Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ecological Footprints
Event
Demos against Mubarak 25-28 Jan., 2011 Increase demo earlier Feb. 2011 After Feb. 9th Mubarak resigned Feb 11, 2011 Left of 2011 Sometimes 2011
US/(Israel)/West stand
Advice Max. restrain with support for government Some strong message against Mubarak Mubarak must go Obama we American young should learn from Egyptians Doubts, how we would deal with new situation in the middle east. Set plans and different scenarios Different scenarios were set 1. Back one of old regime to win presidential election, disadvantage, people may repeat what happened with Mubarak 2. Support the main political steam (political Islam), although the showed no animosity but we cant take them as a strategic alliance. They clearly have their own agenda against and that will eventually conflict with us 3. Although Muslim Brotherhood (MB) announced they wont seek power, we should drag them to that (by trigger fears from a return of Mubarak supporter especially Omar Suliman or Shafiq). As soon as they seize power start to fail them by all means, that will start sectarian division and may eventually lead to civil war lasts for years Scenario 3 was picked and approved, and put into execution. MB is successfully dragged into the trap. Details of Scenario - Israel to heat up Sinai frontier to put pressure on the government - Intensify the communication with the army and ensure its head is well in sync with us. - While showing support to the government, on the ground strength the opposition - Fail the government by all possible means and put them always under pressure internally (by our base build since Mubarak era) and externally by our Arab allies. The goal is to increase the people dispersant to the highest possible. The ultimate goal is to reach a complete internal division. At the right time force the MB government out. That itself could trigger the Algeria scenario in Egypt. During this conflict we wont take a public position e.g. one (Kerry) could support one side whereas other one (McCain)
supports the other side. That will take months or hopefully years. During that well support and come up with a new permanent allay.
Military coup with people support July 4th, 2013 Massacre and start of what seems to be an extended civil war Aug. 14, 2013