial Valley in the coming weeks lettuce supplies should improve further. Thus, lower lettuce prices are anticipated in November. Conversely, eastern tomato supplies could remain somewhat limited during the next few weeks which may be supportive of the tomato markets. Notable eastern tomato supply relief is not anticipated until later next month. The potato markets are fairly steady but further declines may be pending this fall.

Limes (150 count) Lemons (95 count) Lemons (200 count) Honeydew (6 ct.) Cantaloupe (15 count) Blueberries (12 count) Strawberries (12 pints) Avocados, Hass (48 count) Bananas (40 lb)-Term. Pineapple (7 ct.)- Term. Idaho Potato (60 count) Idaho Potato (70 count) Idaho Potato (70 count)-Term. Idaho Potato (90 count) Idaho Potato #2 (6 oz. min.) Processing Potato (100 lb) Yellow Onions (50 lb) Yellow Onions (50 lb)-Term. Red Onions (25 lb)-Term. White Onions (50 lb)-Term. Tomatoes, (large- case) Tomatoes, (5x6, 25 lb.)-Term. Tomatoes, Vine Ripe, (4x5) Roma Tomatoes (large- case) Roma Tomatoes (xlarge- case) Green Peppers (large- case)

Market Trend Increasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Steady Decreasing Steady Steady Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing n/a Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing n/a

Supplies Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good

Price vs. Last Year Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Lower Higher Higher Higher Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

Red Peppers (large- 15 lb. cs.) Iceberg Lettuce (24 count) Iceberg Lettuce (24 cnt)-Term.

Increasing Decreasing Decreasing

Good Good Good

Higher Higher Higher

Produce Report (continued)


Leaf Lettuce (24 count) Romaine Lettuce (24 count) Mesculin Mix (3 lb)-Term. Broccoli (14 cnt.) Squash (case) Zucchini (case) Green Beans (bushel) Spinach, Flat 24s Mushrooms (large), Term. Cucumbers, Bushel Pickles (200-300 ct.)-Term. Asparagus (small) Freight (CA to City Avg.) Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Increasing Decreasing Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Higher Higher Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher Higher Lower Lower Higher Lower Higher

Market Report provided by American Restaurant Associationwww.AmericanRestaurantAssociation.com- 888-423-4411

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