Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ECONOMIC DIGEST
Vol.2 No.12 A joint publication of the Connecticut Department of Labor & the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development
Total employment
In 1Q97, establish- March 1997 opportunities small
ments with 1,000 or 200,000 establishments offer
more employees ac- are vital to
counted for only 0.1 150,000 Connecticut’s economic
percent of total estab- stability. However, it is
100,000
lishments. Chart disconcerting that the
displays the changes in 50,000
employer size class that
Connecticut’s total >5 10-19 50-99 250-499 1,000+ pays the highest weekly
employment by estab- Size Class wage is also the one
lishment size between showing the largest
March 1997 and March employment decreases.
1989. lishments with 1,000 or more Will the employment opportunities
An analysis of wage data by employees was $978, 31.1 percent small businesses offer be substan-
size of establishment reveals that higher than the weekly wage for tial enough to compensate for the
during 1Q97, the average weekly total industries and 50.9 percent diminishing positions in larger
wage in establishments with less higher than the average weekly establishments? Time will tell. ■
HOUSING UPDATE
The annual housing permit report for 1996 is available from the Department of Economic and Community Devel-
opment. To obtain a copy, please call (860)270-8161 or fax requests to (860)270-8174.
.
Windham. This is the 10 3% the largest number of
first time since 1979 that 2% Connecticut areas since
5
Middletown is on the list; 1% 1979.
in contrast, the town of 0 0% The current list in-
Winchester has the 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 cludes 1,406 labor surplus
distinction of being listed areas nationwide, up from
during 14 of the last 19 years. national (for this purpose, the last year’s total of 1,370. Only two
The main objective of classify- national rate includes Puerto Rico) states (Delaware and Iowa) were
ing labor surplus areas is to direct and local area unemployment determined to have no qualifying
federal procurement contracts rates during the prior two calendar areas. California has the largest
toward areas that have experi- years, where the local area’s number of areas, 146 in 1997.
enced high unemployment. Em- average unemployment rate for the Among New England states,
ployers located in such areas are period must have been at least 20 Massachusetts has the largest
then eligible for preference in percent above the national aver- number of labor surplus areas
bidding on federal government age. In order to qualify for the listed; Connecticut is second. ■
contracts. Additionally, to aim current list, an area’s average
federal contract dollars more unemployment rate needed to be Number of Labor Surplus Areas
precisely to locations experiencing at least 6.7 percent during the
New England States 1996 1997
high unemployment, labor surplus period from January 1995 through
Massachusetts 61 31
areas are determined on the basis December 1996; the national Connecticut 15 21
of civil jurisdictions (counties or average unemployment rate was Rhode Island 13 8
cities and towns with a population 5.6 percent for that period. Maine 8 6
of 25,000 or more) rather than on The U.S. Department of Labor, Vermont 1 3
the broader metropolitan or labor at its discretion, may waive the New Hampshire 0 1
market area basis. eligibility criteria in areas where a Total 98 70
The concept of classifying labor sudden, unforeseen rise in unem-
surplus areas dates back to the ployment has occurred which is
early 1950s. It was intended to not temporary or seasonal, and is
address concerns that high unem- not reflected in the area’s average The list of Connecticut Labor Surplus Areas is updated
ployment rates and under-utiliza- unemployment rate during the annually on the Department of Labor’s Web site at:
tion of plants and equipment in reference period. The exceptional http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/dol/lsareas.htm. Em-
ployers may contact the Connecticut Department of
some regions would lead to erosion circumstance criteria include Labor’s Office of Research, at (860) 566-7823, to in-
of the mobilization base and natural disasters, plant closings, quire about labor surplus areas in other states; and
adversely affect essential produc- contract cancellations, etc., that the Superintendent of Documents, at (202) 512-1800,
tion during the Korean War. Labor can have a substantial impact on to request a single issue (or a full year’s subscription)
surplus areas were at first deter- an area’s unemployment. The of Area Trends in Employment and Unemployment. Em-
mined on a monthly basis, then State Employment Security Agency ployers located in labor surplus areas and interested in
quarterly, and finally on an annual must then submit a petition bidding on Federal contracts should consult the Com-
merce Business Daily, which lists Federal contract re-
basis beginning in June 1979. requesting such classification to quirements and indicates those to be awarded under
Criteria for selection, as well as the U.S. Department of Labor’s preference procedure. It is available through the Su-
area definitions, have also under- Employment and Training Admin- perintendent of Documents, as well as through the
gone a number of legislative and istration, providing documented Commerce Business Daily Web site at: http://
regulatory changes over the years. information that the area meets cbdnet.access.gpo.gov/.
●
4
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS
LEADING INDEX COINCIDENT INDEX
105 120
Peak
02/89
100
100
95
80 Peak
Trough
03/80
90 06/92
60 Peak Trough
Peak
85 05/74 01/83
12/69
40
80 Trough
Trough
09/75
10/71
75 20
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96
The distance from peak to trough, indicated by the shaded areas, measures the duration of an employment cycle recession. The vertical scale in
both charts is an index with 1987=100.
Source: Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut. Developed by Pami Dua [(203) 461-6644,
Stamford Campus (on leave)] and Stephen M. Miller [(860) 486-3853, Storrs Campus]. Kathryn E. Parr [(860) 486-0485, Storrs
Campus] provided research support.
Manufacturing weekly
MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY
earnings rose by $22.56 OCT OCT CHANGE SEP
and the output index (Not seasonally adjusted) 1997 1996 NO. % 1997
increased 2.1 percent over Average Weekly Hours 42.8 42.9 -0.1 -0.2 43.0
Average Hourly Earnings $14.63 $14.07 $0.56 4.0 $14.63
the year.
Average Weekly Earnings $626.16 $603.60 $22.56 3.7 $629.09
Mfg. Output Index (1982=100)* 122.8 120.3 2.5 2.1 121.1
Production Worker Hours (000s) 6,881 6,895 -14 -0.2 6,890
Productivity Index (1982=100)* 187.9 183.6 4.3 2.3 187.6
Source: Connecticut Department of Labor
*Seasonally adjusted
Note: The estimates for 1969:Q1 to 1989:Q4 have been revised by BEA in the second half of 1997.
The series is now consistent from 1969:Q1 to 1997:Q2 (The most current quarter available)
Maine experienced a
LABOR FORCE
labor force decline over
OCT OCT CHANGE SEP
(Seasonally adjusted; 000s) 1997 1996 NO. % 1997 the year, while other
Connecticut 1,738.7 1,724.1 14.6 0.8 1,742.9 states in the region
Maine 667.2 673.8 -6.6 -1.0 667.1 posted increases.
Massachusetts 3,248.5 3,200.4 48.1 1.5 3,244.4
New Hampshire 655.2 622.1 33.1 5.3 652.3
New Jersey 4,151.0 4,150.6 0.4 0.0 4,147.1
New York 8,809.4 8,667.8 141.6 1.6 8,799.8
Pennsylvania 5,958.9 5,922.3 36.6 0.6 5,998.3
Rhode Island 507.8 499.5 8.3 1.7 508.8
Vermont 332.2 325.4 6.8 2.1 329.9
United States 136,361.0 134,636.0 1,725.0 1.3 136,467.0
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Connecticut's unemploy-
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
ment rate was on par
OCT OCT SEP
(Seasonally adjusted) 1997 1996 CHANGE 1997 with the national rate at
Connecticut 4.7 5.8 -1.1 4.6 4.7 percent in October.
Maine 4.9 4.9 0.0 4.8 New York and Rhode
Massachusetts 3.7 4.0 -0.3 4.0
New Hampshire 2.8 4.2 -1.4 2.8
Island's rates rose over
New Jersey 5.2 6.2 -1.0 5.4 the year.
New York 6.4 6.1 0.3 6.4
Pennsylvania 4.8 5.0 -0.2 5.3
Rhode Island 5.0 4.8 0.2 4.9
Vermont 3.8 4.6 -0.8 3.7
United States 4.7 5.2 -0.5 4.9
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
1,600
May 1,556.8 1,581.0 1,607.0
1,550 Jun 1,556.8 1,584.2 1,613.2
1,500 Jul 1,557.7 1,588.0 1,620.5
Aug 1,561.9 1,591.9 1,620.5
1,450 Sep 1,563.1 1,590.9 1,622.7
1,400 Oct 1,560.8 1,592.5 1,622.0
Nov 1,565.4 1,595.3
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 1,567.2 1,596.5
1,750
May 1,709.3 1,717.9 1,741.7
1,700 Jun 1,709.0 1,719.7 1,749.2
1,650 Jul 1,709.1 1,721.6 1,746.6
Aug 1,710.3 1,721.9 1,741.5
1,600 Sep 1,711.1 1,721.5 1,742.9
1,550 Oct 1,709.3 1,724.1 1,738.7
Nov 1,712.4 1,723.3
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 1,714.8 1,722.0
AVERAGE WEEKLY INITIAL CLAIMS* (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 4,534 4,651 3,890
9,000
Feb 4,756 4,517 3,795
8,000 Mar 4,790 4,082 3,880
7,000 Apr 4,797 4,274 4,335
6,000 May 4,940 4,334 3,724
Jun 5,579 4,365 4,277
5,000
Jul 5,029 4,349 3,622
4,000 Aug 4,800 4,281 3,858
3,000 Sep 4,803 4,199 3,627
2,000 Oct 4,872 4,166 3,470
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Nov 4,986 3,907
Dec 4,200 4,501
* The methodology for this series has been revised; See Technical Notes, p.23.
●
10
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
REAL AVG MANUFACTURING HOURLY EARNINGS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan $9.28 $9.22 $9.09
9.6
Feb 9.20 9.10 9.06
9.4 Mar 9.17 9.12 9.09
1982-84 Dollars
AVG MANUFACTURING WEEKLY HOURS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 42.6 39.1 42.7
45
Feb 42.8 42.6 42.1
44 Mar 43.3 43.0 42.4
43 Apr 41.0 42.0 42.5
42 May 42.9 42.7 42.4
Jun 42.8 43.0 42.5
41
Jul 41.8 42.2 42.1
40 Aug 42.5 42.6 42.2
39 Sep 43.2 43.1 43.0
38 Oct 43.5 42.9 42.8
Nov 43.2 43.2
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 43.5 43.4
HARTFORD HELP WANTED INDEX (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 32 35 35
120
Feb 35 33 36
100 Mar 36 34 34
Apr 33 34 36
1987=100
80
May 34 35 36
60 Jun 33 36 38
40 Jul 31 34 35
Aug 32 32 34
20 Sep 39 35 36
0 Oct 30 35 36
Nov 32 36
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 40 35
DOL NEWLY REGISTERED EMPLOYERS (12-month moving average) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 826 810 833
1,100 Feb 844 794 840
1,000 Mar 833 812 856
Apr 813 813 849
900
May 827 811 856
800 Jun 824 838 848
Jul 819 833 856
700
Aug 821 833 862
600 Sep 822 838 854
500 Oct 823 825 859
Nov 827 825
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 828 828
INSURANCE CARRIERS (SIC 63) EMPLOYMENT (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 62.4 59.9 57.7
72 Feb 62.3 60.0 57.5
68 Mar 62.6 60.1 57.2
Apr 60.5 59.1 57.2
Thousands
OTHER FIN.,INS.,REAL EST. EMPLOYMENT (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 44.0 45.6 47.3
50
Feb 44.0 46.0 47.3
48 Mar 44.0 46.3 47.6
Apr 44.1 46.0 48.0
Thousands
210
May 219.2 222.6 227.1
200 Jun 218.6 222.6 226.3
190 Jul 220.4 223.1 229.1
Aug 221.4 223.7 227.4
180 Sep 222.7 225.4 228.1
170 Oct 221.0 227.3 226.3
Nov 221.2 226.7
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
Dec 222.5 227.0
*Includes Indian tribal government employment
●
12
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
NEW AUTO REGISTRATIONS PROCESSED (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 17,777 16,714 12,436
30,000
Feb 18,580 9,724 14,401
25,000 Mar 13,422 13,132 23,952
Apr 10,777 14,930 18,038
20,000
May 15,516 14,492 16,364
15,000 Jun 19,419 16,812 16,464
10,000 Jul 16,107 18,412 10,386
Aug 12,552 20,409 11,210
5,000 Sep 13,413 14,420 11,485
0 Oct 20,463 13,059 14,563
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Nov 17,740 12,676
Dec 14,196 12,684
NEW HOUSING PERMITS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 566 277 433
4,000
Feb 323 398 442
3,500 Mar 721 609 909
3,000 Apr 1,032 755 1,036
2,500 May 735 902 836
2,000 Jun 709 744 886
1,500 Jul 674 797 871
1,000 Aug 934 707 792
500 Sep 726 708 740
0 Oct 727 792 852
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 Nov 629 554
Dec 598 574
CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS INDEX (12-month moving average) Month 1995 1996 1997
Jan 203.5 216.2 236.8
260
Feb 202.3 212.9 242.4
240 Mar 208.8 211.1 245.7
Apr 209.2 218.5 241.5
1980=100
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
●
14
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
BRIDGEPORT LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
OCT OCT CHANGE SEP
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
For further information on the Danbury Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 566-3472.
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the Danielson Labor Market Area contact Noreen Passardi at (860) 566-3470.
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
●
16
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
LOWER RIVER LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
OCT OCT CHANGE SEP
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
●
18
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
TORRINGTON LMA Not Seasonally Adjusted
OCT OCT CHANGE SEP
1997 1996 NO. % 1997
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
BRIDGEPORT LMA Civilian Labor Force 219,400 219,100 300 0.1 218,900
Employed 208,300 205,700 2,600 1.3 208,300
Unemployed 11,100 13,400 -2,300 -17.2 10,600
Unemployment Rate 5.1 6.1 -1.0 --- 4.8
DANBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 107,100 107,300 -200 -0.2 107,100
Employed 104,200 103,600 600 0.6 104,200
Unemployed 2,900 3,700 -800 -21.6 2,900
Unemployment Rate 2.7 3.4 -0.7 --- 2.7
DANIELSON LMA Civilian Labor Force 33,900 34,100 -200 -0.6 34,100
Employed 31,900 31,900 0 0.0 32,200
Unemployed 2,000 2,200 -200 -9.1 1,900
Unemployment Rate 5.9 6.6 -0.7 --- 5.5
HARTFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 595,900 589,900 6,000 1.0 591,200
Employed 570,300 557,700 12,600 2.3 566,500
Unemployed 25,600 32,100 -6,500 -20.2 24,700
Unemployment Rate 4.3 5.4 -1.1 --- 4.2
LOWER RIVER LMA Civilian Labor Force 12,600 12,200 400 3.3 12,600
Employed 12,200 11,700 500 4.3 12,200
Unemployed 400 500 -100 -20.0 400
Unemployment Rate 3.3 4.1 -0.8 --- 3.1
NEW HAVEN LMA Civilian Labor Force 275,000 274,000 1,000 0.4 273,000
Employed 263,300 259,500 3,800 1.5 261,700
Unemployed 11,700 14,400 -2,700 -18.8 11,300
Unemployment Rate 4.2 5.3 -1.1 --- 4.1
NEW LONDON LMA Civilian Labor Force 157,000 155,100 1,900 1.2 157,900
Employed 149,300 146,500 2,800 1.9 150,700
Unemployed 7,700 8,600 -900 -10.5 7,200
Unemployment Rate 4.9 5.6 -0.7 --- 4.6
STAMFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 192,900 190,600 2,300 1.2 192,600
Employed 187,400 184,200 3,200 1.7 187,400
Unemployed 5,400 6,400 -1,000 -15.6 5,100
Unemployment Rate 2.8 3.4 -0.6 --- 2.7
TORRINGTON LMA Civilian Labor Force 37,900 38,100 -200 -0.5 38,000
Employed 36,800 36,700 100 0.3 37,000
Unemployed 1,100 1,400 -300 -21.4 1,000
Unemployment Rate 2.9 3.8 -0.9 --- 2.7
WATERBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 119,900 116,200 3,700 3.2 119,700
Employed 114,200 109,400 4,800 4.4 114,500
Unemployed 5,600 6,800 -1,200 -17.6 5,200
Unemployment Rate 4.7 5.8 -1.1 --- 4.3
UNITED STATES Civilian Labor Force 136,665,000 135,015,000 1,650,000 1.2 136,375,000
Employed 130,671,000 128,439,000 2,232,000 1.7 129,972,000
Unemployed 5,995,000 6,577,000 -582,000 -8.8 6,403,000
Unemployment Rate 4.4 4.9 -0.5 --- 4.7
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
●
20
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
MANUFACTURING HOURS AND EARNINGS
AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP
(Not seasonally adjusted) 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997
MANUFACTURING $626.16 $603.60 $22.56 $629.09 42.8 42.9 -0.1 43.0 $14.63 $14.07 $0.56 $14.63
DURABLE GOODS 639.21 613.04 26.17 643.87 42.9 42.9 0.0 43.3 14.90 14.29 0.61 14.87
Lumber & Furniture 476.14 472.06 4.08 467.43 40.8 40.8 0.0 40.4 11.67 11.57 0.10 11.57
Stone, Clay and Glass 612.00 592.26 19.74 592.84 45.3 44.1 1.2 43.4 13.51 13.43 0.08 13.66
Primary Metals 627.38 578.09 49.29 630.19 45.2 43.4 1.8 46.1 13.88 13.32 0.56 13.67
Fabricated Metals 601.37 582.08 19.29 608.14 43.8 43.7 0.1 44.1 13.73 13.32 0.41 13.79
Machinery 689.47 660.83 28.65 690.30 44.8 44.5 0.3 45.0 15.39 14.85 0.54 15.34
Electrical Equipment 497.76 489.90 7.86 503.46 40.6 41.8 -1.2 41.2 12.26 11.72 0.54 12.22
Trans. Equipment 804.53 761.93 42.60 819.39 42.5 42.4 0.1 43.4 18.93 17.97 0.96 18.88
Instruments 579.96 558.36 21.60 583.16 40.9 41.7 -0.8 41.3 14.18 13.39 0.79 14.12
Miscellaneous Mfg 555.79 558.41 -2.62 554.94 41.2 42.4 -1.2 41.6 13.49 13.17 0.32 13.34
NONDUR. GOODS 594.58 576.88 17.70 593.47 42.5 42.7 -0.2 42.3 13.99 13.51 0.48 14.03
Food 533.75 510.30 23.45 493.70 42.7 43.1 -0.4 40.5 12.50 11.84 0.66 12.19
Textiles 495.22 455.39 39.83 502.66 43.1 41.1 2.0 43.9 11.49 11.08 0.41 11.45
Apparel 340.17 335.16 5.01 344.80 39.1 39.2 -0.1 40.0 8.70 8.55 0.15 8.62
Paper 705.79 704.62 1.17 706.86 46.1 47.1 -1.0 45.9 15.31 14.96 0.35 15.40
Printing & Publishing 596.17 570.33 25.83 599.79 40.2 39.8 0.4 39.8 14.83 14.33 0.50 15.07
Chemicals 793.41 774.37 19.04 796.02 44.8 45.1 -0.3 45.1 17.71 17.17 0.54 17.65
Rubber & Misc. Plast. 497.12 487.05 10.07 512.83 42.2 42.5 -0.3 42.7 11.78 11.46 0.32 12.01
CONSTRUCTION 788.83 768.59 20.24 786.60 41.3 41.3 0.0 41.4 19.10 18.61 0.49 19.00
LMAs AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP OCT CHG SEP
MANUFACTURING 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997 1997 1996 Y/Y 1997
Bridgeport $629.85 $629.52 $0.33 $647.14 42.5 43.0 -0.5 42.8 $14.82 $14.64 $0.18 $15.12
Danbury 661.05 664.10 -3.05 669.53 45.0 45.3 -0.3 45.3 14.69 14.66 0.03 14.78
Danielson 492.46 468.33 24.13 494.70 42.6 40.2 2.4 42.5 11.56 11.65 -0.09 11.64
Hartford 676.27 646.70 29.57 672.77 43.8 43.2 0.6 43.8 15.44 14.97 0.47 15.36
Lower River 500.21 502.14 -1.93 536.36 40.9 40.3 0.6 42.4 12.23 12.46 -0.23 12.65
New Haven 609.42 582.89 26.53 621.46 42.0 42.3 -0.3 42.8 14.51 13.78 0.73 14.52
New London 647.56 618.19 29.37 648.19 42.8 42.9 -0.1 42.7 15.13 14.41 0.72 15.18
Stamford 565.80 585.31 -19.51 564.30 41.0 41.6 -0.6 41.1 13.80 14.07 -0.27 13.73
Torrington 559.02 549.48 9.54 561.85 42.0 43.3 -1.3 42.5 13.31 12.69 0.62 13.22
Waterbury 589.61 584.32 5.29 591.91 43.1 44.3 -1.2 43.3 13.68 13.19 0.49 13.67
Current month's data are preliminary. Prior months' data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1996.
●
22
THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST December 1997
TECHNICAL NOTES
BUSINESS STARTS AND TERMINATIONS
DOL newly registered employers are those businesses newly registered with the Labor Department’s unemployment insurance program
(including reopened accounts) during the month. DOL discontinued employers are those accounts that are terminated due to inactivity (no
employees) or business closure. Registrations and terminations of business entities as recorded with the Secretary of the State are an
indication of new business formation and activity. These registrations include limited liability companies, limited liability partnerships, and
foreign-owned (out-of-state) and domestic-owned (in-state) corporations.
INITIAL CLAIMS
Average weekly initial claims are calculated by dividing the total number of new claims for unemployment insurance received in the month by
the number of weeks in the month. A minor change in methodology takes effect with data published in the March 1997 issue of the DIGEST.
Data have been revised back to January 1980.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has identified the five towns of Canaan, Kent, North Canaan, Salisbury and Sharon as a separate area for
reporting labor force data. For the convenience of our data users, data for these towns are included in the Torrington Labor Market Area. For
the same purpose, data for the town of Thompson, which is officially part of the Worcester Metropolitan Statistical Area, are included in the
Danielson Labor Market Area. Also, data for Hopkinton and Westerly, Rhode Island are included in the New London Labor Market Area.
UI COVERED WAGES
UI covered wages is the total amount paid to those employees who are covered under the Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) law for
services performed during the quarter. The fluctuations in the 1992-93 period reflect the effect of the changes in the tax law and the massive
restructuring in the state’s economy.
Leading Employment Index .......... +0.8 Business Activity Tourism and Travel
Coincident Employment Index ...... +8.6 New Housing Permits .................. +14.2 Tourism Inquiries ........................... -44.5
Electricity Sales .............................. -2.3 Tourism Info Centers ....................... -5.6
Total Nonfarm Employment .......... +1.9 Retail Sales ................................... +4.9 Attraction Visitors ......................... +17.4
Construction Contracts Index ........ -16.8 Hotel-Motel Occupancy .................. -0.1
Unemployment .............................. -1.1* New Auto Registrations ................ +11.5 Air Passenger Count ..................... +6.0
Labor Force ................................... +0.8 Air Cargo Tons .............................. -12.7
Employed ...................................... +2.0 Employment Cost Index (U.S.)
Unemployed ................................. -17.8 Total ............................................... +3.2
Business Starts Wages & Salaries .......................... +3.6
Average Weekly Initial Claims ...... -16.7 Secretary of the State .................. +17.7 Benefit Costs ................................. +2.0
Help Wanted Index -- Hartford ....... +2.9 Dept. of Labor ................................ +0.6
Average Ins. Unempl. Rate ......... -0.39* Consumer Price Index
Business Terminations U.S. City Average ........................... +2.1
Average Weekly Hours, Mfg ........... -0.2 Secretary of the State .................. +49.1 Northeast Region ........................... +2.2
Average Hourly Earnings, Mfg ...... +4.0 Dept. of Labor ................................ +1.0 NY-NJ-Long Island ......................... +2.4
Average Weekly Earnings, Mfg ..... +3.7 Boston-Lawrence-Salem ............... +2.6
Manufacturing Output ................... +2.1 Consumer Confidence
Production Worker Hours ................ -0.2 State Tax Collections ..................... +1.2 U.S. ............................................. +14.9
Productivity .................................... +2.3 Corporate Tax .................................. -6.5 New England .............................. +10.0
Personal Income Tax .................... +13.1
Personal Income ............................ +5.5 Real Estate Conveyance Tax .......... +0.8 Interest Rates
UI Covered Wages ......................... +6.8 Sales & Use Tax ............................. +5.5 Prime .......................................... +0.25*
Conventional Mortgage ............... -0.63*
*Percentage point change; **Less than 0.05 percent; NA = Not Available
THE CONNECTICUT
ECONOMIC DIGEST
A joint publication of
The Connecticut Departments of Labor and
Economic and Community Development
❑ If you wish to have your name removed from our mailing list, please
Mailing address:
check here and return this page to the address at left.
Connecticut Economic Digest ❑ If your address has changed, please check here, make the necessary
Connecticut Department of Labor changes to your address label and return this page to the address at
Office of Research left.
200 Folly Brook Boulevard ❑ If you receive more than one copy of this publication, please check
Wethersfield, CT 06109 here and return this page from the duplicate copy to the address at left.