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8%
125.4
Increasing industrialisation and economic development to drive capital goods & engineering market
57.6
Capital goods & engineering turnover is expected to reach USD125.4 billion by 2017 from USD57.6 billion in 2012
CAGR: 14.2%
105
Electrical equipment market size expected to reach to USD105 billion by 2022 from USD24.2 billion in 2011
CAGR: 19.0%
45
11.2
ER&D revenues projected to reach to USD45 billion in 2020 from USD11.2 billion in 2012
2020 ER&D revenue Source: Dept of Heavy Industries, India Electrical and Electronics Manufacturer Association, NASSCOM, Aranca Research Notes: CG - Capital Goods, ER&D - Engineering Research & Design
2012
CAGR: 28.8%
22.7
Construction equipment market projected to reach USD22.7 billion by 2020 from USD3 billion in 2012
CAGR: 9.7% 16
37
Telecom equipment market to reach USD37 billion by 2020 from USD16 billion in 2011
Production of CPSE under DHI to aggregate USD10.7 billion by 2014 from USD9.2 billion in 2011
Source: Booz & Company, Volvo India Ltd, Estimates, Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise, Aranca Research Note: DHI - Dept. Of Heavy Industries, CPSE - Central Public Sector Enterprise
FY13
Attractive opportunities
Nuclear capacity expansion to provide significant business opportunities to the electrical machinery industry Rapid increase in infrastructure investment and industrial production to fuel further growth
FY14E
Engineering exports target from India: USD125.0 billion
Advantage India
Higher investments
Comparative advantage vis--vis peers in terms of manufacturing costs, market knowledge, technology and creativity Highly organised sector and dominated by large players employing over four million skilled and semi-skilled labour
The engineering sector is delicensed; De-licensed engineering 100 per cent FDI is allowedsector; in the 100 per cent FDI permitted sector Due to policy support, there was Cumulative FDI totalled USD19.9 cumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion into billion over April 2000April 2013 the sector over April 2000 February due to policy support 2012, making up 8.6 per cent of total FDI into the country in that period
Policy support
Source: Government of India, Ministry of Heavy Industries, Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion, India Electrical and Electronics Manufacturer Association, Aranca Research Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FY - Indian Financial Year (April March), USD - US dollar
Heavy Electrical
Heavy Engineering
Automotive Engineering
Boilers
The Indian boiler industry has the capability to manufacture boilers with super critical parameters up to 1000 MW unit size The industrys market size was USD5.1 billion in FY12 and is expected to reach USD11.7 billion in FY22 The industry manufactures various turbines in the range of 8007000 MW per annum, and generators ranging from 0.5 KVA to (ones even higher than) 250,00 KVA Total production of turbines and generators stood at US2.2 billion in FY12 and is estimated to reachUSD6.7 billion by FY22
Transformers
A whole range of power and distribution transformers, including special type of transformers required for furnaces, electric tracts and rectifiers, are manufactured in the country The transformers market in India was valued at USD2.7 billion in FY11 and is expected to reach USD11.1 billion in FY22
About 32.6 million switchgears and control gears were produced during FY12 The switchgear market size touched USD2.0 billion in FY12 and is projected to reach USD8.2 billion in FY22
Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise Annual Report 2012-13, Aranca Research Notes: MW - Mega Watt, KVA - KiloVolt - Ampere
Machine tools
This segment churns out basic machinery for all major industries and determines competitiveness in other sectors such as automobiles, heavy electrical and defence Nearly 200 machine tool manufacturers are operational in the organised sector along with 400 small-scale units Production of machine tools totalled USD900 million, while exports stood at USD288.7 million in FY12
Textile machinery
It comprises over 1,446 units involved in churning out machinery and components; another 600 units manufacture complete machinery The industry is de-licensed with FDI permitted up to 100 per cent The industry has an installed capacity of USD1.7 billion and produced goods worth USD1.1 billion in FY12 In FY12, total exports from textile industries stood at USD368.8 million
Cement machinery
Cement plants based on raw mill grinding, pre-processing and cement grinding process technology (for capacities up to 10000 TPD) are being manufactured in India Currently,100 per cent FDI is allowed under the automatic route With an installed capacity of around USD125 million, the industry is capable of catering to the domestic demand
With around 50 units in the organised sector, the material handling equipment industry is engaged in the setting up of coal/ore/ash handling plants and manufacturing associated equipment The sectors total imports stood at USD331 million in FY12, while exports aggregated USD31.9 million
Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise Annual Report 2012-13, Cabinet Committee on Infrastructure report, Aranca Research Notes: TPD - Tonnes Per Day
There are 11 major and nearly 200 small & medium manufacturers Domestic manufacturers cater to 95 per cent of the processing industrys needs Total production stood at USD0.6 billion in FY12 Exports increased 17.1 per cent to USD124.1 million in FY12 It includes over 500 commercial tool manufacturers Nearly18 governments tool rooms as well as training centres are operating in the country Total production of dies, moulds & tools stood at USD2.8 billion Exports aggregated USD604.7 million in FY12 Over 200 manufacturers are engaged in the production of process plant machinery Nearly 65 per cent of the total manufacturers are small and medium enterprises Production and exports totalled USD4.1 billion and USD788.1 million, respectively, in FY12
Currently, 20 large and global manufacturers, and 200 small & medium manufacturers operate in the industry Production and exports totalled USD3.8 billion and USD274.9 million, respectively, in FY12
Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise Annual report 2012-13, Aranca Research
Currently, there are 16 manufacturers of passenger cars and multi-utility vehicles, 13 manufacturers of commercial vehicles and 16 manufacturers of two-wheelers and threewheelers Total production in the automobiles sector stood at approximately 20.4 million units in FY12 and 13.7 million units over FY13* Total exports stood at 2.9 million units during FY12 and 1.9 million units over FY13*
Auto components
The auto components industry has more than 500 companies in the organised sector and about 10,000 entities in the unorganised sector The industrys turnover expanded at a CAGR of 19 per cent between FY08 and FY12 to USD43.9 billion from USD22.2 billion During FY08-12, exports increased at a CAGR** of 22 per cent to reach at USD7.0 billion
Agriculture machinery
The agriculture machinery sector is primarily dominated by agricultural tractors The Indian tractor industry is the worlds largest and accounts for one-third of the global production More than 250,000 tractors are manufactured every year by 13 manufacturers Indian tractors are exported to the US, Malaysia, Turkey and Africa
Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise Annual Report 2012-13, Cabinet Committee on Infrastructure report, Aranca Research Note: * From April 2012 to November 2012, ** CAGR calculated on Indian rupee
The Indian casting industry produces 6 MMT of various grades of casting and ranks sixth in the world The forging industry comprises around 10 organised players, with nearly 100 players in the small and medium sector The industry exports a substantial part of its production apart from catering to the local demand
The medical and surgical equipment industry manufactures a wide range of medical equipment such as ECG and X-ray scanners The industry is highly fragmented and dominated by small players The indigenous industry caters to 40 per cent of the demand and the remaining is met through imports
Industrial fasteners
The fastener industry in India can be classified into high tensile and mild steel fasteners Mild steel fasteners are primarily manufactured by the unorganised sector, while the high tensile steel segment is dominated by the organised sector Total Industrial fasteners exports stood at USD621.9 million in FY13, a growth of 13.8 per cent from FY12
Source: Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprise Annual Report 2012-13, IVG Research, Aranca Research Notes: MMT - Million Metric Tonnes
Indian engineering exports stood at USD56.7 billion in FY13 Over FY0813, exports registered a CAGR of 12.6 per cent
CAGR: 12.6%
Engineering exports include transport equipment, capital goods, other machinery/equipment and light engineering products such as castings, forgings and fasteners Exports target for FY14 is estimated at USD125 billion To boost engineering trade, India Engineering Sourcing Show 2013 was held by the Engineering Export Promotion Council (EEPC) in March
FY08 31.3
45.3 38.3
FY09
FY10
FY11R
FY12P
FY13
64 countries participated in the show and there were 320 exhibitors including 60 overseas companies 418 business enquiries worth USD38.0 million received by the respondents
Source: Reserve Bank of India, Engineering Export Promotion Council, Ministry of Commerce & Industry Estimates, Aranca Research Note: P - Data for FY12 is provisional, R - Data for FY11 is revised
Transport equipment is the leading contributor to engineering exports. The segment accounted for 32.5 per cent of the total engineering exports during FY13 Machinery and instruments is the other major contributor with a share of 26.8 per cent The engineering sector retained its 18 per cent share in overall exports from the country which is the maximum in terms of sectoral contribution
Transport equipment
14.1% 32.5% 9.0% Machinery and instrument Manufactures of metals 17.7% Primary and semi furnished iron & steel 26.8% Others
Company
Revenues (FY13)
Products
USD28.3 billion
USD9.3 billion
Power Generation, Transmission, Transportation Power Generation and Distribution Equipment, Transportation Systems, Communication and Healthcare Products Transformers, Switch Gears, Control Gears Power Generation and Transmission Equipment
USD2.6 billion*
ABB Ltd
USD1.4 billion**
USD2.1 billion
Source: Company Reports, News Article, Bloomberg, Aranca Research Note: Financial Year Ending * 30 September 2012, ** 31 December 2012
Company
Revenues (FY13)
Products
Highways & Bridges, Mass Rapid Transport Systems Construction, Specialist Materials Manufacturing Engines, Engine Bearings & Valves, Grey Iron Casting Power Generation, Construction and Mining Equipment, Fire Pumps & Cranes, Compressors Boilers and Heaters, Air Pollution and Purification, Absorption Cooling
Engineers India
USD0.5 billion
USD0.4 billion
USD0.8 billion
Thermax
USD1.0 billion
BGR Energy
USD0.6 billion
Diversification
Several companies in the engineering sector have diversified, either geographically (mainly to Middle Eastern countries) or sector-wise BHEL plans to foray into Ukraine Simplex Infra has moved to the Middle East Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has diversified into power equipment manufacturing Thermax entered the power utility segment
Rising competition is driving domestic players to focus on improving their capabilities, become more quality conscious, and upgrade their technology base in line with global requirements More than 2,500 firms in the engineering sector have ISO 9000 accreditation Companies are now increasingly focusing on R&D and product development
With 100 per cent FDI allowed through the automatic route, major international players such as Cummins, ABB and Alfa Laval have entered the Indian engineering sector due to growth opportunities Entry of new players has raised the industrys competitiveness
Source: Aranca Research Note: BHEL - Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd
Demand-side drivers
Capacity addition for power generation Increase in infrastructure spending Rise in exports
Growth drivers
De-licensing Reduction in tariff and customs Supportive government policies leading to higher investments
Policy
Investment
Increasing FDI inflows Higher M&A Easy credit facilities for manufacturing companies
Indias energy requirement increased at a CAGR of 6.7 per cent over FY0613 to 995.5 billion units Demand for energy grew 6.2 per cent during FY13 vis--vis the previous year Higher demand for energy has led to increasing capacity additions for power generation that, in turn, boosted demand for power generation and transmission equipment
632
CAGR: 6.7%
739 691 777
937
996
831
862
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
Source: Ministry of Power, Annual report 2012-13, Load Generation Balance Report 2012-13, Aranca Research Note: MU - Million Unit
Investments to increase capacity have led to rising demand for power generation and transmission equipment Capacity increased to 20600 MW during FY13 compared to 20500 MW in FY12
FY90
FY97
FY02
FY07
FY11
FY12
FY13
Source: Ministry of Power, Annual report 2012-13, Aranca Research Note : MW - Mega watt
The Infrastructure Index (part of the wider Index of Industrial Production) comprises eight core industries: coal, crude oil, natural gas, petroleum refinery products, fertilisers, steel, cement and electricity The index rose to 144.4 in FY12, implying a CAGR of 5.1 per cent since FY07 The infrastructure index rose to 145.1 over AprilDecember 2012
140.0
120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 FY07 FY08
138.4 144.4
145.1
9 8 7 6 5 4
112.6
118.5
121.8
3
2 1 0 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13*
Source: Reserve Bank of India, Aranca Research Notes: The base year for Infrastructure index has been changed from 1993-94 to 2004-05 * - April 2012-December 2012
India has one of the largest road networks (4.7 million km), consisting of national highways, expressways, state highways, districts and village roads The length of the highways added during the 11th Five-Year Plan was 9,044 km (as of 2011) During the 11th Five-Year Plan, of the total USD 456.9 billion investments in infrastructure, development of roads and bridges accounted for 15.3 per cent Owing to large-scale public and private investments in roads, demand for related machinery has increased significantly
23,814 State highway National highway 7,091 Districts and rural roads
9,044
95
9th Plan
10th Plan
11th Plan*
Source: National Highway Authority of India, Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Aranca Research Notes: * - Physical Achievements under National Highways Development Project during 11 th Five Year Plan upto Sept, 2011
De-licensing
The engineering industry has been de-licensed and 100 per cent FDI has been permitted in the sector Foreign technology agreements are allowed permitted under the automatic route
The government has eliminated tariff protection on capital goods It has reduced custom duties on a range of engineering equipment
The government has an ambitious mission of Power for all by 2012 and has planned capacity additions of 120 GW in the 12th Five-Year Plan Governmental infrastructure projects such as Golden Quadrilateral and the North-South and East-West corridors fuelled growth in the engineering sector
The government approved a significant number of SEZs across the country for the engineering sector Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) is being developed across seven states that is expected to bolster the sector
Government of India launched the National Manufacturing Policy with the aim of enhancing the sectors share in GDP to 25 per cent within a decade and creating 100 million jobs by 2022
Source: DHI Annual report 2010-11, Ministry of Power Annual Report, Aranca Research Notes: GW - Giga Watt
The government would provide 15 per cent exemption on tax to manufacturing companies that invest more than USD18.4 million in plant and machinery over FY1415
A cut in excise duty on truck chassis from 14 per cent to 13 per cent would increase profit margins for major automobile companies such as Ashok Leyland and Eicher Motors
The government has increased the allocation to JNNURM from USD1.3 billion in FY13 to USD2.6 billion in FY14; this is expected to benefit companies in capital goods, infrastructure and automobile sectors
Allocation to the defence sector was raised to USD37.5 billion, which includes USD16 billion for modernisation-related expenditure. This could further increase investments in the defence equipment industry
Source: Union Budget FY14 Note: Capex - Capital Expenditure JNNURM - Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission
Developer
Andhra Pradesh Industrial Infrastructure Corporation Limited (APIIC) Deccan Infrastructure and Land Holdings Ltd M/s Essar Hazira SEZ Gujarat Industrial Development Corporation Ltd (GIDC) N.G. Realty Pvt Ltd M/s Synefra Engineering and Construction Ltd E. Complex Pvt Ltd Dishman Infrastructure Ltd Ansal Properties and Infrastructure Ltd Raheja Haryana SEZ Developers Pvt Ltd Ansal Kamdhenu Engineering SEZ Ltd Karnataka Industrial Areas Development Board Suzlon Infrastructure Ltd
Location
Ranga Reddy, Andhra Pradesh Nalgonda, Andhra Pradesh Hazira, Gujarat Gandhinagar, Gujarat Ahmedabad, Gujarat Vadodara, Gujarat Amreli, Gujarat Ahmedabad, Gujarat Sonepat, Haryana Gurgaon, Haryana Sonepat, Haryana Shimoga, Karnataka Mangalore, Karnataka
Product
Aerospace and precision engineering Light engineering Engineering Electronic products Engineering
Developer
Quest Machining and Manufacturing Pvt Ltd Viraj Profiles Ltd Navi Mumbai SEZ Pvt Ltd Maharashtra Industrial Development Corporation (MIDC) Township Developers India Pvt Ltd Maharashtra Industrial Development Corporation (MIDC) Orissa Industrial Infrastructure Development Corporation (IDCO) Vividha Infrastructure Pvt Ltd
Location
Belgaum, Karnataka Thane, Maharashtra Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra Satara, Maharashtra Pune, Maharashtra Aurangabad, Maharashtra Jajpur, Orissa Patiala, Punjab
Product
Auto, aerospace and industrial engineering Stainless steel engineering products Light engineering Engineering Engineering Engineering & Electronics Metallurgical engineering Engineering
Jaipur, Rajasthan
Kanchipuram, Tamil Nadu Erode, Tamil Nadu Kanpur, Uttar Pradesh
Light engineering
Engineering Engineering Engineering
Cumulative FDI inflows increased to USD17.3 billion in FY13 from USD8.9 billion in FY10 With the increasing focus by government to attract foreign investors in manufacturing and infrastructure, FDI in the sector is set to rise
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
Source: Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion, Aranca Research Note: FY10 - Cumulative from April 2000 to March 2010 and so on FDI inflows includes Automobile industry, Electrical equipment, Miscellaneous mechanical and engineering industry, Industrial machinery, Machine tools, Agriculture machinery, Earth-moving machinery and Industrial instrument
M&A deals
Acquirer Geometric * Simplex Infrastructures Ltd Target 3Cap Technologies GmbH Joy Mining Services India Pvt Ltd Type Acquisition Acquisition Acquisition date January, 2013 May, 2012
Thalest Ltd
Titagarh Marine Ltd Tesco GO Utkal Galvanizers Ltd Aircon Engineering Services Bharat Wire Ropes Ltd Igarashi Group-Agile Electric Drives Technologies and Holdings
Acquisition
Acquisition Acquisition Acquisition Majority stake Acquisition Majority stake
April, 2012
March, 2013 January, 2012 April, 2011 May, 2011 July, 2010 December, 2010
Source: Grant Thornton, Aranca Research Note - * - Acquired by its German subsidiary- Geometric Europe GmbH
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
Source: Company Reports, Indian Express, Aranca Research Note: Navratna is the title given to nine Public Sector Enterprises (by the Government of India) having distinct comparative advantages
Better PLF
Acquisitions in various countries Transmission Parts Entry into new markets such as US and Greece Organic growth & integration Joint ventures and technical partnerships
Hubs
Crank Shaft
Open Die Forging 1960 1970 1980 1986 1990 1996 2000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2011 2012
2.6
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
Source: Company Reports, Aranca Research Note: Navratna is the title given to nine Public Sector Enterprises (by the Government of India) having distinct comparative advantages, HAL- Hindustan Aeronautics Limited
Defence
Budget for the defence sector is expected to grow 8 per cent until 2014; of this, 54 per cent would be earmarked for procuring manufactured items which is likely to translate into a market opportunity of USD91 billion over 20102014 Government initiatives, such as allowing private sector participation, have been reinforced by opening up the sector to 26 per cent FDI, and its offset policy is expected to enhance private sector (including SME) participation
Indias nuclear capacity is expected to be strengthened by 3.8 GW by 2012; an additional 12,000 MW has been planned under the 12th Five-Year Plan (201217) It represents a total business opportunity worth USD312 million for the manufacturing industry, which is likely to garner 61 per cent
Auto components
Global auto majors are rapidly ramping up the value of components they source from India, steered by the countrys advanced engineering skills, established production lines, a thriving domestic automobile industry and competitive costs Industry sales are expected to increase to USD40 billion by 2016, with about USD20 billion generated from exports
Source: Aranca Research Notes: GW - Giga Watt, SME - Small and Medium Enterprises
T&D expenditure is set to increase as a result of growth in power generation and privatisation of distribution By the end of 2012, the transmission network was expected to be about 60,000 circuit km, with a potential demand for 630,000 transformers
The material handling equipment sector is expected to gain from robust demand from steel, power, mineral and other infrastructure industries Market demand for material handling equipment is estimated at USD30 billion over 2007 14
Machine tools
Demand for machine tools from the capital goods sector (especially automobile and textile industries) is projected to remain high Considering the industry's demand for higher productivity, superior precision and accuracy, as well as low-cost manufacturing solutions, computer numerically controlled (CNC) machine tools are set to be in greater demand
Source: Aranca Research
2009
By 2020, the ESO market in India is expected to reach USD4050 billion, propelled by increasing onshore to offshore movement of services 2009
The
2020
is
~4.5%
Offshore Expenditure Onshore Expenditure
15-20%
~ 20% 25-30%
The
spending
is
outsourced revenue
Source: Booz Allen Hamilton, Nasscom, Aranca Research Notes: ESO is Engineering Services Outsourcing
Indias electrical equipment industry significant growth in the last few years
has
witnessed
Major electrical equipment registered a CAGR of 21.8 per cent from a small base of USD11.4 billion to USD25 billion between FY08 and FY12 Major electrical equipment manufactured include capacitors, energy meters rotating machines, transformers, cables, switchgears, transmission line towers and conductors Based on the expected capacity and investments, domestic demand for electrical equipment is targeted to be USD100 billion by FY22 Demand for T&D equipment is expected to reach USD13.9 billion in FY22 from USD3.4 billion in FY11
11.4 10.2
CAGR: 21.8%
13.2 11.0
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
7.4 3.4
FY11
FY17
FY22
Source: Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturers Association, Department of Heavy Industries Note: T&D - Transmission and Distribution, BTG - Boilers, Turbine, Generator
The generation equipment (BTG) segment is projected to increase to USD25 billion Production of generation equipment (boilers, turbines and generators) in India is estimated at around USD5.7 billion by 2022 Demand for generation equipment is projected to rise to USD25.1 billion in FY22 from USD6 billion in FY11 Cables contribute 27.3 per cent to the electrical equipment market followed by transmission lines (23.4 per cent), transformers (19.3 per cent) and switchgear (15.2 per cent)
6.7
3.3
0.6 1.6 3.8 FY11 3.3 11.7
3.9% 0.9%
5.8
FY17 FY22
19.3%
27.3%
Boiler
Turbine
Generator
Source: Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturers Association Notes: BTG - Boiler, Transmission and Generation
Indias earthmoving and construction equipment (ECE) industry has enjoyed strong growth over the last seven years due to rapid economic development The organised construction sector in India (for example, roads, urban infrastructure) accounts for approximately 55 per cent of the ECE industry. Mining, irrigation and other infrastructure segments (power, railways) account for the remaining During FY1014, sales of construction equipment is expected to increase at a CAGR of 10.6 per cent and reach USD6.5 billion Earthmoving sector is continuing to make headways and could command a share of 56.2 per cent followed by concrete equipment and material handling equipment
Sold in 2010
10500 23000 2500 1150 8000 200 3800
Forecast 2014
14000 32000 4500 1650 11750 700 9000
8.5%
19.0% 56.2%
Concrete equipment
Material handling Material processing
Source: Indian Construction Equipment Manufacturers Association, NBM media Notes: CE - Construction Equipment, ECE - Electrical and Construction Equipment
BTG : Boilers, Turbines, Generators BHEL: Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited MHI: Mitsubishi heavy industries DHI : Department of Heavy industries BHEL: Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd ICEMA: Indian Construction Equipment Manufacturers Association HAL: Hindustan Aeronautics Limited IEEMA: Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturers Association EEPC: Engineering Export Promotion Council TPD: Tonnes Per Day NHAI: National Highway Authority of India
MORTH: Ministry of Road Transport and Highways CEA: Central Electrical Authority HVDC: High Voltage Direct Current USD: US Dollar FY: Indian Financial Year (April to March) Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to one decimal
2007-08
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
40.24
45.91 47.41 45.57 47.94 54.31
2009
2010 2011 2012 2013
46.76
45.32 45.64 54.69 54.45
Average for the year
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