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. . .

Creating Success in Southeast Michigan

Mission
SEMCOG, the Southeast Michigan Council of Governments, is the only organization in Southeast
Michigan that brings together all of the regions governments to solve regional challenges.
SEMCOG is creating success in Southeast Michigan by:

Promoting informed decision making to improve Southeast Michigan and its local governments
by providing insightful data analysis;
Promoting the efficient use of tax dollars for both long-term infrastructure investment and
shorter-term governmental efficiency;
Solving regional issues that go beyond the boundaries of individual local governments
Delivering direct assistance to member governments in the areas of transportation, environment,
and community and economic development; and
Advocating on behalf of Southeast Michigan in Lansing and Washington.

SEMCOG has completed a new long-range forecast of population, households, and jobs for the Southeast
Michigan region and its counties and communities. Its overarching goal is to provide an understanding of
the regions future economic and demographic outlook.
The 2040 Forecast provides the base data for SEMCOGs long-range planning and is also used
extensively in local government and private sector planning efforts. The 30-year outlook for future
demographic and socioeconomic changes in communities across the region provides the best base for the
transportation, water, sewer, and other infrastructure planning vital to our regions future success.
The overall forecast from 2010 to 2040 shows the region emerging from the recent recession with
moderate growth in households and jobs, but little population growth. Overall population growth will be
just 0.8%, while households will grow by 6.0% and jobs by 12.1% over the next 30 years.
Southeast Michigan experienced a significant decline in both population and jobs during the recent multiyear recession. After reaching a peak of 4.83 million persons in 2000, the region lost 128,625 persons
during the last decade, a decline of 2.7%, to 4.7 million persons in 2010. The region will continue to lose
population through 2022, dropping to 4.64 million during that time, and then begin to grow on an annual
basis. Over the next 30 years total, the 2040 Forecast is projecting a total gain over 2010 of just 37,430
persons, to 4.74 million in 2040.
Population dynamics will continue to change. The region will become much older by 2040, driven by the
aging of the large baby boom generation. Though total households in the region will slowly increase
throughout the entire forecast period (6.0% over 30 years), the aging population means a continued
decline in household size, dropping from 2.51 persons per household in 2010 to 2.39 persons per
household in 2040. Currently 13% of the population is age 65 or older; this total will increase to 24% of
the population in 2040. While the prime working age population will drop more than 10% by 2040, the
senior population will grow by 86%, posing a challenge to local governments in providing services to
seniors. Southeast Michigan will also become more diverse, as foreign immigration becomes the main
driver of population in the region. The Hispanic and Asian populations will nearly double, from 4 and 6
percent of total population in 2010 to 8 and 11 percent in 2040 respectively. Black population will remain
largely unchanged at 21 percent of total population in 2040, while Whites will drop from 68 to 60 percent.
Southeast Michigan will gain back most of the jobs lost during the last decade,, adding 300,000 jobs to
reach 2.78 million in 2040. Nearly half of the job growth will occur in the next five years, as we climb out
of the recession on small gains in manufacturing jobs, the result of a restructured auto industry responding
to increased consumer demand for automobiles. Job growth beyond 2015 will be slower, as losses in
manufacturing and retail jobs due to increased productivity are more than compensated by gains in
knowledge-based jobs and in ambulatory health care jobs that serve the growing senior population. The
muted growth rate in jobs is also due to labor force constraints in the later years of the forecast, as the
population ages and we struggle to attract young workers to the region.

1 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

SEMCOG produces a new long-range forecast of the regions demographic and socioeconomic future
every four years. Included in SEMCOGs 2040 Forecast are total population, households, and jobs for the
Southeast Michigan region, its seven counties, and 234 communities. Forecast data is provided in fiveyear increments, for the 30-year period 2010 through 2040, and is based on the best available local data,
as well as data from the 2010 Census, American Community Survey, and the Michigan Bureau of Labor
Market Information. The 2040 Forecast is especially useful to SEMCOGs member communities because
of the view it provides of future change following an extended period of decline in population and jobs
due to the recent economic recession.

Methods
Any forecast of future demographic and socioeconomic change for small areas, including communities,
requires a detailed understanding of the growth trends for the larger Southeast Michigan region. The first
step in the process of producing the 2040 Forecast began with work on a new regional forecast for the
years 2010 to 2040. This regional forecast relies upon future population and employment trends
developed by the Institute of Labor and Industrial Relations at the University of Michigan using the
REMI (Regional Economic Models, Inc.) model. REMI is a computer model that considers all counties in
the United States as economic units competing for labor, income, and future population growth with all
other parts of the country. SEMCOG then convened a Forecast Technical Advisory Committee composed
of regional experts to review and improve the regional forecast produced by the University of Michigan.
The Southeast Michigan trends developed by REMI are further detailed in the SEMCOG document
Retrenchment and Renewal: The Economic Outlook for Southeast Michigan Through 2040.
The second step in producing SEMCOGs 2040 Forecast is to understand how individual households and
employers in the region will interact based on the regional and county population and employment trends
from the REMI model. In order to produce the small-area forecasts, SEMCOG is again using the
UrbanSim computer model, a computer simulation model for planning and analysis of urban development
that replicates the interaction between land use, transportation, and public policy such as community
master plans and sewer service districts. The UrbanSim model simulates the decision making processes of
different types of households and businesses in relation to a variety of potential location choices, by
clearly representing the location preferences of the different types of households and employers available
to locate there. This allows SEMCOG to predict both changes in land use, and household and
employment location, all by land parcel. Future households and jobs are placed into the most desirable
land parcel for their characteristics, and new residential and non-residential developments created, based
on the demand to locate and the land available to develop in a particular geographic location.
The final step is to sum the land parcel forecast to provide forecast numbers for each city, village, and
township in the region. These aggregated forecast numbers were also further reviewed by SEMCOG staff,
the Forecast Technical Advisory Committee, and communities in the region.

Local Input and Review


Data developed by the regions 234 local governments was instrumental in producing the 2040 Forecast.
SEMCOG collected from each of the regions communities their most current master plan, which
provided the future planned land use and development density of each land parcel. In addition, recent data
on both residential and non-residential development projects was also obtained from each community.

2 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

SEMCOG relied heavily on land parcel files and tax assessment data for these parcels as the base for
SEMCOGs small area forecasting. This data, in particular, provides the parcel-level information
(presence and age of buildings, improvement and land values, and non-residential square footage) that a
real estate driven model such as UrbanSim needs to correctly model future development.
Additional community input was collected in a series of community review meetings held during
November and December, 2011. SEMCOG presented a draft of the community forecast at these meetings,
held in different counties throughout the region and hosted by local elected officials. The draft community
forecast to the year 2020 was shared, along with a detailed presentation on the regional and county level
demographic and socioeconomic changes that guided production of the community forecast. Officials
present at the meetings discussed the implications of the draft forecast and how they could best respond to
the changes in their communities. SEMCOG asked local officials to review the draft forecast numbers
provided at the meetings and forward comments by the end of January 2012. SEMCOG received more
than 20 written comments from local governments as well as additional information on recent housing
and non-residential developments in their communities, leading to adjustments to the draft forecast
numbers where appropriate.
SEMCOGs committees reviewed and commented on the forecast as follows:

June 6, 2011

Forecast Technical Advisory Committee


(reviewed draft regional forecast totals)

September 15, 2011

Forecast Technical Advisory Committee


(reviewed adjusted regional forecast totals)

February 15, 2012

Forecast Technical Advisory Committee


(resolution recommending Executive Committee adoption)

February 24, 2012

Executive Committee
(resolution recommending General Assembly adoption)

SEMCOG will continue to refine the community forecast to produce a more detailed forecast for each
community, including population by age cohort, group quarters population, households by presence of
children and by age of householder, and jobs by employment sector. These detailed 2040 Forecast tables
will be made available on SEMCOGs Web site, www.semcog.org, as the forecast is finalized in the near
future.

3 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

4 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
(Forecast Period)
2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

4,833,368

4,704,743

4,646,938

4,678,718

4,742,083

37,340

0.8%

Households

1,845,218

1,844,758

1,885,802

1,931,495

1,954,953

110,195

6.0%

2.58

2.51

2.43

2.39

2.39

-0.12

-4.9%

Household Size

Population by Year
4,850,000

Employment by Year
2,850,000

Forecast Period

Forecast Period

2,800,000

4,800,000

2,750,000
2,700,000

4,750,000

2,650,000
4,700,000

2,600,000
2,550,000

4,650,000

2,500,000
4,600,000

2,450,000
2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
(Forecast Period)
Sector

2000

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

151,247

103,132

121,512

18,380

17.8%

Manufacturing

443,191

209,698

178,823

-30,875

-14.7%

Wholesale Trade, Trans, Warehousing, & Utilities

195,461

171,672

181,837

10,165

5.9%

Retail Trade

304,321

244,842

215,939

-28,903

-11.8%

Knowledge-Based Services

557,135

549,460

636,475

87,015

15.8%

Services to Households & Firms

339,573

319,810

381,527

61,717

19.3%

Private Education and Health Care

305,373

370,416

519,939

149,523

40.4%

Leisure & Hospitality

217,896

223,852

243,472

19,620

8.8%

Government

320,973

291,369

306,558

15,189

5.2%

2,835,170

2,484,251

2,786,082

301,831

12.1%

Total Employment

5 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by County for Southeast Michigan


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Southeast Michigan
Population
4,704,743
Households
1,844,758
Employment
2,484,251

4,667,111
1,863,648
2,601,122

4,646,938
1,885,802
2,635,153

4,648,713
1,905,850
2,672,708

4,678,718
1,931,495
2,713,955

4,708,371
1,948,137
2,756,878

4,742,083
1,954,953
2,786,082

37,340
110,195
301,831

0.8%
6.0%
12.1%

Livingston County
Population
Households
Employment

180,967
67,380
69,057

186,015
70,558
74,482

192,116
73,620
77,468

198,021
75,959
80,337

204,704
78,514
83,506

210,664
80,706
86,820

214,323
82,223
89,727

33,356
14,843
20,670

18.4%
22.0%
29.9%

Macomb County
Population
Households
Employment

840,978
331,668
362,517

855,374
341,557
377,116

863,378
349,242
379,981

872,740
356,597
387,217

884,865
363,519
395,239

896,423
368,169
403,398

905,390
370,604
409,886

64,412
38,936
47,369

7.7%
11.7%
13.1%

Monroe County
Population
Households
Employment

152,021
58,230
53,761

155,690
60,815
56,262

156,592
62,539
56,928

158,332
64,305
57,637

160,841
66,071
58,669

163,180
67,189
60,081

164,720
67,823
61,382

12,699
9,593
7,621

8.4%
16.5%
14.2%

Oakland County
Population
Households
Employment

1,202,362
483,698
842,222

1,215,321
496,555
901,219

1,218,449
504,731
921,533

1,221,349
506,549
936,923

1,230,755
509,286
951,622

1,232,672
511,137
964,459

1,246,863
510,257
970,797

44,501
26,559
128,575

3.7%
5.5%
15.3%

St. Clair County


Population
Households
Employment

163,040
63,841
62,614

161,671
64,680
65,243

161,508
65,492
66,061

162,553
66,586
67,045

164,656
67,887
68,350

166,659
68,634
70,038

167,621
68,960
71,480

4,581
5,119
8,866

2.8%
8.0%
14.2%

Washtenaw County
Population
Households
Employment

344,791
137,193
236,676

350,781
141,483
246,721

354,116
146,870
252,598

360,371
151,822
260,024

368,262
156,324
268,528

377,183
160,691
277,576

386,235
164,447
285,655

41,444
27,254
48,979

12.0%
19.9%
20.7%

1,820,584
702,749
857,404

1,742,259
688,000
880,079

1,700,779
683,308
880,584

1,675,347
684,032
883,525

1,664,635
689,894
888,041

1,661,590
691,611
894,506

1,656,931
690,639
897,155

-163,653
-12,110
39,751

-9.0%
-1.7%
4.6%

Wayne County
Population
Households
Employment

6 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Population Change, 2010-2040


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

GREEN WOOD

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
Leonard

Lake
Orion

ROSE

TYRONE

HIGHLA ND

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

HOWELL

OAKLAND

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

BRIGHTON

GENOA

COMMERC E

ANN ARBOR

GARDEN
CITY

CANTON

FREEDOM

YPSILANTI

ST. CLAIR SHORES

MACOMB

EASTPOINTE

HARPER
WO ODS

GROSS E PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES
GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSS E
POINTE
PARK

GROSS E
POINTE

DEARBORN

MELVINDA LE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE
ALLEN
PARK

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

ROSEVILLE

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

INKSTE R

LINCO LN
PARK

ECORSE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

VAN BUREN

HARRISON

CENTER LINE

HAMTRAMCK

REDFORD

YPSILANTI

SHARON

CHESTERFIELD

ALG ONAC

WARREN

DETROIT

WESTLAND

WAYNE

SUPERIOR

SCIO

WASHT ENAW

WASHTENAW

JACKSON

LIMA

LIVONIA

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

OAKLAND

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

CLINTON

HIGHLAND PARK

SALEM

EAST CHINA

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

WAYNE

NORTHVIL LE

WEBSTER

STERLING HEIGHTS

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDG E
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL O AK

SOUTHFIELD

NORTHVILLE

NORTHFIELD

CHINA

CLAY

MOUNT
CLEMENS

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON

SOUTH LYO N

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham Hills
Franklin Farms

FARMINGTON HILLS

NOVI

WASHTENAW

Dexter

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LIVINGSTON

DEXTER

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

LYO N

Pinckney

LYNDON

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford
MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

PUTNAM

MACOMB

SHELBY

IRA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

KEEGO HARBOR

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

SYLVAN LAKE

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

PONTIAC

OAKL AND

HANDY

WATERFORD

WHITE LAKE

CASCO

New Haven

CLARKSTON

LAKE
ANGELUS

Fowlerville

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

ORION

INDEPEND ENCE

MACOMB

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

CONWAY

RICHMOND

Romeo

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

ST. CLAIR

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

COLU MBUS

RICHMOND

Armada

ST. CLAIR

OXFORD

BRANDO N

ARMADA

BRUCE

ADDIS ON

Holly

GENESEE

MEMPH IS

MACOMB

OAKLAND

GROVE LAND

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

Ortonville
HOLLY

KIMBALL

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW

SALINE
BROWNSTOWN

Manchester

MANCHESTER

BRIDGE WATER

HURON

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

TRENTO N GROSS E ILE

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

BERLIN

More than 3,000 loss

Estral
Beach

MONROE

LENAWEE

Maybee

DUNDEE

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

Loss, 501 to 3,000

RAISINVILLE

MONROE
PETERSBURG

MONROE

SUMMERFIELD

IDA

Little change, 500 loss to 500 gain

FRENCHTOWN

LASALLE

Gain, 501 to 3,000

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

More than 3,000 gain

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

7 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

\\semcogdom\static\Apps\GIS\

8 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Population Change, 2000-2010


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

GREEN WOOD

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
Leonard

Lake
Orion

ROSE

TYRONE

HIGHLA ND

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

HOWELL

OAKLAND

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

BRIGHTON

GENOA

COMMERC E

ANN ARBOR

GARDEN
CITY

CANTON

FREEDOM

YPSILANTI

ST. CLAIR SHORES

MACOMB

EASTPOINTE

HARPER
WO ODS

GROSS E PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES
GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSS E
POINTE
PARK

GROSS E
POINTE

DEARBORN

MELVINDA LE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE
ALLEN
PARK

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

ROSEVILLE

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

INKSTE R

LINCO LN
PARK

ECORSE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

VAN BUREN

HARRISON

CENTER LINE

HAMTRAMCK

REDFORD

YPSILANTI

SHARON

CHESTERFIELD

ALG ONAC

WARREN

DETROIT

WESTLAND

WAYNE

SUPERIOR

SCIO

WASHT ENAW

WASHTENAW

JACKSON

LIMA

LIVONIA

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

OAKLAND

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

CLINTON

HIGHLAND PARK

SALEM

EAST CHINA

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

WAYNE

NORTHVIL LE

WEBSTER

STERLING HEIGHTS

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDG E
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL O AK

SOUTHFIELD

NORTHVILLE

NORTHFIELD

CHINA

CLAY

MOUNT
CLEMENS

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON

SOUTH LYO N

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham Hills
Franklin Farms

FARMINGTON HILLS

NOVI

WASHTENAW

Dexter

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LIVINGSTON

DEXTER

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

LYO N

Pinckney

LYNDON

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford
MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

PUTNAM

MACOMB

SHELBY

IRA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

KEEGO HARBOR

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

SYLVAN LAKE

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

PONTIAC

OAKL AND

HANDY

WATERFORD

WHITE LAKE

CASCO

New Haven

CLARKSTON

LAKE
ANGELUS

Fowlerville

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

ORION

INDEPEND ENCE

MACOMB

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

CONWAY

RICHMOND

Romeo

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

ST. CLAIR

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

COLU MBUS

RICHMOND

Armada

ST. CLAIR

OXFORD

BRANDO N

ARMADA

BRUCE

ADDIS ON

Holly

GENESEE

MEMPH IS

MACOMB

OAKLAND

GROVE LAND

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

Ortonville
HOLLY

KIMBALL

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW

SALINE
BROWNSTOWN

Manchester

MANCHESTER

BRIDGE WATER

HURON

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

TRENTO N GROSS E ILE

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

BERLIN

More than 3,000 loss

Estral
Beach

MONROE

LENAWEE

Maybee

DUNDEE

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

Loss, 501 to 3,000

RAISINVILLE

MONROE
PETERSBURG

MONROE

SUMMERFIELD

IDA

Little change, 500 loss to 500 gain

FRENCHTOWN

LASALLE

Gain, 501 to 3,000

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

More than 3,000 gain

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

9 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

\\semcogdom\static\Apps\GIS\

10 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Population Change, 2010-2020


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

GREEN WOOD

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
Leonard

Lake
Orion

ROSE

TYRONE

HIGHLA ND

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

HOWELL

OAKLAND

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

BRIGHTON

GENOA

COMMERC E

LIVONIA

SUPERIOR

ANN ARBOR

WAYNE

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills
SCIO

FREEDOM

GARDEN
CITY

CANTON

GROSS E PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES
GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSS E
POINTE
PARK

GROSS E
POINTE

MELVINDA LE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE

LINCO LN
PARK

ECORSE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

VAN BUREN

YPSILANTI

HARPER
WO ODS

DEARBORN

INKSTE R

ALLEN
PARK

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

MACOMB

EASTPOINTE

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

YPSILANTI

SHARON

ST. CLAIR SHORES

CENTER LINE

DETROIT

WESTLAND

HARRISON

ROSEVILLE

WARREN

HAMTRAMCK

REDFORD

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

WASHT ENAW

WASHTENAW

JACKSON

LIMA

CHESTERFIELD

CLINTON

HIGHLAND PARK

NORTHVIL LE

WEBSTER

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

OAKLAND

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

WAYNE

SALEM

EAST CHINA

ALG ONAC

STERLING HEIGHTS

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDG E
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL O AK

SOUTHFIELD

NORTHVILLE

NORTHFIELD

CHINA

CLAY

MOUNT
CLEMENS

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON

SOUTH LYO N

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham Hills
Franklin Farms

FARMINGTON HILLS

NOVI

WASHTENAW

Dexter

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LIVINGSTON

DEXTER

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

LYO N

Pinckney

LYNDON

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford
MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

PUTNAM

MACOMB

SHELBY

IRA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

KEEGO HARBOR

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

SYLVAN LAKE

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

PONTIAC

OAKL AND

HANDY

WATERFORD

WHITE LAKE

CASCO

New Haven

CLARKSTON

LAKE
ANGELUS

Fowlerville

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

ORION

INDEPEND ENCE

MACOMB

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

CONWAY

RICHMOND

Romeo

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

ST. CLAIR

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

COLU MBUS

RICHMOND

Armada

ST. CLAIR

OXFORD

BRANDO N

ARMADA

BRUCE

ADDIS ON

Holly

GENESEE

MEMPH IS

MACOMB

OAKLAND

GROVE LAND

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

Ortonville
HOLLY

KIMBALL

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW

SALINE
BROWNSTOWN

Manchester

MANCHESTER

BRIDGE WATER

HURON

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

TRENTO N GROSS E ILE

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

BERLIN

MONROE

LENAWEE

Estral
Beach

DUNDEE

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

Little change, 500 loss to 500 gain

RAISINVILLE

MONROE
PETERSBURG

MONROE

SUMMERFIELD

IDA

Gain, 501 to 3,000

FRENCHTOWN

LASALLE

More than 3,000 gain

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

More than 3,000 loss


Loss, 501 to 3,000

Maybee

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

11 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

\\semcogdom\static\Apps\GIS\

12 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Population Change, 2000-2040


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

GREEN WOOD

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
Leonard

Lake
Orion

ROSE

TYRONE

HIGHLA ND

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

HOWELL

OAKLAND

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

BRIGHTON

GENOA

COMMERC E

ANN ARBOR

WAYNE

SUPERIOR

SCIO

FREEDOM

MACOMB

HARPER
WO ODS

GROSS E PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES
GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSS E
POINTE
PARK

GROSS E
POINTE

MELVINDA LE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE

LINCO LN
PARK

ECORSE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

VAN BUREN

YPSILANTI

ST. CLAIR SHORES

EASTPOINTE

DEARBORN

INKSTE R

ALLEN
PARK

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

ROSEVILLE

CENTER LINE

DETROIT

GARDEN
CITY

HARRISON

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

YPSILANTI

SHARON

CHESTERFIELD

ALG ONAC

WARREN

HAMTRAMCK

REDFORD

CANTON

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

WASHT ENAW

WASHTENAW

JACKSON

LIMA

OAKLAND

LIVONIA

WESTLAND

EAST CHINA

CLINTON

HIGHLAND PARK

NORTHVIL LE

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

STERLING HEIGHTS

WAYNE

SALEM

NORTHFIELD

CHINA

CLAY

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDG E
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL O AK

SOUTHFIELD

NORTHVILLE

WEBSTER

MACOMB

MOUNT
CLEMENS

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON

SOUTH LYO N

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham Hills
Franklin Farms

FARMINGTON HILLS

NOVI

WASHTENAW

Dexter

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LIVINGSTON

DEXTER

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

LYO N

Pinckney

LYNDON

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford
MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

PUTNAM

SHELBY

IRA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

KEEGO HARBOR

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

SYLVAN LAKE

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

PONTIAC

OAKL AND

HANDY

WATERFORD

WHITE LAKE

CASCO

New Haven

CLARKSTON

LAKE
ANGELUS

Fowlerville

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

ORION

INDEPEND ENCE

MACOMB

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

CONWAY

RICHMOND

Romeo

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

ST. CLAIR

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

COLU MBUS

RICHMOND

Armada

ST. CLAIR

OXFORD

BRANDO N

ARMADA

BRUCE

ADDIS ON

Holly

GENESEE

MEMPH IS

MACOMB

OAKLAND

GROVE LAND

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

Ortonville
HOLLY

KIMBALL

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW

SALINE
BROWNSTOWN

Manchester

MANCHESTER

BRIDGE WATER

HURON

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

TRENTO N GROSS E ILE

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

BERLIN

More than 3,000 loss

Estral
Beach

MONROE

LENAWEE

Maybee

DUNDEE

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

Loss, 501 to 3,000

RAISINVILLE

MONROE
PETERSBURG

MONROE

SUMMERFIELD

IDA

Little change, 500 loss to 500 gain

FRENCHTOWN

LASALLE

Gain, 501 to 3,000

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

More than 3,000 gain

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

13 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

\\semcogdom\static\Apps\GIS\

14 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Household Change, 2010-2040


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

GREEN WOOD

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
ROSE

TYRONE

Fowlerville

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

GENOA

SOUTH LYO N

SUPERIOR

SCIO

ANN ARBOR

LIVONIA

FREEDOM

ST. CLAIR

CHESTERFIELD

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

MACOMB

ST. CLAIR SHORES

EASTPOINTE

HARPER
WO ODS

HAMTRAMCK

GARDEN
CITY

GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSSE
POINTE
PARK

GROSSE
POINTE

DEARBORN

CANTON
INKSTER

MELVINDALE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE

LINCO LN
PARK

ECORSE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

VAN BUREN

GROSSE PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

ALLEN
PARK

YPSILANTI

ROSEVILLE

CENTER LINE

DETROIT

WESTLAND

HARRISON

CLINTON

WARREN

REDFORD

YPSILANTI

SHARON

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

WAYNE

LIMA

STERLING HEIGHTS

HIGHLAND PARK

NORTHVIL LE

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

IRA

ALG ONAC
MOUNT
CLEMENS

WAYNE

SALEM

NORTHFIELD

WASHT ENAW

JACKSON

WASHTENAW

Dexter

OAKLAND

NORTHVILLE

WEBSTER

EAST CHINA

CLAY

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDGE
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL OA K

SOUTHFIELD

FARMINGTON

WASHTENAW

DEXTER

MACOMB

SHELBY

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON HILLS

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham
Franklin Farms Hills

NOVI

LIVINGSTON

LYNDON

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LYO N

Pinckney

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

OAKL AND

COMMERC E

MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford

OAKLAND

BRIGHTON

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

KEEGO HARBOR

PUTNAM

CHINA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

SYLVAN LAKE

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

PONTIAC

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

MACOMB

HOWELL

CASCO

New Haven

WATERFORD

WHITE LAKE

HIGHLA ND

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

CLARKSTON

LAKE
ANGELUS

HANDY

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

INDEPEND ENCE

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

RICHMOND

Romeo

ORION

COLU MB US

RICHMOND

Armada

Lake
Orion

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

MEMPH IS

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

CONWAY

ADDIS ON

OXFORD

ARMADA

BRUCE

Holly

GENESEE

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

Leonard

BRANDO N

GROVELAND

KIMBALL

MACOMB

OAKLAND
Ortonville

HOLLY

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW

SALINE
BROWNSTOWN

Manchester

MANCHESTER

BRIDGE WATER

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

TRENTO N GROSSE ILE

HURON

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

Little Change, -100 to 300

BERLIN

Estral
Beach

MONROE

LENAWEE

Maybee

DUNDEE

Gain, 301 to 1,000

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

RAISINVILLE

Large Gain, 1,000 to 3,000

MONROE
PETERSBURG

SUMMERFIELD

MONROE

IDA

More than 100 Loss

FRENCHTOWN

More than 3,000 Gain

LASALLE

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

15 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

\RDF2040\Outreach\Exec_GA\Household_Change.mxd

16 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Employment Change, 2010-2040


Southeast Michigan

SANILAC
ST. CLAIR
YALE
LYNN

GREEN WOOD

BURTCHVIL LE

GRAN T

BROCKW AY

MUSSEY

KENOC KEE

EMMETT

FORT GRATIOT

CLYD E

Capac

PORT
HURON

Emmett

LAPEER
ROSE

TYRONE

Fowlerville

HARTLAND

OCEOLA

WATERFORD

GENOA

LIVONIA

PITTSFIEL D

LO DI

HARPER
WO ODS

INKSTER

LINCO LN
PARK

ST. CLAIR

MACOMB

ECORSE

WYANDOTTE
SOUTHG ATE

BELLEVILLE

RIVERVIEW
BROWNSTOWN

TRENTO N

HURON

SUMPTER

AUGUSTA

YORK

SALINE

WO ODHAVEN

WAYNE

WASHTENAW

MILAN

FLAT ROCK

MONROE

LENAWEE

GROSSE ILE

GIBRALTAR
BROWNSTOWN

South ROCKWOOD
Rockwood
BROWNSTOWN

Carleton
ASH

EXETER

LO NDON

MILAN

BERLIN

MONROE

LENAWEE

Estral
Beach

FRENCHTOW N

Dundee

MONROE

SUMMERFIELD

MONROE

IDA

Little Change, -100 to 100


Gain, 100 to 1,000

More than 3,000 gain

RAISINVILLE

PETERSBURG

More than 100 loss

Large Gain, 1,000 to 3,000

Maybee

DUNDEE

GROSSE
POINTE

TAYLOR

ROMULUS

Manchester

BRIDGE WATER

GROSSE PO INTE
FARMS

GROSSE
POINTE
PARK

MELVINDALE
RIVER ROUGE

WAYNE

VAN BUREN

GROSSE PO INTE
WO ODS
GROSSE PO INTE
SHORES

DEARBORN

CANTON

SALINE

MANCHESTER

ST. CLAIR SHORES

EASTPOINTE

DEARBORN
HEIGHTS

YPSILANTI

FREEDOM

MACOMB

HAMTRAMCK

ALLEN
PARK

YPSILANTI

ROSEVILLE

CENTER LINE

REDFORD

GARDEN
CITY

HARRISON

CLINTON

WARREN

DETROIT

WESTLAND

WAYNE

SUPERIOR

SCIO

ANN ARBOR

SHARON

CHESTERFIELD

FRASER

MADISON
HEIGHTS

PLYMOUTH
PLYMO UTH

WASHT ENAW

WASHTENAW

JACKSON

LIMA

MARINE
CITY

COTTRE LLVILLE

ALG ONAC

HIGHLAND PARK

NORTHVIL LE

Barton ANN ARBOR


Hills

CHELSEA
SYLVAN

STERLING HEIGHTS

WAYNE

SALEM

NORTHFIELD

WEBSTER

Dexter

OAKLAND

NORTHVILLE

WASHTENAW

DEXTER

MACOMB

MOUNT
CLEMENS

HUNTINGTON
WO ODS
PLEASA NT RIDGE
OAK
HAZEL
PARK
FERNDA LEPARK
ROYAL OA K

SOUTHFIELD

FARMINGTON

SOUTH LYO N

EAST CHINA

CLAY

CLAWSON

ROYAL
OAK
BERKLEY

LATHRUP
VILLAGE

FARMINGTON HILLS

TROY

BIRMING HAM

Beverly
Bingham
Franklin Farms Hills

NOVI

LIVINGSTON

LYNDON

BLO OMFIELD

WALLED LAKE

LYO N

Pinckney

BLO OMFIELD
HILLS

WEST BLOOM FIELD

Wolverin e
Lake

OAKL AND

COMMERC E

MILFO RD

WIXO M

GREEN OAK

HAMBURG

ORCHARD
LAKE VILLAGE

Milford

OAKLAND

BRIGHTON

LIVINGSTON

LIVINGS TON

INGHAM

KEEGO HARBOR

PUTNAM

SHELBY

IRA

UTICA

BRIGHTON

UNADILLA

ROCHES TER

SYLVAN LAKE

MARION

NEW BALTIMORE

ROCHES TER HILLS

PONTIAC

HOWELL

IOSCO

AUBURN HILLS

MACOMB

HOWELL

CHINA

CASCO

New Haven

CLARKSTON

WHITE LAKE

HIGHLA ND

LENOX

RAY

WASHING TON

OAKLAND

ORION

INDEPEND ENCE

LAKE
ANGELUS

HANDY

ST. CLAIR

RICHMOND

Romeo

SPRINGFIE LD

ST. CLAIR

COLU MB US

RICHMOND

Armada

Lake
Orion

DEERFIELD

COHOCTAH

MEMPH IS

Oxford

LIVINGSTON

CONWAY

ADDIS ON

OXFORD

ARMADA

BRUCE

Holly

GENESEE

MARYSVILLE

ST. CLAIR

Leonard

BRANDO N

GROVELAND

KIMBALL

MACOMB

OAKLAND
Ortonville

HOLLY

WALES

RILEY

BERLIN

LAPEER

GENESEE

SHIAWASSEE

ST. CLAIR

PORT HURON

Confidential

FRENCHTOWN

LASALLE

LUNA
PIER

BEDFORD

WHITEFORD

ERIE

MONROE

Line)
LUCAS (Michigan/Ohi o State

Southeast Michigan Council of Governments


535 Griswold Street, Suite 300, Detroit, Michigan 48226-3602
Phone (313) 961-4266, Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org
Copyright: SEMCOG, 2012

1:820,000
0

10

12

Miles
20

State Plane NAD83 HARN


February 2012

Kilometers

17 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary\RDF2040\Outreach\Exec_GA\Employment_Change.mxd

18 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Livingston County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

180,967

192,116

204,704

214,323

33,356

18.4%

Households

67,380

73,620

78,514

82,223

14,843

22.0%

2.67

2.59

2.59

2.59

-0.08

-2.9%

Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

220,000

95,000
90,000

210,000

85,000
200,000

80,000

190,000

75,000
70,000

180,000

65,000

170,000

60,000
2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

5,502

8,494

2,992

54.4%

Manufacturing

6,698

5,862

-836

-12.5%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

3,889

4,663

774

19.9%

Retail Trade

9,160

9,865

705

7.7%

15,213

21,154

5,941

39.1%

Services to Households & Firms

9,279

12,837

3,558

38.3%

Private Education and Health Care

6,503

11,039

4,536

69.8%

Leisure & Hospitality

6,595

8,389

1,794

27.2%

Government

6,218

7,424

1,206

19.4%

69,057

89,727

20,670

29.9%

Knowledge-Based Services

Total Employment

19 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Livingston County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Brighton
Population
Households
Employment

7,444
3,603
10,812

7,910
3,665
11,750

8,136
3,726
12,362

8,528
3,795
13,008

8,794
3,892
13,399

9,133
3,982
14,090

9,628
4,098
14,927

2,184
495
4,115

29.3%
13.7%
38.1%

Brighton Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

17,791
6,415
9,597

18,807
6,862
10,858

19,298
7,138
11,910

20,274
7,510
12,424

21,306
7,817
13,015

21,490
7,891
13,678

21,498
7,937
14,368

3,707
1,522
4,771

20.8%
23.7%
49.7%

Cohoctah Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,317
1,176
104

3,508
1,285
119

3,544
1,292
132

3,445
1,290
147

3,486
1,290
137

3,417
1,292
150

3,394
1,295
174

77
119
70

2.3%
10.1%
67.3%

Conway Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,546
1,199
16

3,542
1,248
15

3,390
1,275
15

3,361
1,275
14

3,320
1,282
13

3,296
1,285
13

3,356
1,293
17

-190
94
1

-5.4%
7.8%
6.2%

Deerfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,170
1,481
305

4,549
1,651
292

4,558
1,666
286

4,481
1,686
316

4,441
1,689
317

4,440
1,692
363

4,485
1,694
353

315
213
48

7.6%
14.4%
15.7%

10
2
0

10
2
0

10
2
0

10
2
0

10
2
0

10
2
0

10
2
0

0
0
0

0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Fowlerville
Population
Households
Employment

2,886
1,198
1,578

2,911
1,239
1,648

3,086
1,308
1,656

3,088
1,322
1,767

3,146
1,365
1,815

3,256
1,389
1,884

3,236
1,408
1,904

350
210
326

12.1%
17.5%
20.7%

Genoa Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

19,821
7,807
11,430

20,171
8,019
12,269

20,969
8,333
12,590

21,486
8,567
13,045

22,293
8,788
13,528

22,797
8,988
13,921

23,061
9,133
14,029

3,240
1,326
2,599

16.3%
17.0%
22.7%

Fenton (Livingston)
Population
Households
Employment

20 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Livingston County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Green Oak Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

17,476
6,450
8,343

18,090
6,809
8,732

18,354
6,954
8,848

18,388
7,026
9,167

18,586
7,110
9,516

18,736
7,199
9,816

18,873
7,278
9,962

1,397
828
1,619

8.0%
12.8%
19.4%

Hamburg Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

21,165
7,860
2,656

22,213
8,437
2,834

23,069
8,837
2,867

23,554
8,985
2,931

23,595
9,055
3,016

23,835
9,141
3,237

23,987
9,196
3,364

2,822
1,336
708

13.3%
17.0%
26.7%

5,120
1,793
818

5,028
1,877
904

5,122
1,964
938

5,376
2,074
992

5,673
2,216
1,078

5,939
2,308
1,053

6,052
2,375
1,050

932
582
232

18.2%
32.5%
28.4%

Hartland Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

14,663
5,154
4,784

15,017
5,408
5,264

15,238
5,544
5,542

15,431
5,659
5,818

15,654
5,795
5,920

16,128
5,955
6,026

16,040
5,966
6,206

1,377
812
1,422

9.4%
15.8%
29.7%

Howell
Population
Households
Employment

9,489
4,028
11,330

9,408
4,000
11,957

9,816
4,148
12,331

10,196
4,298
12,533

10,376
4,378
13,126

10,825
4,523
13,530

11,448
4,741
14,040

1,959
713
2,710

20.6%
17.7%
23.9%

Howell Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

6,702
2,531
4,136

7,286
2,765
4,375

8,200
3,147
4,402

9,239
3,439
4,408

9,725
3,643
4,521

11,079
4,073
4,781

11,866
4,380
4,953

5,164
1,849
817

77.1%
73.1%
19.8%

Iosco Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,801
1,278
119

3,826
1,353
120

3,718
1,351
121

3,605
1,355
124

3,545
1,358
124

3,507
1,358
130

3,455
1,358
132

-346
80
13

-9.1%
6.3%
10.9%

Marion Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

9,996
3,499
790

9,461
3,439
869

10,083
3,722
877

10,453
3,857
925

11,359
4,155
1,059

11,921
4,394
1,120

12,339
4,570
1,109

2,343
1,071
319

23.4%
30.6%
40.4%

Handy Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

21 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Livingston County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Oceola Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

11,936
4,057
564

12,007
4,245
612

12,125
4,414
642

12,714
4,643
654

13,717
5,046
748

14,254
5,206
786

14,154
5,235
804

2,218
1,178
240

18.6%
29.0%
42.6%

Pinckney
Population
Households
Employment

2,427
869
559

2,236
853
545

2,343
904
559

2,408
938
565

2,544
985
580

2,624
1,027
550

2,768
1,062
558

341
193
-1

14.1%
22.2%
-0.2%

Putnam Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,821
2,166
577

6,297
2,343
716

6,704
2,498
747

6,938
2,564
799

7,178
2,639
839

7,347
2,729
881

7,516
2,780
909

1,695
614
332

29.1%
28.3%
57.6%

Tyrone Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

10,020
3,528
355

9,888
3,577
398

10,423
3,849
431

10,994
4,096
475

11,821
4,398
496

12,218
4,587
531

12,522
4,696
579

2,502
1,168
224

25.0%
33.1%
63.1%

Unadilla Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,366
1,286
184

3,850
1,481
205

3,930
1,548
212

4,052
1,578
225

4,135
1,611
259

4,412
1,685
280

4,635
1,726
289

1,269
440
105

37.7%
34.2%
57.1%

22 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Macomb County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

840,978

863,378

884,865

905,390

64,412

7.7%

Households

331,667

349,242

363,519

370,604

38,937

11.7%

2.51

2.45

2.41

2.42

-0.09

-3.7%

Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

910,000

420,000

900,000

410,000

890,000

400,000

880,000
390,000
870,000
380,000

860,000

370,000

850,000
840,000

360,000
2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

19,121

24,726

5,605

29.3%

Manufacturing

49,440

43,603

-5,837

-11.8%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

19,679

22,155

2,476

12.6%

Retail Trade

42,709

38,987

-3,722

-8.7%

Knowledge-Based Services

65,060

75,493

10,433

16.0%

Services to Households & Firms

51,051

63,043

11,992

23.5%

Private Education and Health Care

45,595

67,111

21,516

47.2%

Leisure & Hospitality

32,679

35,855

3,176

9.7%

Government

37,183

38,913

1,730

4.7%

362,517

409,886

47,369

13.1%

Total Employment

23 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Macomb County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Armada
Population
Households
Employment

1,730
607
770

1,794
657
770

1,779
671
749

1,771
674
747

1,758
678
733

1,733
677
750

1,731
677
830

1
70
60

0.1%
11.5%
7.8%

Armada Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,649
1,287
897

3,586
1,310
886

3,654
1,383
895

3,666
1,392
927

3,645
1,389
973

3,541
1,392
1,016

3,575
1,393
1,046

-74
106
149

-2.0%
8.2%
16.6%

Bruce Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

6,947
2,346
1,405

7,515
2,619
1,507

7,813
2,787
1,513

7,779
2,822
1,532

7,872
2,899
1,597

7,996
2,985
1,569

7,985
3,023
1,620

1,038
677
215

14.9%
28.9%
15.3%

Center Line
Population
Households
Employment

8,257
3,632
6,947

8,150
3,620
7,043

8,178
3,633
7,144

8,255
3,661
7,230

8,333
3,691
7,317

8,406
3,681
7,434

8,579
3,706
7,544

322
74
597

3.9%
2.0%
8.6%

Chesterfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

43,381
16,243
12,602

44,896
17,521
13,205

47,276
19,023
13,207

49,984
20,173
13,337

51,417
20,861
13,569

53,314
21,220
13,870

54,074
21,289
14,125

10,693
5,046
1,523

24.6%
31.1%
12.1%

Clinton Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

96,796
42,036
43,322

101,055
43,800
44,721

102,826
44,418
44,920

102,486
44,793
45,752

102,049
44,941
47,220

103,094
45,096
48,369

103,823
45,232
49,476

7,027
3,196
6,154

7.3%
7.6%
14.2%

Eastpointe
Population
Households
Employment

32,442
12,557
7,803

30,948
12,170
7,844

31,556
12,631
7,856

32,779
13,073
7,861

33,650
13,444
8,080

34,213
13,660
8,067

34,467
13,687
8,274

2,025
1,130
471

6.2%
9.0%
6.0%

Fraser
Population
Households
Employment

14,480
6,105
7,654

14,865
6,261
7,834

14,710
6,300
7,897

14,741
6,354
8,061

14,623
6,425
8,212

14,971
6,520
8,284

14,896
6,560
8,233

416
455
579

2.9%
7.5%
7.6%

24 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Macomb County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Grosse Pointe Shores (Macomb)


Population
79
Households
39
Employment
C

81
42
C

85
45
C

79
42
C

81
44
C

82
45
C

81
45
C

2
6
C

2.5%
15.4%
C

24,587
11,128
5,476

25,703
11,533
5,565

26,623
11,798
5,699

26,286
12,080
5,890

26,907
12,395
6,009

27,758
12,577
6,071

28,111
12,683
6,143

3,524
1,555
667

14.3%
14.0%
12.2%

5,828
1,676
874

6,136
1,824
884

6,312
1,973
889

6,668
2,057
870

6,870
2,136
872

6,991
2,187
903

6,948
2,189
904

1,120
513
30

19.2%
30.6%
3.4%

79,580
26,591
10,111

84,991
28,880
10,594

87,234
30,158
10,824

90,066
30,745
11,132

91,008
31,137
11,202

92,402
32,076
11,655

95,067
33,015
11,922

15,487
6,424
1,811

19.5%
24.2%
17.9%

823
328
C

669
278
C

636
252
C

642
261
C

704
286
C

800
325
C

770
332
C

-53
4
C

-6.4%
1.2%
C

Mount Clemens
Population
Households
Employment

16,314
6,714
16,601

16,395
6,777
17,162

16,126
6,773
17,272

15,817
6,772
17,823

15,587
6,763
18,123

15,629
6,780
18,566

15,461
6,775
18,752

-853
61
2,151

-5.2%
0.9%
13.0%

New Baltimore
Population
Households
Employment

12,084
4,434
2,415

12,581
4,650
2,475

13,340
4,977
2,477

13,681
5,159
2,576

13,913
5,260
2,702

13,977
5,311
2,810

13,848
5,324
2,896

1,764
890
481

14.6%
20.1%
19.9%

4,642
1,552
631

4,855
1,667
685

5,292
1,814
715

5,424
1,845
750

5,467
1,857
758

5,483
1,855
751

5,535
1,854
754

893
302
123

19.2%
19.5%
19.5%

Harrison Twp.
Population
Households
Employment
Lenox Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Macomb Twp.
Population
Households
Employment
Memphis (Macomb)
Population
Households
Employment

New Haven
Population
Households
Employment

25 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Macomb County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Ray Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,739
1,404
367

3,732
1,421
410

3,663
1,426
441

3,678
1,451
446

3,627
1,463
476

3,588
1,464
497

3,644
1,493
530

-95
89
163

-2.5%
6.3%
44.4%

Richmond
Population
Households
Employment

5,733
2,239
1,997

6,027
2,369
2,078

6,206
2,487
2,154

6,181
2,521
2,242

6,166
2,546
2,286

6,182
2,548
2,397

6,181
2,549
2,436

448
310
439

7.8%
13.8%
22.0%

Richmond Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,665
1,209
696

3,734
1,259
780

3,642
1,270
812

3,587
1,291
860

3,540
1,300
859

3,497
1,309
872

3,405
1,309
861

-260
100
165

-7.1%
8.3%
23.7%

Romeo
Population
Households
Employment

3,596
1,501
4,962

3,698
1,542
5,183

3,798
1,616
5,113

3,799
1,629
5,108

3,738
1,656
5,239

3,705
1,671
5,311

3,664
1,676
5,364

68
175
402

1.9%
11.7%
8.1%

Roseville
Population
Households
Employment

47,299
19,553
22,241

46,542
19,470
22,572

46,293
19,712
22,034

45,613
19,798
22,378

45,149
19,708
22,813

44,995
19,730
23,243

45,263
19,780
23,634

-2,036
227
1,393

-4.3%
1.2%
6.3%

Shelby Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

73,804
28,299
25,748

78,507
30,821
26,807

78,833
31,234
27,256

77,989
31,350
27,800

79,254
31,918
28,236

80,495
32,411
28,762

82,358
32,814
29,041

8,554
4,515
3,293

11.6%
16.0%
12.8%

St. Clair Shores


Population
Households
Employment

59,715
26,585
17,516

59,791
27,095
18,643

59,727
27,408
19,030

59,583
27,656
19,669

60,986
28,685
20,067

61,478
29,177
20,308

61,416
29,245
20,512

1,701
2,660
2,996

2.8%
10.0%
17.1%

Sterling Heights
Population
Households
Employment

129,699
49,451
58,338

129,535
49,886
61,546

131,058
50,654
61,635

131,907
51,647
62,662

134,666
52,826
64,045

135,944
53,745
65,364

136,527
54,116
65,872

6,828
4,665
7,534

5.3%
9.4%
12.9%

26 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Macomb County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Utica
Population
Households
Employment

4,757
2,218
5398

4,862
2,298
5,478

5,006
2,433
5,519

5,020
2,503
5,596

4,995
2,537
5,694

5,024
2,577
5,795

5,070
2,596
5,861

313
378
463

6.6%
17.0%
8.6%

Warren
Population
Households
Employment

134,056
53,442
101,825

129,860
52,448
106,165

126,344
52,557
107,600

128,357
54,265
109,559

130,987
55,771
111,638

132,615
56,088
114,056

134,268
56,139
116,451

212
2,697
14,626

0.2%
5.0%
14.4%

23,296
8,492
5,520

24,866
9,339
5,846

25,368
9,809
5,902

26,902
10,583
5,977

27,873
10,903
6,105

28,510
11,062
6,268

28,643
11,103
6,389

5,347
2,611
869

23.0%
30.7%
15.7%

Washington Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

27 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

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Monroe County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

152,021

156,592

160,841

164,720

12,699

8.4%

Households

58,230

62,539

66,071

67,823

9,593

16.5%

2.59

2.48

2.41

2.40

-0.18

-7.0%

Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

166,000

62,000

164,000
60,000

162,000
160,000

58,000

158,000
56,000

156,000
154,000

54,000

152,000
150,000

52,000
2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

5,515

5,865

350

6.3%

Manufacturing

5,171

3,738

-1,433

-27.7%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

4,853

5,204

351

7.2%

Retail Trade

6,548

6,289

-259

-4.0%

Knowledge-Based Services

8,679

11,315

2,636

30.4%

Services to Households & Firms

5,253

6,683

1,430

27.2%

Private Education and Health Care

6,182

9,544

3,362

54.4%

Leisure & Hospitality

5,643

6,537

894

15.8%

Government

5,917

6,207

290

4.9%

53,761

61,382

7,621

14.2%

Total Employment

28 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Monroe County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Ash Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,438
2,050
2,137

5,905
2,218
2,133

5,975
2,287
2,026

5,838
2,323
2,035

5,956
2,349
2,022

6,033
2,340
2,037

5,902
2,337
2,000

464
287
-137

8.5%
14.0%
-6.4%

Bedford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

31,085
11,885
6,387

32,383
12,685
6,668

33,078
13,246
6,839

33,961
13,885
6,954

34,800
14,463
7,150

35,752
14,874
7,259

36,181
14,997
7,543

5,096
3,112
1,156

16.4%
26.2%
18.1%

Berlin Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

7,206
2,575
1,235

7,408
2,744
1,188

7,740
2,809
1,262

8,227
2,991
1,334

8,388
3,075
1,371

8,495
3,134
1,366

8,624
3,193
1,339

1,418
618
104

19.7%
24.0%
8.4%

Carleton
Population
Households
Employment

2,345
953
588

2,432
987
593

2,545
1,037
575

2,670
1,102
578

2,713
1,127
598

2,600
1,112
635

2,580
1,108
598

235
155
10

10.0%
16.3%
1.7%

Dundee
Population
Households
Employment

3,957
1,539
2,488

4,337
1,714
2,590

4,304
1,746
2,602

4,295
1,784
2,576

4,470
1,885
2,615

4,576
1,951
2,655

4,696
2,021
2,725

739
482
237

18.7%
31.3%
9.5%

Dundee Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,802
1,026
397

3,003
1,121
450

2,924
1,118
412

2,930
1,140
415

2,997
1,166
404

3,108
1,207
408

3,093
1,221
415

291
195
18

10.4%
19.0%
4.5%

Erie Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,517
1,781
804

4,929
1,961
802

4,765
1,964
865

4,652
1,966
898

4,645
1,966
915

4,644
1,965
930

4,635
1,961
959

118
180
155

2.6%
10.1%
19.3%

Estral Beach
Population
Households
Employment

418
183
C

520
230
C

495
224
C

484
224
C

456
222
C

444
222
C

446
221
C

28
38
C

6.7%
20.8%
C

29 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Monroe County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

3,406
1,222
300

3,426
1,249
359

3,323
1,253
371

3,249
1,255
392

3,172
1,254
417

3,153
1,257
417

3,159
1,251
414

-247
29
114

-7.3%
2.4%
38.0%

20,428
7,958
12,616

21,121
8,343
13,380

21,319
8,679
13,469

21,832
8,986
13,518

22,266
9,293
13,668

22,803
9,506
13,969

23,633
9,729
14,176

3,205
1,771
1,560

15.7%
22.3%
12.4%

Ida Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,964
1,751
585

5,024
1,813
641

4,763
1,827
653

4,751
1,860
685

4,808
1,899
662

4,834
1,913
666

4,857
1,925
730

-107
174
145

-2.2%
9.9%
24.8%

LaSalle Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,894
1,832
286

5,130
1,941
303

5,115
1,956
289

4,943
1,960
288

4,873
1,962
297

4,888
1,967
329

4,851
1,953
372

-43
121
86

-0.9%
6.6%
30.1%

London Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,048
1,102
88

3,171
1,174
104

3,080
1,184
109

3,130
1,185
94

3,099
1,184
98

3,012
1,185
123

3,049
1,185
122

1
83
34

0.0%
7.5%
38.6%

Luna Pier
Population
Households
Employment

1,436
608
C

1,586
657
C

1,603
684
C

1,590
693
C

1,600
698
C

1,599
695
C

1,594
707
C

158
99
C

11.0%
16.3%
C

Maybee
Population
Households
Employment

562
205
66

556
210
67

562
214
65

633
249
65

671
268
63

737
274
66

734
279
68

172
74
2

30.6%
36.1%
3.0%

2,066
808
629

2,183
869
644

2,199
896
651

2,253
919
641

2,295
942
631

2,402
992
644

2,400
994
673

334
186
44

16.2%
23.0%
7.0%

Exeter Twp.
Population
Households
Employment
Frenchtown Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Milan (Monroe)
Population
Households
Employment

30 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Monroe County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Milan Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,601
613
244

1,727
646
257

1,668
650
249

1,630
648
240

1,681
651
244

1,692
657
252

1,669
659
250

68
46
6

4.2%
7.5%
2.5%

Monroe
Population
Households
Employment

20,733
8,238
15,192

19,818
8,051
15,740

19,899
8,246
15,950

19,800
8,311
16,116

19,995
8,509
16,460

20,352
8,638
16,956

20,164
8,595
17,381

-569
357
2,189

-2.7%
4.3%
14.4%

Monroe Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

14,568
5,719
7,017

14,241
5,764
7,482

14,513
5,973
7,720

14,893
6,194
7,952

15,233
6,416
8,171

15,280
6,512
8,421

15,515
6,624
8,695

947
905
1,678

6.5%
15.8%
23.9%

Petersburg
Population
Households
Employment

1,146
449
271

1,088
446
294

1,146
486
285

1,158
500
278

1,202
520
277

1,305
544
288

1,426
571
264

280
122
-7

24.4%
27.2%
-2.6%

Raisinville Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,816
2,094
507

6,077
2,236
571

5,922
2,240
576

5,855
2,251
641

5,882
2,281
622

5,830
2,285
653

5,790
2,303
658

-26
209
151

-0.4%
10.0%
29.8%

South Rockwood
Population
Households
Employment

1,675
687
124

1,734
714
135

1,741
724
143

1,783
756
156

1,836
790
182

1,911
797
171

1,953
814
170

278
127
46

16.6%
18.5%
37.1%

Summerfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,308
1,195
696

3,215
1,202
673

3,274
1,255
651

3,228
1,258
639

3,247
1,266
696

3,160
1,269
698

3,115
1,269
702

-193
74
6

-5.8%
6.2%
0.9%

Whiteford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,602
1,757
810

4,676
1,840
887

4,639
1,841
899

4,547
1,865
895

4,556
1,885
887

4,570
1,893
927

4,654
1,906
926

52
149
116

1.1%
8.5%
14.3%

31 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
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Oakland County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
Population

2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

1,202,362

1,218,449

1,230,755

1,246,863

44,501

3.7%

483,698

504,731

509,286

510,257

26,559

5.5%

2.46

2.39

2.39

2.42

-0.04

-1.7%

Households
Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

1,260,000

990,000

1,250,000

970,000

1,240,000

950,000

1,230,000

930,000

1,220,000

910,000

1,210,000

890,000

1,200,000

870,000

1,190,000

850,000

1,180,000

830,000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

33,768

40,333

6,565

19.4%

Manufacturing

57,437

51,983

-5,454

-9.5%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

50,447

50,348

-99

-0.2%

Retail Trade

83,349

73,446

-9,903

-11.9%

Knowledge-Based Services

252,852

302,885

50,033

19.8%

Services to Households & Firms

116,432

142,597

26,165

22.5%

Private Education and Health Care

122,712

173,549

50,837

41.4%

Leisure & Hospitality

69,717

75,622

5,905

8.5%

Government

55,508

60,034

4,526

8.2%

842,222

970,797

128,575

15.3%

Total Employment

32 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Addison Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,948
2,161
252

6,108
2,288
292

6,011
2,285
311

5,871
2,289
309

5,848
2,289
316

5,784
2,289
327

5,770
2,290
325

-178
129
73

-3.0%
6.0%
29.0%

Auburn Hills
Population
Households
Employment

21,412
8,844
69,674

22,503
9,362
76,471

22,578
9,486
77,807

22,827
9,596
78,959

22,993
9,653
80,971

23,514
9,725
82,330

24,248
9,772
82,749

2,836
928
13,075

13.2%
10.5%
18.8%

Berkley
Population
Households
Employment

14,970
6,594
4,713

14,925
6,639
5,157

14,887
6,663
5,425

14,994
6,664
5,562

15,176
6,683
5,701

15,322
6,622
5,932

15,345
6,606
6,004

375
12
1,291

2.5%
0.2%
27.4%

Beverly Hills
Population
Households
Employment

10,267
4,038
3,414

10,214
4,011
3,702

10,231
4,087
3,808

10,272
4,078
3,785

10,288
4,090
3,795

10,309
4,094
3,809

10,338
4,081
3,866

71
43
452

0.7%
1.1%
13.2%

1,111
527
8,782

1,170
549
9,428

1,165
553
9,681

1,137
544
10,140

1,130
546
10,095

1,123
548
10,327

1,136
551
10,138

25
24
1,356

2.3%
4.6%
15.4%

20,103
9,039
16,094

20,398
9,203
17,417

20,539
9,303
17,808

21,022
9,280
18,179

21,285
9,292
18,694

21,540
9,323
18,651

21,800
9,309
19,121

1,697
270
3,027

8.4%
3.0%
18.8%

Bloomfield Hills
Population
Households
Employment

3,869
1,489
8,183

4,005
1,548
8,772

4,076
1,568
9,005

4,124
1,568
9,322

4,180
1,572
9,613

4,134
1,566
10,047

4,179
1,545
10,144

310
56
1,961

8.0%
3.8%
24.0%

Bloomfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

41,070
16,466
23,822

42,448
17,051
25,707

42,468
17,152
26,402

42,926
17,176
26,860

43,183
17,246
27,350

43,649
17,321
27,804

44,338
17,233
28,476

3,268
767
4,654

8.0%
4.7%
19.5%

Bingham Farms
Population
Households
Employment
Birmingham
Population
Households
Employment

33 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

13,733
4,799
1,212

13,885
4,946
1,291

13,828
5,047
1,348

13,776
5,062
1,367

13,799
5,125
1,385

13,608
5,129
1,394

13,548
5,129
1,388

-185
330
176

-1.3%
6.9%
14.5%

Clarkston
Population
Households
Employment

882
402
592

909
413
621

902
413
648

926
422
649

957
430
684

964
428
678

980
424
681

98
22
89

11.1%
5.5%
15.0%

Clawson
Population
Households
Employment

11,825
5,460
4,154

11,552
5,274
4,489

11,878
5,340
4,467

12,041
5,289
4,595

12,111
5,264
4,735

12,212
5,272
4,757

12,373
5,276
4,853

548
-184
699

4.6%
-3.4%
16.8%

Commerce Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

35,874
13,220
15,403

39,818
14,793
16,604

39,770
15,283
16,714

40,006
15,516
16,917

40,989
15,916
17,329

40,933
16,110
17,414

41,628
16,306
17,375

5,754
3,086
1,972

16.0%
23.3%
12.8%

Farmington
Population
Households
Employment

10,372
4,624
4,676

10,546
4,700
4,996

10,640
4,713
5,081

10,806
4,678
5,094

10,719
4,650
5,156

10,803
4,656
5,233

10,979
4,633
5,306

607
9
630

5.9%
0.2%
13.5%

Farmington Hills
Population
Households
Employment

79,740
33,559
82,650

77,482
34,163
87,070

78,546
34,744
89,276

79,817
34,657
91,027

81,034
34,661
91,824

81,697
34,565
92,945

81,897
34,383
94,405

2,157
824
11,755

2.7%
2.5%
14.2%

Ferndale
Population
Households
Employment

19,900
9,559
9,243

19,919
9,463
9,810

20,442
9,466
9,923

20,697
9,543
9,980

20,702
9,627
10,088

20,849
9,707
10,087

20,982
9,689
10,075

1,082
130
832

5.4%
1.4%
9.0%

Franklin
Population
Households
Employment

3,150
1,118
545

3,244
1,159
610

3,209
1,161
650

3,207
1,161
642

3,255
1,175
636

3,316
1,175
696

3,406
1,171
690

256
53
145

8.1%
4.7%
26.6%

Brandon Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

34 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

5,476
1,943
891

5,619
2,038
983

5,598
2,088
993

5,665
2,138
1,001

5,715
2,188
1,029

5,737
2,238
1,028

5,815
2,288
1,045

339
345
154

6.2%
17.8%
17.3%

Hazel Park
Population
Households
Employment

16,422
6,641
3,029

15,908
6,415
3,109

15,929
6,511
3,124

16,153
6,560
3,205

16,222
6,540
3,200

16,308
6,548
3,220

16,359
6,591
3,132

-63
-50
103

-0.4%
-0.8%
3.4%

Highland Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

19,202
7,125
3,476

19,217
7,391
3,617

18,674
7,487
3,621

18,427
7,543
3,680

18,382
7,594
3,735

18,172
7,629
3,760

18,427
7,623
3,715

-775
498
239

-4.0%
7.0%
6.9%

Holly
Population
Households
Employment

6,086
2,453
1,438

5,993
2,509
1,508

5,801
2,519
1,512

5,865
2,596
1,489

5,997
2,649
1,548

5,919
2,608
1,542

6,132
2,644
1,536

46
191
98

0.8%
7.8%
6.8%

Holly Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,276
1,977
469

5,546
2,169
475

5,418
2,177
525

5,403
2,181
568

5,267
2,179
579

5,340
2,185
594

5,440
2,187
594

164
210
125

3.1%
10.6%
26.7%

Huntington Woods
Population
Households
Employment

6,238
2,354
1,442

6,290
2,393
1,588

6,273
2,424
1,573

6,417
2,444
1,661

6,383
2,426
1,635

6,345
2,413
1,650

6,439
2,409
1,587

201
55
145

3.2%
2.3%
10.1%

Independence Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

34,681
12,825
7,798

34,816
13,496
8,346

35,094
13,644
8,636

33,671
13,722
8,961

35,358
13,821
9,347

33,914
13,880
9,419

36,329
13,905
9,652

1,648
1,080
1,854

4.8%
8.4%
23.8%

2,970
1,292
955

3,028
1,336
1,026

3,060
1,371
1,079

3,154
1,398
1,139

3,127
1,387
1,120

3,153
1,404
1,078

3,169
1,394
1,103

199
102
148

6.7%
7.9%
15.5%

Groveland Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Keego Harbor
Population
Households
Employment

35 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Lake Angelus
Population
Households
Employment

290
130
C

291
132
C

291
131
C

307
135
C

336
142
C

336
138
C

354
139
C

64
9
C

22.1%
6.9%
C

Lake Orion
Population
Households
Employment

2,973
1,304
1,350

3,025
1,306
1,389

3,223
1,392
1,454

3,390
1,449
1,480

3,633
1,505
1,460

3,822
1,589
1,465

3,881
1,611
1,550

908
307
200

30.5%
23.5%
14.8%

Lathrup Village
Population
Households
Employment

4,075
1,610
2,963

3,703
1,504
3,176

3,824
1,536
3,275

3,727
1,497
3,349

3,675
1,493
3,367

3,661
1,511
3,430

3,588
1,471
3,434

-487
-139
471

-12.0%
-8.6%
15.9%

Leonard
Population
Households
Employment

403
153
74

423
169
90

456
186
91

426
175
97

401
168
96

396
170
101

381
165
100

-22
12
26

-5.5%
7.8%
35.1%

Lyon Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

14,545
5,226
5,681

17,070
6,149
6,163

17,898
6,547
6,281

18,714
6,832
6,346

19,221
7,010
6,401

19,378
7,090
6,467

19,621
7,142
6,472

5,076
1,916
791

34.9%
36.7%
13.9%

Madison Heights
Population
Households
Employment

29,694
12,712
28,444

29,065
12,428
30,176

29,338
12,620
30,462

29,108
12,639
30,387

29,513
12,677
30,628

30,068
12,709
30,451

30,542
12,695
30,240

848
-17
1,796

2.9%
-0.1%
6.3%

Milford
Population
Households
Employment

6,175
2,589
2,654

6,508
2,780
2,799

6,546
2,832
2,804

6,580
2,833
2,826

6,446
2,831
2,919

6,402
2,854
3,120

6,550
2,833
3,139

375
244
485

6.1%
9.4%
18.3%

Milford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

9,561
3,422
5,986

9,752
3,531
6,598

9,747
3,641
7,047

9,711
3,678
7,409

9,728
3,732
7,473

9,581
3,740
7,758

9,807
3,748
7,775

246
326
1,789

2.6%
9.5%
29.9%

36 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

3,231
1,321
560

3,312
1,340
560

3,164
1,303
581

3,224
1,311
580

3,199
1,299
612

3,282
1,317
649

3,259
1,304
651

28
-17
91

0.9%
-1.3%
16.2%

Novi
Population
Households
Employment

55,224
22,258
37,928

58,164
23,759
40,902

57,805
24,042
41,419

57,932
24,112
41,949

57,761
24,158
42,482

57,344
24,195
43,381

57,897
24,234
44,227

2,673
1,976
6,299

4.8%
8.9%
16.6%

Novi Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

150
59
0

152
63
0

140
59
0

146
61
0

144
61
0

139
59
0

139
58
0

-11
-1
0

-7.3%
-1.7%
0.0%

Oak Park
Population
Households
Employment

29,319
11,719
10,175

28,222
11,733
10,781

27,569
11,812
11,015

27,128
11,696
11,172

26,996
11,694
11,242

26,811
11,680
11,267

26,981
11,623
11,182

-2,338
-96
1,007

-8.0%
-0.8%
9.9%

Oakland Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

16,779
5,777
1,844

18,614
6,441
1,918

18,425
6,871
1,955

19,864
7,057
1,955

19,625
7,142
2,032

20,237
7,278
2,053

20,400
7,345
2,031

3,621
1,568
187

21.6%
27.1%
10.1%

Orchard Lake
Population
Households
Employment

2,375
802
674

2,597
879
705

2,557
889
714

2,556
901
742

2,534
902
752

2,501
899
790

2,499
893
802

124
91
128

5.2%
11.3%
19.0%

Orion Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

32,421
11,673
9,467

33,462
12,218
11,176

33,966
12,538
11,216

34,527
12,662
11,189

34,630
12,703
11,204

34,633
12,753
11,018

35,040
12,789
10,905

2,619
1,116
1,438

8.1%
9.6%
15.2%

Ortonville
Population
Households
Employment

1,442
511
496

1,548
559
561

1,533
565
590

1,562
583
636

1,560
585
653

1,573
594
630

1,620
599
647

178
88
151

12.3%
17.2%
30.4%

Northville (Oakland)
Population
Households
Employment

37 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Oxford
Population
Households
Employment

3,436
1,335
1,682

3,676
1,435
1,701

3,797
1,500
1,738

3,846
1,508
1,746

3,928
1,536
1,774

3,937
1,543
1,770

3,988
1,550
1,737

552
215
55

16.1%
16.1%
3.3%

Oxford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

17,090
6,063
4,293

17,843
6,399
4,404

18,256
6,641
4,379

18,673
6,769
4,381

18,846
6,842
4,517

18,865
6,884
4,642

19,167
6,952
4,661

2,077
889
368

12.2%
14.7%
8.6%

2,526
1,115
485

2,448
1,090
546

2,399
1,074
596

2,429
1,077
645

2,378
1,070
635

2,415
1,085
612

2,370
1,066
615

-156
-49
130

-6.2%
-4.4%
26.8%

Pontiac
Population
Households
Employment

59,515
22,220
36,836

56,081
21,463
39,003

57,180
22,578
39,792

55,626
22,174
40,135

56,063
22,621
40,816

56,430
23,118
41,221

55,870
22,418
41,631

-3,645
198
4,795

-6.1%
0.9%
13.0%

Rochester
Population
Households
Employment

12,711
5,514
7,028

13,650
5,678
7,523

13,586
5,734
7,772

13,752
5,810
8,077

13,715
5,803
8,131

13,734
5,844
8,330

13,760
5,815
8,566

1,049
301
1,538

8.3%
5.5%
21.9%

Rochester Hills
Population
Households
Employment

70,995
27,578
35,756

72,638
28,753
38,298

72,067
29,036
38,818

71,930
29,180
39,347

72,072
29,316
40,127

72,036
29,392
40,828

73,528
29,420
41,179

2,533
1,842
5,423

3.6%
6.7%
15.2%

Rose Twp
Population
Households
Employment

6,250
2,272
365

6,301
2,351
367

6,154
2,372
388

6,032
2,371
439

6,016
2,373
425

6,076
2,366
398

6,039
2,358
411

-211
86
46

-3.4%
3.8%
12.6%

Royal Oak
Population
Households
Employment

57,236
28,063
35,755

56,700
28,268
38,413

57,794
28,604
39,163

57,743
28,498
39,541

58,000
28,566
40,122

58,348
28,642
40,270

59,105
28,480
40,523

1,869
417
4,768

3.3%
1.5%
13.3%

Pleasant Ridge
Population
Households
Employment

38 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2,419
1,024
1,363

2,546
1,102
1,400

2,581
1,124
1,405

2,661
1,120
1,367

2,734
1,136
1,288

2,802
1,135
1,258

2,908
1,137
1,203

489
113
-160

20.2%
11.0%
-11.7%

South Lyon
Population
Households
Employment

11,327
4,646
2,064

11,902
4,936
2,193

11,905
5,008
2,188

12,174
5,038
2,233

12,216
5,044
2,287

12,269
5,069
2,324

12,433
5,046
2,338

1,106
400
274

9.8%
8.6%
13.3%

Southfield
Population
Households
Employment

71,739
31,778
138,475

72,115
31,928
145,053

71,420
32,166
150,068

70,958
32,031
153,052

71,892
32,031
155,850

72,238
31,972
157,841

72,418
31,796
158,408

679
18
19,933

0.9%
0.1%
14.4%

Southfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

19
8
C

25
10
C

23
10
C

22
10
C

19
9
C

19
9
C

22
10
C

3
2
C

15.8%
25.0%
C

Springfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

13,940
5,005
3,093

13,688
5,044
3,342

13,461
5,097
3,414

13,450
5,142
3,407

13,306
5,166
3,507

13,058
5,165
3,636

12,963
5,166
3,706

-977
161
613

-7.0%
3.2%
19.8%

Sylvan Lake
Population
Households
Employment

1,720
809
1,303

1,814
839
1,350

1,845
854
1,391

1,863
862
1,390

1,869
864
1,421

1,876
870
1,446

1,835
842
1,534

115
33
231

6.7%
4.1%
17.7%

Troy
Population
Households
Employment

80,980
30,703
129,361

81,261
31,261
140,638

81,362
31,907
143,940

81,590
32,395
146,406

81,577
32,558
148,900

81,837
32,621
151,723

82,062
32,721
152,129

1,082
2,018
22,768

1.3%
6.6%
17.6%

Walled Lake
Population
Households
Employment

6,999
3,347
2,353

7,363
3,546
2,433

7,331
3,576
2,467

7,306
3,559
2,520

7,531
3,595
2,548

7,561
3,566
2,566

7,678
3,542
2,596

679
195
243

9.7%
5.8%
10.3%

Royal Oak Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

39 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Oakland County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Waterford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

71,707
29,612
26,118

71,060
29,988
27,747

70,928
30,248
28,162

70,210
30,356
28,588

71,148
30,492
28,884

71,113
30,597
29,267

71,462
30,584
29,224

-245
972
3,106

-0.3%
3.3%
11.9%

West Bloomfield Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

64,690
24,111
18,344

64,988
25,116
19,726

65,023
25,302
20,445

65,136
25,229
21,201

65,730
25,258
21,344

64,897
25,244
21,849

66,056
25,122
22,189

1,366
1,011
3,845

2.1%
4.2%
21.0%

White Lake Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

30,019
11,262
4,841

30,509
11,864
4,943

30,441
12,142
4,962

29,962
12,253
5,056

29,941
12,375
5,072

29,681
12,453
5,086

30,329
12,516
5,062

310
1,254
221

1.0%
11.1%
4.6%

Wixom
Population
Households
Employment

13,498
5,725
11,198

12,871
5,370
11,730

13,117
5,504
11,769

13,640
5,630
11,794

14,045
5,713
11,698

14,381
5,753
11,701

14,942
5,824
11,620

1,444
99
422

10.7%
1.7%
3.8%

4,312
1,733
265

4,391
1,814
290

4,280
1,805
329

4,240
1,811
358

4,227
1,813
362

4,290
1,798
369

4,312
1,804
326

0
71
61

0.0%
4.1%
23.0%

Wolverine Lake
Population
Households
Employment

40 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

St. Clair County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

163,040

161,506

164,655

167,624

4,584

2.8%

Households

63,841

65,492

67,887

68,960

5,119

8.0%

2.52

2.44

2.39

2.40

-0.12

-4.8%

Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

170,000

72,000

168,000

70,000

166,000

68,000

164,000
66,000

162,000

64,000

160,000
158,000

62,000
2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

4,181

4,754

573

13.7%

Manufacturing

7,043

6,629

-414

-5.9%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

4,312

4,419

107

2.5%

Retail Trade

8,245

7,623

-622

-7.5%

Knowledge-Based Services

8,288

10,005

1,717

20.7%

Services to Households & Firms

7,787

9,707

1,920

24.7%

Private Education and Health Care

9,667

14,404

4,737

49.0%

Leisure & Hospitality

5,745

6,334

589

10.3%

Government

7,346

7,605

259

3.5%

62,614

71,480

8,866

14.2%

Total Employment

41 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for St. Clair County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Algonac
Population
Households
Employment

4,110
1,756
634

4,474
1,891
654

4,315
1,877
637

4,297
1,899
641

4,528
2,007
694

4,534
2,020
711

4,497
2,016
775

387
260
141

9.4%
14.8%
22.2%

Berlin Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,285
1,152
106

3,185
1,169
97

3,173
1,169
104

3,137
1,190
110

3,145
1,194
110

3,101
1,184
119

3,074
1,184
135

-211
32
29

-6.4%
2.8%
27.4%

Brockway Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,022
705
235

1,975
717
278

1,987
737
283

1,989
750
309

1,941
745
313

1,877
733
344

1,837
732
317

-185
27
82

-9.1%
3.8%
34.9%

Burtchville Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,008
1,646
657

4,145
1,705
781

4,181
1,745
823

4,492
1,885
834

4,627
1,971
868

4,768
2,025
903

4,773
2,055
906

765
409
249

19.1%
24.8%
37.9%

Capac
Population
Households
Employment

1,890
704
1,020

1,839
709
1,049

1,801
726
1,077

1,808
734
1,099

1,817
758
1,160

1,786
769
1,191

1,834
771
1,241

-56
67
221

-3.0%
9.5%
21.7%

Casco Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,105
1,502
693

3,993
1,532
859

4,009
1,552
920

3,940
1,552
955

3,915
1,574
966

3,925
1,579
940

3,950
1,578
972

-155
76
279

-3.8%
5.1%
40.3%

China Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,551
1,271
1,012

3,308
1,271
1,104

3,329
1,305
1,114

3,327
1,307
1,093

3,583
1,422
1,085

3,720
1,494
1,131

3,798
1,506
1,159

247
235
147

7.0%
18.5%
14.5%

Clay Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

9,066
3,947
1,337

8,856
3,885
1,443

8,747
3,903
1,454

8,663
3,952
1,464

8,883
4,074
1,504

8,828
4,097
1,580

8,885
4,123
1,585

-181
176
248

-2.0%
4.5%
18.5%

42 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for St. Clair County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Clyde Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,579
2,060
638

5,482
2,101
618

5,433
2,116
639

5,478
2,122
635

5,367
2,128
574

5,401
2,131
603

5,359
2,120
627

-220
60
-11

-3.9%
2.9%
-1.7%

Columbus Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

4,070
1,459
268

3,984
1,477
252

3,957
1,505
243

3,884
1,518
265

3,813
1,509
244

3,816
1,517
283

3,794
1,504
301

-276
45
33

-6.8%
3.1%
12.3%

Cottrellville Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,559
1,389
184

3,494
1,404
170

3,529
1,432
161

3,692
1,495
166

3,723
1,507
174

3,733
1,511
166

3,618
1,493
159

59
104
-25

1.7%
7.5%
-13.6%

East China Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

3,788
1,603
2,061

3,908
1,674
2,229

3,954
1,687
2,236

4,048
1,743
2,272

4,289
1,828
2,284

4,441
1,871
2,318

4,515
1,891
2,341

727
288
280

19.2%
18.0%
13.6%

269
91
146

276
93
142

235
83
154

281
99
180

382
135
180

442
157
188

498
177
177

229
86
31

85.1%
94.5%
21.2%

2,385
837
88

2,263
836
108

2,240
849
124

2,162
857
116

2,199
863
134

2,188
858
147

2,200
867
124

-185
30
36

-7.8%
3.6%
40.9%

11,108
4,563
8,366

11,524
4,685
8,599

11,556
4,747
8,683

11,830
4,879
9,052

12,110
4,972
9,451

12,448
5,049
9,780

12,807
5,106
9,998

1,699
543
1,632

15.3%
11.9%
19.5%

1,891
675
74

1,866
693
78

1,781
689
92

1,783
700
94

1,796
707
88

1,784
705
87

1,744
692
87

-147
17
13

-7.8%
2.5%
17.6%

Emmett
Population
Households
Employment
Emmett Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Fort Gratiot Twp.


Population
Households
Employment
Grant Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

43 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for St. Clair County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Greenwood Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,538
535
C

1,521
561
C

1,487
567
C

1,506
579
C

1,479
578
C

1,457
571
C

1,469
574
C

-69
39
C

-4.5%
7.3%
C

Ira Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,178
2,068
1,725

5,383
2,172
1,850

5,508
2,217
1,908

5,716
2,300
1,875

5,760
2,352
1,917

6,159
2,487
1,955

6,217
2,501
1,965

1,039
433
240

20.1%
20.9%
13.9%

Kenockee Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,470
903
96

2,422
917
104

2,473
957
105

2,509
968
104

2,417
953
111

2,446
954
104

2,444
962
109

-26
59
13

-1.1%
6.5%
13.5%

Kimball Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

9,358
3,559
2,353

9,321
3,600
2,473

9,437
3,704
2,556

9,468
3,780
2,676

9,620
3,895
2,750

9,873
3,963
2,816

9,961
3,990
2,900

603
431
547

6.4%
12.1%
23.2%

Lynn Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,229
426
C

1,202
425
C

1,190
436
C

1,148
433
C

1,136
436
C

1,116
437
C

1,059
428
C

-170
2
C

-13.8%
0.5%
C

Marine City
Population
Households
Employment

4,248
1,765
1,895

4,383
1,834
2,060

4,299
1,858
2,081

4,521
2,006
2,086

4,530
2,031
2,071

4,619
2,033
2,139

4,600
2,037
2,125

352
272
230

8.3%
15.4%
12.1%

Marysville
Population
Households
Employment

9,959
4,160
5,633

9,834
4,135
5,893

9,912
4,149
5,752

9,942
4,201
5,852

10,214
4,295
5,726

10,424
4,345
5,829

10,635
4,391
5,875

676
231
242

6.8%
5.6%
4.3%

360
146
C

329
133
C

317
129
C

336
136
C

330
137
C

350
146
C

323
132
C

-37
-14
C

-10.3%
-9.6%
C

Memphis (St. Clair)


Population
Households
Employment

44 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for St. Clair County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Mussey Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,316
808
149

2,138
821
175

2,093
836
156

2,071
821
153

2,047
834
135

2,058
835
133

2,108
834
138

-208
26
-11

-9.0%
3.2%
-7.4%

Port Huron
Population
Households
Employment

30,184
12,177
22,946

29,429
12,181
23,305

29,161
12,143
23,728

29,141
12,149
23,965

29,332
12,242
24,617

29,228
12,220
25,204

29,219
12,277
25,819

-965
100
2,873

-3.2%
0.8%
12.5%

Port Huron Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

10,654
4,044
4,968

10,678
4,088
5,044

10,685
4,207
5,179

10,799
4,299
5,186

10,985
4,390
5,241

11,433
4,570
5,227

11,601
4,663
5,395

947
619
427

8.9%
15.3%
8.6%

2
1
0

2
1
0

2
1
0

2
1
0

2
1
0

2
1
0

2
1
0

0
0
0

0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Riley Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,353
1,184
182

3,171
1,158
185

3,147
1,161
179

3,139
1,177
178

3,147
1,191
174

3,127
1,184
164

3,148
1,185
175

-205
1
-7

-6.1%
0.1%
-3.8%

St. Clair
Population
Households
Employment

5,485
2,306
2,937

5,552
2,338
3,356

5,626
2,380
3,316

5,647
2,402
3,310

5,640
2,439
3,354

5,739
2,436
3,445

5,776
2,437
3,431

291
131
494

5.3%
5.7%
16.8%

St. Clair Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

6,817
2,533
833

6,705
2,572
922

6,899
2,677
887

6,845
2,690
878

6,951
2,731
872

6,988
2,772
891

7,035
2,755
950

218
222
117

3.2%
8.8%
14.0%

Wales Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,248
1,144
250

3,102
1,146
255

3,009
1,145
273

2,959
1,154
258

2,945
1,168
279

2,927
1,155
299

2,922
1,159
319

-326
15
69

-10.0%
1.3%
27.6%

Richmond (St. Clair)


Population
Households
Employment

45 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for St. Clair County

Yale
Population
Households
Employment

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

1,955
722
875

1,927
756
900

2,036
803
927

1,993
808
962

2,003
820
1,030

1,921
825
1,113

1,919
819
1,131

46 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

Change 2010-40
Number
Percent
-36
97
256

-1.8%
13.4%
29.3%

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Washtenaw County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

Population

344,791

354,116

368,262

386,235

41,444

12.0%

Households

137,193

146,870

156,324

164,447

27,254

19.9%

2.38

2.27

2.22

2.22

-0.16

-6.8%

Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

390,000

290,000

380,000

280,000
270,000

370,000

260,000
360,000

250,000

350,000

240,000

340,000

230,000
2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

7,904

8,484

580

7.3%

Manufacturing

13,441

11,065

-2,376

-17.7%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

10,082

11,117

1,035

10.3%

Retail Trade

19,466

19,504

38

0.2%

Knowledge-Based Services

42,729

51,428

8,699

20.4%

Services to Households & Firms

23,665

31,868

8,203

34.7%

Private Education and Health Care

31,961

51,006

19,045

59.6%

Leisure & Hospitality

18,505

22,342

3,837

20.7%

Government

68,923

78,841

9,918

14.4%

236,676

285,655

48,979

20.7%

Total Employment

47 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Washtenaw County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

113,934
47,060
120,588

116,731
48,006
123,753

116,827
49,108
127,098

118,813
49,988
131,230

119,113
50,622
135,870

119,855
51,364
140,442

123,786
52,277
144,899

9,852
5,217
24,311

8.6%
11.1%
20.2%

4,067
1,721
10,454

4,131
1,773
11,074

4,313
1,918
11,386

4,492
2,033
11,789

4,966
2,159
12,176

5,224
2,368
12,639

5,414
2,442
12,865

1,347
721
2,411

33.1%
41.9%
23.1%

6,745
2,433
1,121

6,838
2,597
1,146

7,016
2,792
1,100

7,258
2,962
1,132

7,593
3,175
1,154

7,851
3,334
1,187

7,961
3,437
1,247

1,216
1,004
126

18.0%
41.3%
11.2%

294
123
C

288
123
C

278
123
C

288
130
C

286
131
C

290
132
C

296
134
C

2
11
C

0.7%
8.9%
C

Bridgewater Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,674
627
C

1,700
664
C

1,666
681
C

1,638
690
C

1,631
695
C

1,660
711
C

1,609
711
C

-65
84
C

-3.9%
13.4%
C

Chelsea
Population
Households
Employment

4,944
2,224
6,041

5,266
2,377
6,270

5,380
2,532
6,308

5,445
2,624
6,645

5,505
2,712
6,903

5,814
2,848
7,170

6,271
3,074
7,375

1,327
850
1,334

26.8%
38.2%
22.1%

Dexter
Population
Households
Employment

4,067
1,590
3,082

4,211
1,685
3,336

4,245
1,756
3,317

4,320
1,814
3,351

4,390
1,846
3,334

4,719
1,968
3,347

4,885
2,027
3,447

818
437
365

20.1%
27.5%
11.8%

Dexter Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

6,042
2,225
450

6,451
2,337
476

6,741
2,449
463

6,669
2,551
522

6,787
2,670
555

6,702
2,736
618

6,855
2,787
628

813
562
178

13.5%
25.3%
39.6%

Ann Arbor
Population
Households
Employment
Ann Arbor Twp.
Population
Households
Employment
Augusta Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Barton Hills
Population
Households
Employment

48 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Washtenaw County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Freedom Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,428
583
195

1,519
622
221

1,482
626
231

1,419
622
226

1,412
631
221

1,482
641
227

1,482
642
220

54
59
25

3.8%
10.1%
12.8%

Lima Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

3,307
1,197
518

3,457
1,273
529

3,582
1,389
531

3,856
1,564
512

3,975
1,652
500

4,191
1,764
495

4,304
1,836
519

997
639
1

30.1%
53.4%
0.2%

Lodi Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

6,058
2,152
897

6,030
2,208
917

5,887
2,274
908

5,760
2,296
957

5,791
2,357
959

6,054
2,496
1,003

6,174
2,601
1,021

116
449
124

1.9%
20.9%
13.8%

Lyndon Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,720
962
236

2,821
1,017
243

2,847
1,088
255

2,904
1,137
250

2,842
1,146
286

3,024
1,225
316

3,120
1,276
312

400
314
76

14.7%
32.6%
32.2%

Manchester
Population
Households
Employment

2,091
938
671

2,153
994
666

2,231
1,041
676

2,365
1,115
699

2,544
1,187
710

2,705
1,278
728

2,981
1,404
733

890
466
62

42.6%
49.7%
9.2%

Manchester Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

2,478
926
239

2,579
1,008
236

2,542
1,070
242

2,896
1,240
250

3,149
1,369
239

3,244
1,429
236

3,247
1,431
276

769
505
37

31.0%
54.5%
15.5%

Milan (Washtenaw)
Population
Households
Employment

3,770
1,500
1,281

3,724
1,529
1,373

3,651
1,568
1,408

3,670
1,599
1,494

3,933
1,737
1,564

4,056
1,799
1,625

4,111
1,834
1,667

341
334
386

9.0%
22.3%
30.1%

Northfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

8,245
3,303
2,026

8,091
3,345
2,096

7,960
3,447
2,147

7,832
3,491
2,275

8,085
3,575
2,351

8,241
3,622
2,543

8,368
3,684
2,660

123
381
634

1.5%
11.5%
31.3%

49 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Washtenaw County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

34,663
14,021
26,554

36,064
14,589
28,101

36,076
15,021
28,501

36,356
15,255
29,041

37,077
15,483
29,839

38,686
15,952
30,840

39,376
16,215
31,493

4,713
2,194
4,939

13.6%
15.6%
18.6%

Salem Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

5,627
2,079
951

5,535
2,154
1,007

5,206
2,180
1,033

5,170
2,224
995

5,135
2,252
1,009

5,216
2,281
963

5,309
2,334
998

-318
255
47

-5.7%
12.3%
4.9%

Saline
Population
Households
Employment

8,810
3,699
7,144

8,830
3,793
7,409

8,645
3,838
7,473

8,595
3,884
7,518

8,564
3,933
7,710

8,582
3,994
7,885

9,066
4,294
8,141

256
595
997

2.9%
16.1%
14.0%

Saline Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,896
732
166

1,995
759
186

2,392
759
209

2,458
770
230

2,457
772
249

2,541
822
271

2,676
872
309

780
140
143

41.1%
19.1%
86.1%

Scio Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

16,470
6,405
17,200

16,800
6,689
18,146

16,880
7,029
18,360

18,328
7,810
18,674

19,581
8,488
18,979

19,950
8,659
19,287

20,442
8,885
19,772

3,972
2,480
2,572

24.1%
38.7%
15.0%

Sharon Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

1,737
659
214

1,719
678
248

1,599
678
291

1,589
678
277

1,520
690
294

1,594
703
307

1,568
702
299

-169
43
85

-9.7%
6.5%
39.7%

13,058
4,924
10,563

14,200
5,486
11,548

14,971
6,396
12,214

16,308
6,926
12,610

16,317
7,044
13,180

16,730
7,261
13,647

17,021
7,490
14,163

3,963
2,566
3,600

30.3%
52.1%
34.1%

2,833
1,094
1,002

2,841
1,123
1,098

3,075
1,273
1,117

3,012
1,294
1,122

3,240
1,434
1,156

3,646
1,593
1,181

3,922
1,661
1,215

1,089
567
213

38.4%
51.8%
21.3%

Pittsfield Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Superior Twp.
Population
Households
Employment
Sylvan Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

50 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Washtenaw County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Webster Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

6,328
2,215
527

6,235
2,283
572

5,992
2,351
580

5,837
2,395
591

5,882
2,493
563

5,941
2,528
590

5,918
2,531
607

-410
316
80

-6.5%
14.3%
15.2%

York Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

8,708
2,343
1,799

8,911
2,386
2,149

9,032
2,450
2,227

9,177
2,563
2,298

9,584
2,678
2,369

10,177
2,820
2,475

10,105
2,830
2,553

1,397
487
754

16.0%
20.8%
41.9%

Ypsilanti
Population
Households
Employment

19,435
8,026
9,631

19,235
8,098
10,117

19,071
8,219
10,415

19,265
8,265
10,827

20,003
8,215
11,316

20,095
8,226
11,850

19,937
8,298
12,061

502
272
2,430

2.6%
3.4%
25.2%

Ypsilanti Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

53,362
21,432
12,775

52,426
21,887
13,437

54,529
22,814
13,734

54,651
23,902
14,128

56,900
25,178
14,666

58,913
26,137
15,303

60,031
26,738
15,764

6,669
5,306
2,989

12.5%
24.8%
23.4%

51 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Wayne County 2040 Forecast Summary


Population and Households
Change 2010-40
Population

2010

2020

2030

2040

Number

Percent

1,820,584

1,700,779

1,664,635

1,656,931

-163,653

-9.0%

702,749

683,308

689,894

690,639

-12,110

-1.7%

2.56

2.46

2.38

2.37

-0.19

-7.4%

Households
Household Size

Population by Year

Employment by Year

1,830,000

910,000

1,800,000

900,000

1,770,000

890,000

1,740,000

880,000

1,710,000

870,000

1,680,000

860,000

1,650,000

850,000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Employment by Sector
Change 2010-40
Sector

2010

2040

Number

Percent

Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction

27,141

28,856

1,715

6.3%

Manufacturing

70,468

55,943

-14,525

-20.6%

Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities

78,410

83,931

5,521

7.0%

Retail Trade

75,365

60,225

-15,140

-20.1%

Knowledge-Based Services

156,639

164,195

7,556

4.8%

Services to Households & Firms

106,343

114,792

8,449

7.9%

Private Education and Health Care

147,796

193,286

45,490

30.8%

84,968

88,393

3,425

4.0%

Government

110,274

107,534

-2,740

-2.5%

Total Employment

857,410

897,152

39,751

4.6%

Leisure & Hospitality

52 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Allen Park
Population
Households
Employment

28,210
11,580
13,749

28,086
11,598
14,274

27,642
11,649
14,542

27,660
11,670
14,697

27,308
11,616
14,818

26,844
11,442
14,991

26,246
11,288
15,232

-1,964
-292
1,483

-7.0%
-2.5%
10.8%

Belleville
Population
Households
Employment

3,991
1,755
1,404

3,976
1,737
1,417

3,841
1,712
1,437

3,815
1,709
1,416

3,813
1,717
1,436

3,760
1,683
1,465

3,743
1,644
1,507

-248
-111
103

-6.2%
-6.3%
7.3%

Brownstown Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

30,627
11,342
6,913

30,960
12,042
7,227

31,274
12,643
7,249

31,304
13,028
7,529

31,945
13,368
7,641

32,092
13,475
7,794

32,124
13,544
7,906

1,497
2,202
993

4.9%
19.4%
14.4%

Canton Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

90,173
32,771
20,721

94,784
35,325
21,434

93,577
35,645
21,476

92,720
35,710
21,937

91,916
35,954
22,187

91,713
36,027
22,543

91,820
36,099
22,737

1,647
3,328
2,016

1.8%
10.2%
9.7%

Dearborn
Population
Households
Employment

98,153
34,342
102,327

97,860
34,269
105,326

96,861
34,214
106,703

96,190
34,176
106,916

96,713
33,966
107,898

96,147
33,672
108,607

95,436
33,165
108,456

-2,717
-1,177
6,129

-2.8%
-3.4%
6.0%

57,774
22,266
10,733

55,787
22,324
10,751

55,879
22,521
11,074

55,796
22,333
11,165

55,758
22,298
11,312

55,314
22,045
11,543

54,661
21,622
11,522

-3,113
-644
789

-5.4%
-2.9%
7.4%

Detroit
Population
Households
Employment

713,777
269,445
347,545

648,300
248,173
357,247

624,673
241,036
353,242

612,345
241,165
352,394

609,647
247,542
352,670

613,623
252,962
354,075

614,969
255,638
354,792

-98,808
-13,807
7,247

-13.8%
-5.1%
2.1%

Ecorse
Population
Households
Employment

9,512
3,646
4,064

8,420
3,339
4,164

8,256
3,364
4,136

8,042
3,291
4,139

7,829
3,180
4,096

7,657
3,117
3,955

7,543
3,075
3,797

-1,969
-571
-267

-20.7%
-15.7%
-6.6%

Dearborn Heights
Population
Households
Employment

53 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Flat Rock
Population
Households
Employment

9,878
3,754
3,087

9,997
3,928
3,186

10,012
4,069
3,136

10,029
4,130
3,090

10,048
4,143
3,076

9,901
4,116
3,062

9,702
4,076
3,035

-176
322
-52

-1.8%
8.6%
-1.7%

Garden City
Population
Households
Employment

27,692
10,894
6,850

25,709
10,828
6,893

25,138
10,831
7,010

24,854
10,887
7,150

24,669
10,857
7,172

25,014
10,781
7,358

25,010
10,717
7,516

-2,682
-177
666

-9.7%
-1.6%
9.7%

Gibraltar
Population
Households
Employment

4,656
1,946
576

4,977
2,131
600

4,853
2,134
608

5,030
2,184
628

5,008
2,188
620

4,950
2,125
643

4,831
2,120
628

175
174
52

3.8%
8.9%
9.0%

Grosse Ile Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

10,371
4,143
1,420

10,284
4,196
1,431

10,163
4,199
1,419

10,012
4,173
1,443

9,850
4,173
1,428

9,668
4,099
1,525

9,483
4,035
1,503

-888
-108
83

-8.6%
-2.6%
5.8%

Grosse Pointe
Population
Households
Employment

5,421
2,236
3,948

5,505
2,319
3,937

5,443
2,309
3,986

5,464
2,311
4,052

5,480
2,349
4,055

5,451
2,320
4,128

5,456
2,266
4,196

35
30
248

0.6%
1.3%
6.3%

Grosse Pointe Farms


Population
Households
Employment

9,479
3,718
3,256

9,521
3,784
3,325

9,381
3,789
3,456

9,441
3,830
3,381

9,408
3,819
3,350

9,246
3,753
3,441

9,194
3,709
3,435

-285
-9
179

-3.0%
-0.2%
5.5%

11,555
4,516
1,772

10,998
4,506
1,806

10,870
4,568
1,803

10,845
4,573
1,817

10,819
4,544
1,860

10,878
4,454
1,822

10,954
4,392
1,819

-601
-124
47

-5.2%
-2.7%
2.7%

Grosse Pointe Shores (Wayne)


Population
2,929
Households
1,162
Employment
445

3,049
1,267
453

2,896
1,261
451

2,798
1,263
418

2,741
1,275
417

2,640
1,262
423

2,537
1,254
439

-392
92
-6

-13.4%
7.9%
-1.3%

Grosse Pointe Park


Population
Households
Employment

54 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Grosse Pointe Woods


Population
Households
Employment

16,135
6,416
5,337

15,965
6,592
5,415

15,357
6,592
5,417

14,889
6,536
5,486

14,780
6,559
5,709

14,336
6,460
5,802

14,127
6,487
5,961

-2,008
71
624

-12.4%
1.1%
11.7%

Hamtramck
Population
Households
Employment

22,423
7,063
3,083

22,254
7,133
3,083

21,665
7,115
3,107

21,243
7,092
3,153

20,432
7,047
3,149

19,750
6,909
3,198

18,443
6,821
3,306

-3,980
-242
223

-17.7%
-3.4%
7.2%

Harper Woods
Population
Households
Employment

14,236
5,814
3,842

13,868
5,746
3,881

13,513
5,681
3,929

13,045
5,628
3,993

13,038
5,628
4,040

13,026
5,574
4,155

13,044
5,512
4,086

-1,192
-302
244

-8.4%
-5.2%
6.4%

Highland Park
Population
Households
Employment

11,776
4,645
5,696

9,698
4,317
5,711

9,105
4,013
5,792

8,816
4,041
5,946

8,650
3,933
5,899

8,503
3,771
5,855

7,998
3,602
5,742

-3,778
-1,043
46

-32.1%
-22.5%
0.8%

Huron Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

15,879
5,781
2,571

15,936
6,030
2,584

15,381
6,072
2,593

14,886
6,081
2,650

14,758
6,121
2,679

14,878
6,090
2,695

14,884
6,042
2,775

-995
261
204

-6.3%
4.5%
7.9%

Inkster
Population
Households
Employment

25,369
9,821
3,596

23,806
9,644
3,621

22,673
9,599
3,623

22,018
9,589
3,695

21,596
9,536
3,728

21,450
9,397
3,752

20,612
9,139
3,765

-4,757
-682
169

-18.8%
-6.9%
4.7%

Lincoln Park
Population
Households
Employment

38,144
14,924
6,438

36,422
14,861
6,568

35,367
14,832
6,536

34,813
14,836
6,532

34,408
14,743
6,564

34,180
14,573
6,647

34,020
14,463
6,645

-4,124
-461
207

-10.8%
-3.1%
3.2%

Livonia
Population
Households
Employment

96,942
38,714
91,102

96,589
39,088
93,958

95,234
39,252
94,817

94,006
39,446
95,606

92,816
39,223
96,041

92,643
38,952
96,669

92,353
38,703
96,571

-4,589
-11
5,469

-4.7%
0.0%
6.0%

55 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

10,715
4,420
2,584

10,579
4,470
2,618

10,445
4,494
2,596

10,548
4,531
2,622

10,575
4,488
2,657

10,412
4,396
2,618

10,317
4,349
2,612

-398
-71
28

-3.7%
-1.6%
1.1%

2,739
1,275
2,464

2,570
1,238
2,485

2,518
1,245
2,483

2,446
1,233
2,503

2,357
1,205
2,552

2,332
1,193
2,638

2,360
1,179
2,691

-379
-96
227

-13.8%
-7.5%
9.2%

28,497
11,520
5,529

28,874
12,233
5,651

28,606
12,268
5,732

28,653
12,273
5,789

28,596
12,280
5,876

28,368
12,212
6,009

28,204
12,102
6,191

-293
582
662

-1.0%
5.1%
12.0%

9,132
4,314
8,396

8,940
4,432
8,661

8,837
4,438
8,790

8,718
4,469
9,011

8,594
4,465
9,042

8,520
4,412
9,062

8,369
4,345
9,142

-763
31
746

-8.4%
0.7%
8.9%

Plymouth Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

27,524
11,203
20,980

27,684
11,432
21,713

27,744
11,578
22,155

28,075
11,585
22,028

28,186
11,548
21,826

28,081
11,438
22,001

28,170
11,400
22,086

646
197
1,106

2.3%
1.8%
5.3%

Redford Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

48,362
19,148
11,053

46,800
19,179
11,098

45,639
19,187
11,314

44,386
19,131
11,437

43,779
18,956
11,602

43,418
18,849
11,652

42,583
18,647
11,526

-5,779
-501
473

-11.9%
-2.6%
4.3%

River Rouge
Population
Households
Employment

7,903
2,897
826

6,830
2,657
791

6,443
2,588
771

6,283
2,577
739

6,189
2,523
723

5,990
2,444
713

5,807
2,364
697

-2,096
-533
-129

-26.5%
-18.4%
-15.6%

Riverview
Population
Households
Employment

12,486
5,163
4,534

12,155
5,049
4,551

11,836
5,011
4,534

11,335
4,990
4,631

11,380
4,931
4,746

11,190
4,878
4,935

11,019
4,794
4,927

-1,467
-369
393

-11.7%
-7.1%
8.7%

Melvindale
Population
Households
Employment
Northville (Wayne)
Population
Households
Employment
Northville Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

Plymouth
Population
Households
Employment

56 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Rockwood
Population
Households
Employment

3,289
1,295
744

3,375
1,371
758

3,338
1,397
766

3,272
1,406
739

3,208
1,416
780

3,179
1,403
746

3,246
1,404
736

-43
109
-8

-1.3%
8.4%
-1.1%

Romulus
Population
Households
Employment

23,989
8,975
36,326

22,465
8,910
37,396

22,408
9,261
37,380

22,236
9,391
37,783

22,280
9,511
38,016

22,455
9,583
38,616

22,685
9,738
39,268

-1,304
763
2,942

-5.4%
8.5%
8.1%

Southgate
Population
Households
Employment

30,047
13,062
12,155

29,642
13,188
12,182

29,125
13,165
12,327

28,522
13,121
12,491

28,571
13,172
12,733

28,581
12,988
13,070

28,768
12,932
13,237

-1,279
-130
1,082

-4.3%
-1.0%
8.9%

9,549
3,513
605

10,360
3,951
626

10,796
4,296
649

10,697
4,335
654

10,794
4,424
676

10,749
4,426
667

10,723
4,441
638

1,174
928
33

12.3%
26.4%
5.5%

Taylor
Population
Households
Employment

63,131
24,370
29,316

59,985
24,449
29,767

57,980
24,776
29,682

56,678
24,872
30,113

56,312
24,823
30,614

56,015
24,581
30,809

55,703
24,434
30,908

-7,428
64
1,592

-11.8%
0.3%
5.4%

Trenton
Population
Households
Employment

18,853
7,988
7,408

18,922
8,204
7,485

18,685
8,205
7,585

18,645
8,165
7,579

18,713
8,189
7,804

18,740
8,135
7,831

18,647
8,069
7,918

-206
81
510

-1.1%
1.0%
6.9%

Van Buren Twp.


Population
Households
Employment

28,821
11,821
11,789

31,202
12,571
12,791

31,195
12,803
12,592

31,046
12,970
12,508

30,789
13,057
12,633

30,722
12,913
12,670

30,265
12,743
12,753

1,444
922
964

5.0%
7.8%
8.2%

Wayne
Population
Households
Employment

17,593
7,055
13,329

17,213
7,104
13,769

16,948
7,129
13,955

16,688
7,172
13,655

16,578
7,171
13,611

16,525
7,107
13,509

16,250
7,025
13,384

-1,343
-30
55

-7.6%
-0.4%
0.4%

Sumpter Twp.
Population
Households
Employment

57 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

2040 Forecast by Community for Wayne County


Change 2010-40
Number
Percent

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

Westland
Population
Households
Employment

84,094
35,886
22,083

84,058
36,188
22,450

81,967
36,271
22,625

80,928
36,087
22,889

79,024
35,856
23,243

77,313
35,630
23,715

78,602
35,482
24,075

-5,492
-404
1,992

-6.5%
-1.1%
9.0%

Woodhaven
Population
Households
Employment

12,875
5,159
6,508

13,003
5,326
6,398

13,026
5,288
6,391

12,839
5,299
6,419

12,400
5,291
6,309

12,549
5,307
6,251

12,476
5,217
6,191

-399
58
-317

-3.1%
1.1%
-4.9%

Wyandotte
Population
Households
Employment

25,883
10,991
10,300

24,851
10,871
10,597

24,189
10,808
10,715

23,291
10,743
10,702

22,880
10,809
10,753

22,787
10,657
10,846

23,547
10,561
10,804

-2,336
-430
504

-9.0%
-3.9%
4.9%

58 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

. . . Creating Success in Southeast Michigan


Southeast Michigan Council of Governments 535 Griswold Street Suite 300 Detroit, Michigan 48226 (313) 961-4266 Fax (313) 961-4869
www.semcog.org

Notes and Definitions


1) All data is source SEMCOG 2040 Forecast, with the exception of 2010 Population and
Household numbers, which are from the 2010 Census.
2) Job numbers are by place-of-work. They include wage and salary jobs as well as selfemployed, Farm and Military jobs.
3) At the sub-regional level, SEMCOG blocked the employment numbers, denoted by the letter
C, for communities that did not meet minimal publishing conditions in order to keep local
establishments confidential. These conditions follow the rule, set up by Michigan law and the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, that no numbers may be published if a cell contains: 1) fewer
than three firms, or 2) a firm with 80 percent or more of that cells employment.

Employment Sector Definitions


SEMCOG created nine industrial sectors for which employment can be classified. The industrial
sectors are built from the North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) and are
grouped by similar economic and land use activities. The first eight sectors consist of jobs that
fall under private ownership, while the last sector (Government) includes all jobs that fall under
governmental ownership. Each sector is described in more detail:
1) Natural Resources, Mining, & Construction This sector comprises activities such as
agricultural production and support activities; mining natural resources; and
construction of buildings and infrastructure. This sector is built upon NAICS Sectors: 11,
21, and 23.
2) Manufacturing Covers all manufacturing activities including the production of durable
and nondurable goods. This sector is built upon NAICS Sectors 31-33.
3) Wholesale Trade, Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities This sector includes the
wholesaling of merchandise; the transportation of people and goods; storage; and the
provision of utility services. This sector is built upon NAICS sectors: 22, 42, 48, and 49.
4) Retail Trade Covers all retail activity, where goods are sold to the general public. This
sector is built upon NAICS Sectors 44 and 45.
5) Knowledge-based Services Built upon the following NAICS sectors: Information;
Finance and Insurance; Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing; Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services; and Management of Companies and Enterprises. Most of these jobs

59 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

are for employers engaged in export-oriented services and require a college degree at
minimum. The codes for the NAICS Sectors are: 51, 52, 53, 54, and 55.
6) Services to Households & Firms This sector comprises employers who provide support
services to firms and general services to households. It is built upon two NAICS sectors:
Administrative, Support, and Waste Management and Remediation Services; and Other
Services (except Public Administration). The codes for the NAICS sectors are 56 and 81.
7) Private Education & Healthcare Comprises employers who provide private education
for all age groups (K-12 and post secondary), as well as, private healthcare, including
hospitals, medical centers, and nursing homes. This sector is built upon NAICS codes 61
and 62.
8) Leisure & Hospitality Includes all employers who provide arts, entertainment and
recreational services. Also includes employers who provide lodging and eating and
drinking services. This sector is built upon NAICS codes 71 and 72.
9) Government Consists of all government-provided services at all levels (federal, state,
and local). This sector includes services like: public administration, public education (K12 and post secondary), and public health. There are no NAICS codes associated with
this sector.

60 - Southeast Michigan 2040 Forecast Summary

SEMCOG Officers
2011-2012
John A. Scott
Chairperson
Commissioner,
Oakland County
Gretchen Driskell
Vice Chairperson
Mayor,
City of Saline
Joan Gebhardt
Vice Chairperson
Trustee,
Schoolcraft College
Charles Pugh
Vice Chairperson
Council President,
City of Detroit
Michael Sedlak
Vice Chairperson
Clerk,
Green Oak Township
Kathy D. Vosburg
Vice Chairperson
Board of Commissioners Chair,
Macomb County
Robert J. Cannon
Immediate Past Chair
Supervisor,
Clinton Township
Paul E. Tait
Executive Director

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