Back issues of BCAS publications published on this site are
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other graphics that appear in articles are expressly not to be reproduced other than for personal use. All rights reserved. CONTENTS Vol. 11, No. 1: JanuaryMarch 1979 Stephen Heder - Kampucheas Armed Struggle: The Origins of an Independent Revolution Jack Colhoun - The Tet Offensive / A Review Essay Baljit Malik - I Want to Live / Cinema Review Norman Peagam - Tongpan / Cinema Review Baljit Malik - Tongpan / Cinema Review Pierre Brocheux - To Each His/Her Own Vietnam / A Review Essay Shibata Tokue - Urbanization in Japan James Robinson - The Problem of Balanced Economic Growth in Developing Societies / A Review Essay Charles P.Cell - Deurbanization in China: The Urban-Rural Contradiction BCAS/Critical AsianStudies www.bcasnet.org CCAS Statement of Purpose Critical Asian Studies continues to be inspired by the statement of purpose formulated in 1969 by its parent organization, the Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars (CCAS). CCAS ceased to exist as an organization in 1979, but the BCAS board decided in 1993 that the CCAS Statement of Purpose should be published in our journal at least once a year. We first came together in opposition to the brutal aggression of the United States in Vietnam and to the complicity or silence of our profession with regard to that policy. Those in the field of Asian studies bear responsibility for the consequences of their research and the political posture of their profession. We are concerned about the present unwillingness of specialists to speak out against the implications of an Asian policy committed to en- suring American domination of much of Asia. We reject the le- gitimacy of this aim, and attempt to change this policy. We recognize that the present structure of the profession has often perverted scholarship and alienated many people in the field. The Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars seeks to develop a humane and knowledgeable understanding of Asian societies and their efforts to maintain cultural integrity and to confront such problems as poverty, oppression, and imperialism. We real- ize that to be students of other peoples, we must first understand our relations to them. CCAS wishes to create alternatives to the prevailing trends in scholarship on Asia, which too often spring from a parochial cultural perspective and serve selfish interests and expansion- ism. Our organization is designed to function as a catalyst, a communications network for both Asian and Western scholars, a provider of central resources for local chapters, and a commu- nity for the development of anti-imperialist research. Passed, 2830 March 1969 Boston, Massachusetts Vol. 11, No. I/Jan.-Mar. 1979 Contents Stephen Heder 2 Appendix 24 Jack Colhoun 25 Baljit Malik 30 Norman Peagam 32 Baljit Malik 36 Pierre Brocheux 38 Appendix 42 Tokue Shibata 44 James Robinson 58 Charles P. Cell 62 We dedicate this issue of the Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars to Malcolm Caldwell who was shot and killed in Phnom Penh on December 23, 1978. We mourn his death and grieve for his family. An essay evaluating the life and scholarship of Malcolm will appear in a forthcoming issue of the Bulletin. Address all correspondence to: BCAS, P.O. Box W Charlemont, MA 01339 The Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars is published quar terly. Second class postage paid at Shelburne Falls, MA 01370. Publisher: Bryant Avery. Copyright by Bulletin of Con cerned Asian Scholars, Inc., 1979. ISSN No. 0007-4810. Typesetting: Archetype (Berkeley, CA). Printing: Valley Print ing Co. (West Springfield, MA). Postmaster: Send Form 3579 to BCAS, Box W, Charlemont, MA01339. Kampuchea's Anned Struggle; The Origins of an Independent Revolution. Vietnamese letter, 1967. The Tet Offensive/a review essay. "I Want to Live"/ a cinema review. "Tongpan"/a cinema review. "Tongpan" /a cinema review. To Each His/Her Own Vietnam/a review essay. Statement by Japanese Economists. Urbanization in Japan. The Problem of Balanced Economic Growth in Developing Societies/a review essay. Deurbanization in China; The Urban-Rural Contradiction. Contributors Pierre Brocheux is a French scholar of Vietnamese history. Charles Cell is a professor of Sociology, University of Wisconsin. Jack Colhoun, former editor of AMEX-Canada, now lives in Washington, D.C. Stephen Heder, now studying at Cornell University, was a reporter in Kampuchea. Baljit Malik is an Indian writer who recently lived in Thailand. Norman Peagam was a reporter for the Far Eastern Economic Review, but he now lives in London. James Robinson teaches at Empire State College (SUNY), Old Westbury, New York. Tokue Shibata is the Director of the Tokyo Metropolitan Re search Institute for Environmental Pollution. Kampuchea's Armed Struggle The Origins of an Independent Revolution by Stephen Heder In early 1930, on the initiative of Ho Chi Minh, the Vietnam Communist Party was founded. Later in that same year, the Party's name was changed to the Indochinese Communist Party on the advice of the Comintern. Vietnamese Communists thus took up the task of organizing a communist movement in Kampuchea (Cambodia). Before the end of World War II, however, little organizational work was carried out in "Kampuchea, and most-perhaps all-of this waS among overseas Vietnamese resident there. After 1945, Communists were much more active in their Kampuchea oriented efforts. Operating through liaison organs both in Thailand (until the right-wing military coup there in 1947) and southern Vietnam, as well as through cadres sent into Kampuchea itself, they encouraged, encadred and then attempted to establish Communist hegemony over the movement for independence that was developing there. 1 Although the movement they supported gave the French a good deal of trouble, the Vietnamese were not completely successful in consolidating a communist movement or communist leadership of the independence movement in Kampuchea. The Vietnamese-supported resistance groups were fragmented geographically, with apparent tendencies toward factionalism and regional warlordism, and faced credible competition from right-wing maquisards and then-King Norodom Sihanouk for popular recognition as the leader of the struggle for Kampuchean national independence. More over, the Khmer People's Party (KPP), which was founded in September 1951 as a result of the Vietnamese decision to split the Indochinese Communist Party into three national Parties, never achieved the status of a Communist Party or genuine independence from the Vietnam Workers' Party (which succeeded the Indochinese Communist Party in Vietnam). ThuS; according to VWP documents, the KPP was "not a vanguard party of the working class," but rather, "the vanguard party of the nation gathering together all the patriotic and progressive elements of the Khmer population,,,2 and, the Vietnamese Party reserved "the right [sic]- to supervise! the activities of its brother parties in Kampuchea and Laos.,,3 That there were still serious problems within this semi independent proto-Party was demonstrated in 1953, when its leader, Sieu Heng, defected to the French. The KPP suffered another blow at the Geneva Conference in 1954 when the Vietnamese delegation, acceding to pressure from the Soviet Union and China, failed to win 2 . This and other essays in this issue of the Bulletin were originally intended as part of the special tenth an niversary issue. As Volume /0, No.4 (1978) grew in size-and in the end it was our longest issue since 1971 we were forced to postpone publication of some of the accepted materials. Meanwhile, historic events have occurred in Asia, and most especially in Southeast Asia. Although comp leted and typeset in the fall of 1978, Stephen Heder's analysis of the long-standing difficulties between Kam puchea (Cambodia) and Vietnam (and China as well) remains important and insightful. The Editors either international recognition of the legitimacy of the KPP's resistance government or a regroupment zone for its forces within Kampuchea. On Vietnamese advice, many leaders of the KPP took refuge in northern Vietnam after Geneva, while the leaders and cadres who stayed behind turned to almost total reliance upon urban-oriented legal and political (i.e., unarmed) struggle in the parliament and the press to protect the interests of revolution in Kampuchea. Although the most important cadres of the KPP remained either in Hanoi or underground, a large number of important cadres went public and formed the Peoples' Group (Krom Pracheachon) political party and set up a number of newspapers and journals. As in southern Vietnam, where similar tactics were adopted to pressure for the elections promised at Geneva, this line of action had disastrous results. Effectively blocked from parliamentary activity by Sihanouk's electoral machinery, and subject to arbitrary arrest, closure of publications and even assassination, the in-country elements of the KPP leadership were decimated. In the countryside, Sihanouk's police, with advice and material aid from the United States, were similarly able to destroy the KPP infrastructure. By the end of the 1950s, 90 percent of that infrastructure had been neutralized in one way or another. 4 It was under these circumstances, and in the context of an Indochina-wide shift in Communist tactics in response to United States-supported repression, that the Communist Party of Kampuchea was founded in September 1960. The leadership of this Party was drawn from two sources: first, from among surviving members of the old Indochinese Communist Party and the Khmer Peoples' Party; and, second, from among Kampucheans who had gone to France as students after World War II, become radicalized and returned to Kampuchea with hopes of making revolution in their native country. Included in the first group, whose feelings toward the Vietnamese were probably often as bitter as they were comradely, were Touch Samouth, who had taken over the KPP in 1953 after Sieu Heng's defection, and, evidently, Nuon Chea, a lower-ranking cadre, who had been in charge of Communist organizational work among urban workers since 1954. Included in the second group were Saloth Sar (later Pol Pot), who returned to Kampuchea in 1953 to join the maquis, Ieng Sary, who returned in 1957, Son Sen, who returned in 1956, and Khieu Samphan, who returned in 1959. The newly founded CPK was headed by Touch Samouth and adopted a long-term revolutionary line that added armed self-defense to political struggle. This armed self-defense took the form of the establishment in 1961 of clandestine armed groups who acted as bodyguards for Party cadres. These clandestine guards were, however, insufficient to prevent a new wave of arrests and assassinations of Communists in 1961-62, the most important of which was the unpublicized liquidation of Touch Samouth by Sihanouk's police. s This killing had a double effect: first, it severed the most important remaining personal link between the CPK and the old ICP and catapulted the most influential of the returned students-Pol Pot-into the position of party leadership; second, it increased the surviving CPK leadership's skepticism regarding the possibility of working with the Sihanouk regime. This skepticism complicated the CPK's relations with the VWP because, since the late 1950s, state-to-state relations between Sihanouk's regime and the Democratic Republic of Vietnam had been improving, and the VWP had evidently come to believe that it should be part of the CPK's task to employ united front tactics to encourage this trend and to keep Sihanouk out of the American camp. Similar strains complicated the CPK's relations with China, because the People's Republic had also been cultivating the Sihanouk regime with hopes of deepening its commitment to an effectively anti-United States neutrality. 6 The events of early 1963 in Kampuchea compounded the CPK's skepticism concerning the wisdom of forming a united front with Sihanouk with skepticism concerning the feasibility of continued primary emphasis on legal and urban-organizing activities. The Party's most important legal cadre, Khieu Samphan, and an associate, Hou Youn, were being hounded from their cabinet posts by rightist criticism. Strikes in state-owned enterprises and student rioting against the Sihanouk regime in the provincial capital of Siem Reap had resulted in an escalation of repressive threats and the exposure of leading CPK cadres, including Pol Pot, to public criticism by Sihanouk, which many felt was a prelude to imprisonment or worse. These events probably contributed to the CPK's decision, presumably taken at its Second National Congress, held sometime in 1963, to send 90 percent of the membership of the Party Centr.J Committee to the countryside. 7 There they began to direct the organization of peasant opposition to the Sihanouk regime. Thus, around the same time that Khieu Samphan and Hou Y oun were forced from their cabinet posts, Pol Pot, Ieng Sary and Son Sen left Phnom Penh for the rural areas. 8 Pol Pot and Ieng Sary9 traveled to Kampuchea's most remote zone, the far Northeast, where the sparse population was composed mostly of impoverished hill peoples, more or less distinct from the majority Khmer population of Kampuchea, who had for some time been the victims of heavy-handed and chauvinistic treatment by the Sihanouk regime. 10 Other CPK Central Committee members probably went to other remote regions of Kampuchea. The CPK's decision to move into the countryside was not based simply on the increasing futility of legal and underground work in Phnom Penh and other urban areas. According to the CPK analysis of the situation, Kampuchea not only could not depend on Sihanouk to prevent an [T] he events of 1967-68 are the key ... Before this period, although the CPK had apparently acted against the advice, explicit or implicit, of both the VWP and the CCP in its establishment of an anti-Sihanouk line, the Kampucheans had not declared total war on the Siha nouk regime and Kampuchean territory had been a place of refuge, not an almost irreplaceable sanctuary and con duit of supplies, for the Vietnamese. But in 1967, as the Kampuchean peasantry went into rebellion and Sihanouk moved to eliminate the left entirely in the cities and be came a captive of the right, and as the Vietnamese pre pared for the Tet offensive, with its sanctuary and sup ply needs, most of the remaining elements of the CPK's and VWP's international proletarian feelings for one an other were crushed between Sihanouk's anti-communism and his anti-Americanism and anti-Thieuism. American takeover of the country, his anti-communism, by destroying the most resolutely anti-imperialist forces, would bring about such a takeover. His anti-imperialism, which was in the CPK view shaky, was not only clearly opposed by important elements in the Reastt Sangkum Niyum, his political organization (hereafter referred to as Sangkum), but also his anti-communism would tend in the end to strengthen those elements. To draw near to Sihanouk and his regime in order to cooperate with his anti-imperialism was to invite destruction of the CPK and thus to invite a victory for imperialism. Sihanouk's external anti-imperialism did not coincide with tolerance for internal communism. In no small part, Sihanouk's anti-imperialism was an artifact, a product of Kampuchea's position between the pro-American regimes in Bangkok and Saigon, both of which threatened Kampuchea's territorial integrity. If anything, Sihanouk's "progressive" foreign policy was inversely related to his willingness to 3 cooperate with domestic communists, and consciously so. The CPK believed it had to draw away from Sihanouk in order to survive. It believed that it had to survive in order to organize strong anti-imperialist forces among the Kampuchean people that would oppose the elements that Sihanouk's domestic policies were strengthening. It believed that in Kampuchea "the people" meant the peasantry. Therefore -the CPK had to go into the countryside and meet peasant grievances against the Sihanouk regime not only because of the un viable situation in the cities, but also in order to fight imperialism, even if this meant abandoning certain opportunities to cooperate directly with Sihanouk's anti-imperialism in the immediate circumstances. 11 It is now clear that the Vietnamese had misgivings about the CPK's decision to devote almost all of its energies t ~ organizing and mobilizing peasant opposition to the Sihanouk regime and about the CPK's analysis of the situation. 12 The Vietnamese had begun a new campaign to improve relations with Sihanouk in May 1963 by recognizing Kampuchean sovereignty over islands in the Gulf of Siam claimed by the Diem regime. 13 The Vietnamese apparently felt that the CPK's choice of intensive rural organizing activities, which Sihanouk could easily blame on "Vietnamese communist" subversion, could undermine this campaign, which was no doubt considered essential for encouraging Sihanouk's anti Americanism and anti-Diemism, and thus for protecting the flank of the struggle to liberate South Vietnam. The Vietnamese probably believed that the CPK should not and need not go so far in giving up on Sihanouk, but rather should attempt to simultaneously support and exploit his anti imperialism in order to simultaneously protect the flank of South Vietnam and take advantage of opportunities to build up the CPK through united front activities. They probably believed that the successes of their diplomatic campaign to integrate Sihanouk into the anti-imperialist camp were creating opportunities for the CPK to engage in united front activities that would allow it to build up its forces relatively safely and easily, and were probably disturbed when the CPK refused to attempt to take advantage of these opportunities and instead engaged in "adventurist" and "provocative" activities in the countryside. The CPK's position probably did not please the Chinese, either, for similar, if less imrrediate reasons. In 1963, Chinese foreign policy held that the anti-imperialist forces in the Third World included "not only workers, peasants, intellectuals, and petty bourgeoisie, [they) also include the patriotic national bourgeoisie and even a segment of the patriotic kings, princes, and aristocrats. ,,14 Chinese policy in practice tended to overlook the internal character of individual governments, and instead to emphasize their anti-imperialist convictions. 15 Kampuchea at this point was probably considered a very important addition to Peking's international united front against American imperialism. Thus, in May 1963, then Chinese President Liu Shaoqi had visited Kampuchea to endorse China's friendship with Sihanouk. In return, Sihanouk supported China's admission to the United Nations. 16 Moreover, the previous month, while on a similar friendship visit to Burma, Liu had attempted to bring about a rapprochement between the Rangoon regime and the Communist Party of Burma. He reportedly urged the CPB to de-escalate its struggle against Ne Win, and follow the "path of India," that is, the path of peaceful transition to power. This episode was later the source of much bitter commentary by the CPB. 17 It is likely that Liu's attitude toward the CPK's struggle against Sihanouk was similar and that it produced similar bitterness within the CPK. Liu, and the Chinese foreign policy establishment as a whole, probably felt, like the Vietnamese, that while the decision to build up the CPK in the countryside was generally correct, the Party should not so nearly abandon all efforts to build up anti-imperialist, united-front organizations to support Sihanouk, that it should try harder to make the best of opportunities created by Sihanouk's anti-imperialism to build up Party strength, that it should give more consideration to working with Sihanouk to keep the Americans out of Kampuchea, which would protect socialist Vietnam and socialist China. It is now clear that the Vietnamese had misgivings about the CPK's decision to devote almost all of its energies to organizing and mobilizing peasant opposition to the Siha nouk regime and about the CPK's analysis of the situa tion. 12 The Vietnamese had begun a new campaign to improve relations with Sihanouk in May 1963 ... [and) apparently felt that the CPK's choice of intensive rural organizing activities, which Sihanouk could easily blame on "Vietnamese communist" subversion, could under mine this campaign, which was no doubt considered es sential for encouraging Sihanouk's anti-Americanism and anti-Diemism, and thus for protecting the flank of the struggle to liberate South Vietnam. Vietnamese and Chinese displeasure with the CPK's choice of tactics was probably, reinforced by Sihanouk's diplomatic moves in late 1963.ln"tugust h ~ severed ties with South Vietnam. More important, in November he renounced all American economic and military aid. 18 As Milton Osborne has noted, at the time, this decision came as a major surprise and was taken against the advice of Sihanouk's closest advisers, who favored precisely the opposite course. 19 It was naturally very well received in Hanoi and Peking, where it could only be interpreted as a step that would isolate the United States in Southeast Asia and encourage similar acts by other Third World nations. 2o The Chinese demonstrated their approval by their decision, in December 1963, to provide military aid to Kampuchea. 21 In fact the Chinese had already offered Sihanouk military aid in 1962, but he had apparently been reluctant to accept it for fear of United States retaliation. During early 1964, Chinese mortars, rocket launchers, trucks and automatic and other weapons began to reach Sihanouk's army. The Soviet Union, Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia also delivered weapons. This helped to take up some of the slack created by the elimination of United States military aid and 4 thus also to support, although not at the same level as in the past, the CPK's main domestic enemy.22 Although the CPK must have been glad to see the Americans gone, and although it could credibly be argued that unless China, the Soviet Union and other Eastern European nations provided arms, the Americans would soon be back, the CPK leadership may have felt that Communist support of Sihanouk's army was not an entirely friendly act. Both the Chinese and the Vietnamese, who in late 1963 were on very good terms with each other, 23 meanwhile might have liked to have seen the CPK reassess its analysis of the nature of the Sihanouk regime, perhaps basing this reassessment on the fact that Sihanouk had coupled his renunciation of American aid with economic reforms involving nationalization of the country's import-export trade, banking system and certain industries. 24 They probably would have preferred that the CPK at least modify its tactics of struggle against Sihanouk to allow more room for cooperation with him. Thus, Sihanouk's anti-Americanism became most pre cious to the Vietnamese at almost the same time that domestic political and economic developments in Kam puchea made the need to fight and, in the CPK's analy sis, the possibilities of fighting against Sihanouk's very real anti-communism most obvious to the Kampucheans. The contradiction between the VWP's needs in terms of liberating the South and the CPK's needs in terms of revolutionizing Kampuchea had become most acute. There is no evidence, however, that the CPK was impressed by Sihanouk's moves. Although it was no doubt pleased by Sihanouk's anti-Americanism, it did not slacken its work in the countryside or in any way change its tactical priorttles. Instead, the CPK apparently felt that its organizational activities in the countryside, as well as its residual underground and legal work in Phnom Penh, had helped to put pressure on Sihanouk in such a way that he was actually more likely, rather than less likely, to carry out anti-imperialist moves. 2S Indeed, Sihanouk's anti-imperialist moves can be seen as attempts to compensate for his waning popularity in domestic political terms, especially among the peasantry and especially among the urban leftists, communist and non-communist alike. By breaking with American aid and implementing a statist economic policy, Sihanouk may have hoped to appeal to the peasantry's suspicion of foreigners and distrust of the commercial rice export network and to neutralize left-wing pressure on his domestic policies from among urban intellectuals. 26 Moreover, however much Sihanouk's renunciation of American aid may have demon strated his anti-imperialism (and there is some evidence that initially it was partly a p l o y 2 ~ , its long-term effects were to intensify socio-economic problems and political polarization in Kampuchea, thus contributing to the development of a situation in which the CPK would have little choice but to further escalate its struggle against the Sihanouk regime. Thus, while in Vietnamese (and also Chinese) eyes, the renunciation of American aid may have meant that the CPK should try to be more flexible in searching for tactically expedient ways to cooperate with Sihanouk, its social, economic and political consequences in Kampuchea made any kind of cooperation more difficult, if not impossible. Thus, while the renunciation of American aid greatly reduced the possibilities that an American threat to the liberation struggle in South Vietnam would come from Kampuchean soil, and probably was seen by the Vietnamese and the Chinese as likely to make life easier for the CPK, over the long term it in fact had the effects, on the one hand, of reducing the standard of living of the peasantry and thus of en.couraging its rebelliousness, and, on the other hand, of alienating but not destroying the anti-Sihanouk, pro-American elements entrenched in the Sangkum and thus of encouraging their thoughts of a coup d'etat. As the peasantry grew more rebellious and the right-wing forces in the Sangkum more desperate, the CPK was drawn deeper into rural revolution and driven more completely from the cities. This process was quite independent of Sihanouk's foreign policies vis-a-vis China, Vietnam or the United States. Because the renunciation of American aid greatly reduced the amount of funds available to the Sihanouk regime both to balance its domestic budget and to pay for imports, the Phnom Penh governments after November 1963 struggled to increase Kampuchean export earnings, especially rice export earnings. One means of doing this was to lower the official price at which rice was purchased from the peasants. Thus, the average price offered to rice producers was reduced by 20 percent from 1963 to 1964. This reduction not only tended to lower peasant incomes; it contributed to the stagnation in rice production due to unprofitability that brought about a general economic crisis in the rural areas after 1963. It also encouraged smuggling and peasant reluctance to deal with agents of the government. 28 The rural economic and political situation drew the CPK deeper into involvement with peasant: grievances against the Sihanouk regime and improved its prospects for organizing peasants around the theme of land reform, which became a Party slogan in 1964. 29
Sihanouk's November i963 moves also hurt the army
and the urban elite. The anny lost the Arrierican funds that financed the salaries of officers and men. The flow of American arms and spare parts ceased. As noted above, subsequent provision of Chinese and Soviet (and also French) military aid did not completely make up for these losses. As the years rolled by, the army became increasingly ineffective and the army leadership increasingly frustrated and angry. The army's ineffectiveness no doubt made it easier for the CPK to continue its work in the countryside and thus aided its struggle. The army leadership's frustration and anger encouraged its dreams of a return of the Americans, which 5 might require a coup against Sihanouk. 3o The standard of living of most of the urban elite was also undermined by Sihanouk's reforms, which entailed austerity for most and ostentatious corruption for only a few who held down strategic posts in the statist economy. This created a social basis in the urban areas for a right-wing move against Sihanouk, the objectives of which would be to undo nationalization, to punish Sihanouk's corrupt entourage, to bring back the Americans, and to drive all leftists from legitimate political life. 31 In 1964, as the first effects of the renunciation of American aid began to be felt and as the CPK's organizing activities in the- countryside intensified, Sihanouk's relations with the United States deteriorated even further, mainly as a result of American and South Vietnamese attacks on Kampuchean border villages and the operations of CIA financed anti-Sihanouk guerrillas. American persistence in disregarding Kampuchea's appeal for a guarantee of its neutrality against all foreign threats, including Thai and South Vietnamese threats, also alienated Sihanouk. In these circumstances, Sihanouk's relations with China and the DRV, both of which consistently condemned attacks on Kampu chean border villages and supported most of Sihanouk's diplomatic initiatives, improved. 32 The anti-American drift of Kampuchean policies was especially clear near the end of the year. In September 1964, Sihanouk traveled to China. During this trip, Liu Shaoqi spoke of China as Kampuchea's "most trustworthy friend." While in China, Sihanouk also met with Pham Van Dong and representatives of the NLF. In October, China pledged additional military aid to Kampuchea. 33 In November, Sihanouk appealed to Vietnam and Laos to join Kampuchea in a conference to denounce United States policies in Southeast Asia. In December, an attempt to resolve American-Kampuchean differences collapsed in acrimony.34 In 1965, this process accelerated, and was, in a .sense, consummated. On March 2, 1965, as sustained American air strikes against North Vietnam commenced, Sihanouk opened the Indochinese Peoples' Conference in Phnom Penh. Although the Conference was not a total success from Sihanouk's point of view, it served to demonstrate his solidarity with the NLF and the Pathet Lao. The Conference's final communique demanded that the United States cease all its warlike activities and withdraw all its armed forces from Indochina. In May, after the United States troop build-up in South Vietnam had begun, Sihanouk severed diplomatic relations with the United States. 3S In June, he symbolized his support for Vietnam by handing over medical aid to the Commercial Representative of the DRV in Phnom Penh. In September, he repeated this symbolic gesture, this time by transferring similar aid to the "unofficial" NLF representation in Phnom Penh. 36 Relations with China also improved. In June 1965, China agreed to send military technicians to Kampuchea in addition to the material aid already being provided, the third shipment of which arrived in July. 37 From September 22 until October 4, Sihanouk visited China where he received a spectacular and warm welcome, was feted as China's principal guest at National Day celebrations on October 1, and received pledges of additional economic and military aid. During the trip, China emphasized the importance its foreign policy attached to the formation of a "broad anti-imperialist united front" on Vietnam that would exclude the Soviet Union. Sihanouk responded by adopting China's stance on all key issues: support for the four- and five-point programs of the NLF and Hanoi for a Vietnam settlement; opposition to the Soviet-American nuclear monopoly; support for China's inflexible line on Vietnam; opposition to Soviet participation at the upcoming Algiers conference (which the Chinese hoped would be a second Bandung composed of Asian and African nations only). The Chinese in turn responded with military and economic aid. Zhou Enlai urged that Sihanouk send a military aid team to Peking. After his return to Phnom Penh, Sihanouk dispatched General Lon Nol, then commander of the armed forces and long considered by the CPK as the most dangerous and vicious of Sihanouk's entourage, to fulfill the mission. In Peking in November, Lon Nol stated, In order to fight resolutely against the bullying, insults, intimidation, and aggression of u.s. imperialism, the people and the armed forces of Kampuchea ... are more determined than ever to carry out the struggle to the end, no matter what difficulties we will encounter. 38 On his return to Phnom Penh, Lon Nol reported to Sihanouk that the Chinese had offered to provide enough arms to outfit 20,000 men. These, together with previous Chinese deliveries, would have provided weapons for 49,000 men, or 19,000 more than the total manpower of the Kampuchean army at that time. In addition, the first Chinese jets were promised - three MIG 17s, compared with the five the Soviet Union had already shipped - as well as four transport planes and four trainer aircraft. Although the manpower expansion of Sihanouk's main tool for suppressing the CPK never took place, the planes were delivered and the offer itself demonstrated how far the Chinese were willing to go in supporting 39 Whether the rationale was Sihanouk's anti-Americanism or the need to pre-empt the Soviet Union, the implications for the CPK were not good. There was, however, very concrete CPK competition to Sihanouk's diplomacy. Sometime in summer 1965, Pol Pot and other leading CPK cadres traveled to Hanoi, where they reportedly spent "several months." They then went on to China. 4o In Hanoi, agreement was apparently reached that Vietnamese communist forces would be permitted to take refuge in zones under the control of the CPK. 41 The most significant of these zones were probably in the far Northeast. Kampuchean communists were apparently granted reciprocal privileges, that is, refuge for their forces in zones of South Vietnam under NLF contro1. 42 While in Hanoi, Pol Pot also meet with Kampuchean former ICP cadres who had been living and training in Vietnam since Geneva. Thereafter, some of these cadres began returning - whether or not at the CPK's request is not known - to Kampuchea. 43 Even if their return had been asked for by the CPK, they apparently soon generated trouble. The reason is probably that the CPK and VWP were still in disagreement over the question of the correct way to reconcile the contradictions between, on the 6 one hand, Vietnam's need to cultivate Sihanouk and maintain his diplomatic support in the struggle to liberate the South and, on the other hand, rhe needs of the CPK's struggle against the Sihanouk regime. In 1965, the Vietnamese had more reason than ever to feel strongly that the CPK should find some tactical way of effectively pursuing both the build-up of its forces and cooperation with Sihanouk in support of his foreign policy. It is likely that the ex-ICP Kampucheans who began to reappear in Kampuchea starting in 1965 for the most part shared this Vietnamese view. Whether or not they actually tried, as the present CPK leadership has charged, to create a rival Communist Party,44 it is not difficult to believe that their views were seen as at best incorrect and at worst traitorous by Pol Pot, Ieng Sary and Nuon Chea. Nothing is known about what transpired during Pol Pot's visit to China. It is likely, however, that the Chinese attitude toward the struggle tactics being pursued by the CPK was not much more favorable than that of the Vietnamese. In the same period in Burma and, up until the disastrous September October events, in Indonesia, the Chinese seemed to have preferred to support the activities of anti-imperialist states and to encourage arrangements that allowed a high level of cooperation between those states and local Communist Parties, rather than to encourage almost entirely underground struggles against those states by those Communist Parties. 45 China's willingness to receive Pol Pot in this period probably had more to do with Sino-Soviet rivalry-that is, with' cementirig ties to a Southeast Asian Communist Party that could be expected to be anti-Soviet - than with endorsing the CPK's anti-Sihanouk tactics. It may also have had to do with Chinese interest in cultivating the CPK leadership, or at least getting to know it, in the context of growing Sino-Vietnamese conflict. The Chinese must have known that the CPK's relations with the VWP were less than perfect, and now that the VWP was moving, in the wake of the commencement of American bombing and troop build-up, toward reliance on Soviet heavy weapons,46 at least exploratory talks with Pol Pot may have seemed like a highly prudent move. In this situation, the Chinese might have been tempted to encourage Pol Pot in his tactical differences with the VWP. However, even if there was such encouragement, the lavishness of the Chinese welcome for Sihanouk in September and October, and the promises of increased economic and military aid to his regime, demonstrated that China, like Vietnam, still placed a very high priority on maintaining good relations with Sihanouk, and that there were desiderata of China's world-wide foreign policy tactics that would continue to complicate relations with the CPK. Whatever was said to Pol Pot in Hanoi and Peking, events in Kampuchea after his return evolved in a direction that would have much more effect upon the CPK's strategy and tactics. In 1966, the opportunities for continuing the residual legal and urban elements of the combined armed and political struggle line adopted by the CPK in 1960, and modified somewhat in 1963, diminished. By 1966, Sihanouk began to turn strongly against the urban left, communist and non-communist. Although he continued to clash with right-wing elements in and out of the Sangkum, he manipulated the political situation so as to increase their power vis-v-vis the CPK's legal cadres and the left end of the Phnom Penh political spectrum in general. In August, he Liberation Books in Winnipeg, Manitoba, sells Bulletins... So do many other bookstores. But how about your favorite place for browsing and buying? Take this copy of the Bulletin with you and ask for the per son who is in charge of purchasing. Our terms: consignment, with a policy of full returns of un sold issues. Of course the bookstore takes a cut on any is sues that are sold. Three distribution agencies also handle the Bulletin: Carrier Pigeon in Boston, Lee Manning in New York, Guild in Chicago. 7 declared that he would not endorse candidates for the fourth National Assembly elections scheduled for September. This decision, despite later disclaimers, must have been consciously designed to give the advantage to well-to-do conservative candidates. In a campaign where the number of candidates who could run was not limited by the number who had Sihanouk's endorsement, and each constituency tended to have many more candidates than there were seats, the candidates able to disperse funds most liberally to voters and local voting officials, and to finance the greatest volume of fantastic campaign literature and propaganda, had the advantage. Thus, although Khieu Samphan and two other intellectuals associated with the CPK, and Hou Youn, quite handily (and in the face of open harassment by Sihanouk's officials and supporters), the Assembly elected in September 1966 was generally the most conservative in Kampuchea'S history. Commenting on the results of these elections, Milton Osborne concluded that, "If the right was not yet clearly in the saddle, it stood, at least, firmly on the mounting block." The extent of the move to the right was confirmed in the eyes of most leftists when General Lon Nol formed a government. Although the urban left was allowed to form a so-called Contre-Gouvernement, a kind of shadow cabinet, from which it was able to criticize Lon Nol and his government, its position in Phnom Penh was increasingly precarious. 47 While the anti-Sihanouk forces of the right grew restless in Phnom Penh,48 the worsening situation of elements of the Kampuchean peasantry was helping to generate unrest in the countryside. As noted earlier, after the cut-off of American aid in 1963, the Phnom Penh government had attempted to increase rice export earnings by reducing the price at which it bought rice from peasant producers. This had only exacerbated rural problems, and by early 1967 the rice export situation was desperate. 49 Ironically, the situation had been made even worse than it would have otherwise been as a result of illegal purchases of Kampuchean rice by the Vietnamese communists, who needed it to support their operations in South Vietnam. These purchases significantly reduced the quantity of rice available for official export. 50 Faced with declining exports, the Lon Nol government abandoned the subtleties of the market mechanism for the gun. A program of forced rice collection under army protection was implemented in many parts of Kampuchea at the beginning of 1967. This program generated opposition in many places, but in the Samlaut region of the province of Battambang (in Northwest Kampuchea), this opposition combined with other peasant grievances to precipitate a major peasant rebellion in April-June 1967. In January and February, CPK cadres in the area had attempted to organize and channel peasant complaints against army actions in Battambang. In early March, the left in Phnom Penh, probably under the influence of CPK legal cadres like Khieu Samphan, had organized demonstrations against the Lon Nol government that pointed to the troubles in the Samlaut as proof of its failures and demanded the withdrawal of army units from the areas involved. By the end of the month, two of Lon Nol's ministers had been forced to resign. In the eyes of the CPK leadership, these events would probably represent the last major success for the policy of combined illegal organizational activities in the countryside and legal cadre work in the cities. 51 In early April the peasants in Battambang-and perhaps local CPK cadres as well-apparently went further than the CPK leadership had planned. 52 Attacks were launched on army units collecting rice and arms were captured. These arms were then used to attack an agricultural settlement manned by members of Sangkum's youth organization that had recently been established in the area. More arms were captured and attacks launched on provincial military posts and local government offices and officials. Paratroopers were sent to restore order, but after three weeks of fighting during which nearly 200 rebels had been captured and 19 killed, the rebellion was still spreading. 53 On April 22, 1967, Sihanouk charged Khieu Samphan, Hu Nim and Hou Youn with primary responsibility for the Samlaut uprising. Noting that there were many who were demanding their immediate execution, he said he would rather send them before a Military Tribunal, where they would presumably face the same fate as the communists arrested in January 1962. Two days later, Khieu Samphan and Hou Youn disappeared from their Phnom Penh homes. Hu Nim, however, remained in public life. 54 Perhaps he had been assigned to stay in Phnom Penh to carry out any legal cadre tasks that were still feasible; pernaps he had made a personal decision that the situation still did not warrant a complete break with Sihanouk. Indeed, the situation had resulted in the resignation of Lon No!. However, the cabinet that replaced his was essentially a conservative one an"dbefore" the end of the year, its two important left-leaning ministers had been forced to resign. In fact, from the middle of 1967 onward, it became obvious to most observers that Sihanouk's policies were leading in one direction only-the elimination of the urban radical element from Phnom Penh politics. 55 Similarly, in early May, 15,000 students from Phnom Penh and surrounding areas, angered by what they presumed to be the secret assassination of Khieu Samphan and Hou Youn by the government, attended meetings organized by the General Association of Khmer Students. 56 The number of students involved seemed to demonstrate the strength of left-wing sympathies in the towns. Yet by September, Sihanouk had banned the Student Association, on the pretext that it was under Chinese Communist influence. 57 By October the Associations's President, Phouk Chhay, was in jail, waiting to face the inevitable Military Tribunal. (He later received a life sentence.)58) Shortly before the arrest of Phouk Chhay, Hu Nim had finally left Phnom Penh for the countryside. 59 If he had previously thought that it was still possible to work with Sihanouk, he had now realized that he had been wrong. If the CPK had assigned him to stay behind, it had proved impossible for him to continue to fulfill this assignment. The early successes of the disorganized and poorly armed peasant rebels in Battambang were also followed by disasters. In early May, Sihanouk toured secure areas in 8 Battambang, in an apparent attempt to stabilize the situation. However, peasant attacks in other zones intensified and army reinforcements were brought in. After Sihanolik declared that the rebellion had ended, a ploy presumably designed to reduce local and international press interest in events in Battambang, the level of violence employed to crush the rebellion rose. The Air Force was brought in to bomb and strafe areas of rebel influence. Villages considered hostile were surrounded by the army and their inhabitants massacred. Bounties were paid for the severed heads of rebels and for villages put to the torch. Peasant resistance continued, but their situation was essentially hopeless. Perhaps as many as 4,000 fled into inaccessible forest and mountain zones, possibly including clandestine CPK base areas. Other peasants were either killed attempting to continue the fight or gave up. By the middle of August, the violence of the military's repression and the inability of the peasants to withstand that violence had brought the rebellion to an end. 60 In mid-1967, after the Samlaut rebellion had begun and after the departure of Khieu Samphan and Hou Youn from Phnom Penh, the CPK decided that it was time to abandon all forms of cooperation with the Sihanouk regime and to make preparations to form, as soon as possible, a revolutionary army with which to wage all-out armed struggle against it. 61 These CPK decisions were undoubtedly based on three factors. First, there was the readiness of the peasantry to revolt, as demonstrated by the Samlaut uprisings. The CPK could not afford to put itself in the position of opposing peasant rebelliousness for very long without risking the loss of its inflJlence in the countryside. Second, there was the inability of the CPK to protect the rebellious peasants from the Sihanouk regime's military counterattacks, as was being demonstrated by the suppression of the Samlaut uprising. If the CPK were to lead a peasant rebellion, it could not continue to think merely in terms of arming its own cadres to defend the Party. Rather, it had to think in terms of a real military organization capable of protecting zones of peasant rebellion as well. In other words, it had to create a revolutionary army. Third, there was right-wing dominance of the National Assembly and the inability of Khieu Samphan and Hou Yo un to continue their work in Phnom Penh. Just as the exclusion of Khieu Samphan and Hou Youn from the cabinet in 1963 had argued for removal of most of the CPK's activities to the countryside, their exclusion from all aspects of Phnom Penh politics in April 1967 argued for complete concentration on revolu tionary activities in the countryside. Thus, the CPK's mid-1967 decisions can be explained by reference to developments internal to Kampuchea alone. Twelfth-century battle between Khmers and Champas as etched on the 8ayon temple at Angkor near Siem Riep. 9 However, they were probably also influenced by two external factors: first, the threat of an American invasion of Kampuchea; and second, the favorable attitude of certain politically ascendant elements in China. Although the United States military had long thought that destruction of Vietnamese bases along the South Vietnamese-Kampuchean border was necessary to the American war effort, the desire to invade Kampuchea became especially strong after the defeat of Operation Junction City in early 1967. Junction City was an attempt to clear Vietnamese communist forces out of Tay Ninh province, which adjoined Kampuchea west of Saigon. When the operation failed, failure was blamed on the existence of important Vietnamese sanctuaries across the Kampuchean border. 62 Thereafter, the United States military increased pressure for permission to activate contingency plans to invade Kampuchea. 63 By mid-1967, it was known in Kampuchea that these plans were being considered, and anxiety about them increased throughout the year.64 For the CPK, the American plans probably meant that it was extremely urgent to have a military organization ready to defend their zones of control-and, in due time, launch counterattacks-should they be car.!"ied out. Moreover, more than just contingency plans 10 were involved. In May 1967, the United States had begun "Operation Salem House," a series of armed ground incursions into Kampuchean territory to gather intelligence on Vietnamese deployments and movements there. These incursions demonstrated that the threat of a United States invasion was very real. This naturally increased the CPK's sense of urgency. 6S For Chinese foreign policy, the summer of 1967 was a unique period. This was the height of the Cultural Revolution, and both the Foreign Ministry and the International Liaison Bureau of the Chinese Communist Party, which handled relations with foreign Communist Parties, were, beginning in May, under heavy pressure from and, by August, in the hands of the most radical cultural revolutionary forces. These forces considered Foreign Minister Chen Vi and Prime Minister Zhou Enlai, who protected Chen, collaborators of Liu Shaoqi who ought to be expelled from the Party. They advocated a much more radical foreign policy than China had pursued in the past or would pursue in the future. The representative of the radical group i!l control of the Foreign Ministry in August was a Chinese diplomat whose experiences in Indonesia during the of the Communist Pany there had convinced him that communist cooperation with anti-imperialist Southeast Asian regimes was futile, and that armed struggle was the only solution. This lesson was explicitly applied not only to Indonesia and Thailand, where pro-American military dictatorships were in power, but also, after incidents in Rangoon during which a Chinese Embassy member was killed by Burmese rioters, to the neutral military dictatorship in Burma. Peking's propaganda outlets supported the armed struggles of the Communist Parties of all three countries, and indeed those of the Parties of Malaysia and the Philippines as well. These outlets also proclaimed that "revolution is always right." 66 Although they did not explicitly apply this rule to Kampuchea or openly support the CPK, it was clear that the radicals' analysis was applicable to Kampuchea and it is possible-although not certain-that expressions of suppon for the CPK's decision of mid-1967 were sent to it through private channels in August. Moreover, Red Guard-type activities by Chinese residents in Kampuchea, which were supported by the Chinese Embassy in Phnom Penh and by the Kampuchea China Friendship Association, and Sihanouk's moves to suppress these activities resulted in a serious crisis in state-to-state relations between China and Kampuchea during August and September 1967. In this period, China once implicitly characterized Sihanouk as a "reactionary" and Sihanouk threatened to withdraw his diplomatic staff from Peking, although not to break diplomatic relations. This brought state-to-state relations to the lowest point since 1956. 67 To the extent that relations with Sihanouk deteriorated, those with the CPK probably improved. At the same time, Chinese relations with the Vietnamese communists also hit a low point. Red Guards probably interrupted shipments of arms to Vietnam and the Chinese media virtually ceased to refer to the struggle to liberate the South. This gave credence to the idea that the Vietnamese communists were not to be considered a good model for other revolutionaries, that they might even be revisionists, whose foreign and domestic policies were reactionary,68 and therefore that the CPK had every reason to be in conflict with the VWP. Thus, at the time that the CPK took its decision to launch full-scale armed struggle against Sihanouk, it was perhaps discreetly supported and encouraged by the persons then running China's foreign policy. Although Chinese opposition certainly would not have prevented the CPK from making the decision that it did, Pol Pot and the rest of the Central Committee must have been glad that there was at least someone in China who understood their situation and sympathized with their analysis of it. Whatever the position of the Chinese around the time of the CPK decision, in the eyes of the Vietnamese, the line that was adopted in mid-1967 was incorrect. 69 According to their unchanged analysis, Sihanouk's anti-imperialism meant that his regime demanded, perhaps now more than ever, some kind of cooperation and support, and not total armed opposition, from the CPK. The VWI' could say little in opposition to strengthening the CPK in the countryside. However, the VWP apparently felt that the CPK's rural bases should be strengthened in a way that would take advantage of and reinforce Sihanouk's willingness to cooperate with the needs of liberating south Vietnam, rather than undermining it. They probably also believed that there was a very real danger that Sihanouk would quickly and definitively crush an armed struggle begun without sufficient preparation and without fraternal Vietnamese aid. The Vietnamese themselves assidu ously cultivated Sihanouk's anti-Americanism and anti Thieuism throughout 1967 and clearly would have preferred that the CPK find some way to do the same. Especially after the launching of the "Salem House" operations, the Vietnamese evidently calculated that the Sihanouk regime The Last Confucian Liang Shu-ming and the Chinese Dilemma of Modernity Guy S. AUtto "I know of no book which makes clearer to a Western audience the motivations and inner life of Chinese intellec tuals and political leaders in the twentieth century .... The writing is superb, skillfully interweaving analysis and nar rative ... and generating some of the suspense found in a good novel." -Thomas A. Metzger $17.50 At bookstores should be given all the Communist support it could be conceded in order to present with a clear choice between his Communist friends and his United States enemies. The most important Vietnamese moves came in late May and early June 1967, when the NLF and the DRV, respectively, responded quickly and unreservedly to Siha nouk's demand that they recognize unilaterally Kampuchea's "present frontiers" as Sihanouk defined them. Sihanouk then recognized de jure both the DRV and the NLF. At the same time Sihanouk raised the status of the DRV representation in Phnom Penh to that of a full Embassy and bestowed "permanent" status on the NLF representation there. 'JQ Both the Vietnamese recognition of Kampuchea's present frontiers and their improved representation in Phnom Penh made it easier for them to pursue two of their chief objectives concerning Kampuchea at this point, namely, to put their case to Sihanouk on the issue of sanctuaries on Kampuchean soil and to coordinate the supply of their war effort in South Vietnam through the Kampuchea port of Kampong Som (then known as Sihanoukville). Because of aggressive American military actions in 1966 and 1967, both from the air against the Ho Chi Minh Trail and on the ground in South Vietnam, these matters had grown increasingly important to the Vietnamese. 71 The facilities granted by the CPK in 1965 and the informal arrangements made with local commanders of Sihanouk's armed forces 72 were no longer sufficient to meet their territorial needs. Moreover, in July-August 1967, the VWP began to make plans for the 1968 Tet offensive, which was scheduled for January 31. 73 Preparations for Tet would require not only temporarily pulling some forces back into zones inside Kampuchea, but probably also an increase in the flow of supplies through Kampong Som. 74 Medical Ethics in The Future Imperial China and the Past A Study in Historical A Translation and Study Anthropology of the Gukansho, an Paul V. Unschuld Interpretative History This book, the first compre of Japan Written in 1219 hensive history of explicit med Translated from the ical ethics in pre-modern China, concerns the period Japanese and Edited from SOO B.C. to the twentieth century and provides transla by Delmer M. Brown tions of those codes of ethics and Ichiro Ishida that appear in Chinese medical The first complete translation literature. The inclusion of of the Gukansho, the earliest writings possessing ethical im known attempt in East Asia to plications facilitates cross-cul demonstrate that the flow of tural comparisons with the political events is directed by corresponding literatures in the supernatural powers. West. $25.00 $12.00 University of California Press Berkeley 94720 11 For these reasons, mid-1967 was, from the Vietnamese point of view, an extremely inappropriate time for the CPK to decide to make all-out war against the Sihanouk regime. Yet from the Kampuchean point of view, there was no choice but to make that war. Thus, Sihanouk's anti-Americanism became most precious to the Vietnamese at almost the same time that domestic political and economic developments in Kampuchea made the need to fight and, in the CPK's analysis, the possibilities of fighting against Sihanouk's very real anti communism most obvious to the Kampucheans. The contradiction between the VWP's needs in terms of liberating the South and the CPK's needs in terms of revolutionizing Kampuchea had become most acute. The VWP probably believed that the CPK could resolve this contradiction by some variation on united front tactics. The CPK probably believed that such tactics just could not work. Each Party saw the other as thinking only in terms of its own interests. The CPK's mid-1967 decision to organize a peasant army to wage all-out armed struggle against the Sihanouk regime could not be implemented immediately. A period of planning, preparation and communication between CPK cadres in various regions of Kampuchea, each of which had their own Subscribe Now! Marxist Perspectives Forthcoming Articles: Roy MedfJllkv SlJ1)iet Dissidmts: Their Prosptcts Michatl B. Katz The Institlltional State Anthony Hecht Pottry: An Ove.vitw Kate Ellis Poetry: Neglect Ca",1 Dllncan & Alan Wallach On MOMA SlIsan M. Strasstr Mistnss & Maid Jay R. 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regional Party committee, apparently continued until january 17, 1968, when the first attack was launched on a military post at a place called Baydamram, in Battambang province. 7s In the meantime, the only foreign communist support for the CPK's war that might have existed in mid-1967 had evaporated. In mid-September 1967, Zhou Enlai received Mao's backing against the radical cultural revolutionary forces that had taken over the Foreign Ministry in August. These forces would soon be denounced as "ultra-leftist" and "counter-revolutionary." 76 On September 14, Zhou called on the Kampuchean Ambassador to Peking. Zhou, the Ambas sador reported to Sihanouk, "considered that the new incident [i.e., the implicit characterization of Sihanouk's regime as "reactionary"] between our two peoples is an isolated problem and that China wishes to be able to maintain and develop our relations and support." Zhou expressed his high esteem for Sihanouk and China's conviction that Kampuchea's place in China's policy toward Southeast Asia was very important. 77 If in August Sihanouk's regime had been classed with those of Suharto, Thanom-Praphat and Ne Win as one against which the local Communist Party should launch a revolutionary war, thereafter it no longer was. Thus, after the suppression of the "ultra-leftists," Yao Wenyuan (later one of the "gang of four") explained the official Cultural Revolution Group's policy toward Kampuchea in terms that clearly seemed to call for a de-escalation of the struggle against Sihanouk. In a closed-door speech to Chinese Communist Party cadres in the Cultural Revolutionary center of Shanghai, Yao cautioned against treating all Asian "national bourgeois" regimes in the same way. Rather, three categories of regimes had to be distinguished. The most "reactionary" regimes, including those of Indonesia, Burma and India, should be the principal targets of struggle. In the middle were regimes like those of Kampuchea and Nepal. Concerning Kampuchea, Yao admitted that Sihanouk was "a reactionary through and through." Therefore, "we must fight against the reactionary regime in Kampuchea, but we must never forget that the situation in that country is different from the situation in India, Burma and Indonesia." In the similar case of Nepal, King Mahendra was described as a reactionary who had tried to be friendly to China. In this case Yao advised that "we have to intensify our political fight against the monarch in Nepal," but that the "fight must be very strictly controlled. " In the third category was the regime in Pakistan, against which there was no call for any kind of struggle. 78 Yao's categorization of Kampuchea., which was almost certainly more radical than that of Zhou--Enlai and the Chinese foreign policy establishment, was hardly in agreement with that of the CPK. The concrete effects of the reversion of the Chinese to a policy of supporting Sihanouk despite his being a "reactionary through and through" were seen two weeks before the newly founded revolutionary army of Kampuchea launched its january 17, 1968, Baydamaram operation. On january 4, 1968, the Chinese transferred a new consignment of military aid to the Lon Nol military, including, among other things, jet fighter-bombers, transport and training aircraft, heavy and light artillery, machine guns, ammunition, and mines. 79 12 It was thus in the face of Vietnamese and Chinese disapproval that the CPK finally launched revolutionary war against the Sihanouk regime. The first phase of the armed struggle was less a war than a struggle to capture arms with which to make war. The Revolutionary Army of Kampuchea, like the self-defense units, had to start from scratch, with no outside aid. Pol Pot has vividly and, from comparison of his account with that of an independent historian using Sihanouk government sources,80 accurately described the early diffi culties and small initial victories. In January we attacked the enemy in the Northwest, capturing dozens of guns with which to continue the attack. We hit them and they hit back. In February we attacked in the Southwest where they hit back. In February we attacked in the Southwest where we seized a large number of weapons. We rose up against the police and the military and captured about 200 guns. This was not an insignificant number at that time. We thus had greater strength to carry out vigorous attacks. We used our bare hands, not weapons, to seize arms from the enemy through mass insurrection. In March 1968 we rose up in the East, but did not capture any weapons. The zone's committee was preparing a meeting to map out tactics for capturing weapons as in the Southwest. But the enemy withdrew their weapons before we attacked. The enemy there mistreated the people and harassed the revolutionary movement for months. We rose up in March and the enemy kept harassing us throughout the subsequent period of more than three months. Our bases were destroyed and our people were killed or driven away. Only in July could we strike back. In an attack on an outpost we crushed the enemy and seized 70 guns. These weapons were used as capital to build up our armed forces. Though empty handed, the people who resorted to revolutionary violence, who were determined and who had experience in fighting the enemy, could always capture weapons. We also rose up in the North in March 1968. We managed to seize only four guns from the police. Sometimes we beat the enemy and at other times we were beaten back. In the struggle in the North between us and the enemy, we experienced considerable difficulties. In the Northeast, we rose up on 30 March 1968. Only four or five guns were seized from the enemy. Coupled with the four or five guns we had for the protection of our Central Committee headquarters, we were armed with less than ten guns with which to face the enemyin the Northeast. As far as weapons were concerned, only the Southwest was in possession ofa fairly substantial quantity. The other zones had only a very few. What was the quality of our arms? They were all obsolete. Out of ten shots nine were duds. Despite all these shortcomings, we continued to advance. From January to May our guerrilla movement spread throughout the country. There were guerrilla movements in 17 out of 19 provinces in the country. Despite the small scale of the first weapons-capturing operations, the well-planned and serious nature of the CPK's military activities was immediately apparent to Sihanouk. On January 27, 1968, ten days after -the first incident in Battambang, Sihanouk declared, "The Khmer Communists have decided that they are going to wage war until Sihanouk and the Sangkum disappear." It was also recognized at this time that the Vietnamese were not assisting the CPK. 82 Sihanouk reacted violently to the CPK's actions. He had always argued that the Sangkum regime must be "pitiless" in dealing with its enemies,83 and now that the CPK was in total opposition to it, Sihanouk ordered merciless repression. In March 1968, the Air Force was sent back into action against suspected zones of CPK influence throughout Kampuchea. This was no doubt one of the factors that prompted more than 10,000 villagers to flee into forested and mountainous areas in subsequent months. In February, the military had reported killing at least 76 rebels in various battles. In March the figure had risen to at least 106. At the end of April, in a single operation to capture the CPK base on Phnom Veay Chap hill in Battambang province, which involved 1,000 Phnom Penh troops, the army killed 89 rebels.84 In May, Sihanouk himself traveled to Northeast Kampuchea and explained his policy on captured CPK cadres. Speaking of incidents in -Rattanakiri province, that is, in Pol Pot's poorly armed zone of operations, he said: ... they gave rifles to th'e Khmer Loeu [upland peoples] and ordered them to fire on the national forces . ... I could not allow this and took stringent measures which resulted in the annihilation of 180 and the capture of 30 ringleaders, who were shot subsequently . ... I do not care if I am sent to hell, ... And I will submit the pertinent documents to the devil himself 85 Later, to dispel any doubts about the origin of this policy of summary executions, Sihanouk added: I will have them shot . .. , I will order the execution of those against whom we have evidence . ... I will assume responsibility and be judged by [a] people's tribunal. I will assume all responsibility and I request [you] not to blame the provincial guards, the Royal Khmer Armed Forces, and the Khmer authorities, because I have given [the] orders . ... 86 It has been reported that in August 1968, Sihanouk made a similar speech, in which he claimed to have put to death over 1,500 communists since 1967 and stated that, if necessary, he would persist in such a policy of merciless extermination until the CPK submitted. 87 The CPK, of course, did not submit, nor was it crushed, as the Vietnamese had probably believed it would be. Rather, it continued to build up its armed forces, expand its zones of control and weather the ever larger suppression campaigns launched by Sihanouk's army. Pol Pot claims that by 1970, the CPK had a force of 4,000 persons consolidated into regular military units, albeit incompletely and poorly armed, and a guerrilla force of 50,000, presumably even more incompletely and poorly armed. 88 Sihanouk's intelligence services estimated the CPK's armed forces at 5,000-10,000 persons. 89 The discrepancy between the two figures may reflect more different definitions of who can be counted as a member of an armed force than substantive differences in the number of persons involved. Whatever its exact size and composition, the CPK's armed forces represented a major threat to the Sihanouk regime'S army, the regular forces of which numbered only 35,000. 90 The CPK's armed forces were strategically distributed among eleven or twelve base areas in various parts of the country, which often allowed them to put the Phnom Penh military on the defensive, or at least to keep it off balance by forcing it to shift its reserves from one trouble spot to another. Extensive base areas in the Southwest and the Northwest were nearing the point at which they might be able to link up.91 If the Vietnamese had been wrong in their expectations that the CPK's decision was premature and would lead to its elimination, they were correct in their expectation that the growth of CPK forces would complicate their delicate relationship with Sihanouk. Sihanouk soon switched from labelling the CPK's revolutionary war a more or less independent initiative to characterizing it as a Vietnamese (and Chinese) attempt to put pressure on him and his diplomatic stance. He demanded that the Vietnamese withdraw their support and implied that they would lose Kampuchea's friendship, which presumably meant loss of the use of Kampuchean territory and its port, if they did not. 92 As early as April 1968, but increasingly later in the year, alleged Vietnamese support or even control of the CPK's war was coupled with complaints about the presence of Vietnamese troops on Kampuchean soil. 93 The two issues tended to become linked, especially in Sihanouk's comments on events in Northeast Kampuchea, where little or no distinction was made between Pol Pot's activities and those of the Vietnamese. 94 Thus, the more successful the CPK became, the more vulnerable were Vietnamese supply lines and sanctuaries in Kampuchea. Whether or not this tempted the Vietnamese to try to sabotage the CPK's struggle,95 it certainly must have increased tensions and suspicions between the two Parties. The complication of Sihanouk-Vietnamese relations by the CPK was exacerbated by signs of improvement in Sihanouk-American relations. Although American and South Vietnamese raids against border areas, even when they involved fights with Vietnamese communists and not Kampuchean border guards or villagers, still provoked bitter protests, a number of Sihanouk's diplomatic moves in 1968 suggested that if the United States would accept the all-important condition of the issuance of a unilateral statement of recognition of Kampuchea's present frontiers, a re-establishment of relations would not only be possible, but even warmly welcomed. 96 Such a rapprochement would not only give Sihanouk diplomatic leverage over the Vietnamese, but perhaps more importantly, it might somehow contribute to the kind of solution to Kampuchea'S economic crisis that was desired, if not by Sihanouk himself, at least by his resurgent right-wing opponents, of which Sihanouk was increasingly the captive. In November 1968, the former aspect of rapprochement with the United States was implied when Sihanouk asked the ICC to look into allegations of Vietnamese infringements of Kampuchean territorial integrity; 97 the latter aspect was demonstrated that same month when, after the right-wing National Assembly had made known its opinion on these subjects,98 Kampuchea signed an accord with the United States-backed Mekong Project, and applied for membership in three United States-dominated international lending institu tions: the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. It was also during November that Lon Nol, who had returned to the cabinet in the capacity 14 of Defense Minister in July, took over as acting Prime Minister. 99 In 1969, the Vietnamese position in Kampuchea became even worse. In March, the United States began Operation Menu, a "secret" bombing campaign against Vietnamese base areas along the Kampuchean frontier. 1OO Sihanouk's govern ment expressed deep concern about the raids almost immediately,101 and Sihanouk himself condemned them and vowed to shoot down as many of the planes as possible, 102 but did not let the bombing prejudice chances for improved formal relations with the United States, which came to fruition in mid-year, when the United States recognized Kampuchea's frontiers and diplomatic ties were re-established. 103 At the same time, the right wing made more and more of the presence of Vietnamese forces on Kampuchean soil. 104 Sihanouk apparently wanted to handle the problem with diplomacy. In May 1968 he sent Lon Nol, who had just been reconfirmed as acting Prime Minister, to Hanoi for negotiations. 105 In mid-June, Sihanouk recognized the newly formed Provisional Revolutionary Government of South Vietnam. 106 Sihanouk then announced that the PRG had provided the Kampuchean government with a written promise that all Vietnamese forces would be withdrawn from Kampuchea as soon as peace was restored in Vietnam. 107 This promise and Sihanouk's public announcement of it in effect seemed to authorize a Vietnamese presence in Kampuchea for the duration of the war in Vietnam. Sihanouk may have hoped that this would be acceptable to both the Vietnamese and the right (and that the Americans would be satisfied with bombing). He apparently also hoped that further discussions with the Vietnamese and their allies would resolve any remaining differences, or at least keep the situation from getting out of hand. In late June and early July, PRG President Huynh Tan Phat paid an official visit to Phnom Penh, during which details of a mutually acceptable border arrangement were probably discussed. 108 Then, in September, Sihanouk went to Hanoi to attend the funeral of Ho Chi Minh. While Sihanouk was in Hanoi, the issue of assuring post-war Vietnamese respect for Kampuchea's territorial activity was again discussed. 109 According to American government sources, Sihanouk also broached the possibility of a commercial treaty between Kampuchea and Vietnam, in an apparent attempt to resolve conflicts or at least establish a new basis for Vietnamese use of Kampong Som port. 110 Yet by this time, it was too late for Sihanouk's diplomacy. Lon Nol, who had other ideas about how to handle the Vietnamese problem, had formed his own cabinet in August 1969. 111 By September 1969 he had begun to finalize coup plans. 112 The rightist forces in the business community, led by Prince Sisowath Sirik Matak, long a bitter enemy of Sihanouk, would soon successfully reverse Sihanouk's nationalization decrees of November 1963. In part to demonstrate his disapproval, Sihanouk left for France. 113 This trip was to be extended in March 1970 with more diplomacy: journeys to the Soviet Union and China were to take place. If Lon Nol and Sirik Matak had not been allied in September, they were by March. With Sihanouk out of the country, they carried out a coup on March 18, 1970, while Sihanouk was about to depart Moscow for Peking. 114 Even before the coup, Lon Nol had cut the flow of supplies from Kampong Som to the Vietnamese. 115 The coup itself was the occasion for a demand that Vietnamese forces immediately and unconditionally evacuate from Kampuchean territory.116 Moreover, the coup was followed, at the end of April, by a full-scale United States and South Vietnamese assault on Vietnamese base areas, which, however idiotic in a strategic sense, did cost the Vietnamese dearly in the immediate tactical sense, and in terms of supplies and, to a lesser extent, lives. 117 Although the drift of events in 1968-1969 was probably fairly clear to the Vietnamese, there is no evidence they reassessed their attitude toward the CPK and its tactics. 118 Instead, the Vietnamese probably continued to feel-or even came to feel more intensely-that the CPK, by waging war against Sihanouk, had increased his isolation, thus making him vulnerable to a COUp,119 and had foregone opportunities that could have benefited both the CPK and the struggle to liberate the South. The coup, they probably felt, had not been inevitable, and was not in the interests of either the VWP or the CPK, even if it provided certain strategic opportunities to both the Vietnamese military and the Kampuchean revolution. If the CPK had only been willing to wait and to cooperate, things would have been a lot easier for both Parties. The CPK, on the other hand, probably felt that its analysis and its tactics had been proven correct. When the coup they had long expected finally came, the Party was not caught weak and exposed in united front organizations. It was not left vulnerable to slaughter like the Chinese communists in 1927 or the Indonesian communists in 1965. Instead, it had numerous and well-organized forces ready and in place throughout the countryside, which constituted a formidable nucleus capable of launching a major counterattack almost immediately. In forthcoming issues of the Bulletin: Peter Bell and Mark Selden: A Tribute to Malcolm Caldwell. Noam Chomsky, Edward Herman, Richard Franke, Arnold Kohen: Essays on East Timor. Gary Michael Tartakov: "Who Calls the Snake Charmer's Tune"; an essay on photosofindla. Ng Gek-boo: Income Inequality in Rural China. Jon Halliday: The Korean Warta review essay. Ulrich Vogel and Tu Wei-ming: Essays on the early, Marxist writings of Karl Wittfogel. plus other essays on Japan. Indian. Vietnam. Bangladesh. Philippines. etc. 15 Conclusion The history of the relationship between Vietnamese and Kampuchean communism-and the relations between Viet namese and Kampuchean communists-from the time of the emergence of th'e Indochinese Communist Party in 1930 until the overthrow of Prince Norodom Sihanouk in 1970 can be divided into four periods: 1930-1945, 1945-1954, 1954-1960, and 1960-1970. In 1930, the ICP took on the task of establishing itself as the communist movement in both Laos and Kampuchea. Between 1930 and 1945, however, very little was accomp lished in either place other than the recruitment of a few local Vietnamese, and more of this seems to have been done in Laos than in Kampuchea. In the case of Kampuchea, it is probably safe to say that the ICP achieved nothing of historical importance in this period. For Laos, it can be said that the ICP's achievements were of minimal historical importance. To the extent that they were imponant, that importance was tenuous and indirect. In the 1945-1954 period, much more was accomplished in both places. In both Laos and Kampuchea, the ICP helped to encourage and encadre independence movements and, more directly in line with the task taken on in 1930, to create communist movements integrated into the ICP that led-or attempted to lead-the independence struggles in these countries. However, the Vietnamese were again relatively more successful in this endeavor in Laos than they were in Kampuchea. The communist movement formed under ICP auspices in Laos was more cohesive and more fuliy dominated the Laotian struggle for independence. These differences between the two movements were due to a number of factors. In Laos, the ICP had a stronger base, even if it were a weak poe, from the 1930s. Then, in the period at the end of and immediately following World War II, the ICP successfully established links with a number of important elements in Laos: the mixed Lao-Vietnamese communities in the towns (e.g., Kaysone and Nouhak), the Royal Family (e.g., Souphanouvong), and the hill peoples. Perhaps as important was a simple geographical accident of history. Laos bordered on North Vietnam and on ICP strongholds in the hills of the Viet Bac. Liaison between the ICP headquarters and centers of power in Vietnam and their comrades in the Laotian independence movement was, if not always completely ensured, made easier. Moreover, there was only one significant zone of resistance bases in Laos-that along the Vietnamese frontier. Also very important, perhaps most important, was the nature of the populace of Laos itself. Ethnically and linguistically fractured, it lacked a coherent underlying nationalism. Rather, a Laotian nationalism had to be manufactured; it had to be consciously created. Similarly, Laos as a kingdom was hardly a united entity, and King Sisavang Vong of the Luang Prabang branch of the Royal Family, whatever his quiet ambitions, showed little or no ability to make it one. Thus, the task of building a national administrative apparatus, like the task of synthesizing a Laotian nationalism to place within it, remained on the political agenda. The Vietnamese, despite the fact that they were outsiders, were able to give sensible advice on both problems, and even, to a limited extent, to participate directly in both construction tasks, without causing the Laotian communists great problems. In Kampuchea, on the other hand, the ICP bases from the 1930s were weaker. In the period at the end of and immediately following World War II, the Vietnamese were at first beaten to the punch by Son Ngoc Thanh. Thereafter, there were troubles in the mixed Vietnamese-Kampuchean communities (e.g., the conflicts over the autonomy of Kampuchea Krom) and the only member of the Kampuchean Royal Family who wanted to take up arms against the French (viz., Norodom Chandarangsey) ultimately decided to refuse cooperation with the Vietnamese. Kampuchea bordered on South Vietnam, where the French launched relatively successful military operations that disrupted direct liaison between the ICP in the South, which was itself already at one remove from the ICP headquarters, and their comrades in Kampuchea. Wit.h the military coup in Bangkok in 1947, the same thing happened to the independence movement bases in Northwest Kampuchea that had had Vietnamese support. Moreover, the resistance in Kampuchea developed in three relatively autonomous and independent zones, among which there seems to have been some discord and rivalry. The problem of nationalism in Kampuchea was also quite different. In Kampuchea the problem the Vietnamese faced was not assisting in the creation of a coherent new nationalism, but avoiding the provocation of an intense, homogeneous underlying nationalism that had for some time had very strong anti-Vietnamese overtones. 120 The Vietnamese probably had little useful advice about how to overcome this problem and precisely to the extent that they participated in Kampuchean politics, they found it difficult to avoid such provocation. Finally, the Kampuchean polity, although hardly monolithic, was already relatively well centralized and integrated and had at-its head Norog9m Sihanouk, a monarch who proved increasingly capable of initiative, drive and leadership. The problem was not only that of organizing a new polity, but also that of simultaneously displacing an old one with a strong leader. This polity and its leader, however, were relatively tenacious. As a result of all of these factors, the communist movement that emerged in Laos, despite its weakness in the face of the French, was marked by cohesiveness and continuity of leadership, and led the only effective pro-independence entity in the country. The communist movement that emerged in Kampuchea, on the other hand, although it gave the French relatively more trouble, was marked by conflict and defection, and faced credible right-wing and royal competition in the struggle to evict the French. If the period 1945-1954 had been one of troubles for the Kampuchean communists, the period from 1954-1960 was one of disasters. Sacrificed at Geneva like the Southern cadres of the Vietnam Workers' Party, the Kampuchean communists faced either exile to North Vietnam, where they would be cut 16 off from their society and their culture, or repression at home, where they had few or no means with which to effectively defend themselves. Much of the leadership of the Kampuchean communist movement chose the relative safety of exile in Hanoi. As the years passed, their exile showed more and more signs of becoming permanent, and they became more and more demoralized and divorced from the realities at home. Many of those at home, on the other hand, were little more than victims of those realities. Unlike their Laotian counterparts, they were unable to consolidate their organiza tion as a formal Communist Party. Rather, they made do with the Khmer People's Party, which was founded in 1951 as a kind of proto-Communist Party and which was perhaps originally designed with the understanding and expectation that it would have Vietnamese training wheels available when necessary to guide it and to support it. Also, much more than for their counterparts in Laos, where there were strong bases left over from the resistance days and where it seemed possible, even if difficult, to form coalition governments and to participate successfully in National Assembly elections, life for the Kampuchean communists was lonely and dangerous. By the late 1950s, the old Kampuchean communist organization was, for all practical purposes, no longer in existence. As was the case in South Vietnam, the sacrifices made at Geneva had been followed by much worse: after withdrawal and disarmament came decimation. Parliaments, elections, newspapers and journals, legal front organizations, international opinion and organizations, the strong socialist base in the North, all proved to have little protective value. In both South Vietnam and Kampuchea, in many places all that was left of the pre-Geneva movement was bitterness. In this period, the developing vacuum in Kampuchea (and also in South Vietnam) was filled in part from new sources. In Kampuchea, the most important new source was French universities. Starting from 1953, when Pol Pot returned from France and joined the maquis, and continuing until 1960, with the return of Khieu Samphan, the communist movement in Kampuchea was invigorated with Kampucheans who did not come out of the ICP tradition and who, in this post-1951, post-Geneva period, could not, in principle, be formally associated with the VWP. On the other hand, their counterparts in South Vietnam-whether they came from foreign universities or from the villages-would almost certainly have been drawn into the VWp.121 Thus, by 1960, what there was left of a communist movement in -Kampuchea, and this was not much, was without a Party and was largely bitter or new or both. The Kampuchean communists had suffered more and were probably more bitter than their Laotian counterparts. Moreover, because of the organizational differences between the KPP and the VWP, and because of the differences between, on the one hand, the relationship of the socialist half of an artificially-divided Vietnam to the foreign-dominated half and, on the other hand, the relationship of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam to the Kingdom of Kampuchea, newness had much more significance for Kampuchean communists than for South Vietnamese communists. In Kampuchea, their newness would help to give a new character to a new organization that was nationally independent and that formalized independence from the politics of socialist Vietnam. In South Vietnam, their newness would merely inject some new blood into an old organization that would absorb and assimilate them, and the very purpose of which was to complete the administrative and ideological reunification of Vietnam. When, therefore, in September 1960, the Kampuchean communists held their First National Congress and set up a Party Central Committee, their leadership certainly contained elements that could be expected, in the eyes of the VWP, to be "anti-Vietnamese." The Central Committee's composition was probably also inherently unstable. There would be a few ex-ICP cadres who had remained loyal, despite all that had happened, to the "ICP tradition." There would also be a few ex-ICP cadres who would be willing to renew their loyalty to that tradition now that the Kampuchean communists had been able to form their own Party and had adopted a new and more appropriate line. Yet there would also be some ex-ICP cadres who still harbored great bitterness toward the VWP and who would prefer to ignore the ICP tradition, and there were a good number of Kampuchean communists who had been students in France for whom the tradition was simply irrelevant or the object of scorn. The formation of the Communist Party of Kampuchea moreover came at a time when the world communist movement had already begun to disintegrate. It came at a time when it had begun to be typical to think of international communist relations in terms of bitter private recriminations and public polemics, not brotherly consultations or meekly' accepted hierarchical relationships. This gave the CPK a significantly different world view than the old-fashioned VWP and provided two different conceptual bases for any dispute the two Parties might have. The different relations of the Vietnamese and Kampuchean parties to the Sino-Soviet dispute added further complications to their evolving relationship. The Vietnamese had been immediately involved in the dispute because their decision to approve of and to encourage violent as well as political struggle in South Vietnam had put them in the middle of the polemic over the danger of war with the United States and over the best tactics for struggling against the United States in the Third World. Of course, the line adopted by the new-born CPK was to have a similar effect. This could have united the Vietnamese and Kampuchean Communists by placing them in the same position vis-a-vis Sino-Soviet differences. That is, both could have drifted'toward greater identification with the Chinese views on these two issues from 1960 to 1964. Yet their positions vis-a-vis the emerging split were quite different. First, although the Chinese world view would, as time passed, prove to be more compatible with the implications of the struggle policies adopted in 1959-1960 by the Vietnamese and Kampuchean Parties, China's state-to-state relations with Sihanouk's Kampuchea improved throughout the 1960-1964 period, while China's relations with Diem's 17 Vietnam, the object of the Vietnamese communists' struggle, were of course nonexistent. In May 1960, Zhou Enlai visited Phnom Penh and in December Sihanouk visited Peking. 123 A Treaty of Friendship and Mutual Non-Aggression and several important economic and technical cooperation agreements were signed. l24 In the circumstances of similarly improving state-to-state relations with Burma, the Chinese apparently indicated to the Burmese communists that it was in their struggle's best interests to rely mainly on political and legal tactics in their conflict with the Rangoon government. 125 They may have indicated the same thing to the CPK. Thus, it is probable that the Kampuchean communists were less sanguine about relations with their Chinese counterparts in the early 1960s than were the Vietnamese communists. Second, and similarly, although the Vietnamese communists increasingly came to disagree with the Soviet world view, at least as far as the question of relations with the United States was concerned, the Soviets provided important economic aid for the Five Year Plan (1961-1965).126 For the Kampuchean communists there was no such mitigating factor in their relations with the Soviets. Not only did'they disagree more and more with the Soviet world view, the Soviets would soon start to provide economic aid to the Sihanouk regime. 127 Thus, the Kampuchean communists had much less reason than the Vietnamese to see any saving grace in Soviet foreign policy. In sum, during the 1960-1964 period, while the Vietnamese and Kampuchean communists came to agree more with the Soviet and the Chinese world view, their positions vis-a-vis the split were not at all identical. Vietnamese communist relations with the Chinese from 1960 to 1964 started well and became better, and their relations with the Soviets started well and became strained, whereas in the same period Kampuchean communist relations with the Chinese were originally, at best, probably little more than formal and correct and most likely did not improve, and those with the Soviets were probably originally tenuous (if they existed at all) and got worse. Moreover, the growing Sino-Soviet split had subtly different effects upon the conceptions that the Vietnamese and Kampuchean communists had of the meaning of such things as the socialist bloc and proletarian internationalism. For the Vietnamese communists, who had a long established Party, who had had correct, if not perfect, relations with the Comintern, and who had received important military aid from the Chinese from 1949 to 1954 and important economic aid from both the Soviet Union and China since 1954 (which had helped to undo some of the bitterness about unwelcome pressures from both at Geneva), the differences were a temporary aberration that did not necessarily undermine the essential unity of the socialist camp. The Vietnamese had had their ups and downs in their relations with the Soviets and the Chinese (and would have even more serious ups and downs with them in the years ahead), but it seemed that there were always ups as well as downs and that neither the Soviets or the Chinese were ever really the enemy. The Vietnamese could see and would continue for at least a decade and a half longer to see themselves as mediators in a family dispute. In other words, the VWP was a Party with its roots in the 1930s, led by Vietnamese nationalists who nevertheless had been steeped in the internationalist myths of early communism, when there was only one socialist nation and therefore only one center and model for socialism, however deficient it might be. The differences between the Soviet Union and China, and the differences between those two nations and socialist Vietnam, indicated, at worst, splits within the movement, not the splitting up of the movement. 128 Even if Vietnam started to lean toward China in the 1960-64 period, their problems with the Soviet Union were interpreted (and indeed turned out to be) as only a temporary misunderstanding, which, given the longstanding ties of the Vietnamese Party to both Parties, ~ e e d not mean a final choice between two rivals. The conceptual implications of the Sino-Soviet differences for the VWP's attitude toward relations with the CPK were thus minimal: the presumed basis of that relationship, namely close cooperation and coordination in the interests of the socialist bloc and in the name of proletarian internationalism, was not and should not be changed. If there were to be differences, which of course there should not be, they would be a family matter to be solved in the spirit of the socialist bloc, preferably by private consultation. For the CPK, however, the implications of the growing Sino-Soviet disagreement on numerous fundamental issues were quite different. For a Party only constituted and ready to make a formal debut in international communist politics as of September 1960, for a Party whose leaders had never had much direct contact with the Soviet or Chinese Parties, whose only major contact with tho'se Parties had been the Geneva disaster (or betrayal), for whom the Comintern was only an historical curiosity, and who were apparently either not invited or could not or would not attend the November 1960 Moscow conference of world Communist Parties (which turned out to be the last such meeting and was marked by bitter Sino-Soviet recriminations 129), the Sino-Soviet split may have seemed more like a fact of life than an ephemeral phenomenon. The situation facing a new Party like that of Kampuchea may have seemed more like one that suggested the necessity either of choosing sides or of remaining neutral than one that suggested the possibility of pretending that the dispute was not serious or of acting as a prestigious conciliator between two distant giants. If a choice were to be made, the choice was, given the lack of traditional ties with either Party and the increasing inappropriateness of the Soviet inter national line, obviously China, although, because of China's relationship with the Sihanouk regime, even this choice left something to be desired. If neutrality were the answer, it might be a neutrality that shared much with the Chinese world view and contained a certain admiration for the Chinese model of rural revolution and reconstruction, but that refused to tie the Kampuchean communists to agreement with China on the nature of the Sihanouk regime. Either choice or neutrality, however, at least in part implied a certain doubtfulness about the universal applicability and validity of concepts such as "world socialist bloc" and "proletarian internationalism" to the existing realities of the world communist movement. This 18 implied doubtfulness would directly affect ways of thinking about the nature of relations between the CPK and the VWP. If one could choose in favor of the Chinese against the Soviets, then one could also choose against the Vietnamese. If one could be neutral vis-a-vis the Chinese and the Soviets, one could also be neutral vis-a-vis the Vietnamese. If the world communist movement was splitting up into correct and incorrect factions, the same thing could in theory happen in the Indochinese communist movement. Major disputes were not, however, inevitable from the point of view of 1960. The foundation of the CPK in September of that year might have opened a new era of relative warmth and friendship between Kampuchean and Vietnamese communists. The CPK's foundation was marked by the elimination of one of the major causes of bitterness in the 1954-1960 period: the line of exclusive reliance on political struggle that had all too clearly been the legacy of Geneva. In South Vietnam the elimination of a similar cause for bitterness resulted when the VWP put full backing behind the struggle to defeat and crush ':My-Diem," that is, American imperialism and its repressive tool, the DieiTI regime. VWP cadres from the South who had gone North in 1954 returned home and joined whole-heartedly in their old friends' and neighbors' revolutionary war against the foreign and domestic enemy. When help from the North was nee<Ied, great effort was made to provide it. Disagreements on certain points, controversies and tensions remained, but fundamentally, the VWP and Southern communists were back in harmony. 122 In Kampuchea, this process of the healing of past wounds and the righting of old wrongs did not occur. In fact, the reverse occurred. As the repression in Kampuchea grew more vicious and comprehensive, the CPK not only found that it was on its own as far as provisioning its struggle was concerned and that, for whatever reason, the Kampuchean cadres in Hanoi remained there, but also that the Vietnamese communists (and their Chinese comrades) were becoming more and more friendly with their enemy, the Sihanouk regime. As Sihanouk grew more repressive, as the opportuni ties for united front activities, for legal struggle and for underground work in the cities and towns diminished, relations between Sihanouk, on the one hand, and Vietnam, the Soviet Union and China, on the other, grew warmer and warmer. Indeed, for the Vietnamese, who had to protect the western flank of their struggle to liberate the South, correct and even intimate relations with Sihanouk became more and more crucial. The Chinese could appreciate this problem, and they had their own perception of China's security interests as well. The Chinese and the Vietnamese therefore felt that the CPK should find some expedient way simultaneously to build up its strength and to encourage, cooperate with and support Sihanouk's foreign policy, which, increasingly, the CPK seemed unwilling or unable to do. Thus, instead of warmth and friendship, relations between Vietnamese and Kampu chean communists, as well as relations between Chinese and Kampuchean communists, were marked by increasing conflict and suspicion. In 1962, the last important strong link between the old ICP and the new CPK, 1960 Party Secretary Touch Samouth, fell victim either to Sihanouk's repression or to VWP-CPK and intra-CPK conflict. Thereafter, following the early 1963 political crisis in Phnom Penh and Sihanouk's late 1963 renunciation of United States economic and military aid, the contradictions between the CPK's domestic revolutionary needs and the VWP's national liberation foreign policy needs became ever more acute and manifest. The CPK was now almost fully in the hands of former students from France, who formed a nucleus around which probably crystallized a good number of former ICP cadres who agreed with their ideas about the situation in Kampuchea and about the unreliability of the Vietnamese. The CPK plotted an independent course that its leadership believed responded in the best possible way to the realities of the Sihanouk regime and the socio-economic situation in Kampuchea, but that was oblivious to the immediate needs of Vietnamese reunification. Most of its work was done in the countryside and much of it threatened the stability of the Sihanouk regime, which the Vietnamese and the Chinese were cultivating as a bulwark of progressive bourgeois anti-imperialism in Southeast Asia, as a mainland complement to Sukarno's Indonesia. In theory, the contradic tions should have been resolvable by clever implementation of united front tactics. In practice, these were not forthcoming from the CPK to the VWP's or the CCP's satisfaction and probably were not available. Each year the contradiction, and thus the conflicts and the suspicions, grew deeper and deeper. In 1965, after Sihanouk cut relations with the United States and the United States' escalation in Vietnam forced the Vietnamese to seek refuge-with CPK permission and later with Sihanouk's acquiescence-in Kampuchean territory, Kampuchean ex-ICP cadres began to come home. However, instead of tying the CPK to the VWP in a manner analogous to the rapprochement-even if it had its moments of crisis-between the VWP and the communist cadres in South Vietnam, these Kampucheans only generated worse conflicts and suspicions. At one point they might have been welcomed or they might have overwhelmed the "anti-Vietnamese" elements of the CPK. Now they were, at best, a tolerated minority and, at worst, seen as infiltrators and enemies. For the CPK leadership, it seemed they had come not to help, but to replace or destroy. This historical analysis indicates that the events of 1967-68 are the key both to the development of a definitely independent revolutionary movement in Kampuchea and of a fundamental conflict between the CPK and the VWP. Before this period, although the CPK had apparently acted against the advice, explicit or implicit, of both the VWP and the CCP in its establishment of an anti-Sihanouk line, the Kampucheans had not declared total war on the Sihanouk regime and Kampuchean territory had been a place of refuge, not an almost irreplaceable sanctuary and conduit of supplies, for the Vietnamese. But in 1967, as the Kampuchean peasantry went into rebellion and Sihanouk moved to eliminate the left entirely in the cities and became a captive of the right, and as the Vietnamese prepared for the Tet offensive, with its 19 sanctuary and supply needs, most of the remaining elements of the CPK's and VWP's international proletarian feelings for one another were crushed between Sihanouk's anti-communism and his anti-Americanism and anti-Thieuism. Except for a brief moment in the fall of 1967, moreover, CPK-CCP relations probably not dtuch better than CPK-VWP If the Chinese would cultivate relations with the CPK, it would be, at first, more because the CPK was anti-Soviet and, later, more because the CPK was in conflict with the Vietnamese, than because of any fundamental meeting of ideological minds. After the August-September 1967 "aberrations" of the ultra-radical period of the Cultural Revolution, China's cultivation of the CPK would be complicated, as before, by support for Sihanouk and admonitions on the need to restrict the degree of struggle that was to be waged against his type of regime. Thus, when the CPK launched all-out war against Sihanouk in January 1968, it was alone. It remained alone from January 1968 until March 1970, while it captured arms and built up an army and a base in the Kampuchean population. It was therefore in this period that the CPK became finally convinced of the need for and the possibilities of success of adherence to a stand of total self-reliance. It was in this period that the CPK finally decided that it had little choice but to learn how to make a virtue of the necessity of isolation from and independence from all other Communist Parties, especially the VWP, and that such a policy could work. 130 If the late 1950s had been a period of disaster, bitterness and decimation, and if the earlier 1960s had been a period of discord, suspicion and weakness, this was a period of isolated defiance, self-confidence and, as evidenced by the growth of the CPK's forces, success. By the time of the March 1970 coup, therefore, CPK-VWP relations were probably worse than they had ever been. They were probably characterized by deep mutual distrust and by convictions on the part of each Party that the other Party had long since proved itself incapable of thinking of anyone's interests but its own.More specifically, the CPK probably was convinced that the VWP had proved itself unable to understand the revolutionary situation in Kampuchea and that its foreign policy, including above all its policy toward the CPK, was governed much more by Vietnamese national interests than by the needs of the Kampuchean revolution. The VWP probably believed that the CPK had proved itself incapable of seeing the very real interconnections among the revolutionary situations in the three countries of Indochina and that the CPK's program for revolution in Kampuchea was little more than a blind offensive against Sihanouk and his regime that was oblivious to the disasters it might bring upon not only the CPK itself, but also the VWP and the communists in Laos, too, and thus upon the cause of revolution in Southeast Asia as a whole. Thus, by 1970, the chances that the exigencies of collaboration in an Indochina-wide war against the United States and its three client regimes would generate warm and friendly relations between the CPK and the VWP were probably very small. There was certainly no chance that wartime cooperation would create between the CPK and the VWP the kind of relationship that had historically existed and would continue to exist between the VWP and the Laotian communists. If the CPK and VWP could and would cooperate in a number of very important areas, the mutual discord and distrust of the past was not likely to be dispelled. The differences ran too deep and had existed for too long. The CPK was too well established and too large to be undermined or to be swamped by the concomitants of cooperation and its leadership too wary of the VWP to be easily or suddenly convinced that everything had changed. At best, perhaps, each Party would take renewed cooperation as an opportunity to give the other Party a last chance to show its good intentions, its revolutionary wisdom and its sincere internationalism. Yet the degree of expectations that the other side would fail to perform any better than in the past was probably very high. Moreover, Chinese support for the CPK's struggle against the Lon Nol regime after 1970 would not erase the memory of earlier disagreements and conflicts of interest. It would not create a total bond between the Kampuchean revolutionaries and their Chinese counterparts. Although both the Chinese and the Kampucheans would see an interest in alliance with each other, the Kampucheans would have few illusions about the Chinese, either, and would predicate their relations with them on the assumption that Kampuchea could not, in the long run, depend on China, but would have to depend on itself. If the Chinese-Kampuchean alliance would survi'le the end of the United States war against Vietnam and Kampuchea better than the alliance between Vietnam and Kampuchea, it would be the result of post-war circumstances and not a result of pre-war or wartime events. '* 20 Notes 1. For views of this movement and the Vietnamese Communist role in it see Forces Armees Nationales Khmeres, Etat-Major General, 2me Bureau, "Des Mouvements Anti-Gouvernmentaux au Cambodge," (secret report dated 20 July 1973), p. 3; Wilfred G. Burchett, Mekong Upstream (Berlin Seven Seas, 1959), pp. 83-129; V. M: Reddi, A. History of the Cambodian Independence Movement (TIrupatl: Sn Venkatesawara University Press, n.d.), pp. 82-101; "Remarks on the Official Appearance of the Vietnam Worker's Party," in U.S. Operation Mission Vietnam Captured Documents Series, No.2; and also Numbers 19 and 204, which deal with the Vietnamese role in the Kampuchean movement. 2. "Official Telegram No. 749-S.D.C.S.," a VWP document dated June 24, 1952, available in the Wason-Echols Collection of Olin Library, Cornell University. This document explains why Chinese nationals in Kampuchea should join the VWP and not the KPP. 3. "Remarks on the Official Appearance of the VWP" (see supra, note 1). This document also states that the and Lao "organizations there are already groups of faithful Communists who act as Delegations to the Indochinese Communist Party from which they receive directives. For that reason, the creation of a separate Communist Party for the working class of Vietnam does not risk weakening the leadership of the revolutionary movements in Kampuchea and Laos.... 4. "Discourse Prononce Par Le Camarade Pol Pot" (typescript distributed by the Kampuchean Embassy in Peking, dated September 27, 1977), pp. 16-17. See also, "A High Vietnam Government Official Discussing His Situation Vis-a-vis Cambodia" (typescript dated May 25, 1978, obtained from a confidential source), p. 4. This official notes that over ihe same period the resistance movement in South Vietnam lost 70 percent of its membership. 5. On the assassination of Touch Samouth see "Interview of Comrade Pol Pot ... to the Delegation of Yugoslav Journalists" (March 1978 mimeograph), p. 22. For comments on the effect of this incident, see the interview with Krom Pracheachon leader Non Suon in Bulletin d'lnformation du GR UNK (Paris), August 18, 1972, p. 11. Vietnamese sources have confirmed that it was Sihanouk and not CPK infighting, that killed Samouth. See, "A High Vietnam Government Official" (1978), p. 8. 6. On Sihanouk and Vietnam, see Roger Smith, Cambodia's Foreign Policy (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1965), pp. 166-172. On Sihanouk and China, see J. D. Armstrong, Revolutionary Diplomacy (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977), pp. 186-197. 7. Pol Pot (1977), p. 37. 8. Far Eastern Economic' Review, June 6, 1Y75, p. 6, letter from Michael Vickery, who dates their departure in summer 1963. 9. Pol Pot (March 1978), p. 23; Nhan Dan 9Hanoi), March 28, 1974, p. l;)PRS South and East Asia, No. 471, May 10, 1974, p. 5. - 10. Kiernan, The Samlaut Rebellion (Melbourne: Monash University Center of Southeast Asian Studies Working Paper No.4, n.d.) Part I (hereafter Kiernan I), p. 9. 11. This is the gist of Ieng Sary's interview in I'Humanite (Paris), July 21, 1972. 12. FEER, April 21, 1978, p. 18, report by Nayan Chanda. 13. Smith (1965), p. 121. 14. Guan-Yu Guo-)i Gong-Chan-Zhu-Yi Yun-Dong Zong Li-Xian ti )ian- Yi (Peking: Ren-Min Chu-Ban-She, 1963), p. 14. 15. Melvin Gurtov, China and Southeast Asia.- The Politics of Survival (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins, 1975), pp. 64-65. 16. Smith (1965), p. 121. See also Cambodge d'Aujourdhui (Phnom Penh), May-June 1963, pp. 2-9. 17. Jay Taylor China and Southeast Asia.- Peking's with Revolutionary Movements (New York: Praeger, 1974), pp. 199-200. 18. Cambodge d'Aujourdhui, July-August 1963, pp. 1-5. Smith (1965), pp. 199-200. 19. Milton Osborne, Politics and Power in Cambodia (Hong kong: Universities Press, 1973), p. 87. 20. Smith (1965), p. 200; Gurtov (1975), p. 65. 21. Armstrong (1977), p. 193. 22. Gurtov (1975), p. 66. These weapons were supposed to be used to defend Kampuchea from external aggression. In practice, there was apparently no restriction on their use. 23. Taylor (1974), p. 22. See also Donald S. Zagiora, Vietnam Triangle (New York: Pegasus, 1967), pp. 108-111. 24. Osborne (1973), p. 87. It should be noted that Sihanouk's nationalization moves, and his anti-capitalist economic philosophy, are hard to distinguish from those of Diem. Moreover, they probably had similar motives, namely to protect the political position of two "aristocratic" autocrats from "modern" economic challenges. And they seem to have had the same results, namely, the development of a personalized, ruler-dependent, corrupt system of economic mismanage ment. C.f., D. Gareth Porter, Imperialism and Social Structure in Twentieth Century Vietnam (Ithaca: Cornell University Ph.D. Thesis, 1976), pp. 280A-283. 25. Pol Pot (September 1977), p. 38. 26. Osborne (1973), p. 87, notes that Sihanouk's moves in November 1963, "ironically ... led to the temporary eclipse of the left." 27. Smith (1965), pp. 200-201. The United States reacted by attempting to restore good relations with Kampuchea, especially by moving closer to Kampuchea on the issue of Kampuchean neutrality. The attempt at rapprochement fell through, however, because of Thai and South Vietnamese intransigence. If it had been successful, Sihanouk might have at least partially reversed his decisions of November 1963. See also, Armstrong (1977), p. 198. 28. Pierre Forcier, La Rupture Des Accords de Cooperation Entre Le Cambodge et Les USA.- Quelques Consequences (Ottawa: Institute for International Cooperation, 1974), pp. 15-17. 29. Pol Pot (September 1977), pp. 38-39. 30. Osborne (1973), pp. 89-90. 31. Forcier (1974), pp. 3-13, 17-32. 32. Smith (1965), pp. 210-216. 33. Cambodge d'Aujourdhui, September 1964, pp. 2-8. Kambuja (Phnom Penh), August 15, 1965, p. 31. The Soviet Union had already offered military aid in February 1964 and there were several deliveries thereafter. Cambodge d'Aujourdhui, November-December 1964, pp. 2-3. Gurtov (1975), pp. 67-68. 34. Hal Kosut, ed., Cambodia and the Vietnam War (New York: Facts on File, 1971), p. 28. Smith (1965), pp. 211-215. 35. Gurtov (1975), pp. 69-70. Far Eastern Economic Review Yearbook 1966 (Hong Kong), p. 106. 36. Kambuja, October 15, 1965, p. 15. These symbolic acts put Kampuchea in the official position of aiding the Vietnamese communists, which meant that Kampuchea was liable to sanctions that the United States imposed upon nations "aiding the enemy." 37. Wolfgang Bartke, The Agreements of the P.R. China, 1949-1975 (Hamburg: Mitteilungen des Instituts fUr Asienkunde, 1976), p. 45. 38. Armstrong (1977), p. 200, quoting NCNA, November 26, 1965. 39. Kambuja, October 15, 1965, pp. 16, 40-45; Gurtov (175), pp.70-72. 40. FEER, April 21, 1978, p. 19, report by Nayan Chanda; Le Monde, March 31, 1978, p. 4. 41. Interview of Comrade Pol Pot ... to the Democratic Kampuchea Press Agency (Phnom Penh, April 1978) (hereafter: Pol Pot, April 1978), p. 4. 42. Wilfred Burchett, The Second Indochina War (New York: International Publishers, 1970), p. 69. 43. FEER, April 21, 1978, p. 19, report by Nayan Chanda; Le Monde March 31, 1978, p. 4; "Organisation et developpement ...", p.2. 44. Pol Pot (April 1978), p. 4. 45. Taylor (1974), pp. 99-100, 201-203. As an example of the spirit of this era, one could note a January 1965 joint communique issued by China and Indonesia, which stated that "The anti-imperialist 21 revolutionary movements of all peoples form an integral whole .... They should support and co-ordinate with each other." 46. Zagoria (1967), pp. 111-112; Taylor (1974), pp. 35-52. 47. Osborne (1973), p. 93-97; Kiernan I, pp. 5-6. 48. Osborne (1973), p. 101. 49. Forcier (1974), pp. 15-17. 50. Kiernan I, p. 19. 51. Kiernan I, pp. 19-24. 52. Pol Pot (September 1977), pp. 38-39. 53. Kiernan I, pp. 25-26. 54. Kiernan I, p. 25. 55. Osborne (1973), p. 102. 56. Kiernan I, p. 27. 57. Malcolm Caldwell and Lek Tan, Cambodia and the Southeast Asian War (New York: Monthly Review, 1973), pp. 165-166. 58. New York Times, March 13, 1970. Interview with Phouk Chhay. 59. Ben Kiernan, The Samlaut Rebellion and Its Aftermath, 1967-1970: The Origins of Cambodia's Liberation Movement (Melbourne: Monash University Centre of Southeast Asian Studies Working Papers No.5, n.d.), Part II (hereafter: Kiernan II), p. 3. 60. Kiernan I, pp. 28-30; Osborne (1973), p. 100. 61. Pol Pot (September 1977), p. 39. 62. Schurmann (1974), p. 523. 63. The Pentagon Papers: Senator Gravel Edition (Boston: Beacon, 1972), Vol. IV, pp. 214, 410, 412,443,479, 491-492, 519, 520, 527, 535. 64. Kambuja, June IS, 1965, p. 15. Also, see Phouk Chhay's comments in New York Times, March 13, 1970. 65. Tad Szulc, The Illusion of Peace (New York: Viking Press, 1978), pp. 45,239. 66. Jay Taylor, China and Southeast Asia: Peking's Relations with Revolutionary Movements (New York: Praeger, 1976), pp. 123-129, 191-192, 206-219, 224-225, 296-297; Gurtov (1975), pp. 113-118, 122-124; Jean Daubier, A History of the Chinese Cultural Revolution (New York: Vintage, 1974), pp. 209, 222-223. 67. Gurtov (1975), pp. 77-79, 118-121; Armstrong (1977), p.206. 68. Taylor (1976), p. 296. 69. Le Monde, March 31, 1978, p. 4. 70. Gurtov (1975), p. 80. 71. Pentagon Papers IV, pp. 412, 479, 519. These documents probably overestimate the general degree of importance ascribable to the facilities involved, but probably correctly note their relative increase in importance as compared to the earlier period. With the same caution in mind, see Douglas Pike, "Cambodia's War," in Southeast Asian Perspectives (New York), No. I, March 1971, pp. 12-14. 72. Gurtov (1975), pp. 75-76. 73. An Outline History of the Vietnam Workers Party (Hanoi: Foreign Language Publishing House, 1970), p. 138; Don Oberdorfer, Tet! (New York: Doubleday, 1971), pp. 42-46. 74. Taylor (1976), p. 60. Again, with the caveat noted in note 71, see Pike (971), pp. 18-19. See also Donald Lancaster, "The Decline of Prince Sihanouk's Regime," in Joseph J. Zasloff and Allan E. Goodman, eds., Indochina in Conflict (Lexington: Lexington, 1972), p. 50; David E. Brown, "Exporting Insurgency: The Communists in Cambodia," in the same volume, p. 125; and Alain-Gerard Marsot, "Background to the American Intervention in Cambodia: Sihanouk's Overthrow," Asian Profile (Hong Kong), Vol. 1, No. I, August 1973, p.76. 75. Speech by Nuon Chea, Phnom Penh Radio, January 17, 1977, Foreign Broadcasts Information Service, Asia and Pacific: Daily Reports (Springfield, Va.: National Technical Information Service (hereafter FBIS), January 19, 1977, p. H2. See also, Kiernan I, p. 33; Kiernan II, p. 6. 76. Daubier (1974), pp. 209-228, 323. 77. Gurtov (1975), p. 121; Taylor (1976), pp. 145-150. 78. Quoted in Armstrong (1977), p. 181, from the Times of India, May 17, 1968. All emphases added. Apparently, Sihanouk was not apprised of the contents of this speech. Otherwise, there surely would have been a strong reaction. 79. Phnom Penh Radio, January 4, 1968, FBIS, January 8, 1968, p. 012. In February, the Soviet Union accorded Kampuchea new military aid. AFP, February 22, 1968, FBIS, February 23,1968, p. 01. 80. Kiernan II, pp. 5-31. This account is based on the official press and statements by Slhanouk himself. 81. Pol Pot (September 1977), pp. 39-41. In some places this source has been supplemented by the broadcast version of Pol Pot's speech. Phnom Penh Radio, September 28, 1977, FBIS, October 4, 1977, pp. H20-21. 82. Phnom Penh Radio, January 27, 1968, FBIS, January 29, 1968, p. 04. Sihanouk did, however, claim that the CPK was receiving some minimal support from the communist-led Thai Patriotic Front. 83. See, for example, Kambuja, April 15,1966, p. 29. 84. Kiernan II, pp. 18,21-22,25-27. 85. Phnom Penh Radio, May 19, 1968, FBIS, May 20, 1968, pp. Hl-2. In this same speech Sihanouk claimed to have captured some Vietnamese communists in the Northeast as well. He described their fate this way: "I ... had them roasted. When you roast a duck, you normally eat it. But when we roasted these fellows, we had to feed them to the vultures. We had to do so to insure our society ..." 86. Phnom Penh Radio, June 4, 1968, FBIS, June 6, 1968, pp. H2-3. Sihanouk's ostentatious insistence on personal responsibility for executions and on his willingness to accept the karmic-Buddhist consequences of his acts, is very reminiscent of Thailand's Marshall Sarit Thanrat, who also directly, personally, and proudly associated himself with summary executions. See Thak Chaloemtiarana, The Sarit Regime 1957-1963: The Formative Years of Modern Thai Politics (Ithaca: Cornell U. Ph.D. Thesis, 1974), pp. 253-257, 263-269. 87. Douc Rasy, Khmer Representation at the United Nations (London: n.p., 1974), p. 53. For commentary on the accuracy of Rasy's reports on Sihanouk's speeches, see Kiernan I, p. 2; and Osborne (1962), p. 69. 88. Pol Pot (September 1977), pp. 42-44. 89. Samuel Adam's testimony in U.S. Policies and Programs in Cambodia (1973), pp. 92-93. The CIA accepted this estimate. 90. Donald P. Whitaker, et al., Area Handbook for Khmer Republic (Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1973), p. 309. 91. Speech by Nuon Chea, Phnom Penh Radio, January 17, 1977, FBIS, January 19, 1977, p. H3. See also the map facing p. 10f Kiernan II. 92. Norodom Sihanouk, Les Paroles (Phnom Penh: Ministere de l'Information, 1968), January-March 1968, pp. 59,106-107; Kambuja, July 15, 1968, p. 95. See also Gurtov (1975), p. 130. 93. See, for examples, Kambuja, April 15, 1968; Phnom Penh Radio, May 27, 1968, FBIS, June 12, 1968, p. H3; Neak Cheat Niyum (Phnom Penh), June 24, 1968, p. 48; Rea/ites Cambodgiennes, October 25, 1968, p. 21; Phnom Penh Radio, December 9, 1968, FBIS, p. H1. See also Kosut (1971), pp. 52-54. 94. See, for example, Phnom Penh Radio, August 17, 1968, FBIS, August 19, 1968, pp. Hl-2. Here Sihanouk cites Lon Nol as the source of his information. See also Realites Cambodgiennes, October 25,1968, p. 21. 95. Pol Pot (April 1978), pp. 4-5. The Kampucheans have alleged that the Vietnamese betrayed CPK secrets to Sihanouk in the 1968-70 period. May 1978 communication from a source that visited Phnom Penh in early 1978. 96. For an indication that his renewed friendliness was clear to outside observers even at the time, see Bernard K. Gordon, "Cambodia: Shadow over Angkor," in Asian Survey, Vol. IX, No.1, January 1969, pp.64-68. 97. New York Times, November 11, 1968. This move was widely seen as designed to send a positive signal to the United States. 98. Kambuja, June 1969, p. 122. 99. Ministere de l'Information, Cabinets Ministeriels Khmers (Phnom Penh, 1970), p. 114. Lon Nol temporarily replaced elder statesman Penn Nouth, who was in ill-health. 100. Marvin Kalb and Bernard Kalb, Kissinger (Boston: Little, Brown, 1974), pp. 131-132. I place "secret" in quotes because of the public Kampuchean response to the raids. See below, fns. 101 and 102. 101. On March 26, 1969, a week after the raids began, Phnom Penh Radio announced: 22 The Royal Government of Kampuchea is deeply concerned over the intensification of deadly bombing raids against the Indochinese countries by the United States Air Force. u.S.-South Vietnamese airplanes have repeatedly attacked our border areas . ... They have made many attacks in recent weeks. FBIS, March 27, 1968, p. HI. 102. Phnom Penh Radio, March 28, 1969, FBIS, April 2, 1969, p. HI. Sihanouk said, I wish to reaffirm that I have always been opposed to the bombings . ... We have shot some of them down. If they come, we will shoot them down with what we have in our hands . ... I will in any case oppose all bombings on Kampuchean territory under whatever pretext. 103. Gurtov (175), p. 133. The American Embassy, however, was headed by a charge, not an Ambassador. 104. See Kambuja, April 1969, p. 7; Realites Cambodgiennes, July 4, 1969, p. 69. 105. Phnom Penh Radio, April 16, 1969; FBIS, April 21, 1969, p. H7. Also Cabinets (1970), p. 114. Also Bernaf(,i K. Gorden and Kathryn Young, "Cambodia: FOllowing the Asian Survey, Vol. X, No.2, February 1970, p. 173. Also in May Lon Nol met with NLF representatives in Phnom Penh and alleged large-scale Vietnamese occupation of Kampuchean territory. Realites Cambodgiennes, July 4, 1969, p. 11. 106. Phnom Penh Radio, June 16, 1969, FBIS, June 16, 1969, p. HI. 107. Kambuja, July 1969, p. 7; August 1969, p. 22. 108. Phnom Penh Radio, June 30, 1969, FBIS, July 1, 1969, pp. Hl-4; Phnom Penh Radio, July 5, 1969, FBIS, July 7, 1969, p. H3. 109. Realites Cambodgiennes, September 19, 1969, pp. 6-7. 110. Pike (1971), p. 20. See also Gurtov (1975), p. 134, fn. "j." 111. Cabinets (1970), pp. 115-117. 112. Osborne (1972), p. 61, reports that in September Lon Nol opened negotiations with Son Ngoc Thanh. Although Osborne presents a different thesis, it seems to me inconceivable that Lon Nol would risk contacts with Son Ngoc Thanh unless he had already made up his mind that Sihanouk had to go. 113. Osborne (1973), p. 111. 114. Osborne (1972), p. 62. 115. Kampong Som had been closed to the Vietnamese as early as January-February 1970. See New York Times, June 30, 1970. Closure was made official and public after the coup. New York Times, March 26, 1970. 116. This demand was first made on March 13, 1970. The deadline was March 15. New York Times, March 13, 1970; Reuters, March 13, 1970, FBIS, March 13, 1970, p. Hl. It was reiterated in "negotiations" after the coup. By March 25, these talks had collapsed. New York Times, March 26,1970. 117. For commentary from various points of view on the tactical and strategic import of the United States-South Vietnamese invasion, see New York Times, June 4,5,7,9,29,30, 1970, and July 1,4,1970. 118. Burchett (1970), pp. 69-70. To my knowledge, the Vietnamese have never claimed to have assisted the CPK materially before March 1970 and thus to have gone beyond mere reciprocating the CPK's provision of sanctuaries to NLF forces. 119. On this point the Vietnamese may well be right. One factor that contributed to the generation of support for the coup from among the upper levels of the Kampuchean bureaucracy was the sense of political panic and desperation that spread as the extent of CPK successes became clear. These feelings were greatly intensified following a meeting of Kampuchean provincial governors in February 1970. This meeting painted a comprehensive picture of very substantial, country-wide CPK gains, which tended to be translated, in the eyes of the elite, into a Vietnamese threat to Kampuchea. Thus, to "do something" about these gains, some felt it was necessary to strike at the Vietnamese. See Pike (171), p. 17, where the meeting and its effects are described precisely in these terms. See also, New York Times, June 30, 1970. 120. For a parallel in the politics of Thailand, see E. Thadeus Flood, "The Vietnamese Refugees in Thailand: Minoriry Manipulation in Counterinsurgency" in the Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars, Vol. 9, No.3 (July-September, 1977), pp. 31-47. 121. Their integration into the VWP was of course mediated through membership in the People's Party of South Vietnam. It is clear, however, that the PRP, which was formally founded in January 1962, was merely the revitalized and renamed southern branch of the VWP and that the two were fully interlocked. Thayer (1975), p. 47. 122. Thayer (1975), pp. 46-53; Turley (1977), pp. 40-41. 123. Smith (1965), p. 116. See also J. D. Armstrong, Revolutionary Diplomacy (University of California, 1977), p. 190. 124. Bartke (1976), p. 45; Gurtov (1975), p. 64; Armstrong (1977), p. 192. 125. Jay Taylor (1974), pp. 199-201. 126. Taylor (1974), p. 20. 127. Smith (1965), p. 123. 128. Schurmann (1974), p. 368. 129. Alfred D. Low, The Sino-Soviet Dispute (Madison: Fairleigh Dickinson, 1976), pp. 11(}-111. 130. See "Speech by Comrade Pol Pot '" at the Great Mass Meeting Commemorating the 10th Anniversary of the Founding of the Revolutionary Army of Kampuchea" (typescript distributed by the Democratic Kampuchea Embassy in Peking, dated January 17, 1978), p.l0. THE CHINA QUARTERLY The leading interTl4lional journal for the 'lUdy of twentieth century China bsu.. CODlalD Artld.. Book Jleylews Commea.. a-llfth Notes VUlton' Repora from 011.. Quarterly CbroDlcIe ..... DoamaentatloD I....e No. 7S (September 1978) PERFORMANCE AND THE CIDNESE POUl'ICAL SYSTEM: A PREUMINARY OF EDUCATION AND HEALTH POUCIES David M. Lampton HUA KUO-FENG AND THE ARREST OF THE .. GANG OF FOUR .. .Andru D. Onate MAO AND UU IN THE 1947 LAND REFORM: ALLIES OR DISPUTANTS? Tanaka Kyoko THE CIDNESE REVOLUTION AND THE COLONIAL AREAS: THE VIEW FROM YENAN, 1937-41 Steven M. Gold.tein Researeb Notes SOME SPECULATIONS ON THE RETURN OF THE REGIONS: PARALLELS WITH THE PASr Dorothy J. Solinger CHINAOS DEMOGRAPIDC EVOLUTION 18SO-19S3RECONSIDBRED Peter Schran DAVID MARSHALL AND JEWISH EMI Jo.e/ and Lynn GRATION FROM CIDNA Silverstein RevIew Artlde MODERN CIDNESE STUDIES IN JAPAN AND THE WEST: COMING CLOSER TOGE1'HBR Ronald Suleski Editorial Office: School of Oriental and African Studies MaJet Street, London WCIE 7HP For subscriptions write to: Publications (The China Quarterly) School of Oriental and African Studies Malet Street, London WCIE 7HP Subscription rates: 10 or U.S.S20 a year, post free Full-time students 5 or U.S.SlO Individual copies 2.50 or U.S.SS 23 Appendix South Vietnam, June 6, 1967 No. 250/CT-I To Samdech Norodom Sihanouk Chief of State of Cambodia Samdech: By its declaration of May 13, 1967, the Central Committee of the National Liberation Front of South Vietnam decided to answer positively the appeal of the Royal Government of May 9, 1967, for the recognition of the territorial integrity of Cam bodia within its present borders. To expedite the communication we have entrusted Mr. Nguyen Van Hieu, member of the Presidium, with the mission of transmitting the text of the decision ofour Central Committee to Samdech and to the Royal Government. By making this s o l l ~ m n Declaration, whose terms I hereby confirm, the National Front and the people of South Vietnam would like to demonstrate their unshakeable friendship to the brother Khmer people. We have taken to our heart the continual consolidation of this friendship between our two people faced with and fighting the aggression of our common enemies, the American imperialists and their valets. Please allow me on this occasion to extend the warmest wishes of a friendly people to Samdech and to the Government over which he presides for the great success in preserving the sovereignty, independence, neutrality and territorial integrity of Cambodia against the undertakings and acts of aggression ofthe American imperialists and their agents. I beg you, Samdech, to accept the assurance of my high consideration and of my affection. Nguyen Huu Tho President of The Presidium of the Central Committee National Liberation Front of South Vietnam DECLARATION Of The Government Of The Democratic Republic Of Vietnam On The Recognition Of The Present Borders Of Cambodia The participants of the Geneva Conference of 1954 on Indo china, according to the terms of point 12 ofthe final Declaration of the Conference, agreed to respect the national rights and territorial integrity of Cambodia and to abstain from interfering in the internal affairs of that country . But by undertaking aggression in Vietnam and military inter vention in Laos, the American imperialists, in concert with Saigon and Bangkok, have multiplied the threats against the independence, sovereignty, neutrality and territorial integrity of the Kingdom of Cambodia and have plotted to have the present borders of Cambodia revised. It is obvious that they pushed aside the Geneva agreements of 1954 on Indochina and are seriously sabotaging peace in Indochina and in this part of the world. Under the far-sighted leadership of their Chief of State, Sam dech Norodom Sihanouk, the Khmer people have resolutely fought against the American imperialist's plots and acts of sabotage to defend their sacred national interests. The Viet namese people have always, with all their heart, supported this just struggle of the Khmer people. In the fight against the enemy, the American aggressor imperialists, the cordial friend ship and militant solidarity between the Vietnamese people and the brother Khmer people are being consolidated and developed each day. Concerning the consequent policy toward the Kingdom of Cambodia, which consists of respecting the independence, sov ereignty, neutrality and territorial integrity of this country, the Government of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam solemnly declares that: 1. It recognizes and will respect the territorial integrity of Cambodia within its present borders, 2. It entirely approves the declaration of May 31, 1967, made by the Central Committee of the National Liberation Front of South Vietnam concerning the recognition of the present borders between South Vietnam and Cambodia. The Government of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam recog nizes these borders and will respect them. The Government of the Democratic Republic of Vietnam is convinced that the relations of good neighboUrs and the de velopment of friendship and of mutual trust between Vietnam and Cambodia would be in the interests of the two countries and those of the common struggle of the people of Indochina against the American aggressor imperialists to defend their respective sacred national rights and to maintain peace in Indochina, in Southeast Asia, and in the world. Hanoi, June 8, 1967 24 A Review Essay The Tet Offensive by Jack Colhoun As one of the twentieth century's most decisive, but most controversial military campaigns, it is not surprising that the Tet offensive of 1968 continues to be a subject of debate. Unfortu nately, much recent discussion of the Tet has centered around Peter Braestrup' s Big Story. Although the book has won considerable praise for its critical investigation of the news media's coverage of Tet, Big Story seriously misrepresents both the major failings of the press corps' Vietnam war reporting and the significance of the Tet offensive itself. In brief, Braestrup's argument is as follows: Rarely has contemporary crisis-journalism turned out, in retrospect, to have veered so widely from reality. Essen tially, the dominant theme of the words andfilmfrom Viet nam (rebroadcast in commentary, editorials, and much po litical rhetoric at home) added up to a portrait ofdefeat for the allies. Historians, on the contrary, have concluded that the Tet offensive resulted in a severe military-political set back for Hanoi in the South. To have portrayed such a setback for one side as a defeat for the other -in a major crisis abroad--cannot be counted as a triumph for American journalism. To be sure, the news media's performance during the Vietnam War is open to much criticism. Braestrup makes many sound diagnoses about the ills of journalism. For example, correspondents were often sent to Vietnam with little or no understanding of military strategy or Vietnamese history, let alone the ability to speak or read Vietnamese. Reporters far too frequently covered the war from Saigon rather than going into the field of battle. Short assignments prevented journalists from developing the experience and perspective needed for first-rate reporting. Braestrup notes that the news media were often manipulated by the Kennedy and Johnson Administrations prior to Tet. Rather than an ideological bias allegedly coloring Tet offensive reporting, Braestrup finds "an underlying journalistic resentment, especially in Washington, at thus being used, and when the crisis came, Johnson was not given the benefit of the doubt, as Presidents usually are." He concludes that many Big Story: How the American Press and Television Re ported and Interpreted the Crisis ofTet 1968 in Vietnam and Washington, by Peter Braestrup, 2 Vols. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1977, Published in coopera tion with Freedom House. editors back in the States, whom he believes should have pressed for clarification of Tet reporting, "joined in the over reaction to Tet, and even exploited it ..." After Tet, Braestrup argues that these editors "no longer felt that the Administration could supply them with a clear agenda for Vietnam 'news,' and they had no coherent framework of their own .. [and] simply adopted the 'disaster' scenario, and thus encouraged subordi nates to do the same. " That some editors did lose faith in the Administration's version of Vietnam news, and also experienced resentment at being "used," is very likely true, but such a finding skirts the central failing of the press corps in Vietnam. With a few important exceptions, the news media from the early 1960s onward served as an unquestioning purveyor of Washington propaganda concerning the military and political situation in Vietnam, what Braestrup charitably calls giving the President the benefit of the doubt. According to Time correspondent John Shaw, "For years the press corps in Vietnam was undermined by the White House and the Pentagon. Many American editors ignored what their correspondents in Vietnam were telling them in favor of the Washington version. "I When the news media did publish information contradict ing Washington's false claims of success, such as in 1963, as the Saigon regime of Ngo Dinh Diem began losing ground politi cally and militarily at a disastrous rate, Washington officials successfully pressured editors for more favorable news, calling critical reports "emotional" and "inaccurate." But even then, James Aronson shows in his book The Press and the Cold War, dissenting journalists questioned tactics rather than basic pol icy. Nonetheless, it took landmark events in 1963 like the Buddhist crisis and the Allied defeat at Ap Bac before such reports were published. For the most part, reporters and editors failed to question Washington's frequent denials of its actions in 25 Vietnam or fell victim to an unrelenting barrage of questionable statistics and euphemisms designed to conceal the truth. As Phillip Knightley concludes in his book about war reporting, The First Casualty, "Too few correspondents looked back and tried to see what it [the Vietnam War] added up to, too few probed beyond the official version of events to expose the lies and half-truths, too few tried to analyze what it all meant." Tet was another of those dramatic watershed events, and the press corps reported what it saw, rather than what Washing ton wanted it to report. At the time, U.S. officials not only disputed the accuracy of the reporting but also the loyalty of the journalists. The Tet offensive had erupted to knock over the house of cards upon which the Johnson Administration's san guine predictions of an imminent end of the war had been based. The offensive was dramatically launched on January 31, 1968, with simultaneously coordinated assaults against 36 of the 40 provincial capitals of South Vietnam, 5 of 6 autonomous cities, 64 of the 242 district capitals, and about 50 hamlets. The Hanoi and National Liberation Front forces held the former imperial capital of Hue for nearly a month. Despite 494,000 U.S. troops stationed in Vietnam, in addition to 626,000 South Vietnamese and 6 r,000 South Korean and other allied forces, the Viet namese revolutionaries were able to strike against the bastions of U.S.-Saigon strength, the urban areas of South Vietnam, catching the allied command off guard. By emphasizing the strictly military aspects of the Tet offensive, Braestrup minimizes the importance of the psycho logical and political elements of the offensive and the overall nature of the Hanoi and NLF strategy for a war of national liberation. By doing so, he applies the criteria of conventional warfare strategy to a guerrilla war in which psychological and political aspects are inextricably interwoven with the military. Henry Kissinger concluded in a January 1969 article in Foreign Affairs: "In a guerrilla war, purely military considerations are not decisive: psychological and political factors loom at least as large." In Kissinger's view, "We fought a military war; our opponents fought a political one. We sought physical attrition; our opponents aimed for our psychological exhaustion." Al though Braestrup, a Marine Corps veteran of the Korean War, bemoans the lack of understanding of military histgory on the part of most Vietnam War correspondents, Big Story reveals his own fundamental unfamiliarity with modem Vietnamese his tory and guerrilla warfare. As recently as the First Indochina War (1945-54), the Vietminh creatively developed its modem military strategy in defeating their French colonial masters. Pitted against an enemy with vastly superior firepower, General Vo Nguyen Giap's strategy at Dienbienphu in spring 1954 employed psychological and political as well as military elements in overcoming the Vietminh's initial military disadvantages. At Dienbienphu, psychological and political factors played an integral part in defeating the French on the battlefield. In his book Summons of the Trumpet: U.S.-Vietnam in Perspective, Colonel Dave R. Palmer says about Dienbienphu: Giap had launched a peripheral campaign designed to scat ter his foe into the hinterlands. His intent was tofall upon and annihilate a major force which might foolishly venture too far from support. Banking on the evident war weariness saturating France, he calculated that wiping out a large enemy unit would be enough of a military catastrophe to collapse the will ofParis. In the historic context of the 1968 spring presidential primaries in the United States and waning popular support for the Johnson Administration policy of gradual escalation, the psychological and political sides of the Tet offensive were also an integral part of Giap's strategy. The Tet offensive was a shocking demonstration that the U.S. was not winning the war. The news media seized upon this fact graphically, the effect of which was to further undermine Johnson's base of political support at a critical juncture .in the war. In this sense, like Dienbienphu, the political consequences of the Tet offensive greatly outweighed its more limited military significance. It is this last point which Braestrup is unable to accept, and which compels him to seek an explanation for the allied strategic defeat in distorted news coverage of the offensive, rather than in the nature of the Vietnamese revolutionaries' national liberation war strategy. Braestrup opens his case against the news media with a critique of early stories reporting that National Liberation Front sappers had seized part of the U.S. Embassy in Saigon. When the shock troops penetrated the embassy compound in the early morning hours of January 31, it was not immediately evident what had taken place. An American MP told a cluster of re porters that sappers were inside the embassy building; Peter Arnett of the Associated Press telephoned this information to the AP, which put it on its wire service. Neither the MPs nor the journalists directly witnessed the action behind the high walls of the compound, but they had to duck bullets they believed were coming from the upper floors of the embassy. At this point, neither U.S. press liaison officials in Saigon nor the correspon dents on the spot were certain the chancery was not occupied. This uncertainty persisted until the embassy was declared secure at 9: 15 AM, nearly six and a half hours after the fighting broke out. Later that morning, General William Westmoreland in spected the embassy and announced the NLF assault had failed, but conceded the attack team did get into the embassy com pound and some of the five adjoining buildings. Nevertheless, Braestrup's criticism of the news media for its coverage of the embassy attack is harsh. "The immediate result was a gross exaggeration of what really happened at the embassy: a small but bold raid to seize the chancery mis carried ... " Braestrup, like U.S. officials after the incident, believes the news media made a mountain out of a molehill. After all, the sappers failed to seize the embassy itself, Braestrup reasons. However, in the aftermath of the Johnson Administration's massive public relations campaign in fall 1967 to convince an increasingly skeptical American public that the elusive light at the end of the tunnel was just around the comer, the very fact that the TET offensive brought the fighting inside the U.S. embassy compound was an important news story. Braestrup is correct in pointing out that, compared with the fighting else where in Saigon and South Vietnam, the assault on the embassy was minor in strictly military terms. But the fact remains that the attack on the symbolic seat of U.S. power in South Vietnam was a major psychological and political victory for Hanoi and the NLF. High officials in Washington understood this point fully. In his considerably more thoughtful account of the embassy fight in his book Tet!, Don Oberdorferdescribes how Washing ton's deep concern about the embassy raid combined with the news reporting to blow the incident out of proportion. In fact, acording to Oberdorfer, Washington's "principal concern" during the early stages of Tet was to secure the embassy. Rather than chasti zing the news media for its reports about the embassy assault, Oberdorfer considers other critical factors, even though he agrees the attacks were overemphasized by the media. Ober dorder writes: the reporters did the best they could with the sources avail able to them: the action they could see and hear from the compound, talk overheard on the MPradio net, and the comments ofconfusedand excited Military Policement, some ofwhom were seeing their first combat action. Oberdorfer, who covered the offensive for the Knight news papers as Braestrup did for the Washington Post, notes the term . American embassy, " over which Braestrup gets so exercised, was a vague term. "Sometimes the term was applied to the Chancery building; at other times the term seemed to encompass the entire compound." Turning to reporting on the effects of the Tet offensive on the pacification program, Braestrup again finds fault with the news media. "All in all, the media performance on pacifica tion-a particularly important but complex story-was ex tremely weak during as before Tet." Braestrup believes it was the shock of Tet, coupled with previously exaggerate Admin istration claims of success, which led journalists to overstate Tel's impact on the pacification program. He recalls that Robert Komer, the pacification program director, made an .announce ment only six days before Tet stating that about 67 percent of South Vietnam's total population was living under good secur ity conditions. Braestrup cites Tom Buckley of the New York Times as a reporter who overreacted to Tet. On February 2, Buckley wrote, . . Despite official statistics to the contrary, no part of the country is secure either from terrorist bombs or from organized military operations." The Tet offensive, Buckley added, was a "reflec tion on American assertions that large sections of the country are pacified." In judging Braestrup's case against Buckley, it is instructive to compare Buckley's reports with a late February 1968 assessment of the impact of the Tet offensive on the pacification program by General Earle Wheeler, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. In this top-secret report submitted by Wheeler to President Johnson after returning from a trip to Vietnam, Wheeler stated the pacification program "has suf fered a severe set back. To a large extent the VC [NLF] now control the countryside." Wheeler wrote, "The people in South Vietnam were handed a psychological blow, particularly in the urban areas where the feeling of security had been strong. " In mid-February, the Saigon government ordered the paci fication teams back into the countryside. Braestrup observes that, within seven months of Tet, Komer's Hamlet Evaluation System estimated that 67 percent of the population lived in "relatively secure" areas, back to the pre-Tet figure. He em phasizes Komer's explanation that the offensive merely created a "vacuum" in the countryside as South Vietnamese pacifica tion teams withdrew to defend the urban areas, as if this, in turn, demonstrates the weakness of Tet reporting on the impact of the offensive on the pacification program at the time. That South Vietnam was again 67 percent pacified according to new statis tics fails to confront the fact that the Tet offensive revealed the insignificance of such statistics in the first place. Furthermore, a concept fundamental to the pacification program's attempt to win the rural population's support was that Saigon would never abandon them. 27 According to Braestrup, the press corps' coverage of the battle for Khe Sanh was another major example of the news media's failure to understand the military significance of the Tet offensive. "Khe Sanh was the most important continuing story during Tet. Almost to the end, it was a story heavily flavored with the suggestion of impending diaster-a disaster compar able to that suffered by the French garrison of Dienbienphu at the hands of General Giap in 1954." Braestrup contends that Khe Sanh "was not that significant in the overall Tet picture," and that after the first few days of February, other than the fight for Hue, Khe Sanh was the only place "where U.S. forces were still on the defensive in Vietnam following the initial Tet at tacks." He observes, "by emphasizing Khe Sanh so heavily, many in the media appeared to believe (and suggest) that the foe was still exerting heavy military pressure throughout Vietnam long after that pressure had in fact eased. " Although Khe Sanh never turned into a Dienbienphu disas ter for the U.S., the news media were hardly alone in their anxiety about Khe Sarth' s fate. General Westmoreland refers in his memoirs to the attention his own command and senior officials in Washington focused on the Marine Corps-held out post. In fact, prior to Tet, and during the early stages of the offensive, Westmoreland anticipated that the main attacks would be centered at Khe Sanh and other parts of northern South Vietnam. Westmoreland recollects, "President Johnson, I learned later, had begun to develop a fixation about it[Khe Sanh]. General [Maxwell] Taylor had to set up a special White House Situation Room to depict and analyze American and enemy dispositions, complete with a large aerial photograph and terrain model." Johnson's fear of a potential military deb acle was so great, Wheeler confided to Westmoreland, that the President was concerned that he might be compelled to decide whether to use tactical nuclear weapons to save Khe Sanh. However, Braestrup is partly correct about the overall significance of Khe Sanh once the Tet offensive began. As conceived of by general Giap, Khe Sanh was part of a peripheral campaign launched in advance of the offensive to draw troops away from the urban areas, which were the object of the Tet offensive. In The Summons of the Trumpet, Colonel Palmer writes: Both Westmoreland and Washington . .. were so preoccu pied with Khe Sanh for several days after the Tet offensive began, there persisted a strong fear that the attacks on the cities were diversionary, designed to divide Allied strength so that an assault against the marine base could be success ful. Blinded by the ruse, officials could not see the reality. The deception plan worked. Perfectly. Indeed, there exist in military history few examples ofso effective a feint. Braestrup does concede that U.S. officials "inflamed" the news media's "Dienbienphu syndrome game," but he still takes the press corps to task for accurately reflecting Washing ton's gloomy preoccupation with the Khe Sanh diversion. A useful way to judge Braestrup's thesis that the Tet offensive was a military defeat for Hanoi and the National Liberation Front is to examine the status of the allied military position on the eve of the Tet offensive. A careful reading of classified assessments of the success of U. S. military strategy by some key American decisionmakers leads one to the conclu sion that the U.S. war effort was stalled. From this vantage point, it becomes evident that far from overstating the actual impact of the Tet offensive, media coverage merely under scored the extent of Washington's strategic weakness. The Pentagon Papers show that at many critical junctures in the war the U. S. suffered serious strategic failures, but instead of reas sessing objectives and strategy, Washington escalated the war in a vain attempt to reverse the main trends ofthe war, and stave off ultimate defeat. Tet was not this decisive defeat, but the offensive was so spectacular Washington could no longer cam ouflage the true dimensions of the battlefield reality. Tet proved that despite the massive buildup of the U.S. air and ground wars beginning in 1965, the war Was stalemated militarily, but that the all-important strategic initiative remained with Hanoi and the NLF. On the eve of the Tetoffensive, the three major elements of the U.S. military strategy-the ground war of attrition in South Vietnam, the pacification program, and the air war over North Vietnam - had proved ineffective. In spring 1967, Westmore land requested additional troops, conceding that the ground had become stalemated. According to the Pentagon Papers, He explained his concept of a "meat-grinder" where we would kil/large numbers ofthe enemy but in the end do little better than hold our own, with the shortage of troops still restricting MACV [Military Assistance Command Vietnam] to a fire brigade technique-chasing after enemy main force units when and where it couldfind them. Even the theoretical underpinning of the ground war was called into question in 1967 by Assistant Secretary of Defense Alain Enthoven's Systems Analysis department. Studies con ducted by Enthoven revealed that the Vietnamese revolution aries were able to control the rate of their losses by initiating most of the battles in the ground war. Enthoven concluded, "The size of force we deploy has little effect on the rate of attrition of enemy forces. "3 Further studies by Enthoven showed that' 'the North Vietnamese were capable of replacing annual losses as high as 200,000 men for years. "4 Enthoven predicted, "The United States could not hope to win a war of attrition within any reasonable period of years, even when the enemy was willing to fight on a massive scale."5 In spring 1967, General Wheeler estimated that the air war was approaching a saturation point when all significant targets in North Vietnam had been hit, with the exception of the ports. As the Pentagon Papers noted, North Vietnam was "an ex tremely poor target for air attack. " The Pentagon Papers con tinued The theory ofeither strategic bombing or interdiction bomb ing assumed highly developed industrial nations producing large quantities of military goods to sustain mass armies engaged in intensive warfare. NVN [North Vietnam}, as U.S. intelligence agencies knew, was an agricultural country with a rudimentary transportation system and little industry ofany kind. 6 28 The air war had failed to stop the flow of men and materiel to the battlefields of South Vietnam and was unable to break the will of the North Vietnamese people to support the war of national liberation in South Vietnam. The pacification program was also stalled. In late 1966, Under Secretary of State Nicholas Katzenbach concluded that the' 'basic precepts behind the counterinsurgency [pacification] doctrine have survived in principle but have been little applied in practice. As program has succeeded program, not only have the principle deficiencies in implementation become increas ingly clear, but also it has become evident that these deficiencies have been essentially the same from the outset."7 According to Enthoven, "By the end of 1967 pacification still had not gotten off the ground. "8 Although Braestrup asserts, "There is a fairly broad agree ment among historians today that Hanoi suffered a military setback during the 1968 Tet offensive," he is not above a little deception himself. He fails to cite the work of a single historian with a background in the history of modem guerrilla warfare to this effect. Hanoi and the NLF did not win as decisively on the battlefield in strictly military terms as the Vietminh did at Dienbienphu, but they, nevertheless, won a major strategic victory in the United States through psychQlogical and political means. To argue, as Braestrup does, that military factors are more important than and distinct from the psychological and political elements of the Tet offensive is to misunderstand the Vietnam War itself. As the late Bernard Brodie, a civilian strategy analyst, wrote, the decisiveness ofTet is not to be found in South Vietnam "but in its effects on the American commit ment to the war." And those effects stemmed from the audacity of the Tet offensive strategy and the ability of a supposedly nearly beaten foe to implement it. In short, Braestrup has made a fundamentally flawed case against the news media, appealing to conservative critics of PACIFIC AFFAIRS AN INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ASIA AND THE PACIFIC Now in its 51st year, this authoritative journal covers the political, economic, social and diplomatic problems of Eastern and Southern Asia, with articles contributed by writers from all over the world. Each issue contains a comprehensive book review section. Published Quarterly - $12.00 a year UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA 2075 Wesbrook Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T lW5 journalism and those who feel that the United States was cheated out of a victory in the Vietnam War. In this sense, Big Story is part of a larger postwar political and intellectual refighting of the war that is likely to continue for years to come. 9 Braestrup's conclusions will likely figure prominently among the arguments of those eager to reinterpret the Tet offensive in order to show that Washington could have won the war, had it not been for a loss of will at home. His charges of distorted news reporting about the offensive will likely be used to support calls for restricted news coverage of future wars. However, like many of the official press releases and briefings claiming military prog ress during the Vietnam War, a close reading of Big Story, coupled with a determination to look beneath the surface of the official version of the war, will lead the reader to opposite conclusions. *' Notes I. Quoted in Phillip Knightley. The First Casualty: From the Crimea to Vietnam: The War Correspondent As Hero, Propagandist, and Myth Maker (New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich. 1975). p. 376. 2. The Senator Gravel Edition. The Pentagon Papers: The Defense Department History of United States Decisionmaking on Vietnam, Vol. 4 (Boston: Beacon Press. 1971), p. 442. 3. Ibid .. Vol. 4. p. 461. 4. Alain C. Enthoven and K. Wayne Smith. How Much Is Enough: Shaping the Defense Program. 1961-1969 (New York: Harper Colophon Books. 1971). p. 296. 5. Ibid .. p. 297. 6. Gravel Edition. The Pentagon Papers, Vol. 4, p. 56. 7. Ibid., Vol. 4. p. 396. 8. Enthoven and Smith. p. 303. 9. This is also Marilyn Young's central point in "Vietnam Rewrite." Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars, Vol. 10. No.4 (Oct.-Dec., 1978), pp. 78-80. Vol. 51, No.3 Fall 1978 Language Planning for China's June Teufel Dreyer Ethnic Minorities Public Policy Toward Religion Gordon P. Means In Malaysia Persistent Praetorianism: William L. Richter Pakistan's Third Military Regime A New Political Status for Roger W. Gale Micronesia Themes in the History of Robert A. Kapp 20th Century Southwest China A Review Article Second Thoughts on Democracy Rene Goldman and Dictatorship in China Today A Review Article BOOK REVIEWS 29 A Cinema Review "I Want To Live" by Baljit Malik At the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in Rome these days a conference secretariat is busy preparing for a World Conference on Agrarian Reform which is scheduled to be held in July 1979. Recently some of the officials concerned with the World Conference were shown a film called "I Want to Live." One of the persons who saw the film was Mr. Hernan Santa Cruz, who is the FAO Director-General's Special Representa tive for the organization of the Conference. After the screening, during what was supposed to be time for a discussion on the film, Mr. Santa Cruz was seen and heard to murmur a relay of words, "Excellent, excellent ... excellent!" - which was the beginning and end of the discussion. Soon afterwards Mr. Santa Cruz and Prof. Prosterman of the Hunger Project of the Erhard Seminar Training (est) Foundation of Werner Erhard disap peared down the corridors to see, perhaps, how the film could be incorporated into the program of the Conference. "I Want to Live" mayor may not be shown by FAO as a sideshow to the Conference; perhaps FAO does not plan to screen any films at all at the time of the World Conference. But all the same it is interesting to know what sort of film on agrarian reform the FAO representative thinks is "excellent" as it can be a clue to the way in which the Conference Secretariat itself looks at the problems of rural development in the Third World. The film in question was produced by the American pop singer John Denver with money from the Windfall Foundation, which he helped to set up with earnings from his music. But the film also has connections with other foundations whose motivation to eliminate hunger can only be tenuous, if not altogether dubious. "[ Want to Live" is a film in which the children of the Third World are supposed to be calling for an end to hunger, a film that ostensibly tries to show that' 'the end of hunger is an idea whose time has come." Yet it is a film in which Third World peasants (mainly Indian) and their hungry children are shown as mutes with neither a voice of their own nor the strength or intelligence to take their own steps towards self-protection and self-reliance in an unjustly ordered world. The only talking that is done in this film on hunger is by those for whom too much food is a problem and whose very prosperity keeps the hungry peasants of Asia, Africa and Latin America retiring in the evening with nightmares caused by sparse meals, day after day . Most of the talking in this film is done by Mr. and Mrs. Den ver, the late President Kennedy, Vice-President Mondale of the USA, the late Senator Hubert Humphrey, U.S. Ambassador Andrew Young, the Jamaican Ambassador to the UN and a UN Official from India. The gist of what they all say in the film runs something as follows: There is no reason why there should be hunger in the world, for there is really enoughfoodfor everybody. . . ijonly the USA would take the hard decisions and galvanize the neces sary political will to help the developing countries to modernize their agricultural systems. What "I Want to Live" says is that Uncle Sam wants to and perhaps will end hunger if only the peasants/farmers of the Third World will remain patient and passively await the effects of the enlightened policies that the saner elements in the Ameri can political system will adopt and implement. Unfortunately there is too much in the film that is uncon vincing for such claims to sound credible. To start with, it's a poorly made film and in bad taste. Most of the images that flash across the screen are excerpts from a series of interviews with people (mentioned above) who have little or no direct knowl edge of or experience with the problems of food and hunger as experienced by those crying out l/we want to live. What comes through is a hastily edited newsreel, a publicity stunt forparticu lar persons. But the persons in it are what is wrong with the film. It's a personality-based and not a people-based film. When the hungry people do appear, as in the shots of India, they are in the background; they are depicted as being voiceless and powerless. What is more, there is not even a faint suggestion how they could transform their weakness into strength, their powerless ness into active resistance through effective organizations of their own. In contrast to the village people of Asia, John Denver and others in the USA and UN establishment are pictured as robust decision-makers and keepers of the public conscience on whose actions and "altruism" will depend the ult.imate well-being of the Third World's hungry peasants and workers. The symbol of such "altruism" and the power that props it up is none other than the massive globular dome of the Capitol in Washington, a landmark that the camera faithfully focuses on with awe. Yet, 30 despite the poor quality of the film both from a cinematographic as well as a Third World point of view, "1 Want to Live" is a clever bit of propaganda for the U.S. Establishment. For inst ance, there is a passing reference in the film to the urgency for land reform and how landlordism prevents farmers from receiv ing a fair share of the fruits of their own labor. In another flashing sequence there is even a reference to an American multinational company taking away land from peasants in a Latin American "Sugar Republic." In the same vein there is talk about appropriate technology and the foolishness of impos ing stringent birth control policies without attending to the overall health and development needs of village people in the developing countries. These and other statements made in the film perhaps reflect the growing criticism in academic and public circles in the United States regarding these questions, criticism which has created a need to make at least some reference to them, even in forums where the main thrust is a repetition of the old myths. Thus, despite many sensible things that are said in the film, it is also said that hunger and poverty can be eliminated if only the U.S. uses its political will to help the developing countries to modernize and reform their agricultural systems. It is the politi cal power of the U.S. and modernization that are the real answers; not the political power of the peasantry or participatory (or revolutionary) transformation from below. "I Want to Live," as explained by Roy Prosterman, was made for American audiences; yet the professor was in Rome to show the film to FAO, and Werner Erhard himself has already met with the Indian Prime Minister in connection with the so-called Hunger Project of which the film is a part. Thus, while the film in the U. S. appears to call on Americans to believe in their democratic social and political system and in the philan thropism of their pop-stars, to Third Worlders it suggests that they cannot really do anything about their problems until the U. S. decides to help them. The Hunger Project of Werner Erhard, which itself is part of est (Erhard Seminar Training), is a good example of what might be referred to as a call for inaction in the struggle to eliminate hunger. As Newsweek put it, Erhard insists that to work for any specific solution to the problem of world hunger would be only to add to the "pea soup" of confusion that already exists. The real hope, he says, is that people, in experiencing their own responsibility for self (his basic est precept), will naturally experience a sense of responsibility for the world around them. Beyond that, he says impatiently, "you just can't discuss it. That's the beauty of it. It has a power all its own." (August 28, 1978, page 48) It must be admitted that Erhard has a con-man's talent, amassing by selling a "clever" idea. He also has the patience to travel the world to sell his project as well as a film like "I Want to Live." Above all he knows why/how to collect vast funds (U.S. $700,000 for the Hunger Project) in the name of HUNGER, none of which will eliminate the real causes of hunger. The crowning howler of the Hunger Project is the date which Erhard has picked as the time when enough people (in the U. S.) will come to believe that global famine must end: 1997. He would have the hungry people of the world wait - and wait - until then. '* A Cinema Review "Tongpan" by Norman Peagam In early 1975 I was working in Bangkok as the political correspondent of the Far Eastern Economic Review and my colleague, Mike Morrow, covered economic and business affairs. Chained to a merciless weekly deadline, we found ourselves constantly busy trying to keep track of develop ments during Thailand's first serious attempt to establish a democratic parliamentary system of government. Day after day we pursued leads and contacts as we attempted to piece together coherent stories in time for the Wednesday evening bloodletting, when we sat, often long into the night, behind typewriters in the Reuters office and watched our paragraphs go chattering over the wire to the editors in Hong Kong. Like most foreign journalists in Thailand, our work was largely confined to Bangkok, partly because of the need to appear and perform each week at the Reuterss office, but mainly because the Thai capital is the center of all national decision-making and high-level political and financial activity to an extent surpassed in few other countries. Bangkok is the only true metropolis in Thailand, where ten percent of the population live and die; where government, industry, foreign trade, banking, communications, higher education, and the military and civilian elites are concentrated; where, for good or ill, the future course of the nation is charted. Scurrying around the hot, teeming city after news, it was easy to lose sight of the larger issues facing developing countries such as Thailand, and to forget that the vast majority of the popUlation were simple farmers living in villages far removed not only from the bright city lights but also from the wealth, the way of life, the values and ideals, and even the very minds of most city dwellers. Every now and then, however, something would happen to remind us forcefully about the problems of this true silent majority. One day in early 1975, Mike Morrow heard that a seminar was being organized by the American Friends Service Committee (AFSC) to discuss the United Nations Mekong Development Scheme, a grandiose plan dating back to the early 1960s and aimed at harnessing the waters of the river Mekong to provide irrigation, power, and other benefits to the countries which lie along its banks. He thought it might make an interesting story, and with his usual energy and ingenuity set about preparing a comprehensive survey of the entire Mekong project. He read through the voluminous studies and reports which had been published over the years, interviewed the director of the progam and various experts involved in its planning, travelled to Laos to see how the first stage was progressing-the crnstruction of the Nam Ngum dam and hydroelectric complex about 60 miles north of Vientiane-and arranged to attend the AFSC seminar as an observer. He planned a three-part series, with one article focusing on the technical and economic aspects of the project, one on its political implications for the region, and another summarizing the discussions at the seminar. The seminar was held one weekend in Chaiyaphum, north of Bangkok. This location in itself was rather unusual: normally such meetings are held in Bangkok so the participants can stay in luxury hotels and take advantage of the numerous diversions available in the Thai capital. It was attended by AFSC representatives, Thai government officials -including the renowned economist Dr. Puey Ungphakorn, then the Rector of Bangkok's Thammasat University* technocrats, and local politicians. Another unusual feature of the seminar was the appearance of interested students who had even managed to bring along a few fanners from the area in the hope that they would voice their opinions on the merits of the project, which was, after all, primarily designed to benefit them. The participation of students and farmers in a meeting like this was a direct result of the October 14, 1973, student uprising in Bangkok, when hundreds of thousands of people had taken to the streets of the capital in protc;st against the corruption and repression of the 1O-year-old military dictatorship then in power. The massive demonstrations, unprecedented in Thai history, had so alarmed the leaders of the regime that they had ordered the army and police to open fire on the crowds. In the ensuing two days of street violence, 71 people were killed and hundreds wounded, government vehicles and buildings were destroyed and set on fire, and part See "Violence and the Military Coup in Thailand" by Puey Ungphakorn in the Bulletin of Concerned Asian Scholars, Volume 9, No.3 (1977), pp. 4-12. 32 Tongpan is a sixty-minute black and white Thai feature film. Tongpan is the first Thai film to honestly depict contemporary Thailand the first to explore the real dilemmas of development. Tongpan's cast and crew, many of whom have been forced underground or into exile since the film's production, include the most prominent artists, musicians, intellectuals and public figures ofThailand Tongpan is the story of a farmer in northeast Thailand, played by one ofthe country's greatest prizefighters. Tongpan is now available with English subtitles from: ISAN FILM GROUP 319 Grant Avenue San Francisco CA94108 of the capital was transformed into a battlefield. But to the astonishment of everyone, the crisis opened a fatal split in the senior ranks of the armed forces, and as a result, the three most prominent leaders of the military regime were forced to resign and driven into exile. In the euphoria which followed the students' triumph, many Thais believed that a new and truly democratic era had arrived. Students went out into the countryside to "teach democracy" to the farmers; a new Constitution was promulgated; general elections were held for a National Assembly; labor unions were formed and began applying pressure for higher wages and better working conditions; and even the farmers, who make up about 75 percent of the Thai population, organized themselves into a Federation, began publishing their own newspaper, and demanded redress for a wide variety of grievances. It was in this new, and ultimately short-lived, atmosphere of popular participation in national politics-a unique experience for Thailand-that students and farmers arrived at Chaiyaphum to take part in the AFSC-sponsored seminar. One of those farmers was a man called Tongpan. In fact, he had been forced to abandon his land several months earlier because an irrigation project had ruined his crop. The diversion of the natural water supply in his area had left the soil dry and barren when it needed moisture and flooded when it needed the warmth of the sun. Since then he had drifted from town to town in search of work and had ended up in Chieng Khan, a small dusty settlement on the banks of the river Mekong in northeast Thailand, where he had taken a job as a samlor (tricycle rickshaw) driver. He and his wife and their several small children lived in a small shack behind the bus station, where one of the students had found him. His wife was pale and weak from tuberculosis, but they had no money to buy medicine. When he came to the seminar, Tongpan had only 20 Baht ($1) in his pocket. After the important people from Bangkok had addressed the seminar, Tongpan told his story of how "development" schemes can sometimes result in poverty and suffering for the people they are intended to benefit. Though unsophisticated and unschooled, he was a physically impres sive man and surprisingly articulate. There was little the economists and technocrats could say in reply. After lunch, it was decided to make a tour of the surrounding area to inspect the irrigation problem at first hand. Tongpan said he had to go home to take care of his wife, but the seminar participants agreed to meet him during their tour at his home behind the bus station. A few hours later, they interrupted their trip into the countryside at Chieng Khan and made their way to Tongpan's shack. There, they found him crying uncontrollably. His wife had died during the afternoon. The members of the seminar were embarrassed and didn't know what to say or do. Somebody quickly organized a collection and gave Tongpan a few hundred Baht to pay for the funeral. Then they left. Later, the students returned to Tongpan's home, but it was empty. He and the children had gone. Despite efforts made over the next several months, nobody was ever able to find out what became of him. Morrow returned to Bangkok to write his articles, including a moving account of Tongpan's experience. But the editors of the Far Eastern Economic Review, in their wisdom, decided not to publish the story of Tongpan, partly for space reasons, partly because "human interest" stories are not their specialty, but largely, I believe, because its powerful indictment of the damage that can be inflicted by blind, western-imposed "development" efforts and the callous indifference of privileged urban elites was simply too controversial and ran counter to their editorial policy. Disappointed, but not discouraged, Morrow decided that the story of Tongpan deserved to be told and conceived the idea of making a film about it. Over the next several months, while continuing his normal reporting work, he assembled a group of young Thais to work on the project and began raising money to carry it out. Two years and over $30,000 later, the final result has now appeared: a 60-minute, 16 mm feature film in black and white called simply "Tongpan." 33 The film is set in the cracked and parched paddy fields of the northeast, the poorest region in Thailand, and attempts to weave a slightly fictionalized portrait of Tongpan and his family around a seminar on irrigation by cutting back and forth between life at home and in the fields and scenes in the air-conditioned sterility of the seminar room. To the music of the traditional khene (wind instrument) and drum, we are presented with a realistic glimpse of the daily frumations and hardships which face the poorer peasants of Thailand, relieved as it is only by such comforts as the family, village fairs, and rice wine. The film suggests no solution to their dilemma, whether reformist or revolutionary, no redemption, no way out. It merely illustrates the enormous material and psychological gap between a complacent elite and the mass of peasants upon whose sweat and tears it so comfortably rests. No doubt the film can be criticized on this ground, since it essentially depicts a situation of hopelessness. But, given that it is comparatively rare for filmmakers to sully the silver screen with images of poverty which offer neither happy endings nor safe box office returns, the enterprise of the young Thais involved in making this film should be applauded if it can help to increase awareness of the poverty and suffering crying out to be solved in their society. Another criticism, voiced at a private screening at the World Bank in Washington, D.C., is that by concentrating on the plight of one unfortunate family, "Tongpan" provides a false perspective of the general situation in northeast Thailand with an insufficient basis in the objective facts. According to this argument, conditions in the northeast are simply not as bad as the film implies. From a statistical point of view, that may be correct. But art has rarely had much time for statistics, and insofar as the story of Tongpan is true, who can say it should not be told? Chiaruscuro is one of the most effective weapons of the artist. "Tongpan" is not a great film. Technically, it is not as good as it might be owing to the poor and inconsistent quality of the negative, the crew's inexperience and lack of funds and equipment, plot deficiencies, wooden sub-titles, and a bad processing job carried out "on the cheap" in a developer's backyard in Hong Kong. But it is moving, despitli: or perhaps because of its amateurishness, and by exploring the realities of daily life among the rural poor, unique of its kind in southeast Asia. Apart from the cameraman-cum-production manager cum-technical director Frank Green, a young American who has studied film at UCLA, nobody else involved in the making of "Tongpan" had any previous experience in making movies. The director, Surachai Chantimatorn, is a young poet, writer, and musician-once referred to as "Thailand's Bob Dylan" and leader of the popular Caravan folk group, whose songs are used in the film. The principal actors are ordinary farmers from northeast Thailand while supporting roles are played by Thai students, intellectuals, and former politicians. The dialogue is in the northeast Isan dialect, a composite of Thai and Laotian, with English sub-titles. The film was actually shot in Bua Yai, a small market town in Korat province, where the political tensions of that period soon made themselves felt. According to one of the film crew, As soon as we arrived, we became the center of attention in the town. We rented a house where the crew and the cast could stay and began looking for potential actors. We were lucky to come across the man who plays the leading role, a farmer and former prize fighter who conveys the physical impressiveness of the real Tongpan quite well. Through friends, we soon found people to play the other parts. We then decided it would be good diplomacy to let the local police know who we were and what we were 34 doing. One of the crew went to see the police chief, but he was roaring drunk. She tried again later, but we were never able to reach him . ... About half way through the film we ran out of money and raw stock and the camera needed repairs so we called a ten-day recess. (We were so Iowan money that we had to get through filming the scene in the chicken farm so we could eat the actors') A friend and I went to the railway station to catch the midnight train to Bangkok and we sat on the platform with our gear waiting for the train. There were a lot of poor, homeless people and bums sleeping in the station and samlor drivers asleep in their samlors. We attracted the usual crowd of curious passers-by, but one guy in the back caught my attention. I could see he was Dolding an automatic rifle and suddenly felt the whole atmosphere in the station change. People had stopped talking and there was tension in the air. He came up to the front of the group without saying anything and stood about five meters away from me, pointing his gun between my eyes. He seemed a bit drunk and angry. Then he cocked the gun. He stood like that for a while until finally the station master appeared, quite scared, and said to us, "I think you'd better come in and pick up your tickets now. " Then the man fired, right between our heads. He fired a couple more times and also threw a small plastic bomb, scattering shrapnel and concrete around. The man was arrested later and we found out he was an off-duty local policeman. We felt this incident was meant to be a warning from the police, so later we threw a dinner party for the police chief, which he seemed to enjoy. But after that, the crew turned into a virtual armed camp. One of us always stayed awake at night and we carried guns. We just wanted to finish the film and get the hell out of there! Another incident involved the boy who plays Tongpan's son. He was about 11 years old and was really enjoying himself He and his father were paid a little and everything seemed fine. Then his schoolteacher, the daughter of an army general, began calling us communists and threatened to throw the boy out of school. He and his father got scared, but we had to go on using him. Fortunately, in the end, nothing happened. The tension and violence surrounding the making of "Tongpan" was symptomatic of the ugly course Thai politics was taking at that time: assassinations, threats, and intimida tion by extreme right-wing groups and vigilantes were commonplace as the political forces at work in Thai society rapidly polarized and the country's first serious attempt to establish democratic parliamentary government began to break up in chaos and confusion. Eventually, on October 6, 1976, the Thai armed forces again seized power in Bangkok following a savage attack on Thammasat University by police and right-wing mobs which, according to eye witness reports, left at least 200 dead. Dr. Puey Ungphakorn, who attended the original seminar at Chaiyaphum, narrowly escaped lynching and managed to seek exile in Britain. A right-wing daily Bangkok newspaper published a group photograph taken at the seminar, identifying American AFSC representatives as "KGB agents" and some of the Thai intellectuals in the picture as "leading communist cadres"! Not long afterwards, I was expelled from Thailand because of certain stories published in the Far Eastern Economic Review, and the editors of that worthy magazine, who had long since found a replacement for Mike Morrow, immediately fell into line with the spirit of the new Thai regime and made no attempt to reinstate me. Meanwhile, hundreds of students, intellectuals, and others had fled into exile or joined the outlawed Communist Party of Thailand in the jungle, including many of those involved in the making of "Tongpan." That is why there are no credits at the end of this film, and why it is unlikely that it could be shown in Thailand '* today. 35 A Cinema Review "Tongpan": An Important Event in Thai Cinema by Baljit Malik Films being made in Asian countries are now beginning to express an Asian reality. This is happening in a small way, but it is happening. The scale of the movement to break away from Hollywood and Bombay-type extravaganzas, and from films as a kind of "celluloid LSD," is still small, constrained as it is by film-makers and sellers out to make quick profits. One little ripple that has recently emerged from the stagnant waters of Asia's film world is called "Tongpan." The work of a group of creative amateurs, "Tongpan" is not the result of a commercial venture, and is not a professionally-made film in the conventional sense. It is also not a film in the style of what has come to be known as the "New Wave Cinema," for "Tong pan" is not an art film to be "museumed" for wealthy con noisseurs. But precisely for all these reasons it is important that a film called "Tongpan" has been made. Indeed an impor tant event has occurred in Thai Cinema. Important because it shows what is happening to the Thai people in the name of 'development' and captures for posterity the tensions and strains of an important period in Thailand's recent history. Unique Features There are certain unique features about "Tongpan." Those who made the film also had a part to play in the events that make up the film. It is a simple story told in a simple way by a group trying to work together in a spirit of solidarity: there is unity in the content and form of the film. For its makers the film was a means to continue their efforts to get closer to village people. They also tried to make the process of of the film. Ultimately "Tongpan" turned out a documentary making the film as participative as possible. So, though the on the life of Thai peasants as well as a feature story based on film had an identifiable director and cameraman, a group was an attempt by certain Thais to break their alienation from the responsible for producing it collectively. The screen-play, dia real Thailand of villages, tenants and sharecroppers. logues and various arrangements during the shooting were all Hence in this review the story of making the film is so handled in a spirit of togetherness, with individuals contrib interwoven with the events narrated in it that it is difficult uting their particular talents and skills. In other words, the and, indeed, unnecessary to make a distinction between the film was not an ego-trip for anyone person. Those who got two. Another unique, though tragic, feature of the film is that the idea to make the film, and made it, also acted in it and many of those who made the film and/or were in it, had to were participants in the string of events that led to the making leave Thailand after the Military Coup of October 6, 1976. 36 Tongpan The Peasant "Tongpan" the film has Tongpan the peasant as its cen tral character. The story is centered around a seminar that ac tually took place in 1975. The seminar, which was held under the sponsorship of the Quaker International Seminar Pro gramme, was organized by a group of socially conscious young Thais. Their idea was to discuss the relevance of the construc tion of the huge Pa-Mong dam on the Mekong River, by ar ranging a dialogue between government officials, foreign ex perts, intellectuals and farmers. That's how Tongpan came into the picture. Some of the organizers, who later decided to make a film about the seminar, had met Tongpan in a border town. They discovered that he had a very chequered life. To start with, he had lost his land when a dam had been built to straddle one of the Mekong's tributary streams. From then on he had struggled and suffered to keep his family alive, drifting along from job to job as a pedicab driver, timber smuggler, and prize fighter. In the film there are a series of sequences of the ebbing fortunes of Tongpan's life. Particularly effective are the scenes when he and his family had to leave their village and land and move to new pastures, and when he is shown in his new profession as a prize-fighter. Tongpan was understandably reluctant to come to the seminar as he wasn't convinced that it would do him any good. But eventually he decided to go. One night, recalled a fellow participant recently, Tongpan woke up in the middle of the night searching furiously for something in an obvious state of nervousness. "Brother, what is it! what is the problem?" asked one of his roommates (himself a farmer cum writer now living in exile in Sweden). As it transpired, Tongpan had been looking for his little fortune of 20 Baht ($1) with which he had come to at tend the meeting with so many big shots. True to his fears, the seminar proved to be a waste of time for him. Not many of the participants really had any time for people like him or any interest in their problems, dreams and hopes. It became evident through the course of the film that ex cept for two or three of the younger people, nobody was really interested to know that he and his family, having lost their land to the dam, were living on with the hope that one day they might have enough money to buy a pair of buffalo. With their buffaloes they could at least get back close to the soil, if only as nomadic ploughers on other people's land. Moreover, they would have a calf to sell each year and, per haps one day, enough savings to be able to possess a little land of their own once again. But such matters were of little con cern to the experts, who also rlid not seem to have any answers to the few questions put to them by some of the other peasant participants. Rustic Reality In contrast to the cool-looking neatly dressed experts, bureaucrats and intellectuals in the seminar, the film has a strong rustic reality running through it. Sometimes this comes out in the songs of the minstrels who roam the villages singing about the pain and suffering of life: This land is dry and poor, This land is a starving land, In the dry season the forest disappears, As the scorching wind blows from year to year. Lacking home and shelter We pick leaves and berries Which we must eat instead of rice Our daughters they take for pleasure And our wives they take away too. Who is above the Law of the Land? Sometimes the peasants' anger is not disguised in song or poetry but comes out in plain talking with friends over a drink, in quartels with family members, or in emotional out bursts of deep resentment against their oppressors. In one such burst of emotion, Tongpan shouts, "What on earth is this wholesale labor? They buy my labor wholesale ... but pay later whenever they feel like it!" One of the most powerful moments in the film is when Tongpan is laboring away all alone, looking after a rich farm er's chicken-run. He suddenly feels that he has come to the end of the road, that he can't tolerate his condition any more. There is no one around on whom he can lose his temper, so he goes like hell-let-loose on the poor chickens. Kicking and hitting them with anything, running around like a frightened animal in a cage, he transforms the chicken-run a graveyard. And there is no requiem for the poor birds except his furious cries, "Get out of here you damn chickens, the more I feed you, the more poor I am!" Disappears The events shown in "Tongpan" were, in a way, sym bolic of the failure of attempts to create suitable conditions for a dialogue between different interest groups and classes in Thai Society. Even Tongpan left the seminar, undetected, only to discover tragedy awaiting him at home. While the ex perts and intellectuals were talking away, his wife had died at home, having succumbed to the sickness of poverty, the sick ness of a system of health-care restricted to Bangkok and to those with money and wealth. In the film, after the seminar, the student who had per suaded Tongpan to take part in it returned to the village to look for his missing friend. But Tongpan was no longer there and nobody knew where he had gone. Maybe he had really come to the end of the road. Or had he arrived at the thresh old of renewed hopes and a new struggle against injustice? Had Tongpan actually convinced himself of the futility of dialogue in a system which recognized communication only as a top down process? No, nobody knew where Tongpan was, and no body knew what was in his mind. '* 37 Review Essay To Each His Own Vietnam by Pierre Brocheux If we exclude academic works, a total of twenty-seven books and four photo-albums on Vietnam have been published in France since 1975 .... Even if we consider that eight of the books cover the period of liberation and afterwards, one cannot help but wonder why there has been such a blossoming of books on Vietnam in France. Can the phenomenon be attributed merely to competition between publishers who desire to be the first on the current events' market? Is Vietnam on our minds, in our or in our guts? The need to fix something which is rapidly disappearing or to scrutinize something that is nascent is what is pushing French writers and opinion-makers. One at least wonders if only Vietnam is at issue. Fading Images and Lost Opportunities Philippe Franchini's book, Continental Saigon, is rather uneven in its treatment. Its title is misleading, for it calls to mind old colonialist stories. Now, Franchini is not an old colonialist; he studied history at the Sorbonne and above all his father was a Corsican, about whom much has been written ...... (some of it not wholly true) and his mother was the daughter of a mandarin doc-pbu-su from southern Vietnam. The book is entertaining and vividly evokes a colonial and semifeudal society, and is quite unlike a' bistro story. The second part of the book offers less of an historical and social analysis than the first part, but there are many useful observations and anecdotes about the cosmopolitan fauna who frequented the Continental Hotel during the French Indochina war, stories which are not lacking in raciness, lessons and-alas!-truths. Of the two periods sketched in the book, the first Indochina war is really eclipsed; what is most interesting is that this is an Eurasian's story which makes it quite the opposite of Colonel Leroy's story (also Eurasian; see below). -This essay was written in March 1978. I wish to thank Jayne Werner for having revised my clumsy English manuscript. "He built the famous Continental Hotel in Saigon. Three books-by Sergent, Mattei and Spaggiari-have been written about the French army, in particular the Foreign Legion. The feats of the Foreign Legion's Fifth Regiment after the Japanese coup d'etat against the colonial administration in March 1945 are described by former Captain Pierre Sergent. His book, Les marecbaux de la Legion, goes beyond a mere pious commendation of heroic deeds. A lost soldier, involved in the activities of the O.A.S. (Secret Army Organization) in Algeria, Pierre Sergent relates the gallantry of the non-com missioned officers and officers in the Foreign Legion compared with the incompetence of most of the field officers. In doing so, the author questions the ability of the top brass in the French army and portrays the Legion as a corps of professional warriors, transnational and far above the pettiness and maneuvers of politics. The last generation of old Indochina hands is passing. Some of them are now retired and feel a need to address posterity. They need to air their opinions, until now constrained by the necessity of reserve. Observations, convictions or the wish to payoff old scores are strong enough motivations for writing a book, and, as such, make the enterprise somewhat autobiographical. Claude Boisanger was the former advisor on foreign affairs to Admiral Jean Decoux. Evidently M. Boisanger scraped his old notebooks to give us some personal recollections about the last Governor General of Indochina (1940-45). He deplores Gereral DeGaulle's misunderstanding and mistreatment of the Admiral. The question of "collabora tion" between the Decoux administration (affiliated with the Vichy government) and the Japanese is brushed aside. To some degree Boisanger lets us in on the uneasy talks' at the between men whose aim it was to maintain, as long and as completely as they could, French domination over the Indochina peninsula and those who tried to get the maximum amount of cooperation from the Japanese, But what about the economic impact of the Japanese occupation on Indochina, as a result of Indochina's serving Japanese war-time and logistical needs? What about the reactions of the Indochinese peoples to the Japanese occupations? One finds no answers to these questions in Boisanger's memoirs. Finally, the title is 38 deceptive, because it is unlikely that the prevention of the two Indochina wars lay in maintaining French control (as Decoux also assumed in his memoirs, At the Helm of Indochina, written after the Japanese surrender). Did the Fourth Republic "die at Dien Bien Phu"? This is the assumption made in Raphael-Leygues' memoir. The book is a chronicle of the first Indochina war by a former Navy officer, now a well-known parliamentarian. But the main interest of the book is its account of the mission of Prince Buu Hoi, a noted biochemist, to Rangoon in 1953 to explore the possibilities of a compromise between Bao Dai and Ho Chi Minh. Also interesting is the author's interpretation of the reason for the French pursuit of the war and his formula for ending it. Former Prime Minister Pierre Messmer, a Gaullist, thought the French army wanted the war because it felt the Books Reviewed in This Essay. Saigon, d'un Vietnam a l'autre (Saigon, From One Vietnam to Another). J. L. Arnaud, Paris: Gallimard, 1977. Chant funebre pour Phnom Penh et Saigon (Dirge for Phnom Penh and Saigon). Paris: SPL, 1975. On pouvait eviter la guerre d'indochine. Souvenirs 1941-1945 (The Indochina War Could Have Been Prevented. Recollections 1941-45), Claude Boisanger. Paris: A. Maisonneuve, 1977. Bay Vien, Le maitre de Cholon (Bay Vien, the Lord of Cholon), Pierre Darcourt. Paris: Hachette, 1977. Vietnam, qu'as-tu fait de tes fils? (Vietnam, What Have You Done with Your Sons?), Pierre Darcourt. Paris: Albatros, 1975. . .. Et Saigon tomba (And Saigon Fell), P. Dreyfus. 1 I Paris: Arthaud, 1975. Continental Saigon (The Continental Hotel In Saigon), I Philippe Franchini. Paris: Orban, 1976. La Mousson de la Liberte, Vietnam du colonialisme au Stalinisme (The Monsoon of Freedom, Vietnam from Colonialism to Stalinism), Brigitte Friang. Paris: Pion, 1976. I ,. , , Vietnam: voyage atravers une victoire (Vietnam: A Trip Through Victory), Jean et Simonne Lacouture. Paris: Le Seuil, 1976. r L'adieu it Saigon (Farewell to Saigon), Jean Larteguy. Paris: Presses de la Ci te, 1975. Fils de la riziere (Son of the Rice Paddy), Colonel Jean Leroy. Paris: Laffont, 1977. need to wipe out the dishonor of defeat in 1940. Also the army wanted to prevent De Gaulle from coming to power. So it was not colonial wars which made the French army "sick"; the French army was already sick before Indochina and Algeria. The book suggests that the Indochina war came about through collusion between the Army and colonialist circles. Incidentally, one discovers that Raphael Leguern's political viewpoint is shared by Pierre Mendes-France (Prime Minister in 1954 who ended the Indochina war) and Jean-Jacques Servan-Schreiber, a well-known French liberal, inter alia, the political stance to be adopted by De Gaulle in 1958. This was the recognition that decolonization was inevitable, that the obsolete colonial regime had to be ended and that a new network of relations with the former colonies had to be organized through cooperation with nationalist elites. Still Quel age as-tu, Giao?(How Old Are You, G i a o ~ ) , Joel Luguern. Paris: Le Mercure de France, 1977. Vietnam, des poussieres par millions 1972-75 (Vietnam, Clouds of Dust), Joel Luguern. Paris: Le Cercle d'Or, 1975. Tu survivras Longtemps (You will survive a long time), A. Mattei. Paris: Orban, 1975. Ponts de lianes; missions en Indochine, 1945-54 (Bridges of Liana Vines: Missions in Indochina, 1945-54), J. Raphael- Leygues. Paris: Hachette, 1976. Indochine rouge, Le message d'Ho Chi Minh (Red Indochina, The Message of Ho Chi Minh), Raoul Salan. Paris: Presses de la Cite, 1975. Le temps des chiens muets ... (The Time of Silent Dogs), P. Seitz. Paris: Flammarion, 1977. Les marechaux de la Legion (The Marshals of the Legion), Pierre Sergent. Paris: Favard, 1977. Faut pas rire avec les Barbares (Don't Laugh with the Barbarians), A. Spaggiari. Paris: Laffont, 1977. La chute de Saigon, 30 avril 1975 (The Fall of Saigon, 30 April 1975), Tiziano Terzani. Paris: Fayard, 1977. Les canards de Ca Mao(The Snafus of Ca Mao),Olivier Todd. Paris: Laffont, 1975. Les maquis d'Indochine: Les mIssIons speciales du service Action (The Maquis of Indochina: Special Missions of the Action Service), Colonel R. Tinquier. Paris: Albatros, 1976. La peau du pachyderme (The Elephant's Hide), Alain Wasmes. Paris: Editions Sociales, 1976. 39 imperialism, according to Lenin's dictum. Did the French lose the war before 1954? Colonel R. Trinquier thinks not. This former colonial officer believed and perhaps still believes that the situation could have been reversed in 1954, by organizing armed commandos among the minority tribes in northern Vietnam and elsewhere in Indochina to fight behind the lines of the Viet Minh. A little known aspect of the French war was the arming of the Hmong (Meo) who already had their Vang Pao, which he describes. If we eschew a reverential interpretation of the liberation movements in Indochina, why were the Hmong more reluctant to cooperate with the Viet Minh than the other minority tribes? The thesis of manipulation is not satisfactory. The differences in social and political structures, as Trinquier hints, would be a more fruitful line of analysis. As for the objections and obstacles faced by Trinquier in the French High Command, were these major or minor contradictions? Historians of the Indochina war must tackle the interpretation of the French defeat not only in terms of Vietnamese strengths but also French internal weaknesses. Another former colonial officer also staunchly believes that the course of the French war was reversible. Colonel Jean Leroy's account, FiLs de La riziere, can be read on two different levels. First Leroy apparently succeeded in wresting from Viet Minh control part of Bentre province (in the southern delta). As province chief, he distributed land to the tenants, encouraged social action among the population, and organized the Christian Mobile Defense Units, thus creating local power like a warlord. Then problems emerged with the French Command and the new Bao Dai government in Saigon. The book tells how Leroy maneuvered around these shoals. Second, and of more interest, Leroy's story is a testimony of a Eurasian landowner (his family owned extensive tracts in Bentre province) which enables us to understand his empty dreams and final defeat. Leroy was convinced that Eurasians might play a crucial role in Vietnam. But Leroy's anti-communist feelings and landlord interests drive him into the hands of the French colonialist party (already on its last legs). Leroy tried to impart Vietnamese nationalist sentiments to his goals, which only had a weak effect. Undertaking a "pocket agrarian reform" while the French were trying to install a shadow government of landlords was doomed to failure. Leroy's grievances against the French and the Baodaist "government" thus floundered in an essential misunderstanding A sector of French public opinion was shocked by the liberation in 1975. The colonial epoch had actually come to an end. For us in France, perhaps this can be compared to the U.S. "loss of China." Notwithstanding the differences between France and the U.S., almost all the books written by those on the scene in Saigon during the last days and hours of the Nguyen Van Thiw regime strangely resemble each other. Authors such as the anciens d'lndo (Indochina veterans)--Jean Larteguy and Pierre Darcourt-or novices on the lookout for a scoop-all posture objectivity. Their trick is simple: they put Nguyen Van Thieu and the N.L.F. Communists back to back, and then shed tears about the Vietnamese people, and thus avoid a real understanding of the conflict. They complain about the poor docile Cochinchinese (South Vietnamese) conquered by the hard-nosed Tonkinese (the Martians of Larteguy; the Stalinists of Brigitte Friang). We find a strange (but not wholly accidental) resurgence of the colonial vocabulary, no less strangely used by some leftist journalists. Nevertheless, none of these "innocent" observers 'or "instant" specialists (J ohnny-come-latelys) have acknowledged the Vietnamese nation as a willful entity in the eyes of the Vietnamese people; they see some of the trees, but like Macbeth they fail to notice Birnam woods coming to Dunsinane. All that is significant are Soviet tanks, Chinese weapons, green bo doi (DRV soldiers), and so on. Plain ignorance, blindness or sudden gaps in memory can only be explained by political prejudice, lack of integrity or perhaps above all by the desire to mislead international opinion, an operation which is now in full swing. From his Parisian retreat, General Raoul Salan plays both Grandfather ("I told you so ... ") and Cassandra ("what happened in Indochina is only the beginning") to the Indochina audience. For the illustrious "mandarin" (his nickname in French military circles), what happened in 1975 was the end of Ho Chi Minh's old scheme to communize the entire peninsula and create a Red Federation of its countries. (The government of Democratic Kampuchea has used the same argument against the Socialist Republic of Vietnam.) His book is only a pamphlet, hastily written; he includes neither precise quotations nor references. He essentially manipulates and extrapolates from his data, using two documents: the memoirs of Nguyen Binh (a southern revolutionary killed by the French in 1947) and a lecture delivered by Ho Chi Minh in 1951. The apogee of this kind of literature is contained in a book on the notorious gangster, Bay Vien, treating a subject prior to 1975. Pierre Darcourt has written a romantic biography of Bay Vien, one of the main chieftains of the Binh Xuyen gang in South Vietnam. Even if one accepts this book as the fruit of several years investigation, it would be useless to try to disentangle reality from fiction, or error from truth. The book is not a socio-historical one; its function is alien to a factual account or to scientific research. It must be read as an adventure novel. The formula is simple: violence plus eroticism plus racism. Bay Vien was a bandit. After being liberated from Poulo Condor island (the French penal colony), he became a bodyguard for Tran Van Giau, the communist leader, then a resistant; and finally he turned to the French side and became an associate of Bao Dai before going into exile in France. He lived and died in France like an honorable rentier. Some questions are raised here about the possibility of a bandit becoming a patriot or the uneasy relations between Communists and nationalists or, even, how one makes a personal destiny coincide with a collective one. Is it possible for a revolutionary movement or a national state to integrate marginal groups? The book provides no answers to these questions. If we read its lines carefully, however, we can discover something more in it than a diversionary tract. The clarity of its ideological structure is almost caricatural: 40 Bay Vien A CochinchineselSoutherner Physically strong, "well-limbed" Morally tough Brave, frank but implacable Jolly good fellow, goodfucker His Enemies The Communists, almost all TonkineselNortherners Physically weak and disfigured Stern, sectarian, tortuous and cruel Ngo Dinh Diem, an Annamite from Central Vietnam; Confucian Catholic, puritanical, and tortuous The Cambodians: brutish beasts (/ike the prison guards at Poulo Condor), hunters offugitive con victs and members of the French special police. Bay Vien's biography has a double significance. First the hero is an incarnation of the incompatibilities between Southerners and Northerners, of the resistance of the former against the latter. Second, Bay Vien is an individualist and a free character struggling against regimentation (read socialism). Readers are introduced to the book by the fly leaf's note that the book is part of a collection called "Great Adventurers": "Modern man is a prisoner of his anguish. He can dream no longer, much less act. The great adventurers appear to be his brothers but they are of a species who believe in action and man's virtue." Viva il Duce! The last French bishop in Vietnam and an admirer of the various governments of South Vietnam, Mgr. Paul Seitz bears witness while admonishing us in his book. The Catholic bishopric of Kontum has a long and significant past. The. region was withdrawn from Vietnamese sovereignty at an early date, so the Catholic missions there had in effect extraterritorial status. It goes without saying that this fundamental fact is not mentioned in Father Seitz' book. This helps us to understand Monseigneur's anger, and resentment and also to understand the sometimes meddlesome harshness of the newly established authorities. However beneficial the sanitary and educational work of the Christian priests and nuns may have been among the Hill tribes, one must realize what revolution meant to Kontum: not only the overthrow of a mercenary government bu t the elimination of the last f f colonial vestige there. Mgr. Seitz's version of incidents he describes is probably true but his interpretations are tempered by a visceral " anticommunism, so much so that we cannot but sympathize with him: whatever holiness he possesses is needed to make his t Christian love transcend the hate seeping from the lines of his book. All of these books are not only reports and testimonies but they are all parts of a larger anti-communist campaign which aims to discredit leftist and liberal circles, even Western governments, and the French one in particular. One work, which has a noble title, Chant funebre pour Phnom Penh et Saigon, is obviously t a r ~ e t e d to have domestic French effects, and uses Indochina merely as a pretext. The book contains a range of essays, written by an eclectic panel of right-wing authors, from General Bigeard to Jean Larteguy. Its content and tone vary greatly from contributor to contributor but there is a common theme: they all seek to payoff old scores with De Gaulle, the unions, the radical priests and, of course, the Communists. The guiding idea of this book is to stress the cowardice and resignation of the Western world. After reading these books, one is struck by the common ideological function they had, writing at a time when in the West the political normalization of Portugal had begun and the French electoral confrontation between the Left and the Right of Giscard seemed likely to result in the Left coming to power in France. The Common Program of the Left hung over the Right like Damocles' sword. A New Vietnam, but for Whom? Fortunately other writers observing Vietnam have not aimed to make a domestic splash or recapture ties to people of a lower status they had once known: boy, shoe-shiner, or mistress (poor lonesome Larteguy who, after losing Hanoi: lost his second whore, Saigon!). Joel Luguern's book expresses the empathy he feels towards the Vietnamese people. After living in Vietnam from 1969 to 1975 and manying a woman from Danang whose father was an NLF cadre, Luguern recounts the everyday life of the people. In a set of vignettes, he describes the pains, joys and hopes of the latter, thus demonstrating the inexhaustible will to live of the Vietnamese. His book demonstrates that it is possible, without adopting an explicit political point of view, to make us understand the life of the ordinary people who are not necessarily makers of history, but are no longer passive objects. There are many ways to resist ... Joel Luguern plays the role of an anti-grand reporter, and this gives us our best comprehension of the Vietnamese people. Tiziano Terzani and Alain Wasmes both clearly side with the Vietnamese revolutionaries. The former, twice expelled from South Vietnam by Thieu's police, the latter, correspondent to the D.R.V. of the French Communist newspaper, L 'Humanite, have presented more balanced reports than the self-defined value-free/neutral journalists. Under the circumstances, their biases paradoxically have taken them away from conventionality. It has made them sensitive to the difficulties of integrating the south into a reunified state and nation. Attentive to real or potential contradictions, to the hesitations and tentatives of political cadres, both authors give as much of a voice to them as they do to the representatives of the Third Force. Jean and Simonne Lacouture are representative of those who maintain a critical friendship with Vietnam. They represent a political segment of the French Left, generous, dedicated in its support of national liberation movements, but 41 defenders of human rights everywhere in the world. They try to understand the new situation in Vietnam. The passion of truth and lucidity are inextricably mingled with other considerations which can only be understood in the context in which Jean and Simonne find themselves: an affluent, liberal and democratic society. Their duality leads us to approval at times, irritation at others. To be sure, their picture of dogmatism, bureaucratism, and constraints on personal liherties in the new Vietnam-and sometimes worse than these-cannot be disputed. And none of these things are abstractions. To spot them and denounce them does not mean much without situating them in the socio-economic, cultural and historical compost which produced them. The conflict raging now between Kampuchea and Vietnam is enough to demonstrate the weight of history. In this case, what does the invocation of humanitarian principles or even socialist ones mean? It is obviously more comfortable for segments of the French left to ignore these questions. Olivier Todd has not shied away from these issues. He has crossed the Rubicon by giving us a romantic report laced with political implications. At one time a leftist, Olivier Todd only wanted to live in harmony with his innermost self. In his book, he denounces the Stalinism of Hanoi and the satellization of the NLF so that he might, like his main character Morgan-Berstein, "feel happy to be an American in spite of the B-52s, the Poulo Condor Jails, the millions of dead.... " It is only a short step from the critique of revolution to the denial of the right to make revolution. French authors justify their reserve of revolutions from the vantage point of several generations-if not centuries-after such events occurred in their own country. They can blithely cast a cold eye on the excesses and crimes of their own revolution (1789). Is this not obstinately clinging to Occidento-centrism-perhaps worse in the French case-in radical-socialist terms by implicitly denigrating young nations for not being "evolved" enough? Is "only defeat moral" as Goethe said? * TEACHING A COURSE ON ASIA? Assign your favorite articles from the BULLETIN Appendix Statement on Japanese Economic Relations with South Korea by Japanese Economists* The world economy today finds itself faced with the most serious crisis since World War II. It is now imperative for us as economists to reappraise critically the relations of the Japanese eco.nomy with the world economy, and in particular Japan's assIstance and economic cooperation with developing countries. What have such aid and cooperation achieved in the de veloping countries? The answer concerns wrong phenomena, "negative contributions," deviations from original objectives. Aid and cooperation have helped to widen the gap in income distribution, contributed to the excessive concentration of wealth in the hands of a few in privileged circles, become a hotbed of irregularities and corruption, and provided funds for the maintenance of anti-human rights regimes. This state of affairs has been rationalized with statistics indicating a fast growth of gross national product. Specifically Japan's aid and cooperation to south Korea have included enough' 'negative contributions" to warrant such charges. Japan and south Korea concluded a treaty for normali zation of bilateral relations fourteen years ago. The signing of the treaty was carried out in June 1965, despite the great politi cal confusion which arose in the two countries due to a furious controversy over the treaty. The present situation shows that we were right when we issued warnings and expressed misgivings about the future relationships of Japan and south Korea. At the end of 1977, Japan accounted for $3, 179,700,000 or 21 percent of the foreign capital in south Korea, which com pares with the American share of 28 percent. If one adds the Y300 million in grants which were given as payment by Japan for war damages, the Japanese figure amounts to $3.5 billion. The grant total of foreign funds brought into south Korea reached $19,715 million by the end of 1977, including govern mental and commercial funds from the United States, Japan and other countries. Economic aid in grants were $4,490 million and credits and direct investments $14,925 million, except for mili tary assistance. The' 'benefits" of this nearly $20 billion were disclosed in a 1976 report submitted to the National Assembly by the south Korean Ministry of Finance. The report made a shocking revela tion: despite the fact that 82,230 won was the minimum monthly * This statement has been edited by Angus McDonald. 42 living cost for a family of five, earners of monthly income less ance to south Korea. The present state of affairs stems from the than 80,000 won accounted for 89.1 percent of all the working fact that policy decisions on economic cooperation, and their people; those with a monthly income less than 30,000 won actual implementation, have been planned and executed in such (about $60) represented 74.9 percent. a way as to escape the scrutiny of the public eyes. The whole Financial cliques and privileged classes are thriving with process is concealed. "economic cooperation" as their source of illegally accumu We hereby propose that the Japanese Government should lated wealth. The failure of "cooperation" to narrow the gap in take the following steps to change policy regarding economic income distribution and to improve the people' s livelihood cooperation with south Korea: were, as a matter of fact, raised by some officials of our First, to make ready for Diet examination a detailed report Government and in a series of reports presented to the U.S. on the whereabouts of public funds as offered to south Korea; Congress. Second, to prepare and submit to the Diet a status report on It is worth recalling the influence-peddling cases brought the basic human rights in south Korea, including the right to to light by the legislatures of Japan and the United States which work, other social rights and freedoms of the press and prove the effects of assistance-and economic cooperation association; related political funds-on strengthening south Korean politi Third, to make a fundamental review of unilateral eco cal circles and on the present regime' s oppression of the people nomic cooperation with the southern half of the Korean Penin and destruction of democracy. sula and not to stand in the way of the reunification of the The "negative contribution" of this aid to the eventual Korean people. Such economic cooperation with only one half demolition of democratic procedures in south Korea contradicts of the divided country is far from beneficial to the consolidation pledges the Japanese and American Governments made to their of peace in Asia and the development of the society. and rather respective publics with regard to their policy decisions on assist- sharpens the tension on the Korean Peninsula. Tokyo, Japan August 15, 1978 Signed by S. Kase Kanto Gakuin Univ. H. Tamura Chuo Univ. M. Kawakami Tokyo Keizai Col. K. Niwa Rikkyo Univ. M. Aihara Waseda Univ. H. Kawaguchi Chuo Univ. K. Tsukamoto Tokyo Univ. M. Amano Chiba Shoka Col. M. Kawashima Nippon Univ. T. Toda Komazawa Univ. Y. Arii Komazawa Univ T. Kamata Yokohama Univ. K. Toyama Kanto Gakuin Univ. A.Abe Saitama Univ. Y. Kitada Tokyo Keizai Col. N. Nagase Obirin Univ. T. Abe Toyo Univ. Y. Kihara Tokyo Keizai Col. S. Nagashima Kanto Gakuin Univ. S. Ayuzawa Chuo Univ. S. Kubo Kanto Gakuin Univ. K. Nakamura Tokyo Keizai Col. K. Akahori Kanto Gakuin Univ. J. Kubota Rikkyo Univ. H. Nakamura Daito Bunka Univ. K.lida Meiji Univ. Y. Kuriki Senshu Univ. S. Nitta Toyo Univ. K.lida Hosei Univ. G. Kurihara Chuo Univ. M. Noda Hosei Univ. S. Ikeda Soka Univ. S. Kondo Komazawa Univ. Y. Nomura Aoyama Gakuin Univ. I. Ishii Ins!. of Dev. Economies M. Saito Hosei Univ. Y. Hasegawa Chuo Univ. A.lchii Chuo Univ. T. Sakayori Ritsumeikan Univ. F. Hasebe Ryugoku Univ. S. Ishiwatari Senshu Univ. S. Sasahara Chuo Univ. H. Hayashi Tokyo Metropolitan Univ. K. Ichihara Chuo Univ. K. Sato Yokohama Univ. S. Harada Iwate Univ. S. Inoue Rikkyo Univ. T. Sato Yokohama City Univ. T. Hirano Hosei Univ. T. lrie Tokyo Keizai Col. K. Shibagaki Tokyo Univ. H. Fukushima Nippon Univ. Y.lwao Chuo Univ. M. Shibata Meiji Univ. Y. Fukudagawa Chuo Univ. S. Usami Hosei Univ. R. Shikita Rikkyo Univ. T. Furukawa Hosei Univ. J. Uji Keio Univ. T. Shinozaki Meiji Univ. K. Furusawa Komazawa Univ. M. Ehara Utsunomiya Univ. Y. Shima Senshu Univ. K. Funakoshi Kanagawa Univ. T. Ezoe Chuo Univ. H. Shimazaki Chuo Univ. M. Machida WasedaUniv. K.Oki Rikkyo Univ. S. Shibuya Chuo Univ. A. Matsubara WasedaUniv. H. Osaki Yokohama Univ. K. Sugiura Tokyo Univ. T. Matoba Nippon Univ. K. Oshima Hosei Univ. N. Shimizu Rikkyo Univ. K. Maruyama Rikkyo Univ. H.Osoku Nippon Univ. F. Shimoyama Yokohama Univ. H. Mizuta Kokugakuin Univ. H.Ota Teikyo Univ. T. Shoji Takasaki City Univ. of Econ. T. Miyakawa Kanagawa Univ. S. Otani Gifu Keizai Col. T. Soejima Aichi Univ. Y. Miyake Rikkyo Univ. S. Otani Hosei Univ. J. Soma Obirin Univ. A. Motohashi Yokohama Univ. K. Ofuki Komazawa Univ. K. Takagi Toyo Univ. Y. Mori Chuo Univ. K. Ogata Hosei Univ. Y. Takasuka Hitotsubashi Col. N. Moriya Economist T. Ogata Chuo Univ. H. Takada Chuo Univ. R. Yamanaka Chuo Univ. S. Kokura Chiba Keiai Keizai Col. S. Takahashi Rikkyo Univ. M. Yokoyama Nippon Fukushi Col. T. Ozawa Musashi Univ. N. Takahashi Senshu Univ. H. Yoshikawa Chiba Shoka Col. H. Kajimura Kanagawa Univ. M. Takayama Tokyo Keizai Col. K. Yoshikawa AoyamaGakuin Univ. H. Kaneko Tokyo Metropolitan Univ. K. Tachiiri Rikkyo Univ. H. Wada Rikkyo Univ. T. Kamakura Saitama Univ. S. Tanasc Hitotsubashi Col. W. Watanabe Tokyo Keizai Col. 43 Urbanization in Japan by Tokue Shibata Introduction* The Japanese economy was completely destroyed during World War II; the country was left in a state of utter desolation in 1945. Yet its recovery was quite remarkable, especially since the late 1950s when Japan set out on a course of accelerated growth. Large modernized plants were built everywhere and gigantic industrial complexes, a result of efficient mass integration, began to appear in several areas on the Pacific coasts. Comparison of the growth of Japan's GNP with those of the other major industrial countries during the 1960s shows us how rapidly the Japanese economy grew during those ten years. Putting the GNP index in 1960 at 100, the index for the United Kingdom in 1969 was 126, for the United States, 147, for West Germany, ISS, for Italy, 154, for France, 166, and for the U.S.S.R., 167. However, Japan's index was 258, greatly surpassing these figures. The average annual rates of growth of the other countries were five to six percent maximum, with the lowest rate of 2.5 percent for the U. K. Japan's rate was as high as 11.9 percent. Extremely rapid urbanization progressed side by side with this growth. Table I shows how greatly the ratio of the urban and the rural popUlation has changed since 1930. The proportion of the popUlation living in urban versus rural areas has been completely reversed as compared with the prewar years. It should be noted, however, that a part of the rural popUlation is included in the figures for the urban population after 1960, because, as the figures for urban land areas show, quite a number of rural villages were annexed to urban areas around that year. Table 2 gives the figures for very highly urbanized areas with population densities above 4,000 square kilometers and shows that the ratio of the population of these areas to the total population became more than 60 percent during the fifteen years from 1960 to 1975. The fact that more than half This essay, originally a report to a UNESCO Conference in Fukuoka, Japan, in August, 1977, has been revised and updated for the Bulletin. of the popUlation has thus concentrated in population-dense areas occupying 2 percent of the land area testifies to the explosive process of urbanization. The process of urbanization in Japan must be analyzed in relation to the pattern in which the Japanese economy has been growing. Table 3 shows that 40% of the total popUlation is concentrated within the radius of 50 km (30 miles) of the three large cities of Tokyo, Nagoya and Osaka. Why around these three cities? What made Tokyo the largest city in the world with a popUlation of II million? Japanese economic development and urbanization, characterized by the growth of megalopolises, represent two sides of the same coin. 44 Table 1 Changes in Population and Land Area of Urban and Rural Areas Population (in millions) Area (in 1,000 km2) Table 4 Urban (%) Rural (%) Urban (%) Rural (%) 1930 15.4 (24.1) 48.5 (75.9) 2.9 (0.8) 376.9 (99.2) International Comparison of 1940 27.5 (37.9) 45.0 (62. i) 8.8 (2.3) 371.3 (97.7) Average Per Capita Farming 1950 31.2 (37.5) 52.0 (62.5) 19.8 (5.4) 348.3 (94.6) Acreage 1960 59.3 (63.5) 34.1 (36.5) 82.6 (22.3) 285.7 (77.3) 1970 74.9 (72.2) 28.9 (27.8) 94.6 (25.6) 274.2 (74.1) Acreage 1975 85.0 (75.9) 27.0 (24.1) 102.3 (27.5) 269.1 (72.2) per capita Source: Prime Minister's Office, Bureau of Statistics Japan 0.6 Canada 81.1 U.S.A. 48.4 Table 2 U.S.S.R. 6.1 France 5.8 Population Area West Germany 3.2 (in millions) (in 1,000 km 2 ) Pak&an 1.1 Urban (%) Rural (%) Urban (%) Rural (%) Source: Iwanami's "World Eco 1960 40.8 (43.7) 52.6 (56.3) 3.9 (1.0) 365.8 (99.0) nomic Almanac 1972," p. 104. 1965 47.3 (48. i) 51.0 (51.9) 4.6 ( 1.2) 365.2 (98.8) 1970 55.5 (53.5) 48.2 (46.5) 6.4 ( 1.7) 363.7 (98.3) 1975 63.8 (57.0) 48.1 (43.0) 8.3 (2.2) 369.2 (97.8) Sauce: Prime Minister's Office, Bureau of Statistics Table 3 Population within the SO kin Range TableS of the Three Large Cities Changes in the Population Engaged in Agriculture Population in millions (In thousands) ratio to Area national total in %) (%of Total labor Agricultural Ratio nat'l force (a) laborforce(b) b/a(%) 1960 1965 1970 1975 total Tokyo, within 15.8 18.9 22.0 24.8 2.04 1930 29,620 13,955 47.1 50 km range (16.9) ( 19.2) (21.2) (22.1) 1950 36,025 16,362 45.4 Osaka, within 10.3 12.1 13.6 14.9 1.97 1960 44,070 13,710 31.1 50 km range (11.0) ( 12.3) (13.2) (13.3) 1970 52,468 9,405 17.9 Nagoya, within 5.4 6.1 6.8 7.4 1.96 1975 53,141 6,718 12.6 50 km range (5.8) (6.2) (6.5) (6.6) Source: Prime Minister's Office. Bureau of Statistics Total of three 31.5 37.1 42.4 47.1 5.98 cities (33.7l p7.7l ~ 4 0 . 8 ~ (42.0) 93.4 98.3 103.7 111.9 100.00 National t9tal (lOO.Q ( 100.0) (100.0) ( 100.0) Source: Prime Minister's Office, Bureau of Statistics 45 For this task, the following three factors might well be studied: (1) how the large-scale outflow of population from rural villages to cities occurred ("push factor"), (2) how the big cities absorbed popuiation from rural areas ("pull factor"), and (3) the great changes that have taken place in the economic structure of the postwar Japan. Factors Contributing to Urbanization 1. Japanese Rural Villages The exodus of the Japanese rural population into the cities is the primary cause of population concentrations in Japan's cities. One of the main factors which enabled the Japanese economy to accomplish a remarkable growth was a limitless supply of cheap but efficient labor force from rural districts. What factors in the villages underlay such a tremendous population outflow? First ofall, the land reform after the war turned tenant farmers into land-owning cultivators with a zeal for production. Then came a rapid mechanization of farming accompanied by the wide use of ready-made chemical fertilizers and easy agricultural chemicals. The increase in output resulting from the application of these labor-saving devices (which eliminated the handling of night soil, the making of organic compost and handweeding) has occurred in a land of traditionally fractionalized landholding and insufficient arable land. Inevitably it has created a surplus labor force. The minute size of farmland in Japan, as compared with the world standard, is illustrated in Table 4. The fact that economic development was not accompanied by an increase in the size of the average farmer's landholding constitutes quite a Table 7 Increases in the Number of Agriculture Machines Possessed by Fanning Households (in 1,000)
...
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.... til (I) ... - "'(1) "'(1) (I) ... (I)>> (I)>> (1)- (1)8,(1) C'" ..ee..c .; eo'" e e ... c o-2:! u::S..c
0-0 tII_ Dec. 89 1955 Dec. 2,509 600 236 1955 Feb. 3,464 958 1,213 33 263 1,228 47 1970 Feb. 3,904 1,325 1,575 1,046 1,498 1,738 428 1976 Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry . 46 Table 6 Changes in the Number of Fanning Households (10,000) According to the Size of Fannland o.s ha 0.5-1.0 2.0 ha Total and less ha ha andmore 1930 194 192 123 52 560 (34.5) (34.2) (21. 9) (9.2) (100.0) 252 197 134 33 1950 618 (40.8) (31.9) (21. 7) (5.3) (100.0) 230 1960 192 143 38 606 (37.8) (31.7) (23.6) (6.3) (100.0) 204 1970 163 130 42 540 (37.8) (30.2) (24.1) (7.8) (100.0) 192 146 1976 108 43 489 (39.3) (29.8) (22.2) (8.7) (100.0) Source: Ministry of"Agriculture and Forestry; ha = hectare = 2.5 acres. unique aspect of Japanese agriculture. Moreover the government has not been making an effort to develop domestic agriculture by adopting a policy of enlarging the size of individual farmland-a policy that would enhance its competitive productive power against low-priced agricultural products from abroad. As a result, the rural youth who have finished compulsory education have had to migrate into large industrized cities. Table 5 shows how since TableS Rates of Increase per Household (No. of machines per 100 households)
...
- .;: > -8 ::S ... '" uo
... '" ... (I) ... (I) ... '" ... ... -
(I)
(I)>> (I)>> (1)(1) C'" e e '" .; .... til o2:! ... c Q.,-5 0-0 1955 Dec. 1.5 1965 Dec. 45.0 10.8 4.2 1970 64.9 17.9 22.7 0.6 4.9 0.9 23.0 Feb. 79.0 26.6 26.1 14.9 26.8 6.9 30.2 1975 Feb. Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Table 9 Comparison of Italy and Japan: Decreases in Ratios of Agricultural Labor Force Japan: Share of Agricultural Italy: labor force in Agricultural Share in total total labor force labor force labor force (in 1,000s) (%) (%) 1951 8,261 42.2 44.5 1955 8,757 39.5 38.9 1957 7,652 35.5 35.3 1959 6,492 31.7 32.3 1960 6,325 30.5 31.1 1961 6,142 29.3 29.8 Source: Shibata "Gendai Toshiron" (Theories on Modem Cities), Tokyo University Press. 1967. Table 10 Trends in National Percentage Distribution of Industrial Output by Prefecture Prefecture 1935 1950 1960 1970 1975 Fukuoka 8.2 5.6 4.1 2.7 2.8 Hokkaido 2.6 3.5 2.6 2.2 2.5 Kanagawa 6.5 6.0 9.0 10.3 9.4 Chiba 0.8 1.1 1.3 3.4 4.4 Shizuoka 2.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.1 Source: Ministry of International Tr'dde and Industry. Table 11 Trends in Percentage Distribution of Primary Energy Supply Hydro Oill electricity Coal LPG Others 1950 32.4 50.7 6.2 10.7 1955 30.5 44.0 17.9 7.6 1960 15.3 41.5 37.7 5.5 1965 11.3 27.3 58.4 3.0 1970 6.7 20.7 70.8 1.8 1975 7.5 16.4 73.3 2.8 Source: Economic Planning Agency 1960 the population engaged in agriculture underwent a sudden decrease unprecedented in the world, and Table 6 indicates how small the average size of farmland is in Japan: about 1/100 the size in U. S. A. and Canada, and about 1/10 that in Germany and France. Tables 7 and 8 show how rapidly mechanization has progressed under these conditions. This outflow of rural labor force was characterized by these features: it was mostly an exodus of young unmarried villagers; it increased the number offarmers engaged in side jobs; and it included seasonal emigration. The percentage of the household which have completely given up farming was relatively low. By comparing Tables 5 and 6, we can see clearly that the decrease in the number of farming households proceeded considerably slower than the decrease in the number ofthe persons engaged in agriculture. This is a phenomenon peculiar to Japan. For example, in the postwar United States, there was a tremendous movement of popUlation from the South to the North, but this represented simply the outflow of surplus labor force created by the growth of agricultural productivity and the exodus of small farmers whose land was annexed and absorbed by largescale farmers. In other words, this was the case of entire families leaving villages, quite different from the case of Japan, where the farmer's families themselves kept on living in their native villages. Postwar years in Italy, too, saw a large scale migration of Southern villagers to the North, and this trend showed the same pattern as that ofJapanduringthe I950s (Table 9). But we can hardly find a case in the world that is comparable to Japan's: the young, unmarried and well-educated labor force flowed out to cities and settled there. Since, comparatively speaking, the Japanese are racially, religiously, and linguistically an extremely homogeneous people, the rural youth who migrated to the cities quite easily became.accustomed to city life without any serious socialfrictions. During the last century, the Japanese compulsory education system has reduced the illiteracy rate nearly to zero and to a remarkable degree, standardized the educational level throughout the country. Even those young men who had been brought up in very underdeveloped rural districts were sufficiently educated to adjust to modern industrial processes. This was distinctly different from the case of Italy, where the exodus of young rural labor force caused social friction in the northern cities. In Italy, the differences in educational as well as economic standards between North and South were so great that the southern youth with their low educational standards found it difficult to adjust themselves to modern industrial life. Moreover, these newcomers from the villages-unaccustomed to city life-experienced many a conflict with the inhabitants of the northern cities (G. Beijer, "Rural Migrants in Urban Setting", The Hague, 1963). This sort of maladjustment of immigrants from rural districts has been observed in other places including France. 47 2. Changes in Industrial Structure a) Changes in Geographical Distribution of Industries The mode of absorption of this enormous influx of rural population was determined by the peculiar pattern of new developments in the secondary and tertiary industries in postwar Japan. The pattern of development as well as the location of the manufacturing industries underwent remarkable changes, particularly since about 1960. The most important change in determining the location for manufacturing industries was proximity to consumer markets. And the most important factor in this respect was the shift of energy resource from coal to oil. In former days when Japan was almost self-sufficient in coal, that fuel was the main energy source. But since most coal mines were located far from the center of the country (mainly in Hokkaido and Kyushu), the cost of transportation was so high that proximity to coal production constituted one of the most important conditions for industrial location. The Kitakyushu industrial zone, one of the four major industrial zones in prewar Japan, and the industrial zone of Hokkaido both developed for this reason. In recent years their importance in industrial production has declined (Table 10). In the meantime, as shown in Tables 11 and 12, oil has come replace coal as the major source of energy. The introduction of the huge tankers has made importation more feasible. As a result we see the development of industrial sites with nearby port facilities. A locality which has such a port and is at the same time near a large consumers' market has the optimum conditions for industry as illustrated by the rapid development of Chiba and Kanagawa, districts adjacent to Tokyo. The same is true ofthe districts around Nagoya and Osaka (Table 10). Industrial complexes (Kombinat) which form the core of Japanese industry have thus been built contiguous to the major cities located in the coastal belt facing the Pacific. Starting with Yokkaichi in the vicinity of Nagoya, huge complexes of petroleum, power, and steel industries were successively constructed in Yokohama, Chiba, and Kashima and, to the west, in Sakai, Kobe, Fukuyama, and Mizushima. These are all seaboard districts with port facilities accommodating mammoth tankers importing crude oil from the Middle East. Their industrial complexes simultaneously can refine oil, generate electricity, and manufacture steel and petrochemical products. The most recent technology has been adopted in these plants. These large-scale plants are highly automated and can be operated by relatively few workers. By contrast, there have been remarkable increases in the number of workers employed in such departments as sales, liaison, advertising, accounting, tax reports, and the like, thus turning the head office into a huge structure employing an increasing number of employees. Most offices are located in the heart of large cities. New types of businesses-information, education, advertising, and leisure industries-have also bloomed. b) Changes in International Relations Another factor which determined the peculiar pattern of the development of Japanese cities was changes in Japan's post war foreign relations. In prewar days, relations with the Asian continent, mainly with regions like China, Korea, and Siberia, constituted the central focus in Japan's international relations. After the war, however, relations with the continent have dwindled markedly in importance, excepting those with South Korea. Instead, relations with the Pacific countries, and with the United States in particular, have come to play the most important role. While political and economic relations with Southeast Asian countries have gained importance in more recent years, relations with North America continue to occupy the foremost place (as noted in Table 13). A counter-development to the accelerated urban growth along the Pacific seacoasts has been the stagnation of city growth in the districts facing the Sea of Japan. This development was particularly conspicuous in the coastal belt of "Tokaido Megalopolis," whose relative importance in ~ h e Japanese economy has rapidly increased. Tables 14, 15, and 16 illustrate these developments by comparing the trends among the prefectures facing the Sea of Japan, those facing the Pacific but outside Tokaido, and those included in Tokaido. c) Development of Urban-type Industries During the First Industrial Revolution in the first half of the 19th centruy, cities were as a rule developed on the basis of the secondary industry, as factories were built near the sources of coal and iron ore. Manchester, Birmingham, and Leeds in England, as well as Pittsburg in the United States, grew up in this manner with coal and iron production as the core. On the other hand, during the technological innovation after World War II, it has become preferable, as stated before, to build factories near the consumers' markets of large cities. This has not only increased the relative importance of the head offices of the secondary industries located in large cities, but also contributed to a remarkable development of the tertiary industries of strongly urbantyped nature. Table 17 on the changes in the employment structure by diversified industry groups clearly shows, on the one hand, a rapid decrease in the labor force in the primary industries, and, on the other, a sharp rise in both the secondary and tertiary industries. This is rather a general rule for any industrialized country, but the trend was far more conspicuous in postwar Japan than in other countries. Noteworthy in this respect is the fact that, while the increase of the labor population in the secondary industries has slowed down, that in the tertiary ones is still going on rapidly. 48 Table 13 Trends in Percentage Distribution of Exports and Imports by Major Region Table 12 All AllN. S. Trends in Percentage Distribution Exports Asia China America USA America Oceania of Power Generation by Hydraulic and Thermal Plant 1935 1950 52.3 46.3 23.0 2.4 23.2 25.4 21.4 21.7 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.6 1960 36.0 0.1 33.2 27.2 4.4 4.5 Hydraulic Thermal 1970 31.2 2.9 36.7 30.7 3.1 4.2 1950 85.2 14.8 1975 36.7 4.1 26.4 20.0 4.2 4.1 1955 74.5 25.5 All AllN. S. 1960 1965 50.6 39.8 49.0 60.2 Imports Asia China America USA America Oceania 1970 22.3 77.7 1935 35.2 14.2 35.2 32.8 1.7 10.1 1975 18.1 81.9 1950 32.6 4.1 47.9 43.2 4.1 8.7 1960 20.3 0.4 31.8 23.6 3.2 9.0 Source: Economic Planning Agency 1970 29.4 1.3 36.5 29.4 5.2 9.6 1975 49.0 2.6 25.8 20.1 2.9 8.3 Source: Bank of Japan Table 14 Table 15 Trends in Population in Various Areas Labor Force in Various Areas Population 1000's Labor Force (1000's; % 8 Sea-of-Japan 1930 7,834 19SO 9,358 1960 9,346 1970 8,947 1975 9,110 in parens) 8 Sea-of-Japan 1930 3,465 1950 4,350 1960 4,625 1970 4,838 1975 4,709 Prefectures ( 11.5) ( 11.2) (10.0) (8.6) (8.1) Prefectures ( 11.7) (12.1) ( 10.5) (9.2) (8.9) 8Non-Tokaido 10,078 13,297 13,631 14,009 14,812 8 Non-Tokaido 4,707 5,937 6,490 6,490 7,221 Pacific ( 15.6) (16.0) (15.0) (13.5) (13.2) Pacific (15.9) (16.5) (14.7) (13.7) ( 13.6) Prefectures Prefectures II Prefectures 23,932 30,319 38,711 48,886 54,820 11 Prefectures 10,743 12,294 18,197 24,777 25,665 in Tokaido (37.1) (36.4) (41.4) (47.1) (49.0) in Tokaido (36.3) (34.1 ) (41.3) (47.2) (48.3) Megalopolis Megalopolis 4 Prefectures, 9,958 13,051 17,864 24,113 27,037 4 Prefectures, 4,411 5,165 8,230 11,828 12,567 Metropolitan ( 15.7) (15.7) (19.1) (23.2) (24.2) Metropolitan ( 14.9) (14.3) ( 18.7) (22.5) (23.7) Zone Zone 3 Prefectures, 5,543 7,407 8,600 10,235 11,101 3 Prefectures, 2,542 3,225 4,277 5,373 5,486 Nagoya Zone (8.7) (8.9) (9.2) (9.9) (9.9) Nagoya Zone (8.6) (9.0) (9.7) ( 10.2) ( 10.3) 4 Prefectures, 8,431 9,861 12,247 15,428 16,681 4 Prefectures, 3,790 3,904 5,690 7,576 7,612 KinkiZone ( 13.1) (II.9) (13.1) (14.9) (14.9) KinkiZone (12.8) ( 10.8) (12.9) ( 14.4) ( 14.4) National Total 64,450 83,200 93,419 105,014 111,934 National Total 29,620 36,025 44,070 52,468 53,141 ( 100.0) (100.0) ( 100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) ( 100.0) ( 100.0) (100.0) Source: National Censuses Source: Prime Minister's Office, Bureau of Statistics Table 16 Table 17 Industrial Output in Various Areas Trends in Labor Force Employed in Different Broad Industry Groups Industrial (in thousands) Output Agriculture (miUion yen- in 1930; billion yen Primary particular Secondary Tertiary Total otherwise) 1930 1950 1960 1970 1975 8 Sea-of-Japan 382 172 832 3,608 5,902 1930 14,711 13,955 6,002 8,836 29,620 Prefectures (6.4) (7.3) (5.3) (5.2) (5.7) 1950 17,478 16,362 7,838 10,671 36,025 8 Non-Tokaido Pacific Prefectures 3 Prefectures TohokuRegion 485 (8.2) 77 ( 1.3) 260 (11.0) 58 (2.4) 1,559 ( 10.0) 279 ( 1.8) 8,423 (12.2) 1,338 (1.9) 13,684 (13.2) 2,397 (2.2) 1955 1960 1965 1970 16,291 14,391 11,852 10,164 15,583 13,710 10,966 9,405 9,249 12,802 15,304 17,777 14,051 16,862 20,798 24,508 39,590 44,070 47,984 52,468 I I Prefectures 3,816 1,377 10,370 44,966 64,494 1975 7,396 6,718 18,118 27,456. 53,141 in Tokaido Megalopolis (64.3) (58.1) (66.6) (65.1) (62.4) Percentage distribution 4 Prefectures, 1,249 520 4,416 20,449 28,116 Metropolitan (21.0) (21. 9) (28.3) (29.6) (27.2) 1930 49.7 47.1 20.3 29.8 100.0 Zone 1950 48.5 45.4 21.8 29.6 100.0 3 Prefectures, Nagoya Zone 4 Prefectures, KinkiZone National Total 712 ( 12.0) 1,855 (31.2) 5,937 (100.0) 302 (12.7) 555 (23.4) 2,372 (100.0) 2,261 (14.5) 3,693 (23.7) 15,579 (100.0) 10,186 (14.8) 14,331 (20.8) 69,035 (100.0) 15,895 (15.4) 20.483 (19.8) 103,362 (100.0) 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 41.1 32.7 24.7 19.4 13.9 39.3 31.1 22.8 17.9 12.6 23.4 29.0 31.9 33.9 34.1 35.5 38.3 43.3 46.7 51.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: Ministry of International Trade and Industry Source: Prime Minister's Office, Bureau of Statistics >"l>' .,__
50 The tertiary group ofindustries consists of a great many varieties. Transportation, communication, electricity and city gas industries are directly involved in productive activities. A greater part of tertiary industries is composed of the so-called unproductive enterprises. Overgrown government agencies, advertisement, public relations, and entertainment like bars, cabarets and restaurants are obvious examples of the latter. These enterprises tend to concentrate in the densely-populated cities and reflect the growth of so-called institutionalized waste economy. It is characteristic of these enterprises to concentrate in larger cities. For example, according to the 1970 census, the total labor force in the eight prefectures where the largest cities of the country are located constituted 42.9% of the national total, but the labor force engaged in the tertiary industries in those prefectures represented 48.7% of the national total. Table 14 showing the consumption of liquors in those 8 prefectures testifies that the degrees of consumption of expensive alcoholic beverages in them are much higher than the degrees of popUlation concentration. The high rate of consumption of high-grade liquors eloquently illustrates the consumptive traits of large cities. The differences in whisky to-sake ratio are also an interesting feature to be noted. Table 18 Consumption of High-grade Liquors in 8 Prefectures (1975) Whisky, Sake Population special grade special grade Tokyo 25,491 25.6 10.732 10.7 11,669 10.4 Osaka 9,595 9.6 24,148 24.2 8,279 7.4 Kanagawa 6,224 6.3 2,339 2.3 6,398 5.7 Hyogo 3,749 3.8 9,980 10.0 4,992 4.5 Aichi 3,854 3.9 7,775 7.8 5,924 5.3 Hokkaido 9,462 9.5 2,064 2.1 5,338 4.8 Kyoto 2,239 2.2 6,793 6.8 2,425 2.2 Fukuoka 4,090 4.1 3,131 3.1 4,293 3.8 Total 64,704 64.9 66.962 67.0 49,318 44.1 National 99,543 100.0 99,988 100.0 111,934 100.0 Total Source: Bureau of Internal Revenue 3. Changes in Land Utilization We have so far analyzed the rapid urbanization of postwar Japan by referring to the movement of popUlation and the changes in economic structure, Let us turn to the trends in land utilization which provide us with additional indices of urbanization. Tables 19 and 20 compare the conditions of land utilization for the prewar and postwar periods. It clearly shows that agricultural land area increased after the war but began to decrease in the I 960s. The land used for building including the land for industrial plants-has almost trebled in size since the war. Moreover, urban area has increased remarkably. Table 21 shows that a considerable amount of farmland has been diverted to housing sites while in recent years the part of farmland appropriated for the use of industrial plants has also shown a great increase. The problem of land utilization lies at the base of many contradictions in present-day Japan. In the next section we show how this factor, together with the rapid rate of economic growth and the expansion ofgiant cities, has given rise to a variety of problems in citizen's living conditions and environment. Table 19 Land Utilization in Prewar Period (1930) (in (percentage 1,000 ha) distribution) Private taxable land: 16,687 Total Paddy fields 2,956 (7.7) Other planted fields 2,825 (7.4) Housing lots 416 ( 1.1) Forests 8,606 (22.5) Uncultivated land (incl. meadows) 1,848 (4.8) Salt farms, mineral springs, 37 (0.1) moorland, etc. Private untaxable land: 1,440 Total School sites 16 Shrine sites 2 Cemeteries, crematories, etc. 24 Irrigation canals, reservoirs dikes, etc. 72 (0.2) Reserved forests 920 (2.4) Roads and waterworks II Other land for common or public use 386 (1.0) "Nenki" land: 1,014 Total Total of Private land 19,141 (50.1) Source: National Census. OONenki" means making tax exemption for a specific period. 51 Various Aspects of Urban Problems 1. Land Problems Acquisition of sufficient acreage is the first prerequisite not only for people's housing but also for the construction of a variety of facilities needed for the conduct of municipal administration. For Japan, this problem is without parallel in the world. Being located in a plains area, most Japanese large cities are physically able to expand territorially. Land problems are not of a physical but a social nature. First of all, there has been an extraordinary rise in land prices. Even before World War II, the price level of urban land in Japan was regarded as markedly higher than in other countries. Table 22 shows the comparison between land prices in the six largest cities and wholesale prices. Inflation has been the basic factor responsible for the rise in land prices. It has been nearly impossible for individuals or institutions to acquire land for apartments, homes, city administration needs, schools. Factors other than inflation are important too. In the first place, industrialization and urbanization gave rise to a huge demand for landed properties and, in this process, ample funds for purchase of land by business concerns were freely provided by the financial interests. Both national and local governments made large-scale investments like roads, harbors, and water su pply in order to increase the utility value of the land acquired. This further Table 20 Changes in Land Utilization in Postwar Period (in 10.000 ha. percentage distribution in parentheses) 1965 1975 Agricultural land 643 ( 17.0) 575 (15.2) Farmland 602 (16.1) 577 (14.7) Meadows & 41 ( 1.0) 18 (0.5) pastures Forests 2,516 (66.7) 2,518 (66.7) Wasteland 64 (1.7) 41 ( 1.1) Waters, rivers, 11 1 (2.9) 113 (3.0) canals Roads 82 (2.2) 97 (2.6) Building sites 85 (2.3) 122 (3.2) for housing 69 (1.8) 94 (2.5) for industry 9 (0.3) 15 (0.4) for offices, 7 (0.2) \3 (0.3) stores, etc. Others 270 (7.2) 309 (8.2) Total 3,771 (100.0) 3,775 (100.0) Urban area 46 64 (in 1970) Source: Ministry of Construction 'accelerated the rise in land price. To ward off the effects of inflation, large business concerns and people with surplus money eagerly sought investments in real estate. The difficulty in diverting farmland to purposes other than farming has been a second factor accounting for the rise in land prices. The fact that Japanese villages are adjacent to urban areas seems to make the diversion easier physically, but the singularly strong attachment to land held by the Japanese farmer who has to subsist on a small farmland (land is for them not the means for earning profit but rather a means for subsistence) makes it quite difficult. In other when a farrning lot is sold for use as a building site, its pnce tends to be ramarkably steep. Thirdly, city inhabitants make significant demands for lots. These demands are accelerated by the housing polIcy of the government which encourages citizens to own a h?me however sma!l. This caused the already fractionalIzed farmland contIguous to larger cities to be randomly subdivided into even smaller housing lots. The result has been disorderly urbanization. There are no regulations in Japan controlling suburban land subdivision. Land can be partitioned limitlessly into very small lots of 5070 square meters or even smaller than that. In Tokyo a smallscale owner's house with 50m 2 land easily costs US $100,000 especially in the vicinity of a railway station. Table 21 The Diversion of Farmland to Other Purposes 1967 1972 Diverted to: area in % area in % BIA ha(A) ha (B) Housing 13,823 36.5 18,948 29.7 1.37 Industry & 3,594 9.5 6,737 10.6 1.87 Mining Public use 7,881 20.1 11,602 17.4 1.40 Other sorts of Construction (excluding agr: facilities) 6,660 17.6 8,045 12.6 1.21 Subtotal 3..1..j158 MA 5A.792 .8lL1 J.....4f1 Reforestation, 5,120 13.5 16,652 26.1 3.25 Agricultural facilities 784 2.1 2,262 3.6 2.89 Subtotal 5,904 15,6 19,915 20.7 3.30 Total 37,862 100.0 63,702 100.0 1.68 Sourae: Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry 52 --- -- The fourth factor lies in the taxation system. Whereas the income tax for working people is collected at progressive rates, the taxation imposed on the profit accruing from a land sale (capital gains tax) is light. Generally speaking, the level of real estate tax is lower in Japan than in the U.S. or in Britain. The tax system has made it quite easy to buy up large tracts of land at low prices and sell them later at handsome profits--especially when government funds are invested in the construction of roads and other public facilities. Working people must make great efforts to save money to purchase housing lots at prices five times (or more) higher than in European cities. The interest rate on bank deposits does not keep pace with the rise in land prices. As a result a conspicuous trait of the residential quarters in Japan is the dwarfish size of the building lot per house. Figure I shows how small the building lots per house are and how they are being miniaturized year by year. This difficulty in acquiring housing lots for individual citizens is further accompanied by some other untoward circumstances: (a) the share of land cost in the total building cost is remarkably high; (b) the sector of privately owned land in residential areas is very high; and (c) "immature" land tracts inadequately equipped with necessary facilities for residence are put on sale as housing o t s ~ In other words, as the government funds are primarily allocated for the aid to industrial activities, public expenditure for housing, waterworks, sewerage, garbage disposal, parks, libraries, etc., remain at a minimal level. These peculiar features of urban development in Japan, characterized by miniaturized, disorderly, and wasteful use of land, are largely responsible for deterioration of the urban environment. Because the city dwellers have to spend a large Figure 1 Trends in the Size of Housing Lot (tsubo) 180 Mitaka City (western suburb of Tokyo) 100 ./ 50 , -- -- -- - Special Ward Area (city of Tokyo) - 10 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 Source: Tokyo Metropolitan Government. I tsubo = 3.3 m 2 = 10 ft2. part of their money for the purchase of "immature" land, they can afford to build only low-quality, low-rise, wooden houses. The city as a whole presents a dismal picture. Unrestricted low-rise, crowded residential areas are spreading outwardly with few open spaces and without the public facilities to guarantee comfortable life for the inhabitants. Also, the disorderly construction of overcrowded, low-rise residences results in the low efficiency of land use. Table 22 Japan's Urban Land Price Level and Wholesale Price Level: 1936-1976 Land Price Index in Six Largest Cities Year Wholesale General Commercial Residential Industrial Price (A) (B) BIA (C) CIA (D) D/A (E) E/A 1936 1.036 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1945 3.503 1.2 0.36 0.8 0.25 1.4 0.40 1.6 0.46 1950 246.8 28.7 0.12 48.0 0.19 21.9 0.09 15.9 0.06 1960 352.1 538.4 1.53 637.0 1.81 526.8 1.49 411.2 1.17 1970 399.9 3,049.6 7.63 2,898.8 7.25 3,180.8 7.95 2,476.6 6.19 1976 611.4 5,648.0 8.54 4,515.8 6.83 6,815.2 10.30 4,507.2 6.82 Source: Bank of Japan. 1976. Wholesale price: 1934-1936 average= 1.00; Urban land price: Sept. 1936= 1.00. 53 2. Housing Problems and Urban Transportation The housing situation is aggravated by the relative shortage in quantity and quality. Although the absolute number of houses is enough to accommodate the existing number of families, the number of families housed in defective homes amounts to 570,000 in Tokyo, and to 2,480,000 in the whole country. What has become more significant, however, is the problem of quality. As we have seen before, the Japanese housing lots are minute. As shown in Table 23, the houses built in recent years have slightly wider floorage, but they can by no means be considered spacious. The average floorage of rented houses, which constitute about 30 percent of the newly-built houses, is less than 50 square meters (about 500 square feet). Further problems are found in the random manner of housing site development and inadequate public utilities in the newly-developed areas. As for the former, since no clear distinction has been made between the matured land and raw land in Japan, houses built on precarious sites are often damaged by landslides and floods. As for the latter problem, Japanese cities have traditionally suffered from a scarcity of parks, libraries, civic centers, and other cultural facilities. Table 23 Trends in the Ownership and Floorage of Newly-built Houses A. Percentage Distribution of New Houses by Type of Ownership 1969 1971 1973 1975 Privately-owned 43.3 42.2 40.2 51.9 houses Rented houses 41.8 41.2 36.9 27.7 Company/ 5.3 4.8 3.7 2.8 government pro vided houses Houses sold by 9.6 11.8 19.2 17.6 installment B. Average Floorage of New Houses (in sq. meters) 1969 1971 1973 1976 Privately-owned 93.0 95.8 104.2 108.0 houses Rented houses 41.9 44.7 50.3 50.3 Company/ 67.1 66.6 77.8 77.7 government pro vided houses Houses sold by 58.6 62.0 71.0 72.1 installment Average 66.9 69.4 76.9 82.2 Source: Ministry of Construction The deficiencies in this respect are especially conspicuous in the new suburban districts. Moreover, as noted above in the section on land prices, city governments of such districts are finding it very difficult to purchase building sites needed for the construction of public facilities. Then there is the problem of commuting distance. Generally speaking, land price in Japanese cities is determined by the length of time needed for commuting to the city center: the longer the time, the lower the land price. Owing to their inadequate budgets, most people must purchase their housing lots in suburban localities distant from the city center and travel 90 to 120 minutes (one-way) to their offices and schools. Table 24 Comparison of Normal Transportation Capacity and Rush-hour Number of Passengers per Hour in Congested Sections of Suburban Railways Normal Rush-hour Ratio Metropolitan Zone: Year Capacity (A) passengers (B) B/A Y okosuka Line 1955 7,560 19,300 255 (Hodogaya 1964 9,900 28,200 285 Yokohama) 1974 11,440 33,110 289 Keihin-Tohoku Line 1955 17,570 47,760 272 (Ueno-Okachimachi) 1964 29,120 85,220 293 Chuo Line (express) 1955 33,950 95,030 280 (Shinjuku 1964 42,000 117,440 280 Yotsuya) 1974 39,200 101,600 259 OomeLine 1955 2,255 6,400 284 (Nishitachikawa 1964 6,130 19,750 222 Tachikawa) 1974 8,120 20,360 251 OdakyuLine 1955 6,251 14,664 235 (Sangubashi 1964 23,364 43,726 189 Minami Shinjuku) 1974 29,542 66,990 227 Seibu Ikebukuro 1955 8,083 16,970 210 Line (Shiinamachi 1964 27,274 61,682 226 Ikebukuro) 1974 34,160 76,869 225 Nagoya Zone: Kintetsu Nagoya 1955 2,844 5,730 171 (Yoneno-Nagoya) 1964 7,220 17,460 242 1974 9,810 19,510 199 Kei-Han-Shin Zone: Tokaido Line 1955 1,743 3,100 178 (express) 1964 2,046 6,146 300 (Ashiya-Osaka) 1974 8,002 16,400 205 Source: Ministry of Transportation 54 In this way, the problem of urban transportation is closely interrelated with the problem of housing. The deficient housing conditions have brought about a largescale exodus of inhabitants from the city center to suburban districts. This in its turn has caused unbearable rush-hour congestion in suburban railways and highways. In spite of the marked increase in transportation capacity as shown in Table 24, commuting trains usually carry 200 - 300 percent of the normal capacity (a carriage being crowded with 300 to 400 passengers for the normal capacity of 120 persons). While the inter-city transportation between large cities in Japan is taken care of by the National Railways, the suburban transportation within urban districts is as a rule carried out by private railway companies. These companies also combine the function of real estate developers and play the part of inducing more and more residents to distant suburbs. As for the road systems, they present a contradictory combination of superfluity and scarcity. Ever since oil became the main source of energy in Japan, the production of motor vehicles has shown a tremendous growth. As their number multiplied, nets of trunk speedways have been constructed in overcrowded cities. Their noise is plaguing local residents, robbing them of peaceful sleep. The development of highways combined with the amazing Table 25 Use of Water in Larger Cities of the World (per capita per day, in liters) After After World War I World War II 1918 1923 1925 1927 1960 1973 London 171 160 167 164 260 Paris 116 145 170 179 510* Berlin 116 107 119 343** Cleveland 508 536 532 484 658 Boston 413 367 371 506 Chicago 950 1,024 1,083 1,107 833 San Francisco 288 253 246 250 397 New York 455 499 542 538 556 Osaka 146 126 143 634 Kyoto 128 103 115 428 Kobe 152 145 137 371 Tokyo 125 148 170 513 Nagoya 100 97 99 471 Yokohama 215 228 165 449 SOUTce: Tokyo Institute of Municipal Research. *Including 350 lit. for drinking and 160 lit. for other uses. **West Berlin only. increase in motor traffic has given further impetus to the unrestricted sprawling out of cities as well as to the traffic paralysis in city centers. At the same time, the system of community roads within neighborhoods is in the state of complete neglect and shortage. These roads are narrow and pedestrians are constantly forced to dodge automobile traffic. 3. Water Supply The rapid advance of urbanization also has produced various problems related to water supply. Table 25 'shows that the growth of the postwar economy has been accompanied by a remarkable increase in the use of city water. As shown in Table 26, the two main factors which were responsible for this increase were the development of water-consuming industries and the proliferation of high rise buildings. It has become increasingly difficult to supply water for the expanding demand. As with housing, the problem involves not only quantity but also quality, for the progress of urbanization has been inevitably accompanied by the pollution of rivers and springs. The procurement of water from upper streams farther and farther away from cities has made the cost of the water supply higher. An additional factor involves the pumping of underground water for industrial use; many large users of water have customarily depended on underground water. Table 26 Ten Largest Users of City Water in Tokyo (1974) Location Amount of water User (Ward) per day (m 3 ) Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd. Toyosu Plant K6t6 7,916 Tokyo University Bunky6 5,766 Asahi Denka Kogyo Co., Ltd. Arakawa 3,621 Tokyo Station, National Railways Chiyoda 3,512 Airport Servicing Co., Ltd. Ota 3,489 Nisshin Sugar Co., Ltd. K6t6 3,089 Hotel New Otani Chiyoda 3,088 Tetsudo Kaikan Chiyoda 2,973 Imperial Hotel Chiyoda 2,894 Sapporo Beer Co., Ltd. Meguro 2,731 Source: Tokyo Metropolitan Government 55 Recently this practice has been curtailed because the land subsidence resulting from the loss of underground water has inflicted serious damage to urban constructions. However the prohibition of the use of underground water has increased the demand for city water, and, because the rate for industrial water is set at a low level (supported with the grant-in-aid of government subsidies), the rate for general users has risen. 4. Sanitation Works Until the I 950s, night soil was generally used as fertilizer, but with the popUlarization of chemical fertilizers it has lost its utility in agriculture. The result is that disposal has become an important item in sanitation works. However, sewerage systems are poorly developed in Japan. Some are now being constructed gradually in major city centers, but the disposal of night soil is a serious problem in other places, especially in the suburban areas with their rapidly expanding popUlations. The disposal of garbage is even more difficult. During the 1960s and its "consumer revolution" the amount of garbage discharged from the metropolitan zone of Tokyo increased 2.3 times (in contrast, say, with London's l.l during the same period). There was a rapid increase in plastic scraps, in quantities unparalleled in the world and an increase in bulky wastes, industrial wastes, and wastes from urban constructions. The treatment of garbage and urban refuse is divided into three stages - collection, transportation, and final disposal - each of which has presented Japan with great difficulties. One of the best-known incidents was the so-called "War on Garbage" during the second half of 1971. The inhabitants of Koto Ward in Tokyo, angered by the heavy traffic of garbage trucks in their streets, blocked the transit of the trucks from Suginami Ward where inhabitants were also putting up a violent resistance to the cnnstruction of a garbage incineration plant. Similar controversies are cropping up throughout the country: Hiroshima's 1974 "garbage emergency" and Tokyo's Mizuho area where excessive garbage dumping became a major problem in 1975. In this situation, with less and less land space available even for dumping grounds, the only reasonable way out for Japan-currently so dependent on overseas supplies of oil, iron ore, pulp, bauxite, and other raw materials-would be to recycle the wastes for industrial uses. Conclusion Japan has experienced a high rate of industrial growth. At the same time the environment has steadily deteriorated. Pollution, disaster, and accidents, which were formerly regarded as unrelated to one another, have been merged into one phenomenon. For example, when crude oil leaked from a cracked oil tank at the Mizushima Refinery of the Mitzubishi Petroleum Company, it resulted in the pollution of the Inland Sea and caused direct damage amounting to more than ten billion yen to the fishing industry. The contamination of the sea water and the resulting derangement of the ecological cycle in the Inland Sea will remain for many years. Up to the 1960s, the problems related with industrial pollution in Japan were typified by damages inflicted upon the inhabitants of a particular neighborhood by a specific industry located there. For example, there was "Minamata disease" caused by the discharge of methyl mercury by the Chisso Minamata Plant; there was "Itai Itai disease" attributed to cadmium waste from Kamioka Mine of the Mitsui Metallurgical Co., Ltd.; and there was the "Second Minamata Disease" ascribed to the Kase Plant of Showa Denko Co., Ltd. There are now laws and regulations both controlling the refuse from such pollution-producing plants and seeking to prevent the reoccurance of such disasters. Since the mid-1960s, however, pollution has become a menace pervading whole urban areas. Numerous cases could be cited: the contamination by oxidized nitrogen (NOx) from the exhaust fumes of automobiles; photochemical smog caused mainly by hydrocarbons; the so-called "acid rain" and "red tide" attributed to the general pollution of the atmospherse and seawater, and so on. This new phase of the pollution problem, which disrupts the overall living environment, does not always inflict immediate damage on human bodies. Rather, by disrupting the ecological cycle in the urban areas, it cannot but lead to the long-range deteriora tion the health conditions of all living beings. Apparently harm less phenomena like the decrease in actinomyces in soil, the general rise of atmospheric temperature, and the progress of aridity on the earth, already presage a potentially disastrous future for us. In order to cope with this situation, Japan must from now on shift its antipollution policy from the restrictions on the diffusion and density of pollutants to the control of their gross volumes. But above all, Japan's economic policy, which has pursued economic aggrandizement without any regard to the harmful effects, must be abandoned. First priority must be given to the amelioration of the living environment. A great variety of urban problems have arisen from the urbanization resulting from Japan's rapid economic growth, and all of them are deeply rooted in the basic character of that economic development. Their solution cannot be hoped for without an overall change in the mode of economic development. The developments during the past one hundred years, and particularly during the thirty postwar years, have produced tremendous growth in the Japanese economy. This growth has been at the sacrifice of people's housing, greenery, public facilities and people's health. Hereafter the possibilities for Japan's future development turn on applying its high technological capabilities to the policy of giving priority to the citizens' living and to the improvement of their living environment. *** 57 Review Essay The Problem of Balanced Economic Growth in Developing Societies by James Robinson If there is a common theme in these two works, it is the possibility of planned or balanced economic growth in 'under developed" societies. More exactly, they share a question: can efforts at planning effectively replace the elitist economic solu tions and their attendant social costs which have typified west ern, capitalist-oriented development? In the case of Third World Urbanization by Janet Abu Lughod and Richard Hay, the answer to this question is implicit in many of the selections they have chosen to reprint and is addressed directly in at least one essay. The final selection in this reader, "Territorial Social Problems in Socialist China," by Enzo Mingione, presents a focus for discussing this question. To quote Mingione, One wonders whether the processes of rapid urbanization. depopulation ofthe countryside. centralization ofproduction and lack of regional balance-are characteristics of in dustrialization per se or are the result of the economic. social. and political system ofcapitalism. This problem, he continues, is "extremely complex" and no models of alternative development can be substituted for an evaluation of the historical growth of particular societies. The Chinese case, however, may be helpful for the evaluation of our own or other societies, without our needing to draw e x a ~ t parallels between quite different types of historical experiences. As Mingione argues, the Chinese experience does lead one to ask: Is it possible to make rapid and consistent industrial progress without paying the very high social costs usually connected with rapid urbanization. namely, increasing inequalities and the creation ofregional and rural underdevelopment? Mingione suggests that the Chinese have made as good an effort at planning balanced development as we have yet seen, noting that the key to this process is primarily political rather than economic. It has been the determination on the part of the Chinese not to permit the widening of social inequalities that has resulted in the successes they have achieved. It has been the political mobilization of the population around egalitarian goals which has thus allowed the realization of "balance" in the economy. This program has aimed at the The Rustication of Urban Youth in China. ed. by Peter J. Seybolt with an introduction by Thomas P. Bernstein. White Plains, N.Y.: M. E. Sharpe, 1977, 232 pp., $15. Third World Urbanization. ed. by Janet Abu-Lughod and Richard Hay, Jr. Maaroufa Press, 1977, 395 pp., $6.95 paper; $14.95 hardcover. elimination or reduction of the "three great differ ences" -those between town and country, mental and manual labor, worker and peasant. The primary economic measure fostering the development of such balance has been the reinvest ment of surpluses in the agricultural sector in a way that will foster decentralized industrial development in the countryside. Thus the process of industrialization is not viewed by the Chinese as necessarily linked with uncontrolled urbanization. Mingione was concerned at the time of his writing (1976) about the ability of the Chinese to maintain their economic and tech nological success vis-a-vis the world economy, but was other wise optimistic. The Chinese policy of regional autonomy, decentralization of decision-making, reduction of the division of labor, and utilization of existing resources seemed to him a feasible developmental alternative for China. The political and organizational methods by which this economic and social strategy has been pursued are evident to some degree in the documents edited by Peter Seybolt as The Rustication of Urban Youth In China. This volume presents recent articles from the Chinese press detailing the transfer from urban areas to the countryside of approximately 12 million youths in the period since the Cultural Revolution ( 1968 through 1975). Such relocations are supposed to be permanent and are intended to transform village life in regions removed from the centers of urbanization. Three motives for the transfer program are described in the introduction by Thomas Bernstein: the inability of the urban sector to supply employment for middle school graduates in the cities; the interest in restoring a degree of political order among youth following the upheaval of the Cul tural Revolution; and a genuine interest in the reduction of urban-country inequalities. That all ofthese goals may not have been compatible is apparent from the reluctance with which 58 some regions treated the transfer program. After an initial en thusiasm for the program, then a period of greater indifference, the Chinese appear to have stepped up efforts to make the program more feasible since 1973. One central feature of these documents from the Chinese press is their emphasis on questions of morale and motivation of both the transferred youth and the peasants in the villages. The documents reveal an ongoing ideological struggle which occurs between individuals, and often within an individual's own con sciousness over the need to transform their behavior. The goals of the revolutionary community can only be fulfilled through first convincing oneself, and then others, of their historical importance and personal relevance. This is a task in which many can participate, and in which any of various ranks of people may be the key to local success. The core ofthis struggle is the effort to prevent the ideal of the eradication of social inequalities from becoming an empty formalism put forward by a bureaucracy living above the people. The primary motivational difficulties which the urban youth appear to face in the countryside are twofold: first, they are not accustomed to hard physical labor in the agricultural setting; second, they are not guaranteed an immediate accep tance by the local people, yet have been given the task of a lifetime of work among the peasantry. The work process itself is difficult. There are agricultural techniques to be learned, and the work rhythms and strength necessary for prolonged labor do not come easily. The key to the success of these workers is, how ever, the nurturing in them of sufficient discipline to learn their job and manage its demands and to create their place in the society of the villages. Of these two tasks, the more difficult appears to be making a genuine, long-term commitment to rural life, especially for those whose life expectations have developed in the context of an urban society. Urban youths often experience homesickness, feelings of weakness or inadequacy, opportunism or cynicism, and various forms of dependency. The differences in material and cultural advantages between the urban and rural regions is a main reason for the existence of this program. Understandably, these differences also are potential reasons for the disaffection of youth sent to rural areas. Why should one, after all, give up the advantages of urban life to struggle for social equality? Under the pressure of unfamiliar surroundings, hard work and the prospect of a life in the provinces, the transferred youth experience a lowering morale. The local cadre or peasants, as well as some of the urban youth themseives, are therefore involved in fostering positive attitudes toward their life and work in the villages. They need to argue against such familiar psychological mechanisms as invidious comparisons (my work here is less important than someone else's, somewhere else); careerism (how can one become important in a village?); or escapism (the failure to confront one's actual circumstances). A final area of potential problems, which is not dealt with quite so well, is the possibility of real hostility or resistance from vil lagers. Such behavior on the part of the peasantry is too quickly reduced to either (a) solvable misunderstandings or (b) reac tionary attitudes on the part of bad influences in the community. This is perhaps the weakest portion of the self-presentation made by the Chinese press. The means by which motivational problems are solved are interesting because they are strikingly democratic and rely heav ily on persuasion and emulation. Peer group pressure, exemp lary behavior, self-analysis and political debate are the com mol). ways in which values are strengthened in the village or collective. Peasants or cadres who experienced the bitterness of earlier struggles against the landlords, the Japanese or the Na tionalists explain their experiences to the newcomers and pro vide a point of perspective for them. After a period of years of service have passed for the students, they seem particularly to need a period to question and reinforce their commitments. The feeling one gets is that although the party has directed the urban youths' activities, it is not the party alone that commands their respect and has achieved their integration into village society. Rather, it has been the experience of the dedication of their peers, and the local peasantry, in combination with the inten tions of the party that has moved them to long-term efforts. The difficulties facing the program are real. The peasants in the villages have feared the loss of scarce resources while they provide shelter, food and training for a group of people who may or may not help increase production. The students have some times seen better ways to organize local production, but in some cases they have wasted time and energy of their own and upset local production efforts. The revolutionary experience was evi dently not as widely shared in the cities as in the countryside, and this creates a gap of political and social experience not only between generations but between urban and country dwellers which is difficult to overcome. There is still a tendency for the attitude to linger among urban youth that the best jobs and most rewarding careers lie in either bureaucratic or factory work in the cities. In dealing with these problems, however, the Chinese have certain advantages. Industrialization has not been exclusively concentrated in urban centers since the revolution, so that there is a possibility of a creative interaction between small-scale industry in the countryside and agricultural production. Simi larly, specialization in education appears not to have progressed as far as it might, which means that the students coming to the countryside have a general perspective on problem-solving that can be transferred from urban to country life. Finally, it seems that the middle school education has been both political and technical, so that a line of communication exists between the newcomers and the cadre or experienced peasants in the coun try. Despite the fact that they come from somewhat different worlds, they share a common vocabulary of Maoism. It is difficult for a non-specialist to know whether the descriptions in this collection of documents is an accurate re flection of the ability of the Chinese to mobilize urban youth or merely a celebration of the success of the transfer program. Have the Chinese successfully convinced the majority of the urban young people who have been sent (or who volunteered to go) to the villages to strike permanent roots among the peas antry? The editor suggests in his introduction that there has been a certain amount of slippage in the program, with a minority of students returning to the cities either for higher education or for factory work. He also notes the discriminatory treatment which 59 students have received in some areas, which has caused their production levels to fall below that necessary for subsistence: male workers have received fewer wage credits than female, housing has dnot been adequate, particularly for young married couples, and personal antagonisms have overridden production policy. The impression one receives, however, from reading these documents and Bernstein's introduction is generally positive. A " n e ~ peasantry" is being shaped in the villages through the interaction of the villagers and the urban youth assigned to their care. This new peasantry is more informed about the nature and perhaps the significance of the outside world. One senses that there are lingering problems of traditional attitudes in the vil lages: that, for example, the acceptance of the role of youth as leaders is not altogether easy in some areas. On the other hand, the villagers often perceive urban youth as essentially spoiled, as losing persective on the importance of the fundamental task of production. Yet, engaged daily in efforts to improve ag ricultural yields and production techniques in association with the survivors of a much different China, they seem to achieve a certain kind of maturity. The positive results of success in the program are man ifold. Regional development is strengthened and there is a potential for reduction of the influence of the central bureauc racy. New production-oriented cadre appear to be created in the outlying areas through the need to come to terms with the challenges of the transfer program. These cadre may come from either the peasants or the urban youth, but in any case, one gathers that the very presence of the program creates a sense of movement and urgency that can strengthen local institutions. Finally, the service in terms of increased production which the transferred youth have contributed should not be overlooked. Again, this is a difficult area for a non-specialist to evaluate, since it is hard to assess the impact of a few million young people in a country of hundreds of millions. Is more gained by transferring urban youth than is lost? I would say yes, but it is difficult to assess how much so. The negative features of the program are less evident in the official optimism ofthe documents presented. Bernstein's intro duction is helpful and balanced in this regard; he mentions the particular difficulties of the program which we noted above. It seems that the difficulties which surround the program are greater than those of the program itself. It is merely one element in the overall struggle to raise production, nurture support for the regime, create a new revolutionary cadre, and maintain a balance between the needs of the agricultural and industrial sector. The program is evidently being treated as a more delib erate policy than it might have been at the start. The direction seems to have shifted towards considering it a serious "social experiment" rather than a political or economic expedient. Yet the problems in this program, and in China. are of a different scale than those facing much of the rest of the "third world... The Chinese are concerned about the bureaucratization of a successful revolution; in many countries the establishment of egalitarian goals is much further away. The editors of Third World Urbanizatin document the view that economic and social planning in many parts of the post-colonial world is non existent, too sporadic to produce results, or too elite-oriented to insure a reduction of social inequalities. Hay and Abu-Lughod suggest, as have others, that the exportation of an exploitative system of relations of production has recreated in developing societies the features of an acquisi tive, economically irrational, western economic system. Their book is a review of recent writings on modernization which support a broadly-conceived socialist perspective on questions of development. The intention of this volume is evidently to document the costs of uneven development in the third world, to note its relation to the problems of urbanization. and to provide a view of alterntives to capitalist development. One of the most attractive featurys of the book is its ability to present side by side a sense of the human costs of unbalanced or uneven development and a description of its objective or economic and social causes and effects. The editors have identi fied a series of important themes in existing research and theo retical literature. Among the more predominant are the histori cal determinants of urban structures, the impact of state and foreign investment policies on urban development, the central ity of the "submerged" or informal sector of the economy created by recent migrants to the cities. They illuminate in this way the inadequacy of traditional academic models ofurbaniza tion in several disciplines and offer alternative approaches for theory and empirical research. This identification of central issues is combined with a real concern for their human dimen sion. There are especially effective selections depicting the precarious life of squatters in urban slums. a portrait of the struggle for existence of a Jakarta street trader. and an analysis of the politics ofthe mass or ".crowd" in Nairobi. This broadly eclectic approach is a useful means of breaking through the sterility of some academic writing on these topics. Another of the authors' achievements is the presentation in a single volume of material scattered through various journals. The multi-disciplinary approach they have chosen. edited from the perspective of political economy. preserves their intention of presenting a human view of technical problems. as well as a recognition of the objective limits to human striving. On the more technical side, the book serves as a useful updating of the debate on development theory for those of us who have not followed its course closely in recent years. There is a more than four-hundred item bibliography through which to pursue relevant works on urbanization and development. The quality of the selections is generally high. and the authors are broadly representative, although the editors' commitment to socialist politics is clear. Unfortunately. the editorial selection has not always been successful. The book begins awkwardly with a series of ex cerpts from the writings of Ibn Khaldun, Machiavelli. Marx and Engels, and Lenin. Although a synthesis of these sources could obviously have relevance to the topic of third world urbaniza tion, that synthesis is neither automatic nor clear to the reader. This introductory section is a distraction for the scholar and would probably be confusing to students. In other portions of the book the editors provide an overview of their topic which is literate and incisive; they probably should have written an introductory essay drawing on these sources rather than present 60 ing them in this fashion. The same argument is true for the concluding section which relies substantially on declarations from the 1976 United Nations conference on development. These surface faults are symptomatic of a more fundamen tal problem of the book as a reader. Basically, the project seems to lack an adequate focus. This is partially true, one suspects, because the field in itself is relatively new, and no dominant models have really emerged as clear alternatives for study and research. The editors have compounded this problem, however, by an essentially "muck-raking" approach to their work, in the sense that they have reprinted widely divergent materials related to a core theme. Thus the book's breadth of vision has its drawbacks, too. To review the entirety of relevant works on third world urbanization and select a few for publication would not be easy. In addition to this, the editors have attempted to summarize the arguments in and recent applications of dependency theory. The book's intention thus becomes a bit diffuse. The title appears misleading after a while because much ofthe material is actually devoted to development theory per se, rather than urbanization. One result of the broad goals of the volume is that there is not enough space to accomplish everything, and selections become "trimmed down" to fit the limitations of the project. Some of the essays (notably those by Ward, Arrighi and Leeds) are badly edited, having been cut to summaries of their main points. This saves time but strips them of so much supporting argumentation as to make them tedious and unimpressive. Per haps the editors included them out of an impulse to be broadly representative, but they might almost have been better omitted. The utility of the book fortunately overcomes its inade quacies. It becomes stronger as it progresses, in the sense of increasing the integration of theoretical and empirical concerns in the selections. Among the theoretical writings which form the first half of the book, the most interesting are those on develop ment theory by Alejandro Portes, Samir Amin, and Bryan Roberts; there is also a provocative analysis of the existence and economic functions of the "proto-proletariat" in third world cities by T. G. McGee. The latter half of the book contains some excellent case studies on urban life and politics which we noted above. The most effective ofthese describe the social and economic impact of the peasant migration into the cities of the third world. It is perhaps in this area that the editors might have chosen to focus more of their energies. Certainly the question of popu lation movement in the third world is an integral part of the examination of urbanization, as they have demonstrated. A second edition might concentrate on this issue more closely, putting it forward more deliberately and clearly for a general reader. Such a focus would be helpful because these materials do not lead clearly and inevitably to an answer to the question posed by Mingione which we cited at the beginning of this essay. Is the Chinese experience a relatively unique one, in the sense of their ability to end imperialist domination of their society and begin undoing its damage? In some senses, we must admit that this is the case: individual societies have their own historical conditions with which they must contend. These selections, however, tend to imply that a world system of capitalist development has produced a more or less uniform set of results, and that, in consequence, their elimination may be relatively uniform as well. To be fair, it must be emphasized that the editors them selves avoid such a flatfooted stance; however, their book suggests rather easy parallels between all forms of capitalist development. The documents from China demonstrate that even within a single socialist society the struggle to attain a revolu tionary consciousness is slow, difficult, and varies in character from region to region. How much more variegated must the experience of the third world be? That uniformity of conditions exists in the third world is open to debate and is an issue which should be more directly addressed by the editors. To return once more to the virtues of this collection: it is a valuable book. It provide,s an appreciation for the creative results that have come from the integration of development theory and urbanization theory on the part of some authors. As important, perhaps, is the fact that this is a reader for students which has at its core a genuine concern for the future of the people of developing societies. * SPECIAL OFFER SUBSCRIBE TO RADICAL AMERICA An independent socialist and feminist journal founded in 1967, Radical America features articles on the history and development of the working class, women and Third World people, with current reports on shop-floor and community organizing and debates on political theory and popular culture. Subscribe now to Radical America and receive these pamphlets for only fifty cents extra: Jim O'Brien, "American Leninism in the 1970's" Linda Gordon and Allen Hunter, "Sexual Politics and the New Right" Both of these widely-discussed RA articles appeared in an issue now out of print. So to r e c e i v ~ these two important political statements and a year's sub to RA (6 issues), send S10.S0 along with this form to Radical America, Box B, North Cambridge, Mass., 02140, U.S.A. Add S2 for foreign subscriptions. Name ____________________________________ Address City _______________State ________ Zip ____ 61 Deurbanization in China The Urban-Rural Contradiction by Charles P. Cell During the first quarter-century of the People's Republic of China (PRC), two basically different views emerged within the leadership on how national development, with its consequent effects on China's cities, should proceed. The first view, gener ally associated with Mao and his supporters, essentially ad vocated that all parts of China should be equal in the spread of services and resources, and ultimately develop at the same pace. Since there has been a great gap or contradiction between the cities and the countryside, a much greater development em phasis would have to be placed on the rapid development of the countryside. This process was to be accomplished not by h ~ a v y inputs from the outside, but rather by the mobilization of human energies via the mass mobilization campaign. I The slogan, "rely on the masses," became the watchword for the develop mental process which integrated an emphasis on mass mobiliza tion with a greater level of decentralized planning and implementation. The opposing view, held by Mao's detractors including some of the early economic planners, and more recently since the Cultural Revolution said to have included people such as Liu Shaoqi and Deng Xiaoping, stressed the importance of cen tralized planning and control, and the development of major industrial centers. While this view did not want to neglect agriculture, they felt that the development of the rural areas should be dependent on mechanization and technical inputs from a growing centralized industrial base. Popular mobiliza tion via the campaign was to be de-emphasized in favor of specialization, division of labor, experts, mechanization and other technological inputs. The developmental pattern of the Soviet Union more closely characterized this model of develop ment. Indeed for a brief period starting with the First Five Year plan in 1953, holders of this view did exert substantial influence over China's development path. For a couple of years until 1955, it looked as if China was going to adopt Russia's model of industrial development. However, by the middle and end of 1955, Mao and his supporters had begun to react, arguing that *A slightly different version of this article is to appear in Comparative Urban Research. popular mobilization was more important than mechanization in resolving China's agricultural problems. 2 His views began to spread to other areas including intellectuals, education, how to build leadership, the development of industry and finally cul minating in the Great Leap Forward (GLF). The impact of these two very different views of national development has been profound in all areas of life, including the growth and development of China's cities. During the early fifties, China's cities were allowed to grow virtually unchecked, creating tremendous problems in the urban areas. While some efforts were made to reverse this problem in the mid-fifties it was not really until after the GLF that the size and growth of the cities was stressed as an issue in resolving the urban-rural contradiction. This has resulted in a pattern of de-urbanization, where China's urban areas are no longer growing faster than the countryside. 3 In this paper I will briefly trace the changing patterns of growth of China's cities and then attempt to explain why the more recent pattern of growth has been so different when com pared either to the PRC's early years or to other developing societies. First, however, it is useful to have a brief look at patterns of urbanization, development and industrialization in other societies. Patterns of Urban and National Development There has been a continuing debate whether city size is an aid or impediment to economic development, particularly in dustrialization. 4 Although a few suggest there need be no neces sary relationship between industrialization and urbanization,S most observers of national development have readily accepted a relationship between the two. 6 In his summary of the literature some years ago, Schnore concluded, " ... that the relationship between urbanization and economic development is often re garded as virtually invariant, both historically and cross culturally." More recently Tilly notes that" ... the develop ment of cities on an unprecedented scale is a normal part of industrialization." Murphey comes to a similar conclusion. 7 Why has the paralleled growth in urbanization and national development been widely accepted as a positive factor? Essen tially the proponents argue that increased concentrations of 62 resources and population are vital to the industrialization process. The positive association of urbanization with industriali zation and economic growth are well known. Cities provide concentrations of population from which industrial labor may be drawn; they also contain a greater variety of skills and resources than do rural areas. Even more important perhaps, urbanization promotes values favorable to entre preneurship and industrial growth; in particular, cities typi cally tend to favor a propensity to analyze traditional institu tions and to innovate and accept change since, in a relatively impersonal and fragmented setting of urban life, the all embracing bonds of traditional community system are dif ficult to maintain. 8 More particularly, Takashi Fujii has argued there is an interrelated pattern of events, especially in the case of Japan, through which one can trace the essential link between in dustrialization and urbanization. (a) Specialization oflabor increases productivity; (b) the specialization offunctional division of areas . . . increases the efficiency ofan urban economy, for it concentrates large numbers of people, skills and capital in relatively small spaces so as to facilitate communication among sectors ofthe economy; (c) there is a relationship between capital density and the efficiency of space; as more capital is invested in a given space, the economic efficiency of that space is in creased; (d) industrialization leads to the concentrated ac cumulation ofboth capital and labor; (e) the accumulation of labor and capital leads in turn to urbanization. 9 But elsewhere, especially in Asia, there is a growing chorus of concern that countries are becoming increasingly "overurbanized." Urban concentration may have outrun the economic base of urban growth. Overurbanization, in short, stands for a "perverse" stream of migration, sapping the economic strength of the hinterland, without correspondingly large benefits to urban production. Instead ofbeing a sign ofdevelopment, overur banization is a sign ofeconomic illness. 10 Unlike many societies of the west or Japan where much of the migration to the cities was due more to "pull" factors of employment opportunities, the effect of overurbanization in Asia and other parts of the developing world, has resulted from a "push" factor, sending marginal labor into the cities for the lack of a better alternative. 11 Rural neglect means a strong "push" toward urban areas, "push" which in tum, generates new denwnds for urban investment and an increase "pull" of cities on the rural population, aggravatingfurther the urban problems. 12 The mounting problems of the cities leads 'to a downward circular spiral. Limited resources are increasingly invested in urban areas at the cost of rural needs in order to stem the mounting problems of the cities. But as needs of the rural areas are increasingly neglected, migration only increases, further exacerbating the downward spiral of urban dislocation and underdevelopment. 13 Yet present trends continue. For example, most Asian societies are about 15 percent urban. If this process is allowed to continue, it is likely that by 2000 these societies will be at least .25 percent. 14 Most of Asia's major cities are doubling in popula . tion every 5-10 years. Manila, with 4 million in 1973, has more than doubled in four short years to a population of8.5 million in 1977. Jakarta, with 4.6 million in 1974, has doubled since 1960 and will undoubtedly double again by 1980. In response to these problems, which can only be com pounded with continued rapid growth, some planners have begun to argue the need for a greater decentralization of re sources and strict control if not a halt in the growth of the largest cities. They argue there is a point at which the concentration of resources becomes counterproductive. IS The Chinese Example These lessons of Asia and the rest of the third world have quite clearly not been lost on the Chinese leadership. They have undoubtedly been well aware not only of the problems of over urbanization, but also of the fact that China's past was not unlike that of the rest of Asia. Throughout Asia the impact of colonialism had a marked effect on the development and growth of many of Asia's most prominent cities. 16 ... Extension of colonial control took place {in the nineteenth century] by establishment ofports that served as administrative centers, foci for colonial exploitation of raw materials and distribution of imports, and generally as "head links" for the mother country and the world commun ity. Thus, the great cities that dominate the region's urban hierarchies today are creatures ofcolonial intervention. 17 Thus these cities expanded where rivers met the ocean as centers for overseas control and shipping. They grew without plan or program, people migrating not so much because of employment opportunities, but in search of survival, fleeing from an over-populated and undernourished countryside, the victims of push rather than pull factors. 18 The problem for Asia, along with much of the third world, has not been, "How are you gonna keep them down on the farm when they've seen Pare?" Rather, it is "How are you gonna keep them down on the farm when they've seen the farm?" Historically, China's cities were no better offthan the rest of Asia; in fact, they may have been worse. With the possible exception of Peking, the rapid development and growth of most of China's great cities such as Shanghai, Tianjin, Canton, are a direct result of western commerce and treaty-port colonial practices. 19 Shanghai was once the largest city in the world. Prior to the victory of the communists in 1949, the cities of China were not unlike many of those in Asia today. Starvation was the order of the day. 20 Health care was unheard offor all but the privileged elite minority. Education was beyond the dreams of most. Jobs even at a peon's wage were a streak of luck. Yet people by the thousands flocked daily to the cities in search of 63 survival. The countryside, at least under the Guomindang and the Japanese, was worse. The frequent ravages of war, floods, pestilence and drought alternated often to make the reality of starvation and death a certainty in the countryside, but only a high probability in the city. At least there was someone to beg from in the cities. The recounting of horror stories are all too frequent and consistent to believe otherwise. 21 It is therefore no exaggeration to suggest that the com munists inherited cities characterized by rapid urbanization, social disorganization, decay, starvation, a totally inadequate or nonexistent social infrastructure for health care, education, welfare, etc., and high crime rates equal to if not exceeding most Asian cities. Urbanization in China: 1949 to the GLF (1958) The Chinese communists' efforts to deal with the cities is marked by essentially two periods, each with a markedly dif ferent approach. The first period, covering basically the first decade after liberation (1949), saw rapid industrialization and growth of the cities. For the period of 1949-60, the urban population grew at an annual average rate of7.6 percent, more than three times the rate ofpopulation growth for China as a whole. 22 To be sure there was a good deal of effort exerted to bring the pulsating, throbbing, often corrupt and violent elements of the cities under control and to begin to construct an adequate social infrastructure. But as Schurmann notes,23 the means to accomplish these goals were largely those of social control, i.e., the use of police and other para-military elements. Little effort was made to control the rapid growth of the cities. After liberation the rate of population increase in our cities has been very rapid. From 1952 to 1955, the popula tion ofcities and towns increased about 20%, the population of cities under provincial administration and above has in creased about 26%, and among the ten industrial cities, including Shenyang, Changchun, Anshan, Loyang, Paotou, Sian, Lanchow, etc., population has increased 51%. The increase in urban population is due to two things: one is the reproduction in the cities, another is the inflow of people from the countryside. 24 Available statistics for the 1950s suggest that with the exception of 1955, the growth of cities was indeed substantial during that decade, and certainly exceeded the growth rates of the countryside. 2S The average for this period from 1950 to 1957 is 2.5 percent. However, between 1952 and 1957 the national "rate of natural increase rose from 19 per thousand to 23. ' , 26 The rates of natural increase appears to have been somewhat higher for the cities. 27 However these increases account for only half (51.5 percent) of the total urban population increase between 1949 and 1957. The other half was due to migration. 28 Rough estimates suggest that from 1951 through 1953 be tween 3.4 and 4.5 million persons moved annually from rural to urban areas. 29 On the basis of Aird's figures in Table I urban population from 1951 through 1953 grew by nearly 16 million or 21 percent over 3 years. (In the same period the rural popula tion grew by only 4 percent.) Assuming a natural rate of increase of 25 per thousand during this period, the natural increase would account for 5.4 million, or only a little more than one-third of the total. Nearly two-thirds, 10.6 million (an annual average of 3.53 million), would thus be due to migration. But in 1954 and particularly in 1955, there was a sharp decrease in urban migration in a brief effort to attempt to control urban growth. In Shanghai alone in the first six months of 1955, 555,000 persons were mobilized for return to the rural areas. 30 However, in 1956 urban migration began to increase. By 1957, the problem had once again been noticed by the government. Right now, because population increase has not main tained a balanced relationship with various relevant institu tions, many cities have experienced urgent situations such as housing of city residents, traffic within cities, supply of non-staple food, coal supply and other city services. In all of these areas urgent situations have been observed. Therefore the issue of citY population growth, the rate of the growth, and the relations between this and other relevantfactors, all await our further research and analysis, so that the govern ment may adopt appropriate and reasonable measures to control this phenomenon. 31 However, any attention given to the problems ofthe cities in the next few years was more a function of the Great Leap Forward. For example, the GLF was a great spur to the move ment of women from work in the home to work in small Table 1 Urbanization in China 1949-57 Total Population % Rural % Urban (in thousands) Increase Change in % Total % Urban Urbani- Increase Increase zation Rate 1950 551,960 1.9 11. I 7.0 1.7 5.7 1951 563,000 2.0 11.8 7.5 1.3 6.2 1952 574,820 2.1 12.5 8.0 1.3 6.7 1953 587,960 2.3 13.2 8.4 1.4 7.0 1954 601,720 2.3 13.5 5.0 1.9 3.1 1955 614,650 2.1 13.5 1.6 2.2 -0.6 1956 627,800 2.1 14.2 7.6 1.3 6.3 1957 656,630 3.2 14.0 7.1 1.3 6.8 Source: Schunnan, op. cit., p. 381: from John S. Aird, The'SizeComposition and Growth ofthe Population ofMainland China (Washington, D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, 1961), p. 36. (For alternative but very similar estimates in total population increases deviating no more than 0.5 percent see Chen, "Population Growth and Urbanization in China," op. cit., p. 155.) 64 neighborhood industrial shops. But most importantly, the GLF marked a shift in the cities from one of social control to one of social mobilization. 32 For example, in the years following the GLF, people were sent to the countryside not so much because of their erring ways (as in the anti-rightist campaign), but more because of the need to assist the rural sector (as in the Aid Agriculture campaign) or as a continuing educational process for all urban youth. 33 The GLF, in essence, marked the begin ning of a Maoist approach to resolving the problems or contra dictions between the countryside and the ever-growing cities. 34 Deurbanization in China: 1958-1976 Although demographic statistics are very scattered and fragmented since 1957, there have been enough reports and analysis to provide some reasonable estimates. Onoye notes that in the eight years between 1949-57 the urban population grew by 60 percent, but in the ten year period from 1957-67 the urban population was only 10 percent higher. 35 Another estimate concludes that beginning with 1959 and 1960 the percentage of urban population relative to the total began to decrease. 36 Available evidence suggests that this pattern has continued in the decade since 1965, especially in China's larger cities. 37 China appears to have achieved remarkable success, unparal leled by any other developing country, in containing the popula- Table 2 China's Urban Population % Increase Over Urban Total % of Total Previous Year Year (in thousands) Population (Previous Year= 100) 1949 57,650 10.60 1950 61,690 11.12 107.00 1951 66,320 11.78 107.50 1952 71,630 12.46 108.00 1953 77,670 13.21 108.43 1954 81,550 13.55 104.99 1955 82,850 13.48 101.59 1956 89,150 14.20 107.60 1957 91,806 14.19 102.97 1958 98,019 14.64 106.76 1959 97,156 14.50 99.11 1960 91,127 12.95 93.79 1961 84,038 11.82 92.22 1962 83,718 11.54 99.63 1963 85,727 11.75 102.39 1964 87,955 11.54 102.59 1965 90,329 11.56 102.69 From Huang Yu-chuan . 'New figures on The Mainland Population." Father land (Tsu Kuo, Taipei. Taiwan No. 56. November. 1968). tion growth of the largest urban centers. Bannister's study on the population of Shanghai certainly supports this pattern, and indications are that the population growth rate in the countryside may remain high, at least relative to larger cities. 38 Even though the rural growth rate may remain higher, the national rate is noW probably below 2 percent and may be moving toward I percent. Morrison and Salmon suggest it may have even dropped below 1 percent. 39 The overall drop has clearly been greater in the cities. Although Shanghai may be more advanced than other Chinese cities in reducing population growth, reports from travelers to China state that the overall growth rate in China's largest city may be as low as 0.5 or 0.6 percent. 40 One systematic set of estimates for population size in cities over a half-million has been made by Chen 41 who relied on figures released when the revolutionary committees were e ~ tablished after the Cultural Revolution. Although the 1970 figures may be somewhat conservative when compared with figures available for the earlier years of 1953 and 1957, they provide a useful basis of comparison for urban population growth. From these figures substantial differences can be seen in the periods from 1953 to 1957 and from 1957 to 1970. The average annual increase in urban population from 1953 to 1957 was nearly 3.4 million. But from 1957 to 1970, at least in the larger cities, it had dropped dramatically to 772 thousand. 42 Clearly, even with variations in the statistics due to reporting and calculation errors, the relative decreases in urban popula tion size have been substantial if not dramatic. What specific causes and explanations can be offered for these changes? Deurbanization in China: Causes and Explanations China has witnessed a rather dramatic decline in urban population growth when compared with the urban growth pat terns of the 1950s and also the continuing rapid urbanization rates in the rest of the world. How can this be accounted for? Although there are many factors involved, the two that appear more directly responsible are population planning and control and the population transfer policies. Also related to the latter is the process of rural industrialization. Street and resident com mittees have been indirectly responsible for the success of these programs. Street and Resident Committees In the early years of the PRC the government relied heavily on local police as the major form of organization in the urban areas. The Party's inability to develop mass organizations in the cities to the same extent it had in the countryside clearly placed limits on its ability to mobilize the population to change at titudes and forms of social organization. Unlike the rural campaigns of Agrarian Reform, Mutual Aid, and the lower and higher level forms of cooperatives, the campaigns in the urban areas were either largely carried out in the workplace (e.g., Three-anti, Five-anti, Reform of Private Business), or followed a "top-down" pattern. Thus, for example in Shanghai in 1955, the nearly 4.5 million people (63 percent) who were not engaged in productive labor outside the home or who were jobless were not as well organized or mobilized. 43 65 Table 3 Cities with Populations Over a HalfMillion, 1970 City 1936 1953 1957 1970 Shanghai 3,727,000 6,204,417 6,900,000 7,000,000 Peking 1,551,000 2,768,1l9 4,010,000 5,000,000 Tientsin 1,292,000 2,693,831 3,220,000 3,600,000 527,000 2,299,900 2,411,000 2,800,000 Wuhan 1,379,000 1,427,300 2,146,000 2,560,000 Canton 1,222,000 1,598,900 1,840,000 2,500,000 Nanking 1,019,000 1,091,600 1,419,000 1,750,000 Harbin (Haerhpin) 465,000 1,163,000 1,552,000 1,670,000 Luta (Dairen, Port Arthur) 445,000 766,400 1,508,000* 1,650,000 Sian 155,000 787,300 1,310,000 1,600,000 Lanchow 106,000 397,400 699,000 1,450,000 Taiyuan 139,000 (1934) 720,700 1,020,000 1,350,000 Tsingtao 515,000 916,800 1,121,000 1,300,000 Chengtu 516,1l3 856,700 1,107,000 1,250,000 Changchun 228,744 855,200 975,000 1,200,000 Kunming 145,000 698,900 880,000 1,100,000 Tsinan 442,000 680,100 862,000 1,100,000 Fushun 118,000 678,600 985,000 1,080,000 Anshan 166,000 548,900 805,000 1,050,000 Chengchow 80,000 (1931) 594,700 766,000 1,050,000 Hangchow 589,000 696,600 784,000 960,000 Tangshan 85,000 693,300 800,000 950,000 Paotow 67,206 ( 1935) 149,400 650,000 (1958) 920,000 Tzepo 184,200 806,000* 850,000* Changsha 507,000 650,600 703,000 825,000 Shihkiachwang 60,000 373,400 598,000 800,000 Tsitsihar 76,101 344,700 668,000 760,000 Soochow 389,797 474,000 633,000 730,000 Kirin 143,250 435,400 568,000 720,000 Suchow 160,013 (1935) 373,000 676,000 700,000 Foochow 359,205 (1935) 553,000 616,000 680,000 Nanchang 301,000 398,200 508,000 675,000 Kweiyang 117,000 270,900 504,000 660,000 Wusih 272,209 581,500 613,000 650,000 Hofei 70,000 183,600 304,000 630,000 Hwainan 286,900 370,000 600,000 Penki 98,203 (1941) 449,000 600,000 Loyang 77,159 (1935) 171,200 580,000 Nanning 88,900 194,600 264,000 550,000 Huhehot 83,722 ( 1935) 148,400 314,000 530,000 Sining 55,564 (1946) 93,700 300,000 500,000 Urumchi 80,000 (1943) 140,700 275,000 500,000 TOTALS 35,148,467** 48,615,000 58,650,000** *Increase largely a result of tenitorial expansion of city limits. **Penki and Loyang are excluded from the 1953 and 1970 totals. Source: Chen, "Population Growth and Urbanization in China," p. 61; from Huang Yu-chuan, "New Figures on the Mainland Population, " op. cit. 66 As early as 1951, experimental efforts were begun in parts of Tianjin and Shanghai to form resident committees. Clearly their responsibility was to organize the unorganized. 44 How ever, these committees remained experiments for the next three years. According to the directives of the standing committee of the National People's congress, approved on the last day of December 1954, committees at both the resident and street level were to be formed across China. Why they were not formed earlier is not clear, although refugee reports suggest they had been unpopular, at least among some segments of the popu lation. They are said to interfere with private life and are often regarded as instruments of the police. Furthermore, strong female representation among the cadres of the residents committees must have made it difficult to operate in a society in which formal equality ofmen and women had only recently been proclaimed. 45 Indeed, membership in the resident committees was gener ally confined to those not belonging to a workplace; the unem ployed, retired and especially women, assumed leadership roles. However, in the street committees, just above the resident committees in the hierarchy of urban organization, women were less prominent. The street committees were run by full-time cadres appointed and paid by the state. Thus, not only was the organization at the local urban areas rather limited in these early years, but it was limited during a period when there was substantial national emphasis on a cen tralized, hierarchical model of social organization. In the cities where there remained substantial problems of subversive ele ments and social disorganization, the emphasis was on social control. In short, for these two reasons, social organization of the urban areas was characterized more by patterns of social control than social mobilization. This orientation would serve to inhibit programs of social change. However, beginning with the GLF, and the emergence of a Maoist model of change, social mobilization became the dom inant feature or social organization in urban areas. Emphasis switched from social control to working more closely with the population, persuading and encouraging them to change and to adopt new programs. With the GLF, the resident and street committees took on major new responsibilities, most notable of which were the establishment and running of neighborhood workshops and factories that largely employed women who previously worked only in the home. This certainly must have served to elevate the status of these committees. They also took major responsibility for running urban health clinics which have been essential to the running of population planning programs, one crucial ingredient in the changing urbanization pattern. 46 Population Planning and Birth Control The first attention paid to population planning and birth control came at the end of 1954, a few months following the release of the official census figures of 1953. Undoubtedly the leadership had become concerned with the surprisingly large population of 588 million and the rapid population growth it implied. Throughout 1955 and 1956. articles advocating popu lation planning appeared with increasing frequency. This even tually led to a major campaign which climaxed in March 1957. From March to October of 1957, a major policy debate ensued in the press over the ideological and practical implications of population planning and birth controLL 47 How successful was this early program? Although in cities there did seem to be substantial educational ("propaganda") work and even some attempts to establish contraceptive clinics (e.g., Szechwan Daily, 10/29/56), the efforts appeared to be inadequate. For example, the Rubei Daily stated on February 21, 1957, that . . . contraception propaganda work is still not adequate, in both style of propaganda and the content of it. For in stance, the same approach is used for men and women, young and old, disregarding whether it is being accepted by the mass or not . ... Sometimes the attitude is not serious enough and the content incomplete which causes misunder standing among the masses. Some people were thinking whether this is an attempt on the government's part to in terfere with private lives of citizens, or whether the popula tion would actually decrease ifbirth control is instituted. 48 If these were problems in urban areas, they were doubly so in the rural areas. On March 3, 1957, an article in the People's Daily (Beijing), reported that the need for birth control in the rural areas was urgent. However, many traditional values such as the importance of having large families (especially with sons) and the belief in fate persisted. 49 There were not enough medical personnel to assist those who wanted birth control and even when there were assistants the contraceptive devices being distributed during that period were not always available. The Da Gong Bao of February 5, 1958, noted that the total supply of contraceptives was sufficient to meet the needs of only 2.2 percent of the people in reproductive ages. In short, the educational and medical infrastructure was simply not avail able to administer the program. It appears, therefore, that this first effort at birth control had little success. Although the criticisms of 1957 and the beginning of the GLF did not terminate the birth control program, those events sharply curtailed it. 50 However, by 1962, in the aftermath ofthe GLF and accompanying natural disasters, attention was once again given to population size and family planning. Late mar riages were emphasized and contraceptive devices were also available. In 1964, a second national census was taken. Al though the results were not made public, it is likely that the increased propaganda efforts about birth control in 1964 and 1965 were the result of census figures showing rapid population growth. Although health care delivery programs were still lacking in China's villages, they had begun to penetrate into the urban resident's areas beginning in the late 1950s with the develop ment of the Street and Resident's committees. 51 This, coupled with more traditional values lingering in the countryside, meant that while the birth control programs had limitd effect in the countryside, they were beginning to have an impact on the cities. S2 Zhou Enlai, in an interview with Edgar Snow (printed in the South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, May 4, 1965) 67 confirmed that family planning ". . . was having considerable success in the cities but less success in the rural areas. "53 Although the Cultural Revolution seems to have diverted some organizational effort from population planning programs, the struggles of this period and after (e.g., the Campaign to Criticize Lin Biao and Confucius) seems to have weakened some of.the traditional resistance to birth control. Nonetheless. some traditional resistance still remains. 54 For example. the father of the household in a Hopei province village where I lived for a few days in late March 1972 told me that, while most women used some type of contraceptive, there was still a generalized value that sons were essential even if it meant having more than the encouraged maximum of 2-3 children. Mao confirmed the prevalence of this value in a 1971 interview with Edgar Snow. 5S It would in fact appear that the most important reason for the modest achievements in the countryside is due more to the development of a strong and thorough health care delivery system at the village level- principally the development of the "barefoot doctor" campaign. 56 Many of the barefoot doctors are local women who have a decided advantage in convincing peasant women to accept birth control methods. At the same time that inroads are being made in the countryside. birth control efforts continue in the cities. In 1973. the Party's theo retical journal Hong Qi (#6, pp. 50-51) stated that in one commune the 1963 birth rate was 3.4 percent, but by 1972 it had dropped to 1.16 percent. To the extent this drastic reduction has been achieved in both the cities and the countryside, it could account for a substantial population decrease. However. while live births and. presumably, the natural population growth are down in both cities and countryside - with the largest in the cities - other reasons also account for the fact that the cities are growing substantially more slowly than the countryside. The most important of these reasons is the population transfer program. Downward Transfer to the Countryside The process of transferring population to the countryside dates from the Yenan period when intellectuals and cadre were sent to villages both to trim the size of the bureaucracy and to assist in local-level production. provide teaching skills, etc. 57 Although this process continued in the early 50s and reached a peak in 1954-55 when as many as a half-million were sent down in a short-lived effort to control the growth of the cities, the proportions were still relatively small until the 1960s. However. in 1957, following the Anti-Rightist campaign against erring intellectuals and cadres, a major new effort de veloped to reform thought through labor and, again. to reduce the size of the bureaucracy. Reportedly, at least 2.3 million were transferred. 58 The primary goal here was not. however, to reduce the size of the cities but to cut the bureaucracies (espe cially the upper levels) and to re-educate. In fact, after a few months many of those sent down returned to the city. and frequently resumed their former positions. Although the num ber of people transferred in the early 50s was substantial-and temporary-the impact on city size was minimal. In the years immediately following the GLF, there was also a transfer of cadres to the countryside. Again. however, the purpose was to re-educate rather than to reduce population size. and many returned to their original positions within a year. 59 However, the process of reassigning urban cadres continued into the early 1960s. By January 1961, it was reported that 590.000 cadres had been sent down from seven of China's coastal provinces alone. 60 Although many cadres were sent to do manual labor and to engage in educational reform, there was also a second purpose: to assist agriculture by promoting mech anization in the rural areas. 61 On the other hand the numbers were still relatively small compared with the mass exodus about to begin. In the early 1960s two related factors came to a head at once. First. the economic dislocations of the GLF and the natural disasters which followed put a severe squeeze on the agricultural sector. Second, this squeeze in tum negatively affected both the availability of food and the employment poten tial in the cities ..The Maoist approach to this double-edged problem was to mobilize all unneeded personnel in the cities to go to the countryside to assist agriculture. "Bad elements" such as rightist intellectuals, bourgeois elements, unemployed persons (especially the youth), residents under detention and former landlords and rich peasants were among those targeted. 62 Although the figures vary. the magnitude of people who left the cities in this period is staggering. A Yugoslavian paper. Borba (Struggle), stated in 1961 that 20 million people had been relocated. 63 KMT sources in Taiwan stated that from July 1960 to February 1961 20 million urbanites were sent down and in the balance of 1961 another 20 million were sent to the countryside. The Chinese themselves acknowledged that as of the beginning of 1964. about 40 million youth alone had been mobilized to go to the countryside. 64 Bernstein in 1975 reported a far lower figure of only 1.2 million. Some of the bigger figure may be rural. Moreover. the government now saw the transfer of the population to the countryside not just in terms of re-education or the reduction of the bureaucracy. A major goal of population transfer had now become reduction of city size. Zhou Enlai. inhis report on Government Work presented at the third Session of the Second People's Congress in March 1962. listed as one of the ten major tasks to reduce the size of the urban population. By the end of 1963 the government had reportedly decided to stabilize the population at 110 million. 65 Although there were some reports of people going back to the cities, the numbers reported were only a fraction of those sent out. 66 Clearly the effort to send the population out to the countryside in the early 1960s had a major impact on slowing the growth of city size. Indeed if the figures presented above are reasonably accurate the urban population from 1959 to 1965 actually decreased by 6.8 million. By 1962. at the height of the transfer program. urban population had decreased by 13.4 mil lion. If a natural population increase of some 2.5 percent can be assumed during this period (from the base of 1958), by 1962 68 there should have been an urban population of some 108.2 million, not counting migration to the cities. This is a net reduction ofsome 24.5 million over a period ofonly four years! The Cultural Revolution saw youth in particular moving in great numbers to and from the cities in Red Guard groups. However, by 1968, the leadership felt it important that these youth be given a relatively more permanent experience in the countryside. 67 In December 1968, Mao Zedong issued a new statement. It is very necessary for the educated youth to go to the countryside to be reeducated by the poor and lower-middle peasants. Cadres and other people in the cities should be persuaded to send their sons and daughters who have com pleted junior or senior middle school, college or university, to the countryside. Let us mobilize. Comrades throughout the countryside should welcome them. 68 It soon became apparent that all youth, and not only those in the university at the time of the Cultural revolution, would be assigned tasks in the countryside as soon as they graduated from high school after nine years of formal education. They often traveled to areas in the remote hinterland. Among the objectives of this program has been the reduction of city population pres sure. 69 Although some cadre and older unemployed individuals have left the cities as a part of this exodus, 10 the emphasis has c learl y been on urban youth. The numbers relocated is not clear, but in the period from the Cultural Revolution (CR) to Mao's death in September 1976, the total was in the millions. 71 Radio Peking reported on December 22, 1975, that 12 million had been sent down,72 and in Shanghai alone in 1969, some half a million youth were sent down. 73 By December 1973, a million youth had been transferred from Shanghai.74 By the fall of 1968, 220,000 were reportedly sent out from Honan province, and more than 200,000 from Hunan province. In any case, it appears that approximately 10 percent of the urban population was transferred to the countryside. 7S A great many problems have developed with this program, not the least of which are the difficult lives students face in the countryside. They feel they are not being fully utilized as manual laborers in the countryside, some parents desire to keep their children in the cities, and conflicts and misunderstanding arise between the youth and local peasants. 76 Given the extent of the problems encountered, the post-Mao leadership has de cided to return this program to a strictly voluntary character, perhaps similar to the early 1960s. 77 In the long run this could have a great impact on urban population growth. In any case, the enduring effects may be substantial. Most young adults about to marry and bear children have been sent to the countryside. The return flow simply does not equal the migration out. Thus for the next few years, unless youth are allowed to return in wholesale numbers, births may continue to be much higher in the country side than in the cities. 78 Rural Industrialization Although this program has been extremely important in the overall Maoist developmental model of linking agriCUlture and industry and reducing the urban-rural contradiction,79 it appar ently has only had an indirect effect on decreasing city size. If the program is retained, the commitment to industrialize in rural areas will mean that employment opportunities even in industry may grow more rapidly in the countryside than in the cities. This then not only serves to keep down unemployment or underem ployment rates in the cities, but becomes further impetus to pull the population to or keep it in the countryside. Rural industry appears to have made its start during the Great Leap Forward. By 1960 it was reported that more than 5 million people were employed in rural industry in more than 200,000 units. In 1961 these 200,000 units accounted for 10 percent of China's industrial products. While there was some evidence that the statistics on employment included non agricultural farm labor from the cities, most employment seemed to come from the villages and apparently did not exceed more than 3-5 percent ofthe agricuhurallabor force. 80 Although rural industry did continue during the early 1960s, it appears not to have created a strong push for further development. However, a new effort emerged in 1969. Part of the motivation was the Sino-Soviet border conflict in the spring of that year when the leadership was concerned about the unduly large concentration of industry along the coastal areas, partic ularly in the Northeast. 81 But other motivations, such as the continued Maoist effort to erase differences between city and countryside, to build industry closer to raw materials, to tie industry more closely to regional needs, all serve to encourage further establishment of rural industry. 82 Although these goals are not directly related to reduction in the size ofcities, the effect of greater rural industrialization is to produce greater job op portunities in the rural areas. One might expect that rural industry would become an excellent source of employment for those sent to the country side. However, with the exception of cadres and others with special skills, what little evidence there is suggests this may not have been the case. Much of the employment in rural industry seems to be comprised of persons with rural backgrounds. 83 Indeed Perkins reports "a great demand among young peasants to get into industrial jobs." Nonetheless, this may indirectly increase the potential for employment opportunities for urban ites in agricultural sectors as rural inhabitants leave the land for small industry. Conclusion This article has outlined a major departure from standard schemes of national development. Two decades ago Bert Hose litz, for one, questioned the need for shifting third world popula tions, especially in Asia, from rural to urban areas. Urbanization in Asia has probably run ahead of in dustrialization and the development of administrative and other service occupations which are characteristically con centrated in cities. [This] emphasizes the disproportion be tween the cost of urban growth and the maintenance of proper facilities for urban dwellers and the earning capacity ofpeople congregated in cities. 84 The evidence regarding the Chinese example is far from complete. Accurate statistics are lacking since the early 60s, and 69 only randomly available for the 1970s. More information needs to be compiled about the effects of the programs such as the lateral transfer policy (see note 78). This, along with more complete data on the programs and policies described above, will permit a more accurate assessment of which programs have been the most important in fostering this very different approach to national development. Tentatively, however, it appears reasonable to conclude that the process of de-urbanization has been substantial since the early 60s and reasonably effective in the stated goal of markedly reducing the rate of urban growth, especially, when China is compared with other Asian and third world cities. With the exception of a half-dozen or so years, China has not been able to reduce the size of its urban population. However, since the early 60s, it'has kept its cities from growing faster than the country side, the growth of which has also slowed to a substantial de gree. Credit for reducing its overall population growth must go to the birth control policies and the development of an effective health care system at the local levels. However, the marked decrease in urban population growth must be primarily traced to China's down ward transfer of population. The process of deurbanization appears to have been a major component in the Maoist model of national development. linking the overall goals of decentralization and the equalization of resources with the reduction of differences between city and countryside. The new leadrship in China has embarked on a bold program of "modernization" and industrialization. These shifts in policies have been coupled with changes in programs which are crucial to the Maoist goal of deurbanization. Most notably, the program to transfer large numbers of urban youth to the countryside has been terminated. Regardless of the long run impact of these policy shifts, it is clear that the process described above, of controlling the growth of cities and reducing the differences between city and countryside, represents a significantly different alternative for national development. It will undoubtedly command the atten tion of planners, among others, in the quest for solutions to urban and national development problems. "* Notes I am indebted to John Lo for his invaluable research assistance. and to the University of Wisconsin Research Foundation for funding part of this project. I. Charles Cell, Revolution At Work (New York: Academic Press, 1977). 2. Mao Tse-Tung, "On the Question of Agricultural Cooper.llion,' Selected Readings From the Works of Mao Tse-tung (Peking: Foreign Languages Press. 1971), pp. 402-404,413. 3. The tenn .. deurbanization" is borrowed from Charles T:lly , An Urban World (Boston: Little, Brown, 1974). p. 38. 4. Ibid., p.50. 5. Simon Kuznets, . 'Consumption, Industrialization and Urbanization, " F. Hoselitz and Wilbert E. Moore, eds., Industrialization and Society. (New York: UNESCO-Morton, 1965), p. 38. 6. For example, Inna Adelman and Cynthia Tali Morris, Society. Polito ics and Economic Development (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins, 1967), pp. 281 283; and Kingsley Davis and Hilda Hertz Golden, "Urbanization and the Development of Pre-Industrial Areas," Economic Development and Cultural Change (October, 1955), p.8. 7. Leo Schnore, "The Statistical Measurement of Urbanization and Economic Development," Land Economics, (Vol. 37, No.3, August 1961), p. 22; Tilly, op. cit., p.52; Rhoads Murphey, "City and Countryside as Ideological Issues: India and China," Comparative Studies in Society and History (Vol. 14, 1972), p. 251. 8. Aldeman and Morris, op. cit., p.25. 9. Takashi Fujii, "The Urban Decade," A Conference Report, Pacific Conference on Urban Growth, Honolulu, Hawaii, May 1-2, 1967 (Washington D.C.: Agency for International Development, February 1968), p.23. 10. Stanislaw Wellisz, "Economic Development and Urbanization," in Leo Jacobson and Wed Prakash, eds., Urbanization and National Develoment (Beverly Hills: Sage, 1971), p.44. II. Etsuzo Onoye, "Regional Distribution of the Urban Population in China," Developing Economies (Vol. 8, No. I, March 1970), p. 95. 12. Wellisz, op. cit., p. 46. 13. Ibid., p.46 14. Gerald M. Desmond, "National and Regional Development Polit ics." in Leo Jacobson and Ved Prakash. eds., Urbanization and National Development (Beverly Hills: Sage, 1971) p.61 15. R. C. Estall and R. Ogilvie Buchanan, Industrial Activity and Economic Geography (London: 1961), p. 107. 16. Pi-chao Chen, "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youths and Politics of Rural Transtonnation," Comparative Politics (Vol. 4, No.3, April 1972). p. 361; Tilly, op. cit.. p. 47. For a discussion of the problems applying the Maoist strategy to other societies see John Gurley, .. Rural Development in China 1949-72 and the Lessons to be Learned From It." World Development (Vol. 3, Nos. 7 & 8, July-August 1975), pp. 468-471. 17. Brian J. L. Berry, "City Size and Economic Development," in Leo Jakobson and Ved Prakash, eds .. Urhaniz.ation and National Development (Beverly Hills: Sage. 1971). p. 122. See also Rhoads Murphey, "Traditiona lism and Colonialism: Changing Urban Roles in Asia." Journal ofAsian Studies (Vol. 29. 1969). p. 81; Murphey, "City and Countryside as Ideological Is sues." op. cit., pp. 253-4; and Amos H. Hawley. Urban Society: An Ecological Approach (New York: Ronald), p. 265. 18. Chen, "Overurbanization, Rustication of Urban Educated Youths." op. cit., pp. 362-385. 19. Sen-dou Chang, "The Million City of Mainland China," Pacific Viewpoint (Vol. 9. No.2. September 1968), p. 129. 20. Joshua S. Horn. Away With All Pests: An English Surgeon in People's China (London: Paul Hamlyn, 1969), pp. 18-23; Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars (CCAS). China! Inside the People's RepUblic (New York: Bantam. 1972), p. 230; Jack Belden. China Shakes the World (New York: Monthly Review. 1970); Graham Peck, Two Kinds ofTime (New York: Sentry. 1967). 21. Hom. op. cit.; Belden. op. cit.; Peck, op. cit. 22. Chang, op. cit., p. 132. 23. H. Franz Schunnann, Ideology and Organi:ation in Communist China (Berkeley: University of California. 1966), pp. 3S0ff. 24. Geng-sheng Si, "Study and Discussion of Questions Relating to Our Country's Population Plan." Statistical Work (No.5, 1957), p. 17; see also Morris B. Ullman. Cities of Mainland China: 1953 and 1958 (Foreign Man power Office, International Population Reports, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Series P-95, No. 59, August 1961), p. 12. One may argue about what constitutes "urban" versus "rural." Sripate Chandrasekhar (China Population, Hong Kong, University of Hong Kong, 1960, p. 48) cites a 1953 Peking Census Commissioner who stated thatthe urban areas are nonnally all towns and cities of more than 2,000 population of whom 50 percent or more are not engaged in agriculture. (An exception. for example. might be a mining town of less than 2,000.) See also Leo Orleans, Professional Manpower and Education in Communist China (NSF-61. Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office), p. 155; and Ullman, op. cit., p. 6. 25. Robin Thompson, "City Planning in China," World Developmellt (Vol. 3, Nos. 7 & 8, July-August 1975), p. 595; Leo Orleans. Every Fifth Child: The Population ofChina (Stantord: Stantord University, 1972), pp. 80-84. The reliability of China's population statistics has always been an issue. The figures betore 1957 are more widely accepted as reasonably accurate. Those after 1957 are often estimates based on the best intonnation available and educated assumptions. The intonnation generally comes from three sources: the 70 Chinese press, statements by visitors to China, and calculations made by western demographers combining demographic theory with knowledge on China. (For the most extensive range of calculation see John S. Aird, Estimates and Projections ofthe Populmion ofMainland China: 1953-1986, International Population Reports, Series P-19, No. 17, U. S. Department ofCommerce, 1968; or for an abbreviated profile see John S. Aird, "Population Policy and Demog raphic Prospects in the People's Republic of China," People's Republic of China: An Economic Assessment, Joint Economic Committee, 92nd Congress, 2nd Session, May 18, 1972). The range of disagreement between the different sources (e.g., on the size of China's current popultion) often appears substantial (see Robert Michael Field, "A Note on the Population of Communist China, China Quarterly, No. 38. April-June 1969). However, others question the magnitude ofthese differences. For example, Han Suyin ("Population Growth and Birth Control in China," EastemHorizon, Vol. 12. No.5, 1973, p. 8) notes the range of descrepancy to be about 4 percent which she argues compares very favorably with the 2.5 percent error margin in the U.S. In any case, there is much more agreement on the trends which directly relate to the issues con sidered here (Judith Bannister, The Current Vital Rates and Population Size of the People's Republic ofChina and Its Provinces, unpublished Ph.D. disserta tion. Stanford University, 1977. p. 255). Thus, for example, there is wide agreement that tremendous numbers of urban youth have been sent to the countryside in the last decade. and that the natural rate of population increase is higher in the countryside. 26. Cheng-siang Chen, "Population Growth and Urbanization in China. 1953-1970," Geographic Review (Vol. 63, No. I, January 1973). p. 57. 27. Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Education Youths." op. cit.. p. 371. 28. Ibid .. p. 371; Onoye. op. cit.. p. 112; Chang. op. cit.. p. 132. In 1957. at the end of this period. when natural population increases were probably higher. the natural rate of increase (birth rate minus death rate) was 39.8 per thousand for Shanghai and 34.9 for Peking (Chen. 1973:57-58). 29. Chen. "Population Growth and Urbanization in China." op. cit.. p.68. 30. Onoye. op. cit.. p. 104: Orleans. Every Fifth China, op. cit .. p. 64. For figures retlecting this outward flow of population from Shanghai see Bannister. op. cit.. p. 264. 31. Si. op. cit ... 1957. For a discussion of the growing urban unemploy ment problem see Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Education Youths." op. cit., pp. 371-3. 32. Schurmann. op. cit .. pp. 380ff. 33. For a description of these and other relevant campaigns see Cell. 'Revolution At Work, pp. 46-67. 34. A strong advocate of this position can be found in Micheline Luccioni, "Processus Revolutionnaire et Organization de L'espace en China." Espaces Et Societes (No.5. 1971). 35. Onoye. op. cit.. pp. 111-112. 36. A Chinese urban planner reported that the city ofChangsha grew at an average rate 00.6 percent from 380.000 in 1949. to 600.000 in 1959. But in the following years the city grew less than I percent a year. This compares with an average annual urban growth of 4.4 percent in the third world and even higher rates in Asia (Thompson. op. cit., p. 597). 37. There is often variation between cities (Ullman. op. cit . p. 14). Smaller hinterland cities (about 50,000 or 100.000) have sometimes been encouraged to grow as new major industrial centers. although Chinese policy has been to discourage growth beyond 5500.000 (Colina McDougall. "Mao and Monty." Far Eastern Economic Review. Vol. 34. No.5. November 2. 1961. pp. 259-60; Leo Orleans. Every Fifth Child, op. cit.. p. 83). This suggests that except for smaller hinterland cities. the actual growth pattern for most cities may be lower than the averages reported. 38. Bannister. op. cit.; B. Michael Frolic. "Noncomparative Com munism: Soviet and Chinese Cities. " Journal of Comparative Administration (Vol. 4. No.3. November 1972). p. 284; Carl Djerassi. "Some Observations on Current Fertility Control in China," China Quarterly (No. 57. January-March 1974). p. 54; Loren Fessler, The People's Republic of China and Population Policy. American Universities Field Staff Reports. East Asia Series (Vol. 20. No.3. 1973). p. I. 39. Aird. "Population Policy and Demographic Prospects in China." op. cit.. p. 328; Han Suyin. "Women as a Revolutionary Force." South China Morning Post (Hong Kong. April 10. 1975); RaymondL. Morrison and Jack D. Salmon. "Population Control in China: A Reinterpretation." Asian Survey (Vol. 23. No.9. September 1973). p. 888. A recent report states that the birth rate in one Shandong county has dropped as low as 1.3 percent. with one commune in that county as low as 0.8 percent (Rewi Alley. "Shantung Spring," Eastern Horizon (Vol. 16. No.6. June 1977. p. 33). To the extent this is paralleled in other areas of the countryside. even given some increase in the overall growth rate (due to the migration of youth to the countryside). it would suggest that the countryside is very rapidly catching up with the cities in reaching dramatically lower growth rates. 40. Tameyoshi Katagiri and Takuma Terao, "Wide Range of Family Planning." China Now (August-September 1972. No. 24). p. 54; Han. "Women As a Revolutionary Force." op. cit. The natural increase has been reported at as low as 0.24 percent in 1974 - Bannister. op. cit . pp. 255. 268. 41. Chen. "Population Growth and Urbanization in China." op. cit . p.67. 42. According to official figures the population of Shanghai and its envi rons in 1976 may be virtually the same as it was in 1970. having risen from 10 million in 1970 to II million in 1973. only to fall back to 10 million in the three following years. Unofficial registrants may, however, actually account for an additional 10 poercent. Thus. while Shanghai may not yet have completely stabilized its population. it certainly is growing at a much reduced rate. (Bannis ter. "Mortality. Fertility and Contraceptive Use in Shanghai." op+. cit. pp. 259-263, 266. 295) 43. Chen. "Population Growth and Urbanization in China." op. cit.. p.68. 44. Schurmann. op. cit.. p. 376. 45. Ibid .. p. 377. 46. For a description of how street and resident committees function see Charles Ceil. "Urban Life in Peking," China Notes (New York: East Asia Department, Division of Overseas Ministries. National Council of Churches, Fall 1972). For brief descriptions of how these committees are directly involved in birth control efforts, see Han. "Population Growth and Birth Control in China," op. cit.. p. 12; Pi-chao Chen, "Lessons from the Chinese Experience: China's Planned Birth Program and Its Transferability," Studies in Family Planning (New York: Population Council. Vol. 6. No. 10, October 1975). p.355. 47. Orleans. Professional Manpower and Education in Communist China. op. cit., pp. 61-63. 48. See also Kuang-ming Daily. 8/3/56 editorial and 12/9/56; Han. "Population Growth and Birth Control in China." op. cit .. p. 10. 49. Ibid., pp. 9-10. 50. Ibid .. p. 10. 51. Yu-chuan Huang. Birth Control in Communist China (Hong Kong: Union Research Institute. 1967). pp. 77-84. 92-103. 52. Shanghai Correspondent. "Birth Control in Cities: Fewer and Bet ter." Far Eastern Economic Review (Vol. 2, No.2, October 14. 1965); Han. "Women As A Revolutionary Force." op. cit.; Han. "Population Growth and Birth Control in China." op. cit.. p. II. 53. Bannister, The Current Vital Rates and Population Size ofthe PRC. op. cit .. p. 179. 54. Leo Orleans. "China's Experience in Population Control: The Elusive Model." World Development (Vol. 3. Nos. 7 & 8. July-August 1975). pp. 501, 503. 55. Edgar Snow ... A Conversation with Mao Tse-tung. ,. Life (April 30. 1971).p.47. 56. Chen. "Lessons From the Chinese Experience." op. cit.. p. 357. 57. Mark Selden, The Yenan Way in Revolutionary China (Cambridge: Harvard University. 1971). pp. 224-229. 58. Rensselaer W. Lee, "The Hsia Fang System: Marxism and Moderni zation." China Quarterly (October-December 1966. No. 28). pp. 45-47. 59. China Youth Daily. Peking. March II. 1959. 60. China News, January 5.1961. 61. Peking Daily. August21. 1960. 62. Labor and Commerce Daily, Hong Kong. October 15. 1962; John Gardner. "Educated Youth and Urban-Rural Inequalities. 1958-66." in John W. Lewis. ed., The Ciry in Communist China (Stanford: Stanford University. 1971), p. 268. 63. Reported in Hsing Tao Daily, Hong Kong, May 30. 1961; see also Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youths." op. cit.. p.373. 71 64. China's Youth Daily, January 25, 1964; Bernstein reports a far lower figure of only 1.2 million (in Peter J. Seybolt, ed., The Rustication of Urban Youth in China: A Social Experiment (White Plains: M. E. Sharpe, 1975), p. xii). The larger figure may include rural migrants who were being sent back to the countryside. 65. Chen, "Overurbanization, Rustication of Urban Education Youths," op. cit., p. 373. 66. Hsing Tao Daily. Hong Kong. October 17. 1962. 67. Thomas P. Bernstein. "Urban Youth in the Countryside: Problems of Adaptation and Remedies." China Quarterly (No. 69. March 1977). p. 75; Thomas P. Bernstein. Up To The Mountains and Down To The Villages: The Transfer of Youth fro!n Urban to Rural China (New Haven: Yale. 1(77); D. Gordon White. "The Politics of Hsia-hsiang Youth." China Quarterly (No. 59. July-September. 1974). pp. 492-494; Gardner, op. cit.. pp. 26-276. 68. Hong Qi (Red Flag). Peking (January 1969). p. 4; cited in Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youths." op. cit.. p. 365. 69. Bernstein. "Urban Youth in the Countryside." op. cit.. p. 75; Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youths." op. cit. 70. Fatherland, April. 1969. pp. 157-8; Hai Feng. "The Present Stage of China's 'Educated Youth Going to the Mountains and Villages' Campaign." Fatherland (Tsu Kuo) (Taipei. Taiwan: No. 68. November 1969). 71. Chen. "Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youth." op. cit.. p. 369. 72. Bernstein. "Urban Youth in the Countryside." op. cit.. p. 75. 73. Survey of the China Mainland Press (SCMP). No. 4572. December 23. 1969. p. 132. 74. Judith Bannister. "Mortality. Fertility and Contraceptive Use in Shanghai." China Quarterly (No. 70. June 1970). p. 265. 75. People's Daily. October 16.1968, and November 17,1968: Thomas P. Bernstein in The Rustication ofUrban Youth in China. op. cit .. p. xii. 76. Chen.. 'Overurbanization. Rustication of Urban Educated Youths." op. cit.. p. 382; Gardner. op. cit.. pp. 268-276; Bernstein. "Urban Youth in the Countryside." op. cit.; White. op. cit.; Hong Qi. No. 10. 1970. pp. 17-19; No. 4. 1972. pp. 86-94; No. II, 1973. pp. 60-64. 77. Cell. Remlurion at Work. op. cit.. pp. 179. 183. 78. Another program related to the downward transfer policy is the laterdl transfer policy. It is an effort to control the movement of population from city to city. especially from the smaller to the larger cities. Apparently when one is gi ven a job transfer to a larger city. approval must also be obtained from a housing office. and in some cases one must even tind a resident who is leaving before transfer to the city is permitted. Little is known about the extent and effectiveness of this program. However, to the extent it exists and is effective. it could have a substantial effect on controlling the growth of the larger cities. 79. Jon Sigurdson. "Rural Industry - A Traveller's View." China Quarterly (No. 50. April-June 1972); Jon Sigurdson. "Rural Industry and The Internal Transfer of Technology ." Stuart R. Schram. ed .. Authority. Participa tion and Cultural Change in China (Cambridge: Cambridge University. 1973). p. 199; Jon Sigurdson. "Rural Industrialization in China: Approaches and Results." World Development (Vol. 3. Nos. 7 & 8. July-August 1975); Carl Riskin. "Small Industry and the Chinese Model of Development." China Quarterly (No. 46. April-June 1971). p. 268. 80. Wen Wei Bao, Hong Kong. January 27. 1960; Da Gong Bao. Hong Kong. February 3. 1960; South China Morning Post. April 19. 1961; Hong Qi. No .. 8. 1961. p. 25; Sigurdson. "Rural Industrialization in China." op. cit .. p.527. 81. Tsu Kuo (Fatherland). 1969. pp. 265-267. 82. Hong Qi. No.9. 1970. pp. 50x52; No.7. 1973. pp. 44-47. 83. Study Report. "On Commune Industrialization." No. 27. Changsha. 1959; Sigurdson. "Rural Industrialization in China." op. cit.. p. 536. 84. Bert F. Hoselitz. "Urbanization and Economic Growth in Asia." Economic Development and Cultural Change (No.6. October 1957). pp. 42-54; Gunnar Myrdal. Economic Theory and Regions (London: G. Duckworth. 57). p. 27. MEMBER COMMITTEE OF SMALL MAGAZINE EDITORS AND PUBLISHERS BOX 70} SAN FRANCISCO. CA 94101 Border war. Is the Vietnam-Kampuchea war more than a border conflict? The next issue of the Southeast Asia Chronicle examines both Vietnamese and Kampuchean societies in the aftermath of the Indochina war, and takes a hard look at the Sino-Soviet conflict in Southeast Asia. Six times a year, the Southeast Asia Chronicle provides in-depth analyses of the countries of Southeast Asia, the problems of these developing nations, and the geo political rivalries between the great powers in this important part of the world. Subscriptions: $8/year. Issue 56-57 Vietnam: Rebuilding the South. Issue 58-59 Human Rights In Southeast Asia. Issue 60 Thailand Under Military Rule. Issue 61 Laos Recovers From America's War. 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