Riccorsit Oct2011 PDF

,661
EXPLANATORY NOTES
This report describes the palay and corn crop situation for
January-September 2011 using the estimates for the recent quarter. It
also discusses the outlook for October-December 2011 and JanuaryMarch 2012 using the forecasts based on farmers standing crop and
planting intentions, respectively. The estimates and forecasts are based
on the results of the October 2011 Palay and Corn Production Survey
(PCPS) which is conducted nationwide by the Bureau of Agricultural
Statistics (BAS).
The report also presents pertinent information on monthly
prices of palay, rice, corn and fertilizer; and cumulative actual and
normal rainfall. Data on prices are the results of the Weekly Cereals
and Fertilizer Price Monitoring (WCFPM) of the BAS. Rainfall data
are sourced from the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and
Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
CONTENTS
Explanatory Notes......
Table of Contents........
Weather Situation and Outlook.....
Highlights............
Palay.....
Corn.....
Prices
Palay/Rice...
Corn....
Fertilizer..
Rainfall.....
Tables
1 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ...............
2 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ...................
3 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by
ecosystem, Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ........................
4 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011......................................
5 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011......
6 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011......
7 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011........
8 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011................................................
9 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011....
10 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines,
January-March, 2010-2012.....................................................................
11 Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines,
Jan-Dec, 2009-2011 and Jan-Mar, 2010-2012........................................
12 Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines,
Jan-Dec, 2009-2011and Jan-Mar, 2010-2012..............................................
13 Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,
Philippines, Jan-Dec, 2009-2011 and Jan-Mar, 2010-2011.........
ii
i
ii
iv
1
1
4
6
8
10
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ......................................
Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ..............
Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ......................
Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011.........
Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011.................
Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011.............
Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011...
Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 ......
Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011...........
Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by croptype, Philippines,
January-March, 2010-2012 ...................................
Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines,
Jan-Dec, 2009-2011 and Jan-Mar, 2010-2012...........................
Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines,
Jan-Dec, 2009-2011 and Jan-Mar, 2010-2012...........................
Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,
Philippines, Jan-Dec, 2009-2011 and Jan-Mar, 2010-2012........
Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
Philippines, January-September, 2009-2011..........
Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
Metro Manila, January-September, 2009-2011..................
Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
Philippines, January-September, 2009-2011......
White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
Philippines, January-September, 2009-2011.............
Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers prices by grade, Philippines,
January-September, 2009-2011..................................
Cumulative actual and normal rainfall by region, Philippines,
January-September, 2010-2011..........................................
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
iii
Weather Situation and Outlook1

July-September 2011
Neutral El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions prevailed across
the tropical Pacific Ocean as shown by most of the atmospheric and oceanic
indicators during July and August 2011. Numerical models showed trend of
further cooling during September 2011 in the Central and Eastern Equatorial
Pacific (CEEP) as negative sea surface temperature anomalies increased with
consistent positive values of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), an indication
of a developing La Nia. The weather systems that affected the country during the
period were Southwest (SW) monsoon, ridge of High Pressure Areas (HPAs),
Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), Low Pressure Areas (LPAs) and the
passage of 11 tropical cyclones in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR),
namely; Tropical Depression (TD) Goring (July 9-10), (TD) Hanna (July 1516), Typhoon (TY) Ineng (July 17), Tropical Storm (TS) Juaning (July 2528), (TD) Lando (July 31-August 1), (TY) Kabayan (July 28-August 4), (TY)
Mina (August 21-30), (TS) Nonoy (September 8), (TD) Onyok (September
12-13) and re-entered as (TS) Onyok (September 17-18), (TY) Pedring
(September 24-28) and (TY) Quiel (September 29-October 2).
October-December 2011 Outlook

This period covers the first half of the Northeast (NE) monsoon season.
The recent La Nia-like conditions in the tropical Pacific are predicted to
strengthen based on the majority of the leading statistical and dynamical climate
models. Weather systems likely to affect the country during the period are the
Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), tail-end of the cold front, easterlies, ridge
of high pressure areas (HPA), Low Pressure Areas (LPAs) and three (3) to six (6)
tropical cyclones. Tracks of tropical cyclone during this period are likely across
central and southern parts of Luzon and Visayas with secondary tracks over
Northern Mindanao.
Excerpts from PAGASA August 5, 2011 to October 5, 2011 Weather Situation and Outlook.
iv
HIGHLIGHTS
Palay and corn outputs of the country for calendar year 2011 would be higher
than their respective 2010 levels. The significant gains in production during the
first half of the year would offset the reductions in the July to December harvests
resulting from damages on standing crops brought about by typhoons Mina,
Juaning, Pedring and Quiel.
Output increases are foreseen for palay and corn crops for the first quarter of
2012.
1.1 PALAY
Calendar Year 2011 Forecasts
x
Palay production for calendar year 2011 is forecast at 16.68 million MT,
5.7% higher than the 2010 output of 15.77 million MT. The increase is
mainly attributed to the significant gains in production during the first half
of the year as the country recovered from the adverse effects of the El
Nio phenomenon.
Harvest area may expand by 4.2%, from 4.35 million hectares last year to
4.54 million hectares this year. Yield for the year is forecast at 3.68 MT
per hectare, 1.5% higher than in 2010.
Figure 1. Palay: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,
Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011
17,500
16,678
16,266
3.70
15,772
15,000
3.68
12,500
3.66
10,000
3.64
7,500
5,000
4,532
4,354
4,538
3.62
3.60
2,500
-
3.58
2009
Production ('000 MT)
2010
Harvest Area ('000 Ha)
2011
Yield per hectare (MT)
July-December 2011 Crop

x
Production for JulyDecember 2011 may drop

by 0.6%. From the 2010
level of 9.15 million MT,
production is forecast at
9.10 million MT this
year. This can be
attributed to the adverse
effects of typhoons Mina,
Juaning, Pedring and
Quiel on standing crops.
Harvest
area
may
increase by 0.4%, or from
2.535 million hectares in
2010 to 2.544 hectares
this year. A 0.9%
reduction in yield is
expected
during
the
period.

Philippines, July-December, 2009-2011
10,000
9,152
8,890
3.65
9,101
8,000
3.60
6,000
3.55
2,586
4,000
3.50
2,535
2,544
2,000
3.45
3.40
2009
2010
2011

Philippines, July-September, 2009-2011
4,000
3.80
3,519
3,168
The July-September 2011
2,646
3,000
3.75
production was 3.17
million
MT,
19.7%
2,000
3.70
higher than the 2010
level of 2.65 million MT.
976
706
871
1,000
3.65
Area harvested expanded
by 23.4%, from 706
3.60
thousand hectares in
2009
2010
2011
2010 to 871 thousand
hectares
this
year.
Significant increases in
production and area harvested were noted in Western Visayas,
MIMAROPA, and Zamboanga Peninsula. Sufficient rainfall enabled
more plantings in both rainfed and irrigated areas. On the other hand, yield
per hectare decreased from 3.75 MT to 3.64 MT due to the adverse effects
of typhoons Juaning and Mina.
The October-December
2011 production forecast
Philippines, October-December, 2009-2011
based on standing crop
6,505
indicates a decrease of
3.60
7,000
5,933
5,371
8.8% from last years
3.55
6,000
level of 6.50 million MT
3.50
5,000
to 5.93 million MT this
3.45
4,000
year. This is largely
1,610
3.40
3,000
because of the adverse
1,830
1,673
3.35
2,000
effects
of
typhoons
3.30
1,000
Pedring and Quiel on
3.25
standing palay crop.
2009
2010
2011
Harvest
area
may
contract by 8.6%, from
1.83 million hectares to
1.67 million hectares. Yield per hectare may be reduced by 0.3%, from
3.56 MT to 3.55 MT. Central Luzon, Bicol Region, CALABARZON and
MIMAROPA have reported significant output declines. The decrease in
Western Visayas production can be explained by the movement of
harvest to the 3rd quarter.
January-March 2012 Crop

x
Based
on
farmers
planting intentions, the
January-March
2012
production and harvest
area are expected to
surpass last years levels
by 1.4% and 2.8%,
respectively. Yield may
drop by 1.4%, from 3.68
MT per hectare to 3.63
MT per hectare.

Philippines, January-March, 2010-2012
4,037
4,200
3,600
4,093
3.70
3,492
3.65
3,000
3.60
2,400
3.55
1,800
1,024
1,098
1,128
1,200
3.50
600
3.45
3.40
2010
2011
2012

ARMM, Central Luzon
and MIMAROPA are
expected to contribute remarkable shares in the probable increase in
production for this quarter.
1.2 CORN
Calendar Year 2011 Forecasts
x
Total corn production for

calendar year 2011 is
forecast at 6.99 million
MT, 9.6% above the 2010
output of 6.38 million MT.
The remarkable gains
achieved in the first half of
the year will likely offset
the probable decline in the
second half of the year due
to the adverse effects of
the typhoons that hit the
country.
7,500
7,034
6,990
2.80
6,377
2.75
6,000
2.70
4,500
2.65
2,684
3,000
2,499
2,547
1,500
2.60
2.55
2.50
2009
2010
2011
Total harvest area for 2011 may expand to 2.55 million hectares, 1.9%
larger than last years 2.50 million hectares. Yield per hectare may
improve from 2.55 MT in 2010 to 2.74 MT this year.
July-December 2011 Crop

x
Figure 6. Corn: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,


Production
for
July3,962
3,680
3,816
December
2011
may
4,000
2.65
decrease by 7.1% from last
3,500
2.60
years 3.96 million MT to
3,000
3.68 million MT this year.
2,500
2.55
2,000
The series of typhoons that
1,553
1,532
1,447
2.50
1,500
hit the country during the
1,000
second half of the year
2.45
500
brought
damages
to
2.40
standing crops. Harvest
2009
2010
2011
area may decline from 1.53
million hectares last year
to 1.45 million hectares
this year. Yield per hectare may decrease by 1.6%, or from 2.59 MT in
2010 to 2.54 MT in 2011.
The July-September 2011

corn production was 2.18
Philippines, July-September, 2009-2011
million MT, 6.0% below
the 2010 level of 2.32
2,318
2,373
2,500
2.60
2,179
million MT. Harvest area
2.58
2,000
contracted by 4.9%, from
2.55
900 thousand hectares in
1,500
949
2010 to 856 thousand
2.53
900
856
hectares this year. Yield
1,000
2.50
per hectare decreased from
500
2.48
2.58 MT last year to 2.55
MT this year. ARMM
2.45
2009
2010
2011
reported significant drop
in production, harvest area
and yield due to damages
caused by flashfloods.
Reduced outputs were also noted in
SOCCSKSARGEN, Northern Mindanao and Zamboanga Peninsula due to
early cropping, shifting to sugarcane, cassava, pineapple and papaya, and
excessive rains.
The standing corn crop for

the
October-December
2011 is forecast to drop by
8.7%, from 1.64 million
MT last year to 1.50
million MT this year.
Harvest area may contract
by 6.5%, from 632
thousand hectares to 591
thousand hectares. Yield
may decrease by 2.3%,
from 2.60 MT per hectare
to 2.54 MT per hectare.

Philippines, October-December, 2009-2011
1,800
1,500
2.65
1,643
1,443
1,501
2.60
2.55
1,200
900
2.50
604
632
591
600
2.45
300
2.40
2.35
2009
2010
2011
The probable reduction in corn output during the 4th quarter is largely
attributed to the adverse effects of typhoons Pedring and Quiel. A
remarkable decline in corn output is expected in Cagayan Valley, Bicol
Region, Western Visayas and Caraga.
5
January-March 2012 Crop

x

Based
on
farmers
planting intentions, the
January-March
2012
production and harvest
area are expected to be
higher than the 1st quarter
in 2011 levels by 3.8%
and 5.6%, respectively.
Yield may decrease from
2.93 MT per hectare in
2011 to 2.89 MT per
hectare in 2012.
1,915
2,000
1,988
3.00
1,602
1,750
2.90
1,500
2.80
1,250
1,000
2.70
639
652
750
689
2.60
500
2.50
250
-
2.40
2010
2011
2012
Farmers in Ilocos Region, ARMM, Davao Region and Central Luzon are
optimistic that favorable weather will prevail, thus significant production
gains are expected in these regions.
2.0 Prices
2.1 Palay/Rice
x
Average farmgate price of palay for January to September 2011 was

P15.69/kg, 0.8% higher than last years P15.56/kg. The 2011 prices
peaked in July at P16.04/kg and was lowest in January at P15.14/kg.
(Peso/Kg)
Figure 11. Palay: Monthly farmgate prices,

Philippines, January-September, 2009-2011
16.25
15.75
15.25
14.75
14.25
13.75
J
F
2009
2010
J
2011
The
9-month
average
wholesale price of rice
reached P32.01/kg. This
was generally higher than
the 2009 and 2010 levels by
2.17%
and
1.28%,
respectively. August 2011
recorded the highest price
level since January 2009 at
P32.23/kg.
(Peso/Kg)
Figure 12. Rice: Monthly wholesale prices,

32.75
32.00
31.25
30.50
29.75
29.00
J F M A M J J A S
Monthly average retail

prices of rice for January to
September 2011 exhibited
the same trend as that of
wholesale.
Except
in
March, this years prices
were higher than their
respective monthly levels in
2009 and 2010. The 9month average retail price
for this year was P34.67/kg.
This was P0.28/kg more
than the price in 2010 and
P0.45/kg higher than in
2009.
2010
2011
Figure 13. Rice: Monthly retail prices,

35.00
34.50
34.00
33.50
33.00
32.50
J F M A M J J A S
2009
2010
2011
Figure 14. Rice: Monthly wholesale prices,

Metro Manila, January-September, 2009-2011
31.50
In Metro Manila, this
years January to September
30.75
average wholesale price was
30.00
relatively lower than the
29.25
2009 and 2010 levels. From
P31.00/kg
in
January,
28.50
monthly wholesale price
J F M A M J J A S
continuously declined until
2009
2010
2011
it settled at P29.60/kg in
May and June. It slightly increased in July to P29.68/kg, and settled in
August and September at P30.00/kg.
(Peso/Kg)
(Peso/Kg)
2009
The prevailing price of

rice in Metro Manila
remained at P35.00/kg
from January 2009 to
September 2011.
Figure 15. Rice: Monthly retail prices,

(Peso/Kg)
2.2 Corn
38.50
36.00
33.50
31.00
28.50
26.00
J
Yellow Corn
At wholesale, average
monthly price of yellow
corn for January to
September 2011 was
P14.87/kg. It ranged
from
P14.52/kg
in
August to P15.55/kg in
February.
2010
2011
Figure 16. Yellow Corn: Monthly farmgate prices,

(Peso/Kg)
The 9-month average

farmgate price of yellow
corn in 2011 was
P11.76/kg. This was
7.25% higher than last
years P10.97/kg and
5.56% more than the
P11.14/kg price in 2009.
The September 2011
farmgate
price
was
P10.73/kg, 26.38% and
3.37% higher than those
of the same months in
2009
and
2010,
respectively.
2009
14.00
13.00
12.00
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
J
F
2009
(Peso/Kg)
M
2010
2011
Figure 17. Yellow Corn: Monthly wholesale prices,

17.00
16.00
15.00
14.00
13.00
12.00
J F M A M J J A S
2009
2010
2011
Average retail price of

yellow corn for January to
September
2011
was
P19.38/kg. This was higher
by 0.13% than last years
P19.35/kg
but
4.98%
below the P20.39/kg level
in 2009. In 2011, monthly
prices were relatively
lower in April to July
compared
to
their
respective levels in 2009
and 2010.
Figure 18. Yellow Corn: Monthly retail prices,

23.00
(Peso/Kg)
The January to September

2011 average monthly
wholesale prices of white
corn fluctuated through the
months. The highest price
was recorded in July at
P17.10/kg and the lowest
was
in
January
at
P15.38/kg.
18.50
J
2009
2010
2011
(Peso/Kg)
Figure 19. White Corn: Monthly farmgate prices,

16.50
15.00
13.50
12.00
10.50
9.00
J
2009
2010
2011
Figure 20. White Corn: Monthly wholesale prices,

(Peso/Kg)
In 2011, the 9-month

average price of white corn
was P13.86/kg, 11.20%
above the 2010 level but
lower by 1.55% than the
2009 price. This years
average monthly farmgate
prices
increased
from
P12.39/kg in January to
P14.78/kg in July. It
declined to P13.04/kg in
September.
20.00
17.00
White Corn
x
21.50
17.00
15.50
14.00
12.50
F
2009
M
2010
2011
The 9-month average retail

price of white corn in 2011
was P18.94/kg. This was
11.19% and 5.71% lower
than the same periods
average price in 2009 and
2010, respectively.
Figure 21. White Corn: Monthly retail prices,

24.00
(Peso/Kg)
22.25
20.50
18.75
17.00
2.3 Fertilizer
In 2011, 9-month average

dealers price of ammosul
was P643.3/bag of 50
kilograms. Movements of
prices were on uptrend
from
P587.46/bag
in
January to P713.45/bag in
September.
2009
2010
2011
1,350
1,200
1,050
900
J
2009
2010
2011
Figure 23. Ammosul: Monthly dealers' prices,

800
725
650
575
500
J
F
2009
10
Figure 22. Urea: Monthly dealers' prices,

(Peso/Bag of 50 kg)
The average monthly

dealers price of urea of
P1,155.5/bag
of
50
kilograms for January to
September 2011 was 9.4%
higher than in 2009 and
17.8% higher in 2010.
This can be attributed to
the price surge during June
to September. Moreover,
highest monthly dealers
price since January 2009
was recorded in September
2011 at P1,279.57/bag.
(Peso/Bag of 50 kg)
2010
J
2011
Figure 24. Complete: Monthly dealers' prices,

(Peso/Bag of 50 kg)
The January to September

2011 average dealers price
of complete fertilizer was
P1,160.7/bag
of
50
kilograms. This was 7.4%
below the 2009 level of
P1,253.1/bag and 6.4%
higher than last years
P1,091.1/bag. This years
average monthly prices
which
were
generally
increasing
moved
in
opposite direction compared
in 2009 and 2010.
1,500
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,000
J
2009
A
2010
2011
Average monthly dealers

Figure 25. Ammophos: Monthly dealers' prices,
price
of
ammophos
fertilizer for January to
1,400
September
2011
was
similar with the price
1,250
movements of complete
1,100
fertilizer. Monthly prices
950
gradually increased to
P1,083.01/bag
of
50
800
kilograms in September
J F M A M J J A S
from P1,002.31/bag in
2009
2010
2011
January. The nine (9)
months
prices
were
relatively stable compared in 2009 and 2010.
(Peso/Bag of 50 kg)
11
3.0 Rainfall
x
The accumulated rainfall for January to September 2011 was 40,215.9

millimeters. This was 51.3% above the 26,584.8 millimeters normal
rainfall condition and 65.8% more than last years precipitation of
24,262.3 millimeters.
Except Western Visayas, all regions received above normal rainfall

conditions. Eastern Visayas received the highest accumulated rainfall at
3,929.5 millimeters followed by Caraga and Bicol with 3,600.9
millimeters and 2,879.8 millimeters, respectively.
Figure 26. Cumulative actual and normal rainfall by region
January-September, 2010-2011
Thousand Millimeters
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
NORMAL
12
2010
2011
Table 1. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

ITEM
PRODUCTION ('000MT)
January-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-March
Irrigated
Rainfed
April-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-September
Irrigated
Rainfed
October-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
2009
2010
16,266
12,083
4,183
7,376
5,980
1,396
3,941
3,035
906
3,435
2,945
490
8,890
6,103
2,787
3,519
2,423
1,096
5,371
3,680
1,691
15,772
11,992
3,780
6,621
5,534
1,087
3,492
2,740
752
3,129
2,794
335
9,152
6,458
2,693
2,646
1,937
709
6,505
4,521
1,984
2011
16,678
12,340
4,338
7,577
6,151
1,426
4,037
3,123
914
3,540
3,028
512
9,101
6,189
2,912
3,168
2,122
1,047
5,933 a/
4,067
1,865
NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figure.
a/ - Standing crops
PERCENT CHANGE
2010/2009 2011/2010
(3.0)
(0.8)
(9.6)
(10.2)
(7.5)
(22.2)
(11.4)
(9.7)
(17.0)
(8.9)
(5.1)
(31.7)
2.9
5.8
(3.4)
(24.8)
(20.1)
(35.3)
21.1
22.9
17.3
5.7
2.9
14.8
14.4
11.2
31.2
15.6
14.0
21.5
13.1
8.4
53.0
(0.6)
(4.2)
8.1
19.7
9.5
47.6
(8.8)
(10.0)
(6.0)
13
14
Table 2. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

ITEM
HARVEST AREA ('000Ha)
January-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-March
Irrigated
Rainfed
April-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-September
Irrigated
Rainfed
October-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
2009
4,532
3,056
1,477
1,946
1,428
518
1,099
754
345
847
674
173
2,586
1,628
959
976
603
373
1,610
1,025
585
2010
4,354
3,008
1,346
1,819
1,373
445
1,024
706
318
795
668
127
2,535
1,635
900
706
463
243
1,830
1,172
658
2011
4,538
3,070
1,467
1,993
1,476
517
1,098
770
328
895
706
189
2,544
1,594
950
871
525
346
1,673 a/
1,069
604
NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figure..
a/ - Standing crops
PERCENT CHANGE
2010/2009 2011/2010
(3.9)
(1.6)
(8.9)
(6.5)
(3.8)
(14.0)
(6.8)
(6.4)
(7.8)
(6.1)
(0.9)
(26.4)
(2.0)
0.4
(6.1)
(27.7)
(23.2)
(34.9)
13.6
14.3
12.3
4.2
2.1
9.0
9.6
7.5
16.1
7.2
9.1
3.1
12.6
5.8
48.5
0.4
(2.5)
5.5
23.4
13.4
42.7
(8.6)
(8.8)
(8.2)
Table 3. Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,
ITEM
YIELD/HECTARE (MT)
January-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
January-March
Irrigated
Rainfed
April-June
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
July-September
Irrigated
Rainfed
October-December
Irrigated
Rainfed
2009
3.59
3.95
2.83
3.79
4.19
2.69
3.59
4.03
2.63
4.06
4.37
2.83
3.44
3.75
2.91
3.61
4.02
2.94
3.33
3.59
2.89
2010
3.62
3.99
2.81
3.64
4.03
2.44
3.41
3.88
2.37
3.94
4.19
2.63
3.61
3.95
2.99
3.75
4.18
2.92
3.56
3.86
3.02
2011
3.68
4.02
2.96
3.80
4.17
2.76
3.68
4.06
2.79
3.95
4.29
2.70
3.58
3.88
3.06
3.64
4.04
3.02
3.55
3.80
3.09
NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figure
PERCENT CHANGE
2010/2009 2011/2010
0.9
0.8
(0.9)
(4.0)
(3.8)
(9.5)
(4.9)
(3.6)
(10.0)
(2.9)
(4.2)
(7.2)
5.0
5.4
2.9
3.9
4.0
(0.6)
6.6
7.5
4.4
1.5
0.8
5.3
4.4
3.4
13.0
7.8
4.5
17.9
0.4
2.4
3.0
(0.9)
(1.7)
2.5
(3.0)
(3.4)
3.5
(0.3)
(1.4)
2.4
15
16
Table 4. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

July-September
REGION
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
3,519,417
60,547
137,343
379,857
206,464
60,620
165,825
264,646
919,913
23,200
166,786
199,933
139,351
138,297
402,298
61,901
192,436
2,646,110
71,171
122,003
222,781
198,345
39,927
58,584
190,152
558,214
16,146
151,701
167,105
139,115
105,935
383,634
35,488
185,809
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
October-December
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011 a/
share
Level % Level %
3,168,478 100.00 (873,307) (24.8) 522,368 19.7 5,370,804 6,505,418 5,932,536

69,751 2.20 10,624 17.5 (1,420) (2.0) 180,316 169,808 177,714
110,407 3.48 (15,340) (11.2) (11,596) (9.5) 862,587 1,072,490 1,121,318
260,117 8.21 (157,076) (41.4) 37,336 16.8 480,837 591,942 667,001
171,334 5.41 (8,119) (3.9) (27,011) (13.6) 1,159,766 1,295,625 953,399
55,947 1.77 (20,693) (34.1) 16,020 40.1 96,187 183,923 136,496
150,425 4.75 (107,241) (64.7) 91,841 156.8 424,582 492,941 434,880
223,594 7.06 (74,494) (28.1) 33,442 17.6 269,325 405,772 286,938
899,424 28.39 (361,699) (39.3) 341,210 61.1 550,348 737,324 526,882
23,782 0.75 (7,054) (30.4) 7,636 47.3 117,269 136,168 164,682
166,359 5.25 (15,085) (9.0) 14,658 9.7 267,260 295,988 311,006
221,552 6.99 (32,828) (16.4) 54,447 32.6 156,916 195,725 146,903
144,805 4.57 (236) (0.2) 5,690 4.1 185,763 215,066 199,195
127,866 4.04 (32,362) (23.4) 21,931 20.7 87,982 96,548 86,562
386,654 12.20 (18,664) (4.6) 3,020 0.8 306,592 373,533 350,868
29,029 0.92 (26,413) (42.7) (6,459) (18.2) 141,814 146,966 188,563
127,432 4.02 (6,627) (3.4) (58,377) (31.4) 83,260 95,599 180,130
a/ - Standing crops
100.00
3.00
18.90
11.24
16.07
2.30
7.33
4.84
8.88
2.78
5.24
2.48
3.36
1.46
5.91
3.18
3.04
1,134,614
(10,508)
209,903
111,105
135,859
87,736
68,359
136,447
186,976
18,899
28,728
38,809
29,303
8,566
66,941
5,152
12,339
21.1
(5.8)
24.3
23.1
11.7
91.2
16.1
50.7
34.0
16.1
10.7
24.7
15.8
9.7
21.8
3.6
14.8
(572,882)
7,906
48,828
75,059
(342,226)
(47,427)
(58,061)
(118,834)
(210,442)
28,514
15,018
(48,822)
(15,871)
(9,986)
(22,665)
41,597
84,531
(8.8)
4.7
4.6
12.7
(26.4)
(25.8)
(11.8)
(29.3)
(28.5)
20.9
5.1
(24.9)
(7.4)
(10.3)
(6.1)
28.3
88.4
Table 5. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

July-September
REGION
HARVEST AREA (Ha)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share Level % Level %
975,880 705,906 871,344 100.00 (269,974) (27.7)

19,741 21,687 22,345 2.56 1,946 9.9
31,596 27,967 26,498 3.04 (3,629) (11.5)
94,861 52,740 66,841 7.67 (42,121) (44.4)
47,923 43,813 39,913 4.58 (4,110) (8.6)
17,746 9,645 16,736 1.92 (8,101) (45.6)
47,817 15,590 40,232 4.62 (32,227) (67.4)
77,266 52,584 68,215 7.83 (24,682) (31.9)
264,160 156,705 256,423 29.43 (107,455) (40.7)
7,995 4,855 7,342 0.84 (3,140) (39.3)
49,056 44,527 48,207 5.53 (4,529) (9.2)
55,913 43,911 56,157 6.44 (12,002) (21.5)
34,140 31,348 35,049 4.02 (2,792) (8.2)
28,847 25,440 28,473 3.27 (3,407) (11.8)
110,343 99,155 103,130 11.84 (11,188) (10.1)
18,743 11,546 9,971 1.14 (7,197) (38.4)
69,733 64,393 45,812 5.26 (5,340) (7.7)
165,438
658
(1,469)
14,101
(3,900)
7,091
24,642
15,631
99,718
2,487
3,680
12,246
3,701
3,033
3,975
(1,575)
(18,581)
23.4
3.0
(5.3)
26.7
(8.9)
73.5
158.1
29.7
63.6
51.2
8.3
27.9
11.8
11.9
4.0
(13.6)
(28.9)
October-December
2009
2010
1,610,490
55,621
272,531
145,450
335,869
31,301
117,877
87,111
170,665
46,603
76,461
40,509
46,707
19,719
90,452
43,029
30,585
1,829,512
53,054
276,766
189,207
351,486
47,757
143,119
118,032
216,915
48,262
81,963
49,463
51,662
22,270
100,878
48,388
30,290
a/ - Standing crops
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011 a/
share Level % Level %
1,673,001
52,227
275,081
197,135
285,812
41,792
117,225
92,233
154,241
49,265
86,140
37,190
48,488
21,400
96,640
60,369
57,763
100.00 219,022 13.6 (156,511) (8.6)

3.12 (2,567) (4.6) (827) (1.6)
16.44 4,235 1.6 (1,685) (0.6)
11.78 43,757 30.1 7,928 4.2
17.08 15,617 4.6 (65,674) (18.7)
2.50 16,456 52.6 (5,965) (12.5)
7.01 25,242 21.4 (25,894) (18.1)
5.51 30,921 35.5 (25,799) (21.9)
9.22 46,250 27.1 (62,674) (28.9)
2.94 1,659 3.6 1,003 2.1
5.15 5,502 7.2 4,177 5.1
2.22 8,954 22.1 (12,273) (24.8)
2.90 4,955 10.6 (3,174) (6.1)
1.28 2,551 12.9
(870) (3.9)
5.78 10,426 11.5 (4,238) (4.2)
3.61 5,359 12.5 11,981 24.8
3.45
(295) (1.0) 27,473 90.7
17
18
Table 6. Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
July-September
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
3.61
3.07
4.35
4.00
4.31
3.42
3.47
3.43
3.48
2.90
3.40
3.58
4.08
4.79
3.65
3.30
2.76
2010
3.75
3.28
4.36
4.22
4.53
4.14
3.76
3.62
3.56
3.33
3.41
3.81
4.44
4.16
3.87
3.07
2.89
2011
3.64
3.12
4.17
3.89
4.29
3.34
3.74
3.28
3.51
3.24
3.45
3.95
4.13
4.49
3.75
2.91
2.78
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.14
0.21
0.02
0.22
0.22
0.72
0.29
0.19
0.08
0.42
0.01
0.23
0.36
(0.63)
0.22
(0.23)
0.13
3.9
7.0
0.4
5.5
5.1
21.2
8.4
5.6
2.3
14.6
0.2
6.4
8.7
(13.1)
6.1
(6.9)
4.6
(0.11)
(0.16)
(0.20)
(0.33)
(0.23)
(0.80)
(0.02)
(0.34)
(0.05)
(0.09)
0.04
0.14
(0.31)
0.33
(0.12)
(0.16)
(0.10)
(3.0)
(4.9)
(4.5)
(7.9)
(5.2)
(19.2)
(0.5)
(9.4)
(1.5)
(2.6)
1.3
3.7
(6.9)
7.8
(3.1)
(5.3)
(3.6)
October-December
2009
3.33
3.24
3.17
3.31
3.45
3.07
3.60
3.09
3.22
2.52
3.50
3.87
3.98
4.46
3.39
3.30
2.72
a/ - Standing crops
2010
3.56
3.20
3.88
3.13
3.69
3.85
3.44
3.44
3.40
2.82
3.61
3.96
4.16
4.34
3.70
3.04
3.16
2011 a/
3.55
3.40
4.08
3.38
3.34
3.27
3.71
3.11
3.42
3.34
3.61
3.95
4.11
4.04
3.63
3.12
3.12
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.22
(0.04)
0.71
(0.18)
0.23
0.78
(0.16)
0.35
0.17
0.31
0.12
0.08
0.19
(0.13)
0.31
(0.26)
0.43
6.6
(1.3)
22.4
(5.4)
6.8
25.3
(4.4)
11.2
5.4
12.1
3.3
2.2
4.7
(2.8)
9.2
(7.8)
15.9
(0.01)
0.20
0.20
0.25
(0.35)
(0.59)
0.27
(0.33)
0.02
0.52
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.05)
(0.29)
(0.07)
0.09
(0.04)
(0.3)
6.3
5.2
8.1
(9.5)
(15.2)
7.7
(9.5)
0.5
18.5
(0.0)
(0.2)
(1.3)
(6.7)
(1.9)
2.8
(1.2)
Table 7. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,

January-June
REGION
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
July-December
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
7,376,196 6,620,791 7,577,209 100.00 (755,405) (10.2) 956,418 14.4 8,890,221 9,151,528 9,101,014
CAR
190,793 159,436 185,084 2.44 (31,357) (16.4) 25,648 16.1 240,863 240,979 247,465
Ilocos
351,785 363,880 393,472 5.19 12,095 3.4 29,592 8.1 999,930 1,194,493 1,231,725
Cagayan Valley
1,216,342 930,999 1,223,822 16.15 (285,343) (23.5) 292,823 31.5 860,694 814,723 927,118
Central Luzon
1,439,237 1,464,445 1,476,120 19.48 25,208 1.8 11,675 0.8 1,366,230 1,493,970 1,124,733
Calabarzon
226,228 166,339 208,497 2.75 (59,889) (26.5) 42,158 25.3 156,807 223,850 192,443
Mimaropa
340,267 306,007 391,299 5.16 (34,260) (10.1) 85,292 27.9 590,407 551,525 585,305
Bicol
511,530 485,154 550,317 7.26 (26,376) (5.2) 65,163 13.4 533,971 595,924 510,532
Western Visayas
734,810 494,155 807,325 10.65 (240,655) (32.8) 313,170 63.4 1,470,261 1,295,538 1,426,306
Central Visayas
136,349 118,135 135,572 1.79 (18,214) (13.4) 17,437 14.8 140,469 152,314 188,464
Eastern Visayas
518,174 516,456 512,572 6.76 (1,718) (0.3) (3,884) (0.8) 434,046 447,689 477,365
Zamboanga Peninsula 208,915 189,815 252,272 3.33 (19,100) (9.1) 62,457 32.9 356,849 362,830 368,455
Northern Mindanao
258,183 232,261 266,435 3.52 (25,922) (10.0) 34,174 14.7 325,114 354,181 344,000
Davao Region
197,546 200,328 197,834 2.61 2,782 1.4 (2,494) (1.2) 226,279 202,483 214,428
SOCCSKSARGEN
520,150 428,029 502,906 6.64 (92,121) (17.7) 74,877 17.5 708,890 757,167 737,522
Caraga
221,836 223,417 203,116 2.68 1,581 0.7 (20,301) (9.1) 203,715 182,454 217,592
ARMM
304,051 341,935 270,566 3.57 37,884 12.5 (71,369) (20.9) 275,696 281,408 307,562
100.00
2.72
13.53
10.19
12.36
2.11
6.43
5.61
15.67
2.07
5.25
4.05
3.78
2.36
8.10
2.39
3.38
261,307
116
194,563
(45,971)
127,740
67,043
(38,882)
61,953
(174,723)
11,845
13,643
5,981
29,067
(23,796)
48,277
(21,261)
5,712
2.9
0.0
19.5
(5.3)
9.3
42.8
(6.6)
11.6
(11.9)
8.4
3.1
1.7
8.9
(10.5)
6.8
(10.4)
2.1
(50,514)
6,486
37,232
112,395
(369,237)
(31,407)
33,780
(85,392)
130,768
36,150
29,676
5,625
(10,181)
11,945
(19,645)
35,138
26,154
(0.6)
2.7
3.1
13.8
(24.7)
(14.0)
6.1
(14.3)
10.1
23.7
6.6
1.6
(2.9)
5.9
(2.6)
19.3
9.3
19
20
Table 8. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,

January-June
REGION
HARVEST AREA (Ha)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
1,945,940
44,006
85,212
293,004
280,329
57,991
106,207
149,225
234,481
48,329
147,094
57,321
66,423
47,602
148,873
75,401
104,442
1,818,743
42,316
89,377
264,404
286,602
46,722
103,675
146,188
167,633
48,758
149,201
51,696
60,314
48,191
129,784
70,933
112,949
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
1,993,322
44,207
90,896
298,830
291,788
55,658
113,294
157,913
242,750
50,217
150,626
65,072
69,009
50,868
144,140
71,549
96,505
100.00
2.22
4.56
14.99
14.64
2.79
5.68
7.92
12.18
2.52
7.56
3.26
3.46
2.55
7.23
3.59
4.84
(127,197)
(1,690)
4,165
(28,600)
6,273
(11,269)
(2,532)
(3,037)
(66,848)
429
2,107
(5,625)
(6,109)
589
(19,089)
(4,468)
8,507
(6.5)
(3.8)
4.9
(9.8)
2.2
(19.4)
(2.4)
(2.0)
(28.5)
0.9
1.4
(9.8)
(9.2)
1.2
(12.8)
(5.9)
8.1
174,579
1,891
1,519
34,426
5,186
8,936
9,619
11,725
75,117
1,459
1,425
13,376
8,695
2,677
14,356
616
(16,444)
9.6
4.5
1.7
13.0
1.8
19.1
9.3
8.0
44.8
3.0
1.0
25.9
14.4
5.6
11.1
0.9
(14.6)
July-December
2009
2010
2,586,370
75,362
304,127
240,311
383,792
49,047
165,694
164,377
434,825
54,598
125,517
96,422
80,847
48,566
200,795
61,772
100,318
2,535,418
74,741
304,733
241,947
395,299
57,402
158,709
170,616
373,620
53,117
126,490
93,374
83,010
47,710
200,033
59,934
94,683
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
2,544,345
74,572
301,579
263,976
325,725
58,528
157,457
160,448
410,664
56,607
134,347
93,347
83,537
49,873
199,770
70,340
103,575
100.00
2.93
11.85
10.38
12.80
2.30
6.19
6.31
16.14
2.22
5.28
3.67
3.28
1.96
7.85
2.76
4.07
(50,952)
(621)
606
1,636
11,507
8,355
(6,985)
6,239
(61,205)
(1,481)
973
(3,048)
2,163
(856)
(762)
(1,838)
(5,635)
(2.0)
(0.8)
0.2
0.7
3.0
17.0
(4.2)
3.8
(14.1)
(2.7)
0.8
(3.2)
2.7
(1.8)
(0.4)
(3.0)
(5.6)
8,927
(169)
(3,154)
22,029
(69,574)
1,126
(1,252)
(10,168)
37,044
3,490
7,857
(27)
527
2,163
(263)
10,406
8,892
0.4
(0.2)
(1.0)
9.1
(17.6)
2.0
(0.8)
(6.0)
9.9
6.6
6.2
(0.0)
0.6
4.5
(0.1)
17.4
9.4
Table 9. Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,
January-June
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
3.79
4.34
4.13
4.15
5.13
3.90
3.20
3.43
3.13
2.82
3.52
3.64
3.89
4.15
3.49
2.94
2.91
2010
3.64
3.77
4.07
3.52
5.11
3.56
2.95
3.32
2.95
2.42
3.46
3.67
3.85
4.16
3.30
3.15
3.03
2011
3.80
4.19
4.33
4.10
5.06
3.75
3.45
3.48
3.33
2.70
3.40
3.88
3.86
3.89
3.49
2.84
2.80
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
(0.15)
(0.57)
(0.06)
(0.63)
(0.02)
(0.34)
(0.25)
(0.11)
(0.19)
(0.40)
(0.06)
0.03
(0.04)
0.01
(0.20)
0.21
0.12
(4.0)
(13.1)
(1.4)
(15.2)
(0.5)
(8.7)
(7.9)
(3.2)
(5.9)
(14.1)
(1.7)
0.7
(0.9)
0.2
(5.6)
7.1
4.0
0.16
0.42
0.26
0.57
(0.05)
0.19
0.50
0.17
0.38
0.28
(0.06)
0.21
0.01
(0.27)
0.19
(0.31)
(0.22)
4.4
11.1
6.3
16.3
(1.0)
5.2
17.0
5.0
12.8
11.4
(1.7)
5.6
0.3
(6.4)
5.8
(9.9)
(7.4)
July-December
2009
2010
3.44
3.20
3.29
3.58
3.56
3.20
3.56
3.25
3.38
2.57
3.46
3.70
4.02
4.66
3.53
3.30
2.75
3.61
3.22
3.92
3.37
3.78
3.90
3.48
3.49
3.47
2.87
3.54
3.89
4.27
4.24
3.79
3.04
2.97
2011
3.58
3.32
4.08
3.51
3.45
3.29
3.72
3.18
3.47
3.33
3.55
3.95
4.12
4.30
3.69
3.09
2.97
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.17
0.03
0.63
(0.21)
0.22
0.70
(0.09)
0.24
0.09
0.29
0.08
0.18
0.25
(0.42)
0.25
(0.25)
0.22
5.0
0.9
19.2
(6.0)
6.2
22.0
(2.5)
7.5
2.6
11.5
2.3
5.0
6.1
(8.9)
7.2
(7.7)
8.1
(0.03)
0.09
0.16
0.14
(0.33)
(0.61)
0.24
(0.31)
0.01
0.46
0.01
0.06
(0.15)
0.06
(0.09)
0.05
(0.00)
(0.9)
2.9
4.2
4.3
(8.6)
(15.7)
7.0
(8.9)
0.2
16.1
0.4
1.6
(3.5)
1.3
(2.5)
1.6
(0.1)
21
22
Table 10. Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by ecosystem,
ITEM
PERCENT CHANGE
2011/2010 2012/2011
2010
2011
2012 b/
PRODUCTION ('000MT)
Irrigated
Rainfed
3,492
2,740
752
4,037
3,123
914
4,093
3,112
980
15.63
14.01
21.53
1.37
(0.35)
7.25

Irrigated
Rainfed
1,024
706
318
1,098
770
328
1,128
767
362
7.24
9.11
3.11
2.79
(0.41)
10.28
3.41
3.88
2.37
3.68
4.06
2.79
3.63
4.06
2.71
7.82
4.49
17.87
(1.38)
0.06
(2.75)
YIELD/HECTARE (MT)
Irrigated
Rainfed
b/ - Planting intentions
Table 11. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

Philippines, January-December, 2009-2011 and January-March, 2010-2012
January-December
REGION
2009
2010
2011
Percent
share
January-March
Change
2010 / 2009
Level %
2011 / 2010
Level %
2010
2011
Change
Percent 2011 / 2010 2012 / 2011
2012 b/
share
Level % Level %
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
16,266,417 15,772,319 16,678,223 100.00 (494,098) (3.0) 905,904 5.7 3,491,640 4,037,331 4,092,610 100.00 545,691 15.6 55,279 1.4
CAR
431,656 400,415 432,549 2.59 (31,241) (7.2) 32,134 8.0 50,411 54,736 56,042 1.37 4,325 8.6 1,306 2.4
Ilocos
1,351,715 1,558,373 1,625,197 9.74 206,658 15.3 66,824 4.3 263,338 280,553 287,278 7.02 17,215 6.5 6,725 2.4
Cagayan Valley
2,077,036 1,745,722 2,150,940 12.90 (331,314) (16.0) 405,218 23.2 369,221 629,386 635,798 15.54 260,165 70.5 6,412 1.0
Central Luzon
2,805,467 2,958,415 2,600,853 15.59 152,948 5.5 (357,562) (12.1) 594,280 572,958 597,769 14.61 (21,322) (3.6) 24,811 4.3
Calabarzon
383,035 390,189 400,940 2.40 7,154 1.9 10,751 2.8 77,913 92,288 97,577 2.38 14,375 18.5 5,289 5.7
Mimaropa
930,674 857,532 976,604 5.86 (73,142) (7.9) 119,072 13.9 190,448 209,430 225,224 5.50 18,982 10.0 15,794 7.5
Bicol
1,045,501 1,081,078 1,060,849 6.36 35,577 3.4 (20,229) (1.9) 248,345 251,362 263,288 6.43 3,017 1.2 11,926 4.7
Western Visayas
2,205,071 1,789,693 2,233,631 13.39 (415,378) (18.8) 443,938 24.8 422,074 642,749 543,242 13.27 220,675 52.3 (99,507) (15.5)
Central Visayas
276,818 270,449 324,036 1.94 (6,369) (2.3) 53,587 19.8 83,990 85,250 90,300 2.21 1,260 1.5 5,050 5.9
Eastern Visayas
952,220 964,145 989,937 5.94 11,925 1.3 25,792 2.7 253,772 244,317 262,051 6.40 (9,455) (3.7) 17,734 7.3
Zamboanga Peninsula
565,764 552,645 620,727 3.72 (13,119) (2.3) 68,082 12.3 128,228 164,733 168,086 4.11 36,505 28.5 3,353 2.0
Northern Mindanao
583,297 586,442 610,435 3.66 3,145 0.5 23,993 4.1 116,173 144,591 146,000 3.57 28,418 24.5 1,409 1.0
Davao Region
423,825 402,811 412,262 2.47 (21,014) (5.0) 9,451 2.3 114,932 123,517 126,600 3.09 8,585 7.5 3,083 2.5
SOCCSKSARGEN
1,229,040 1,185,196 1,240,428 7.44 (43,844) (3.6) 55,232 4.7 330,595 382,515 370,722 9.06 51,920 15.7 (11,793) (3.1)
Caraga
425,551 405,871 420,708 2.52 (19,680) (4.6) 14,837 3.7 33,386 21,393 27,853 0.68 (11,993) (35.9) 6,460 30.2
ARMM
579,747 623,343 578,128 3.47 43,596 7.5 (45,215) (7.3) 214,534 137,553 194,780 4.76 (76,981) (35.9) 57,227 41.6
23
24
Table 12. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,

January-December
REGION
HARVEST AREA (Ha)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
2011
Percent
share
January-March
Change
2010 / 2009
Level %
2011 / 2010
Level %
4,532,310 4,354,161 4,537,667 100.0 (178,149) (3.9) 183,506

119,368 117,057 118,779 2.62 (2,311) (1.9) 1,722
389,339 394,110 392,475 8.65 4,771 1.2 (1,635)
533,315 506,351 562,806 12.40 (26,964) (5.1) 56,455
664,121 681,901 617,513 13.61 17,780 2.7 (64,388)
107,038 104,124 114,186 2.52 (2,914) (2.7) 10,062
271,901 262,384 270,751 5.97 (9,517) (3.5) 8,367
313,602 316,804 318,361 7.02 3,202 1.0 1,557
669,306 541,253 653,414 14.40 (128,053) (19.1) 112,161
102,927 101,875 106,824 2.35 (1,052) (1.0) 4,949
272,611 275,691 284,973 6.28 3,080 1.1 9,282
153,743 145,070 158,419 3.49 (8,673) (5.6) 13,349
147,270 143,324 152,546 3.36 (3,946) (2.7) 9,222
96,168 95,901 100,741 2.22 (267) (0.3) 4,840
349,668 329,817 343,910 7.58 (19,851) (5.7) 14,093
137,173 130,867 141,889 3.13 (6,306) (4.6) 11,022
204,760 207,632 200,080 4.41 2,872 1.4 (7,552)
4.2
1.5
(0.4)
11.1
(9.4)
9.7
3.2
0.5
20.7
4.9
3.4
9.2
6.4
5.0
4.3
8.4
(3.6)
2010
2011
1,023,685
13,637
64,156
116,688
121,858
24,554
68,277
81,338
143,117
32,753
81,283
37,199
29,755
27,626
99,857
9,767
71,820
1,097,840
13,704
62,295
159,931
122,288
26,031
63,601
72,869
195,244
33,016
78,657
42,300
36,317
30,755
110,066
7,531
43,235
Change
Percent 2011 / 2010 2012 / 2011
2012 b/
share
Level % Level %
1,128,419
13,750
63,482
167,863
125,009
27,255
64,870
82,053
170,396
33,425
82,164
44,845
37,331
29,785
107,558
9,175
69,458
100.00
1.22
5.63
14.88
11.08
2.42
5.75
7.27
15.10
2.96
7.28
3.97
3.31
2.64
9.53
0.81
6.16
74,155
67
(1,861)
43,243
430
1,477
(4,676)
(8,469)
52,127
263
(2,626)
5,101
6,562
3,129
10,209
(2,236)
(28,585)
7.2
0.5
(2.9)
37.1
0.4
6.0
(6.8)
(10.4)
36.4
0.8
(3.2)
13.7
22.1
11.3
10.2
(22.9)
(39.8)
30,579
46
1,187
7,932
2,721
1,224
1,269
9,184
(24,848)
409
3,507
2,545
1,014
(970)
(2,508)
1,644
26,223
2.8
0.3
1.9
5.0
2.2
4.7
2.0
12.6
(12.7)
1.2
4.5
6.0
2.8
(3.2)
(2.3)
21.8
60.7
Table 13. Palay: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,
January-December
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
3.59
3.62
3.47
3.89
4.22
3.58
3.42
3.33
3.29
2.69
3.49
3.68
3.96
4.41
3.51
3.10
2.83
2010
3.62
3.42
3.95
3.45
4.34
3.75
3.27
3.41
3.31
2.65
3.50
3.81
4.09
4.20
3.59
3.10
3.00
2011
3.68
3.64
4.14
3.82
4.21
3.51
3.61
3.33
3.42
3.03
3.47
3.92
4.00
4.09
3.61
2.97
2.89
Change
2010 / 2009
Level %
0.03
(0.20)
0.48
(0.45)
0.11
0.17
(0.15)
0.08
0.01
(0.03)
0.00
0.13
0.13
(0.21)
0.08
(0.00)
0.17
January-March
0.9
(5.4)
13.9
(11.5)
2.7
4.7
(4.5)
2.4
0.4
(1.3)
0.1
3.5
3.3
(4.7)
2.2
(0.0)
6.0
2011 / 2010
Level %
0.05
0.22
0.19
0.37
(0.13)
(0.24)
0.34
(0.08)
0.11
0.38
(0.02)
0.11
(0.09)
(0.11)
0.01
(0.14)
(0.11)
1.5
6.5
4.7
10.9
(2.9)
(6.3)
10.4
(2.4)
3.4
14.3
(0.7)
2.9
(2.2)
(2.6)
0.4
(4.4)
(3.8)
2010
3.41
3.70
4.10
3.16
4.88
3.17
2.79
3.05
2.95
2.56
3.12
3.45
3.90
4.16
3.31
3.42
2.99
2011
3.68
3.99
4.50
3.94
4.69
3.55
3.29
3.45
3.29
2.58
3.11
3.89
3.98
4.02
3.48
2.84
3.18
2012 b/
3.63
4.08
4.53
3.79
4.78
3.58
3.47
3.21
3.19
2.70
3.19
3.75
3.91
4.25
3.45
3.04
2.80
Change
2011 / 2010 2012 / 2011
Level % Level %
0.27
0.30
0.40
0.77
(0.19)
0.37
0.50
0.40
0.34
0.02
(0.02)
0.45
0.08
(0.14)
0.16
(0.58)
0.19
7.8
8.0
9.7
24.4
(3.9)
11.7
18.1
13.0
11.6
0.7
(0.5)
13.0
2.0
(3.5)
5.0
(16.9)
6.5
(0.05)
0.08
0.02
(0.15)
0.10
0.03
0.18
(0.24)
(0.10)
0.12
0.08
(0.15)
(0.07)
0.23
(0.03)
0.20
(0.38)
(1.4)
2.0
0.5
(3.8)
2.1
1.0
5.4
(7.0)
(3.2)
4.6
2.7
(3.8)
(1.8)
5.8
(0.8)
6.9
(11.9)
25
26
Table 14. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,
ITEM
PRODUCTION ('000MT)
January-December
White
Yellow
January-June
White
Yellow
January-March
White
Yellow
April-June
White
Yellow
July-December
White
Yellow
July-September
White
Yellow
October-December
White
Yellow
2009
2010
2011
7,034
2,316
4,718
3,218
865
2,353
1,925
490
1,434
1,293
375
918
3,816
1,451
2,365
2,373
830
1,542
1,443
621
823
6,377
2,169
4,208
2,415
751
1,664
1,602
454
1,148
813
297
516
3,962
1,418
2,543
2,318
848
1,470
1,643
570
1,073
6,990
2,177
4,813
3,309
877
2,432
1,915
532
1,383
1,395
345
1,050
3,680
1,300
2,380
2,179
682
1,497
1,501 a/
618
883
PERCENT CHANGE
2010 / 2009
2011/ 2010
(9.3)
(6.4)
(10.8)
(24.9)
(13.2)
(29.3)
(16.8)
(7.5)
(19.9)
(37.1)
(20.8)
(43.8)
3.8
(2.3)
7.5
(2.3)
2.2
(4.7)
13.8
(8.2)
30.5
9.6
0.4
14.4
37.0
16.8
46.1
19.5
17.2
20.4
71.6
16.2
103.4
(7.1)
(8.3)
(6.4)
(6.0)
(19.6)
1.8
(8.7)
8.4
(17.7)
a/ - Standing crops
Table 15. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,
ITEM
January-December
White
Yellow
January-June
White
Yellow
January-March
White
Yellow
April-June
White
Yellow
July-December
White
Yellow
July-September
White
Yellow
October-December
White
Yellow
2009
2010
2011
2,684
1,403
1,281
1,131
506
624
675
289
386
455
217
238
1,553
896
657
949
534
415
604
363
241
2,499
1,339
1,160
967
467
500
639
292
346
328
175
154
1,532
872
660
900
521
380
632
351
281
2,547
1,284
1,263
1,101
496
605
652
304
348
448
192
257
1,447
788
658
856
448
408
591 a/
340
251
a/ - Standing crops
PERCENT CHANGE
2010 / 2009
2011/ 2010
(6.9)
(4.6)
(9.4)
(14.5)
(7.8)
(19.9)
(5.4)
1.0
(10.2)
(27.9)
(19.6)
(35.5)
(1.4)
(2.7)
0.5
(5.2)
(2.5)
(8.6)
4.6
(3.1)
16.2
1.9
(4.1)
8.9
13.8
6.2
21.0
2.1
4.0
0.6
36.6
9.8
66.9
(5.6)
(9.6)
(0.3)
(4.9)
(13.9)
7.5
(6.5)
(3.2)
(10.7)
27
28
Table 16. Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,
ITEM
YIELD/HECTARE (MT)
January-December
White
Yellow
January-June
White
Yellow
January-March
White
Yellow
April-June
White
Yellow
July-December
White
Yellow
July-September
White
Yellow
October-December
White
Yellow
2009
2010
2011
2.62
1.65
3.68
2.85
1.71
3.77
2.85
1.69
3.72
2.84
1.73
3.85
2.46
1.62
3.60
2.50
1.56
3.71
2.39
1.71
3.41
2.55
1.62
3.63
2.50
1.61
3.33
2.51
1.55
3.32
2.48
1.70
3.36
2.59
1.63
3.85
2.58
1.63
3.87
2.60
1.62
3.83
2.74
1.70
3.81
3.01
1.77
4.02
2.93
1.75
3.97
3.11
1.80
4.09
2.54
1.65
3.61
2.55
1.52
3.67
2.54
1.82
3.53
PERCENT CHANGE
2010 / 2009
2011/ 2010
(2.6)
(1.9)
(1.5)
(12.3)
(5.9)
(11.7)
(12.0)
(8.4)
(10.8)
(12.8)
(1.5)
(12.8)
5.3
0.5
7.0
3.1
4.8
4.3
8.8
(5.2)
12.3
7.5
4.7
5.0
20.4
10.0
20.8
17.0
12.7
19.7
25.6
5.8
21.8
(1.6)
1.4
(6.2)
(1.2)
(6.5)
(5.3)
(2.3)
11.9
(7.8)
Table 17. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

July-September
REGION
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
October-December
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011 a/
share
Level % Level %
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
2,372,571 2,318,458 2,179,446 100.00 (54,113) (2.3) (139,012) (6.0) 1,443,400 1,643,175 1,500,959 100.00 199,775 13.8 (142,216) (8.7)
CAR
76,641 92,471 89,355 4.10 15,830 20.7 (3,116) (3.4) 18,865 22,181 23,846 1.59 3,316 17.6 1,665 7.5
Ilocos
12,851
8,039
7,621 0.35 (4,812) (37.4) (418) (5.2) 5,679
5,989
5,899 0.39 310 5.5
(90) (1.5)
Cagayan Valley
637,322 620,946 621,278 28.51 (16,376) (2.6)
332 0.1 153,586 245,251 100,157 6.67 91,665 59.7 (145,094) (59.2)
Central Luzon
16,933 16,103 12,211 0.56 (830) (4.9) (3,892) (24.2) 11,110
7,394
4,107 0.27 (3,716) (33.4) (3,287) (44.5)
Calabarzon
21,127 28,348 22,351 1.03 7,221 34.2 (5,997) (21.2) 10,216 22,541 18,495 1.23 12,325 120.6 (4,046) (17.9)
Mimaropa
39,425 18,283 22,994 1.06 (21,142) (53.6) 4,711 25.8
4,969
6,796
6,821 0.45 1,827 36.8
25 0.4
Bicol
60,791 38,241 70,443 3.23 (22,550) (37.1) 32,202 84.2 31,343 56,604 27,776 1.85 25,261 80.6 (28,828) (50.9)
Western Visayas
98,292 89,616 122,021 5.60 (8,676) (8.8) 32,405 36.2 37,048 78,908 42,321 2.82 41,860 113.0 (36,587) (46.4)
Central Visayas
112,332 105,035 101,636 4.66 (7,297) (6.5) (3,399) (3.2) 40,051 47,098 43,647 2.91 7,047 17.6 (3,451) (7.3)
Eastern Visayas
22,786 20,556 20,075 0.92 (2,230) (9.8) (481) (2.3) 24,411 23,844 24,618 1.64 (567) (2.3)
774 3.2
Zamboanga Peninsula 64,715 96,004 76,010 3.49 31,289 48.3 (19,994) (20.8) 57,669 63,619 55,664 3.71 5,950 10.3 (7,955) (12.5)
Northern Mindanao
484,290 448,340 423,596 19.44 (35,950) (7.4) (24,744) (5.5) 307,716 381,580 372,855 24.84 73,864 24.0 (8,725) (2.3)
Davao Region
68,381 67,573 57,192 2.62 (808) (1.2) (10,381) (15.4) 70,167 67,578 62,100 4.14 (2,589) (3.7) (5,478) (8.1)
SOCCSKSARGEN
348,348 384,722 350,772 16.09 36,374 10.4 (33,950) (8.8) 335,880 354,970 376,129 25.06 19,090 5.7 21,159 6.0
Caraga
42,859 19,873 35,840 1.64 (22,986) (53.6) 15,967 80.3 39,082 46,832 34,634 2.31 7,750 19.8 (12,198) (26.0)
ARMM
265,478 264,308 146,051 6.70 (1,170) (0.4) (118,257) (44.7) 295,608 211,990 301,890 20.11 (83,618) (28.3) 89,900 42.4
a/ - Standing crop
29
30
Table 18. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
July-September
REGION
HARVEST AREA (Ha)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
949,175
22,881
4,476
161,230
5,538
16,249
13,221
41,395
48,063
123,082
16,699
60,048
142,834
51,999
135,398
17,334
88,728
900,067
25,643
2,552
154,585
5,257
12,242
7,069
25,534
45,115
115,011
15,214
68,684
130,801
51,577
140,766
8,704
91,313
855,985
24,263
2,434
171,894
4,347
11,940
8,857
42,333
48,386
110,790
14,851
53,084
124,951
43,980
127,701
14,295
51,879
100.00
2.83
0.28
20.08
0.51
1.39
1.03
4.95
5.65
12.94
1.73
6.20
14.60
5.14
14.92
1.67
6.06
(49,108)
2,762
(1,924)
(6,645)
(281)
(4,007)
(6,152)
(15,861)
(2,948)
(8,071)
(1,485)
8,636
(12,033)
(422)
5,368
(8,630)
2,585
(5.2)
12.1
(43.0)
(4.1)
(5.1)
(24.7)
(46.5)
(38.3)
(6.1)
(6.6)
(8.9)
14.4
(8.4)
(0.8)
4.0
(49.8)
2.9
(44,082)
(1,380)
(118)
17,309
(910)
(302)
1,788
16,799
3,271
(4,221)
(363)
(15,600)
(5,850)
(7,597)
(13,065)
5,591
(39,434)
October-December
2009
2010
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011 a/
share
Level % Level %
(4.9) 604,128 632,008 590,790 100.00

(5.4) 5,413
5,550
5,989 1.01
(4.6) 1,774
1,778
1,734 0.29
11.2 44,936 60,094 34,620 5.86
(17.3) 2,630
2,133
1,461 0.25
(2.5) 7,529 10,638
9,990 1.69
25.3
2,691
3,388
3,610 0.61
65.8 13,770 31,083 11,943 2.02
7.3 21,328 27,805 21,174 3.58
(3.7) 55,901 53,615 51,581 8.73
(2.4) 18,878 18,148 18,317 3.10
(22.7) 39,996 47,108 39,276 6.65
(4.5) 100,974 105,030 97,992 16.59
(14.7) 54,324 45,750 50,300 8.51
(9.3) 120,447 128,098 133,294 22.56
64.2 18,047 19,872 15,546 2.63
(43.2) 95,490 71,918 93,963 15.90
a/ - Standing crop
27,880
137
4
15,158
(497)
3,109
697
17,313
6,477
(2,286)
(730)
7,112
4,056
(8,574)
7,651
1,825
(23,572)
4.6
2.5
0.2
33.7
(18.9)
41.3
25.9
125.7
30.4
(4.1)
(3.9)
17.8
4.0
(15.8)
6.4
10.1
(24.7)
(41,218)
439
(44)
(25,474)
(672)
(648)
222
(19,140)
(6,631)
(2,034)
169
(7,832)
(7,038)
4,550
5,196
(4,326)
22,045
(6.5)
7.9
(2.5)
(42.4)
(31.5)
(6.1)
6.6
(61.6)
(23.8)
(3.8)
0.9
(16.6)
(6.7)
9.9
4.1
(21.8)
30.7
Table 19. Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,
July-September
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2.50
3.35
2.87
3.95
3.06
1.30
2.98
1.47
2.05
0.91
1.36
1.08
3.39
1.32
2.57
2.47
2.99
2010
2.58
3.61
3.15
4.02
3.06
2.32
2.59
1.50
1.99
0.91
1.35
1.40
3.43
1.31
2.73
2.28
2.89
2011
2.55
3.68
3.13
3.61
2.81
1.87
2.60
1.66
2.52
0.92
1.35
1.43
3.39
1.30
2.75
2.51
2.82
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.08
0.26
0.28
0.06
0.01
1.02
(0.40)
0.03
(0.06)
0.00
(0.01)
0.32
0.04
(0.00)
0.16
(0.19)
(0.10)
3.1
7.7
9.7
1.6
0.2
78.1
(13.3)
2.0
(2.9)
0.1
(1.0)
29.7
1.1
(0.4)
6.2
(7.7)
(3.3)
(0.03)
0.08
(0.02)
(0.40)
(0.25)
(0.44)
0.01
0.17
0.54
0.00
0.00
0.03
(0.04)
(0.01)
0.01
0.22
(0.08)
(1.2)
2.1
(0.6)
(10.0)
(8.3)
(19.2)
0.4
11.1
27.0
0.5
0.0
2.4
(1.1)
(0.7)
0.5
9.8
(2.7)
October-December
2009
2.39
3.49
3.20
3.42
4.22
1.36
1.85
2.28
1.74
0.72
1.29
1.44
3.05
1.29
2.79
2.17
3.10
31
a/ - Standing crop
2010
2.60
4.00
3.37
4.08
3.47
2.12
2.01
1.82
2.84
0.88
1.31
1.35
3.63
1.48
2.77
2.36
2.95
2011 a/
2.54
3.98
3.40
2.89
2.81
1.85
1.89
2.33
2.00
0.85
1.34
1.42
3.80
1.23
2.82
2.23
3.21
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.2
0.5
0.2
0.7
(0.8)
0.8
0.2
(0.5)
1.1
0.2
0.0
(0.1)
0.6
0.2
(0.0)
0.2
(0.1)
8.8
14.7
5.2
19.4
(17.9)
56.2
8.6
(20.0)
63.4
22.6
1.6
(6.3)
19.2
14.4
(0.6)
8.8
(4.8)
(0.1)
(0.0)
0.0
(1.2)
(0.7)
(0.3)
(0.1)
0.5
(0.8)
(0.0)
0.0
0.1
0.2
(0.2)
0.1
(0.1)
0.3
(2.3)
(0.4)
1.0
(29.1)
(18.9)
(12.6)
(5.8)
27.7
(29.6)
(3.7)
2.3
4.9
4.7
(16.4)
1.8
(5.5)
9.0
32
Table 20. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by semester, by region

January-June
REGION
2009
2010
Percent
2011
share
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
3,218,062 2,415,163 3,309,439 100.00 (802,899) (24.9) 894,276 37.0
CAR
106,267 57,543 105,787 3.20 (48,724) (45.9) 48,244 83.8
Ilocos
332,573 344,417 374,362 11.31 11,844 3.6 29,945 8.7
Cagayan Valley
807,290 397,417 879,331 26.57 (409,873) (50.8) 481,914 121.3
Central Luzon
189,202 174,393 172,221 5.20 (14,809) (7.8) (2,172) (1.2)
Calabarzon
20,606
9,320 18,209 0.55 (11,286) (54.8) 8,889 95.4
Mimaropa
59,512 42,633 53,311 1.61 (16,879) (28.4) 10,678 25.0
Bicol
104,982 79,634 117,445 3.55 (25,348) (24.1) 37,811 47.5
Western Visayas
137,504 79,473 145,986 4.41 (58,031) (42.2) 66,513 83.7
Central Visayas
34,096 26,280 33,894 1.02 (7,816) (22.9) 7,614 29.0
Eastern Visayas
47,624 45,815 39,732 1.20 (1,809) (3.8) (6,083) (13.3)
Zamboanga Peninsula
54,864 35,726 62,712 1.89 (19,138) (34.9) 26,986 75.5
Northern Mindanao
378,618 323,319 413,329 12.49 (55,299) (14.6) 90,010 27.8
Davao Region
86,530 67,203 68,039 2.06 (19,327) (22.3) 836 1.2
SOCCSKSARGEN
462,401 324,756 442,916 13.38 (137,645) (29.8) 118,160 36.4
Caraga
6,650 27,866
2,765 0.08 21,216 319.0 (25,101) (90.1)
ARMM
389,343 379,368 379,400 11.46 (9,975) (2.6)
32 0.0
July-December
2009
2010
3,815,971
95,506
18,530
790,908
28,043
31,343
44,394
92,134
135,340
152,383
47,197
122,384
792,006
138,548
684,228
81,941
561,086
3,961,633
114,652
14,028
866,197
23,497
50,889
25,079
94,845
168,524
152,133
44,400
159,623
829,920
135,151
739,692
66,705
476,298
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
3,680,405
113,201
13,520
721,435
16,318
40,846
29,815
98,219
164,342
145,283
44,693
131,674
796,451
119,292
726,901
70,474
447,941
100.00
3.08
0.37
19.60
0.44
1.11
0.81
2.67
4.47
3.95
1.21
3.58
21.64
3.24
19.75
1.91
12.17
145,662
19,146
(4,502)
75,289
(4,546)
19,546
(19,315)
2,711
33,184
(250)
(2,797)
37,239
37,914
(3,397)
55,464
(15,236)
(84,788)
3.8
20.0
(24.3)
9.5
(16.2)
62.4
(43.5)
2.9
24.5
(0.2)
(5.9)
30.4
4.8
(2.5)
8.1
(18.6)
(15.1)
(281,228)
(1,451)
(508)
(144,762)
(7,179)
(10,043)
4,736
3,374
(4,182)
(6,850)
293
(27,949)
(33,469)
(15,859)
(12,791)
3,769
(28,357)
(7.1)
(1.3)
(3.6)
(16.7)
(30.6)
(19.7)
18.9
3.6
(2.5)
(4.5)
0.7
(17.5)
(4.0)
(11.7)
(1.7)
5.7
(6.0)
Table 21. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semester, by region
January-June
REGION
HARVEST AREA (Ha)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
1,130,587
26,918
66,903
210,955
37,581
11,426
15,455
51,550
56,378
52,490
32,886
35,806
137,565
68,351
174,337
4,139
147,847
966,965
17,798
71,012
150,044
35,587
6,807
12,527
45,195
39,582
47,354
31,310
26,767
130,124
55,955
136,780
11,025
149,098
Percent
2011
share
1,100,678
25,800
73,015
215,581
33,026
9,928
13,996
53,967
52,680
50,099
27,909
40,354
141,478
54,793
165,982
1,729
140,341
100.00
2.34
6.63
19.59
3.00
0.90
1.27
4.90
4.79
4.55
2.54
3.67
12.85
4.98
15.08
0.16
12.75
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
(163,622)
(9,120)
4,109
(60,911)
(1,994)
(4,619)
(2,928)
(6,355)
(16,796)
(5,136)
(1,576)
(9,039)
(7,441)
(12,396)
(37,557)
6,886
1,251
(14.5)
(33.9)
6.1
(28.9)
(5.3)
(40.4)
(18.9)
(12.3)
(29.8)
(9.8)
(4.8)
(25.2)
(5.4)
(18.1)
(21.5)
166.4
0.8
133,713
8,002
2,003
65,537
(2,561)
3,121
1,469
8,772
13,098
2,745
(3,401)
13,587
11,354
(1,162)
29,202
(9,296)
(8,757)
13.8
45.0
2.8
43.7
(7.2)
45.8
11.7
19.4
33.1
5.8
(10.9)
50.8
8.7
(2.1)
21.3
(84.3)
(5.9)
July-December
2009
2010
1,553,303
28,294
6,250
206,166
8,168
23,778
15,912
55,165
69,391
178,983
35,577
100,044
243,808
106,323
255,845
35,381
184,218
1,532,075
31,193
4,330
214,679
7,390
22,880
10,457
56,617
72,920
168,626
33,362
115,792
235,831
97,327
268,864
28,576
163,231
Change
Percent 2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
2011
share
Level % Level %
1,446,775
30,252
4,168
206,514
5,808
21,930
12,467
54,276
69,560
162,371
33,168
92,360
222,943
94,280
260,995
29,841
145,842
100.00
2.09
0.29
14.27
0.40
1.52
0.86
3.75
4.81
11.22
2.29
6.38
15.41
6.52
18.04
2.06
10.08
(21,228)
2,899
(1,920)
8,513
(778)
(898)
(5,455)
1,452
3,529
(10,357)
(2,215)
15,748
(7,977)
(8,996)
13,019
(6,805)
(20,987)
(1.4)
10.2
(30.7)
4.1
(9.5)
(3.8)
(34.3)
2.6
5.1
(5.8)
(6.2)
15.7
(3.3)
(8.5)
5.1
(19.2)
(11.4)
(85,300)
(941)
(162)
(8,165)
(1,582)
(950)
2,010
(2,341)
(3,360)
(6,255)
(194)
(23,432)
(12,888)
(3,047)
(7,869)
1,265
(17,389)
(5.6)
(3.0)
(3.7)
(3.8)
(21.4)
(4.2)
19.2
(4.1)
(4.6)
(3.7)
(0.6)
(20.2)
(5.5)
(3.1)
(2.9)
4.4
(10.7)
33
34
Table 22. Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by semester, by region
January-June
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2.85
3.95
4.97
3.83
5.03
1.80
3.85
2.04
2.44
0.65
1.45
1.53
2.75
1.27
2.65
1.61
2.63
2010
2.50
3.23
4.85
2.65
4.90
1.37
3.40
1.76
2.01
0.55
1.46
1.33
2.48
1.20
2.37
2.53
2.54
2011
3.01
4.10
5.13
4.08
5.21
1.83
3.81
2.18
2.77
0.68
1.42
1.55
2.92
1.24
2.67
1.60
2.70
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
(0.35)
(0.71)
(0.12)
(1.18)
(0.13)
(0.43)
(0.45)
(0.27)
(0.43)
(0.09)
0.02
(0.20)
(0.27)
(0.06)
(0.28)
0.92
(0.09)
(12.3)
(18.1)
(2.4)
(30.8)
(2.7)
(24.1)
(11.6)
(13.5)
(17.7)
(14.6)
1.0
(12.9)
(9.7)
(5.1)
(10.5)
57.3
(3.4)
0.51
0.87
0.28
1.43
0.31
0.46
0.41
0.41
0.76
0.12
(0.04)
0.22
0.44
0.04
0.29
(0.93)
0.16
20.4
26.8
5.7
54.0
6.4
34.0
11.9
23.5
38.0
21.9
(2.7)
16.4
17.6
3.4
12.4
(36.7)
6.2
July-December
2009
2010
2.46
3.38
2.96
3.84
3.43
1.32
2.79
1.67
1.95
0.85
1.33
1.22
3.25
1.30
2.67
2.32
3.05
2.59
3.68
3.24
4.03
3.18
2.22
2.40
1.68
2.31
0.90
1.33
1.38
3.52
1.39
2.75
2.33
2.92
2011
2.54
3.74
3.24
3.49
2.81
1.86
2.39
1.81
2.36
0.89
1.35
1.43
3.57
1.27
2.79
2.36
3.07
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
(0.3)
0.9
(0.4)
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
(0.1)
5.3
8.9
9.3
5.2
(7.4)
68.7
(14.0)
0.3
18.5
6.0
0.3
12.7
8.3
6.6
2.9
0.8
(4.2)
(0.0)
0.1
0.0
(0.5)
(0.4)
(0.4)
(0.0)
0.1
0.1
(0.0)
0.0
0.0
0.1
(0.1)
0.0
0.0
0.2
(1.6)
1.8
0.1
(13.4)
(11.6)
(16.3)
(0.3)
8.0
2.2
(0.8)
1.2
3.4
1.5
(8.9)
1.2
1.2
5.3
Table 23. Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by croptype,

ITEM
PERCENT CHANGE
2011/2010 2010/2011
2010
2011
2012 b/
1,602
454
1,148
1,915
532
1,383
1,988
549
1,439
19.50
17.20
20.41
3.82
3.11
4.09

White
Yellow
639
292
346
652
304
348
689
314
375
2.14
3.95
0.61
5.57
3.32
7.54
YIELD/HECTARE (MT)
White
Yellow
2.51
1.55
3.32
2.93
1.75
3.97
2.89
1.75
3.84
16.99
12.75
19.67
(1.66)
(0.20)
(3.20)
PRODUCTION ('000MT)
White
Yellow
35
36
Table 24. Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by region,

January-December
REGION
PRODUCTION (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2010
7,034,033
201,773
351,103
1,598,198
217,245
51,949
103,906
197,116
272,844
186,479
94,821
177,248
1,170,624
225,078
1,146,629
88,591
950,429
6,376,796
172,195
358,445
1,263,614
197,890
60,209
67,712
174,479
247,997
178,413
90,215
195,349
1,153,239
202,354
1,064,448
94,571
855,666
Percent
2011
share
6,989,844
218,988
387,882
1,600,766
188,539
59,055
83,126
215,664
310,328
179,177
84,425
194,386
1,209,780
187,331
1,169,817
73,239
827,341
100.00
3.13
5.55
22.90
2.70
0.84
1.19
3.09
4.44
2.56
1.21
2.78
17.31
2.68
16.74
1.05
11.84
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
(657,237)
(29,578)
7,342
(334,584)
(19,355)
8,260
(36,194)
(22,637)
(24,847)
(8,066)
(4,606)
18,101
(17,385)
(22,724)
(82,181)
5,980
(94,763)
(9.3)
(14.7)
2.1
(20.9)
(8.9)
15.9
(34.8)
(11.5)
(9.1)
(4.3)
(4.9)
10.2
(1.5)
(10.1)
(7.2)
6.8
(10.0)
613,048
46,793
29,437
337,152
(9,351)
(1,154)
15,414
41,185
62,331
764
(5,790)
(963)
56,541
(15,023)
105,369
(21,332)
(28,325)
9.6
27.2
8.2
26.7
(4.7)
(1.9)
22.8
23.6
25.1
0.4
(6.4)
(0.5)
4.9
(7.4)
9.9
(22.6)
(3.3)
January-March
2010
2011
Change
Percent 2011 / 2010
2012 / 2011
2012 b/
share
Level % Level %
1,602,262
47,017
243,467
326,177
86,598
7,080
15,398
37,330
60,475
23,489
11,755
29,998
273,465
35,501
203,117
460
200,935
1,914,675
79,118
156,708
511,705
71,266
12,097
19,256
33,845
108,090
27,719
10,269
42,969
334,435
27,153
252,423
317
227,305
1,987,851 100.00 312,413 19.5 73,176 3.8

81,960 4.12 32,101 68.3 2,842 3.6
262,427 13.20 (86,759) (35.6) 105,719 67.5
477,319 24.01 185,528 56.9 (34,386) (6.7)
82,817 4.17 (15,332) (17.7) 11,551 16.2
11,949 0.60 5,017 70.9 (148) (1.2)
19,710 0.99 3,858 25.1
454 2.4
39,294 1.98 (3,485) (9.3) 5,449 16.1
86,608 4.36 47,615 78.7 (21,482) (19.9)
26,614 1.34 4,230 18.0 (1,105) (4.0)
12,239 0.62 (1,486) (12.6) 1,970 19.2
45,313 2.28 12,971 43.2 2,344 5.5
310,858 15.64 60,970 22.3 (23,577) (7.0)
43,334 2.18 (8,348) (23.5) 16,181 59.6
241,671 12.16 49,306 24.3 (10,752) (4.3)
307 0.02 (143) (31.1) (10) (3.2)
245,431 12.35 26,370 13.1 18,126 8.0
Table 25. Corn: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by region,

January-December
REGION
2009
2010
Percent
2011
share
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
January-March
2010
2011
Change
Percent 2011 / 2010
2012 / 2011
2012 b/
share
Level % Level %
HARVEST AREA (Ha)

PHILIPPINES
2,683,890 2,499,040 2,547,453 100.0 (184,850) (6.9) 48,413 1.9 638,731 652,407 688,767 100.00 13,676 2.1 36,360 5.6
CAR
55,212 48,991 56,052 2.20 (6,221) (11.3) 7,061 14.4 14,841 19,587 20,264 2.94 4,746 32.0
677 3.5
Ilocos
73,153 75,342 77,183 3.03 2,189 3.0 1,841 2.4 48,744 31,347 49,802 7.23 (17,397) (35.7) 18,455 58.9
Cagayan Valley
417,121 364,723 422,095 16.57 (52,398) (12.6) 57,372 15.7 119,993 126,810 129,963 18.87 6,817 5.7 3,153 2.5
Central Luzon
45,749 42,977 38,834 1.52 (2,772) (6.1) (4,143) (9.6) 18,324 14,542 17,199 2.50 (3,782) (20.6) 2,657 18.3
Calabarzon
35,204 29,687 31,858 1.25 (5,517) (15.7) 2,171 7.3
5,126
6,259
5,867 0.85 1,133 22.1 (392) (6.3)
Mimaropa
31,367 22,984 26,463 1.04 (8,383) (26.7) 3,479 15.1
4,771
5,451
4,722 0.69 680 14.3 (729) (13.4)
Bicol
106,715 101,812 108,243 4.25 (4,903) (4.6) 6,431 6.3 22,022 25,619 25,263 3.67 3,597 16.3 (356) (1.4)
Western Visayas
125,769 112,502 122,240 4.80 (13,267) (10.5) 9,738 8.7 29,206 37,121 33,724 4.90 7,915 27.1 (3,397) (9.2)
Central Visayas
231,473 215,980 212,470 8.34 (15,493) (6.7) (3,510) (1.6) 40,723 40,187 40,888 5.94 (536) (1.3) 701 1.7
Eastern Visayas
68,463 64,672 61,077 2.40 (3,791) (5.5) (3,595) (5.6) 7,908
7,059
8,243 1.20 (849) (10.7) 1,184 16.8
Zamboanga Peninsula 135,850 142,559 132,714 5.21 6,709 4.9 (9,845) (6.9) 22,859 26,150 25,535 3.71 3,291 14.4 (615) (2.4)
Northern Mindanao
381,373 365,955 364,421 14.31 (15,418) (4.0) (1,534) (0.4) 107,217 111,553 110,854 16.09 4,336 4.0 (699) (0.6)
Davao Region
174,674 153,282 149,073 5.85 (21,392) (12.2) (4,209) (2.7) 28,977 22,923 29,373 4.26 (6,054) (20.9) 6,450 28.1
SOCCSKSARGEN
430,182 405,644 426,977 16.76 (24,538) (5.7) 21,333 5.3 87,594 95,858 93,161 13.53 8,264 9.4 (2,697) (2.8)
Caraga
39,520 39,601 31,570 1.24
81 0.2 (8,031) (20.3)
376
348
270 0.04 (28) (7.4) (78) (22.4)
ARMM
332,065 312,329 286,183 11.23 (19,736) (5.9) (26,146) (8.4) 80,050 81,593 93,639 13.60 1,543 1.9 12,046 14.8
37
38
Table 26. Corn: Yield per hectare estimates and forecasts by region,
January-December
REGION
YIELD/ HA (MT)
PHILIPPINES
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan Valley
Central Luzon
Calabarzon
Mimaropa
Bicol
Western Visayas
Central Visayas
Eastern Visayas
Zamboanga Peninsula
Northern Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2009
2.62
3.65
4.80
3.83
4.75
1.48
3.31
1.85
2.17
0.81
1.38
1.30
3.07
1.29
2.67
2.24
2.86
2010
2.55
3.51
4.76
3.46
4.60
2.03
2.95
1.71
2.20
0.83
1.39
1.37
3.15
1.32
2.62
2.39
2.74
2011
2.74
3.91
5.03
3.79
4.86
1.85
3.14
1.99
2.54
0.84
1.38
1.46
3.32
1.26
2.74
2.32
2.89
Change
2010 / 2009
2011 / 2010
Level % Level %
(0.1)
(0.1)
(0.0)
(0.4)
(0.1)
0.6
(0.4)
(0.1)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
(0.0)
0.1
(0.1)
(2.6)
(3.8)
(0.9)
(9.6)
(3.0)
37.4
(11.1)
(7.2)
1.6
2.5
0.7
5.0
2.7
2.5
(1.6)
6.5
(4.3)
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
(0.2)
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.0
(0.0)
0.1
0.2
(0.1)
0.1
(0.1)
0.2
7.5
11.2
5.6
9.5
5.4
(8.6)
6.6
16.3
15.2
2.1
(0.9)
6.9
5.3
(4.8)
4.4
(2.9)
5.5
January-March
2010
2.51
3.17
4.99
2.72
4.73
1.38
3.23
1.70
2.07
0.58
1.49
1.31
2.55
1.23
2.32
1.22
2.51
2011
2.93
4.04
5.00
4.04
4.90
1.93
3.53
1.32
2.91
0.69
1.45
1.64
3.00
1.18
2.63
0.91
2.79
2012 b/
2.89
4.04
5.27
3.67
4.82
2.04
4.17
1.56
2.57
0.65
1.48
1.77
2.80
1.48
2.59
1.14
2.62
Change
2011 / 2010
2012 / 2011
Level % Level %
0.43
0.87
0.00
1.32
0.17
0.55
0.31
(0.37)
0.84
0.11
(0.03)
0.33
0.45
(0.04)
0.31
(0.31)
0.28
17.0
27.5
0.1
48.4
3.7
39.9
9.5
(22.1)
40.6
19.6
(2.1)
25.2
17.5
(3.3)
13.6
(25.5)
11.0
(0.05)
0.01
0.27
(0.36)
(0.09)
0.10
0.64
0.23
(0.34)
(0.04)
0.03
0.13
(0.19)
0.29
(0.04)
0.23
(0.16)
(1.7)
0.1
5.4
(9.0)
(1.7)
5.4
18.2
17.7
(11.8)
(5.6)
2.1
8.0
(6.5)
24.5
(1.5)
24.8
(5.9)
Table 27. Palay/Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

(Peso per kilogram)
MONTH
2009
2010
2011
Percent Change
2011/2009
2011/2010
39
FARMGATE
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
15.25
14.09
15.49
16.03
15.94
15.92
15.63
15.33
14.71
14.15
15.56
15.23
15.77
16.19
15.51
15.34
15.50
15.59
15.67
15.28
15.69
15.14
15.55
15.61
15.57
15.83
15.72
16.04
15.99
15.75
2.85
7.45
0.39
(2.62)
(2.32)
(0.57)
0.58
4.63
8.70
11.31
0.80
(0.59)
(1.40)
(3.58)
0.39
3.19
1.42
2.89
2.04
3.08
WHOLESALE
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
31.33
29.56
31.54
32.00
31.77
31.87
31.79
31.63
31.19
30.62
31.61
31.27
31.73
31.99
31.58
31.38
31.60
31.74
31.69
31.48
32.01
31.54
31.86
31.88
31.97
32.10
32.15
32.18
32.23
32.18
2.17
6.70
1.01
(0.38)
0.63
0.72
1.13
1.74
3.33
5.09
1.28
0.86
0.41
(0.34)
1.23
2.29
1.74
1.39
1.70
2.22
RETAIL
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
34.22
32.89
34.33
34.62
34.53
34.51
34.55
34.44
34.25
33.83
34.39
34.20
34.46
34.59
34.40
34.09
34.40
34.46
34.47
34.40
34.67
34.34
34.58
34.57
34.57
34.71
34.74
34.78
34.88
34.88
1.33
4.41
0.73
(0.14)
0.12
0.58
0.55
0.99
1.84
3.10
0.83
0.41
0.35
(0.06)
0.49
1.82
0.99
0.93
1.19
1.40
40
Table 28. Rice: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,

(Peso per kilogram)
MONTH
2009
2010
2011
Percent Change
2011/2009
2011/2010
METRO MANILA
WHOLESALE
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
29.95
29.35
31.38
31.38
30.30
30.20
29.59
29.35
28.98
28.98
30.77
31.22
31.22
30.91
30.60
30.60
30.60
30.60
30.60
30.60
30.00
31.00
30.25
30.10
29.76
29.60
29.60
29.68
30.00
30.00
0.18
5.62
(3.60)
(4.08)
(1.78)
(1.99)
0.03
1.12
3.52
3.52
(2.51)
(0.70)
(3.11)
(2.62)
(2.75)
(3.27)
(3.27)
(3.01)
(1.96)
(1.96)
RETAIL
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
35.00
Table 29. Yellow Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
(Peso per kilogram)
ITEM
2009
2010
2011
Percent Change
2011/2009
2011/2010
41
FARMGATE-Yellow
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
11.14
12.91
13.55
12.38
12.07
11.51
10.35
10.05
8.99
8.49
10.97
10.13
10.82
11.40
11.30
11.02
11.40
11.31
10.96
10.38
11.76
12.55
12.85
12.59
11.74
11.66
11.55
11.32
10.89
10.73
5.56
(2.79)
(5.17)
1.70
(2.73)
1.30
11.59
12.64
21.13
26.38
7.25
23.89
18.76
10.44
3.89
5.81
1.32
0.09
(0.64)
3.37
WHOLESALE-Yellow
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
14.27
15.25
16.19
15.14
15.05
14.40
13.90
13.52
12.75
12.25
14.28
13.29
14.13
14.32
14.22
14.36
14.45
14.82
14.77
14.17
14.87
15.37
15.55
15.22
14.71
14.56
14.66
14.59
14.52
14.69
4.22
0.79
(3.95)
0.53
(2.26)
1.11
5.47
7.91
13.88
19.92
4.15
15.65
10.05
6.28
3.45
1.39
1.45
(1.55)
(1.69)
3.67
RETAIL-Yellow
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
20.39
20.24
22.12
21.67
21.25
20.50
20.44
19.87
18.81
18.63
19.35
18.74
19.98
19.32
19.39
19.63
19.59
19.33
19.27
18.92
19.38
19.84
19.91
19.41
18.75
18.78
18.84
19.19
19.80
19.87
(4.98)
(1.98)
(9.99)
(10.43)
(11.76)
(8.39)
(7.83)
(3.42)
5.26
6.66
0.13
5.87
(0.35)
0.47
(3.30)
(4.33)
(3.83)
(0.72)
2.75
5.02
42
Table 30. White Corn: Monthly average prevailing prices by market level,
(Peso per kilogram)
ITEM
2009
2010
2011
Percent Change
2011/2009
2011/2010
FARMGATE - White
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
14.07
14.51
16.06
16.66
16.38
14.58
13.44
13.24
11.06
10.74
12.46
13.70
13.46
13.71
13.41
12.70
12.62
12.07
10.53
9.95
13.86
12.39
13.41
14.04
14.49
14.70
14.56
14.78
13.30
13.04
(1.55)
(14.61)
(16.50)
(15.73)
(11.54)
0.82
8.33
11.63
20.25
21.42
11.20
(9.56)
(0.37)
2.41
8.05
15.75
15.37
22.45
26.31
31.06
WHOLESALE-White
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
16.28
15.46
16.67
16.91
17.19
16.91
16.22
16.03
15.16
15.96
15.38
16.88
16.85
17.25
15.66
13.94
14.50
14.83
14.66
13.87
16.26
15.38
15.96
15.64
16.45
16.76
16.43
17.10
16.35
16.27
(0.12)
(0.52)
(4.26)
(7.51)
(4.30)
(0.89)
1.29
6.67
7.85
1.94
5.71
(8.89)
(5.28)
(9.33)
5.04
20.23
13.31
15.31
11.53
17.30
RETAIL - White
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
21.33
22.50
22.49
23.35
23.79
20.08
20.16
19.98
19.19
20.44
20.09
22.67
22.73
21.93
20.14
20.13
19.54
17.72
18.22
17.74
18.94
18.99
19.04
18.71
18.42
18.12
18.44
19.16
19.80
19.81
(11.19)
(15.60)
(15.34)
(19.87)
(22.57)
(9.76)
(8.53)
(4.10)
3.18
(3.08)
(5.71)
(16.23)
(16.23)
(14.68)
(8.54)
(9.99)
(5.63)
8.13
8.67
11.67
Table 30. Fertilizer: Monthly average dealers prices by grade,

(Peso/bag of 50 kg)
ITEM
Percent Change
2011/2009 2011/2010
2009
2010
2011
UREA
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
1,055.9
1,273.7
1,137.4
1,101.9
1,081.3
1,058.9
1,024.0
967.7
937.9
919.9
980.6
1,007.7
1,012.3
1,011.2
1,008.3
1,000.5
984.5
953.5
927.9
919.8
1,155.5
1,085.52
1,085.59
1,096.99
1,100.84
1,098.98
1,149.71
1,239.59
1,262.65
1,279.57
9.4
(14.8)
(4.6)
(0.4)
1.8
3.8
12.3
28.1
34.6
39.1
17.8
7.7
7.2
8.5
9.2
9.8
16.8
30.0
36.1
39.1
AMMOSUL
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
632.9
770.8
673.3
665.2
653.5
640.1
613.2
582.4
558.6
538.8
543.6
550.9
542.8
548.1
569.0
562.7
556.3
528.5
516.3
518.5
643.3
587.46
610.30
617.03
618.95
621.12
640.84
683.54
696.72
713.45
1.6
(23.8)
(9.4)
(7.2)
(5.3)
(3.0)
4.5
17.4
24.7
32.4
18.3
6.6
12.4
12.6
8.8
10.4
15.2
29.3
35.0
37.6
ITEM
COMPLETE
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
AMMOPHOS
Jan.-Sep. Ave.
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
Percent Change
2011/2009 2011/2010
2009
2010
2011
1,253.1
1,477.5
1,329.6
1,284.3
1,262.1
1,243.5
1,220.7
1,178.4
1,151.5
1,130.3
1,091.1
1,117.5
1,118.0
1,116.6
1,112.2
1,108.1
1,095.9
1,069.4
1,044.5
1,037.9
1,160.7
1,110.63
1,132.43
1,137.75
1,142.93
1,151.77
1,172.81
1,194.29
1,198.38
1,205.16
(7.4)
(24.8)
(14.8)
(11.4)
(9.4)
(7.4)
(3.9)
1.4
4.1
6.6
6.4
(0.6)
1.3
1.9
2.8
3.9
7.0
11.7
14.7
16.1
1,154.9
1,393.4
1,232.9
1,196.9
1,180.8
1,154.0
1,116.4
1,070.3
1,039.7
1,009.8
952.6
975.5
963.1
966.0
976.1
971.2
959.6
933.0
914.3
915.1
1,044.8
1,002.31
1,020.11
1,023.72
1,030.03
1,035.89
1,052.49
1,074.65
1,080.83
1,083.01
(9.5)
(28.1)
(17.3)
(14.5)
(12.8)
(10.2)
(5.7)
0.4
4.0
7.3
9.7
2.8
5.9
6.0
5.5
6.7
9.7
15.2
18.2
18.4
43
44
Table 31. Cumulative actual and normal rainfall by region,

JANUARY-JUNE
REGION
Actual
2011
Philippines
Ilocos
CAR
Cag. Valley
C. Luzon
CALABARZON
MIMAROPA
NCR
Bicol
W. Visayas
C. Visayas
E. Visayas
W. Mindanao
N. Mindanao
Davao Region
SOCCSKSARGEN
Caraga
ARMM
2010
% DEVIATION
NORMAL
2011/
'11/'10
Normal
23,853.9 10,516.9 12,956.4

905.7
742.9
951.5
1,204.7
1,276.5
829.2
1,186.1
1,919.9
864.5
1,127.3
3,289.0
1,407.8
1,370.5
1,705.9
890.9
3,097.9
1,083.6
Source: PAGASA
548.3
568.6
659.1
502.5
459.6
299.5
270.1
633.2
281.4
317.4
793.2
549.8
635.0
952.6
726.6
1,574.8
745.2
JULY-SEPTEMBER
620.6
544.2
634.9
702.4
802.1
527.8
493.2
908.0
726.9
575.2
1,114.7
661.3
777.8
1,073.8
609.4
1,569.8
614.2
126.8
65.2
30.7
44.4
139.7
177.7
176.9
339.1
203.2
207.2
255.2
314.6
156.1
115.8
79.1
22.6
96.7
45.4
Actual
2011
2010
% DEVIATION
NORMAL
2011/
'11/'10
Normal
84.1 16,362.0 13,745.4 13,628.4

45.9
36.5
49.9
71.5
59.1
57.1
140.5
111.4
18.9
96.0
195.1
112.9
76.2
58.9
46.2
97.3
76.4
1,819.6
1,277.6
1,210.9
1,422.5
936.8
1,219.2
1,468.8
959.9
658.5
579.9
640.5
640.5
782.4
884.4
709.4
503.0
648.1
1,062.3
954.2
1,053.9
808.5
1,070.5
1,001.6
690.4
932.1
745.4
594.0
774.2
710.6
796.1
664.7
591.8
591.5
703.6
19.0
1576.1 71.3
1214.6 33.9
742.7 14.9
1268.4 75.9
807.3 (12.5)
893.9 21.7
1239.4 112.7
673.5
3.0
900.8 (11.7)
566.1 (2.4)
581.6 (17.3)
574.0 (9.9)
620.8 (1.7)
485.2 33.1
428.2 19.9
544.3 (15.0)
511.6 (7.9)
JANUARY-SEPTEMBER
Actual
% DEVIATION
NORMAL
2011/
2011
2010
'11/'10
Normal
20.1 40,215.9 24,262.3 26,584.8

15.5
5.2
63.0
12.2
16.0
36.4
18.5
42.5
(26.9)
2.4
10.1
11.6
26.0
82.3
65.7
(7.6)
26.7
2,725.3
2,020.5
2,162.4
2,627.2
2,213.3
2,048.4
2,654.9
2,879.8
1,523.0
1,707.2
3,929.5
2,048.3
2,152.9
2,590.3
1,600.3
3,600.9
1,731.7
1,610.6
1,522.8
1,713.0
1,311.0
1,530.1
1,301.1
960.5
1,565.3
1,026.8
911.4
1,567.4
1,260.4
1,431.1
1,617.3
1,318.4
2,166.3
1,448.8
65.8
51.3
2,196.7 69.2
1,758.8 32.7
1,377.6 26.2
1,970.8 100.4
1,609.4 44.7
1,421.7 57.4
1,732.6 176.4
1,581.6 84.0
1,627.7 48.3
1,141.3 87.3
1,696.2 150.7
1,235.3 62.5
1,398.6 50.4
1,559.0 60.2
1,037.6 21.4
2,114.1 66.2
1,125.8 19.5
24.1
14.9
57.0
33.3
37.5
44.1
53.2
82.1
(6.4)
49.6
131.7
65.8
53.9
66.2
54.2
70.3
53.8
Department of Agriculture
BUREAU OF AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS
1184 Ben-lor Bldg., Quezon Avenue, Quezon City
CROPS STATISTICS DIVISION, Cereals Statistics Section
Tel No. (02)-371-2067
info@bas.gov.ph
http://www.bas.gov.ph

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Corn: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype,

Weather Situation and Outlook1

October-December 2011 Outlook

July-December 2011 Crop

Production for JulyDecember 2011 may drop

Figure 2. Palay: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

Production ('000 MT)

Figure 3. Palay: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

January-March 2012 Crop

Figure 5. Palay: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

Production ('000 MT)

Total corn production for

July-December 2011 Crop

Figure 6. Corn: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

Figure 7. Corn: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

The July-September 2011

The standing corn crop for

Figure 9. Corn: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

Production ('000 MT)

Harvest Area ('000 Ha)

Yield per hectare (MT)

January-March 2012 Crop

Figure 10. Corn: Production, Harvest Area and Yield,

Production ('000 MT)

Harvest Area ('000 Ha)

Yield per hectare (MT)

Average farmgate price of palay for January to September 2011 was

Figure 11. Palay: Monthly farmgate prices,

Figure 12. Rice: Monthly wholesale prices,

Monthly average retail

Figure 13. Rice: Monthly retail prices,

Figure 14. Rice: Monthly wholesale prices,

The prevailing price of

Figure 15. Rice: Monthly retail prices,

Figure 16. Yellow Corn: Monthly farmgate prices,

The 9-month average

Figure 17. Yellow Corn: Monthly wholesale prices,

Average retail price of

Figure 18. Yellow Corn: Monthly retail prices,

The January to September

Figure 19. White Corn: Monthly farmgate prices,

Figure 20. White Corn: Monthly wholesale prices,

In 2011, the 9-month

The 9-month average retail

Figure 21. White Corn: Monthly retail prices,

In 2011, 9-month average

Figure 23. Ammosul: Monthly dealers' prices,

Figure 22. Urea: Monthly dealers' prices,

The average monthly

Figure 24. Complete: Monthly dealers' prices,

The January to September

Average monthly dealers

The accumulated rainfall for January to September 2011 was 40,215.9

Except Western Visayas, all regions received above normal rainfall

Table 1. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Table 2. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem,

Table 4. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

3,168,478 100.00 (873,307) (24.8) 522,368 19.7 5,370,804 6,505,418 5,932,536

Table 5. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by quarter, by region,

975,880 705,906 871,344 100.00 (269,974) (27.7)

100.00 219,022 13.6 (156,511) (8.6)

Table 7. Palay: Production estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,

Table 8. Palay: Harvest area estimates and forecasts by semester, by region,