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STRUCTURED FINANCE RESEARCH

Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance
Primary Credit Analyst: Nicolas Huschke, London +44 (0) 207 176 3459; nicolas.huschke@standardandpoors.com Secondary Contact: Elton Eakins, London (44) 20-7176-3698; elton.eakins@standardandpoors.com Data Analyst: Pulock Baidya, Data Analyst, London (44) 20-7176-3986; pulock_baidya@standardandpoors.com

Table Of Contents
Related Criteria And Research

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance
Table 1

Performance Indicators (%)


Q2 2013 Indices Total delinquencies 90+ day delinquencies Prepayment rate Economic data House price growth* Real GDP growth Unemployment rate (9.6) (0.2) 6.8 (7.0) (0.4) 6.4 (6.7) (0.4) 5.8 (8.3) (1.0) 5.4 (4.8) 0.2 5.1 1.79 0.71 4.35 1.89 0.72 4.28 1.76 0.73 4.05 1.78 0.68 4.46 2.26 0.67 3.17 Q1 2013 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 Q2 2012

*Source: Kadaster; year-on-year. Source: Statistics Netherlands; seasonally adusted quarter-on-quarter. Eurostat; seasonally adjusted.

Table 2

Scenarios For Dutch RMBS Collateral: 2013 And 2014


Baseline effect on collateral credit quality

Actual 2012 Real GDP (year-on-year growth; %) Unemployment rate (annual average; %) House prices (year-on-year growth; %) Net mortgage lending (year-on-year growth in balances, %) ECB policy rate (%) (1.0)

Baseline 2013 (0.8) 2014 0.6

Downside 2013 (1.2) 2014 (0.4)

Comment

The economy will likely remain weak in 2013, with only very modest growth the following year Unemployment is at a 17-year high and accelerating

Neutral

5.3 (7.3)

6.9 (5.5)

7.2 (1.0)

8.0 N/A

8.5 N/A

Somewhat unfavorable

Greater constraints on mortgage interest Somewhat unfavorable tax relief and wider austerity measures are hitting house prices Household deleveraging has not yet begun We expect the ECB to keep its policy rate low, given the ongoing eurozone downturn Neutral

1.6

0.5

(0.2)

N/A

N/A

0.75

0.50

0.50

0.25

0.25

Neutral

Sources: Statistics Netherlands, Eurostat, OECD, Standard & Poor's. N/A--Not available.

In the second quarter of 2013, 90+ day delinquencies in Standard & Poor's Ratings Services' Dutch residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) index, remained largely unchanged. However, worsening macroeconomic conditions and high unemployment have weakened the underlying collateral in certain transaction groups. New transactions, which typically have no 90+ day delinquencies, have pushed overall delinquencies down. Our 90+ day delinquencies index would have increased to 0.76% if we excluded the effect of new issuance. In addition, transactions with high delinquencies, were redeemed this quarter, further masking weakening collateral performance. Nevertheless,

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

delinquency levels remain lower than other jurisdictions. The Dutch domestic economy remains weak and many key indicators remain negative or well below long-term averages. On the other hand, exports have recently performed well, mainly due to re-exports. We updated our GDP expectations for the Netherlands and assume a 0.8% contraction this year (see "The Eurozone Economy Shows Signs Of Stabilization, But Recovery Is Still Some Way Off," published on June 26, 2013). Unemployment has risen to 6.8% from 6.4% in Q1, and we have revised our 2013 forecast to 6.9%. We forecast unemployment to reach 7.2% in 2014. In addition, the Dutch government will reduce unemployment benefits to a maximum of 24 months from 38 months in January 2016. In our view, this is likely to lead to further deteriorating collateral performance. Overview Although total delinquencies appear to have decreased in our index, suggesting improved performance, new issuance and redemptions are masking weakening collateral performance in certain transaction groups. The Dutch domestic economy remains weak and many key indicators remain negative or well below long-term averages. We rated four new transactions totaling approximately 11 billion.

House prices saw another weak quarter. Recent data from Kadaster show that house prices declined by another 2% in Q2, and we believe that prices will continue to fall by a further 3% by the end of the year, and by another 1% in 2014. This will bring the cumulative decline from their peak in mid-2008 to about 23%. Although total delinquencies appear to have decreased in our index, suggesting improved performance, a number of new issuances and redemptions and new issuances are masking weakening collateral performance in certain transactions. For example, the weighted-average of 90+ day delinquencies in STORM transactions appears to have decreased to 0.37% from 0.43% quarter-on-quarter. However, since Q1, we have removed the 2006-I and 2006-II transactions from our index and added new 2013 transactions with no delinquencies at issuance, which have effectively masked the effect of overall increasing severe delinquencies. Excluding these redemptions and additions to our index, 90+ day delinquencies in STORM transactions would have increased to 0.42% from 0.28%. Similarly, Goldfish Master Trust B.V.'s performance appears to have improved, as 90+ day delinquencies decreased to 0.35% from 0.51%. However, Goldfish issued its new 2013-II notes, which increased the trust's outstanding balance to 15.0 billion from 9.5 billion. Excluding the effect of the new transaction, 90+ day delinquencies would have been four basis points higher. While we affirmed our ratings on 47 tranches in 10 transactions, we lowered our ratings on seven tranches in Monastery 2006-I B.V., E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III, and E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2007-IV. In addition, we placed our ratings in four SNS Bank N.V. originated prime transactions on CreditWatch negative, due to a breach in the documented assignment notification trigger of 'BBB+' (see "Related Criteria And Research").

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

We rated four new transactions totaling approximately 11 billion: Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1, STORM 2013-II B.V., STORM 2013-III B.V., and Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. 2013-2. STORM 2006-I B.V., STORM 2006-II B.V. and Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans II B.V. were fully redeemed, and Goldfish Master Issuer redeemed its 2010-2 A2 and A3 notes and its 2011-1 A1 notes. Counterparty scenario analysis. In order to provide further transparency on the components of our ratings, at the end of this report, we have set out a scenario analysis using the assumption that all supporting parties are rated 'AAA' in order to demonstrate the likely ratings, were counterparties not a constraining factor.
Chart 1

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 2

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 3

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 4

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 5

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Chart 6

Counterparty scenario analysis. We have carried out a scenario analysis using the assumption that all supporting parties are rated 'AAA' in order to demonstrate the likely ratingswere counterparties not a constraining factor. The results of this analysis are intended to provide transparency on the components of our ratings and are not credit ratings in themselves. Note, that the ratings list provided in table 3 is current as of the date of this report, and as we take further rating actions it may be subject to change.

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 7

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 8

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Dutch RMBS Index Report Q2 2013: New Issuance And Redemptions Mask Weakening Collateral Performance

Chart 9

Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column)
Transaction Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2007-1 B.V. Arena 2009-I B.V. Arena 2009-I B.V. Arena 2009-I B.V. Arena 2011-1 B.V. Arena 2011-1 B.V. Arena 2011-1 B.V. Arena 2011-II B.V. Arena 2011-II B.V. Series 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2009-1 2009-1 2009-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-II 2011-II Class A A-NHG B C D E A1 A2 B A1 A2 B A1 A2 Current rating AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB- (sf) BB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) Estimated scenario rating if all counterparties were rated 'AAA' AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB- (sf) BB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Arena 2011-II B.V. Arena 2011-II B.V. Arena 2012-I B.V. Arena 2012-I B.V. Arena 2012-I B.V. Arena 2012-I B.V. Beluga Master Issuer B.V. Beluga Master Issuer B.V. Candide Financing 2008 B.V. Candide Financing 2008-2 B.V. Candide Financing 2012-1 B.V. Candide Financing 2012-1 B.V. Candide Financing 2012-1 B.V. Candide Financing 2012-1 B.V. Citadel 2010-I B.V. Citadel 2010-I B.V. Citadel 2010-I B.V. Citadel 2010-I B.V. Citadel 2010-II B.V. Citadel 2010-II B.V. Citadel 2010-II B.V. Citadel 2011-I B.V. Citadel 2011-I B.V. Citadel 2011-I B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. Dolphin Master Issuer B.V. 2011-II 2011-II 2012-I 2012-I 2012-I 2012-I 2006-1 2007-II 2008 2008-2 2012-1 2012-1 2012-1 2012-1 2010-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-II 2010-II 2010-II 2011-I 2011-I 2011-I 2008-1 2009-II 2010-1 2010-1 2010-1 2010-1 2010-2 2010-2 2011-1 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 2012-2 B C A1 A2 B C A3 A A Senior A A1 A2 B C A1 A2 B C A B C A1 A2 B A A A1 A2 A3 A4 A1 A2 A A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 B C A- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) A- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch MBS XV B.V. Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans III B.V. Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans III B.V. Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans III B.V. Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans III B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-II B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-II B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-II B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-II B.V. E-MAC NL 2004-II B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-1 B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-III B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-III B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-III B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-III B.V. E-MAC NL 2005-III B.V. E-MAC NL 2006-II B.V E-MAC NL 2006-II B.V E-MAC NL 2006-II B.V E-MAC NL 2006-II B.V E-MAC NL 2006-II B.V E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2006-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2006-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2006-III XV XV XV XV XV XV III III III III 2004-1 2004-1 2004-1 2004-1 2004-II 2004-II 2004-II 2004-II 2004-II 2005-1 2005-1 2005-1 2005-1 2005-1 2005-III 2005-III 2005-III 2005-III 2005-III 2006-II 2006-II 2006-II 2006-II 2006-II 2006-III 2006-III 2006-III A1 A2 B C D E A B C D A B C D A B C D E A B C D E A B C D E A B C D E A2 B C AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) BB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) BB+ (sf) A+ (sf) A+ (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) A+ (sf) A+ (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) CCC (sf) A+ (sf) A+ (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) CCC (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) CCC (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A (sf) BB (sf) CCC (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) BB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) BB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf) BBB (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf) BBB- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf) BBB (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BB (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2006-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2006-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-I E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-I E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-I E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-I E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-I E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2007-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2007-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2007-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2007-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2008-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2008-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2008-IV E-MAC Program II B.V. Compartment NL 2008-IV E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-I E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-I E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-I E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-I 2006-III 2006-III 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2007-III 2007-III 2007-III 2007-III 2007-III 2007-III 2007-IV 2007-IV 2007-IV 2007-IV 2008-IV 2008-IV 2008-IV 2008-IV 2008-I 2008-I 2008-I 2008-I D E A2 B C D E A1 A2 B C D E A B C D A B C D A1 A2 B C BB- (sf) CCC (sf) A (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) BB- (sf) CCC (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) A (sf) BB- (sf) CCC (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) A (sf) BB (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A (sf) BB (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A- (sf) BB- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) BB- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BB- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A+ (sf) BB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A- (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-I E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-II E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-II E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-II E-MAC Program III B.V. Compartment NL 2008-II EMF-NL 2008-1 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-1 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-2 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-2 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-2 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-2 B.V. EMF-NL 2008-2 B.V. EMF-NL Prime 2008-A B.V. EMF-NL Prime 2008-A B.V. EMF-NL Prime 2008-A B.V. EMF-NL Prime 2008-A B.V. EMF-NL Prime 2008-A B.V. Essence III B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-1 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-1 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-1 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-1 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-1 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-2 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-2 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-2 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-2 B.V. Eurosail-NL 2007-2 B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. 2008-I 2008-II 2008-II 2008-II 2008-II 2008-1 2008-1 2008-2 2008-2 2008-2 2008-2 2008-2 2008-A 2008-A 2008-A 2008-A 2008-A III 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-1 2007-2 2007-2 2007-2 2007-2 2007-2 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 D A2 B C D A2 A3 A1 A2 B C D A2 A3 B C D A A B C D E1 A B C D1 M A10 A11 A12 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 BBB- (sf) A (sf) A (sf) A (sf) BB- (sf) A- (sf) BBB+ (sf) BBB+ (sf) BBB- (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf) CCC (sf) BB (sf) BB (sf) B (sf) B- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) A- (sf) A- (sf) A- (sf) BB (sf) CCC (sf) A- (sf) BB (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BB- (sf) A- (sf) BBB+ (sf) BBB+ (sf) BBB- (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf) CCC (sf) BB (sf) BB (sf) B (sf) B- (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A- (sf) BB (sf) CCC (sf) AA+ (sf) BB (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Fishbowl Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) IX B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) IX B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) IX B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) IX B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) VIII B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) VIII B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) VIII B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) XI B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) XI B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) XI B.V. Holland Mortgage Backed Series (Hermes) XI B.V. Monastery 2004-I B.V. Monastery 2004-I B.V. Monastery 2004-I B.V. Monastery 2004-I B.V. Monastery 2006-I B.V. Monastery 2006-I B.V. Monastery 2006-I B.V. 2011-1 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2008-I 2008-II 2008-II 2009-III 2009-IV 2009-V 2009-V 2009-V 2010-2 2010-I 2010-I 2013-I 2013-I IX IX IX IX VIII VIII VIII XI XI XI XI 2004-I 2004-I 2004-I 2004-I 2006-I 2006-I 2006-I B A1 A2 B B A B A A A1 A2 A3 A1 A3 B A1 A2 A AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A+ (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AA- (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) BB (sf) A- (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf)

B A+ (sf)/Watch Neg C D A A (sf)/Watch Neg BBB (sf)/Watch Neg AAA (sf)

B A+ (sf)/Watch Neg C A B C D A2 B C D A2 B C BBB (sf)/Watch Neg A+ (sf) A (sf)/Watch Neg A (sf)/Watch Neg BBB (sf)/Watch Neg AA- (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) BB (sf) A- (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Monastery 2006-I B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. Oceanarium Master Issuer B.V. PEARL Mortgages Backed Securities 4 B.V. Principal Residential Investment Mortgages 1 S.A. Principal Residential Investment Mortgages 1 S.A. Provide Lowlands 1 B.V. Provide Lowlands 1 B.V. Provide Lowlands 1 B.V. Provide Lowlands 1 B.V. Provide Lowlands 1 B.V. Saecure 10 B.V. Saecure 10 B.V. Saecure 10 B.V. Saecure 12 B.V. Saecure 12 B.V. Saecure 13 NHG B.V Saecure 13 NHG B.V Saecure 7 B.V. Saecure 7 B.V. Saecure 7 B.V. Saecure 7 B.V. Saecure 8 NHG B.V. Saecure 8 NHG B.V. Saecure 8 NHG B.V. Saecure 8 NHG B.V. 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 2006-I 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 2011-1 D A1 A10 A11 A12 A13 A14 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 B C A A B A A+ B C Snr Swap A1 A2 B A1 A2 A1 A2 A B C D A1 A2 B C CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf)/Watch Neg AAA (sf) AA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) CCC (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Saecure 9 B.V. Saecure 9 B.V. Saecure 9 B.V. Saecure 9 B.V. Saecure 9 B.V. STORM 2007-I B.V. STORM 2007-I B.V. STORM 2007-I B.V. STORM 2007-I B.V. STORM 2007-I B.V. STORM 2010-I B.V. STORM 2010-I B.V. STORM 2010-I B.V. STORM 2010-I B.V. STORM 2010-I B.V. STORM 2010-II B.V. STORM 2010-II B.V. STORM 2010-II B.V. STORM 2010-II B.V. Storm 2010-III B.V. Storm 2010-III B.V. Storm 2010-III B.V. Storm 2010-III B.V. Storm 2010-III B.V. Storm 2010-IV B.V. Storm 2010-IV B.V. Storm 2010-IV B.V. Storm 2010-IV B.V. STORM 2011-I B.V. STORM 2011-I B.V. STORM 2011-I B.V. STORM 2011-I B.V. STORM 2011-II B.V. STORM 2011-II B.V. STORM 2011-II B.V. STORM 2011-II B.V. STORM 2011-III B.V. STORM 2011-III B.V. STORM 2011-III B.V. STORM 2011-III B.V. STORM 2011-III B.V. STORM 2012-I B.V. 9 9 9 9 9 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2007-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-I 2010-II 2010-II 2010-II 2010-II 2010-III 2010-III 2010-III 2010-III 2010-III 2010-IV 2010-IV 2010-IV 2010-IV 2011-I 2011-I 2011-I 2011-I 2011-II 2011-II 2011-II 2011-II 2011-III 2011-III 2011-III 2011-III 2011-III 2012-I A1 A2 B C D A2 A3 B C D A1 A2 B C D A B C D A1 A2 B C D A B C D A B C D A B C D A1 A2 B C D A1 AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB+ (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
STORM 2012-I B.V. STORM 2012-I B.V. STORM 2012-I B.V. STORM 2012-I B.V. STORM 2012-II B.V. STORM 2012-II B.V. STORM 2012-II B.V. STORM 2012-II B.V. STORM 2012-II B.V. STORM 2012-III B.V. STORM 2012-III B.V. STORM 2012-III B.V. STORM 2012-III B.V. STORM 2012-III B.V. STORM 2012-IV B.V. STORM 2012-IV B.V. STORM 2012-IV B.V. STORM 2012-IV B.V. STORM 2012-IV B.V. STORM 2012-V B.V. STORM 2012-V B.V. STORM 2012-V B.V. STORM 2012-V B.V. STORM 2013-I B.V. STORM 2013-I B.V. STORM 2013-I B.V. STORM 2013-I B.V. STORM 2013-I B.V. STORM 2013-II B.V. STORM 2013-II B.V. STORM 2013-II B.V. STORM 2013-II B.V. STORM 2013-II B.V. STORM 2013-III B.V. STORM 2013-III B.V. STORM 2013-III B.V. STORM 2013-III B.V. Strong 2011- I B.V. Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1 Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1 Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1 Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1 2012-I 2012-I 2012-I 2012-I 2012-II 2012-II 2012-II 2012-II 2012-II 2012-III 2012-III 2012-III 2012-III 2012-III 2012-IV 2012-IV 2012-IV 2012-IV 2012-IV 2012-V 2012-V 2012-V 2012-V 2013-I 2013-I 2013-I 2013-I 2013-I 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-III 2013-III 2013-III 2013-III 2011-I 2013-1 2013-1 2013-1 2013-1 A2 B C D A1 A2 B C D A1 A2 B C D A1 A2 B C D A B C D A1 A2 B C D A1 A2 B C D A B C D A A1 A2 B C AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A+ (sf) A (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) A+ (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA (sf) A (sf) BBB- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA (sf) A- (sf) AAA (sf) AA+ (sf) AA- (sf) BBB (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) A+ (sf) A (sf)

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Table 3

Estimated Ratings Under A Scenario Where All Counterparties Are Rated 'AAA' (Right-Hand Column) (cont.)
Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. Dome 2006-I B.V. Dome 2006-I B.V. Dome 2006-I B.V. Dome 2006-I B.V. 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2013-II 2006-1 2006-1 2006-1 2006-1 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 B A B C D AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) A+ (sf) BBB+ (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AAA (sf) AA- (sf) A+ (sf) BBB+ (sf) BB- (sf) B- (sf)

Related Criteria And Research


Ratings Lowered On Hermes VIII's Class B Dutch RMBS Notes, Following Review; Class A And C Notes Affirmed, Aug. 9, 2013 All Ratings Affirmed In Dutch RMBS Transactions E-MAC NL 2004-I, 2004-II, And 2005-III Following Review, July 31, 2013 All Ratings Affirmed In Dutch RMBS Transaction Fishbowl Master Issuer's Series 2011-1, July 30, 2013 Credit Conditions: Europe Lacks A Vision For Growth As Traction From Other Regions Diminishes, July 29, 2013 The Netherlands Faces A Protracted Period Of Weak Growth As Domestic Demand Contracts, June 28, 2013 New Issue: Phedina Hypotheken 2013-1, June 28, 2013 The Eurozone Economy Shows Signs Of Stabilization, But Recovery Is Still Some Way Off, June 26, 2013 Class D Notes In Dutch RMBS Transaction E-MAC Program B.V. Compartment NL 2007-III Downgraded; Rest Affirmed, June 13, 2013 New Issue: STORM 2013-II B.V., April 25, 2013 New Issue: Goldfish Master Issuer B.V. (Series 2013-2), May 29, 2013 Ratings Affirmed On Provide Lowlands 1's Class A+, A, B, And C Dutch RMBS Notes, May 16, 2013 Ratings In Four Dutch Prime RMBS Transactions Placed On CreditWatch Negative, May 15, 2013 Ratings Affirmed On All Classes Of Notes In Dutch RMBS Transaction Dutch MBS XV Following Review, May 15, 2013 All Ratings Affirmed In Dutch RMBS Transaction SAECURE 10 Following Review, April 29, 2013 Dutch RMBS Market Overview And Criteria, Dec. 16, 2005 Methodology Behind European RMBS Indices, Nov. 8, 2004 Cash Flow Criteria for European RMBS Transactions, Nov. 20, 2003
Additional Contact: Structured Finance Europe; StructuredFinanceEurope@standardandpoors.com

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