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ORIGINAL INVESTIGATION

Evaluation of the Association Between Hereditary


Thrombophilias and Recurrent Pregnancy Loss
A Meta-analysis
George Kovalevsky, MD; Clarisa R. Gracia, MD; Jesse A. Berlin, ScD;
Mary D. Sammel, ScD; Kurt T. Barnhart, MD, MSCE

Background: Recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) is a sig- firmed by means of fixed- and random-effects meta-
nificant clinical problem. Recently, thrombophilias have analyses models.
been implicated as a possible cause. Factor V Leiden (FVL)
and prothrombin gene (G20210A) mutations are the most Results: The combined odds ratios for the association
common types of hereditary thrombophilias, but are usu- between RPL and FVL and between RPL and G20210A
ally undiagnosed because most carriers are asymptom- were 2.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.5-2.7; P⬍.001) and
atic. The relationship between FVL, G20210A, and RPL 2.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.0-4.0; P = .03), respec-
has been investigated with conflicting results. This study tively. Similar results were produced by the logistic re-
analyzed existing data to determine whether an associa- gression and both fixed- and random-effects meta-
tion exists. analysis models.

Methods: A systematic review of the literature was per- Conclusions: Carriers of FVL or prothrombin gene mu-
formed. Only case-control studies that defined RPL as 2 tations have double the risk of experiencing 2 or more
or more pregnancy losses in the first or second trimes- miscarriages compared with women without thrombo-
ter and that confirmed mutations by DNA analysis were philias. Hereditary thrombophilias may be an unrecog-
included. Sixteen studies were selected for the FVL meta- nized cause of RPL. We recommend testing for these mu-
analysis and 7 for the G20210A analysis. Stratified and tations in women with RPL.
multivariate logistic regression analyses were per-
formed with the use of aggregate data. Results were con- Arch Intern Med. 2004;164:558-563

R
ECURRENT PREGNANCY LOSS cant thrombosis. However, when carriers
(RPL), defined as 2 or more are exposed to additional risk factors, such
spontaneous abortions, af- as pregnancy or possibly oral contracep-
fects approximately 5% of tives, the risk of life-threatening throm-
women of reproductive botic events is significantly increased and
age.1 Although several causes of RPL have may become clinically evident.16-17
been established, more than 50% of cases The 2 most common causes of heredi-
remain unexplained. This is a challeng- tary thrombophilias are factor V Leiden
ing dilemma for both patients and physi- (FVL) and prothrombin gene (G20210A)
From the Division of cians.1 Recently, thrombophilias have been mutations.18 Factor V Leiden is a point mu-
Reproductive Endocrinology
suggested as a possible cause of RPL.2-8 He- tation (G1691A) that results in an altered
and Infertility, Department of
Obstetrics and Gynecology reditary thrombophilias are a group of ge- factor V, which is resistant to inactivation
(Drs Kovalevsky, Gracia, and netic disorders of blood coagulation re- by protein C. This results in a hypercoagu-
Barnhart), and Center for sulting in a hypercoagulable state, which lable state with a 5- to 10-fold risk of throm-
Clinical Epidemiology and in turn can result in abnormal placenta- bosis in heterozygotes and an 80-fold risk
Biostatistics (Drs Kovalevsky, tion. Early in pregnancy this may mani- in homozygotes.17 Factor V Leiden is re-
Berlin, Sammel, and Barnhart), fest as spontaneous loss.9-10 In later preg- sponsible for 20% to 40% of isolated throm-
University of Pennsylvania nancy, thrombophilias have been associated botic events and 40% to 45% of familial
Medical Center, Philadelphia. with complications such as preeclampsia, thrombophilias. Its prevalence in the United
Dr Kovalevsky is now with
intrauterine growth restriction, placental States is estimated to be between 3% and
CONRAD, Department of
Obstetrics and Gynecology, abruption, and stillbirth.11-15 7%, with the highest frequency in whites.18-20
Eastern Virginia Medical Most carriers of the mutation will not Many studies have investigated the rela-
School, Norfolk. The authors develop any clinical signs and remain un- tionship between FVL and RPL, and the ma-
have no relevant financial diagnosed because these conditions result jority found an association, with odds ra-
interest in this article. in a small absolute risk of clinically signifi- tios ranging from 0.5 to 18.21-43

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The G20210A mutation affects 1% to 4% of the US the number of cases and controls with and without each mu-
population. Its prevalence is highest among whites of tation, mean age of cases and controls, minimum number of
Southern European decent. This mutation is associated losses (2 or 3), race (whites only or mixed), and whether sub-
with a 20% to 50% rise in prothrombin plasma lev- jects were excluded on the basis of an evaluation for other causes.
When possible, data were recorded separately for women with
els.44-45 Affected women have a 3-fold increased risk of
pregnancy losses exclusively in the first trimester and for those
venous thrombosis, and a higher chance of myocardial with losses in both the first and second trimesters.
infarction and cerebral thrombosis than noncarri-
ers.16,46,47 Studies of G20210A have also shown conflict- STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
ing associations with RPL.32,33,35,38,39,41,48,49
Since the association between hereditary thrombo- All analyses were performed with Stata (version 6.0; Stata Corp,
philias and RPL has not been conclusively established, College Station, Tex). Rather than assigning arbitrary quality
most women with RPL are not tested for these muta- scores to this set of studies with similar designs, we analyzed
tions unless they have a personal or family history of the associations between outcome and relevant variables that
thrombosis. Because most carriers are otherwise asymp- we were able to extract.52 Data were entered as the aggregate
number of cases or controls with or without the mutation in
tomatic, the diagnosis would usually be missed. Prelimi-
each study. Independent analyses were carried out for the 2 mu-
nary studies of thrombophylaxis during pregnancy in car- tations. The association between presence of mutation and RPL
riers suggest that treatment may significantly improve was evaluated by means of multiple techniques: crude bivari-
pregnancy outcome.9,50-51 Thus, by identifying heritable ate analysis, analysis stratified by study, logistic regression, and
thrombophilias in young women, we might potentially meta-analysis of weighted averages. The multivariate logistic
prevent miscarriages, as well as serious maternal and neo- regression model was constructed by means of indicator vari-
natal complications. ables for the individual studies. The meta-analysis was per-
Our objective was to evaluate the relationship be- formed with both fixed-effects and random-effects models. This
tween RPL and these 2 common thrombophilias. To do approach involved computing weighted averages of the study-
so, we conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of the specific log odds ratios.
The degree of among-study heterogeneity was investi-
existing data. We believe that this was the best ap-
gated and possible sources were examined. First, the analysis
proach to address this controversial issue because col- was stratified by study and an overall test of among-study het-
lecting prospective data would be exceedingly difficult, erogeneity was performed. Then, interactions between the pres-
given the relatively low prevalence of both the risk fac- ence of mutation and aggregate-level covariates (ie, mean age,
tor (thrombophilia) and the outcome (RPL). Further- race, minimum number of losses, and exclusion based on other
more, many of the previous studies lacked power to de- causes) were evaluated by likelihood-ratio tests. To estimate
tect a small, but clinically important, association. the influence of various factors on the association of interest,
we also performed analyses stratified by race, trimester of RPL,
METHODS minimum number of losses, and whether other causes of RPL
were excluded. Finally, to further assess among-study hetero-
geneity, weighted random-effects meta-regression models of the
STUDY SELECTION
log odds ratios were fitted by means of the “metareg” proce-
We conducted a systematic review of the literature to identify dure in Stata. Covariates were added to the model individually
studies exploring the relationship between FVL or G20210A and in all possible combinations.
and RPL. An English-language MEDLINE search using Ovid As one large study contributed approximately half of the
and PubMed (1966-2002) was performed with the use of vari- cases to the FVL analysis, we decided a priori to perform the
ous combinations of the following terms: thrombophilia, factor complete analysis with and without this study. Publication
V Leiden, prothrombin, G20210A, miscarriage, abortion, and preg- bias was assessed with both Begg and Egger tests and funnel
nancy loss. Pertinent studies were also identified from article plots.53
bibliographies.
Inclusion criteria required that RPL be defined as 2 or more
losses in the first 2 trimesters of pregnancy, and that muta- RESULTS
tions be identified by DNA analysis (polymerase chain reaction).
Studies that did not provide control subjects were excluded. If FVL MUTATION
a study as a whole did not meet inclusion criteria, but a subset
of the subjects qualified, only the subset was included. The search The 16 individual studies included in the analysis are sum-
yielded 34 relevant studies. Among articles addressing FVL, 17 marized in Table 1, and the odds ratios (ORs) are de-
met inclusion criteria. Of these, 16 were case-control studies picted in Figure 1. Table 2 summarizes the ORs pro-
and 1 was a retrospective cohort. Because of the major differ- duced by each method. The initial bivariate analysis of
ence in design, the cohort study was excluded from analysis. the association between the FVL mutation and RPL pro-
Seven articles investigating G20210A met inclusion criteria; all duced a crude OR of 2.1 (95% confidence interval [CI],
were case-control studies. All studies excluded women with a
1.6-2.7; P⬍.001). However, significant among-study het-
history of thrombosis and those previously diagnosed as hav-
ing a hereditary thrombophilia. Two of us (G.K. and C.R.G.) erogeneity was observed when the analysis was strati-
performed the literature search, reviewed the articles, and ab- fied by study (Breslow and Day test of homogeneity,
stracted the data independently. All differences were resolved P =.03). Nevertheless, this result was confirmed by the
by consensus. logistic regression model, while attempting to control for
among-study variation. Furthermore, both fixed-effects
DATA EXTRACTION
and random-effects meta-analyses also reproduced this
The data were abstracted by means of a standardized spread- estimate (fixed effects: OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.5-2.6; P⬍.001;
sheet. The information extracted from each study consisted of random effects: OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4-3.3; P⬍.001).

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Table 1. Summary of Studies Included in the Analysis

Age, y
No. of Minimum White Unexplained
Source Cases/Controls Cases Controls No. of Losses Trimester Only Only OR (95% CI)
Factor V Leiden
Balasch et al,31 1997 55/50 31.8 34.4 2 First No Yes 0.9 (0.1-14.9)
Dizon-Townson et al,42 1997 40/25 33.0 31.0 3 First and second Yes Yes ND*
Grandone et al,30 1997 27/118 31.0 35.0 2 First Yes Yes 1.8 (0.3-9.9)
Metz et al,29 1997 100/85 NA NA 3 First and second No No 1.7 (0.4-7.2)
Ridker et al,36 1998 206/437 NA NA 3 First and second Yes Yes 2.2 (1.1-4.5)
Pauer and Neesen,43 1998 84/87 32.9 NA 2 First and second No Yes 1.2 (0.4-3.2)
Souza et al,41 1999 56/384 29.6 24.3 3 First and second No No 4.8 (1.3-17.7)
Kutteh et al,32 1999 50/50 33.6 34.3 3 First and second Yes No 0.5 (0.04-5.6)
Tal et al,37 1999 78/125 31.4 30.7 2 First and second No Yes 4.4 (1.7-11.1)
Hashimoto et al,28 1999 52/55 NA NA 3 First No Yes ND*
Foka et al,33 2000 80/100 33.0 35.0 2 First and second Yes No 5.5 (1.8-17.4)
Wramsby et al,38 2000 84/69 NA NA 3 First and second No No 6.1 (1.3-28.2)
Younis et al,40 2000 78/139 30.0 30.7 2 First and second No Yes 3.9 (1.6-9.7)
Rai et al,34 2001 904/150 34.0 33.0 3 First Yes No 0.8 (0.4-1.5)
Raziel et al,35 2001 36/40 34.0 33.5 2 First and second Yes Yes 3.8 (0.7-20.2)
Pihusch et al,39 2001 102/128 35.0 32.0 2 First and second Yes Yes 0.9 (0.3-2.3)
Total or mean 2032/2042 32.4 32.2 2.5 8 Yes, 8 no 10 Yes, 6 no
Prothrombin Gene (G20210A)
Pickering et al,49 1998 122/66 35.0 31.0 3 First and second No Yes 0.7 (0.2-3.3)
Kutteh et al,32 1999 50/50 33.6 34.3 3 First and second Yes Yes 1.0 (0.06-16.4)
Souza et al,41 1999 56/384 29.6 24.3 3 First and second No No 3.5 (0.6-19.7)
Foka et al,33 2000 80/100 33.0 35.0 2 First and second Yes No 4.7 (0.9-23.3)
Wramsby et al,38 2000 84/69 NA NA 3 First and second No No 0.8 (0.2-4.2)
Raziel et al,35 2001 36/40 34.0 33.5 2 First and second Yes Yes 2.3 (0.2-26.4)
Pihusch et al,39 2001 102/128 35.0 32.0 2 First and second Yes Yes 6.5 (0.8-56.9)
Total or mean 530/837 33.4 31.7 2.6 4 Yes, 3 no 4 Yes, 3 no

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; NA, not available; ND, not determined; OR, odds ratio.
*Could not be calculated because none of the cases or controls had the mutation.

Balasch et al,31 1997 Table 2. Combined Odds Ratios for Association


Grandone et al,30 1997 Between Factor V Leiden and Prothrombin Mutations
Metz et al,29 1997 and Recurrent Pregnancy Loss
Pauer and Neesen,43 1998
Ridker et al,36 1998
Kutteh et al,32 1999 Prothrombin
Souza et al,41 1999 Factor V Gene
Tal et al,37 1999 Leiden (G20210A)
Foka et al,33 2000
Younis et al,40 2000
Wramsby et al,38 2000
OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Raziel et al,35 2001 Crude bivariate analysis 2.1 1.6-2.7 2.5 1.3-4.7
Rai et al,34 2001
Pihusch et al,39 2001
Adjusted stratified analysis* 2.0 1.5-2.7 2.0 1.0-4.0
Logistic regression* 2.2 1.6-2.9 2.2 1.1-4.3
Combined Fixed-effects meta-analysis 2.0 1.5-2.6 1.9 0.96-3.9
0.3 1.0 2.2 5.0 10.0 20.0 Random-effects meta-analysis 2.2 1.4-3.3 1.9 0.96-3.9
Odds Ratio (Log Scale)
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
Figure 1. Association of factor V Leiden mutation and recurrent pregnancy *Analysis performed while adjusted for among-study heterogeneity.
loss. The center of each box indicates the odds ratio (OR) for each study;
error bars, confidence intervals (CIs); dotted vertical line, calculated
combined OR; and rhombus, the combined CI. If the CIs were very wide, ity by the weighted meta-regression model (P =.14). In
they were truncated at 0.29 and 21.0. The size of the box is proportional to fact, none of the covariates was found to be a significant
the weight given to the study in the meta-analysis model. The combined ORs
and CIs were calculated using the random-effects meta-analysis technique. source of heterogeneity by this method.
Subgroup analyses confirmed that race produced sta-
tistically significant variation in the strength of the main
These models also confirmed the presence of sig- association (Table 3). We also found that limiting the
nificant among-study heterogeneity (P = .02). When we analysis to women with exclusively first-trimester losses
attempted to identify a likely source for the heterogene- weakened the association (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2;
ity, we found that the only covariate that showed a sig- P=.002). Despite these stratifications, the association be-
nificant interaction with the presence of FVL mutation tween FVL and RPL remained significant in all of the sub-
was race (likelihood ratio test, P = .005). However, race groups. We also found that greater age was associated
was not shown to be a significant source of heterogene- with higher risk. Finally, tests for publication bias did

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Table 3. Associations Between Factor V Leiden
and Prothrombin Mutations With RPL Pickering et al,49 1998
When Examined Within Subgroups
Kutteh et al,32 1999

Prothrombin Souza et al,41 1999


Factor V Gene Foka et al,33 2000
Leiden (G20210A)
Wramsby et al,38 2000
OR 95% CI OR 95% CI
Pihusch et al,39 2001
No. of miscarriages
ⱖ3 2.1 1.5-3.0 1.6 0.7-3.7 Raziel et al,35 2001
ⱖ2 2.5 1.7-3.6 4.5 1.5-13.3
Time of miscarriages Combined
First trimester only 1.6 1.2-2.2 3.4 1.5-8.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 5.0 10.0 20.0
First and second trimesters 2.7 2.0-3.7 2.2 1.1-4.4 Odds Ratio (Log Scale)
Race
White only 1.5 1.1-2.2 3.4 1.3-9.1 Figure 2. Association of prothrombin mutation and recurrent pregnancy
loss. The center of each box indicates the odds ratio (OR) for each study;
Other races included 3.4 2.2-5.1 1.8 0.7-4.4
error bars, confidence intervals (CIs); dotted vertical line, calculated
Other causes combined OR; and rhombus, the combined CI. If the CIs were very wide,
Unexplained only 2.1 1.5-3.0 1.9 0.7-5.2 they were truncated at 0.29 and 21.0. The size of the box is proportional to
Other causes not excluded 2.3 1.5-3.5 3.0 1.3-6.8 the weight given to the study in the meta-analysis model. The combined ORs
and CIs were calculated using the random-effects meta-analysis technique.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; RPL, recurrent
pregnancy loss.
cally significant variation in the strength of the associa-
not detect any significant bias (Begg test, P = .78; Egger tion (Table 3). The association between G20210A and
test, P=.47). RPL remained positive in all of the subgroups, although
The complete analysis was repeated with exclusion statistical significance was not achieved in all strata. Spe-
of the study by Rai et al.34 Stratification by study could no cifically, a significant association was not found in stud-
longer reject the null hypothesis of homogeneity (Bres- ies where RPL was defined as 3 or more losses, races other
low and Day test, P=.26). The adjusted OR increased to than white were included, and only unexplained losses
2.5 (95% CI, 1.8-3.4; P⬍.001). This result was corrobo- were included. Finally, tests for publication bias did not
rated by the logistic regression model (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, detect any significant bias (Begg test, P=.89; Egger test,
1.9-3.5; P⬍.001) and both meta-analysis models (fixed ef- P =.71).
fects: OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.8-3.4; P⬍.001; random effects:
OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.7-3.7; P⬍.001). Neither the interac- COMMENT
tion tests nor the meta-regression analyses yielded any sig-
nificant findings. Thus, exclusion of the study by Rai et al Recurrent pregnancy loss is a devastating condition, both
eliminated significant among-study heterogeneity. medically and emotionally. While most cases remain un-
explained, inherited thrombophilias have recently been
G20210A MUTATION implicated as a potential cause. The FVL and G20210A
mutations, the two most common inherited thrombo-
The 7 studies included in the analysis are summarized philias, have been investigated and have shown incon-
in Table 1, and ORs are given in Table 2 and Figure 2. sistent results. By performing a meta-analysis, we estab-
The initial analysis of the association between the lished an association between FVL mutation and RPL,
G20210A mutation and RPL produced a crude OR of 2.5 with a cumulative OR of 2. In other words, carriers of
(95% CI, 1.3-4.7; P = .004), and the analysis stratified by the FVL mutation have double the risk of RPL when com-
study resulted in a Mantel-Haenszel adjusted OR of 2.0 pared with noncarriers. This association was confirmed
(95% CI, 1.0-4.0; P=.03). No significant among-study het- by several methods of analysis.
erogeneity was observed (Breslow and Day test of ho- Carriers of the G20210A mutation also were found
mogeneity, P= .51). The association between G20210A to have double the risk of RPL when compared with non-
and RPL in the logistic regression model, while adjust- carriers. However, while the magnitude of the associa-
ing for the influence of among-study variation, was not tion between G20210A and RPL remained similar in all
substantially different from the adjusted OR. Both fixed- methods of analysis, statistical significance was depen-
effects and random-effects meta-analyses achieved a simi- dent on the technique of analysis. This may be due to a
lar result; however, the statistical significance became bor- smaller sample size in the G20210A group; only 7 stud-
derline. These models also confirmed the absence of ies met the inclusion criteria for this analysis.
among-study heterogeneity (P=.44). Consistent with the Inclusion and exclusion criteria are a critical part
absence of significant heterogeneity, both the interac- of a meta-analysis and can substantially affect results. We
tion analyses and the meta-regression models found that chose to be conservative in our study selection, which
no factors significantly influenced the association be- likely underestimated the discovered association. A num-
tween G20210A and RPL. ber of articles investigating FVL from the Israeli collabo-
The subgroup analyses demonstrated that stratifi- rators were excluded because they included third-
cation by each of the variables also yielded no statisti- trimester miscarriages in their definition of RPL, and the

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necessary information for the subset of women who met effect of thrombophilias on isolated pregnancy loss de-
our criteria could not be extracted.4,5,12,24 The ORs in these serves further research.
publications ranged from 4 to 18. Similarly, the cohort In addition to pregnancy loss, there is evidence that
study, which was excluded on the basis of design differ- hereditary thrombophilias are associated with severe com-
ences, found an OR of 2.5.26 Thus, inclusion of these stud- plications in late pregnancy and with increased risk of
ies in our analysis would have only strengthened the as- venous thrombosis during pregnancy, post partum, and
sociation between FVL and RPL. in users of oral contraceptives.11-15 The role of thrombo-
Notably, the disproportionately large study by Rai philias in all aspects of reproduction should be closely
et al34 showed no association (OR, 0.8). This study con- examined. As the clinical implications of inherited throm-
tributed 45% of the FVL-positive RPL cases to our analy- bophilias on pregnancy and women’s health become bet-
sis and was the cause of significant among-study hetero- ter understood, a comprehensive cost-effectiveness analy-
geneity. Nevertheless, we found a significant association sis will be essential to assess the benefits of screening all
between FVL and RPL both with and without inclusion women of reproductive age.
of this study. One possible reason for the null effect in For testing to be truly beneficial, effective treat-
this study is that women with RPL of known causes were ment of carriers is needed. Thrombophylaxis has been
included in their analysis. In fact, 20.7% of the cases in shown to be valuable in preventing recurrent thrombo-
this study were diagnosed as having antiphospholipid an- sis in carriers, and preliminary evidence from case se-
tibodies. When we repeated the analysis without this ries suggests that it also may help to prevent miscar-
study, a stronger association was observed (OR, 2.5; 95% riages and improve neonatal and maternal outcomes in
CI, 1.8-3.4). pregnancy.50,51 However, clinical trials are necessary to
We stratified our analysis by using several descrip- establish the safety and efficacy of treatment before wide-
tive variables in an attempt to estimate their influence spread application is instituted.
on the main association (Table 3). We found that race In summary, our meta-analyses have demon-
had a significant influence on the association between strated a strong association between RPL and the FVL
FVL and RPL; studies recruiting only white women dem- mutation and shown a probable association between RPL
onstrated a weaker association than those with mixed and the G20210A mutation. Given the clinical implica-
populations. This effect was reversed in the G20210A tions and the relatively high prevalence of these muta-
analysis, but the difference was not statistically signifi- tions, we recommend testing women with RPL for their
cant. Also in the FVL analysis, limiting the data to women presence. Until the efficacy of thrombophylaxis for RPL
with first-trimester RPL appeared to weaken the asso- is proved, anticoagulation of carriers should be consid-
ciation, while such an effect was not found in the G20210A ered on an individual basis.
analysis. It would not be surprising to find that the as-
sociation is weakened in the first trimester because ab- Accepted for publication April 28, 2003.
normal fetal karyotype has been consistently shown to This study was presented in part at the meeting of the
be responsible for most of these losses,1 thus resulting American Society of Reproductive Medicine; October 15,
in a lower prevalence of losses caused by abnormal pla- 2002; Seattle, Wash.
centation. On the other hand, we are not aware of any Corresponding author: George Kovalevsky, MD,
reason why race may have influenced the association. It CONRAD Clinical Research Center, 601 Colley Ave, Nor-
is possible that selection bias was present in studies that folk, VA 23507.
did not recruit the cases and controls from populations
with equal prevalence of the mutation. However, in in-
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