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Contents
An Overview of Indian NBFC Industry ..................................................................................................... 1 Classification of Indian NBFCs ......................................................................................................... 2 Key players ...................................................................................................................................... 2 Key Growth Drivers ............................................................................................................................. 3 Performance of key industry segments .............................................................................................. 3 Indian automobile industry............................................................................................................. 3 Indian tractor industry .................................................................................................................... 4 Construction equipment ................................................................................................................. 4 Housing finance............................................................................................................................... 4 Gold loans ....................................................................................................................................... 4 Regulatory landscape .......................................................................................................................... 4 Usha Thorat Committee recommendations ................................................................................... 5 Effects of recommendations on the industry ................................................................................. 5 Opportunities ...................................................................................................................................... 5 Financial inclusion ........................................................................................................................... 5 Vehicle financing ............................................................................................................................. 6 SME financing.................................................................................................................................. 6 Housing finance............................................................................................................................... 6 Challenges ........................................................................................................................................... 6 Future prospects ................................................................................................................................. 7
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Key players
Shriram Transport Finance Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Corporations Magma Finance Bajaj Finserv Religare Enterprises LIC Housing Finance Muthoot Finance Manappuram Finance JM Finance
In Financial Year 2013, the lowest growth of the Indian economy (GDP growth 5%) affected the NBFC industry as well. The industrys retail credit projects 17% growth in FY 2013, compared to 32% in 2012 (Source: CARE). The key industry segments (construction equipment, commercial vehicle and gold) which constitute around 56% of total retail credit, witnessed moderate growth. Nevertheless, the industrys long-term outlook remains stable. The major NBFCs maintain a strong buffer against expected credit quality pressures.
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Flourishing consumer credit market (Indian consumer market to grow by 67% from 2013 to 2020)**
Supporting Government initiatives, such as the National Rural Financial Inclusion Plan
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Construction equipment
Owing to the slow infrastructural investments, slow growth in agriculture and various regulatory hurdles, the construction equipment industry is expected to witness around 12-15% decline in volumes in FY 2013. However, construction activity in the private sector may revive during the latter half of FY 2014, supported by a proactive policy environment. Besides, the prevailing large demand-supply gap in the domestic power sector and the need for basic infrastructure are expected to drive the construction equipment segment. (Source: ICRA)
Housing finance
Indias housing finance market projects an estimated growth of 20%, reaching a size of Rs. 1.25-1.3 trillion by the end of 2013. However, the housing finance market may witness increasing number of bad loans as greater competition forces lenders into stepping up volume to maintain profit. (Source: National Housing Bank)
Gold loans
The steady growth of gold loans market is one of the key contributors of retail NBFC growth. The Rs. 1 trillion gold market projected a 10-12% growth in FY 2013. However, the Reserve Bank of India had introduced stringent regulatory norms and restricted the Loan to Value ratio of gold loan NBFCs at 60%. The regulation curtails the availability of gold loans, which may impact the trade volume of the segment.
Regulatory landscape
Indian NBFCs operate under stringent guidelines. In fiscal 2013, RBI introduced new guidelines on securitisation and Priority Sector Lending, incorporating recommendations of MV Nair Committee. The revised Guidelines recommend: Interest spread cap of 8% is higher than the original recommendation of 6% No cap on the amount, which banks can buy through this route
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Opportunities
Financial inclusion
Despite the enhanced financial awareness in rural India in recent times, it has a long way to go. According to Census 2011, rural India: Covers 38% of total pan-India bank branches (32,000 branches) Offers bank access to 39% population Constitutes 9% in total deposits, 7% in total credit, 10% in life insurance and 0.6% in non-life insurance business
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Indias Government has focused on financial inclusion to provide credit facilities and other government-sponsored benefits to the rural population, which catalyses the industrys growth opportunities.
Vehicle financing
In the last five years, Commercial Vehicles (CV) loan disbursements grew by around 10% per annum owing to the growing CV sales. Moving forward, the focus of market players to drive sales and enhanced vehicle financing will augur well for the segment. However, finance penetration in this segment was impacted during the year due to the economic volatility and weak sentiment of financiers. Nevertheless, steady growth in vehicle demand and increase in finance penetration is expected to drive the CV finance industry over the next five years. By 2016-17, vehicle financing penetration levels will reach 74% for cars and 66% for UVs, following moderation in interest rates and alleviation of credit risks. These factors are expected to accelerate the vehicle finance industry growth by 18-20%, reaching Rs. 1,150 Billion in 2016-17. (Source: CRISIL)
SME financing
Despite considerable growth over the past few years, Indias Small and Medium enterprises (SMEs) often lack access to timely and adequate credit to meet working capital requirements. A majority (92.77%) of Indias SMEs lack access to finance, while only 5.18% avail finance from institutional sources (Source: YES Bank). Hence, the sector has immense potential to fuel industry growth.
Housing finance
The 12th Five Year Plan (2013-17) estimates a housing shortage of over 40 Million, especially in rural India (Source: Planning Commission). Several schemes introduced by the National Housing Bank and the Government of India to bridge the housing demand-supply gap will help the industry to grow. The housing demand is further magnified by: A favourable demographic profile (65% of the population is below 35 years) Growing family nuclearisation, leading to higher housing demand Enhanced affordability
By 2015, the home loan portfolio of finance companies is expected to reach Rs. 3,116 Billion.
Challenges
An overall sluggish economy, combined with declined automobile demand, project moderate growth of the industry in the coming years. The industry witnessed standardised products with similar payment terms and low processing fees in the wake of enhanced competition. The economic slowdown can raise the delinquency rate and enhance credit costs.
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The adverse operating environment around the Heavy and Medium Commercial Vehicles and Construction Equipment (CE) segments will keep asset quality under pressure. It may increase the aggregate gross NPA (NPA 180 days overdue) ratio of the key NBFCs to 2.7%-3.0% in 2013 from 2.1% in FY 2012. Unlike banks, NBFCs depend on non-retail borrowing. The regulatory requirements may restrict the banks to fund the NBFC sector. A tight liquidity condition will further increase costs of funds for the industry. (Source: India Ratings)
Future prospects
Global economic volatility, weak investor sentiment and increased competitions significantly affected the growth of Indian NBFCs. However, the long-term growth of the industry remains steady, owing to the expected revival of the key contributor industries. Moving forward, the NBFCs have to focus on their core strengths while improving on weaknesses. They will have to be very dynamic and constantly endeavour to search for new products and services in order to survive in this competitive financial market.
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