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Suicides Homicides State Suicides to Table 5 of Table 4 of Homicides GPP GPP study Ratio study (S/H)
1492 1702 459 1454 442 762 724 601 718 707 187 576 464 138 455 620 585 489 222 378 280 427 454 392 385 1342 913 527 767 577 501 396 440 443 376 260 271 114 126 223 271 293 335 306 106 65 97 283 229 432 KY OR OK CT IA MS AR KS UT NV NM WV NE ID HI ME NH RI MT DL SD AK ND VT WY 3.23 6.27 2.87 1.12 5.21 1.25 2.02 3.09 10.19 3.21 2.68 4.47 2.59 15.17 7.31 1.76 8.29 0.96 3.57
Data Source: America Under the Gun, by Arkadi Gerney, Chelsea Parsons, and Charles Posner (Click here). The two letter US Postal abbreviation for each state is used. Only 6 of 44 states for which data is available have S/H < 1.
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occurrence of suicides across Michigan counties, big and small. The number of suicides increase, as the population increases, following a simple linear law. More remarkable is the fact that there is hardly any scatter revealed. The average number of suicides, over the years 1999-2003, increases with increasing population. The data fall on a nearly PERFECT straight line, with the equation y = 4.67x + 1.03 with the linear regression coefficient r2 = 0.9778, see Appendix 1. 1. Michigan Firearms Related Suicides: The Linear SuicidesPopulation Law, Published May 14, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/141334599/Michigan-Firearms-RelatedSuicides-The-Suicides-County-Population-Law Here I have compiled the suicides and the homicides for all 50 states and highlighted the rather high value for the Suicide/Homicides (S/H) ratio across 38 of 44 states for which data is available for these gun violence indicators, as we see from the yellow highlights in the table on page 1. The Suicides/Homicides (S/H) ratio varies from 1.10 for Massachusetts (MA) to as high as 15.17 for Idaho (ID). Only six states, Delaware (DL), Louisiana (LA), New York (NY), Illinois (IL), Maryland (MD), and New Jersey (NJ) have a S/H ratio of less than 1. Even in these states the S/H ratio varies from a low of 0.72 for NJ to a high of 0.96 for DL. No information (on homicides) is available for six of the remaining states (HI, NH, SD, ND, VT and WY) to determine the S/H ratio. This is illustrated even more dramatically in Figures 1 and 2. The data for the larger states with populations over 5 million is plotted in Figure 1. The data for the smaller states, with populations under 5 million, is plotted in Figure 2. It is clear that we have a suicide EPIDEMIC in the United States. Violent crimes in the USA, especially the increasing incidence of mass murder rampages over the last decade or so, has always engaged our attention and fed the popular perception that we are a violent nation. This is further exacerbated by the fact that Americans have the highest gun ownership rates in the world.
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500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00
What we have here is a SUICIDE EPIDEMIC just like the carnage on the highways in the 1960s which forced Congress to hold highly publicized hearings and also enact the National Traffic and Motor Vehicle Safety Act (signed by President Lyndon Johnson, on September 9, 1966). This led to the creation of the US Department of Transportation and the safety standards for motor vehicles and also roads, which we now take for granted.
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Traffic Fatalities (vertical axis) in the US plotted versus time t in years showing the rising fatalities in the 1950s and 1960s. Also, traffic fatalities went up for the first time in 2012, after a six years of straight decline since 2005 (click here). For further details: see http://www.scribd.com/doc/101982715/Does-Speed-KillForgotten-US-Highway-Deaths-in-1950s-and-1960s
Seat belt laws were acted in most states and safety features such as seat belts and airbags (once resisted by the auto industry, citing high costs) are now standard for almost all motor vehicles, even the entry level vehicles, not just
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the high end luxury models. However, in the 1960s, there was a huge increase in the number of highway deaths, year after year, with no speed limits on many states. A literal carnage on the roads and Congress was forced to act. However, the number of traffic fatalities started decreasing only after the National Speed Limit of 55 mph was also implemented, shortly thereafter, following the Arab oil embargo of 1973 (to punish America for its support of Israel during the Seven Day War of 1973). And, now we have a similar but unheralded carnage in 38 states with Americans literally blowing their own heads off and killing themselves with the ready availability of firearms. It is difficult to recover from a suicide attempt when one shoots a bullet into ones own head. A garden hose is readily available and could be used too, but many such suicide attempts with ropes and the likes, to hang and kill oneself, are often botched. Or, the person suffering from severe mental depression is merely trying to call attention with no real intention to kill oneself. But, there is no escaping from a gunshot wound to ones own head if a severely depressed person reaches for a gun. So, unlike the position taken by some of my friends on the other side of this gun violence debate, SUICIDES ARE INDEED A VERY RELEVANT PART of the gun violence debate. May be even the ONLY RELEVANT part of the debate! Just look at what Texans are doing to themselves. There were 1702 firearms suicides in in 2010 versus 913 homicide, or a S/H ratio of 1.86. All hat and no cattle, as they say in Texas. Pardon my Texan (not French), these idiots are just blowing their own brains off, NOT each other. Or, look at the number for New York and California, states with strong gun laws. The S/H ratio is 0.87 for NY and 1.11 for CA. Much lower than Texas but not low enough. So, this is what gun control legislation needs to focus on. The steps to be taken to discourage mass murders are easy. The steps to be taken to prevent ready access to guns for this self-inflicted violence are harder to take. The pro-gun lobby, the NRA and the Second Amendment Absolutists must pause and wonder. The debate is NOT about your guns! The debate is about
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whether we should remain a country where you might be the next one to blow your own head off, or one of your loved ones might be blowing their own heads off. Look at the numbers for Florida too, home to many senior citizens. The S/H ratio for Florida is 1.90, 1454 suicides versus 767 homicides. It is your old mom and dad, grandpa and grandma, who seem to blowing their own brains off with their guns. Do we really want this to continue? This is what I have learned today as I was reviewing the gun violence statistics. And I have done my part to call attention to this tragedy that is consuming Americans literally. Now, it is the duty of everyone who reads this article to take the next step and forward this to a friend and loved one and call the attention of your Congressperson and Senators to act and pass legislation that will put an end to this tragedy. It can be done. It was done. It was done in 1966 when Congress had the courage to pass the National Traffic Safety Act.
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Appendix 1
In this appendix, we will discuss the linear suicide-population law which reveals a remarkable homogeneity in the occurrence of suicides across all populations, big and small. The text, as presented in the reference cited earlier is reproduced here verbatim.
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one of the saddest and most tragic aspects of gun violence in the US the high percentage of firearms-related deaths that can be attributed to suicides. Figure 3 here provides a graphical illustration of this tragic statistic for my home state of Michigan for the period 1999-2003 (click here for the full report). The data for the larger Michigan counties is compiled in Table 1. A comparison and the firearms-related suicides versus homicides for various states is presented in Table 2.
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follows the hyperbolic law, y/x =h + (c/x). This hyperbolic law is a natural consequence and the corollary of the linear law y = hx +c relating suicides y and the county population x.
Table 1: Michigan Firearm Homicides and Suicides (Average number for the years 1999-2003)
County/City Homicides Rate Suicides Rate Berrien 6 3.5 8 4.9 Calhoun 4 2.9 8 6.1 Genesee 28 6.4 23 5.3 Ingham 6 2.1 12 4.4 Macomb 13 1.6 40 4.9 Oakland 26 2.2 54 4.5 Saginaw 12 5.6 11 5.4 Wayne (out-county) 42 3.8 60 5.3 Detroit 304 32.5 41 4.3 Total 494 4.9 540 5.4 Data source: Firearms Homicide and Suicides Michigan, February 2006 http://www.michigan.gov/documents/Firearm_Homicide__Suicide_Report_162 746_7.pdf The other counties reported homicides/suicides of 0, 1, 2, and 3 and accounted for the difference.
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Data Source: America Under the Gun, by Arkadi Gerney, Chelsea Parsons, and Charles Posner (Click here). The two letter US Postal abbreviation for each state is used and the data has been sorted by decreasing population to aid in the preparation of the x-y plots. If we ignore Detroit city (304 out of 494 homicides, about 60%, and so will distort the scale of the graph), a general upward trend in homicides is observed with increasing population. Detroit City is no longer an exception, however, when it comes to suicides. A PERFECT linearity is observed for suicides with increasing population, described by the best-fit equation y = 4.669x + 1.028 with r2 = 0.9778, see Figure 1.
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The firearms-suicides data for Michigan counties, including Detroit city, reveals a strong correlation with population levels, with a nearly PERFECT value for the correlation coefficient (r), or coefficient of determination (r2). There is considerably more scatter in the graph for homicides.
Michigan Average Annual Firearms incidents (1999-2003) breakdown The nearly PEREFCT correlation between firearms-related suicides and the county population implies a near PERFECT homogeneity of factors contributing to (firearm) suicides across population sizes and therefore the need to more effectively address this tragic and preventable cause of selfinflicted violence and deaths. In other words, the work function for suicides (see discussion in Ref. [1] in particular, and also in Refs. [2,3]), is essentially constant across county population sizes.
Massachusetts (2010)
270 126 138 6
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Data Sources: America Under the Gun Report (April 2013) from Center for American Progress and the Brady Campaign for Prevention of Gun Violence (2011 Scorecard); see Refs. [15-17]. Massachusetts and Washington, on the Atlantic and Pacific coast, respectively, have virtually the same population. The number of homicides is nearly the same but the overall firearms-related death is higher for WA, with the difference being entirely due to suicides. The idea of a work function was first conceived by Einstein, in 1905, to explain the photoelectric effect, see Refs. [4-6]. The work function is the name given by Einstein to the nonzero intercept c in the photoelectric law. In this law, x is the frequency of light, the slope h is the Planck constant, and y is the maximum kinetic energy of the electron produced (when light of frequency f shines on the surface of a metal). The nonzero c (or the work function W) tells us something about the difficulty of producing a free electron when light
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shines on the surface of a metal. The radiant light, which Einstein considered to be a stream of photons with energy , must have the minimum energy W = hf0 where h is the Planck constant, f0 is the cut-off frequency, and W is the threshold energy of the photon. The photoelectric law thus yields a family of K-f parallels with the general equation K = W = hf W = h(f f0), with K being the maximum energy of the electron that is ejected from the metal.
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y = 8.54x 33.66 Kansas-Delaware line Nearly perfect parallel See Li and Na lines in Millikans experiments
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by Millikan in the photoelectric experiments with lithium and sodium. This has been discussed in detail in Ref. [1]. The varying suicide rate that we observe is due to the nonzero intercept c, or the work function as it applies to this gun violence outcome (a suicide). . Likewise, the batting statistics of a baseball player also reveals a work function, similar to the work function in physics, see refs. [7-9]. This has to do with the difficulty of producing hits (or home runs). The work function is now related to the missing hits, or the minimum At Bats (AB) needed to produce hits (or home runs). These points have been discussed more fully in the companion articles [1-3]. The game-by-game batting data, for a baseball player like the legendary Babe Ruth, can be shown to fall along a family of parallels with the general equation y = hx + c, with y being the number of hits, x the number of At Bats, and with the slope h = 1 and the nonzero c being related to the number of missed hits corresponding to each At Bats x. The work function in the gun violence, the name that has been given to the nonzero intercept c, also tells us something about the difficulty of the achieving the gun violence outcome, such a firearms-related suicide. As discussed in detail in Ref. [1], the gun violence data also moves along a system of parallels. This is illustrated again in Figure 5 here where we consider only the firearms suicides data for the states with the smaller population (under 5 million). The constancy of the work function (the nonzero intercept) for several states is an manifestation of the remarkable homogeneity of factors that result in the gun violence outcome known as the firearms suicide. These remarkable findings also imply that a lot more can clearly be done with more effective gun laws, and also with health care initiatives to address mental health issues, to reduce this tragic and preventable cause of selfinflicted violence, see Refs. [10-13]. It is hoped that our lawmakers and legal professionals will pay heed and work to examine more critically the reasons for the remarkable homogeneity observed here and what aspect of the gun laws need to strengthened to reduce the work function, or the incidence of firearms-related suicides, not only in Michigan, but across the country, and even across nations.
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Although I have not yet fully studied all of the suicides data, my experience over the past 15 years of analysis a wide variety of such data (Ref. [14]) convinces me and allows me to make a bold statement that the results being reported here for Michigan are NOT isolated and will be widely observed if we study such data across different states, and also across different nations. Hence, this brief and urgent note.
http://www.policymic.com/articles/38391/gun-control-2013-suicide-statsare-irrelevant-to-gun-control-policy/532857
The Discussion
Dear Matt: I hope I can share these findings here. As I have continued my research, I have come to the shocking conclusion that SUICIDE STATS ARE THE ONLY STATS THAT ARE RELEVANT to the national gun violence debate. THERE IS AN UNHERALDED EPIDEMIC OF SUICIDES ACROSS THIS NATION, LIKE THE CARNAGE ON THE HIGHWAYS IN THE 1960s, which forced Congress to pass the National Traffic Safety Act. Likewise, we need a National
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The following document describes my findings on the EPIDEMIC level of suicides across this country.
1 Replies
Vj Laxmanan 18 seconds ago Don't know what happened, here...
Don't know what happened, here's the link. http://www.scribd.com/doc/141451669/Gun-Violence-in-America-Americans-Are-KillingThemselves-NOT-Each-Other-Themselves-Not-Each-Other-Across-States I am issuing a national suicide ALERT !!! Please join me. The Suicides/Homicides ratio reveals Americans are killing themselves, not each other, across states. Pardon my Texan (not French), these idiots are just blowing their own brains off, not each othr
Vj Laxmanan
Dear All: I have just uploaded the following document where I have discussed the link between the Brady Campaign Score for various states and the firearms-related death rates, reported in the recent study America Under the Gun. http://www.scribd.com/doc/141292101/The-Brady-Campaign-State-Ranking-and-the-FirearmsDeath-Rates-Einstein-s-Work-Function-Reappears Please also take a look at Appendix 2 and Table 2 highlighting suicides and homicides
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Reference List
1. Brady Campaign State Rankings and the Firearms-related Death Rates: Einsteins Work Function Reappears, Published May 13, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/141292101/The-Brady-Campaign-StateRanking-and-the-Firearms-Death-Rates-Einstein-s-Work-FunctionReappears 2. Comparison of the Strong and Weak Gun Law States and the Ten States with Highest Level of Gun Violence: Least Squares Analysis of the Data, Published May 10, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/140536622/Comparison-of-the-Strong-andWeak-Gun-law-States-and-the-Ten-States-With-Highest-Levels-of-GunViolence-Least-Squares-Analysis-of-the-Data 3. Gun Death Statistics and the Method of Least Squares and the Forgotten Property of a Straight Line, Published May 8, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/140152581/Gun-Death-Statistics-and-theMethod-of-Least-Squares-and-the-Forgotten-Property-of-a-Straight-line 4. Einsteins Photoelectric Equation and the Electromotive Force, by R. A. Millikan, Phys. Rev. 1916, Vol. VII, No. 1, Second Series, pp. 18-32. http://www.ffn.ub.es/luisnavarro/nuevo_maletin/Millikan_1916_1.pdf 5. A Direct Photoelectric Determination of Plancks h, R. A. Millikan, Phys. Rev. 1916, vol. VII, No. 3, pp. 355-390. http://mapageweb.umontreal.ca/leonelli/PHY3320/millikan.pdf 6. The Electron and the Light Quanta from the Experimental Point of View, by Robert A. Millikan, Nobel lecture, May 23, 1924, see pages 61 to 63. The graph for sodium is on page 63. 7. Babe Ruths 1923 Batting Statistics and Einsteins Work Function, Published April 17, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/136489156/BabeRuth-s-1923-Batting-Statistics-and-Einstein-s-Work-Function 8. Babe Ruth Batting Statistics and Einsteins Work Function, To be Published April 17, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/136556738/BabeRuth-Batting-Statistics-and-Einstein-s-Work-Function 9. The Method of Least Squares: Predicting the Batting Average of a Baseball Player (Hamilton in 2013), Published May 7, 2013,
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http://www.scribd.com/doc/139924317/The-Method-of-Least-SquaresPredicting-the-Batting-Average-of-a-Baseball-Player-Hamilton-in-2013 Guns and Suicide: A fatal link, Spring 2008, http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/magazine/guns-and-suicide/ Study by the Harvard School of Public Health, of all the 50 U.S. states, reveals a powerful link between rates of firearm ownership and suicides. Means Matter, Suicides, Guns and Public Health, http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/means-matter/ Reducing access to lethal means saves lives. Gun crime statistics by US state: latest data, Datablog, Posted by Simon Rogers, December 17, 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/10/gun-crime-usstate Total firearm murders and the firearm murder rates (per 100,000 population) for all states is given here. Gun Control 2013: Suicide Stats Irrelevant to Gun Control Policy, Matt MacBradaigh, in Politics, May 6, 2013, http://www.policymic.com/articles/38391/gun-control-2013-suicidestats-are-irrelevant-to-gun-control-policy Bibliography, Articles on Extension of Plancks Ideas and Einsteins Ideas beyond physics, Compiled on April 16, 2013, http://www.scribd.com/doc/136492067/Bibliography-Articles-on-theExtension-of-Planck-s-Ideas-and-Einstein-s-Ideas-on-Energy-Quantum-totopics-Outside-Physics-by-V-Laxmanan Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, 2011 Scorecards, http://www.bradycampaign.me/sites/default/files/2011_Brady_Campaig n_State_Scorecard_Rankings.pdf American Under the Gun, http://www.americanprogress.org/wpcontent/uploads/2013/03/AmericaUnderTheGun.pdf Full report here. A 50 State Analysis of Gun Violence and its Link to Weak State Gun Laws, by Arkadi Gerney, Chelsea Parsons, and Charles Posner, April 4, 2013, Center for American Progress Report, Brief discussion here, http://truth-out.org/news/item/15524
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18. Does Speed Kill? Forgotten US Highway Deaths in the 1950s and 1960s, August 3, 2012, http://www.scribd.com/doc/101982715/DoesSpeed-Kill-Forgotten-US-Highway-Deaths-in-1950s-and-1960s 19. The Effect of Speed Limits on Fatalities and Texas Proofing of Vehicles, August 3, 2012, http://www.scribd.com/doc/101983375/Effect-of-Speed-Limits-onFatalities-Texas-Proofing-of-Vehicles 20. National Traffic and Motor Vehicle Safety Act,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Traffic_and_Motor_Vehicle_Safety_Act
21. Top 10 Presidential influences on the auto industry, http://www.forbes.com/pictures/ehmk45ielk/6-highway-safety-act-andnational-traffic-motor-vehicle-safety-act-1966-lyndon-johnson-2/ 22. US Department of Transportation: Office of the Historian, http://ntl.bts.gov/historian/chronology.htm
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actually have many applications far beyond blackbody radiation studies where it was first conceived. Einsteins photoelectric law is a simple linear law and was deduced from Plancks non-linear law for describing blackbody radiation. It appears that financial and economic systems can be modeled using a similar approach. Finance, business, economics and management sciences now essentially seem to operate like astronomy and physics before the advent of Kepler and Newton. Finally, during my professional career, I also twice had the opportunity and great honor to make presentations to two Nobel laureates: first at NASA to Prof. Robert Schrieffer (1972 Physics Nobel Prize), who was the Chairman of the Schrieffer Committee appointed to review NASAs space flight experiments (following the loss of the space shuttle Challenger on January 28, 1986) and second at GM Research Labs to Prof. Robert Solow (1987 Nobel Prize in economics), who was Chairman of Corporate Research Review Committee, appointed by GM corporate management.
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